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Article history:
Received 7 May 2015
Received in revised form
21 September 2015
Accepted 21 September 2015
Available online xxx
Browneld redevelopment has recently become the focus of attention of governments, communities,
environmental advocates, scientists, and researchers around the world. The purpose of this study is to
provide a framework for establishing and optimizing an evaluation index for browneld redevelopment
projects (BRPs). This framework involves three steps: the initial design, testing and optimization, and
verication. With the help of two standard statistical software packages, the reliability and validity of the
initialized index system are established, and then the optimization of the initial index system is carried
out by means of Factor Analysis. The effectiveness of the optimization of the index system is veried
through Structural Equation Modeling. Furthermore, an illustration example is used to show how to
apply the established index system in the real world.
2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Browneld redevelopment project
Evaluation index system
Establishment and optimization
Factor analysis
Structural equation modeling
Software availability
Data availability
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: gke@mun.ca (G.Y. Ke).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.09.012
1364-8152/ 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
After decades of effort, the concept of sustainable development
has been accepted and adopted as policy by governments, for-prot
organizations, non-prot organizations, and individuals (WBCSD,
2014; UNDSD, 2009). The World Business Council on Sustainable
Development (WBCSD) (2014) dened sustainable development as
forms of progress that meet the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their
174
needs. Browneld redevelopment continues a concrete application of the concept of sustainable development (Wedding and
Crawford-Brown, 2007). Sardinha et al. (2013) proposed a sustainability redevelopment framework that illustrates how the
integration of different perspectives and approaches can lead to a
locally adapted sustainable development overview that can support
the redevelopment planning of a browneld in a rural setting.
Many countries have given their own denitions of brownelds
according to specic characteristics (Alker et al., 2000). Among
these denitions, the most commonly cited is the one from the US
Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), which denes brownelds as abandoned, idle, or underutilized commercial or industrial properties where an active potential for redevelopment is
restrained by known or suspected environmental contamination
caused by past actions (USEPA, 2005). Brownelds exist in very
large numbers and pose serious environmental and health risks in
industrialized countries around the globe. For example, the United
States is believed to contain between 500,000 and 1,000,000
browneld sites and Germany about 362,000 (NRTEE, 2003). Canada may have up to 30,000 brownelds, including the sites of
almost-forgotten industrial enterprises such as coal gasication
plants, locations where toxic substances were used or stored, and
former gas stations and mining operations (De Sousa, 2001).
Undoubtedly, restoration and redevelopment of brownelds can
provide a range of economic, social, and environmental benets,
including restoration of environmental quality and improvement of
quality of life for citizens, elimination of health threats, provision of
land for housing or commercial purposes, creation of employment
opportunities, expansion of the tax base for all levels of government, and reduction in the pressure on urban centers to expand
into greenelds (NRTEE, 2003). Thus, brownelds have recently
become the focus of attention for governments, communities,
environmental advocates, scientists, and researchers around the
world. Considerable research has addressed browneld redevelopment issues including development of remediation technologies,
environmental assessment, risk assessment and management,
nancial arrangements, and community and public involvement
(Brebbia, 2006).
Many methodologies from the elds of social science and
management science have been utilized to handle challenging
environmental management problems. Chen et al. (2009) used the
rough-set approach to classify cities facing brownelds redevelopment issues. BenDor et al. (2011) presented a system dynamics
model of the redevelopment process that illustrates how delays
compound before realizing nancial benets from investment in
core urban areas. Chrysochoou et al. (2012) presented an indexing
scheme to screen browneld sites in wide areas which help
develop initial planning strategies for fund allocation and rede berl et al. (2013) developed an assessment method
velopment. Do
based on effectiveness-cost analysis to support decision making in
contaminated site management and to implement the principles
of sustainability into the selection of remediation options in
Austria. Ruelle et al. (2013) used a community investigation
approach to study the relationship of landscape quality and
dler et al. (2011) used an intebrownelds redevelopment. Scha
grated assessment model to design sustainable and economically
dler et al. (2012)
attractive browneld revitalization options. Scha
used a decision support method to build a framework of assessment methods and models which would support an efcient early
judgment about whether and how brownelds could be assigned
dler et al. (2013)
a sustainable and marketable land use. Scha
proved that a spatially explicit algorithmic evaluation of sustainability indicators might signicantly improve the applicability,
comprehensiveness and reliability of the indicator-based evaluation of sustainability with a case study. Among all the
175
Fig. 1. The framework of establishment and optimization of an evaluation index system for BRPs.
