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Challenges
to Global
Security
V. R. Raghavan
It is widely accepted that security and peace in nations is contingent
upon security and stability in the world. With the growing interdependency in the present globalized world, the actions of one state have
the capacity to influence and alter the actions and policies of other states.
And, not surprisingly,a threat in one part of the world is now capable of
challenging the peace and stability of far-flungcountries. The fact that
the 11 September terroristattacks not only shook the United States but
also sent shock waves across the world suggests that notions of 'security'
and 'defence' are notjust limited to national boundaries.
The 'war against terrorism', which became the hallmark of US
diplomacy, sets a classic example of how a threat to one nation changed
the approach and attitude of all those concerned about global peace and
security. Some say that the world's most pertinent questions relating to
securitythreats are revolvingaround states' attitude towards handling of
internal strifeand external challenges. Given that most threats emanate
fromwithin,it is importantto look at all those factorsthat are compelling
countries to shift their security focus from traditional security to
comprehensive security with emphasis on the individual and human
dimension of security.There is an emerging class of non-militarythreats
that are no less importantthan the traditional militarythreats, with the
potential to challenge and destabilize domestic and global security. In
fact, insecurity today is more about lack of basic amenities, rights and
freedomand less about militaryattacks froma hostile neighbour.
The world has changed profoundlysince the end ofthe Cold War. With
the collapse of the Soviet Union, an era of 'new security challenges'
ushered in, encompassing the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction, international terrorism, regional conflicts and ethnic
nationalism, to name a few. The post-Cold War period has not only seen
an increase in instability due to all this, but also a rise in the levels of
conflict,unresolved tensions, and new pressures. Earlier, conflictsthat
occurred during the war period that bore the capacity to spread and
threaten the power balance were kept in check and many internal revolts
V. R. Raghavan
is Director,
DelhiPolicyGroup.He wasa Commissioner
ontheWeapons
ofMassDestruction
Commission.
* Theauthor
theresearch
assistance
ofPujyaJ.Pascal.
acknowledges
24
PAKISTAN
HORIZON
were clamped down by the superpowers. The two power blocs helped
maintain a stable environment and deterred many internal revolts.
However, this dramatically changed afterthe Cold War came to an end.
A linked trend contributing to the increase in conflict was the
proliferationoflight weapons into the developing countries and regions of
instability. Rise in terroristactivities and growth of paramilitaries such
as the militias in Colombia and Sudan furtheraggravated these crises.
Adding to this was the growinginequality among the masses, large-scale
migrationsand political violence, varying fromregion to region. In short,
global threats increased in magnitude with large-scale casualties taking
place in the conflict-riddenstates, whereas the means to quell these
conflictsremained largely limited.
Punctuated with challenges emergingfroma unipolar world order,the
post-Cold War period witnessed a seemingly positive cooperative
arrangementbetween the US and Russia in the 1990s. Arms controlwas
one key area which promised 'collective security assurances to nonnuclear weapon states and a united frontin favour ofindefiniteextension
of the NPT'.1 However, the greatest security threat of weapons of mass
destructionpossibly falling into the hands of rogue states and non-state
actors still exists. The dissolution of the Soviet Union and the end of
superpower nuclear confrontationhas, in fact, catapulted the issue of
weapons proliferationinto the limelight. The fact that wars are getting
less frequentand less deadly is good news', but mountingchallenges from
segments beyond the war zone continue to threaten global peace and
security.2
There are, thus, a host of challenges emanating from the military,
economy, environment and polity, each of which comprises a critical
dimension of a comprehensive securityframework.Given that regions of
Asia and Africa are believed to be the most challenged continents in
terms of security and stability,a multidisciplinaryapproach, in order to
address issues of survival and welfare,must be the order ofthe day.
CHALLENGES
TO GLOBALSECURITY
25
Military challenges
'Anyuse ofnuclearweapons,by accidentor design,riskshuman casualties and
of such weapons
economicdislocationon a catastrophicscale. The proliferation
and theirpotentialuse, byeitherstateor non-stateactorsmustremainan urgent
forcollectivesecurity/
priority
NTI AnnualReport20043
Our understanding of security has undergone profound changes ever
since the Cold War. In the post-war era, 'military planners were under
pressure to produce a peace dividend by cuttingback on forces,arms and
expenditure'.4 The idea was to scale down nuclear and armed threats
emanating fromthe power blocs and reduce the threat of war. Although
the end of the East-West confrontationpaved the way for East-West
cooperation, certain security assumptions began to fall apart. Within 18
months of the signing of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT),
India and Pakistan conducted a series of nuclear tests, which served as a
setback to the entire non-proliferationregime. The security parameters
fornuclear as well as non-nuclear states have altered dramatically since
then and it seems that nuclear weapons will continue to underpin the
defencediscourse fora long time to come.
The notion that securityis about states using forceto manage threats
to their territorialintegrityand national stability,primarily fromother
states, began to change as new transnational threats stemming from
demographic movements, deforestation, global warming, and
transnational crimes began to surface. It might have been hoped that
such threats would prompt a rethinking of security parameters and
options, but instead the world started to rearm itself to fight against
'perceived threats' and asymmetricwarfare.5Since the terroristattacks of
9/11,the mobile chemical labs, dirtynuclear bombs, anthrax spores, sarin
gas, and other weapons of mass destruction have fuelled popular fears
and inspired countless anti-terrorism initiatives coming to the fore,
pushing non-militarythreats into the background.
