Professional Documents
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At par:
The foreign exchange rate is at par when it quoted at a rate equal to the spot rate at the
time of making the contract.
At premium:
When one unit of a currency buys more units of another currency in the forward rate than
in the spot rate, the former is at a premium. The premium is usually expressed as a
percentage deviation from the spot rate on a per annum basis.
At discount:
When the forward rate is lower than the spot rate, the former is at discount. The discount
is usually expressed as a percentage deviation from the spot rate per annum.
S
A
Rate of
Exchange
E2
E
P
G
E1
H
S
D
Q1 Q2 Q Q 3 Q4
X
Quantity of Money Supply
In the above diagram DD and SS are the demand and supply curves of currency which
intersects at point P and the equilibrium exchange rate E is determined.
Suppose the exchange rate rises to E 2, the quantity of currency (Rs.) supplied. OQ 3 is
more than quantity demanded OQ2. When currency is in excess supply, the price of
currency in terms of other currency (say dollars) will depreciate now less currency (Say
Rs.) will be supplied and more will be demanded ultimately equilibrium will be reestablished at the exchange rate E. On the other hand, if the exchange rate falls to E 1, the
quantity of currency (Rs.) demanded OQ4 is more than the quantity supplied OQ1. When
there is a shortage of currency (Rs.) in the foreign exchange market, the price of currency
(Rs.) in terms of other currency (Say dollar) will appreciate, the rise in the price of
currency will reduce the demand for them and increase their supply, and this process will
continue till equilibrium exchange rate E is re-established at point P.
POSITIVE IMPACT (Advantages of Exchange rate fluctuation) :
1. Ensure Balance of Payments equilibrium:
In a flexible exchange rate, especially in a floating exchange rate system, the exchange
rate automatically adjusts the imbalance in the balance of payment through demand and
supply forces. A deficit in the balance of payments leads to depreciation of currency
resulting in an increase in exports and decrease in imports. A surplus on the other hand
results in the appreciation of the currency which restricts the exports and encourages
imports.
2. Monetary Autonomy:
Flexible exchange rate system provides monetary autonomy to the authorities. Each
country under this system is free to follow inflationary of deflationary policies. In other
words independent monetary policy can be pursued by an individual country rather than
linking it with other countries as is the case under fixed exchange rate.
3. Promotes Economic Stability:
According to Milton Friedman the flexible exchange rate system is more conducive to
economic stability. It is easier to allow exchange rate to appreciate or depreciate for
external adjustment rather than initiative price changes (usually deflation). It is difficult
to reduce the domestic price level as it is resistant to downward pressure.
4. Insulates domestic Economy:
Domestic economy under the flexible exchange rate can operate independently to a great
extent. An appreciation of the domestic currency would prevent the import of other
countries inflation. Under fixed exchange rate, a country will enjoy surplus in the balance
of payments when the rest of the world has inflation but in turn will be subjected to
inflation due to increase in money supply. The increase in money supply is due to
pegging operation or and conversion of foreign exchange into domestic currency.
C CURRENCY CONVERTIBILITY
Introduction:
The currencies of various countries are converted into each other in the foreign exchange
market. The rate at which a currency can be converted is determined by the norms of
convertibility followed by the countries. Convertibility refers to the extent to which a
currency can be used for international payments. Currency conversion is to enable the
purchase of goods from the other countries or to make financial investments. A country
may impose restrictions on the amount allowed to be converted or on the end use of the
converted currency. In such a case the residents are not allowed to use the foreign
exchange to purchase assets abroad without government's prior permission.
Under the Bretton Woods System the par values of the currencies were declared in
terms of gold, dollar or pound. When the Bretton woods' system collapsed in 1971; the
various countries switched over to the floating foreign exchange system, where the
exchange rates were allowed, to be determined by the demand for and supply of
currencies.. But many countries continue to impose, restrictions on the free convertibility
of currencies since it may create BOP difficulties. Under convertibility of a currency
there are authorized dealers of foreign exchange which constitute the foreign 'exchange
market. The exporters can convert the dollar or pound sterling into rupees. Importers who
require foreign exchange can go to the dealers and get rupees converted into foreign
exchange.
