Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Viroj Sivavong
Chief-Coal Management Department
Contents
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Introduction
Energy Supply and Demand
Energy Security and Policy
Coal Supply and Demand
Environment Responsibility
Conclusions
1. Introduction
After the country has recovered from the economic crisis, the
electricity consumption has grown rapidly
For the year 2004, Thailand Load Forecast Subcommittee
(TLFS) is projection electricity demand and energy generation
requirement will grow by 6.65% and 6.34% in the Moderate
Economic Growth (MEG) scenario
EGAT formulate a new Power Development Plan (PDP 2004)
base on the forecast adjusted by EGAT with respect to the
TLFS forecast
PDP was prepared to assure power availability, affordability
and security over the next 12 year (2004-2015)
Renewable Energy ,
122.90 MW ( 0.48% )
Load Forecast
Load forecast, of which the MEG case (Peak Cut 500 MW) was
projected based on average annual demand increases of 7.11%,
6.9% and 6.52% in the periods of 2004-2008, 2009-2013 and
2014-2015
Peak demand of fiscal year 2015 was estimated at 40,478 MW
350,000
Fiscal Year
2004-2008
2009-2013
2017-2015
30,000
7.11
6.90
6.52
300,000
7.71
6.75
6.42
Peak
250,000
200,000
25,000
20,000
Energy
150,000
15,000
100,000
10,000
50,000
5,000
Fiscal Year
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
0
1992
0
1991
Peak (MW)
35,000
Average Growth (% )
Peak Energy
Energy (GWh)
40,000
MW
Peak
Increase
MW
%
GWh
Energy
Increase
MW
%
Load
Factor
(%)
Actual
1991
8,045.00
951.30
13.41
49,225.03
6,036.24
13.98
69.8
1992
8,876.90
831.90
10.34
56,006.44
6,781.41
13.78
72.0
1993
9,730.00
853.10
9.61
62,179.73
6,173.29
11.02
73.0
1994
10,708.80
978.80
10.06
69,651.14
7,471.41
12.02
74.2
1995
12,267.90
1,559.10
14.56
78,880.37
9,229.23
13.25
73.4
1996
13,310.90
1,043.00
8.50
85,924.13
7,043.76
8.93
73.7
1997
14,506.30
1,195.40
8.98
92,724.66
6,800.53
7.91
73.0
1998
14,179.90
-326.40
-2.25
92,134.44
-590.22
-0.64
74.2
1999
13,712.40
-467.50
-3.30
90,413.99
-1,720.45
-1.87
75.3
2000
14,918.30
1,205.90
8.79
96,780.72
6,366.73
7.04
74.1
2001
16,126.40
1,208.10
8.10
103,165.20
6,384.48
6.60
73.0
2002
16,681.10
554.70
3.44
108,389.24
5,224.04
5.06
74.2
2003
18,121.40
1,440.30
8.63
116,743.45
8,354.21
7.71
73.5
839.70
7.00
5,626.54
7.46
Average Growth
1992-2003
MW
Peak
Increase
MW
%
GWh
Energy
Increase
MW
%
Load
Factor
(%)
Forecast
2004
19,600.00
1,478.60
8.16
126,811.00
10,067.55
8.62
73.9
2005
21,143.00
1,543.00
7.87
136,784.00
9,973.00
7.86
73.9
2006
22,238.00
1,095.00
5.18
147,656.00
10,872.00
7.95
75.8
2007
23,844.00
1,606.00
7.22
158,211.00
10,555.00
7.15
75.7
2008
25,548.00
1,704.00
7.15
169,279.00
11,068.00
7.00
75.6
2009
27,352.00
1,804.00
7.06
180,941.00
11,662.00
6.89
75.5
2010
29,308.00
1,956.00
7.15
193,529.00
12,588.00
6.96
75.4
2011
31,344.00
2,036.00
6.95
206,673.00
13,144.00
6.79
75.3
2012
33,445.00
2,101.00
6.70
220,252.00
13,579.00
6.57
75.2
2013
35,673.00
2,228.00
6.66
234,671.00
