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Tree Diagrams and Probabilities
Page 1 of 3
For (F)
.28
.31
.06
.65
Against (A)
.10
.16
.04
.30
No Opinion (N)
.02
.03
.00
.05
Total
.40
.50
.10
1.00
Data Source: Dion Nissenbaum, "Support Grows for Term Limits," The Press-Enterprise (Riverside, CA), 30 May 1997, p. A-1.
2. Using the tree diagram you just constructed, find the following probabilities:
A. The probability of being Republican
B. The probability of being For
C. The probability of being a Democrat and Against
D. The probability of being a Democrat or Against
E. The probability of being Against, given an individual is a Democrat
F. The probability of having No opinion, given an individual is a Republican
3. Make a tree diagram as in Question 1, but this time start with poll results as the first
set of branches.
4. Using the tree diagram you constructed in Question 3, find the following
probabilities:
A. The probability of having No opinion
B. The probability of being Other
C. The probability of being For and a Republican
D. The probability of being For or a Republican
E. The probability of being a Republican, given that one is Against
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8. Convert the tree diagram you just completed in Question 7 to a table. Put the colors
in the columns and the shapes in the rows. Don't forget to include the marginal
probabilities in your table.
9. In this table, are color and shape independent? How can you tell?
10. If the marginal probabilities you got for the table in Question 8 remained the same,
and color and shape were independent, what would the table look like? (Show all
probabilities to the nearest hundredth.)
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Acknowledgements
Question 1:
This question uses the data table from question 4.63 from page 151 of Introduction to Probability and
Statistics, Tenth Edition, by W. Mendenhall, R. Beaver, and B. Beaver. Copyright 1999 by Brooks Cole,
division of Thompson Learning Incorporated. Further reproduction is prohibited without permission of the
publisher.
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