Meaning:
Convertibility of a currency refers to its convertibility in to a foreign currency as desired
by its holder. The currency is fully convertible if the holder can convert it into any other
currency at rates determined by the forces of demand and supply and without any
interference from the government.
The convertibility therefore involves two aspects.
1) The rate of exchange should be determined by the market and not by the regulatory
authority and thus the holder does not incur any loss on conversion and.
2) There should not be any quantitative restrictions on the repatriation of the currency.
Essential conditions and pre-requisites for a successful convertible system: The A
currency is converted to effect remittances, either from the country or into the country
from abroad. Remittances are broadly classified into two categories
i)
ii)
This classification is based on the current and capital accounts in the balance of
payments. Remittance on the current account represents transactions relating to trade in
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goods and services. For such remittances no reserve flow of funds in the future is
anticipated. Remittances on capital account relates to investments, loans etc. These
represent the external debt of a country and reverse flow in the form of interest / dividend
and repatriation of capital is expected. various benefits of capital account convertibility
can be enjoyed by countries, provided certain essential conditions are satisfied. These
refer to the following:
1. Maintenance of domestic economic stability.
2. Adequate foreign exchange reserves.
3. Restrictions on essential imports if the foreign exchange position is not very
comfortable
4. Comfortable current account position.
5. An appropriate industrial policy and a conducive investment climate.
6. An outward oriented development strategy and sufficient incentives for export
growth.
Thus a reversal to the process of capital account liberalization can" be prevented if
reforms are appropriately sequenced. The initial conditions achieved by the economy will
decide the success of the policy. Hence macro stabilization is the basic precondition for
adopting capital account liberalization. Countries which complete the process of macro
economic stabilization first can remove exchange controls on current account transactions
to start with. This can be followed by capital account openness as the benefits of
domestic" reforms on growth and financial stability become visible and appear durable.
Generally speaking, liberalization on the capital account should follow the current
account since the former may involve a real appreciation of the exchange rate.
Advantages of currency convertibility:
The following points highlight the advantages of currency convertibility.
1. Currency Convertibility Encourages Export: Exporters are motivated to increase
their exports since there is possibility of making more profits under currency
convertibility conditions. As a result of, convertibility on current account, higher profits
will be earned since market exchange rate will give higher returns as compared to the
officially fixed exchange rate. From the given exports, they earn more foreign exchange.
2. Encourages Import Substitution: Since the market determined exchange rate is
higher than the officially fixed exchange 'rate, imports become more expensive. This
makes countries to go in for import substitution.
3. Incentives to Send Remittances from Abroad: Indian workers employed abroad and
NRls find it convenient to' send remittances of foreign exchange without hassle. This also
encouraged illegal remittances like 'hawala money' and smuggling.
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Credit rating institutions will play a vital role in decision making by the investors.
The changed view of these institutions or changes in the interest / exchanges rates
may have a destabilizing effect on the portfolio flows.
2.
It exposes banks liabilities and assets to more price and exchange risks the effect of
increased volatility of exchange rate will be felt on the banks open foreign currency
positions.
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3.
4.
5.
Banks may supplement their domestic deposit base with borrowing from off-share
market. The volatility in interest and exchange rates can be dangerous to weak
banks.
Fluctuations in interest may affect the cost of borrowing for emerging markets and
alter the relative attractiveness of investing in these markets. Real exchange rate
volatility may cause currency and maturity mismatches, creating large losses for
bank borrowers.
Due to increased competition, the margins for the banks may be reduced.
2)
Enhancing the capacity: Through under flexible exchange rate the market
plays a major role, yet it is necessary to intervene in the market to maintain the
exchange rate within a margin.
3)
4)
5)
6)
currency. They buffer against unexpected changes in the cost of debt caused by an
increase in interest rate. A large reserve helps in preventing short-term hot money
situation.
7)
The size of foreign exchange reserves: Size of reserves: How much forex should a
country hold depends on many factors. The important of them are i) size of the country 2)
Current account deficit 3) Capital account vulnerability 4) Vulnerability of exchange rate
flexibility and 5) opportunity cost.
The size of the country viewed form the population and GDP angle demands additional
reserve as both the variables increase. If the current and capital account are more open,
greater the requirement of forex. Exchange rate flexibility also influences the required
reserves to enable the government / Central Bank of the country to intervene as and when
required. Holding a large amount of forex has an opportunity cost in terms of lost
opportunity of using the forex in a profitable manner.
