Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2010 is going to mark a watershed in British politics. The General Election could see the greatest influx of new
Members into the Chamber since the Second World War. The expenses scandal last year, for all its tabloid
headlines, has forced the party leaders to re-examine their selection processes, and has resulted in local parties
looking beyond the standard criteria for candidates. The result has been a wave of genuinely fascinating,
intellectual and professionally astute candidates.
Following on from the much acclaimed edition last year, Insight Public Affairs have continued to examine the next
generation of MPs. In this – the second edition – we profile a further 32 candidates – most of whom have been
selected in the recent months and witnessed heightened prominence in the parties and the media.
As before, the so called ‘ones to watch’ have been selected for their ability, potential and ambition to become
influential political players in British politics after the forthcoming election. Please send your comments on this
publication to nextgeneration@insightpa.com
Contents
Introduction Labour PPCs
John Lehal 1 Kate Green 24
Lillian Greenwood 25
Conservative PPCs Liz Kendall 26
Angie Bray 3 Shabana Mahmood 27
Fiona Bruce 4 Lisa Nandy 28
John Glen 5 Emilie Oldknow 29
Robert Halfon 6 Chi Onwurah 30
Matthew Hancock 7 Bridget Phillipson 31
Sajid Javid 8 Anas Sarwar 32
Jo Johnson 9 John Woodcock 33
Kwasi Kwarteng 10
Phillip Lee 11
Lib Dem PPCs
Jonathan Lord 12 Sal Brinton 35 All polling data has
Bridget Fox 36 been sourced from
Penny Mordaunt 13 Thrasher & Rawlings.
Neil Parish 14
Claire Perry 15 Retiring MPs Insight Public Affairs
would like to express
Stephen Phillips 16 Retiring MPs and selected PPCs 38 their thanks to the
PPC data analysis 42 contributors who have
Daniel Poulter 17 helped produce this
Dominic Raab 18 New constituencies and boundary publication.
David Rutley 19 changes in marginal seats 43 Cover illustration by
Julian Smith 20 Morten Morland
Bob Stewart 21 About Insight Public Affairs Edited by:
Rory Stewart 22 About Insight Public Affairs 44 Stephanie Reeves
THE NEXT GENERATION: PARLIAMENTARY CANDIDATES TO WATCH
Introduction
John Lehal
Managing Director
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With 565 Conservative Party candidates selected so far, the race to find the next generation of
Conservative MPs is nearly over. The Candidate Selection team, headed by John Maples MP, has
succeeded in recent months in broadening and deepening the diversity of candidates on offer. Local
associations and electorate have also played a big part with the growing number of open-primaries,
ensuring candidates selected have the support of both the party and the local community.
David Cameron’s desire to groom a new intake of political ‘outsiders’, to provide a breath of fresh air to the
voting public in the wake of the ‘anti-politics’ backlash surrounding the expenses scandal has been successful,
with a former miner, an author, retired military personnel, entrepreneurs and social workers selected. Since his
announcement in May to allow people who have not even been members of the party to stand for the
Conservatives, more than 4,000 expressions of interest have been received by CCHQ.
This was certainly alluring to Rory Stewart, who confessed to being an active supporter of Labour in his teens.
The Harvard professor and now PPC for Penrith and the Borders, has an impressive CV that boasts a career in
the army, as a diplomat and time spent as a deputy governor in Iraq. His achievements include setting up a
charity in Afghanistan and taking time to walk across the entire country.
But despite the strides made to select candidates from a diverse background, many have enjoyed a privileged
upbringing – a high proportion have been privately educated. However, the party has been right to concentrate
on aspects of diversity outside social class and educational background, hence the new intake will likely feature
more women, gay and ethnic minority candidates. But, fighting on the basis of people’s backgrounds is
something the average voter just isn’t interested in. More important will be what the candidates can bring to
the party. Our selection of “Ones to Watch” highlights a number of candidates who are experts in their field.
From law, Stephen Phillips became one of the youngest QCs in the country at the age of only 38 and has
recently been appointed as a Crown Court Recorder, whilst Fiona Bruce is well-regarded as a reputable solicitor
in the North West. Dr Daniel Poulter and Dr Phillip Lee will join a number of medics in the Commons and will
bolster the next generation of health champions following the departure of Dr Howard Stoate, Dr Doug Naysmith
and Dr Brian Iddon at the election.
Colonel Bob Stewart, who was awarded the Distinguished Service Order for gallantry in Bosnia, brings front line
military experience. No stranger to politics, he has met or briefed every Prime Minister since Ted Heath and his
counsel will no doubt be welcome as David Cameron inherits some difficult decisions around defence spending.
