November 20, 2015

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VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 51.51% of our

stocks assigned a valuation and 17.48% of those equities are calculated to
be overvalued by 20% or more. Nine sectors are calculated to be
overvalued--with one overvalued by double digits.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Index

Started week

Friday PM

Change

Change %

ytd

DJIA

17229.94

17836.5

606.56

3.52%

0.08%

NASDAQ

4916.14

5099.41

183.27

3.73%

7.88%

RUSSELL 2000

1146.37

1177.11

30.74

2.68%

-2.29%

S&P 500

2022.08

2090.6

68.52

3.39%

1.54%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

51.51%

Stocks Overvalued

48.49%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

24.50%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

17.48%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-M
Return

P/E
Ratio

Aerospace

0.41%

0.94%

2.06%

12.99% overvalued

-8.21%

18.28

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.16%

-0.20%

-4.35%

6.77% undervalued

-7.24%

13.93

Basic Materials

0.10%

-3.60%

-17.73%

12.82% undervalued

-22.88%

22.9

Business Services

-0.05%

-1.84%

-0.46%

5.57% overvalued

-3.91%

23.85

Computer and Technology

0.01%

0.61%

0.20%

4.10% overvalued

-1.75%

28.35

Construction

0.11%

0.70%

3.73%

1.58% undervalued

-2.16%

20.79

Consumer Discretionary

0.08%

-1.88%

0.53%

0.27% overvalued

-2.93%

24.56

Consumer Staples

-0.06%

-2.34%

5.75%

6.01% overvalued

0.39%

23.48

Finance

0.15%

0.26%

1.50%

3.49% overvalued

-2.54%

16.85

Industrial Products

-0.17%

-0.67%

-6.87%

2.28% undervalued

-11.84%

19.94

Medical

-1.38%

-0.10%

2.07%

2.53% overvalued

1.02%

28.08

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.42%

-1.30%

-7.97%

0.65% overvalued

-8.20%

17.71

Oils-Energy

-1.40%

-4.45%

-23.83%

8.67% undervalued

-44.44%

24.44

Retail-Wholesale

-0.48%

-2.61%

-8.52%

7.73% undervalued

-5.37%

21.18

Transportation

0.66%

-0.97%

-11.80%

11.90% undervalued

-16.71%

14.36

Utilities

0.28%

-2.65%

-5.88%

1.32% overvalued

-9.23%

21.42

Sector TalkRetail/Wholesale
Below, we present the latest data on leading Retail/Wholesale Sector stocks
from our Professional Stock Analysis Service. These results were filtered by market
price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

MIK

MICHAELS COS

21.5

-39.55%

17.61%

TA

TRAVELCENTERS

9.89

-3.05%

2.17%

ODP

OFFICE DEPOT

6.81

-19.60%

30.46%

SPWH

SPORTSMANS WRHS

9.34

N/A

33.62%

EXPR

EXPRESS INC

16.99

-9.24%

13.49%

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

MIK

MICHAELS COS

21.5

-39.55%

17.61%

TA

TRAVELCENTERS

9.89

-3.05%

2.17%

ODP

OFFICE DEPOT

6.81

-19.60%

30.46%

SPWH

SPORTSMANS WRHS

9.34

N/A

33.62%

EXPR

EXPRESS INC

16.99

-9.24%

13.49%

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

MIK

MICHAELS COS

21.5

-39.55%

17.61%

ODP

OFFICE DEPOT

6.81

-19.60%

30.46%

TGT

TARGET CORP

70.55

-2.24%

14.12%

AEO

AMER EAGLE OUTF

15.35

-8.89%

19.27%

FL

FOOT LOCKER INC

61.53

-7.48%

9.86%

Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

NFLX

NETFLIX INC

120.22

208.84%

114.26%

PBY

PEP BOYS M M &J

15.04

42.57%

57.82%

TECD

TECH DATA CORP

77.03

37.10%

28.99%

RAD

RITE AID CORP

7.67

36.79%

46.10%

RUSHA

RUSH ENTRPRS-A

23.59

35.56%

-38.08%

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know,
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Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports
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ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on GOODYEAR TIRE for

2015-11-19. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research,
we feel that GOODYEAR TIRE has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market
performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Momentum and
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Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Goodyear Tire HERE.

ValuEngine Forecast
Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

34.19

1.12%

3-Month

35.27

4.31%

6-Month

36.61

8.29%

1-Year

38.37

13.49%

2-Year

42.59

25.97%

3-Year

43.81

29.59%

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

23.49% overvalued

Valuation Rank(?)

1-M Forecast Return

1.12%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

12-M Return

39.54%

Momentum Rank(?)

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

5-Y Avg Annual Return

23.35%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

15
99
92
87
94

Volatility

36.82%

Volatility Rank(?)

Expected EPS Growth

25.77%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

Market Cap (billions)

9.28

Size Rank

90

Trailing P/E Ratio

11.22

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

86

Forward P/E Ratio

8.92

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

86

PEG Ratio

0.44

PEG Ratio Rank

Price/Sales

0.55

Price/Sales Rank(?)

Market/Book

2.53

Market/Book Rank(?)