The level of foreign exchange rate system followed by that country. In a fixed exchange
rate system the monetary authority do require more forex to maintain the desired
exchange rate. In a floating exchange rate system, the exchange rate would adjust itself
according to the market forces. Hence, there is no need to absorb excess inflows in the
reserves.
High demand for forex in some of the developing countries arises out of political
instability, high fiscal deficit resulting in unproductive investment and finally their affect
on foreign exchange market.
How much foreign exchange reserve should a country maintain is nor a precisely settled
question. Many economists suggest some ratio of gross reserve to annual imports as a
criterion to judge the adequacy. Robert Triffin after studying the case of 12 leading
countries during the period of 1950 to 1957 concluded that 35 percent of liquidity or
reserve as a ratio of annual imports as adequate. Reserves below this ratio, according t
him would compel the country in question to adopt import restrictions.
According to another criterion, the international liquidity is adequate if it is sufficient to
meet cyclical fluctuations without imposing undesirable restrictions on world trade.
In recent years, it is pointed out that a country must possess foreign exchange reserve
(Forex) equal to three months imports. Reserves less than this would compel a country to
impose import restrictions. If a country cannot restrict its imports then it has to borrow
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from various sources. Such situation may also lead to depreciation or devaluation of
currency.
India and foreign exchange reserves: India's approach to reserve management, till the
BOP crisis of 1991 was essentially based on the traditional approach which implied the
maintenance of an appropriate level of import cover defined in terms of number of
months of imports equivalent to reserves. However, the developments in India and the
world led to a shift. With the changing profile of capital flows, the traditional approach to
assessing reserve adequacy in terms of import cover has been broadened to include a
number of parameters which take into account the size, composition and risk profiles of
various types of capital flows as well as the types of external shocks to which the
economy is vulnerable. The following indicators have been proposed by the Committee
on Capital Account Convertibility for evaluating the adequacy of foreign exchange
reserves. .
The reserves should cover at least six month's of import. Three month's imports cover
plus half of annual debt service payments plus one month's imports and exports to
take into account the possibilities of leads and lags.
The short-term debt and portfolio stock should not be more than 60% of the level of
reserves.
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rate there is likely to be either a loss or gain. Since the value of the exports and imports
have to be converted or translated into the domestic currency they are referred to as
translation risks and because they are an accounting phenomenon, they are often referred
to as an accounting risk.
4. Transaction Risk:
Transaction risk arise out of various types of transactions such as international trade,
borrowing and lending in foreign currencies and the local purchasing and sale activities
of foreign subsidiaries that require settlement in a foreign currency. Transaction risk
exists whenever it has contractual cash flows whose values are subject to unanticipated
changes in exchange rate due to a contract being denominated in a foreign currency. As
firms negotiate contracts with set price and delivery dates in the face of a volatile foreign
exchange market with exchange rates constantly fluctuating, the firms face a risk of
changes in exchange rate between the foreign and the domestic currency.
5. Contingent Risk :
A firm has contingent risk when bidding for foreign projects or negotiating other
contracts or FDI.
6. Operating Risk:
Operating Risk refer to change in expected future cash flows (from future sale and
production) due to an unexpected change in the exchange rates. It affects the firm's
present value. It has a major influence on the stock process for listed companies.
7. Exposure risk :
Exchange risk arises because of exogenous factors. Since these are factors that are
outside the firm cannot do anything to protect itself against such risks. There are a
number of variables that determine the firms exposure to exchange or currency risk.
These are:
a)
b) Product age: This is linked to the product life cycle. As the product matures the
number of rivals / imitators increase. This makes the commodity price sensitive.
c) Ownership structure: If the firm has subsidiaries in a number of countries the
currency risk is lower when the parent company manages the foreign exchange
portfolio.
d) Currency management and currency mix, influences the extent to which a
country has to bear foreign currency risk. If the inflow of currency does not
match the outflow then a currency risk arises.
