Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CMP
Rs505
Rating
NOT RATED
Change in Estimates
Meeting highlights
NA
Expects to garners orders worth Rs30-40 bn in CY15E largely to come from Marine and
NA
Previous Reco
NA
metro segments, currently remains L1 for projects worth Rs8 bn. Current order book
provides revenue visibility for 3 years
Focus on improving the balance sheet, already reduced debt worth Rs1 bn from the QIP
Emkay vs Consensus
EPS Estimates
proceeds, likely to close debt at Rs6.5 bn in CY14E. The company believes that raising
equity coupled with one time settlement money from NHAI will help reducing working
capital debt levels for the company
Given that 10-12% of the order book remains slow-moving/low margin and further write
FY16E
FY17E
Emkay
Consensus
Mean Consensus TP
offs are expected in some orders which will get executed over the next two quarters and
with newer order wins remains accretive , management expects that EBITDA margins
to rebound to 10-11% range in CY15E/16E
Stock Details
Rs33 bn for 4th container terminal at JNPT from PSA (Port of Singapore) Will be given
Bloomberg Code
ITCE IN
10
16
52 Week H/L
522 / 114
8 / 0.12
12,511
0.1
in two phase , Phase -1 Rs25 bn (Reclamation & dredging ) and Phase II Rs8 bn for
berth construction
Promoters
51.6%
FIIs
3.3%
DIIs
23.7%
Public
17.7%
For future visibility company sees potential from Ganga Cleaning project with respect to
dredging, Navigation, Jetties, Building Ghats, redevelopment alongside river.
Price Performance
(%)
1M
3M
6M
12M
Absolute
11
13
42
258
31
175
Rel. to Nifty
Rs
% 180
440
140
355
100
(Rs mn)
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
270
60
Net Sales
14,469
16,976
16,509
15,841
12,048
185
20
EBITDA
1,404
1,668
1,912
1,625
704
9.7
9.8
11.6
10.3
5.8
APAT
94
226
220
93
(346)
EPS (Rs)
EPS (% chg)
ROE (%)
P/E (x)
8.1
19.6
19.1
8.1
(28.3)
73.4
140.7
(2.7)
(57.7)
2.6
6.1
5.6
2.3
61.0
25.3
26.0
61.5
EV/EBITDA (x)
7.6
7.1
6.9
8.1
P/BV (x)
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.4
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com, Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>, Reuters and DOWJONES.
100
Dec-13
Feb-14
Apr-14
Jun-14
Aug-14
Oct-14
-20
Dec-14
Source: Bloomberg
Nitin Arora
nitin.arora@emkayglobal.com
66242491
Kushan Parikh
kushan.parikh@emkayglobal.com
66121431
Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd.
Construction of Bose Institute at Salt Lake, Kolkata worth Rs1334 mn from Rites Ltd.
Container Terminal 4 at Mundra worth Rs1178 mn from Adani Port & SEZ Ltd.
Design and Construction of reclamation and container yard at JNPT worth Rs4067 mn from
Nhava Sheva (I) Gateway Terminal.
Construction of rail tunnel in J&K worth Rs1334 mn from KRCL.
Construction of LNG storage tanks at Mundra worth Rs1113 mn from IHI Corporation.
Construction of Coal berth worth Rs1989 mn from Ennore Port Ltd.
Construction of Kolkata Metro stations 7 Nos. worth Rs3512 mn from RVNL.
Construction of Container berth (JSW Jaigarh) worth Rs1090 mn.
Laying of water trunk main & laying of sewer line by micro tunneling method (Taratala)
worth Rs1459 mn from KEIIP.
