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b.
If the combined firm increases its operating margin by 2%, revenues are combined, and
the other value drivers remain unchanged, what is the value of the combined firm?
a.
b.
R0 =
m=
T=
I=
g=
k=
n=
h=
initial revenues
net operating income margin
tax rate
investment as a ratio of revenues
growth rate of revenues
cost of capital
years of supernormal growth
calculation relationship = ((1+g)/(1+k))-1
m ( 1
$1,500
15.0%
40.0%
10.0%
11.0%
9.0%
5
0.0183
(1 h ) n 1
R 0 ( m ) (1 T )
(1 h ) n
h
k
T ) I ( 1 h )
(9.3a)
V 0 = 1500[0.15(1-0.4)-0.1](1+0.018)[(((1+0.018)^5)-1)/0.018]
<-- PV of cash flows during supernormal growth
+[(1500(0.15)(1-0.4))/0.09](1+0.0183)^5
<-- present value of terminal value
9.11(b)
$34.32 with a 52-week range of approximately $24-$40. These numbers are well below our
intrinsic value estimate of $50.91. Intrinsic value estimates appear to be high in a weak market.
Analysts reports were generally optimistic about the benefits of the merger, the progressive
realization of synergies, and improved price prospects for Dow.
Use Model 10-02 shown below as a framework inserting the Dow / Union Carbide (drawing on
the data in Model 10-01 presented in the problem statement).
Solution Table PA10.2.2
Test of Merger Performance for Dow / Union Carbide (Model 10-02)
(in $ billion)
From the solution to question 10.1.1, the indicated market value of Dow postmerger is $41.4
billion. From this we deduct the amount paid to Union Carbide of $8.9 billion. The
remainder is the value for Dow of $32.5 billion compared to its premerger value of $27.1
billion. The gain from the merger was $5.4 billion divided on the basis of ownership shares
in the combined company. Thus the gain to Dow shareholders was $4.1 billion. The gain to
Union Carbide shareholders, including the $2.4 billion premium was $3.8 billion. Thus the
gains were about evenly divided. Another method of showing the same results starts with the
postmerger value of $41.4. From this we deduct the total of premerger values to obtain a
total gain of $7.9 billion, with $4.1 billion to Dow shareholders and $3.8 billion to the Union
Carbide shareholders.