Angie Bray gave up her seat in the London Assembly to focus on her campaign, whilst former South West
MEP, Neil Parish will inherit Angela Browning’s comfortable majority in Tiverton and Honiton.
Businessman David Rutley brings ‘real world experience’ garnered as a senior executive in Asda, PepsiCo, Halifax
General Insurance and Barclays. He also has an impressive record working as a Special Adviser in the last
Conservative Government. Rutley is not the only candidate with such experience. Former Chief of Staff to Oliver
Letwin MP and Advisory Board Member of Iain Duncan-Smith’s Centre for Social Justice, Robert Halfon is a well
established member of the Cameroon crowd and a sure bet to overturn Bill Rammell’s majority of 230. He will
likely be joined by Matthew Hancock, George Osborne’s Chief of Staff, Dominic Raab, Chief of Staff to Shadow
Justice Secretary Dominic Grieve MP, and Claire Perry, also from the Shadow Chancellor’s team.
Despite the leaderships’ efforts to introduce 50:50 male-female shortlists, about a third of candidates selected
in top and target seats have been women, although our analysis of selections shows that women have been
selected in just 9 of the 36 very safest seats being vacated by Conservative MPs at the next election.
Interesting then that Caroline Dineage, Sarah Wollaston and Fiona Bruce all won handsomely in open primary
and full postal ballots. Open primaries in the seats yet to select candidates may be the best way for the party
leadership to fulfil their ambition to see more women selected in Conservative-held seats.
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Angie Bray
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Ealing Central and Acton
MAJORITY: 839 (2.16%)
SWING REQUIRED: 1.08%
INCUMBENT: Andy Slaughter MP (Labour)
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Fiona Bruce
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Congleton
MAJORITY: 8,246 (17.7%)
INCUMBENT: Lady Ann Winterton MP (Conservative)
John Glen
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Salisbury
MAJORITY: 8,860 (19.5%)
INCUMBENT: Robert Key MP (Conservative)
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Robert Halfon
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Harlow
MAJORITY: 230 (0.58%)
INCUMBENT: Bill Rammell MP (Labour)
Matthew Hancock
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Suffolk West
MAJORITY: 8,735 (19.92%)
INCUMBENT: Richard Spring MP (Conservative)
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Sajid Javid
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Bromsgrove
MAJORITY: 10,080 (21.08%)
INCUMBENT: Julie Kirkbride MP (Conservative)
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Jo Johnson
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Orpington
MAJORITY: 5,221 (10.79%)
INCUMBENT: John Horam MP (Conservative)
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Kwasi Kwarteng
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Spelthorne
MAJORITY: 9,936 (23.2%)
INCUMBENT: David Wilshire MP (Conservative)
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Dr Phillip Lee
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Bracknell
MAJORITY: 10,037 (21.96%)
INCUMBENT: Andrew Mackay MP (Conservative)
BACKGROUND Lee has been active in local politics for many years,
Born in Buckinghamshire in 1970, Lee was educated joining Beaconsfield Conservative Association in
at Sir William Borlase’s Grammar School in Marlow, 1992. In 2001, Lee successfully ran in a local council
before studying Human Biology and Biological by-election in Beaconsfield, achieving a significant
Anthropology at King’s College London and Keble swing from the Liberal Democrats.
College, Oxford, and then medicine at St Mary’s
Hospital Medical School at Imperial College London. In the 2005 General Election, Lee was the
Conservative Party Candidate for Blaenau Gwent in
Lee currently lives in Bisham, Berkshire and works South Wales. In May 2006, Lee was selected for
as a part-time GP throughout the Thames Valley. the Conservative Party Priority List of Candidates.
He was selected for Bracknell at an open primary in
Outside of politics and medicine, Lee has a real October 2009, where he was selected ahead of
passion for travelling, having spent months exploring Rory Stewart who came second, and Iain Dale
Europe, the Middle East, Asia, North America and who was placed third.
the South Pacific. An all round sportsman, Lee also
enjoys football, rugby, cricket and skiing. CONSTITUENCY PROFILE
The Bracknell constituency is relatively new having
Lee’s medical background will undoubtedly be a only been created 40 years ago. The town has
weighty factor in the causes he champions as an grown rapidly in the past few years and sits in the
MP. He has previously written for ConHome about affluent M4 corridor. Crowthorne, Sandhurst and
the lack of scientists and mathematicians in the Finchampstead are also in the constituency.