14,419.00
6.55
75.1
2014
38,015.00
2,342.00
6.57
249,842.00
15,171.00
6.46
75.0
2015
40,478.00
2,463.00
6.48
265,787.00
15,945.00
6.38
75.0
2004-2008
1,485.32
7.11
10,507.11
7.71
2009-2013
2,025.00
6.90
13,078.40
6.75
2014-2015
2,402.50
6.52
15,558.00
6.42
Average Growth
Capacity 3/
(MW)
Total
Capacity
(MW)
Scheduled
Commissioning
Date
Krabi TH #1
Oil
340
340
Feb. 2004
Gas
122
122
Apr. 2004
Hydro
2 X 250
500
Jun. 2004
Coal
2 X 673.25
1,346.5
Oct.2006 - Feb.2007
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2008
Gas
2 X 700
1,400
Mar.2008 - Jun.2008
Hydro
920
920
Nov. 2009
Power Plants
Total 5,328.5 MW
Capacity 3/
(MW)
Total
Capacity
(MW)
Scheduled
Commissioning
Date
151.1
151.1
2004 2007
Hydro
(124.7)
(124.7)
2006 2008
SPP (Phase I)
60
60
Jan. 2007
700
700
Mar. 2007
Song Khla CC # 1
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2008
South Bangkok CC # 3
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2009
North Bangkok CC # 1
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2009
Bang Pakong CC # 5
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2010
4 X 700 + 140
2,940
Mar. 2011
3 X 700 + 105
2,205
Mar. 2012
3 X 700 + 105
2,205
Mar. 2013
4 X 700 + 140
2,940
Mar. 2014
4 X 700 + 140
2,940
Mar. 2015
Power Plants
Additional)
25,363.0
MW
22,444.6
MW
-475.0
MW
47,332.6
MW
Total 3,711.1 MW
Total 18 Unit,
New Capacity 12,600 MW
RPS
630 MW
New Capacity
(83,958 GWh)
31.6%
Hydro
(11,981 GWh)
4.5%
Others
(2,135 GWh)
0.8%
Renewable(SPP+RPS)
(5,175 GWh)
2.0%
Heavy Oil
Imported Coal
(1,613 GWh)
Lignite
(12,378 GWh)
0.6%
(17,251 GWh)
4.6%
6.5%
Natural Gas
(131,295 GWh)
49.4%
BLCP Project
(1,346.5 MW)
more
less
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
2000
2020
China
2000
2020
India
2000
2020
2000
Indone sia
Coal
2020
Vie tnam
Oil
2000
2020
Thailand
Natural Gas
2000
2020
Philippine s
Nuclear
Hydro
2000
2020
2000
Malaysia
2020
Japan
2000
2020
Kore a
2000
2020
Taiwan
Other Renewable
MW
50,000
45,000
40,000
35,000
New Capacity
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
Thermal
Combined Cycle
Hydroelectric
10,000
5,000
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Fiscal Year
Producer
EGAT
Private Company
Total
2001
2002
2004 1/
2003
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
12.85
78.6
15.70
79.0
14.95
76.8
15.42
85.8
12.43
82.3
3.51
21.4
4.18
21.0
4.51
23.2
2.56
14.2
2.67
17.7
16.36
100
19.88
100
19.46
100
17.98
100
15.10
100
2000
2001
2002
2003
Electricity
13.42
14.13
15.32
15.03
15.60
Cement
3.82
2.54
2.82
3.27
1.65
Paper
0.50
0.31
0.03
0.64
0.52
Fiber
0.32
0.24
0.05
0.21
0.24
Lime
0.03
0.04
0.43
0.10
0.06
0.38
0.65
0.45
0.13
17.64
19.50
19.59
18.20
Others
Total
18.47
Country
Year
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004 1/
China
0.20
0.13
0.190
0.33
0.13
0.16
Indonesia
2.27
2.63
3.12
3.74
5.66
3.14
Lao
0.18
0.15
0.21
0.14
0.22
0.23
Myanmar
0.07
0.41
0.66
0.64
0.90
0.91
Vietnam
0.47
0.70
0.73
0.74
0.95
0.56
Others
0.04
0.15
0.03
0.01
0.01
0.01
Total
3.23
4.17
4.94
5.60
7.87
5.01