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A foreign exchange risk arises not only from transactions involving future payments and
receipts in a foreign currency (transactional exposure), but also from the need to value
inventories and assets held abroad in terms of the domestic currency for inclusion in the
firms consolidated balance-sheet (transaction or accounting exposure) and in estimating
the domestic currency value of the future probability of the firm (the economic
exposure).
Techniques of management of foreign exchange risk:
Foreign exchange risk is associated with adverse currency movements that translate into
lost profits and purchasing power. Private individuals and businesses can manage foreignexchange risk with diversification, currency derivatives and currency swap techniques.
1. Diversification:
Diversification is a currency risk management strategy that enables you to profit across
multiple economic scenarios. It is possible to assemble a foreign exchange portfolio of
several currencies to diversify. For example, a currency portfolio featuring U.S. dollars
and Russian rubles could serve as a diversification play against commodity prices. High
commodity prices typically translate into economic recession and inflation for the United
States. At that point, the U.S. dollar weakens, as foreigners begin to liquidate American
assets. Meanwhile, your Russian rubles will be appreciating in value, because Russia is a
primary exporter of oil and natural gas, and benefits from high commodity prices.
Beyond trading currencies, large corporations diversify against currency risk by
establishing global businesses within several different countries. For example, CocaCola's international profits stabilize the firm when the American economy and dollar are
weak. Individual investors, however, may lack the financial resources and expertise to
establish overseas businesses. Smaller investors may purchase shares of stock in
multinational corporations, such as Coca-Cola, or buy global mutual funds to protect
themselves against currency risks.
2. Derivatives:
Currency derivatives are financial contracts that manage foreign exchange risk by
establishing predetermined exchange rates for set periods of time. Currency derivatives
include futures, options and forwards. Currency futures and options contracts trade upon
organized financial exchanges, such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. In exchange
for premium payments, options grant you the choice to accept foreign exchange rates
until the contract expires. Futures , however, enforce the delivery of currencies at agreed
upon valuations at later dates. Meanwhile, forwards are customized agreements between
two parties that negotiate future exchange rates between themselves. Currency
derivatives function as foreign exchange risk management tools because they allow
investors to lock in predetermined exchange rates for set periods of time.
3. Currency Swaps:
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Introduction:
The foreign exchange market is a forum for exchange of global decentralized trading of
international currencies. The financial centers in various countries function as anchors of
trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers round the clock. The
foreign exchange market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency
conversion. It also supports direct speculation in the value of currencies and carry trade
speculation based on' the interest rate differentials between two currencies.
Unique features: The foreign exchange market is unique due to the following
characteristics:
1. Highly liquid: The trading volume is huge representing the largest asset class in the,
world and has high liquidity. Foreign Exchange Market is the largest and most liquid
market in the world. The estimated turnover is $ 1.5 trillion a day. It is equivalent to more
than $ 200 in foreign exchange market transactions, every business day of the year for
every man, woman and child on earth. It has been estimated that the worlds most active
exchange rates can change upto 18,000 times during a single day.
2. Geographically dispersed: It is geographically dispersed. In a globalised economy
where the world is treated as global village, the foreign exchange centers are linked
into a single, united, cohesive worldwide market. Foreign exchange trading takes place
among the dealers in a large number of individual financial centers but the trade takes
place in the same currencies. The access to different markets throughout the world being
available through the vast amount of market information transmitted simultaneously and
most instantly, the foreign exchange rate, at any time, tends to be virtually identical in all
the financial centers
.
3. Twenty-Four Hour Market: Foreign Exchange markets operate 24 hours per day per
day. It is said that the foreign exchange market follows the sun around the earth. Twenty
four hours market means that exchange rates can change at any time due to change in
market conditions or other events at anytime and any where. This demands alertness on
the part of dealers to the possibility of a change in exchange rate anywhere.
4. Volume of transaction: According to the Bank of International Settlements as on
April 2010, the average daily turnover in global foreign exchange market was estimated
to be at $ 3.98 trillion, 20% growth over the $ 3.21 trillion daily volume as on April 2007.
Of the total transactions, almost two-thirds of the total represents transactions among the
reporting dealers themselves, with the remaining one-third accounted for by their
transactions with financial wand non-financial customers. Among the various financial
centers around the world, the largest amount of the foreign exchange trading takes place
in the United Kingdom, through the pound sterling is less widely traded than several
other currencies. The three largest markets are UK, USA and Japan.
