Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Disclaimer
All information provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security mentioned.
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.P. (Pershing Square) believes this presentation contains a balanced presentation of the performance of the
portfolios it manages, including a general summary of certain portfolio holdings that have both over and under performed our expectations.
This presentation contains information and analyses relating to some of the Pershing Square funds positions. Pershing Square may currently or in the
future buy, sell, cover or otherwise change the form of its investment in the companies discussed in this presentation for any reason. Pershing Square
hereby disclaims any duty to provide any updates or changes to the information contained here including, without limitation, the manner or type of any
Pershing Square investment.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal. It should not be assumed that
any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed herein were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions
we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein. Specific companies or securities
shown in this presentation are meant to demonstrate Pershing Squares active investment style and the types of industries and instruments in which we
invest and are not selected based on past performance.
The analyses and conclusions of Pershing Square contained in this presentation are based on publicly available information. Pershing Square recognizes
that there may be confidential or otherwise non-public information in the possession of the companies discussed in the presentation that could lead these
companies to disagree with Pershing Squares conclusions.
The analyses provided include certain statements, assumptions, estimates and projections prepared with respect to, among other things, the historical
and anticipated operating performance of the companies. Such statements, assumptions, estimates, and projections reflect various assumptions by
Pershing Square concerning anticipated results that are inherently subject to significant economic, competitive, and other uncertainties and contingencies
and have been included solely for illustrative purposes. No representations, express or implied, are made as to the accuracy or completeness of such
statements, assumptions, estimates or projections or with respect to any other materials herein.
All trademarks included in this presentation are the property of their respective owners.
In addition, this presentation includes forward-looking statements with respect to future events and financial performance, which are subject to various
risks and uncertainties. There are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these
statements. Neither Pershing Square, nor any entity managed by Pershing Square or any of its affiliates undertake to update or review any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
This document may not be distributed without the express written consent of Pershing Square and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of
an offer to purchase any security or investment product. This presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by reference to PSHs prospectus which
includes discussions of certain specific risk factors, tax considerations, fees and other matters, and its other governing documents. SEE ADDITIONAL
DISCLAIMERS AND NOTES TO PERFORMANCE RESULTS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION FOR ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT INFORMATION.
PSH Update
Team
Q&A
3.5%
S&P 500
0.9%
5.9%
2.5%
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal. Please see the additional
disclaimers and notes to performance results at the end of this presentation.
4
700.00%
650.00%
600.00%
550.00%
500.00%
450.00%
400.00%
350.00%
300.00%
250.00%
200.00%
150.00%
100.00%
50.00%
0.00%
-50.00%
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve the possibility of profit and the risk of loss, including the loss of principal. Please see the additional
disclaimers and notes to performance results at the end of this presentation.
5
Winners
PSH
Losers
Allergan Inc
Howard Hughes Corp
Zoetis Inc
Air Products & Chemicals Inc
Platform Specialty Products
5 Other Positions
3.9%
1.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.6%
0.8%
(1.8%)
(1.4%)
(0.4%)
Total
(3.6%)
Total
8.2%
PSH
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the loss of principal. Each position detracting 50 basis points or more from returns when rounded to
the nearest tenth is shown separately. Positions detracting less than 50 basis points are aggregated. Please see the additional disclaimers and notes to performance results at the end of this
presentation.
6
Short
2004
61.6%
(5.9%)
2005
53.7%
(1.6%)
2006
36.9%
(6.9%)
2007
(5.6%)
34.9%
2008
(23.2%)
11.6%
2009
60.5%
(11.4%)
2010
43.8%
(4.7%)
2011
2.5%
(2.1%)
2012
16.9%
1.1%
2013
25.8%
(12.0%)
2014
42.4%
5.8%
7.8%
(3.2%)
Q1 2015
This report reflects total long and short attributions with respect to the portfolio of Pershing Square, L.P. (PS LP), the Pershing Square Fund with the longest track record. 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015 short
attribution figures include our position in HKD call options. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments involve risk, including the loss of principal. Please see the additional
disclaimers and notes to performance results at the end of this presentation.
7
4/1/2015 AUM
Pershing Square, L.P.
$5,498
$5,994
$6,835
$130
$567
$18,458
$19,025
*Pershing Square L.P., Pershing Square International, Ltd. and Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd.
have investments totaling $300m, $194m, and $95m, respectively, in PS V, L.P. or PS V
International, Ltd., co-investment vehicles formed to invest in the securities of (or otherwise seek
to be exposed to the value of securities issued by) Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (together
PSV or Pershing Square V Funds), as of April 1, 2015. These amounts are not represented in
the PSV Funds AUM shown above but are reflected in the AUM of each of the relevant core fund,
and only once in total firm AUM.
8
Allergan Inc.