Recommend Plan
2003
2004
2010
2015
Hydro
8.7
6.0
6.1
4.5
Natural Gas
71.6
69.2
75.1
49.4
Heavy Oil
1.8
8.4
1.5
0.6
Diesel
0.0
0.2
0.3
0.2
Lignite
14.7
12.7
8.9
6.5
Imported Coal
2.2
1.9
6.4
4.6
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.1
0.6
0.8
0.6
1.3
New Capacity
31.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
Coal Consumption
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
15.90
15.94
15.90
15.90
15.90
15.90
15.94
15.90
15.90
15.90
Imported Coal
8.16
14.32
19.60
25.84
32.91
IPP (BLCP)
SPPs 1/
3.40
1.0
3.41
1.0
3.40
1.0
3.40
1.0
3.40
1.0
New Capacity 2/
3.76
9.91
15.20
21.44
28.51
24.06
30.26
35.50
41.74
44.41
Domestic Coal
Mae Moh Power Plants
Note :
1/ Only coal usage of SPPs for EGATs electricity purchase
2/ New Capacity (12,600 MW) is coal-fired power generation
5. Environment Responsibility
6. Conclusions
Thank You
1. Introduction
After the country has recovered from the economic crisis, the electricity
consumption has grown rapidly as a result of an abrupt improvement in all economic sectors.
The progress has also been expected to last for a couple of year and that the electricity demand
will be growing in the same fashion. For the year 2004, the Thai economy is projected to
expand further at a rate similar to that of the preceding year. The Governments policies of
economic stimulating measures should be able to drive up consumption and investment
continuously, despite a few unfavorable external factors such as unstable world economies,
fluctuating oil prices and concerns over persisting terrorism. According to the latest projection
prepared by the Thailand Load Forecast Subcommittee in January 2004, the countrys
electricity demand and energy generation requirement for the year 2004 will grow by 6.65%
and 6.34%, in the moderate economic growth scenario. Therefore, EGAT formulate a new
PDP which was dubbed the PDP 2004, base on the forecast adjusted by EGAT with respect to
the January 2004 forecast.
Coal plays an important role in power generation and other industries. The
trend of coal consumption in Thailand has show slightly increased although all new
development projects as fuel encounter environmentally and difficulty progressing the project.
Two coal-fired power stations of Independent Power Producers (IPPs) have been postponed
and changed fuel type to gas. Even such environmentally and difficulty processing of the coal
project, policy have been given to use coal for power generation as much as possible because
of fuel diversification, security of supply and relatively low fuel cost. To encourage the use of
coal in Thailand, a good understanding of how environmental friendly the current clean coal
technology is needed to be acknowledged to all the concerned sector.
This paper has a purpose to analyze the role of coal on Thailand energy security.
Of course, coal does not help directly improve energy security. But, through reducing gas
dependency, coal contributes to establish more stable energy supply system.
