Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Page
34
Issue No: 22
Market Scan
Jatin Sanghavi
(Mumbai)
(M) 098205 26455
jatinsanghavi100@yahoo.com
www.smartinvestment.in
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SMART
INVESTMENT
pattern can form at the bottom and not at the top of Buy Petronet LNG : 186
a trend; hence that cannot be the case here. So the SL 181 ; TGT 194-203
follow up to the Bearish Engulfing which got completed a week before, was missing as this week
formed a white body candle. Thus the bearish impact of the Bearish Engulfing will be negated only
when both the indices close above the top of this
pattern which is above Sensex 26190 and Nifty
7808. Also both the indices formed a small white body candle on the daily charts in line with the
ongoing pull-back. Thus Candlestick pattern study indicates turbulence in the short term.
Correction will resume only if Sensex closes below the level of 24878. If that is to happen, one
needs to consider the rally from low of Sensex 22277 and Nifty 6628. The relevant Correction
levels are 24695-24233-23771 for the Sensex and 7361-7223-7085 for the Nifty. On a higher
timeframe, we need to consider the rally from low of Sensex 19963 and Nifty 5933. The relevant
Correction levels are thus placed at Sensex 23811-23076-22341 and Nifty 7092-6871-6649.
The 38.2% Retracement level of the immediate correction (Sensex 24695 and Nifty 7361) and
an intermediate bottom (Sensex - 24644 and Nifty 7360) are forming a confluence zone. Thus
Sensex 24695-24644 and Nifty 7361-7360 will act as strong Support zone. A breach of this Support zone will turn the medium term trend down.
On a higher scale, a very strong Support zone is formed between Sensex 23811-23729 and
Nifty 7092-7067. This is a result of confluence of 38.2% Retracement of the higher rally (Sensex 23811 and Nifty 7092), 61.8% Retracement of the immediate rally (Sensex - 23771 and Nifty
7085) and the start of the intermediate Bullish Rising Gap (Sensex 23729 and Nifty 7067). The
long term trend will continue to remain bullish as long as this Support zone is held.
Last week, both Sensex and Nifty completed a Bearish Rising Wedge pattern when Sensex
closed below 25450. This is a leading Bearish Reversal pattern which suggests that the Sensex is
now headed towards a target of 24231 and Nifty 7180. This target is still intact and will remain
valid till Sensex remains below 26190 and Nifty below 7808.
S2
7441
24892
S1
7563
25347
Close
7663
25641
R1
7755
25999
R2
7860
26264
R3
7974
26587
Petronet
CMP
SL
186
181
TGT-1 TGT-2
194
203
Buy
Axis Bk.
1995
1963
2041
2089
Buy
A.B. Nuvo
1428
1400
1470
1515
Buy
IDFC
163
158
171
180
Buy
1065
1118
1152
Stocks
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell
Reco.Price
TGT Reached
SBI
2425 2364
Siemens
855 826
HPCL
377 352
Syndicate Bk. 142 136
Ambuja Ce. 214 208
2366
841
372
138
212
Total :
Lot Size
Profit
125
500
1000
2000
2000
7375
7000
5000
8000
4000
31,375
SMART
INVESTMENT
- 25021 and Nifty - 7472) and the long term average of 200dma (Sensex - 22119 and Nifty - 6592).
Thus the trend in the short term timeframe has turned bullish, while that in the medium term and
the long term timeframe continues to remain up.
MACD and ROC both continue in Sell mode. RSI (58) has moved above the equilibrium line
and hence indicates bullish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator also continues in Buy mode as %K
(57) is above %D. The MFI (53) has also turned positive by moving above the centerline, suggesting positive money flow. OBV continues in Sell mode by forming lower top lower bottom formation.
ADX has reduced to 30, indicating the uptrend is still intact but its strength has reduced. At the
same time Directional Indicators continue to remain in Buy mode as +DI remains above -DI. Thus
Oscillators are giving mixed signals; hence expect volatility in the short term.
Options data suggests that the market is expecting a trading range between 7500 and 7800.
Friday saw strong buildup at 7700 Call which indicates strong resistance there.
For the week ahead, Sensex will find Support at 25347-24892-24587 and will find Resistance
at 25999-26264-26587.
For the week ahead, Nifty will find Support at 7563-7441-7360 and will find Resistance at 77557860-7974.
Open
High
Low
Close
Diff
14/07/2014
25,093.16
25,095.76
24,892.00
25,006.98
-17.37
15/07/2014
25,100.90
25,254.48
25,020.32
25,228.65
221.67
16/07/2014
25,322.17
25,602.78
25,246.75
25,549.72
321.07
17/07/2014
25,540.92
25,613.03
25,494.46
25,561.16
11.44
18/07/2014
25,558.48
25,713.40
25,441.24
25,641.56
80.40
Net
Weekly
Rise
617.21
Open
High
Low
Close
Diff
14-Jul-14
7469
7478.45
7422.15
7454.15
-5.45
15-Jul-14
7491.3
7534.9
7459.15
7526.65
72.5
16-Jul-14
7564.15
7640.1
7532.45
7624.4
97.75
17-Jul-14
7612.7
7655.65
7612.7
7640.45
16.05
18-Jul-14
7630.25
7685
7595.5
7663.9
23.45
Net
Weekly
Rise
204.3
NSE / Nifty
SMART
INVESTMENT
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Angel Broking
(Mob. : 98199 965036)
SMART
INVESTMENT
(Fakhri H. Sabuwala)
E-mail: fakhrisabuwala@hotmail.com
Mixed Emotions
The PM may be at Brazil attending a BRICS summit and the parliament may be discussing
the budgets both the railways and central. The market in such a scenario goes through the
mixed emotions and rides like a pendulum even at intra day basis as well as daily .