15.1%
34.1%
Urban Infrastructure /
MRTS
Marine
18.6%
Specialist Works
11.2%
15.0%
5.8%
0.2%
Airport
VALUE
(in Rs mn)
MARINE
17703
PROJECTS
Phase-2 Expansion of Coal Terminal at Ennore Port
EPC Tender for LNG Port Terminal at Jafrabad
Shore Protection Works for Site Development of PTA - 10 at RIL, Hazira
URBAN INFRASTUCTURE
/ MRTS
HYDRO/ DAMS /
TUNNEL / IRRIGATION
INDUSTRIAL
6726
15400
7141
800
2000
1000
1000
1000
1853
Contract CC-87, CT -1B, CT-1A: Part Design and Construction of elevated viaduct and 8
elevated stations of Phase III Delhi MRTS
2577/549/1600
2000
5000
5000
5000
Design and Construction of 578 m long Theng Tunnel including Geological Investigation
on Gangtok-Chungtahang Road under Project Swastik in Sikkim State
400
300
25900
50
10000
SPECIALIST PROJECTS
PROJECT VALUE
(in Rs mn)
1000
200
Construction of General Civil Works including Piling for Unit #6 of Coal Conversion
Project at Trombay
2750
2891
Various
16976
14675
16509
14469
15841
1912
2000
12048
1668
1379
12000
1500
8000
1000
4000
500
704
0
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
CY09
CY10
Exhibit 6: EPS
300
226
200
54
100
1625
1404
30.0
220
94
CY11
CY12
19.6
19.1
20.0
93
10.0
4.7
8.1
CY13
9MCY14
8.1
0.0
CY09
-100
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
-10.0
-200
-20.0
-300
-30.0
-400
-346
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
40000
30000
38210
35366
29070
28641
30000
25000
28911
25140
19987
21347
20000
17931
16350
15000
20000
9MCY14
-28.3
-40.0
50000
CY13
10826
10000
10000
5000
0
0
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
14.0%
60%
11.6%
12.0%
10.0%
9.3%
9.6%
50%
10.3%
9.7%
56%
54%
44%
42%
43%
40%
8.0%
5.8%
6.0%
30%
20%
4.0%
10%
2.0%
0%
0.0%
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY09
9MCY14
CY10
CY11
CY12
Non Cash NWC As % of Sales
CY13
10000
7834
8000
6000
7695
7578
6509
5004
2.5
2.0
2.0
5468
1.5
4000
1.7
1.4
1.5
CY09
CY10
1.9
1.5
1.0
2000
0.5
0.0
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
CY11
CY12
CY13
7.0%
6.1%
6.0%
12.0%
5.0%
10.9%
11.2%
CY09
CY10
12.7%
10.0%
10.0%
4.0%
8.0%
2.6%
3.0%
2.0%
12.9%
14.0%
5.5%
9MCY14
2.3%
1.5%
6.0%
4.0%
1.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
Inventories
57
60
40
39
44
Unbilled WIP
92
76
70
80
137
Sundry Debtors
114
134
119
146
81
30
11
10
12
CY13
46
38
31
28
43
309
309
260
293
305
Current Liabs
197
159
104
131
145
Provisions
13
99
148
154
159
157
Booked 85% of loss making projects, new project wins value accretive
Given that 10-12% of the order book remains slow-moving/low margin and further write offs are
expected in some orders which will get executed over the next two quarters and with newer order
wins remains accretive, management expects that EBITDA margins to rebound to 10-11% range
in CY15E/16E.
During the Q3CY14, the company took write downs on three projects to the tune of Rs140 mn.
Of these Rs70 mn was on account of premature closure of project due to delayed payments from
the client. The balance was on account of cost overruns that the company had incurred. In
addition to above, the ITD made a provision of Rs50 mn for project works at Kolkata Airport. The
same is covered under the escalation clause and would be recognized as revenue after it is
being approved/ reimbursed by the client. According to the management, the total charge of
Rs190 mn (stated above) are one time in nature. In absence of such charges, adjusted EBITDA
margin stands at 8.3%.
Bangkoks first underground mass transit system comprising of 10.5 km of twin tunnels, 9
underground stations.
Bangkok Mass Transit System - The train systems for this 23 kms project was provided by
Siemens and the whole project was managed by the Siemens ITD Consortium.
Suvarnabhumi International Airport capacity of 45 mn passengers
Several Dams and tunnels - completed 7 major dams and more than 30 km of large
diameter tunnels in Thailand.