26
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CHALLENGES
27
8 Uppsala conflict
database,www.pcr.uu.se
9 Sabina Alkire, A Conceptual Frameworkfor Human Security (Oxford:
ofOxford,Queen ElizabethHouse,2003),p. 2.
University
28
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29
30
PAKISTAN
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Conflicts over river systems, where the world's most important 155
river systems are shared by two countries, could pose major security
problems for the world.28 Environmental scientist Norman Myers
remarked,'So critical are assured water supplies to Israel that one reason
it went to war in 1967 was that Syria and Jordan were tryingto divert
the flows of the Jordan River.' Similarly, Iraq almost went to war against
23TheMillenniumDevelopment
Goals Report2006, op. cit.
24MichaelShumanand Hal Harvey,op. cit.
25Ibid.,p. 169.
26AndrewC. Revkin,op. cit.
27NormanMyers,'Environment
and security,'
ForeignPolicy(WashingtonD.C.),
no. 74, Spring1989,pp. 28-29.Althoughthis classification
ofproblemsis done
froman Americanpoint of view, it is not out of contextto suggest that
environmentalproblems are also global problemsand they do not limit
themselvesto a particularregionor state.
28Ibid.,p. 29.
32
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Syria in 1975 when the latter built the Thawrah Dam on the Euphrates
and endangered the economic survival of three million Iraqi farmers
living downstream.29
The most significantenvironmentalthreats facing us are truly global
in nature. 'Every year, deforestationin the tropics denudes an area the
size of Austria and wipes out species of plants and animals at a rate one
thousand to ten thousand times faster than natural extinction'30Other
environmental threats to human beings are now posed by the
development and spread of 'new chemicals that can permanently impair
the human gene pool, the development of ever more resistant varieties of
agricultural pests, and the ecological deterioration of the world's
oceans'.31All together,'global environmental disasters caused by human
mismanagement have created more than 10 million refugees- more than
those uprooted by wars or persecution- who themselves are producing a
varietyofmilitary,political, and economicinstabilities worldwide'.32
Therefore, an effectiveglobal environment needs to enable, support
and encourage policymaking leading to an effective response to
environmental management needs which require action at the global
level. Konrad von Moltke opines, 'Good environmental governance at all
levels has been characterized by reliance on sciences; the use of the
precautionary approach; the ability to accommodate actions at different
levels of governance; the use of economic incentives and the avoidance of
physical coercion as an implementation strategy; and high degree of
transparencyand participation.' Only an interlinked,holistic approach to
governance, which puts the environment and people's needs first,will
sufficeforthe years to come.
Political challenges
Provision of safety and security to every human life is one of the most
fundamental duties of a state or government.Protection of lives and a
pledge to uphold human rights is central to good governance, and
'cooperation of the political, administrative, scientific and industrial
communitiesforthe formulationof a vision, integrated missions, policies,
plans and programmes' can help achieve a comprehensive security
frameworkfor a prosperous future for everyone.33However, certain key
29Ibid.
30Ibid.
31MichaelShumanand Hal Harvey,op. cit., p. 18.
32Ibid.,p.19.
33Remarksby PresidentA. P. J. Abul Kalam, The Hindu (Chennai),15 August
2006.
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East and Africa- the three most security challenged regions of the world.
These pockets of insecurityhave become hostages of a few securityissues,
mostly involving socio-economicand political threats, which have not been
addressed in the past decades. In view of the intransigent approach of the
ruling elite, one does not see the chances of the settlementof such issues in
the near future. As a result, one can see the prominence of security
threats,which are related to territorialand political conflicts,but not those
emanating fromenvironmentaldegradation or excessive commercialization
ofgoods and services. Social scientists are ofthe view that a non-traditional
security approach is not necessarily in opposition to state sovereigntyand
national security. Oommen suggests that a shift from the prevailing
'governmental ation of securityto governance of security^will bring about
the much needed change in the mindset and approach of those assigned to
deal with threats.
Although the state remains the central provider of security in ideal
circumstances, the desired comprehensive approach must take into
account the reality of security as traditionally defined- the defence of
territorial integrity by military means- and blend it with critical
dimensions of the security of its citizens. It has been observed that an
overemphasis on 'statist' securityhas been detrimentalto human security
needs. Therefore, while traditional conceptions of state security are a
necessary condition,they cannot be a sufficientmodel for accomplishing
human security.
The conventional definition of security is narrowly identified as
'defence', which also represents a falsified image of the policy process.
The military is only one of the several interest groups, alongside the
environmental and social groups, competing for a larger share of the
collective goods being allocated by the government. Rational
policymakers will allocate resources to security only so long as the
marginal rate of return is greater for'security'than forother uses of the
resources. Security of individuals, as understood in the abstract, and a
remote concept of traditional security can also mean insecurityin terms
of the threats to the lives of human beings as manifested by the lack of
food, education, health care, fresh water and clean surroundings. The
non-traditional security approach is undoubtedly a 'series of continua'
embedded in interdisciplinaryanalysis and approach to critical welfare
issues. It is believed that most issues of survival become security
concernswhen they reach a tipping point by threateningthe stabilityand
integrity of societies51 leading to the destabilization of the state.
Therefore,'security analysts should consider those elements which cause
51RameshThakurand EdwardNewman,op. cit.
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