Commons and with the number of specialist health Congestion and planning are therefore among the
advocates from all parties standing down at the next largest issues facing the town.
election, Lee will be redressing the balance.
In addition to this healthcare experience, he has
a strong interest in energy security policy.
“Phillip has precisely the right mix of warmth and ability which
makes for a winning candidate, and I know he will be a superb
asset to the next Conservative government.”
Rt Hon Dominic Grieve MP
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Jonathan Lord
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Woking
MAJORITY: 6,612 (14.4%)
INCUMBENT: Humphrey Malins MP (Conservative)
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Penny Mordaunt
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Portsmouth North
MAJORITY: 300 (0.3%)
SWING REQUIRED: 0.38%
INCUMBENT: Sarah McCarthy-Fry MP (Labour)
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Neil Parish
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Tiverton and Honiton
MAJORITY: 9,007 (17.5%)
INCUMBENT: Angela Browning MP (Conservative)
Claire Perry
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Devizes
MAJORITY: 12,259 (28.63%)
INCUMBENT: Michael Ancram MP (Conservative)
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Stephen Phillips QC
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Sleaford and North Hykeham
MAJORITY: 12,687 (24.15%)
INCUMBENT: Douglas Hogg MP (Conservative)
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Dr Daniel Poulter
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Central Suffolk and North Ipswich
MAJORITY: 7,786 (16.7%)
INCUMBENT: Sir Michael Lord MP (Conservative)
“Dan has engaged with all aspects of society and his social
conscience is his strongest asset. His lived experience, determined
personality, along with his legal and medical knowledge would
make him and outstanding MP.”
Mr Shane Duffy (MB BS DTM&H MSC MRCOG), Clinical Director of Maternity Worldwide
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Dominic Raab
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Esher and Walton
MAJORITY: 7,727 (16.14%)
INCUMBENT: Ian Taylor MP (Conservative)
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David Rutley
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Macclesfield
MAJORITY: 9,464 (20.6%)
INCUMBENT: Sir Nicholas Winterton MP (Conservative)
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Julian Smith
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Skipton and Ripon
MAJORITY: 11,596 (23.43%)
INCUMBENT: David Curry MP (Conservative)
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Bob Stewart
CANDIDATE: Conservative PPC for Beckenham
MAJORITY: 16,913 (40.4%)
INCUMBENT: Jacqui Lait MP (Conservative)
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Skipping a generation:
Labour’s PPCs
Andrew Hobson
Associate Director, Insight Public Affairs
With 91 Labour MPs so far announcing their retirement at the forthcoming election, regional
officials and CLP officers have been kept busy with selection contests. The recent round has thrown
up a number of interesting, exciting, and at time surprising results. Perhaps the most striking
feature of the selections is the number of under-30s being chosen to represent the Party in its most
winnable seats.
With so many young, talented and ambitious candidates being selected, it is hard to escape the impression that
the party is looking to skip a generation as it seeks to refresh itself after thirteen years in power. Youth, it seems,
is being seen as proxy for change, a clear signal to voters that the candidate is part of a ‘new breed’ – untainted
by the failings of predecessors.
But these bright young things are far from political novices. As the profiles featured in this guide indicate, they
already have an impressive array of political experience to call upon and it is clear that all have displayed the
qualities required to make a significant impact on the future of British politics. Reviewing their respective CVs,
these candidates certainly have drive, ambition and talent to spare.
The youngest, Bridget Phillipson in Houghton and Sunderland South has been involved with her local party for
many years, and has impressed many with her mature and professional approach to her candidacy. She will be
26 years old on Election Day, and a good bet to ‘Baby of the House’ in the next Parliament.
Anas Sarwar, 28, has been a prominent local figure since his teenage years and can call on experience gained
as an NHS Dentist in Glasgow. He has won The Sun’s “Best New Scottish Politician” award in 2009 and is set
to be fast-tracked to the Labour front benches.
Emilie Oldknow, 29, and John Woodcock, 31, both have years of experience working for the Labour Party under
their belts, and played key roles for the party in the 2005 election. Indeed, Woodcock has spent the last five
years at the centre of Government as a Special Adviser to John Hutton, before making the switch to become
one of Gordon Brown’s advisors at Number 10.
Lisa Nandy, the hugely ambitious 30 year old Senior Policy advisor at the Children’s Society and Shabana
Mahmood, the 29 year old Barrister hoping to win Clare Short’s Birmingham Ladywood seat, are also sure to
have a significant impact on the future direction of the Labour Party.