ITD-parent also helps the ITD cementation for pre-qualification requirement in specifically Marine
segment and several other verticals of infrastructure segments. Since 2005, ITD has entered
into 3 separate JVs with its parent to build for projects in Roads, MRTS, Water and Airport
sectors.
Exhibit 16: Corporate Structure
95%
80%
ITD Cemindia JV
49%
ITD-ITDCem JV
40%
ITD-ITDCem JV
(Consortium of ITD-ITD
Cementation)
Construction of integrated
passenger terminal building
at Netaji Subash Chandra
Bose International airport
ITD-ITD Cem JV
ITD-ITD Cem JV
(Consortium of ITD-ITD
Cementation)
Shareholders
Key projects
Construction of integrated
passenger terminal building
at Netaji Subas Chandra
Bose (International) airport in
Kolkata
Rs26828 mn
Rs19390 mn
Rs6632 mn
Rs3629 mn
Rs173 mn
Rs5750 mn
Nil
2000-01
2004-05
2006-11
Raised Rs. 564 mn through rights issue in October 2006 (fully subscribed by parent)
Raised Rs. 2,447 mn through rights issue in December 2007 (partially subscribed by parent due to regulatory compulsions)
Entry into MRTS and airport segments with support from parent
2012
Construction of Impounded Wet Basin at Mazagon Dock, Mumbai and Dry Dock in GRSE, Kolkata
Construction of double tier elevated structure for Jaipur Metro
2013
Main Competitors
Marine structures
Industrial
Airports
MRT
Number of units
39
Cranes
60
Excavators
16
Crushers
Batching plants
36
Sensor Pavers
Concrete Pump
34
DG Set
103
Gantry
22
3
330
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
Net Sales
14,469
16,976
16,509
15,841
12,048
Expenditure
13,065
15,308
14,597
14,216
11,344
EBITDA
1,404
1,668
1,912
1,625
704
Depreciation
418
420
506
442
324
EBIT
985
1,247
1,405
1,183
380
Other Income
140
94
100
340
192
Interest expenses
918
1,060
1,195
1,283
1,024
PBT
207
282
311
239
(453)
Tax
114
56
91
146
(106)
Extraordinary Items
Minority Int./Income from Assoc.
96
227
223
94
(346)
Adjusted PAT
94
226
220
93
(346)
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
Balance Sheet
Y/E Dec (Rs mn)
Equity share capital
115
115
115
115
3,498
3,697
3,890
3,969
Net worth
3,613
3,812
4,005
4,084
5,468
6,509
7,834
7,695
(50)
(126)
(177)
(212)
Total Liabilities
9,031
10,194
11,662
11,567
Net block
1,909
2,287
2,297
2,236
Minority Interest
Loan Funds
Net deferred tax liability
Investment
12,099
14,562
15,292
16,089
491
379
368
319
3,165
6,361
7,477
7,533
5,289
6,892
6,066
6,825
6,810
7,670
9,225
9,264
9,031
10,194
11,661
11,567
Current Assets
Misc. exp
Total Assets
Key Ratios
Profitability (%)
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
EBITDA Margin
9.7
9.8
11.6
10.3
5.8
EBIT Margin
6.8
7.3
8.5
7.5
3.2
54.8
19.8
29.3
61.1
23.5
0.6
1.3
1.3
0.6
(2.9)
12.8
14.0
13.8
13.1
ROE
2.6
6.1
5.6
2.3
RoIC
12.1
14.0
13.6
10.6
CY10
8.1
CY11
19.6
CY12
19.1
CY13
8.1
9MCY14
(28.3)
CEPS
44.5
56.1
63.0
46.5
0.1
BVPS
313.6
330.9
347.6
354.5
1.5
2.0
2.0
1.0
DPS
10
Valuations (x)
CY10
61.0
CY11
25.3
CY12
26.0
CY13
61.5
9MCY14
-
11.2
8.8
7.9
10.7
P/BV
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.4
EV / Sales
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
EV / EBITDA
7.6
7.1
6.9
8.1
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.2
PER
P/CEPS
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
1.4
1.6
1.9
1.8
Net Debt/EBIDTA
3.5
3.7
3.9
4.5
159.4
156.8
195.8
206.1
Growth (%)
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
9MCY14
(1.4)
17.3
(2.8)
(4.0)
1.8
18.8
14.6
(15.0)
EBIT
10.0
26.6
12.7
(15.9)
PAT
75.3
136.2
(1.6)
(57.7)
Q3CY13
Q4CY13
Q1CY14
Q2CY14
Q3CY14
3,769
3,785
3,807
4,164
4,078
EBITDA
356
451
259
292
152
9.4
11.9
6.8
7.0
3.7
Revenue
EBITDA
PAT
(33)
25
(103)
(24)
(220)
EPS (Rs)
(2.9)
2.1
(8.9)
(2.1)
(17.3)
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Sep-14
69.6
69.6
69.6
51.6
51.6
FIIs
0.5
0.5
0.5
3.1
3.3
DIIs
0.8
0.8
2.0
20.8
23.7
Private Corp
Public
3.6
2.4
3.0
6.1
3.7
29.1
29.1
27.9
18.4
17.7
11
Expected total return (%) (Stock price appreciation and dividend yield) of over 25% within the next 12-18 months.