Shrugging off the data which showed the trade deficit to touch a 11 month high in June, the
equity benchmark indices shot up by 1.3% midweek on a sustained buying in the banking
stocks. The market breadth has improved substantially during the week and at times two out
of three scrips have risen for most part of the week. the cues from the Europe too were
favourable.
Banking stocks are in the lime light on RBI allowing the lending banks to raise long term
bonds to finance infra structure and housing sectors. Almost all the banks participated in the
rally with ICICI and AXIS taking the lead as their exposure both in infra and housing finance is
quite large (project finances 10% of advances and housing 20% of advances.
Stocks in view:
IDFC : After reaching an interim high of Rs 164 the stock may be correcting momentarily and
soon it shall gain further ground in coming weeks.
Buy... Buy...
MTNL
33.00
Premier Explosive 164.00
Heidelberg Cem.
64.00
Ashiana Hsg.
129.00
GMR Infra
26.00
Bodal Chem.
48.00
Manappurm
23.00
Chennai Petro
89.00
PTC (I)
33.00
MRPL
69.00
U. B. Holding
41.00
Buy on Deep
HIL Ltd.
Alembic Pharma
Zicom Ele.
Petronet LNG
PVR
Muthoot Fin.
H. T. Media
Monnet Ispat
Kovai Medical
G.M. Breweries
Som Distrileries
491.00
336.00
117.00
186.00
657.00
186.00
117.00
137.00
261.00
122.00
219.00
Sell on High
Hold
Ultratech Cement
HCL Techno
Sesa Sterlite
Hind. Zinc
Hindalco
TCS
Mind Tree
Balkrishna Ind.
Force Motor
Info Edge
NBDC
2548.00
1499.00
298.00
165.00
184.00
2442.00
887.00
808.00
536.00
693.00
454.00
Reliance Ind.
976.00
Jindal Cotex
19.00
Veer Energy
5.39
Zee Enter
294.00
Rasoya Proteins
17.00
Bajaj Auto
2081.00
Simplex Infra
310.00
Gail (I)
445.00
CMC
1899.00
Thermax
911.00
REC
314.00
SMART
INVESTMENT
Terrific Shots
AshokaBuildcon (Rs. 152.00) (Code: 533271) :- Modi-government's focus on road
and infrastructure sector is likely to benefit one of the leading BOT road players AshokaBuildcon.
The company is known for completing project within deadline and its financial performance has
also been robust. In March quarter, the company recorded net profit of Rs31.79 crore on turnover
of Rs548.33 crore with EPS of 2.01. In December 2013 quarter, the company had recorded profit
of Rs20.78 crore on turnover of Rs353 crore with EPS of 1.31. In FY2013-14, it recorded net profit
of Rs103.44 crore on turnover of Rs1557 crore with EPS of 6.55. The company paid dividend of
40% last year. The stock prices are likely to cross Rs175 with announcement of June results.
Deepak Fertilizers (Rs. 182.00) (Code: 500645) :- The commodity chemicals
company is one of the leading fertilizers companies of the country. It operates in three business
segments - Chemicals, Fertilizers and Real Estate. Compared to last quarter of the previous
financial year the company's income increased to Rs1070 crore with 62% rise, while operating
profit increased to Rs165.45 crore with sharp rise of 135% and its adjustable net profit hiked by
215% to Rs91.66 crore. The company's chemical segment witnessed income of Rs753 crore with
73% growth. The raw materials remained quite stagnant during the quarter. The company has
announced 55% dividend. Taking into consideration the company's growth, expansion plans, strong
brand and financial performance the stock can be bought with target of Rs250.
Granules India (Rs. 607.00) (Code: 532482) :- Last year was golden year for the
midcap pharma company. The company operates in API, PFI and Finished Dosage segment and
exports it to around 60 countries. As against equity of Rs20.28 crore, the company has reserves of
Rs285.10 crore. Late year the company acquired AuctusPharma and started new R&D facility. In
March quarter, the company's income increased from Rs178.95 crore to Rs291.84 crore, while its
profit increased from Rs11.09 crore to Rs26.04 crore with achieving EPS of Rs12.88. In FY 2014,
the company's income increased from Rs679.80 crore to Rs11001.68 crore, while its profit increased from Rs30.18 crore to Rs81.01 crore with EPS of Rs40.06. The stock is likely to cross
Rs700.
Adani Ports (Rs. 287.00) (Code: 532921) :-The company has recently received
clearance from ministry of environment and forest leading to fancy in the stock. It is the largest
private port and SEZ company of India. In FY2014, the company's income increased from Rs3576.63
crore to Rs4823.99 crore, while its profit increased from Rs1623.22 crore to Rs1739.64 crore. It
has transferred Abot Port to another group company, decreasing the company's debt. The
company's Mundra Port is witnessing strong operation and volume is increasing drastically. As
against equity of Rs414.01 crore, the company has reserves of Rs8351.28 crore. Mundra Port has
completed handling of 100 MMT cargo in last year. The Modi government is looking forward to
develop new ports through public private partnership model and Adani is believed to be the front
runner in this sector. The stock is making higher top higher bottom formation. The stock is all set
to cross Rs325 level.
SMART
INVESTMENT
Chart Buster
By Talaksi Gosar
(Mumbai)
SMART
INVESTMENT
Reserve Bank of India, in keeping in line with the policy announcements by the finance minister
Arun Jaitley in his union budget, has already come out with easy money at lower interest rates for
infra-projects.
The long-term investors have, by now, started receiving income by way of dividends for the
year ended March, 2014, and are looking forward to receiving interim dividends as many companies do pay such interim dividends every quarter. Thus, the stock markets are most likely to
perform bullish in the days and the weeks to come and the BSE Sensex, which at its close of
25641, for the week, being only a few hundred points away from life-time peak of 26190, may
zoom past the same well ahead of the fast approaching festival season. Thus the markets have
now become more prone to discount good news and rise further, and therefore, may become
more rewarding to those who would invest courageously in growth oriented and well managed
companies.