MW
Peak
Increase
MW
%
Energy
Increase
MW
%
GWh
Load
Factor
(%)
Actual
1991
8,045.00
951.30
13.41
49,225.03
6,036.24
13.98
69.8
1992
8,876.90
831.90
10.34
56,006.44
6,781.41
13.78
72.0
1993
9,730.00
853.10
9.61
62,179.73
6,173.29
11.02
73.0
1994
10,708.80
978.80
10.06
69,651.14
7,471.41
12.02
74.2
1995
12,267.90
1,559.10
14.56
78,880.37
9,229.23
13.25
73.4
1996
13,310.90
1,043.00
8.50
85,924.13
7,043.76
8.93
73.7
1997
14,506.30
1,195.40
8.98
92,724.66
6,800.53
7.91
73.0
1998
14,179.90
-326.40
-2.25
92,134.44
-590.22
-0.64
74.2
1999
13,712.40
-467.50
-3.30
90,413.99
-1,720.45
-1.87
75.3
2000
14,918.30
1,205.90
8.79
96,780.72
6,366.73
7.04
74.1
2001
16,126.40
1,208.10
8.10
103,165.20
6,384.48
6.60
73.0
2002
16,681.10
554.70
3.44
108,389.24
5,224.04
5.06
74.2
2003
18,121.40
1,440.30
8.63
116,743.45
8,354.21
7.71
73.5
839.70
7.00
5,626.54
7.46
Average Growth
1992-2003
Forecast
2004
19,600.00
1,478.60
8.16
126,811.00
10,067.55
8.62
73.9
2005
21,143.00
1,543.00
7.87
136,784.00
9,973.00
7.86
73.9
2006
22,238.00
1,095.00
5.18
147,656.00
10,872.00
7.95
75.8
2007
23,844.00
1,606.00
7.22
158,211.00
10,555.00
7.15
75.7
2008
25,548.00
1,704.00
7.15
169,279.00
11,068.00
7.00
75.6
2009
27,352.00
1,804.00
7.06
180,941.00
11,662.00
6.89
75.5
2010
29,308.00
1,956.00
7.15
193,529.00
12,588.00
6.96
75.4
2011
31,344.00
2,036.00
6.95
206,673.00
13,144.00
6.79
75.3
2012
33,445.00
2,101.00
6.70
220,252.00
13,579.00
6.57
75.2
2013
35,673.00
2,228.00
6.66
234,671.00
14,419.00
6.55
75.1
2014
38,015.00
2,342.00
6.57
249,842.00
15,171.00
6.46
75.0
2015
40,478.00
2,463.00
6.48
265,787.00
15,945.00
6.38
75.0
Average Growth
2004-2008
1,485.32
7.11
10,507.11
7.71
2009-2013
2,025.00
6.90
13,078.40
6.75
2014-2015
2,402.50
6.52
15,558.00
6.42
2.3 The Power Development Plan (PDP 2004) for the EGAT System
To obtain the least cost solution as the final result, EGAT has examined a
number of alternative generate under the allowable technical and economic constrains. The
main features of the PDP 2004 are as follows.
2.3.1) To develop 18 units of new power stations (12,600 MW in total
generating capacity) which natural gas is preliminarily assumed as fuel, to be on line during
2011 - 2015. Nevertheless, if the future gas price should become too volatile in the future or
there is going to be too much gas-based generation in the system which would be a threat to the
system operation and electricity tariff, EGAT would seek other alternatives such as imported
coal or hydropower in the neighboring countries as competitive energy sources.
It is
recommendable that EGAT be granted the right to construct half of the total capacity additions
at the cost which is competitive with the private sector. This is to guarantee that the electricity
price will be easily regulated and monitored which would in turn create fairness to both the
general public and the industry.
2.3.2) To purchase an addition of 700 MW electricity from Gulf Power
Generation Co., Ltd. by March 2007.
2.3.3) A 700 MW combined cycle power plant in Songkhla Province will be
connected to the grid by 2008 to serve the demand in the Southern region.
2.3.4) To construct new combined cycle blocks at the following sites, i.e.,
North Bangkok, South Bangkok and Bang Pakong for commissioning by 2009, 2009 and 2010,
respectively. The plant capacity could be either 700 or 800 MW depending on the market
supply and technology development at the time of bidding.
2.3.5 The power import from Nam Theun 2 Hydro Power Plant will be
available to the EGATs system in 2009.
2.3.6 To renovate hydro power plats which have been in operation for a long
time, especially at Ubon Ratana Dam, Sirindhorn Dam, Chulabhorn Dam, Nam Phung Dam
and Kang Kachan Dam.
2.3.7 To include 630 MW of renewable energy during 2011 - 2015 to comply
with the strategy on energy. The strategy on energy will require 5 % of the future capacity
(from 2011 onwards) to be generated with renewable energy (Renewable Portfolio Standard
RPS).