redeveloped for useful purposes, the reused land can bring economic, social, and environmental benets. For example, if apartment buildings are constructed on a formal browneld property,
the landlord will collect rent from the residents, the people living in
the apartment will spend money in the community, and the city
where the apartment is located will have a larger tax base and
enhance its reputation with respect to environmental stewardship.
All these activities make the redevelopment sustainable.
A BRP is very different from development projects on clean land.
First, it is critical to remediate the project site and ensure that it
complies with environmental standards in consonance with its
subsequent development. Second, there are special requirements
for the BRP to prevent environment contamination. The environmental index must be considered within an integrated evaluation
process to make sure that all stakeholders of the BRP benet from
the redevelopment, and thus, to achieve the goal of sustainable
development. Traditional evaluation methods emphasize the economic evaluation, which usually uses a nancial index, such as Net
Present Value (NPV), Return on Investment (ROI), or Payback Period
(PP), to measure the project, but rarely take the environmental and
ecological indices into consideration. This omission may signicantly increase the possibility of having more environmental
pollution, ecological deterioration and resources exhaustion.
Therefore, the evaluation of a BRP should not only be viewed from
the economic perspective, but also be integrated with environmental, social, national economic, nancial, and risk evaluation.
Details of the aforementioned evaluation concepts are described as
follows.
(1) Environmental Evaluation refers to the analysis of the BRP
with respect to environmental restoration. The BRP environmental evaluation should focus on the improvement of
soil quality and the increasing percentage of green land.
(2) Social Evaluation. The sustainable development viewpoint
makes people conscious of the importance of harmoniously
developing human projects with nature. The evaluation of
the BRP should take both the economic benets and the goal
of fairness among stakeholders into consideration.
(3) Economic Evaluation refers to evaluating the economic
benets based on the principle of rational resource allocation, which may be indirectly reaped from the BRP. The
economic evaluation of a BRP is mainly concerned with the
176
measurement are shown in Table 1. Please note that the last column
shows the reliability test results, which are discussed in the next
section.
0
a
k B
B
B1
k 1@
1
Pk
variC
C
C
vari A
i1
(1)
177
Table 1
Initially established evaluation index system for BRP and its reliability coefcients.
Initial evaluation
index system for BRP
Dimensions
Criteria
Measurement
Reliability coefcients
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Quantitative
Quantitative
Quantitative
Quantitative
Quantitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
Qualitative
No. of Items 10
Cronbach's Alpha 0.859
Prospective Value
No. of Items 5
Cronbach's Alpha 0.856
No. of Items 5
Cronbach's Alpha 0.898
No. of Items 7
Cronbach's Alpha 0.853
Qualitative
Table 2
Results of KMO and Bartlett's test.
Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin measure of sampling adequacy
Bartlett's test of sphericity
8
x a11 f1 a12 f2 ::: a1k fk 1
>
>
< 1
x2 a21 f1 a22 f2 ::: a2k fk 2
:::
>
>
:
xn an1 f1 an2 f2 ::: ank fk n
0.929
4.805E3
351
0.000
Approx. chi-square
Degree of freedom
Signicant level
The method that the authors used for factor extraction (optimization) was principal components analysis (PCA), which is used
as a tool in exploratory data analysis and involves the calculation of
the eigenvalue decomposition of a data covariance matrix or singular value decomposition of a data matrix, after mean centering
the data for each attribute. The results of a PCA are discussed in
terms of component scores and loadings.