APCOTEX IND-Mon .31/03/00-18/07/14 B-523694
TREND
SMART
INVESTMENT
started rising and reached a high of Rs 657.90 before closing at Rs 648.96 as on Friday of the last
week. Thus it has indicated a fresh upward move that might take it further up in near future. The
share is therefore suggested to be picked up for short to medium-term investing.
Hitachi Home Appliances :- Hitachi
ST.BANK BIKA-Dly .05/02/14-18/07/14 B-501061
TREND
Price E M A(15) E M A(30) E M A(60)
Home Appliances Comapany, as evident
F 18/07/14
from its name, is a very well-known Japa660.00
O 614.00
650
nese company that manufactures Hitachi
H 657.90
L 609.00
brand home appliances that enjoy high cus600
C 646.95
tomer preferences. The share of this comV 45839
550
V 290.39
pany had plunged to a low of Rs 25.65 in
E 593.27
520.00
E 564.82
March-April, 2009, when the markets entered
500
E 512.45
a fresh wave of buoyancy after a massive
450
drop from unprecedented high level of prices
400
in early 2008. After having bottomed out at
Rs 25.65, the share swiftly jumped upto a
350
high of Rs 402.00 and then corrected upto a
300
low of Rs 93.30 in fag-end of the year 2011.
281.90
250
14 M
A
M
J
J
Thereafter, the share formed two more and
successively higher bottoms at Rs 98.00 and
Rs 99.35, respectively and thus a tripple bottom pattern was formed which ultimately helped itto
jump up in the last three months when the market conditions also turned supportive. The share in
the last week scaled to a high of Rs 364.90 before closing at Rs 359.20 at which level it still is a
good buy as it is headed upwards in line with the general uptrend in the markets.
BUY.... BUY....BUY
Co. Name
J. B. Chemicals
Prism Cement
Ashoka Build.
Noida toll
Greaves Cotton
Jenburkt Ph.
L & T Fin.
Crompton Gr.
Federal Bank
Control Print
KNR Const.
Adani Ports
Code
506943
500338
533271
532481
501455
524731
533519
500093
500469
522295
532942
532921
Price
162.00
73.00
152.00
32.00
117.00
187.00
74.00
210.00
126.00
118.00
218.00
287.00
Co. Name
Indian Hume
Garware Wall
Sadbhav Engg.
Lypsa Gems
Everest Ind.
Tech Mah.
Persistent Sys.
Gruh Fin.
Dredging corp.
Wipro
Bajaj Fin.
TTK Prestige
Code
504741
509557
532710
534532
508906
532755
533179
511288
523618
507685
500034
517506
Price
245.00
117.00
221.00
172.00
237.00
2121.00
1331.00
218.00
478.00
547.00
2188.00
3589.00
SMART
INVESTMENT
Stock Wave
10
www.chartsanketstock.com
Nifty Future (7669.35) :- Having coming down to 7445, it is moving up. It shows neutral
position on daily basis, overbought to neutral position on weekly basis and overbought position on
monthly basis. On upward movement, beyond 7705 it may go up to 7730, 7775 with resisting level
at 7818. On downward movement, below 7655 it may go down to 7635 and 7615 level shows
weak market.
Bank Nifty Future (15415.80) :- It has spurt from bottom of 14405.30. It shows neutral
position on daily basis, overbought to neutral position on weekly basis and overbought position on
monthly basis. On upward movement, beyond 15500, it may go up to 15590, 15670, 15750 and
15830. On downward movement, below 15360 it may go down to 15250, 15110 and further downward movement shows weak market.
Tata Steel (563.00)
Reliance Ind (976.75) :- From top of 1145.85, the stock prices are coming down. It shows
oversold position on monthly and weekly basis, while overbought to neutral position on monthly
basis. On downward movement, below 965 it may get panic support at 952. On upward movement, beyond 998 it may go up to 1010 with important resisting level at 1020 to 1037.
Grasim (3337.10) :- It has spurt after reaching to 3155. It shows neutral position on daily
basis, while toward oversold on weekly and toward overbought on monthly basis. On downward
movement, below 3330 it may get support at 3255. On upward movement, beyond 3415 it may go
up to 3490, 3570 and 3630.
SMART
INVESTMENT
11
Best Buy
Dilip Davda
e-mail
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com
Experts Eye
Albert David,
Lakshmi Vilas Bank,
Vakrangee Software
Ex-Bonus
Shrenuj & Co (1 for 1)
Kavita Fabrics (2 for 1).
Dividends announced
Bharti Infratel (45%),
RS Soft (10%), TCS
(500% + 4000%),
CRISIL (300%), Clariant
Chem (390%), DHP India (15%), Supreme
Petro (15%)
Lakshmi Vilas Bank
announced rights in the
ratio of 5 shares for
every 6 shares held at a
price of Rs. 50 P/share
SMART
INVESTMENT
12
and Power sector. Consumer Durables and Healthcare counters too witnessed informed buying.
FII turned aggressive buyers with over Rs. 1912 crore net buy in cash.
Tracking weak Asian clues, our markets opened flat but in red on Friday, after range bound
movement, indices finally closed in green with marginal gains. BSE Sensex gained 80.40 points to
close at 25641.56 and NSE Nifty scored 23.45 points to end the day at 7663.90. Better than
expected results from TCS boosted sentiments for IT counters that lead the rally. It got support
from Teck, Banking and Capital Goods counters. Profit booking on Power, Realty and Metal kept
the rising under check. RBI announcing guidelines for NBFCs for banking license boosted sentiment for counters like Manappuram Finance, Muthoot Finance, Reliance Cap etc. Kavita Fabrics
turned ex-bonus (2 for 1).
The following week after the budget week posted gaining momentum. BSE Sensex and NSE
Nifty marked net weekly rise of 617.21 and 204.30 points respectively.