List of projects with their commissioning dates are shown in Table 2
Capacity 3/
(MW)
Total
Capacity
(MW)
Scheduled
Commissioning
Date
Krabi TH #1
Oil
340
340
Feb. 2004
Gas
122
122
Apr. 2004
Hydro
2 X 250
500
Jun. 2004
Coal
2 X 673.25
1,346.5
Oct.2006 - Feb.2007
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2008
Gas
2 X 700
1,400
Mar.2008 - Jun.2008
Hydro
920
920
Nov. 2009
151.1
151.1
2004 2007
Hydro
(124.7)
(124.7)
2006 2008
SPP (Phase I)
60
60
Jan. 2007
700
700
Mar. 2007
Song Khla CC # 1
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2008
South Bangkok CC # 3
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2009
North Bangkok CC # 1
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2009
Bang Pakong CC # 5
Gas
700
700
Mar. 2010
4 X 700 + 140
2,940
Mar. 2011
3 X 700 + 105
2,205
Mar. 2012
3 X 700 + 105
2,205
Mar. 2013
4 X 700 + 140
2,940
Mar. 2014
4 X 700 + 140
2,940
Mar. 2015
Ongoing Project
Power Plants
25,363.0
MW
22,444.6
MW
-475.0
MW
47,332.6
MW
2/ Recommended fuel for new capacity is natural gas, while alternative fuel sources are imported coal
and hydroelectric.
3/ The unit size of new capacity is initially assumed to be 700 MW. Hower, it can be changed to 800 MW,
once the technology is commercially available.
4/ Addition of 175 MW renewable capacity during 2008-2010.
Imported Coal
(2,526 GWh)
2.2%
Lignite
(17,134 GWh)
14.7%
Renewable (SPP)
(1,103 GWh)
0.9%
O the rs
(150 GWh)
0.1%
Hydro
(10,180 GWh)
8.7%
He avy O il
(2,150 GWh)
1.8%
Natural Gas
(83,500 GWh)
71.6%
5.8%
Natural Gas
(145,648GWh)
70.5%
Hydro
(11,981 GWh)
4.5%
Others
(2,135 GWh)
0.8%
Renewable(SPP+RPS)
(5,175 GWh)
2.0%
Imported Coal
Lignite
(12,378 GWh)
(17,251 GWh)
4.6%
6.5%
Natural Gas
(131,295 GWh)
49.4%
Heavy Oil
(1,613 GWh)
0.6%
PDP 2004
Fuel Type
2003
2004
2010
2015
Hydro
- EGAT
- Myanmar/Laos/China
8.7
6.6
2.1
6.0
4.0
2.0
6.1
2.4
3.7
4.5
1.7
2.8
Natural Gas
- EGAT
- EGCO
- RATCH
- IPP (Existing)
- SPP
- Gulf (Additional)
71.6
27.4
10.0
16.0
10.0
8.2
0.0
69.2
25.6
9.7
15.0
11.5
7.4
0.0
75.1
30.8
6.2
12.0
17.9
5.5
2.7
49.4
20.5
3.5
7.2
12.4
4.0
1.8
Heavy Oil
- EGAT
- RATCH
1.8
1.8
0.0
8.4
6.2
2.2
1.5
1.5
0.0
0.6
0.6
0.0
Diesel
- EGAT
- EGCO & IPP
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.0
Lignite
14.7
12.7
8.9
6.5
Imported Coal
- IPP
- SPP
2.2
0.0
2.2
1.9
0.0
1.9
6.4
5.0
1.4
4.6
3.6
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.1
0.6
0.8
0.6
1.3
31.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
1/
Note : 1/ Biomass, wind energy, solar, hydro and small scaled hydro power plants
Location
(Province)
Reserves
Coal Rank
Produced
Remaining
Age
Status
Northern Region
Mae Moh
Lampang
235
905
Lignite-Sub bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Li
Lamphun
35.88
NA
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Mae Than
Lampang
17.47
18.34
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Na Hong
Chiang Mai
2.38
NA
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Chiang Muan
Phayao
1.69
2.0
Sub bituminous-Bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Bo Luang
Chiang Mai
1.27
NA
Sub bituminous-Bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Mae Lamao
Tak
1.25
0.38
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Mae Teep
Lampang
0.91
10.09
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Suspended
Mae Tun
Tak
0.32
0.90
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Suspended
Phetchaburi
1.21
0.51
Lignite-Bituminous
Tertiary
Suspended
Krabi
Krabi
9.20
110.80
Lignite-Sub bituminous
Tertiary
Active
Kantang
Trang
0.10
NA
Lignite
Tertiary
Suspended
Na Duang
Loei
0.154
NA
Anthracite
Pre-Tertiary
Suspended
Na Klang
Udon Thani
0.006
NA
Anthracite
Pre-Tertiary