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The committee of 20 which had 20 Principal members both from developed and
developing countries-made a number of far reaching recommendations on reforming the
IMF system. The major recommendations relate to replace of gold in the IMF system and
the use of SDR.
SDR (Special Drawing Rights), also known as the paper gold are a form of international
reserves created by IMF to solve the problem of international liquidity. They are not
paper notes or currency. They are international units of account in which the official
accounts of the IMF are kept. They are allocated to the IMF members in proportion to
their fund quotas and are used to settle balance of payment deficits between them.
11. Channels of global linkages: IMF conducted a study on the channels by which
increased volatility in foreign exchange can affect trade, A crisis in. an economy is
transmitted through three channels i.e, trade channel, financial channel and confidence
channel. As a result, economic phenomena in one country can easily spread to the other
countries. This has increased uncertainties. This also implies the need to have strong
macroeconomic fundamentals for countries and also a diversifIed investment and trade
portfolio which can absorb shocks and remain resilient in adverse conditions also. .
Conclusion: With greater interdependence across countries, -international linkages have
become imperative and stronger. From the late 90's, real and financial linkages have
become more important and shocks are transmitted from especially large powerful
economies to the developing or weaker countries. Any type of economic disturbance
originating in one of the large countries can impact on the other countries and this will be
reflected in the' quantum of trade. Global disturbances can take a number of forms.
The developed countries have experienced synchronized pattern of movements in output,
inflation, interest rates etc. Countries are interdependent on each other than ever before.
This increasing interdependence could' be measured through the increase in trade flows,
FDI and financial flows and labour movements between nations. The international
linkages can enhance productivity and help to raise the income of nations thus improving
the standard of living. International linkages or technology transfers lead to increase in
productivity growth.
As per the IMF study, exchange rate in principle can influence trade in many ways. Real
exchange rate have a potentially strong impact on the incentive to allocate resources. i.e.
labour and capital. Real exchange rates are measures of real competitiveness since they
capture the relative prices, costs and productivity of one particular country vis-a..vis the
rest of the world.
Thus it is clear that globally the foreign exchange markets are linked with each other
due to globalization of trade and increased connectivity.
G. OPEN AND CLOSED: INTEREST PARITY CONDITIONS
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Introduction: People hold wealth in various forms .like stocks, bonds, cash, real estate,
diamonds etc. The objective of acquiring wealth or savings is to transfer purchasing
power into the future. The desirability of an asset depends on its rate of return or
percentage increase in value it offers over some time period. To calculate the expected
rate of return over some time period, one has to make the best forecast of the assets' total
value at the periods' end. The percentage difference between that expected future value
and the price one pays for the asset today equals the assets expected rate return over the
time period.
The savers are interested in the expected real rate of return. This is so since the ultimate
goal of saving is future consumption and only the real return measures the goods and
services a saver can buy in the future in return for giving up some consumption today.
Fisher effect: It brings out the difference between nominal and the real interest rate.
Nominal interest rate includes real required rate of return and the inflation premium,
which is the expected rate of inflation. So real interest rate = Normal Interest Inflation rate. The investors look for the real interest rate differences while investing
their funds. Real interest rate differences will lead to the flow of capital to those countries
offering higher real interest rates. As a result, ultimately the real interest rates will
become equal across countries. Hence individuals prefer to hold assets offering the
highest expected real rate of return. The other consideration while selecting an asset are
the risk and liquidity.
Situation of Interest Parity: To compare the returns on different deposits, market
participants need 2 pieces of information. First they "need to know how the money value
of the deposits will change. Secondly, they need to know how the exchange rate will
change so that they can translate rates of return measured in different currencies into
comparable terms. If the potential holders of foreign currency deposits view all assets as
equally desirable, it is a situation of interest parity. This is a situation of no arbitrage
condition.
Interest arbitrage refers to buying a foreign currency, spot and selling it forward to take
advantage of the higher interest rate. Interest arbitrage is riskless because it is covered by
a forward sale of the foreign currency. This is also called covered interest arbitrage.