By the week end, Rupee eased to Rs. 60.30 a dollar and Crude firmed up after cooling down as
Ukrain issue again raised concern. Now that Q1 number season will be at its peak, market is
posed for a stock specific mode for a while. Global cues will keep its tab on the general sentiment
as usual. Under the given circumstances, S&P BSE Sensex may move between 24000-26350
and NSE Nifty in the range of 7250-7800.
Indian Info has convened bonus meet on 21.07.14. Llypsa Gems has called board meeting on
11.08.14 to consider bonus issue.
Scrip Watch :- The following scrip are worth adding for medium to long term rewards.
Albert David (BSE Code: 524075) :- This pharma company has posted net
profit of Rs. 12.57 crore on a turnover of Rs. 291.48 crore for the fiscal 2013-14 against net profit
of Rs. 8.56 crore on a turnover of Rs. 264.17 crore for corresponding previous period. Following
improved performance, it has hiked the dividend to 50%. As on 31.03.14 equity capital of Rs. 5.70
crore is supported by free reserves of Rs. 84 crore plus, making it a bonus candidate as well. Scrip
is worth accumulating at every decline. It quotes around Rs. 163.00 against 52 week High/Low of
Rs. 181/80, FV Rs. 10.
Lakshmi Vilas Bank (BSE Code: 534690) :- This south based sched-
uled bank has posted a net profit of Rs. 28.16 crore on a income of Rs. 587.12 crore for the first
quarter of current fiscal against net profit of Rs. 25.35 crore on a income of Rs. 532.45 crore for
corresponding previous year. The bank has announced liberal rights issue in the ratio of 5 shares
for every 6 shares at a fixed price of Rs. 50 per share that is scheduled for August 2014. As on
30.06.14 its equity capital of Rs. 97.56 crore is supported by free reserves of Rs. 905 crore plus.
Scrip is worth accumulating at every decline on cum right basis for medium to long term gains. It is
hovering around Rs. 107.80 against 52 week High/Low of Rs. 115/58, FV Rs.10.
SMART
INVESTMENT
13
Market Tips
Garware-Wall Ropes (Rs. 117.00) (Code : 509557) : Garware-Wall Ropes (GRWL)
provides customised solutions to the domestic and global cordage and infrastructure industry.
This pioneer company in the synthetic cordage industry in India is also the worlds largest producer of polymer cordages. Customers are spread across 75 countries. An extensive range of
polymers are used to provide application focused solutions for customers around the world in the
fishing, mooring, sports, habitat, infrastructure, geo-synthetics, agriculture, defence and transportation sectors. Of the total turnover, about 50-55% constitute exports, which are predominately
from the fishing, aquaculture and sports segments. The aim is to increase exports to about 65% of
turnover in the next couple of years. Sports is another segment with enormous potential for sport
nets in tennis, cricket, golf, soccer, hockey, basket ball, volleyball, badminton, ski, and beach
volleyball. GRWL has bout 25% market share in the US sports net market. This business is growing at much faster rate than other businesses. Garware is expected to register sales of Rs 797.68
crore and net profit of Rs 34.33 crore in FY 2015. EPS works out to 15.7. The share price trades
at Rs 104. P/E is 6.6. Buy.
TTK Prestige (Rs. 3859.00) (Code : 517506) : TTK Prestige Ltd shares gained a bit
last week after the June quarter earnings showed an improvement in net sales, especially in the
cookware segment, after two consecutive quarters of decline. Net sales grew 9.8% to Rs.344
crore on the back of strong volume growth as the company did not raise prices. The cookers and
cookware segment which contributes around 56% of the overall sales clocked revenue growth of
13% and 17%, respectively in the June quarter. A foreign brokerage has stated that TTKs Q1
June 2014 was a turning point and it is poised for a strong recovery in the second half (H2) of the
financial year ending March 2015. It added that ramping up of exports and launch of 40-45 new
stock keeping units (SKUs) in FY 2015 (estimate) will add to TTK's business.In the last three
months the stock rallied 15% on signs of a pick-up in the discretionary spending and hopes of
stabilization in the demand from the southern region.In the coming months, the management is
looking at raising prices to pass on the increase in aluminium prices. The stock is worth accumulating at every decline.
Kotak Mahindra Bank (Rs. 935.00) (Code : 500247)
SMART
INVESTMENT
14
scrip watch
Bajaj Finance (Rs. 2188.00) (Code : 500034) : Good growth in loans to both SMEs
and consumers helped Bajaj Finance post a net profit of Rs.211 crore during the quarter ended
June 30, 2014, against Rs.176 crore in the same period last year. This translates to a rise of 20
per cent year-on-year. Total income in the two quarters being compared was Rs.1,246 crore and
Rs.932 crore. During Q1 FY15, Bajaj Finance acquired 12.5 lakh customers against 9.7 lakh
customers in Q1, a growth of 29 per cent. Gross and net NPAs stood at 1.13 per cent and 0.27 per
cent, respectively, and the provisioning coverage ratio stood at 76 per cent at the end of June
2014. Bajaj Finance offers secured and unsecured loan. The company provides two-and-three
wheeler loan, consumer durable loan, personal loans, loan against property, small business loans,
construction equipment loan and loan against securities.The large-cap company has equity capital of Rs 50.14 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.