At investment inception, ~$37bn market cap specialty
pharmaceutical company
Leader in aesthetics, dermatology, and ophthalmology
In February 2014, Pershing Square formed JV with
Valeant to assist in Allergan merger
Between February 25th and April 21st, Pershing Square
acquired stock and options representing 9.7% of
Allergan at an average cost of $128/share
On April 22nd, Valeant and Pershing Square announced
an unsolicited offer to acquire Allergan for $161 per
share, a 38% premium to Allergans unaffected stock
price
On March 17th, Allergan merged with Actavis for $242 per
share in cash and stock representing a 88% premium to
Pershing Squares cost basis
11
$240
$220
Stock price
$200
$180
2/25/14: Pershing
Square purchases first
Allergan shares at ~$125
per share
$160
$140
$120
$242
Average cost
$128.14
$100
Note: The performance of AGNs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. Average cost of shares purchased by Pershing Square may exceed the initial share prices noted herein.
*The performance of AGNs stock price does not reflect Pershing Squares hedges or Valeants profit share which would give a lower effective closing price.
Source: Bloomberg.
12
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
At investment inception, ~$54bn market cap
specialty pharmaceutical company
Value-destroying acquisitions
15
Durable products/brands
Strong organic growth
Culture of cost discipline and operational excellence
16
4,500%
2/22/15: Announced
initial agreement to
acquire Salix
for $14.5bn
4,000%
5/27/13:
Announced
acquisition of
Bausch & Lomb
for $8.7bn
3,500%
3,000%
2,500%
2,000%
1,500%
1,000%
500%
2/1/08: Mike
Pearson
appointed CEO;
Valeant share
0%
Feb-08
Feb-09
6/20/10:
Announced
merger with
Biovail
9/3/12: Announced
acquisition of
Medicis for $2.6bn
4,177%
3/16/15: Announced
revised agreement
to acquire Salix
for $15.8bn
2/9/15: Pershing Square purchases first
Valeant shares at ~$161 per share
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Feb-13
Feb-14
Feb-15
Note: Chart shows the total shareholder return with the initial share price indexed to 100% for an investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, the entity that merged into Biovail
Corporation on September 28, 2010. Subsequent to this transaction, Biovail Corporation changed its name to Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. Chart assumes that the special dividend
of $16.77 paid to legacy Valeant shareholders at closing of the merger and the special dividend of $1.00 paid to new Valeant shareholders on December 22, 2010 were both immediately
reinvested in new Valeant (fka Biovail) common stock.
17
Allergan partnership
We bought our first shares at ~$161 share on
February 9th, 2015
Today, we own 5.7% of Valeant, at an average cost of ~$196
18
$210
~$207
Stock price
$200
Average cost
$196.67
$190
$180
$170
$160
$150
$140
Note: The performance of Valeants share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of future returns of the Pershing Square funds.
19
Source: Bloomberg.
Canadian Pacific
260
240
220
200
$240
10/24/13: Pershing
Square sale of 6
million shares
180
160
140
12/4/12: CP Analyst
Day details mid-30s
margin target by 16
4/28/14: Pershing
Square sale of 3
million shares
120
100
10/28/11: Pershing
Square 13D Filed
Average cost
$56.25
60
40
Sep
2011
80
Dec
2011
Mar
2012
Jun
2012
Sep
2012
Dec
2012
Mar
2013
Jun
2013
Sep
2013
Dec
2013
Mar
2014
Note: The performance of CPs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of future returns of the Pershing Square funds.
Source: Bloomberg.
23
Jun
2014
Sep
2014
Dec
2014
Mar
2015
opportunity
Source: Bloomberg.
26
5) Align rewards
27
150
Share price
140
130
1/29/15: APD
announces FY Q1
results; EPS up 16%
120
110
$151
7/25/13: APD
adopts Poison
Pill
7/31/13: Pershing
Square 13D Filed
Jul 2013
Sep 2013
Nov 2013
Average cost
$98.91
100
90
May 2013
10/30/14: APD
announces record FY
Q4 results
Jan 2014
Mar 2014
May 2014
Jul 2014
Sep 2014
Note: The performance of APDs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of future returns of the Pershing Square funds.
Source: Bloomberg.
28
Nov 2014
Jan 2015
Mar 2015
Zoetis Inc.
$4.8bn 2014 revenue, largest manufacturer of medication
for pets and livestock in the world
~$23bn equity market capitalization
30
Zoetis Engagement
Early Engagement
Pershing Square publically announces 8.6% stake in Zoetis on November 11th,
2014
Shortly after announcing our position, we met with Zoetis management to learn
more about their business and to present our analysis of the company
We also engaged the Zoetis board to negotiate a framework for Pershing
Squares ongoing involvement at the company
member and healthcare industry veteran Bill Doyle to the Zoetis board
Additionally, on April 13th, Zoetis and Pershing Square agreed to name Actavis
Square, improving our ability to help the company create value for all shareholders
31
Stock price
7/22/14: Pershing
Square purchases first
Zoetis shares at ~$33
per share
~$47
Average cost
$37.12
11/12/14: Pershing Square and Sachem
Head group file 13-D with 10.1% combined
economic ownership
Note: The performance of Zoetiss share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of future returns of the Pershing Square funds.