There is covered interest parity when the interest differential is positive in favor of the
foreign monitory centre and equals the forward discount on the foreign currency. In such
a situation no arbitrage will take place. But arbitrage opportunities will exist so long as
the interest differential between the two monetary centres exceeds the premium or
discount of the forward exchange rate.
Interest rates and arbitrage:
There is a relationship between interest rate and rate of inflation. According to Irvin
Fisher, a countrys nominal interest rate (i) is the sum of required real rate of interest (r)
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and the expected rate of inflation over the period for which the funds are to be lent (I) this
can be stated as
i=r+I
If the real rate of interest in a country is 5 percent and annual inflation is 7 percent, the
nominal interest rate will be 12 percent. The relationship is called Fisher Effect,
according to which, a strong relationship seems to exist between inflation rates and
interest rates.
If the real interest rates between the countries differ then arbitrage takes place.
There is a link between inflation and exchange rate and as the interest rates reflect
expectations about inflation, if follows that there must also be a link between interest rate
and exchange rate. Such a link is known as International Fisher Effect. It states that for
any two countries, the spot exchange rate should change in an equal amount but in the
opposite direction to the difference in nominal interest rates between the two countries.
If Indias nominal rate of interest is higher than USAs with the expectation o higher rate
of inflation, the value of Rupee against dollar should fall by that interest rate differential
in future
Interest Parity Conditions
It is a state under which investors will be indifferent to interest rates available on bank
deposits in two countries. The fact that this condition does not always hold allows for
potential opportunities to earn riskless profits from covered interest arbitrage. Two
assumptions which are central to interest rate parity are capital mobility and perfect
substitutability of domestic and foreign assets. Interest rate parity conditions imply that
the expected return on domestic assets will equal the exchange rate adjusted expected
return on foreign currency assets. Investors cannot then earn arbitrage profits, exchanging
back to their domestic currency at maturity."
Interest arbitrage may be uncovered or covered.
Uncovered Arbitrage: In this system, arbitrageurs would take a risk to earn profit by
investing in a high interest bearing risk free securities in a foreign market. His earnings
would be according to his calculations if the currency of the foreign market where he
invested does not depreciate. If the depreciations is equal to the difference in interest rate,
the investor would not incur loss. However, if the depreciation is more than interest rate
differential, then the arbitrageur will incur loss.
Covered Arbitrage: International investors would like to avoid the foreign exchange
risk, thus interest arbitrage is usually covered. For this purpose the investors purchase
foreign currency to invest the same in a foreign currency which has higher rate of
interest.
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At the same time the investor sells forward the amount of the foreign currency he is
investing plus the interest in the invested amount for a period which will coincide with
the maturity of the investment. The covered interest arbitrage refers to the spot purchase
of the foreign currency to make the investment and offsetting simultaneous forward sale
(swap) of the foreign currency to cover the foreign exchange risk. Under this system
when the foreign investment matures (usually 3 months) the investor will get the
domestic currency equivalent of the amount invested, plus interest earned. However, the
currency with higher rate of interest is usually at a forward discount, the net return on the
investment is roughly equal to the interest differential (higher interest) minus the forward
discount on foreign currency.
The less earnings due to forward discount can be considered as the cost of insurance
against foreign exchange risk.
As covered interest arbitrage continues, the difference in interest again diminishes and
finally the gain arising out of interest arbitrage completely disappears.
Interest parity takes 2 forms - covered and uncovered. Economists have found
empirical evidence that covered interest rate parity holds though: subjected to various
conditions like the various types of risks, costs, taxation etc. When uncovered interest
rate parity and the purchasing power parity hold together, it leads to a situation of real
interest rate parity. This condition can be attained when there are no country risk premia
and zero change in the expected real exchange rate.
This parity condition suggests that the real interest rates will equalize between countries
and capital mobility will result in capital flows that eliminate opportunities for arbitrage.
Covered Interest Arbitrage Parity: The difference in interest rates in monetary centres
of different countries and the forward premium and discount which lead to a outflow or
inflow of foreign currency may ultimately result in elimination of gain out of arbitrage.
When funds move abroad, interest rate at home tends to rise and declines abroad. As the
forward dealings increase, the forward rate also declined but the spot rate increases. As
the spot transactions increase the spot rate goes up. The process leads to the point zero
indicating no gain from arbitrage. At this point the inflow and outflow come to end. In
reality according to Dominik Salvatore the process of flow in and out of monetary centres
comes to an end.