Hindalco (Rs. 184.00) (Code : 500440) : Hindalco Industries, an Aditya Birla Group
company, plans to raise Rs.5,000 crore through qualified institutional placement. The decision
was taken at the board meeting held on Friday. The fund raising would be through issuance of
securities, including equity shares or equity-linked securities, including through a QIP or issuance
of equity shares through convertible bonds or depository receipts. The company has called a
meeting of its members on August 14, to approve the fund raising plan.The company has completed all its greenfield projects, Aditya Aluminium, Mahan Aluminium and alumina refinery Utkal
Alumina. All these projects are ramping up their capacity utilisation and are expected to add to the
companys profitability.The total aluminium production would go up to 7.2 lakh tonnes from six
lakh tonnes, when all the three projects at Utkal, Mahan and Aditya Aluminium in Odisha ramp up
to their full capacity by the end of this fiscal. Mahan and Aditya Aluminium would produce 3.6 lakh
tonnes each a year, while Utkal Alumina in Odisha with a capacity of 10 lakh tonnes would feed
the key raw material to both these projects. Hindalco stock has seen sharp run up in last couple of
months. Still, valuations are very attractive even at this level. Buy.
Mphasis (Rs. 457.00) (Code : 526299) : Shares of Mphasis spiked as much as 8.3
percent intraday Tuesday after CNBC-TV18 reported quoting unnamed sources that Tech Mahindra
is eyeing promoter Hewlett Packard's 60.49 percent stake in the company. It is learnt that Mahindra
and Mahindra group company has initiated exploratory talks with respect to HP's Mphasis stake.
PE player Carlyle is also a likely contender for Mphasis, say sources. Tech Mahindra, HP and
Mphasis declined to comment on the issue. Earlier, on July 2, media report suggested that promoter company Hewlett-Packard (HP) hired UBS to manage stake sale in the company. HP is the
largest client of the company and contributes 40 percent of its revenues. The US-headquartered
technology major's stake in Mphasis is valued at more than Rs 5,500 crore at current market price.
For the year ended October 2013, the company had reported profit of Rs 743.80 crore on revenues of Rs 5,796.30 crore while for five months ended March 2014, its profit stood at Rs 302.68
crore on revenues of Rs 2593.83 crore. The stock has got momentum. Buy for short term.
SMART
INVESTMENT
15
SMART TIPS
Shakti Pumps (Rs. 207.00) (Code: 531431)
SMART
INVESTMENT
16
Financial Weekl
y
eekly
Every Wednesday
Gujarati Edition
SMART
INVESTMENT
17
NIKHIL BHATT
(+919979380808)
WWW.INVESTMENTPOINT.IN
If NIFTY crosses 7757 Level, again then the upper side target is quite high
and it may touch 7777 Level in short term...!!!
Golden Stocks for the Period of 21-7-2014 to 25-7-2014
1. Maruti (2517) : It is suggested to buy @ Rs 2503 with SL of Rs 2488 for the target of Rs
2547 - 2560; below Rs2488 it can fall up to RS 2473 - 2460 levels. If it crosses Rs 2560 level than
expect nonstop rally up to Rs 2575...!!
2. BINNY (164) : Operator based Game start in this stock, Buy @ Rs 157 With SL of Rs 151
for the target of Rs 177 - 191 level below Rs 151 it can show further downfall up to Rs 141!!!
3. Ledo Tea (92) : Buy delivery of this stock near @ Rs 86 with SL of Rs 81 for the target
of Rs 106 - 114 level. It is very good for medium term position also!!!
4. Bajaj Steel (229) : This stock is looking very good to buy @ Rs 213 with SL of Rs 203
for the target of Rs 239 - 242 Levels below Rs 203 is stock shall witness free fall!!!
5. INDIAN Terrin (196) : Buy @ Rs 191 levels considering minor support of Rs 186 and
stop loss of Rs 181 for an upper target of Rs 209 - 213 levels. Below Rs 181 it can slip up to RS
176 - 171 levels!!!
6. REL Infra (764) : Operator based buying has been there in this stock. Buy @ Rs 747
with SL of Rs 729 for the target of Rs 783 - 793 levels it is very good for long term position also!!!
7. Elder Pharma (201) : Trading point of view BUY @ Rs 193 With SL of Rs 186 for the
target of Rs 219 - 224 level below Rs 186 It can show further downfall up to Rs 176..!!!
8. INANI Marbles (153) : For medium term buying is suggested @ Rs 144 with SL of Rs
139 for the target of Rs 162 - 171 level. Below Rs 139 it can show further downfall!!!
SMART
INVESTMENT
Investment Ideas
18
Jaipur Based PPL is engaged in production of MasterBatches which are used for coloring effect
by Textile industry and Plastic industry. PPL is consistent track-record and promoters have never
resorted to any excuses (global slowdown etc). Management appears cost-effective and focussed.
Even during slowdown and bad times, PPL continued to report normal profits. PPL has installed
capacity of 12000 tonnes and plant is running at full capacity.
Company has equity of Rs.10.61crore while it has huge reserve of around Rs.71.23crore. It has
a share book value of Rs.79.77. It has reported strong number in Q1FY15, wherein PAT zoomed
34.12% to Rs.3.97crore against profit of Rs.2.96crore in FY13. Scrip is available at just 6xFY15
EPS. It is regular dividend paying company & It has declares 22.5% dividend for FY14. Investors
can buy this stock with stop loss of Rs.85. On the upper side stock will zoom up to Rs.125 levels
in medium term while zoomed to Rs.160 levels in long term.
SMART
INVESTMENT
19
www.rupeegains.com
SMART
INVESTMENT
Primary Market
20
Dilip K. Shah
The government is setting stage for disinvestment of Sail, ONGC, REC, PFC and NHPC
Disinvestment process may start with ONGC's $3bn issue
This week one SME and three NCDs issues are in the market
KOSAMATTAM FINANCE LIMITED (CREDIT RATING : CARE BBB [Triple B Minus] by CARE)
Options
Frequency
Coupon (%)
Per Annum
Senior Citizen
Remedption Amt.
Senior Citizen
Effective Yield (%)
Senior Citizen (%)
I
Monthly
II
Cumulative
III
Monthly
IV
Cumulative
V
Monthly
11.50
12.00
1000
1000
12.13
12.68
--1132.24
1137.78
12.00
12.50
12.00
12.50
1000
1000
12.68
13.24
--1193.24
1201.21
12.50
13.00
12.50
13.00
1000
1000
13.24
13.80
VI
VII
Cumulative Cumulative
--1442.90
1462.14
13.00
13.50
--2000
2000
12.62
12.62
Issue Open
Issue Close
Bond size
(Rs. Cr.)