Source: Bloomberg.
32
$150
$160
Share price
$140
$120
$100
$80
Average cost
$38.00
$60
$40
$20
$0
Note: The performance of HHCs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
35
$39
Share price
$40
$35
$30
$25
$20
Average cost
$14.50
$15
$10
Note: The performance of Restaurant Brands Internationals share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. Share price performance based on close
price of Burger King when-issued shares on 6/19/2012.
Source: Bloomberg.
38
$28
Share price
$25
$20
$15
Average cost
$10.00
$10
$5
Note: The performance of Platforms share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. Average cost of shares purchased by Pershing Square may
exceed the initial share prices noted herein.
Source: Bloomberg.
41
Share price
$5.50
$5.00
$4.50
$4.00
$2.74
$2.62
$3.50
$3.00
$2.50
$2.00
Average cost
$2.29
$2.14
$1.50
$1.00
Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac
Note: The performance of Fannie Mae and Freddie Macs share price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
44
struggle to make it? Who wants to bring their family into an eventual deception?
Over the past 10 months, four independent directors, including the Lead Director and chair
of the Audit Committee, have resigned. Director and Chairmans Club member Pedro
Cardoso is under indictment in Brazil for financial crimes; HLF claims it was unaware of
the charges and has not disclosed the indictment in its SEC filings
The few successful distributors make substantially all of their revenues from recruiting
HLF spent over $69 million defending itself, but refuses to collect retail sales information
Gratziani: [S]uccessful people in retailing in our business, its a very small percentage. . . .
News sources report top Herbalife distributors are being contacted by federal law
enforcement agencies related to their business practices
Herbalife continues to attack the messenger with a public relations campaign against
Pershing Square. Ultimately, the facts will drive the outcome
________________________________________________
46
$75
Stock price
$65
$55
2/19/13: HLF
reports 4Q12
earnings
2/28/13: Two
Icahn reps join
HLF BoD
$45
$35
1/10/13: HLF
investor pres
$25
7/31/13: Soros
reveals long
position in HLF
2/14/13: Icahn
reports 13%
HLF stake
4/9/13: KPMG
resigns as
HLF auditor
10/28/13: HLF
reports 3Q13
earnings
11/20/13: Stiritz
converts to
13D filer
11/22/13:
Pershing
Square
presents at
Robin Hood
$79
12/16/13: HLF
announces
PwC re-audit
12/3/13: Belgium
Appeals Court
decision
4/29/13: HLF
reports 1Q13
earnings
Note: The performance of HLFs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. Average cost of shares purchased by Pershing Square may
exceed the initial share prices noted herein.
Source: Bloomberg.
47
1/23/14: Senator
Markey calls for
HLF investigation
Stock price
$75
3/11/14: Pershing
Square Herbalife
China Presentation
7/28/14: HLF
Q2 Results
Disappoint
$65
$55
1/24/14: Activists
meet with CA AG
to discuss HLF
$45
$35
7/22/14: Pershing
Square Nutrition
Club Presentation
1/28/14: Reported
that Canadian
regulators started
HLF probe
$25
12/31/2013
4/11/14: FT
Reports DoJ, FBI
Investigation
3/12/14: Herbalife
discloses FTC
civil probe
3/31/2014
4/17/14: Press
Reports Probe
by IL & NY AG
Offices
6/30/2014
11/3/14: HLF Q3
Results
Disappoint
$38
9/30/2014
12/31/2014
Note: The performance of HLFs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns. Average cost of shares purchased by Pershing Square may
exceed the initial share prices noted herein.
Source: Bloomberg.
48
Stock price
$75
$65
Average cost
$47.09
$55
$47
$45
$35
$25
5/1/2012
5/1/2013
5/1/2014
Note: The performance of HLFs stock price is provided for illustrative purposes only and is not an indication of PSHs future returns.
Source: Bloomberg.
49
Q4
2013A
YoY Volume Points Growth (%)
North America
7%
Mexico
5%
South & Central America
25%
EMEA
17%
Asia Pacific
(4%)
China
102%
Worldwide
13%
2014A
(6%)
(6%)
(24%)
17%
(10%)
15%
(6%)
13%
13%
9%
10%
(14%)
(11%)
(49%)
(0%)
(6%)
(87%)
(19%)
5%
5%
0%
0.0%
(5%)
(6%)
(7%)
Q4'14
Q1'15E
(10%)
Q3'13
________________________________________________
Source: Herbalife financial statements. Q115E based on the midpoint or Herbalife guidance as reported February 26th, 2015.