There are a number of candidates with experience to step straight into front bench duties. Kate Green, 49,
has years of experience running charities and advising ministers and Chi Onuwarah the 44 year old senior
engineer looking to win Newcastle Central has a wealth of experience as one of the UK’s leading
telecoms experts.
All of these individuals have time on their side, and while it may take a couple of years before they begin to
make themselves known on the national stage, these are future leaders of the Party who will be needed to
take the fight to the Conservatives in years to come. If the polls are to be believed, then the Labour Party will
have a reduced Parliamentary presence after the next elections. The good news for the party is that it is
already sowing the seeds for its future regeneration.
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Lilian Greenwood
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Nottingham South
MAJORITY: 6,665 (19.2%)
INCUMBENT: Alan Simpson MP (Labour)
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Liz Kendall
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Leicester West
MAJORITY: 8,539 (26.42%)
INCUMBENT: Rt Hon Patricia Hewitt MP (Labour)
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Shabana Mahmood
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Birmingham Ladywood
MAJORITY: 6,804 (23.23%)
INCUMBENT: Clare Short MP (Independent)
“It is clear the barrister is anything but a party automaton and from
the outset has set out her stall as a passionate opponent of the
Iraq War and the 42 day detention of terror suspects.”
Neil Elkes, Birmingham News
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Lisa Nandy
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Wigan
MAJORITY: 15,501 (39.15%)
INCUMBENT: Neil Turner MP (Labour)
“Lisa has played a pivotal role in the children’s charity sector. She combines
passion and a determination to succeed with awareness of the way
Whitehall and Westminster functions and she gets things done.”
Martin Narey, Chief Executive, Barnardo’s
CONTACT E: lisanandy2010@gmail.com
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Emilie Oldknow
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Sherwood
MAJORITY: 6,869 (15.9%)
INCUMBENT: Paddy Tipping MP (Labour)
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Chi Onwurah
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Newcastle Central
MAJORITY: 7,509 (23.07%)
INCUMBENT: Jim Cousins MP (Labour)
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Bridget Phillipson
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Houghton and Sunderland South
MAJORITY: 16,986 (45.78%)
INCUMBENT: Fraser Kemp MP (Labour)
“I’m sure that she will make an excellent candidate and, when
elected, she will be a very hard-working Member of Parliament.”
Fraser Kemp MP
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Anas Sarwar
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Glasgow Central
MAJORITY: 8,531 (30.4%)
INCUMBENT: Mohammed Sarwar MP (Labour)
“Scotland and the Labour party need more young men like him.”
The Daily Record
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John Woodcock
CANDIDATE: Labour PPC for Barrow and Furness
NOTIONAL MAJORITY: 4,836 (12.5%)
INCUMBENT: Rt Hon John Hutton MP (Labour)
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And finally...
Olly Kendall
Account Director, Insight Public Affairs
Insight has now profiled over 60 candidates who are likely to become
MPs after the election. But what about those parliamentary candidates
who are not shoo-ins: the long-shots who might just squeeze in under
the right circumstances? Or those who are likely to impact British
politics, whether or not they win in May? Or those who – quite simply –
we just haven’t got around to covering? Well here are a few more
candidates who we think it’s worth keeping an eye on.
FRED MACKINTOSH – HIS TO LOSE
First up, the Lib Dem Candidate in Edinburgh South. Following the announcement by Labour’s
Nigel Griffiths to stand down in early February 2010, the Lib Dems have a great shot at taking this
seat from Labour. Expense and personal scandal had already engulfed Griffiths – and now with
his departure it gives his Labour successor just a few weeks to establish themselves before an
election. No mean feat. With three years under his belt working the seat, the barrister and
highly-regarded campaigner should win – and could expect to play a role in Nick Clegg’s shadow
cabinet in the next parliament.
STEPHEN PARKINSON – ONE FOR THE FUTURE
The Conservatives established the ‘City Seat Initiative’ – a scheme that has seen a cluster of
hopefuls working several seats in a particular urban area. Candidates were recently assigned a
particular seat to fight. One such candidate was Stephen Parkinson – the PPC in Newcastle Upon
Tyne North. A high-flyer from a comprehensive background who went on to study at Cambridge,
who published his first book at the age of just 26 and has already been Director of Research at
the Centre for Policy Studies, Parkinson is sure to make his impact on politics over the next decade.
Starting in a distant third in this seat, defeat is all but assured, but having previously spent two
years briefing Michael Howard and David Cameron at CCO, a job offer from a new Conservative
Government beckons – and in all likelihood, selection for a more winnable parliamentary seat at
the next election but one.
RICHARD BURT – A HUSBAND AND WIFE TEAM?