Suspended
Central Region
Nong Ya Plong
Southern Region
Northeastern
Region
Total Reserve
Note : NA, data not available
306.84
1,048.02
Province
Measured
Indicated
349.860
254.890
Coal Rank
Saba Yoi
Songkhla
Wiang Haeng
Chiang Mai
93.019
34.124
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Sin Pun
Nakhon Si Thammarat
91.060
16.428
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Ngao
Lampang
48.186
50.690
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Mae Ramat
Tak
37.540
72.170
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Chiang Muan
Phayao
25.275
17.989
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Mae Tha
Lampang
22.487
55.065
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Lampang
16.186
41.047
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
Mae Lamao
Tak
15.575
46.366
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
10
Khian Sa
Surat Thani
15.411
40.000
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
11
Nong Phlub
Prachuap Khirikhan
10.520
2.786
12
Hang Chat
Lampang
10.320
28.260
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
13
Phan
Chiang Rai
9.810
26.610
Lignite
14
Wang Nua
Lampang
9.012
21.160
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
15
Umphang-Pala Tha
Tak
8.053
19.236
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
16
Petchabun
6.850
NA
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
17
Mae Chaem
Chiang Mai
6.080
16.040
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
18
Serm Ngam
Lampang
5.730
12.040
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
19
Nong Ya Plong
Petchaburi
4.452
12.256
Lignite to Bituminous
20
Kantang
Trang
3.420
10.260
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
21
Phob Phra
Tak
2.330
7.040
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
22
Mae Chang
Lampang
2.009
5.003
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
23
Mae Jai
Phayao
1.790
5.360
Lignite
24
Wichian Buri
Petchabun
1.650
2.620
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
25
Phrae
Phrae
1.612
0.403
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
26
Na Sai
Lamphun
1.310
5.270
Lignite
27
Fang
Chiang Mai
1.120
NA
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
28
San Pa Tong
Chiang Mai
0.500
NA
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
29
Bo Salee
Chiang Mai
0.432
0.667
Sub-bituminous
30
Pai
0.174
0.366
Lignite to Sub-bituminous
801.773
804.146
Total
Lignite
Lignite to Bituminous
Producer
1999
2000
2001
2002
2004 1/
2003
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
EGAT
12.02
70.4
12.85
78.6
15.70
79.0
14.95
76.8
15.42
85.8
12.43
82.3
Private
Company
5.05
29.6
3.51
21.4
4.18
21.0
4.51
23.2
2.56
14.2
2.67
17.7
17.07
100
16.36
100
19.88
100
19.46
100
17.98
100
15.10
100
Total
Year
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Electricity
13.42
14.13
15.32
15.03
15.60
Cement
3.82
2.54
2.82
3.27
1.65
Paper
0.50
0.31
0.03
0.64
0.52
Fiber
0.32
0.24
0.05
0.21
0.24
Lime
0.03
0.04
0.43
0.10
0.06
0.38
0.65
0.45
0.13
17.64
19.50
19.59
18.20
Others
Total
18.47
According to the statistics of imported coal in the past 6 years (1999-2004), the
countries which mainly supplied coal for Thailand for various types of industries are Indonesia,
Lao, Myanmar and Vietnam. Apparently, these countries have their share of coal market in
Thailand more than 95% of the grand total of imported coal in each year (especially Indonesia,
this country holds largest coal market share of 60-75% in Thailand). The rest of the shares less
than 5% of imported coal is from China and briquettes from Taiwan, Japan etc.
The types of imported coal are anthracite, bituminous and coke & semi coke.