50
Q4'13
Q1'14
Q2'14
Q3'14
3/31/2014
6/30/2014
Gross Debt
9/30/2014
12/31/2014
________________________________________________
Source: Bloomberg.
51
3/31/2015
PSH Update
Private fund NAV prior to IPO had grown to $3.1B largely through
capital appreciation
An additional $212mm of investor capital rolled over from Pershing
Square International, Ltd. to PSH at the time of the IPO
Pershing Square employees invested $129m in the IPO
The PSH IPO priced on October 1, 2014 raising $2.8B
53
54
Goals
Results
55
PSH
Private Phase
$3.0bn NAV
conversion
Cornerstone
and
Public Raise
during IPO
$2.8bn
PS International
Rollover
$212.5mm
Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd.
$6.2bn NAV
Management
Private Phase Investor
(10-year lock-up)
$83.9mm
Management
IPO Purchases
(10-year lock-up)
$128.6mm
56
57
Shares
Price/ Share
6,555,110,630
240,128,546
$27.30
237,566,945
8,500,796
$27.95
173,807
6,792,851,382
5,000,000,000
$0.00
$26.50
(2.9%)
(5.2%)
11.8%
0.9%
5.7%
1,217,890
$29,600,513
58
$27.94
$28.00
$27.00
Per Share Value
$26.49
$26.00
$25.00
$24.00
$23.00
$22.00
$21.00
Stock Price
Source: Bloomberg.
59
Nav/Share
04/21/15
04/14/15
04/07/15
03/31/15
03/24/15
03/17/15
03/10/15
03/03/15
02/24/15
02/17/15
02/10/15
02/03/15
01/27/15
01/20/15
01/13/15
01/06/15
12/30/14
12/23/14
12/16/14
12/09/14
12/02/14
11/25/14
11/18/14
11/11/14
11/04/14
10/28/14
10/21/14
10/14/14
$20.00
Shares (thousands)
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
Exchange Volume
Broker Volume
Note: Graph excludes the first week of trading, October 13, 2014 to October 17, 2014 in which the volume was 17.6M shares on exchange and 27.3M shares by broker.
Source: Bloomberg.
60
04/17/15
04/10/15
04/03/15
03/27/15
03/20/15
03/13/15
03/06/15
02/27/15
02/20/15
02/13/15
02/06/15
01/30/15
01/23/15
01/16/15
01/09/15
01/02/15
12/26/14
12/19/14
12/12/14
12/05/14
11/28/14
11/21/14
11/14/14
11/07/14
10/31/14
10/24/14
Broker Name
Deutsche Bank
38,992,526 $
947,703,253
Merrill Lynch
14,308,872
347,773,431
9,283,367
225,629,832
8,658,144
210,433,949
JP Morgan
5,834,069
141,795,537
(INCA) INSTINET
4,231,679
102,849,863
Goldman Sachs
3,523,932
85,648,255
Barclays Capital
2,816,991
68,466,237
2,805,144
68,178,299
10
2,722,478
66,169,123
11
2,468,804
60,003,642
12
1,522,248
36,997,844
13
Morgan Stanley
1,407,978
34,220,541
14
1,387,320
33,718,454
15
(EXNE) EXANE
915,900
22,260,712
16
895,326
21,760,667
17
842,140
20,467,995
18
841,733
20,458,103
19
815,536
19,821,391
20
665,191
16,167,295
21-40
2,354,194 $
57,218,076
107,293,572 $ 2,607,742,500
TOTAL BROKERS
Total Dollars
Traded
at VWAP
49,739,134 $ 1,208,896,780
Broker trading
volume is 2.2x
exchange traded
volume
157,032,706 $ 3,816,639,280
Dollars Traded at VWAP uses total broker and exchange volume per day multiplied by the closing price on the exchange. Volume numbers above are shown through March 31, 2015
Source: Bloomberg.
61
Team
Jenna Dabbs
Dan Carpenter
Vice Chairman
Joined Pershing Square in February 2015
Kirkland & Ellis LLP
LL.B., Yale Law School
A.B., Tufts University
Senior Counsel
Joined Pershing Square in January 2015
United States Attorneys Office, Southern District of New York
J.D., Columbia University Law School
B.A., Wesleyan University
Assistant Compliance Officer
Joined Pershing Square in February 2015
Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP
J.D., Georgetown University Law Center
M.B.A., Simon Graduate School of Business Administration
B.S., Nyack College
Communications Associate
Joined Pershing Square in April 2015
Rubenstein Associates
B.S., Syracuse University
64
66