Expected total return (%) (Stock price appreciation and dividend yield) of over 10% within the next 12-18 months.
Expected total return (%) (Stock price appreciation and dividend yield) of upto 10% within the next 12-18 months.
Expected total return (%) (Stock price depreciation) of upto (-) 10% within the next 12-18 months.
The stock is believed to underperform the broad market indices or its related universe within the next 12-18 months.
Emkay Global Financial Services Limited (CIN- L67120MH1995PLC084899) and its affiliates are a full-service, brokerage, investment banking,
investment management, and financing group. Emkay Global Financial Services Limited (EGFSL) along with its affiliates are participants in virtually all securities trading markets in India. EGFSL was
established in 1995 and is one of India's leading brokerage and distribution house. EGFSL is a corporate trading member of Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), National Stock Exchange of India
Limited (NSE), MCX Stock Exchange Limited (MCX-SX). EGFSL along with its subsidiaries offers the most comprehensive avenues for investments and is engaged in the businesses including stock
broking (Institutional and retail), merchant banking, commodity broking, depository participant, portfolio management, insurance broking and services rendered in connection with d istribution of primary
market issues and financial products like mutual funds, fixed deposits. Details of associates are available on our website i.e. www.emkayglobal.com
EGFSL is under the process of seeking registration under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. EGFSL hereby declares that it has not defaulted with any stock exchange nor its activities were
suspended by any stock exchange with whom it is registered in last five years, except that NSE had disabled EGFSL from trading on October 05, October 08 and October 09, 2012 for a manifest error
resulting into a bonafide erroneous trade on October 05, 2012. However, SEBI and Stock Exchanges have conducted the routine inspection and based on their observations have issued advice letters or
levied minor penalty on EGFSL for certain operational deviations in ordinary/routine course of business. EGFSL has not been debarred from doing business by any Stock Exchange / SEBI or any other
authorities; nor has its certificate of registration been cancelled by SEBI at any point of time.
EGFSL offers research services to clients as well as prospects. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject
company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Other disclosures by Emkay Global Financial Services Limited (Research Entity) and its Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 with reference to the subject
company(s) covered in this report-:
EGFSL or its associates may have financial interest in the subject company.
Research Analyst or his/her relatives financial interest in the subject company. (NO)
EGFSL or its associates and Research Analyst or his/her relatives does not have any material conflict of interest in the subject company. The research Analyst or research entity (EGFSL) have not been
engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
EGFSL or its associates may have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research Report.
Research Analyst or his/her relatives have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of Research
Report: (NO)
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associates may have received compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months. EGFSL
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or its associates during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and EGFSL may have co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve
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The research Analyst has served as officer, director or employee of the subject company: (NO)
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12