Please note that the eigenvalue associated with each factor
shows the variance explained by that particular factor. For example
in Table 3, the eigenvalue of factor 1 is 10.622, which explains
39.340% of total variance. According to the Kaiser rule, the factors
which satisfy eigenvalue >1 are extracted (Bandalos and BoehmKaufman, 2008). From Table 3, only six factors can meet the criteria,
and thus these six factors were extracted, which can explain more
than 66 per cent of total variance. All the remaining factors are not
signicant.
Table 3
Component scores and loadings.
(2)
where aij are the factor loadings for the ith subject, for j 1,2 ,k;
i 1,2 ,n; and i are independently distributed error terms with a
mean of zero and nite variance, which may not be the same for all
i.
Total
% Of Variance
Cumulative %
Total
% Of Variance
Cumulative %
10.622
2.491
1.529
1.154
1.022
1.018
39.340
9.227
5.663
4.273
3.785
3.770
39.340
48.568
54.231
58.504
62.290
66.060
4.548
3.250
3.142
2.592
2.328
1.977
16.844
12.036
11.637
9.599
8.623
7.321
16.844
28.879
40.517
50.115
58.739
66.060
178
Table 4
Component matrix.
Component
0.716
0.678
0.675
0.674
0.674
0.669
0.666
0.659
0.650
0.649
0.644
0.642
0.639
0.634
0.628
0.618
0.615
0.610
0.604
0.604
0.604
0.585
0.584
0.554
0.528
0.495
0.588
0.373
0.342
0.219
0.385
0.448
0.353
0.247
0.532
0.309
0.427
0.156
0.164
0.275
0.360
0.280
0.135
0.394
0.160
0.337
0.102
0.263
0.591
0.145
0.235
0.390
0.233
0.378
0.104
0.175
0.478
0.453
0.235
0.125
0.299
0.254
0.494
0.371
0.116
0.101
0.113
0.199
0.140
0.295
0.302
0.146
0.345
0.114
0.113
0.312
0.187
0.244
0.159
0.117
0.296
0.137
0.168
0.243
0.360
0.190
0.128
0.338
0.210
0.382
0.357
0.131
0.179
0.101
0.136
0.252
0.202
0.157
0.176
0.101
0.420
0.237
0.145
0.245
0.397
0.378
0.197
0.195
0.240
0.128
0.301
0.149
0.281
0.180
0.384
0.158
0.139
0.378
0.116
0.223
0.177
Health Benet Indicators, Financial Indicators, Browneld Site Indicators, Societal Stability Indicators, Policy and Technical Indicators, and Performance Indicators, respectively. So far, we have
obtained the optimized evaluation index system for BRPs, which
is depicted in the rst three columns of the numerical entries in
Table 5.
4. Effectiveness verication of the optimized evaluation
index system for browneld redevelopment projects
Having been optimized, the index system still needs to be tested
regarding the feasibility of its employment in the evaluation of
BRPs. The authors adopted the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM)
method (Pearl, 2000), which is a statistical technique for testing
and estimating causal relations using a combination of statistical
data and qualitative causal assumptions, to conrm the effectiveness of the optimization of the evaluation index system for BRPs.
With the assistance of AMOS software, a parametric test and the
comprehensive evaluation of the model were executed.
4.1. Parametric test
The parametric test mainly conducts an inspection of the
representativeness and rationality of parameters, as well as the
meaning and rationality of evaluation parameters.
Test of the representativeness of parameters in the Structural
Equation is similar to the parametric representative assessment in
the linear regression equation, namely, a test of the parameter t.
Test of the rationality of parameters is used to assess the
realistic meaning of the selected parameters.
AMOS provides an easy and convenient method by using CR
(Critical Ration) to test the representativeness of parameters. The
results of the parametric estimation can be found in Table 6.
From the Un-Standardized Regression Coefcients in Table 6, all
179
Table 5
Optimized evaluation index system for BRP and rotated component matrix.