Not many Lib Dem PPCs will overturn a 3,500 plus Conservative majority at the next election. But
Richard Burt, husband of Lib Dem MP Lorely Burt, has a chance. Standing in Worcestershire West
where incumbent MP Michael Spicer faced heavy criticism over dubious expense claims, Burt now
takes on Spicer’s successor – Conservative PPC Harriet Baldwin. The combination of the expenses
scandal, the absence of any ‘personal vote’ for an incumbent and a new Conservative candidate
whose profession is, gasp, investment banking has to make overturning the 3,500 majority a
possibility. His wife was an unexpected winner in 2005, will it be the husband’s turn this time?
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Sal Brinton
CANDIDATE: Liberal Democrat PPC for Watford
MAJORITY: 1,151 (2.33% swing)
SWING REQUIRED: 1.17%
INCUMBENT: Claire Ward MP (Labour)
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Bridget Fox
CANDIDATE: Liberal Democrat PPC for Islington South and Finsbury
MAJORITY: 484 (1.56%)
SWING REQUIRED: 0.78%
INCUMBENT: Emily Thornberry MP (Labour)
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THE NEXT GENERATION
Louise Abbott
Senior Account Manager, Insight Public Affairs
In General Elections there are three types of seats political junkies watch to try to predict the
election result: bellwether contests that historically fall to the winning party, key marginals that
decide majorities and scandal hit safe seats that fall to popular outsiders. In 2010 however,
every seat has the potential for high drama. The expenses scandal has added considerably to
the high turnover of MPs that one would expect at the end of a third term Government. Many
constituencies that were once safe, bed-blocker seats are being fought by new and dynamic
candidates. In such tumultuous times, election night will surely cede a number of unpredictable
results. Here are a few contests that are worth keeping an eye on.
BELLWETHERS AND KEY MARGINALS
Recent boundary changes mean that there are only really two reliable bellwethers remaining, Dartford
(Dr Howard Stoate MP) and Chorley (Lindsay Hoyle MP) that have both followed the national result in every
election since 1964. In 2010, Dartford is likely to turn blue, along with a number of other ultra-marginals in
Kent. The key seat to watch here is Dover: the safest of Labour’s 7 Kent seats in 2005, if Charlie Elphicke
wins here, Cameron is likely heading to Number 10.
For Cameron to gain a single-figure majority, the constituencies of Hyndburn (6.9% swing), Kingswood
(6.85% swing) and Derby North (6.8% swing) will have to switch from Labour to the Conservatives. In the
South West, where the Conservatives could take as many as 10 seats from the LibDems, close contests are
likely in Torbay, Taunton and Somerset and Frome. The most marginal is Somerset and Frome where
Annunziata Rees-Mogg needs only a 0.6% swing to unseat LibDem incumbent David Heath.
UPSETS
There are three key seats that might provide break through opportunities for the minor parties: Brighton
Pavilion for the Greens (Caroline Lucas), Barking for the BNP (Nick Griffin) and Buckingham for UKIP (Nigel
Farage). Expect great theatre in all three contests but perhaps only one upset. With 35% of the vote in a
recent ICM poll and a clutch of local council wins, Lucas is the hot bet in Brighton Pavilion.
As much as it would delight the Conservatives to see Ed Balls decapitated (electorally) in Morley and
Outwood, a notional majority of 9,784 and a required Conservative swing of 12.3%, makes this impossible.
However, vulnerable high profile figures include Jim Murphy in East Renfrewshire (majority 6,657). This was
a safe Conservative seat until 1997. If Richard Cook can face down the current Secretary of State in 2010,
this might mark the start of a Conservative fight back north of the border.
PARLIAMENTARY EXPENSES
The expenses scandal has rocked voter trust in MPs and will be a decisive factor in many local contests.
The majority of MPs embroiled in the worst transgressions have either stood down or been ousted saving a
great number of defeats to outsiders standing on an anti-scandal platform. Those MPs that have clung on
during the expenses storm are the most vulnerable and should be watched closely.
Former Home Secretary Jacqui Smith is particularly vulnerable in Redditch. Conservative PPC Karen Lumley
requires only a 4.6% swing and even Smith admits her prospects are bleak. Serial house flipper Margaret
Moran is standing down in Luton South, but Nigel Huddleston (Conservative) and Gavin Shuker (Labour)
will be fighting Esther Rantzen for every last vote in this key marginal.
With so many close contests to watch, the possibility of a hung Parliament and the prospect of several
senior members losing their seats, get your popcorn ready for a gripping election night.