Beta

2.00

Beta Rank

Alpha

0.24

Alpha Rank

48
66

64
79
42
10
89

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VE Market Neutral Strategy Portfolio Results

For October/November, the stock market continued to power up from the
unpleasantness of August. But while the S&P 500 posted a decent--if modest-- gain of
3.09%, our portfolio responded by laying in a massive pick up of almost 15%. The
trailing twelve month gain of our newsletter is 57.97% vs the MLSAX gain of 5.65% and
the S&P 500 gain of 1.96%. Since inception, our newsletter has posted a gain of
189.52% vs the MLSAX return of 31.72% and the S&P 500 gain of 127.81%.
Volatile conditions often benefit our strategy, but this month was something
special. Longs were a 50/50 proposition and rather meh --despite the leg up from
the market. Four picks were in double-digit territory with a great gain of 37% from
Banco Frances. Shorts, on the other hand, were amazing. A hit-ratio in excess of 60%
along with massive double-digit gains from eight stocks. LSB led the way with 58% and
Enernoc provided a gain of just under 50%. Stop losses increased performance slightly
this month. But either way, we beat the S&P 500 by more than 1100 bps!
Find Out More About the VE Forecast 16 MNS Portfolio HERE
Please click HERE to subscribe. You may download a sample copy HERE.
Here are the long-side portfolio holdings and their performance for the most recent
edition of the MNS strategy:
Entry Price Current
Change %Change
10/22/15
Price

Ticker

Company Name

Sector

ALDW

ALON USA PTNRS

23.12

24.84

1.72

7.44

OILS ENERGY

AXL

AMER AXLE & MFG

19.98

22.14

2.16

10.81

AUTO TIRES TRUCKS

BFR

BANCO FRANC-ADR

17.20

23.66

6.46

37.56

FINANCE

BIP

BROOKFIELD INFR

41.11

41.72

0.61

1.48

UTILITIES

BRSS

GLOBAL B&C HLD

23.04

22.86

-0.18

-0.79

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS

GFF

GRIFFON CORP

17.13

16.85

-0.28

-1.63

MULTI-SECTOR
CONGLOMERATES

HELE

HELEN OF TROY

98.49

101.35

2.86

2.90

CONSUMER STAPLES

LCI

LANNETT INC

41.15

37.33

-3.82

-9.28

MEDICAL

MIK

MICHAELS COS

22.74

21.50

-1.24

-5.45

RETAIL WHOLESALE

SPR

SPIRIT AEROSYS

48.55

53.37

4.82

9.93

AEROSPACE

STRZA

STARZ-LIB CAP-A

37.94

35.10

-2.84

-7.49

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

TMHC

TAYLOR MORRISON

19.98

16.70

-3.28

-16.42

CONSTRUCTION

TNK

TEEKAY TANKERS

8.14

7.05

-1.09

-13.39

TRANSPORTATION

TSE

TRINSEO SA

28.98

28.19

-0.79

-2.73

BASIC MATERIALS

TSEM

TOWER SEMICOND

13.63

15.88

2.25

16.51

COMPUTERS TECHNOLOGY

WU

WESTERN UNION

19.07

19.08

0.01

0.05

BUSINESS SERVICES

GSPC

S&P500

2018.94

2081.24

62.30

LONG PORTFOLIO

1.84
3.09

And here are the short-side portfolio holdings and their performance for the most
recent edition of the MNS strategy:

Ticker

Company Name

AIR

AAR CORP

ARWR

ARROWHEAD RSRCH

ATI

ALLEGHENY TECH

Entry Price Current

Change %Change
10/22/15
Price

Sector

23.39

-1.10

-4.95

4.90

5.41

-0.51

-10.41

MEDICAL

13.61

13.27

0.34

2.50

BASIC MATERIALS

22.29

AEROSPACE

CKEC

CARMIKE CINEMA

23.74

21.96

1.78

7.50

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

ENOC

ENERNOC INC

8.10

4.10

4.00

49.38

BUSINESS SERVICES

FTR

FRONTIER COMMUN

5.29

4.96

0.33

6.24

UTILITIES

FUEL

ROCKET FUEL INC

4.59

3.18

1.41

30.72

COMPUTERS TECHNOLOGY

LFL

LATAM AIRLINES

5.47

5.70

-0.23

-4.20

TRANSPORTATION

LXU

LSB INDS INC

15.82

6.61

9.21

58.22

MULTI-SECTOR
CONGLOMERATES
OILS ENERGY

MCF

CONTANGO OIL&GS

9.03

7.86

1.17

12.96

OCN

OCWEN FINL CORP

7.59

6.61

0.98

12.91

FINANCE

PRIM

PRIMORIS SERVCS

19.40

22.84

-3.44

-17.73

CONSTRUCTION

SHLD

SEARS HLDG CP

24.02

20.44

3.58

14.90

RETAIL WHOLESALE

SNAK

INVENTURE FOODS

9.47

6.74

2.73

28.83

CONSUMER STAPLES

TSLA

TESLA MOTORS

210.09

221.80

-11.71

-5.57

AUTO TIRES TRUCKS

XONE

EXONE CO/THE

10.32

7.37

2.95

28.59

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS

GSPC

S&P500

2081.24

62.30

SHORT PORTFOLIO
2018.94

13.12
3.09

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