Offer price
(Rs.)
Min.
App.
Listing
Rating
Muthoot
Fin Corp.
3-7-2014
1,000/-
10 NCDs
NSE
A/Negative
4-8-2014
(Rs.10,000)
BSE
by CRISIL
Muthoottu
Mini
Financiers
Kosamattam
Finance
11-7-2014
10 NCDs
NSE
BB+
(Rs.10,000)
BSE
(Double B Plus)
Recomm.
AVOID
2.
3.
5-8-2014
1,000/-
18-7-2014
12-8-2014
RISKY
by IND - RA
1,000/-
10 NCDs
(Rs.10,000)
BSE
BBB- by CARE
AVOID
SMART
INVESTMENT
21
Date : 18-7-2014
Issue Size = 1000000 (100%)
BSE + NSE Quantity
= 97190 (9.72 %)
18-7-2014
Category
Qty.
Series1
2,01,339
Series2
2,68,894
Series3
2,44,079
Series4
31,512
Series5
1,28,846
Series6
2,13,750
Total
10,88,420
Date : 18-7-2014
Issue Size = 1250000 (100%)
BSE + NSE Quantity
= 1088420 (87.07 %)
Category
Qty.
Series1
2,34,442
Series10
2,725
Series2
4,36,791
Series3
2,811
Series4
5,70,231
Series5
4,43,347
Series6
3,060
Series7
68,217
Series8
32,876
Series9
79,678
Total
18,74,178
Date : 18-7-2014
Issue Size = 10,00,000 (100%)
BSE + NSE Quantity
= 1874178 (187.42%)
Muthoot Fincorp.
Subscription Figure
18-7-2014
Category
Qty.
Series1
3,110
Series2
12,571
Series3
17,495
Series4
24,122
Series5
20,721
Series6
11,591
Series7
7,580
Total
97,190
Muthoottu Mini
Fin. Subscribed
Kosamattam
Finance Limited
Kosmattam Fin. :- One more company from Kerala is coming up with NDCs issue. It is reentering into the market. It has offered attractive coupon rates in Rs150 crore issue. However,
poor rating from CARE and huge debt are negative aspects of this issue. The company's debt is
seven times compared to its networth, so it is dangerous issue. More details are given in a sepa-
SMART
INVESTMENT
22
rate box. The issue got 9.72% subscription on opening date of July 18. It has obtain permission to
retain Rs150 crore in issue of Rs100 crore.
Muthoot Fin. Corp :- In the issue that opened on July 3, the company has got approvals for
retaining Rs200 crore in Rs100 crore issue. The issue has got 187% subscription till now and it
Issue Size
(Rs. in Cr.) (E)
Lavasa Corporation
750
INOX Wind
700
Adlabs Entertainment
500
Great Eastern Energy
300
Jyoti CNC
240
Intas Pharma
225
Advanced Enzyme Tech
200
Snowman Logistics
150
Shemaroo Enter.
120
Sharda Cropchem
022
Issue Size
(Rs. in Cr.) (E)
Hindustan Clean Energy
5900
Viom Networks
2000
GMR Energy
1450
BSE
1000
ORTEL Communication
1000
Devyani International
750
Bharat Business Chennal 7000
Central Depositery Ser.
700
BSCPL Infra
650
Amalgamated bean Coffee 600
Bhanderi Infracon SME IPO Opens on 22nd July & Closes on 25th July 2014
Offer price fixed at Rs. 120 ; Listing on BSE SME Platform
This IPO is exorbitantly price just avoid this costly issue
Time and again, SME IPO only breaks the ice post budget. This week we have SME listing
IPO from Bhanderi Infracon Ltd. Details of the issue are as under:
Bhanderi Infracon Limited is a Real Estate Development Company, engaged in buying, selling, development, re-development of properties, investments in joint ventures, investment in
partnerships, investment in completed / partially completed / upcoming projects etc. Currently,
the company is engaged in development of Residential Flats and Bungalows under Partnership
firms, namely: Tulsi Enterprises and Dharnidhar Developers respectively.
To raise its working capital requirements and general corpus fund, the company is coming out
with an issue of 540000 equity share of Rs. 10 each at a price of Rs. 120 per share to raise Rs.
6.48 crore. Issue opens for subscription on 22.07.14 and will close on 25.07.14. Minimum application is to be made for 1200 shares and in multiples thereof, thereon. Issue is lead managed by
Choice Capital Advisors Pvt. Ltd and Purva Sharegistry (India) Pvt Ltd is the registrar to the
issue. Post allotment shares will be listed on BSE SME.
On company's performance front, it has posted an average EPS of Rs. 0.51 for last three
fiscal. For 10 months ended on 31.01.14 it has earned net profit of Rs. Rs. 0.13 crore on a
turnover of Rs. 1.06 crore. If we attribute this earnings on expanded equity of Rs. 2.02 crore post
IPO than it gives EPS of Rs. 0.79 giving P/E of 151 plus and based on its book value of Rs. 42 on
the said date, it is at a P/BV of around 3. Thus issue is exorbitantly priced. In March 2013, the
company issued bonus shares in the ratio of 104 for 1. In September 2013, it made preferential
issued of 389100 shares at a price of Rs. 125 per share to promoters that helped it to post book
value of Rs. 42.
On merchant banker's front, this is the third mandate of SME IPO from Choice Capital and has
poor track record for earlier two issues.
SMART
INVESTMENT
23
tion.
PSU Disinvestment :Sail :- The government plans to raise Rs1800 crore through disinvesting its stake in SAIL.
Roadshows will be organised in USA, Europe, UK, Singapore and Hong Kong in the last week of
July.