If capital is completely free to move between the countries and the real and nominal rates
of interest are also the same, the exchange rate between the two currencies must also be
the same in the foreign exchange markets of the two countries.
The arbitrage process would induce the transfer of capital and consequent changes in the
interest rate and finally equality of exchange rates. The arbitrage opportunity which arises
due to difference in rate of interest brings the exchange rates in the two markets on par.
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Reasons for the development of the Eurocurrency market: There are several reasons
for the existence and spectacular growth of the Eurocurrency market. They are.
1)
Soviets deposit of dollar in European banks: In the 1950s Soviet Union was
earning dollars from the export of gold and raw materials. The Soviet did not want
to keep them in the banks in the United States out of the fear that the US may freeze
them due to the Cold War. The Soviets wanted dollar claims that were not subject
to any control by the US government. The Soviets solved this problem by depositing
their dollar earning with dollar-denominated deposits with banks in Britain and
France. These Soviet deposits marked the birth of the Eurocurrency market.
2)
Restriction upon sterling credit facilities: In 1957, the bank of England introduced
restrictions on UK banks ability to lend sterling to foreigners and foreigners ability
to borrow sterling. This induced the British banks to run to the US dollars as an
alternative means to finance the world trade. This provided a stimulus for the growth
of the Eurocurrency market.
3)
4)
5)
6.
7.
8.
Deposit of surplus funds by OPEC Countries: After the oil price increase of
1973, the OPEC countries began to deposit large amounts of dollars in European
banks. The Eurocurrency market experienced phenomenal growth after 1973.
2.
3.
Close maturity of assets and liabilities: There is a close matching of the maturity
structure of assets (loans) and liabilities (deposits). This is due to the fact that
Eurobanks have to be cautions about the sudden large withdrawals of short-term
funds by the depositors.
4.
5.
6.
Well organized and efficient market: Eurocurrency market is well organized and
very efficient. It serves a number of roles for multinational business operations. It is
an important and convenient device for multinational corporations to hold their
excess liquidity. It is an important source of short term loans to finance corporate
working capital needs and foreign trade.
2) The national monetary authorities lose effective control over monetary policy since
domestic residents can make their efforts less effective by borrowing or lending
abroad. Since Eurocurrency market contributes to increasing the degree of
international mobility of capital, it makes monetary policy less effective.
Eurocurrency market provides opportunities for avoiding many of the regulations that
the monetary authorities try to enforce on domestic money markets.
3. Since the Eurocurrency market can be a source of international liquidity it can
contribute to inflationary tendencies in the world economy.
4. The Eurocurrency market allows the central banks of deficit countries to borrow for
balance o payments purposes. This may make these countries to postpone the needed
balance of payments adjustment measures.
ADVANTAGES:
Despite these problems arising from the growth of Eurocurrency market, it has given rise
to many advantages.
1) It has helped to alleviate considerably the international liquidity problem.
2) It has provided credit to countries to finance the balance of payments deficits. In other
words, it has played an important role in recycling funds from surplus to deficit
countries.
3) It has helped to meet the short-term credit requirements of business corporations.
4) It has provided a market for profitable investment of funds by commercial banks.
5) It has enabled the exporters and importers to obtain credit.
6) This Eurocurrency market has helped to accelerate the economic development of some
countries like South Korea, Taiwan & Brazil.
7) It has been largely responsible for the increased degree of financial integration
between economies.
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EUROBOND MARKETS
Meaning: Eurobonds are long-term debt securities that are sold outside the borrowers
country to raise long-term capital in a currency other than the currency of the country
where the bonds are sold.
An example is given by a US corporation selling bonds in London denominated in euros
or US dollars. In 1989 the funds raised by Eurobonds amounted to $300 billion. In 1997,
new issues of Eurobonds amounted to $ 735 billion. The incentive for Eurobonds is that
they generally represent a lower cost of borrowing long-term funds than available
alternatively.
