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wiping out $3 trillion was not expected!) The slowing down of growth is
good for the Chinese people as it is time to turn off the gush of breakneck
expansion that fattens the wallets of greedy businessmen and channel
resources into socially necessary healthcare, education, low income
housing and the hinterland. In India, robust growth took root in mid-2013
and the Modi administration can sustain 7% growth for the remainder of
its term. What a wonderfully lop-sided world! Does the data not beckon
trouble down the line in "all other countries"?
The curious mountain of debt
Economists at ING, a Dutch multinational bank and financial services
corporation, report that the world is drowning in a tsunami of $ 223 trillion
debt distributed in public (government), corporate (company) and
household (mainly mortgages) sectors. I have reprocessed the ING
findings into a table (which the webmaster may jumble into scrambled
eggs!)
At first sight these numbers are so large that they are unbelievable for
comparison, global GDP is $70 to $75 trillion and US GDP is $17 trillion;
the total GDP of the rich countries is about $42 trillion and total for other
countries including China is about $30 trillion. If there is $223 trillion in
global debt, well there must be creditors worth $223 who are they!
Everyone cant be a debtor; someone must be a creditor and a flush one at
that. What the economists dont tell you are a few things that many of
them dont grasp anyway. If A owes B $100, B owes C $100, C owes D
$100 and D owes A $100, in the eyes of these profoundly clever folk, the
circuit is awash with $400 of debt. My grandmother will scoff: "Balderdash
there is no debt at all!" So circularity accounts for part of the jumbo
numbers. True, interest rates round the circuit will differ and some in the
loop may be more dicey (risk prone) than others so that if the loop
fractures at one point all may drown.
Some debt will never be repaid. If a central bank prints billions to buy
treasury bonds which the treasury never redeems (more precisely, keeps
recycling) it is simply printing money to keep Zimbabwes Mugabe,
Venezuelas Maduro, or for that matter the US Federal Government afloat.
In the long run some of it will be inflated away; a billion lent on treasury
bonds 50 years ago will fetch less than 10 million in surrender value in real
terms today, leaving aside interest related accruals. Nevertheless, though
all banks create fiat money when the bulge is this big it is not make-