Coal (India) :- The government aims to raise Rs23000 crore through selling 10% stake. The
government will also divest NHPC's 10.96% and PFC's 5% stake in the company.
ONGC :- The government plans to divest 5% stake of ONGC to raise $3bn in September. The
government may kick off disinvestment process with ONGC rather than Sail. The government is
mulling an option of selling 42.77 crore shares (5% stake) at current market rate to raise Rs17400
crore. However, the company is not very keen on this because lower valuation taking into consideration issues regarding partnership of subsidiaries, uncertainty of gas prices and other issues.
ONGC needs to share subsidy burden in diesel, cooking gas and kerosene. The company had
paid Rs563384 crore for the same in 2013-14. Moreover, the company receives gas at rate of
Rs54.2. It has proposed the government to increase the rate but it has been put on back burner.
Moreover, decision on changing pattern of subsidy partnership pattern has also been postponed.
Main Line IPO:Lodha Developers :- Mumbai-based Lodha Developers is building world tallest residential
tower with 113 storey. It plans to come up with $100 billion means Rs6000 crore IPO.
Indigo :- The low cost airlines Indigo has appointed seven banks for $40 crore (Rs2400 crore)
IPO. The company's market cap is around $2 bn and it aims to sell around 25% stake. It accounts
for 31.7% stake in aviation market. Interestingly, it is the only aviation company which is making
profit.
SMART
INVESTMENT
24
S. N. Zaveri
: Control Print India (CPIL) manufactures noncontact type coding and marking machines based on drop-on-demand inkjet printing technology
and contact-type versatile electro-pneumatic imprinting machines in technical collaboration with
Avery Dennison, US, a Fortune-500 company. The coding and marking machines are used in
printing variable information like date of manufacture, batch number, maximum retail price, and
expiry date on packaged goods from consumer goods industries such as food, dairy and soft
drinks and industrial products including cables, pharmaceuticals, and fertilisers. CPILs sales and
profitability have been growing consistently in the past five years. While sales have increased at a
CAGR of 15% to Rs 91.06 crore in FY 2014 from Rs 46.07 crore in FY 2010, PAT was up to Rs
14.20 crore from Rs 2.03 crore. This was in spite of the Indian and global economy going through
many upheavals in this period. The company is expected to register sales of Rs 108.76 crore and
net profit of Rs 17.05 crore in FY 2015. EPS works out to Rs 16.4. The share price trades at Rs
103. P/E is to 6.3.Buy.
HCL Technologies (Rs. 1499.00) (Code : 532281) : As TCS has reported much
better than expected Q1 results last week, IT stocks are in limelight. HCL Technologies is one of
the best pick in this sector. HCLT's growth commentary continues to be optimistic led by healthy
deal signings, a large number of deals that are up for renewal in CY14, coupled with HCLT's
superior win rate in the rebid market. HCLT continues to see demand uptick in the US, Europe and
infrastructure management services (IMS). Noticeably, 38 percent of incremental revenues in
FY08-13 were contributed by IMS as its contribution as a percentage of revenues rose 14 percentage points (pp) during the same period. HCLT reported another in-line quarter helped by IMS
practice while commentary suggests demand uptick in both traditional ADM & IMS space A case
for re-rating exists as HCLT's current one-year forward PE represents modest 15 percent premium relative to its five-year (FY08-13) average (12x), despite delivering 29.1 percent earnings
SMART
INVESTMENT
25
SMART
INVESTMENT
26
SMART
INVESTMENT
27
Adani Ports (Rs. 287.00) (Code: 532921) :- This Adani group company has received the environmental nod for its 8,481 hectare SEZ in Mundra. Adani Ports & SEZ is the only
port-based SEZ in the country. Following the approval, APSEZ will be able to establish a mega
desalination plant and effluent treatment plant and use sea water.
DLF (Rs. 221.00) (Code: 532868) :- The country's largest real estate company plans
to raise Rs. 4,000 crores by issuing securities against its rented offices. The funds will be used to
reduce its debt levels, which will have positive impact on the stock.
Piramal Glass (Rs. 138.00) (Code: 532949) :- The company is delisting its shares
from the stock exchanges at more than Rs. 140. Traders are treading cautiously on the stock as
July 21 is the last day for trading.
Dredging Corporation (Rs. 478.00) (Code: 523618) :- The stock has consolidated in the range of Rs. 440 to Rs. 465 from some time. The stock has strong support at Rs. 450.
According to a noted chartist in Mumbai, the stock can be acquired with a stop-loss of Rs. 450 with
a target of Rs. 525.
Kolte-Patil (Rs. 163.00) (Code: 532924)
:- This tea sector company is also engaged in sugar business. It, however, plans to exit the sugar business, which will have positive
impact on its balance-sheet. The stock is available at attractive valuations as compared to Mclleod
Russell and will be in focus in the coming days.
Wipro (Rs. 547.00) (Code: 507685) :- The company has entered into a strategic tie-
SMART
INVESTMENT
28
up with Atco, which is based in Alberta, Canada. The partnership will allow the company to offer
total outsourcing solutions in Canada and Australia. The move will have positive effect on the
stock.
Glenmark Pharma (Rs. 567.00) (Code: 532296) :- To tap the North American
markets, the company plans to invest Rs. 500 crores to set up its first plant in US. The company
will be seen touching new highs in the coming days.
NBCC (Rs. 454.00) (Code: 534309) :- The shares of this PSU have been on the rise
from some time. The company recently announced a joint venture with Rajasthan government,
which is adding current to it.
Marico Kaya Enterprise (Rs. 319.00) (Code: 538503) :- The shares of this Marico
Group company has been on the move after its recent listing. Reports show that Morgan Stanley
has purchased 75,156 shares in the company at an average price of Rs. 312.35, which is adding
fancy to the stock.
