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Top 10
Strategic Technology
Trends for 2015
David Cearley

Digital Business Sets the Stage

Improve process
efficiency/effectiveness
with mobility

Business Process

New models and processes

Extend and evolve processes

Business Moment
Evolve processes into new
business models

Business Model

Extend and evolve models

Implement new business

models relying on mobility

Technology Adoption and

Market Disruption

Growth

Emerging

Disruption
Uncertain

Growth

Disruption
Clarified and
Starting

Mainstream

Disruption
Happening or
Happened

Strategic
Technology
Trends
Time

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World

Intelligence
Everywhere

The New IT
Reality Emerges

Computing Everywhere

The Internet of Things

3D Printing

Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

Context-Rich Systems

Smart Machines

Cloud/Client Computing

Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure

Web-Scale IT

10

Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World

Intelligence
Everywhere

The New IT
Reality Emerges

Computing Everywhere

The Internet of Things

3D Printing

Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

Context-Rich Systems

Smart Machines

Cloud/Client Computing

Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure

Web-Scale IT

10

Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Computing Everywhere
Look Beyond Mobile Form Factors
Many form factors, screen sizes,
interaction styles, platforms, architectures

Embrace heterogeneity and loss of

complete control

Technology advances accelerate:

Sensors, displays, wireless and more

Use containment and isolation as a

foundational security strategy

Inside everything

Pocketable
Convertible
Portable screen
Wearable

All around

Portable

Touch, voice, etc.

Keyboard, mouse
Gesture

Desk

Shared areas

The User Experience

in a Hyper Connected World
Richer I/O
Models

Emotionally
Impactful

ConsumerDriven

Multimodal

Think "Outside in" and Focus on Solution

Architecture, Design Thinking and Development

Exploit the natural affinity between agile

development methodologies and UX Pilot
and iterate

Create UX pattern libraries that guide application

development teams Personas and use cases

Tool software, so usage data can be extracted

and analyzed Continuous feedback

The Internet of Things Links to Everything

Manage
Internet of People

Monetize

1.11B People on Facebook,

March 2013

Internet of Things
25B Things by 2020

Operate
Internet of Information

Internet of Places

30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013

3B Foursquare Check-Ins,
January 2013

Extend

Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical

Architectures for the Internet of Things
Thing

Gateway

Cloud/"Internet"

Enterprise/
On-Premises

10101001010100
11010101010010
10110101011

User
Interface

Application
Logic and Rules

Data

Analytics

Experiment!

A $75 Proof of Concept

Can Save $75,000
"Customer down, magnet down,
$75,000 magnet recovery problem
to recool the magnet.
These have really worked well
monitoring our magnets at our office
in Ohio."
and embrace the "maker culture."
Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-aninternet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the

 "3d printing is not new but is newly strategic"

Billions of
Dollars
7

81.9%

CAGR

4
3
2
1
0
2012

2013

2014
Enterprise

2015
Consumer

2016

2017

Consumer Shipments Point to

More Pervasive Use
Shipments
1,200,000
1,000,000

95.4%

800,000

CAGR

600,000
400,000
200,000
0

2012

2013

2014
Enterprise

2015
Consumer

2016

2017

Look for Innovation Opportunities From the

Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical
Airbus A320
Redesigned Nacelle
Hinge Bracket

M1 Abrams
Tank Engine
Material Added to
Worn Components
Courtesy of EOS

Injection Molds
Cut Tooling Costs
by Up to 97%

Not Impossible Labs

"Project Daniel"
Prosthetic Limbs

Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs

Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions

Responsive

Will we be able to focus more on our customers'

needs and less on our manufacturing processes?

Agile

Will we make our product development and

production processes more nimble?

Cost

How much can we reduce product development,

operating and support costs?

Knowledge

Do we need to develop our staff's additive

manufacturing skills?

Innovation

Will we be able to create items that were

difficult or impossible to produce before?

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World

Intelligence
Everywhere

The New IT
Reality Emerges

Computing Everywhere

The Internet of Things

3D Printing

Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

Context-Rich Systems

Smart Machines

Cloud/Client Computing

Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure

Web-Scale IT

10

Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Big Data Security Analytics at the Heart of

Next-Generation Security Platforms
Context-Aware Intelligence

Model, Simulate, Act, Protect

Continuous
Monitoring
and Analytics

Community
Patterns,
Meaningful
Anomalies
Dependencies,
Relationships

Context
Knowledge
Analyze

Information

Collect, Correlate
Big Data
Data
Data
Data
Data
Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches

Data Lake

Unmanaged
Original
Raw
Natural Security
Not Portable
Consumption Fitness Uncertain

or Reservoir?

Managed
Transformed
Filtered
Secured (Somewhat)
Portable
Potable (Fit for Consumption)

Context-Rich Systems Understand

Who, What, When, Where, How and Why

User-Facing
Context

Identity and Pref.

Environment

Calendar

Community

Connectivity

Location

Process Models

Content Sources

History

Patterns
Etc.

System-Facing
Context

Mobile Context Fluid Workspace Driven

by Convenience and Context
Work anywhere
at any time

Employees will own many

computing devices

Employee autonomy in
processes, apps, devices

Process and working

practice innovation

BYOD and
BYOA

Continued loss
of IT control
Personal Cloud
Defines Workspace

Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-Aware and

Active: Adaptive Access Control
Contextual
information.

Get more information!

Risk engine.

Allow access.
Step-up authentication.
Trust elevation.
Transaction verification.

STOP

Deny access.
Allow access with
fine-grained audit.
Other obligation.