Eurobonds VS Domestic and Foreign bonds: Eurobonds differ from most domestic
bonds. Eurobonds are usually unsecured, that is they do not require collateral, while
domestic bonds are secured
Eurobonds are different from foreign bonds. Foreign bonds refer simply bonds sold in a
foreign country but denominated in the currency of the country in which the bonds are
being sold. An example is a US multinational corporation selling bonds are bonds sold in
a foreign country and denominated in another currency.
Nature of Eurobonds: Eurobonds are attractive financing tools as they give issuers 'the
flexibility to choose the country in which to offer their bond according to the countrys
regulatory constraints. They may also denominate their Eurobond in their preferred
currency. Eurobond are. attractive to investors as they have small par values and high
liquidity. So a Eurobond is an international bond that' is denominated in a currency not
native to the country where it is issued. It can be categorized according to the country in
which it is issued. London is one of the centers of the Eurobonds market. Eurobonds are
named after the currency they are denominated in. For example, Euroyen and Eurodollar.
bonds are denominated in Japanese Yen and American dollar respectively. Eurobonds are
bearer bonds and also free of withholding tax. The bank Will pay the holder of the
coupon the interest premium. Usually no official records .are kept. The leading centers of
the eurobond market are London, Frankfurt, New York and Tokyo. The maturity period of
eurobonds is short upto five years.
Interest rates: Eurobonds may be with fixed interest rates or floating interest. rates. In
fixed rate of interest bearing bonds, the rate of interest remains the same throughout the
duration of the bond. Such bonds have higher interest rate risk. In floating interest based
Eurobonds returns vary as per the movements in interest rate.
The interest rates on Eurocredit are expressed as a mark-up or spread over LIBOR (the
London Interbank Offer Rate) or EUROBOR (the Brussel-set rate). This is the rate at
which Eurobanks lend funds to one another. The spread varies according' to the
creditworthiness of the borrower and range from 1 % for the best or prime borrowers to
2% for, borrowers with weak credit ratings. The weaker banks can negotiate a lower
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spread by paying various fees up front. There are a management fees for the banks or
banks organizing the syndication, a participation fee to all participating banks based on
the amount lent by each as well as a commitment fee on any undrawn portion of the loan.
The rapid growth of these markets is taking us to a truly global banking system.
Transactions and leading centers: The leading centers in the Eurobond market are
London, Frankfurt, New York and Tokyo. In 2001 corporations, banks and countries
raised about $ 1,350 billion in Eurobonds. The sharp increase was made possible by the
opening up of capital markets in these international debt securities by several countries
including France, Germany and Japan. The incentive to issue Eurobonds and Euronotes is
that they generally represent a lower cost of borrowing long term funds than available
alternatives. In 2001, about 48% of Eurobonds and Euronotes were denominated in U.S.
dollars, 44% were denominated in euros, 5% in pound sterling, 1% in Japanese Yen and
smaller percentages in other currencies.
Some Eurobonds are denominated in more than one currency in order to give the
lender the choice of the currencies in which to be repaid, thus providing some exchange
rate protection to the lender. A large issue of Eurobonds or Euronotes is usually
negotiated by a group (called a syndicate) of banks so as to spread the credit risk among
numerous banks in many countries. Eurobonds and Euronates usually have floating rates.
The interest rates charged are re-fixed usually every three to six months in line with the
changes in market conditions. After an issue of Eurobonds and Euronotes is sold by the
syndicate, a secondary market in the international note or bond emerges in which the
investors can sell their holdings.
EUROEQUITY MARKETS
A Euro equity issue, according to Michael R. Czinkota and others is the simultaneous sale
of a firms share in several different countries, with or without listing the shares on
exchange in that country. The sale takes place through investment banks. Once issued,
most euro-equities are listed at least on the computer screen quoting system of the
international Stock Exchange (ISE) in London.
Euro market is an important financial market for raising finance through euro equities
or Eurobonds. Global Depository Receipts (GDRs) are financial instruments for raising
funds in more than one foreign market, except in the domestic market of the issuing
company. Euro equities are sold through GDRs in the international market. A GDR is a
financial instrument which represents one or more shares of an issuing firm or company.
GDRs are issued in the following manner. A company which issues the shares deposits
them with a depository bank. The bank and brokers sell these .shares through GDRs. The
investors get the depository receipts. Since the investors have rights to the receipts only
and not the actual shares of the company, they have no voting rights.
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