Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Planning
TRIP GENERATION
Travel Demand
Trip Generation
Trip Distribution
Mode Choice
Determine the number of person or vehicle trips to and from different land uses
in an analysis zone
Predict the share of users who will choose to travel using each available mode
Trip Assignment
Modeling Challenges
Land Use
Transportation network
Traffic
http://www.mwcog.org/transportation/images/
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Trip Generation
ESTIMATING PRODUCTIONS
Household Surveys
Cross Classification
Linear Regression
ESTIMATING ATTRACTIONS
CONVERTING PRODUCTIONS
AND ATTRACTIONS TO
ORIGINS AND DESTINATIONS
Demographic Data
Household Survey
Trip Rates
Productions
Trip Rates
Attractions
Estimating
Productions
HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
CROSS CLASSIFICATION
LINEAR REGRESSION
Household Surveys
Household Surveys
Trips
Frequencies
Distances
Household characteristics
Demographics
Vehicle Ownership
Normal Distribution
The values calculated using sample data provide only an estimate of the
true mean and standard deviation
The std. dev. of the sample mean (or standard error) is given by:
where N is the population size, n is the sample size, and 2 is the population
variance
For a single sample, the best estimate of the population variance is the
sample variance
For large populations and small sample sizes, (N-n)/N approaches one, so:
Variability
Population size
Cross-Classification
Trip rates are derived from survey data and cross-classified with one or
more individual variables to estimate trip rates
Cross-Classification Example
Linear Regression
For one independent variable (Y) and one dependent variable (X)
The residual is an error term that accounts for the difference between an
observed value and its model estimate
The sum of squared residuals is a measure used in statistics to quantify the fit of a
model to an observed dataset
R2
1
where
Estimating
Attractions
Example
ProductionAttraction Matrix
vs. OriginDestination
Matrix
PA VS. OD MATRIX
CONVERTING FROM PA
TO OD
Production-Attraction Matrix
Origin-Destination Matrix
Used in Traffic Assignment stage to determine sources (location where trips created)
and sinks (location where trips are consumed) for trips
Production-Attraction Matrix
Origin-Destination Matrix