The coal imported in the early years was over 90% bituminous. As for other types of coal
which are anthracite sub-bituminous and coke, in the past couples of years, the total quantity
imported was less than 10%. Then the ratio of imported bituminous has become lower
gradually at the average of 8-10%of the total quantity imported. At the same time the demand
of imported sub-bituminous would increase at the average of ratio close to the lowered
bituminous. This is the cause of the increase in demand of sub-bituminous in those cement
industrial group in Thailand in the recent years. These sub-bituminous were imported from Lao
and Myanmar with much more lower price than bituminous. The import of anthracite from
Vietnam is tend to increase consecutively due to the increase of usage for NPS (They are power
plants in SPPs group). Moreover some of anthracite has also been use as a try for cement
manufacturing. As for the imported coke from China Taiwan and Japan to be used in steel
Industry is tend to be continuously decreased in demand since 2541, the statistics according to
this matter is shown in Table 8 and Table 9.
Table 8 : Import of Coal to Thailand during 1999-2004 Classified by Countries
Unit : Million Tons
Country
Year
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004 1/
China
0.20
0.13
0.190
0.33
0.13
0.16
Indonesia
2.27
2.63
3.12
3.74
5.66
3.14
Lao
0.18
0.15
0.21
0.14
0.22
0.23
Myanmar
0.07
0.41
0.66
0.64
0.90
0.91
Vietnam
0.47
0.70
0.73
0.74
0.95
0.56
Others
0.04
0.15
0.03
0.01
0.01
0.01
3.23
4.17
4.94
5.60
7.87
5.01
Total
Coal Type
Year
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004 1/
Anthracite
0.11
0.17
0.23
0.58
0.53
0.23
Bituminous
2.22
2.39
2.80
3.57
5.35
2.92
Coke&
Semi-Coke
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.07
0.06
0.05
Subbitumonous
0.82
1.54
1.85
1.38
1.93
1.81
Total
3.23
4.17
4.94
5.60
7.87
5.01
EGAT
IPP (BLCP) 1/
Capacity
Coal Usage
(MW)
(Million Tonnes)
2,400
15-16
1,346.5
3.4
2.1
(2 unit@ 673.25)
SPPs
868.2
Coal Sources
4,614.7
20.5-21.5
PDP 2004
Fuel Type
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Hydro
5.9
5.5
5.2
4.8
4.5
Natural Gas
70.9
64.7
60.2
55.3
50.2
Heavy Oil
1.3
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.6
Diesel
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
0. 7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.7
0.8
1.1
1.3
80.4
73.6
68.8
63.6
58.2
Coal Demand
1) Lignite
8.4
7.9
7.4
6.9
6.5
2) Imported Coal
- IPP
- SPP
6.0
4.7
1.3
5.6
4.4
1.2
5.3
4.1
1.2
5.0
3.9
1.1
4.7
3.7
1.0
3) New Capacity 2/
(Imported Coal)
5.2
12.9
18.5
24.5
30.6
11.2
18.5
25.9
31.4
35.3
19.6
26.4
31.2
36.4
41.8
Grand Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
1/
Total
Note : 1/ Biomass, wind energy, solar, hydro and small scaled hydro power plants
2/ New capacities are coal-fired thermal power plants
The alternative plan of PDP 2004, the fuel for new power plants will be change
from natural gas to imported coal. The portion of natural gas consumption for electricity
generation in 2011 is 70.9% of the total energy, and it will decrease to 60% and 50% of the
total energy generation in 2013 and 2015, respectively. In the other hand the portion of
imported coal consumption will be increase 5.2% to 11.2% of the energy generation in 2011
and will go up rapidly to 25.9% and 35.3% in 2013 and 2015 respectively.
And the use of fuel coal imported for new power plants planed are expected that
the portion of imported coal will be highly increase. By the year 2011 imported coal will be
increase 3.76 million tons to 8.1 million tons and dramatically expanded in year 2013 and 2015
to 19.6 million tons and 32.9 million tons respectively.
