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THE ANALYSES PROVIDED MAY INCLUDE CERTAIN STATEMENTS, ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS PREPARED WITH RESPECT TO, AMONG OTHER THINGS, THE HISTORICAL AND
ANTICIPATED OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF TATA MOTORS LIMITED (THE COMPANY). SUCH STATEMENTS, ESTIMATES, AND PROJECTIONS REFLECT VARIOUS
ASSUMPTIONS BY KNIGHT ASSETS CONCERNING ANTICIPATED RESULTS THAT ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIC, COMPETITIVE, AND OTHER
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ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF SUCH STATEMENTS, ESTIMATES OR PROJECTIONS OR WITH RESPECT TO ANY OTHER MATERIALS HEREIN. ACTUAL RESULTS MAY VARY
MATERIALLY FROM THE ESTIMATES AND PROJECTED RESULTS CONTAINED HEREIN. NO INFORMATION IS CONTAINED HEREIN WITH RESPECT TO RISKS OR CONFLICTS OF
INTEREST THAT MAY BE SIGNIFICANT. YOU SHOULD CONDUCT YOUR OWN ANALYSIS THEREOF.
THIS PRESENTATION INCLUDES INFORMATION BASED ON DATA FOUND IN COMPANY FILINGS WITH THEIR RELEVANT REGULATORS, INDEPENDENT INDUSTRY PUBLICATIONS
AND OTHER SOURCES. ALTHOUGH KNIGHT ASSETS BELIEVES THAT THE DATA ARE RELIABLE, WE HAVE NOT SOUGHT, NOR HAVE WE RECEIVED, PERMISSION FROM ANY
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SECURITIES OF COMMON STOCK OF THE COMPANY. WE MAY FROM TIME TO TIME SELL ALL OR A PORTION OF THE SECURITIES IN OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS, BUY
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COMMUNICATING WITH MANAGEMENT OF THE COMPANY, THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF THE COMPANY, AND OTHER INVESTORS.
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NEITHER KNIGHT ASSETS & CO. LLP (KNIGHT ASSETS), NOR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES ACCEPTS ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER FOR ANY DIRECT OR CONSEQUENTIAL LOSS
HOWSOEVER ARISING, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, FROM ANY USE OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.
Product portfolio
receiving highest
praise from
commentators and
customers alike
9%
16%
15%
8,033
6,336
1,745
FY 2010
FY 2014
FY 2016e
590,792
429,861
193,982
FY 2010
*Consolidated
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Analysts Estimates
FY 2014
FY 2016e
5
A Discrepancy
36%
Discount
A Shares trade at an
irrational discount to the
Ordinary Shares.
*Berkshire Hathaway Class A stock has 6.67x the voting rights of Class B stock
Only
Relevant
Company
Imbalance
Of Economic Rights
and Liquidity
10
3%
Spread
11
Market Cap
(US$ Billion)
Current
1 year
Average
3 year
Average
5 year
Average
81.46
-2.77%
-1.26%
0.64%
5.10%
Liberty
Interactive
14.73
-0.54%
-0.18%
-0.57%
-0.41%
Viacom
37.68
1.14%
1.24%
1.74%
2.26%
Molson Coors
Brewing
12.31
-1.55%
0.08%
0.41%
-0.22%
Constellation
Brands
15.74
1.32%
-0.03%
0.02%
-0.02%
Berkshire
Hathaway
317.25
-1.04%
-0.96%
-0.93%
-0.80%
Volvo
30.03
1.54%
-0.03%
0.05%
-0.89%
Tata Motors
23.67
35.48%
48.87%
45.50%
40.40%
Company
12
Pre-eminent Reputation
140
Years
14
A Global Business
90%
Value
15
JLR
Division
16
Attractive Fundamentals
Model Age*
3.3
Years
*FY 2016e: Lowest amongst its peer group Mercedes, BMW and Audi.