Financial Weekly
Every Sunday
ELuMx{uLx
Every Wednesday
SMART
INVESTMENT
Outlook on Rupee
This has been an eventful week for the rupee as domestic and global factors led the currency play between gains and losses. The week
started with Indias inflation numbers. India's WPI for June came at
four month low of 5.43%.
However, currency depreciated post the release as investors expect the inflation to increase in the coming month led by less rainfall in
June and hence higher food inflation which is one of the major components of WPI.
29
GLOBAL FX AUTHORITY
Himesh Shah
Asst. Vice President
(India Forex Advisors Pvt. Ltd.)
Later during the week, Rupee was seen falling after Federal Reserve's chairwoman Janet Yellen's
communiqu in which she was seen proclaiming that upbeat data from US on a consistent basis
may see Federal Reserve raising the interest rates sooner than anticipated.
On the last trading session, rupee was seen approaching the levels of 60.50 amid geopolitical
tensions as Malaysian plane was shot down in Ukraine. This led the investors to shift to safe
haven assets leading to gains in the US dollar.
Technically, USDINR pair has been moving in the range of 59.50-60.50. Going ahead, any
sustained break above 60.50 will lead to bullish trend in the pair.
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smartinvest25@yahoo.in / smartinvest25@gmail.com / info@smartinvestment.in
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Disclaimer :- Investment recommendations made in Smart Investment are for information
purposes only and derived from source that are deemed to be reliable but their accuracy and
completeness are not guaranteed. Smart Investment or the analyst / writer do not accept any
liability for the use of this column for the buying or selling of securities. Readers of this column
who buy or sell securities based on the information in this column are soley responsible for their
actions. The author, his company or his acquaintance may / may not have positions in the scrips
featured herein
SMART
INVESTMENT
Commodity Corner
30
SMART
INVESTMENT
Astromoneyguru says
31
Lt Col Ajay
09414056705, 9887056704
SMART
INVESTMENT
32
Senior Astrologer
Dharmesh Joshi
Mob. : 9909941816
E-mail :
stockmarket@ganeshaspeaks.com
The Moon is posited in exalted Taurus. " Saturn-Mars, SunJupiter, Mercury-Venus are in conjunction. The market will be closed on 29th July 2014 due to
Ramzan Idd. Friends, if you refer to the monthly graph file of 21st, 22nd, and 23rd July 2014, you
shall come to know about Ganesha's predictions.
22-07-2014 Tuesday :- " Despite Moon being in good constellation, today is a day of high
unpredictability. " If you don't have the capability of delivery, don't deal today, advises Ganesha.
Today, you may feel that time is being wasted. You shall find it extremely difficult to distinguish
between what's right and what's wrong, and so today you need to be very cautious.
23-07-2014 Wednesday :-
" Ganesha observes quite a boring day today. " You may
continually do jobbing today, and get tired, and then you might gain some money." Though Moon
is in Mars constellation today, you might not be able to see its effect. " When European market
opens up, at that time it shall have an impact on Indian market, and Nifty shall witness Hammering, Ganesha feels. " Last 2 hours at Nifty is time pass. So, if you work on smaller margins, you
might gain a bit, and the remaining may go for the brokerage fees.
24-07-2014 Thursday :- " Today, Moon, Mercury and Venus are conjunct, so Astrologically Nifty might bounce in all likelihood. "Opening to 10.00, Nifty shall remain around the surface
or might go below the surface. " From 10.00 to 13.00, Nifty shall witness positive moment. At
around 11.00, a small correction might come in. " From 13.00 till Closing bell, Nifty might alter
trend every 30 minutes, so accordingly reshuffle your position.
25-07-2014 Friday :-
SMART
INVESTMENT
33
Reccom.
14/7/14
Mon.
Petronet
178.5
Ranbaxy
537
Fedders Lloyd
73
Elder Health
81
Ramco Ind.
64
Roto Pumps
328
Alembic Ph.
308
Finolex Cable
197
TCS
2350
Arvind Ltd.
203.1
IRB Infra
243
ISGEC Heavy
2006
Rallis India
210
Atul
1018
TIL Ltd.
410
PVR
625
FAG Bearing
2620
Bharat Forge
629
Cox & King
230
JBF Ind.
131
Jain Irrigation
102
R. S. Software
364
CMP
18/7/14
Friday
185
554
84
83
69
416
345
210
2486
235
268
2300
226
1081
445
669
2825
732
266
142
109
401
3.6
3.2
15.1
2.5
7.8
26.8
12
6.6
5.8
15.7
10.3
14.7
7.6
6.2
8.5
7
7.8
16.4
15.7
8.4
6.9
10.2
Company
Reccom.
CMP
14/7/14 18/7/14
Mon.
Friday
Polarish
216
236
J. K. Tyre
269
315
DCB
75
83
IDEA
134
140
IDFC Limited
148
165
Tata Motors
445
477
L&T
1574
1694
Gruh Fin.
200
222
Astra Micro
129
146
Deepak Fert.
161
184
Future Retail
121
133
Liberty Shoes
276
318
Capline Point
264
308
Plasti Blends
179
204
Apcotex
166
183
IFGL Refractories148.5
158
Jindal Poly Films 226
246
M. T. Educare
115
130
Sangam India
60
78
APTECH
87
92
NCC
70
75
HCL Info
58
77
9.3
17.1
10.7
4.5
11.5
7.2
7.6
11
13.2
14.3
9.9
15.2
16.7
14
10.2
6.4
8.8
13
30
5.7
7.1
32.8
2 Year
3 Year
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1200
2100
2900
2.
English
750
1300
2000
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2 Year
3 Year
1.
Gujarati
1100
1800
2400
2.
English
700
1200
1700
1.
Smart Plus
1 Year
2 Year
3 Year
1000
1700
2400
2 Year
3 Year
1.
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1900
3200
4400
2.
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1500
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3500