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Labour (91)
Name Constituency PPC Website
Hilary Armstrong Durham North West Pat Glass
John Austin Erith and Thamesmead Teresa Pearce www.teresapearce.co.uk
John Battle Leeds West Rachel Reeves www.rachelreeves.net
Liz Blackman Erewash ALL WOMEN SHORTLIST
Des Browne Kilmarnock and Loudoun Cathy Jamieson MSP www.cathyjamiesonmsp.co.uk
Colin Burgon Elmet and Rothwell James Lewis www.jameslewis.me.uk
Stephen Byers Tyneside North ALL WOMEN SHORTLIST
Richard Caborn Sheffield Central Paul Blomfield www.paulblomfield.co.uk
Colin Challen Morley and Rothwell SEAT ABOLISHED
Ben Chapman Wirral South Alison McGovern
David Chaytor Bury North Maryam Khan
Michael Clapham Barnsley West and Penistone SEAT ABOLISHED
David Clelland Tyne Bridge CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
(new constituency Gateshead)
Harry Cohen Leyton and Wanstead CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Frank Cook Stockton North Alex Cunningham www.stockton-north.com
Jim Cousins Newcastle upon Tyne Central Chi Onwurah www.chi4central.com
Ann Cryer Keighley Jane Thomas www.janethomaslabour.co.uk
John Cummings Easington Grahame Morris www.grahamemorris.com
Claire Curtis-Thomas Crosby Bill Esterson (new
constituency Sefton Central)
Janet Dean Burton Ruth Smeeth www.ruthsmeeth.co.uk
Jim Devine Livingston Graeme Morrice
Bill Etherington Sunderland North Julie Elliott (new constituency
Sunderland Central) www.julie4sunderland.com
Barbara Follett Stevenage Sharon Taylor www.sharontaylor4stevenage.com
Neil Gerrard Walthamstow Stella Creasy www.workingforwalthamstow.org.uk
Nigel Griffiths Edinburgh South CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
John Grogan Selby Jan Marshall (new
constituency Selby and Ainsty)
Mike Hall Weaver Vale CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Doug Henderson Newcastle upon Tyne North Catherine McKinnell www.catherinemckinnell.co.uk
Stephen Hesford Wirral West CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Patricia Hewitt Leicester West Liz Kendall www.lizkendall.org
Keith Hill Streatham Chuka Umunna www.streathamlabour.org.uk
Kim Howells Pontypridd CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Beverley Hughes Stretford and Urmston Kate Green www.kategreen.org
John Hutton Barrow and Furness John Woodcock www.john-woodcock-for-furness.org
Brian Iddon Bolton South East Yasmin Qureshi www.yasminqureshi.org.uk
Adam Ingram East Kilbride, Strathaven Michael McCann
and Lesmahagow
Lynne Jones Birmingham Selly Oak SEAT ABOLISHED
Martyn Jones Clwyd South Susan Elan Jones
Ruth Kelly Bolton West Julie Hilling www.juliehilling.org.uk
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THE NEXT GENERATION: THE TARGET SEATS
Labour continued
Name Constituency PPC Website
Fraser Kemp Houghton and Bridget Phillipson (new www.bridgetphillipson.co.uk
Washington East constituency Houghton
and Sunderland South)
Jane Kennedy Liverpool Wavertree Luciana Berger www.lucianaberger.com
David Lepper Brighton Pavilion Nancy Platts www.nancyplatts.com
Tom Levitt High Peak Caitlin Bisknell
Andrew Mackinlay Thurrock Carl Morris www.carlmorris4thurrock.com
Bob Marshall Medway Teresa Murray (new www.teresamurray.org.uk
Andrews constituency Rochester
and Strood)
Eric Martlew Carlisle Michael Boaden www.ericmartlew.org.uk
Christine McCafferty Calder Valley Stephanie Booth www.stephbooth4caldervalley.co.uk
Ian McCartney Makerfield Yvonne Forargue
John McFall Dunbartonshire West CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Rosemary McKenna Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Gregg McClymont www.eastdunbartonshire
Kirkintilloch East labourparty.org.uk
Alan Milburn Darlington Jenny Chapman www.jennychapman.co.uk
Margaret Moran Luton South Gavin Shuker www.gavinshuker.org
Elliot Morley Scunthorpe Nic Dakin
Kali Mountford Colne Valley Debbie Abrahams www.debbieabrahams4
colnevalley.org.uk
Chris Mullin Sunderland South SEAT ABOLISHED
