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PopulationGrowthand

EconomicDevelopment
of Pakistan
ofPakistan
MythsandFacts

PresentedBy
HammadAnsari
Tuesday,December29,2015

Contact
Details
ContactDetails
MobileNumber:
ob e u be :
+923348372341

EmailAddress:hansari007@gmail.com
Twitter:@Hammad_Ansari
LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/hammadansari
p //
/ /

Concepts
and Definitions
ConceptsandDefinitions
Population:
Populationofanareaisthetotalnumberofallindividualsalive
inaparticularpointintime.(ThomasFrejka,1973)

BirthRateisthetotalnumberofbirthsper1000ofa
populationeachyear.
MortalityRateisthetotalNumberofdeathsper1000
individualperyear.
Totalfertilityrate(TFR)istheaveragenumberofchildren
thatwouldbeborntoawomanoverherlifetime.

Family
Planning Activities in Pakistan
FamilyPlanningActivitiesinPakistan
Formation
Formationof
of FamilyPlanningAssociation
Family Planning Association
ofPakistan (NGO)inearly1950s.
TheNationalHealthPolicy(1990,1997,2001)
PopulationPolicy2002

Causes
of Rapid Population Growth
CausesofRapidPopulationGrowth
HighBirthrate
High Birthrate
LowDeathrate
Migration
i
i
Emigration
Immigration

Interaction

PopulationGrowth=
((Birthdayrate+Immigration)
y
g
) ((Mortality+Emigration)
y
g
)

ComparisonofPopulation
GrowthTrendsWorldwide

Japan
Japan:
Japan:
Japanisthe1st SouthEastAsianCountryto
experience in reproductive behavior with below
experienceinreproductivebehaviorwithbelow
replacementlevelfertilityby1960.

China
China:
China:
CampaignandPoliciessetambitioustargetsand
strictlyenforcedatalllevelsofadministrationto
reduce population growth rate
reducepopulationgrowthrate.

Korea
and Taiwan
KoreaandTaiwan
KoreaandTaiwan:
Korea and Taiwan:
Individualdecisionmakingtorestrictfertility
ProvisionofFamilyPlanninginformation
Subsidizedservices

#1: OVERPOPULATION
#1:OVERPOPULATION

#2: DEVELOPMENT
#2:DEVELOPMENT

#3: DEVELOPMENT
#3:DEVELOPMENT

#4: Resource
#4:Resource

#5: Scarcity
#5:Scarcity

#5: Rural Population (X)


#5:RuralPopulation(X)

Population
Structure
PopulationStructure
Thestructureofapopulationcanhaveabig
impactonthewealthandeconomyofa
country.
YoungDependents Thoseunder22years
EconomicallyActive
Economically Active Between22to60years
Between 22 to 60 years
ElderlyDependents 60/65andover

Whatimpactcanpopulationgrowth
ratehaveonfutureeconomic
h
f
i
development?
p
Letsbrainstormsomeideas
TooHighGrowthRate

TooLowGrowthRate

Education
School/CollegeandUniversityenrollments
mustbemultipliedinnumbers
Evenifwedontcreatejobsforthem,theywill
endupsomewhereinglobe;ultimately
benefitingPakistan.

Technological
Progress
TechnologicalProgress

Higher
g
population
andothersocio
institutional
economic
factors

Higherdemand
forgoodsand
services

Demand
D
d
induced
inventions
(marketpull)
and innovations
andinnovations

HigherSupply
andhigher

Productivity

Concluding
Remarks
ConcludingRemarks
NorelationbetweenPopulationGrowth
RateandEconomicDevelopment.
Populationcontrolpolicies/laws
disproportionately impact poor who have less
disproportionatelyimpactpoorwhohaveless
survivalchance.

Proposed
Research Topics:
ProposedResearchTopics:
P
Proposedquestionstobeansweredinfuture
d
i
b
di f
academicresearch.
1 How
1.
HowcaninterdependencesbetweenPopulation
can interdependences between Population
GrowthandEconomicGrowthbemodeled?
2. Whatshouldbetheoptimalpopulationgrowthrate
forPakistan?
3. Whatistheimpactofsuchinterdependenceson
decision making? For example how do allocate
decisionmaking?Forexample,howdoallocate
resourcesoptimallyunderweakversusstrong
interdependences?

Bibliography:
Bibliography:
http://www.indexmundi.com/pakistan/age_structure.html
1
1.
Th Gl b l B b B t Philli L
TheGlobalBabyBust,PhillipLongman
htt // ti /1 l V I
http://nyti.ms/1vlqVaI
2. NoBabies? http://nyti.ms/Tc2MmI
3. Thecomingpopulationbust http://nyti.ms/1ncz8YK
4. TheComingDemographicCrisis
g
g p
http://hvr.co/1zhHOA1
p //
/
5. PopulationBomb?SoWrong Howelectricity,development,andTVreduce
fertility http://bit.ly/S79fy6
6. Morepeople,greaterwealth,moreresources,healthierenvironment,Julian
p //
y/
Simon http://bit.ly/1aoVXH5
7. ChinasAchillesheelhttp://www.economist.com/node/21553056
8. PakistansPopulationGrowth,Policy,andComparisonwithCountriesinSEAR
http://www.jimdc.org.pk/Volumes/3
2/Pakistan's%20Population%20Growth,%20Policy,%20and%20Comparison%20wi
/
p
,
y,
p
th%20Countries%20in%20SEAR.pdf
9. 2childnormforlocalbodieshurtssexratio
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/twochildnormforlocalbodieshurts
sexratio/article6388785.ece?homepage=true

Bibliography (2):
Bibliography(2):
10. ChinaHitsKeyDemographicCeilingAs
10
China Hits Key Demographic Ceiling As
WorkingAgePopulationNowDeclining
http://www zerohedge com/news/201301
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013
01
29/chinahitskeydemographicceiling
working age population now declining
workingagepopulationnowdeclining
11. China'slaborforceshrinking
http://www china org cn/china/2015
http://www.china.org.cn/china/2015
01/22/content_34625754.htm

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