Optimized evaluation
Factors/indicators
Index system for BRP
Criteria
Component
1
Environmental
and health benets
0.856
0.807
0.776
0.729
0.719
0.600
0.477
0.514
0.348 0.326
0.756
0.720 0.320
0.704
0.663
0.594
0.356
0.743
0.722
0.717
0.667
0.727
0.725
0.641
0.430
0.707
0.580
0.302
0.486 0.568
0.309 0.436
0.451
0.477
0.726
0.674
0.334
0.581
0.443 0.483
P values are less than 5%, so all Path Coefcients pass the test of
representativeness.
The rationality of parameters should be determined before
evaluating the Goodness-of-Fit of a model. So it is necessary to test
whether the parametric estimation exceeds the acceptable range.
The results of estimated coefcient of error variance are shown in
Table 7. Referring to the denition by Hair et al. (1998), the
Table 6
Un-standardized and standardized regression coefcient.
Un-standardized regression coefcient
F2)F0
F1)F0
F3)F0
F4)F0
F13)F1
F23)F2
Un-standardized coefcient
Standardized error
Probability
Mark
1.044
1.000
0.949
1.125
1.049
0.963
0.105
***
par_3
0.099
0.122
0.062
0.070
9.591
9.190
17.001
13.715
***
***
***
***
par_4
par_5
par_1
par_2
Standardized coefcient
F2)F0
F1)F0
F3)F0
F4)F0
F13)F1
F23)F2
0.832
0.707
0.775
0.777
0.804
0.745
Table 7
Estimated coefcient of error variance (partial).
F0
e27
e29
e2
e4
e26
e28
e30
e3
e5
Un-standardized coefcient
Standardized error
Probability
Mark
0.883
0.530
0.384
0.868
1.032
0.427
0.734
0.343
1.061
1.051
0.144
0.087
0.108
0.083
0.088
0.078
0.133
0.083
0.098
0.096
6.113
6.109
3.545
10.494
11.741
5.454
5.523
4.131
10.799
10.933
***
***
***
***
***
***
***
***
***
***
par_24
par_26
par_28
par_32
par_34
par_25
par_27
par_29
par_33
par_35
180
Table 8
The Fit indices.
Absolute t index
Comparative t Index
Parsimonious t Index
Model
c2
c2 /d f
RMSEA
IFI
CFI
TLI
PNFI
PCFI
AIC
1
2
Evaluation Standard
0.849
0.875
>0.90
0.848
0.888
>0.90
0.832
0.889
>0.90
0.723
0.751
>0.5
0.768
0.792
>0.5
1201.788
848.843
The smaller, the better.
1081.788
740.843
e
3.402
3.012
<3.0
0.172
0.075
<0.08
Table 9
Values of the proposal options.
Factors/indicators
Financial
Browneld Site
Societal Stability
Performance
Criteria
Proposal options
A
75
70
78
80
77
75
5
21
1500
15
2580
75
85
80
55
90
85
80
75
60
60
70
70
75
85
82
84
89
87
80
7
30
2700
27
3500
85
82
88
80
92
90
75
90
65
90
85
80
70
77
60
65
68
85
90
4
17
2100
18
2600
80
90
90
85
75
72
88
75
60
85
80
85
85
181
5. An illustration example
Acknowledgments
This research was supported in part by the National Social Sciences Foundation of China through the project Research on Life
Span Risk Management of Browneld Redevelopment Project
(10BJY024), by the Provincial Social Sciences Foundation in
Shaanxi, China through the project Market Mechanism and Policy
System for Browneld Redevelopment in Shaanxi Province
(08E023), and by the Humanities and Social Science Foundation of
the Ministry of Education of China through the project Stakeholders Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis of Browneld
Redevelopment (08JC630066). Backing was also provided by the
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) of
Canada (NSERC-RGPIN-4118-2013 27238), which funded the
Research Discovery Grant for the project entitled Systems Engineering Approaches to Sustainable Environmental Management.
Finally, the Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)
located in Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, also furnished support.
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