Denis Murphy Wansbeck CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Doug Naysmith Bristol North West Sam Townsend www.samtownend.com
Eddie O'Hara Knowsley South SEAT ABOLISHED
Bill Olner Nuneaton Jayne Innes www.jayneinnes.org.uk
Ian Pearson Dudley South ALL WOMEN SHORTLIST
Greg Pope Hyndburn Graham Jones
Bridget Prentice Lewisham East Heidi Alexander www.heidialexander.org.uk
John Prescott Hull East Karl Turner
Ken Purchase Wolverhampton North East Emma Reynolds www.emmareynolds.org.uk
John Reid Airdrie and Shotts ALL WOMEN SHORTLIST
Martin Salter Reading West Naz Sarkar www.readingwest.com
Mohammed Sarwar Glasgow Central Anas Sarwar www.sarwar4glasgow.com
Clare Short1 (Independent) Birmingham Ladywood Shabana Mahmood www.shabanamahmood.co.uk
Sion Simon Birmingham Erdington CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Alan Simpson Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood www.liliangreenwood.blogspot.com
John Smith Vale of Glamorgan Alana Davies www.alanadavies.co.uk
Helen Southworth Warrington South Nick Bent
Ian Stewart Eccles SEAT ABOLISHED
Howard Stoate Dartford John Adams www.dartfordlabourparty.org.uk
Gavin Strang Edinburgh East Sheila Gilmore
David Taylor (Deceased) Leicestershire North West Ross Willmott
Paddy Tipping Sherwood Emilie Oldknow www.emilie4sherwood.co.uk
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THE NEXT GENERATION: THE TARGET SEATS
Labour continued
Name Constituency PPC Website
Mark Todd Derbyshire South Michael Edwards www.southderbyslabour.org.uk
Don Touhig Islwyn CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Paul Truswell Pudsey Jamie Hanley
Des Turner Brighton Kemptown Simon Burgess www.iwc2.labouronline.org
Neil Turner Wigan Lisa Nandy
Kitty Ussher Burnley Julie Cooper www.juliecooperforburnley.co.uk
Rudi Vis Finchley and Golders Green Alison Moore
Robert Wareing2 Liverpool West Derby Stephen Twigg www.twigg4westderby.com
Alan Williams Swansea West Geraint Davies www.geraintdavies.org.uk
Betty Williams Aberconwy Ronald Hughes
Michael Wills Swindon North Victor Agarwal www.victor4stanwell.org.uk
Tony Wright Cannock Chase Susan Woodward
Derek Wyatt Sittingbourne and Sheppey Angela Harrison www.sittingbourneand
sheppeylabour.org.uk
(1) Independent Labour (2) Deselected – may stand as Independent
Conservative (38)
Name Constituency PPC Website
Peter Ainsworth Surrey East CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Michael Ancram Devizes Claire Perry www.claireperry.org.uk
Peter Atkinson Hexham Guy Opperman ww.guyopperman.blogspot.com
Tim Boswell Daventry Chris Heaton-Harris www.heatonharris.com
Angela Browning Tiverton and Honiton Neil Parish www.neilparish.co.uk
John Butterfill Bournemouth West Conor Burns www.localconservatives.com
Derek Conway Old Bexley and Sidcup James Brokenshire MP www.jamesbrokenshire.com
Sir Patrick Cormack Staffordshire South Gavin Williamson
David Curry Skipton and Rippon Julian Smith www.juliansmithppc.com
Quentin Davies1 (Labour) Grantham and Stamford Nick Boles www.nickboles.com
Christopher Fraser Norfolk South West Liz Truss www.elizabethtruss.com
Paul Goodman Wycombe Steve Baker www.stevebaker.info
John Greenway2 Ryedale SEAT ABOLISHED
John Gummer Suffolk Coastal Therese Coffey www.theresecoffey.com
Douglas Hogg Sleaford and North Hykeham Stephen Phillips www.stephenphillips.org.uk
John Horam Orpington Jo Johnson
Michael Howard Folkestone and Hythe Damian Collins www.damiancollins.com
Michael Jack Fylde Mark Menzies www.markmenzies.org.uk
Robert Key Salisbury John Glen www.johnglen.org
Julie Kirkbride Bromsgrove Sajid Javid www.sajidjavid.com
Jacqui Lait Beckenham Bob Stewart www.beckenhamconservatives.com
Michael Lord Suffolk Central and Ipswich North Daniel Poulter www.drdanielpoulter.com
Andrew Mackay Bracknell Phillip Lee www.phillip-lee.com
David Maclean Penrith and The Border Rory Stewart www.rorystewart.co.uk
40
THE NEXT GENERATION: THE TARGET SEATS
Conservative continued
Name Constituency PPC Website