Coal Consumption
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
15.90
15.94
15.90
15.90
15.90
15.90
15.94
15.90
15.90
15.90
Imported Coal
8.16
14.32
19.60
25.84
32.91
IPP (BLCP)
SPPs 1/
3.40
1.0
3.41
1.0
3.40
1.0
3.40
1.0
3.40
1.0
New Capacity 2/
3.76
9.91
15.20
21.44
28.51
24.06
30.26
35.50
41.74
44.41
Domestic Coal
Mae Moh Power Plants
5. Environment Responsibility
To maintain its leadership of a respected organization and value-based corporate
governance, EGAT gives a very high priority to continual improvement of environmental
management to prevent and control environmental impacts and social repercussions caused by
its operations and activities. The improvement of EGATs environmental management in
every step of its operations - power development, generation, transmission and other associated
activities, to the internationally accepted standards, provides assurance that EGAT can continue
to operate with high efficiency and responsibility. In addition, EGAT has encouraged public
participation process by which the public and potentially affected stakeholders can
meaningfully participate in EGATs processes of environmental implementation and
monitoring programme aimed to prevent and control adverse environmental impacts. EGAT
also strives for the fair sharing of mutually beneficial outcomes from the project development
through community development and quality of life improvement in a sustainable manner.
EGAT and all agencies concerned joined by implementing measures to control
Mae Moh power plants generating process to reduce the SO2 emissions to be within
environmental standard and regulations. The control measures included the installation of the
flue gas desulfurization system on Mae Moh power plant Unit 4 - 13, retired Mae Moh power
plant Unit 1 - 3, Installation of a network of air quality monitoring stations covering the areas
of Mae Moh district and nearby areas with relevant risks, and putting in place the real-time air
quality monitoring system to measure concentrations of emissions from the power plant stacks.
In 2003, SO2 emissions from Mae Moh power plant averaged at only 2 - 3 tonnes per hour,
well below the regulatory standard limit of 11 tonnes per hour set for Mae Moh power plant,
while the average hourly concentration level in the ambient air was under 780 micrograms per
cubic metre.
In addition, EGAT has regularly implement measures to control dust from Mae
Moh power plant and mine complex. All generating facilities have been equipped with highefficiency electrostatic precipitator with 99% of lignite fly ash trapping capacity.
The
collected fly ash has been sold to private companies for various users. In 2003, a total of 1.5
million tonnes of lignite fly ash were sold, reflecting EGATs successful researches on the
utilization of lignite fly ash which have led to wide-spread use of lignite by-products for
several activities. Other dust control measures included the utilization of the conveyor belt
system for handling the overburden, lignite, fly ash and gypsum, as well as the moisture control
for lignite, fly ash and gypsum. As a result, the volumes of dust in the vicinity decreased
markedly.
6. Conclusions
6.1 Presently the energy-mix for power generation in Thailand is overdependent on gas. To supplement gas, coal has been identified as a viable additional and
alternative fuel source for the future. UP to the year 2006 2007, there will be coal-fired
power stations of BLCP Project (IPPs) coming on stream with a total capacity of 1,346.5 MW
and coal consumption of about 4 mtpa.
6.2 In the long term (2010 onwards), if the future gas price is unpredictable or
the gas consumption is excessively too high, EGAT has devised an alternative PDP as a way
out which reckons domestic coal-fired power plants as the generation option.
6.3 Public acceptance can be improved when the operation of existing coalfired power plants can be shape up good images of the plants and a communication plan can be
properly performed for new per project.
6.4 The mandatory clean coal technology is expected to reduce the negative
environmental impact of power generation. Combining energy efficiency efforts, conservation
investments, continued fuel supply diversification, technology and capabilities are the
challenges in ensuring the sustainability of coal utilization.
6.5 The energy development plans in Thailand aims at sustainable development
through the integration of the 3E (economic development, environment protection and energy
security). Coal if balanced into the energy mix will provide the strategy to balance between
adequate, secure energy supplies, economic growth and protection of the environment.
6.6 New coal mines in Thailand tends to be difficult to develop due to NGO
intervention. The main reason of no coal mine refers to possible environmental adverse. This
is the broader opportunity for import coal to fulfill future demand of the country.
6.7 Coal is abundant and price-competitive, therefore, the outlook of coal in
Thailand will still be relatively prosperous in the future.
6.8 The benefit from increased coal utilization are set to encourage and
provideopportunities for existing and new entrepreneurs, both local and foreign.
..