Emerging Trend:
The Contextual User Experience
Contextual Information:

Personal Assistants as Intermediaries

Location Information
Available Endpoints

Human Request for Action

Relevant Services and Content

User Experience Platform:

Intermediary Between Users and
Content/Capabilities
Acts for or Interacts With the User to
Accomplish Goals:
- The Invisible User Interface

Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms

Image Apple

Siri

Image Microsoft

Cortana

Image Google

Google Now

Just the Beginning!

Smart Machine Categories

Based on What They Do
Movers

Autonomous Vehicles

Sages

Information-Based Helpers

Doers

Machine-Focused Helpers

Rio Tinto
Reinventing Mining and More

Cornell's Observant, Predictive Servant

Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013.

Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation

Virtual Private Assistants You Will Not

Have Just One

Image Microsoft

Image Google

Memorial Sloan Kettering

and IBM Watson

Source: IBM

Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion

90% Adoption for
Addressable
Market

Early Emerging
Use Cases

Adoption
Accelerates

Smart Advisor

2014

2017

Virtual Personal
Assistant1

2013

2017

Segments Merge
(and Fragment)
2020 to 2022

Autonomous
Personal Transport

2020
(2)

2030
(5)

2044
(10)

Semiautonomous
Robotic Assistants

2025
(2020 to 2030)

2032
(2025 to 2040)

Segment

1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes in 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth in its first 2 years.

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World

Intelligence
Everywhere

The New IT
Reality Emerges

Computing Everywhere

The Internet of Things

3D Printing

Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

Context-Rich Systems

Smart Machines

Cloud/Client Computing

Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure

Web-Scale IT

10

Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies:

Cloud/Client Computing
Data
Business logic
UX logic

Data
Business logic
UX logic

The application is in the cloud.

Cloud is the coordination point and system of record.
Clients can be anything with varying levels of data
and logic.
Applications can span multiple clients.
Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions.
The experience flows to the user in context.
Mobile is not about devices it is about people.

Shift From Cloud Application Migration, to

Cloud "Native" Application Development
Conventional Pattern

Cloud "Native" Pattern

Central SQL Database

Distributed Key/Value NoSQL

Sticky In-Memory Session

Shared Memcached/Redis Session

Chatty Protocols

Latency Tolerant Protocols

Tangled Service Interfaces

Layered Service Interfaces

Polled Information

Event-Driven

Fat Complex Objects

Lightweight Serializable Objects

Components as Jar Files

Components as Services

Java, .NET

JavaScript, Python, Ruby, Node.js

Adapted From Cloud Architecture Tutorial by Adrian Cockcroft (Netflix)

http://www.flickr.com/photos/wscullin/3770015203

Software-Defined Applications and

Infrastructure: The Future Is Software-Defined
Networking

Storage

Cloud Services
Everything
Is Programmable

Security

The API Economy

Data Centers
OpenStack
Open Compute

Real-Time
Infrastructure
Fabric-Based
Computing
Service-Oriented
Architecture
Model-Driven
Architecture

Software-Defined Architecture
for Application Services

Outer View

Outer View

Outer APIs

Resource
Virtualization

Inner View

Managed
Resources

Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)

Inner View

Inner APIs

Web-Scale IT:
The Foundation for the Digital Future
Open

Web-scale IT is a pattern of
global class computing that
delivers the capabilities of
large cloud services
providers to the enterprise

Industrially
Designed Data
Centers
RiskEmbracing
Culture

Collaborative
Aligned
Organization

Web-Oriented
Architecture

Web-Scale
IT

VelocityFocused
Processes

Infrastructure
as Code

Source

Create Your Blueprint and Road Map

for Web-Scale IT

1
DevOps
API-Based Management
Velocity-Focused Processes
Collaboratively-Aligned
Organization
Risk-Embracing Culture

2
Web-Oriented
Architecture

3
Industrially
Designed
Infrastructure

All Roads to the Digital Future

Lead Through Security

Security Myth:
Perimeter Defense Will Protect My Applications
Mobile

Insider
Attacks

Internet of
Things

Enable Applications to Protect Themselves

Application Runtime
Dynamic
Interaction

Output:

Application
Source Code

High-Assurance
Security
Vulnerabilities

Security-Aware
Application
Design

Runtime
Application
Self-Protection

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends

for 2015
Merging the Real
World and the
Virtual World

Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and

create a vision of the future technology landscape

Link trend analysis to the impact on people

(employees and customers), the business and IT

Intelligence
Everywhere

Establish strategic decision models to take action on

disruptive impacts

The New IT
Reality Emerges

Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and

a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT and
the business

Recommended Gartner Research

Top 10 Mobile Technologies and Capabilities for 2015 and 2016
Nick Jones (G00260239)
Hype Cycle for the Internet of Things, 2014
Hung LeHong and Alfonso Velosa (G00264127)

Hype Cycle for 3D Printing, 2014

Pete Basiliere and Michael Shanler (G00263487)
Hype Cycle for Advanced Analytics and Data Science, 2014
Alexander Linden (G00262076)
Context-Aware Security and Intelligence-Sharing Concepts Merge to
Create Intelligence-Aware Security Controls
Lawrence Pingree and others (G00261239)
For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.

Recommended Gartner Research

Hype Cycle for Smart Machines, 2014
Kenneth F. Brant and Tom Austin (G00263827)
Software-Defined Architecture for Applications in Digital Business
Yefim V. Natis and Ross Altman (G00264171)

Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, 2014

David Mitchell Smith (G00263850)
Web-Scale IT Influences the Market and Enterprises for Cloud Computing
Cameron Haight (G00260838)
Runtime Application Self-Protection: A Must-Have, Emerging
Security Technology
Joseph Feiman (G00229122)
For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.

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