Humphrey Malins Woking Jonathan Lord www.workingconservatives.org.uk
John Maples Stratford-on-Avon CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Michael Mates Hampshire East Damian Hinds www.damianhinds.info
Malcolm Moss Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay www.stevebarclay.net
Andrew Pelling Croydon Central Gavin Barwell www.gavin4croydon.com
Michael Spicer Worcestershire West Harriet Baldwin www.harriettbaldwin.com
Richard Spring Suffolk West Matthew Hancock
Anthony Steen Totnes Sarah Wollaston www.drsarah.org.uk
Ian Taylor Esher and Walton Dominic Raab www.domraab.blogspot.com
Peter Viggers Gosport Caroline Dinenage www.caroline4gosport.co.uk
Ann Widdecombe Maidstone and The Weald Helen Grant www.helengrant.org
David Wilshire Spelthorne Kwasi Kwarteng www.kwart2010.com
Ann Winterton Congleton Fiona Bruce www.fionabruce.co.uk
Sir Nicholas Winterton Macclesfield David Rutley www.macclesfieldconservatives.com
(1) Elected Conservative – defected Labour – deselected (2) Anne McIntosh selected for new constituency Thirsk and Malton
Other (3)
Name Constituency PPC Website
Iris Robinson Strangford CANDIDATE NOT SELECTED
Adam Price Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Jonathan Edwards
Alex Salmond Banff and Buchan Eilidh Whiteford
41
THE NEXT GENERATION: THE TARGET SEATS
This analysis looks at the candidates selected in seats where the sitting MP is retiring.
The data has been compiled based on information in public domain, and is correct as at
8 February 2010.
42
THE NEXT GENERATION: THE TARGET SEATS
NEW SEATS
13 new seats are created following boundary changes, of which 10 are notionally Conservative and three Lib Dem:
New Conservative seats Notional majority Conservative PPC
Broadland Conservative majority 5121 (10.6%) Keith Simpson
Chelsea and Fulham Conservative majority 10724 (30.2%) Greg Hands
Derbyshire Mid Conservative majority 2971 (6.8%) Pauline Latham
Devon Central Conservative majority 1744 (3.7%) Mel Stride
Filton and Bradley Stoke Conservative majority 1201 (2.9%) Jack Lopresti
Kenilworth and Southam Conservative majority 8992 (19.5%) Jeremy Wright
Meon Valley Conservative majority 1990 (4.1%) George Hollingbery
Northamptonshire South Conservative majority 10617 (24.3%) Andrea Leadsom
Witham Conservative majority 7045 (16%) Priti Patel
Wyre and Preston North Conservative majority 14567 (28.7%) Julian Sturdy
New Lib Dem seats Notional majority Lib Dem PPC
Chippenham Lib Dem majority 1260 (2.7%) Duncan Hames
St Austell and Newquay Lib Dem majority 630 (1.6%) Stephen Gilbert
York Outer Lib Dem majority 1821 (4.5%) Madeleine Kirk
BOUNDARY CHANGES
There are 20 seats that, had they been fought with the new 2010 boundaries in 2005, would theoretically
have been won by another political party. In many cases the changes in these seats are actually very small,
but because the seats were very marginal in 2005 they notionally change hands going into this election.
Conservative seats notionally gained by Labour Labour PPC
Lancaster and Fleetwood Clive Grunshaw
Croydon Central Gerry Ryan
Milton Keynes North Andrew Pakes
Hammersmith Andrew Slaughter
Northampton South Clyde Loakes
Labour seats notionally gained by Conservatives Conservative PPC
Somerset North East Jacob Rees-Mogg
Staffordshire Moorlands Karen Bradley
Selby and Ainsty Nigel Adams
Gillingham and Rainham Rehman Chishti
Portsmouth North Penny Mordaunt
Thanet South Laura Sandys
Sittingbourne and Sheppey Gordon Henderson
Rochester and Strood Mark Reckless
Wirral West Esther McVey
Ealing Central and Acton Angie Bray
Enfield North Nick de Bois
Labour seats notionally gained by Liberal Democrats Liberal Democrat PPC
Oxford East Steve Goddard
Liberal Democrat seats notionally gained by Conservatives Conservative PPC
Solihull Maggie Throup
Somerton and Frome Annunziata Rees-Mogg
Plaid Cymru seats notionally gained by Labour Labour PPC
Arfon Alun Pugh
43
THE NEXT GENERATION: PARLIAMENTARY CANDIDATES TO WATCH
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