17
A Growing Business
Revenues*
(US$ mm)
34,692
39,440
19,531
FY 2010
FY 2012
EBITDA*
(US$ mm)
FY 2014
6,336
4,672
1,745
FY 2010
*Consolidated
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Analysts Estimates
FY 2012
FY 2014
18
23,672
17,146
9,186
FY 2010
FY 2012
Current
4.4x
1.0x
0.4x
Net Debt /
EBITDA (x)
Net Debt*
(US$ mm)
7,622
4,633
2,617
FY 2010
*Consolidated
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Analysts Estimates, as of June 10, 2014
FY 2012
FY 2014
19
FY 2014
FY 2016e
JLR
Volumes
193,982
429,861
590,792
JLR
EBITDA Margin
5.4%
17.5%
16.5%
JLR
Product Range
New Models
Jaguar: XJ
New Models
New Models
JLR % Of
Total Revenues
53.3%
82.2%
89.1%
JLR % Of
Total EBITDA
33.1%
89.5%
94.6%
Consolidated
Leverage*
5.27x
1.96x
1.48x
20
Significantly Undervalued
2014E
P/E
Tata
Motors*
BMW
Daimler
2014-16E
EPS CAGR
12.2%
8.9x
10.6x
11.6x
5.1%
10.8%
PEG
2016E
PBV
2016E
ROE
PBV /
ROE
0.7x
1.3x
2.1x
1.3x
13.8%
9.4x
1.1x
1.3x
14.8%
8.8x
19.9%
6.6x
21
A Complete Transformation
2014
Convergence
P/E Expansion
4
24
A Share
Bonus
NYSE
Listing
Company
Name
Index
Inclusion
Irrationality
Elimination
Investor Base
Diversification
P/E Multiple
Expansion
Expected Time
to Implement
15 30
Days*
15 30
Days*
Management
Dependent
Requires
Engagement
Provides immediate
balance in economic
rights (legal limit)
Summary
Makes the A
Shares a relevant
currency
Tata Group can
The Companys
other substantial
brands
Would have an
unknown positive
effect on P/Es
Would increase
investor base by an
unknown factor
*Post corporate action(s) announcement and requisite shareholder approval(s) to amend the Articles of the Company
25
U.S. NYSE
Listing
Global
Investment
Bank
Validation
U.S. SEC
Regulatory
India
Legal
India
Proxy Firms
Current
Shareholders
and
Prospective
Investors
26
Appendix 1
Case Studies
Google Inc.
Created additional share class by way of a stock dividend
(aka bonus)
- Paid dividend of 1 new Class C share for each
outstanding share of Class A and Class B
New shares known as Class C and provides management
tactical and strategic flexibility
- Over time, Class C share will become the primary
equity trading line
S&P Dow Jones Indices will add the Class C stock to the
S&P 100 and S&P 500 indices
- Constituents in those indices rose to 101 and 501
Google Inc.
Par Value
Shares Out
Price
Voting Right
Class A
0.001
280,844,569
557.51
1.0
Market Cap.
(US$ Billion)
155.7
Class B
0.001
55,800,053
556.21
10.0
30.9
Class C
0.001
336,644,622
554.90
0.0
186.2
28
Fiat S.p.A.
Similar turnaround of Chrysler has made Fiat consider
several strategic changes
Changed the name of the company from Fiat SpA to Fiat
Chrysler Automobiles N.V.
In the process of changing its primary listing jurisdiction
from Italy to the U.S.
Analysts estimate that the value of the company will
increase substantially post the U.S. listing due to a P/E
expansion
29
Infosys Limited
US is the key market for Infosys
Infosys wanted to raise its brand equity and attract more US customers
Being listed on the US markets was considered as one of the key steps to
increase brand awareness in the US
Price (US$)
Voting Right
Ordinary Shares
481,765,506
54.86
1.0
Market Cap.
(US$ Billion)
26.43
ADRs
92,470,660
54.30
0.0
5.02
Infosys Limited
30
40
35
30
25
04/01/2010
04/04/2010
04/07/2010
31
32
HDFC Bank
Infosys
US$mn
Shareholder
JPMORGAN CHASE
ACADIAN AM
UBS AG
SPRUCEGROVE IM
BLACKROCK
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA
GENESIS ASSET MANAGERS
SCHRODERS PLC
ARROWSTREET CAP LIMITED PARTNER
INVESCO LTD
FRANKLIN RESOURCES
ABERDEEN
FRANK RUSSELL TRUST COMPANY
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY
CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
FISHER INVESTMENTS INC
STATE STREET CORP
TRILOGY GLOBAL ADVISORS LLC
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
PARAMETRIC PORTFOLIO ASSOCIATES
MARTIN CURRIE LIMITED
POLARIS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
MORGAN STANLEY
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
US$mn
Shareholder
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
VONTOBEL HOLDING AG
CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INC
FMR LLC
LAZARD LTD
FISHER INVESTMENTS INC
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES
SCHRODERS PLC
VANGUARD GROUP INC
HARDING LOEVNER LP
BLACKROCK
UNIVERSAL INVESTMENT CO
HARRIS TRUST & SAVINGS BANK
WASATCH ADVISORS INC
THORNBURG INVESTMENT MGMT INC
INDUS CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY
UBS AG
FIL LIMITED
MORGAN STANLEY
HANSBERGER GLOBAL INVESTORS INC
T ROWE PRICE GROUP INC
CREDIT SUISSE AG
AMP LTD
DEUTSCHE BANK AG
33
Dr Reddys
Sesa Sterlite
US$mn
Shareholder
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
BLACKROCK
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
SEGANTII CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LTD
MORGAN STANLEY
STATE STREET CORP
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP
NATIXIS SA
NEWGATE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
GRANTHAM MAYO VAN OTTERLOO & CO
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP
JANE STREET HOLDING LLC
WASHINGTON STATE INVESTMENT BOAR
CANADA PENSION PLAN INVEST
PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC
MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP
SCEPTER HOLDINGS INC
APERIO GROUP LLC
GRATIA CAPITAL LLC
LEE MUNDER CAPITAL GROUP LLC
JANE STREET GROUP LLC
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTR
NORTHERN TRUST CORPORATION
UBI PRAMERICA SGR
US$mn
Shareholder
BLACKROCK
FISHER INVESTMENTS INC
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTR
FIL LIMITED
VANGUARD GROUP INC
SCHRODERS PLC
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
CREDIT SUISSE AG
PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC
ARROWSTREET CAP LIMITED PARTNER
SECTORAL ASSET MANAGEMENT
CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
MORGAN STANLEY
UBS AG
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
TRILOGY GLOBAL ADVISORS LLC
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT CO LLP
STATE STREET CORP
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
TODD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF KY
CREDIT AGRICOLE SA
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
34
Tata Motors
US$mn
Shareholder
BLACKROCK
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC
LAZARD LTD
FRANK RUSSELL TRUST COMPANY
ALLIANZ SE
FISHER INVESTMENTS INC
TRILOGY GLOBAL ADVISORS LLC
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT
WILLIAM BLAIR & COMPANY LLC
BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUS
CAPITAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT
FIL LIMITED
SCHRODERS PLC
THORNBURG INVESTMENT MGMT INC
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC
MANAGED ACCOUNT ADVISORS LLC
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP
CREDIT SUISSE AG
HENDERSON GROUP PLC
F&C ASSET MANAGEMENT PLC
UBS AG
ADR
233
218
186
171
166
154
153
151
146
133
105
96
94
89
71
71
64
63
57
52
48
47
44
43
43
DVR
12
24
2
8
35
Economic
Rights
Post Bonus
Voting
Rights
Economic
Rights
Voting
Rights
2,736,713,122
912,304,470
3,649,017,592
75.0%
25.0%
100.0%
96.8%
3.2%
100.00%
939,556,205
129,562,339
1,069,118,544
25.7%
3.6%
29.3%
33.2%
0.5%
33.7%
1,797,156,917
240,279,880
2,037,436,797
49.3%
6.6%
55.8%
63.5%
0.8%
64.4%
542,462,251
542,462,251
n/a
14.9%
14.9%
1.9%
1.9%
No. of Shares
2,736,713,122
481,966,945
3,218,680,067
85.0%
15.0%
100.0%
98.3%
1.7%
100.0%
Tata Group
Ordinary Shares
A Shares
939,556,205
3,478,587
943,034,792
29.2%
0.1%
29.3%
33.8%
0.0%
33.8%
Ordinary Shareholders
Ordinary Shares
A Shares
1,797,156,917
1,797,159,917
55.8%
n/a
55.8%
64.5%
64.5%
A Shareholders
Ordinary Shares
A Shares
478,488,358
478,488,358
n/a
14.9%
14.9%
1.7%
1.7%
36
Analyst Coverage
Only one global auto sector analyst covers the stock
Most of the Indian analysts are generalists cover various
sectors
No analyst coverage or mention of the A Shares in reports
*Brief coverage that mentions a price target on the A Shares and that they are a better risk-reward investment and/or a price target
based on the average historical discount.
37
Thank You