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Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
Al Gore
Our Choice
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
Executive Summary
Madhya Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission in accordance with the powers conferred under
Electricity Act 2003 has issued regulations on minimum purchase of power from renewable energy
sources. The order issued by MPERC defines the renewable purchase obligation for the state of
Madhya Pradesh form 2010-15. The order defines separate RPO for solar and non-solar projects.
The Government of India has prepared National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) to chart
the development path that is economically sustainable. NAPCC targets 15% a of the total energy
consumption from Renewable Energy (RE) by 2020. Based on targets of NAPCC, the potential
demand of RE is estimated at 207,275 MUs by 2020.
Extrapolating on MPERC regulations and targets provided in NAPCC, the capacity addition required
in RE will be more than 5,000 MW by 2020. As of September 2013, the installed capacity of RE is
686 MW. Therefore, there is fair distance to cover to achieve the targeted capacity addition by 2020.
Potential of RE
As per preliminary assessment, the RE potential in the state could be close to 39,000 MW in grid
connected renewable energy technologies including solar, wind, biomass and small hydro. The
potential of RE in the state have a considerable buffer not only to fulfil the RPO of the state but also
assist other states in fulfilling their RPO.
Demand of RE
The state has witnessed growth rate of 10.2% in the last five year plan. Due to high correlation
between GDP growth rate and the demand for power, the demand for power is also expected to rise at
a healthy rate. The demand for the renewable energy is directly proportional to total consumption of
electricity in the area of Distribution Licensee. The RE demand due to RPO in the state is estimated to
be 12,218 MUs in 2020. The estimated demand for RE can be met by capacity addition of 1,189 MW
in solar, 4091 in wind, 367 MW in biomass and 312 MW in small hydro.
Huge potential to attract private investment
RE sector has been quite active in the last few years in attracting private investment in the state of
Madhya Pradesh. The large geographical area coupled with the rising demand for RE stemming from
regulatory obligations makes the state of Madhya Pradesh an attractive investment destination for
development of RE projects. With targeted capacity addition of 5,959 MW of RE projects in the state,
the total investment expected in the RE sector for the period from 2014-20 is expected to be more
than INR 35,000 Crores.
Policies revised in 2012 and 2013 for attracting investors
The renewable energy policies formulated by New and Renewable Energy department of Madhya
Pradesh, nodal agency for development of renewable energy in the state, are approved by the
Government of Madhya Pradesh. All the renewable energy policies have been formulated to assist the
developers in executing the projects in the timely manner while laying adequate emphasis on the
other aspects such as environmental considerations.
Strong pipeline of projects
MPNRED floated request for proposal for setting up of grid connected RE projects in the state in the
month of October 2012 and May 2013. More than 7,000 MW of interest was shown by the various
project developers in the stated RFPs including 2,341 in Solar and 4,212 in wind. Out of the total
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
interest of 7,000 MW shown by the investors more than 4,500 MW is at various stages of
implementation.
1,461
RFP2 (MW)
3,527
880
685
RFP1 (MW)
-
1,000
2,000
Solar
3,000
4,000
Wind
Biomass
165
Small hydro
275
Solar
1,449
Wind
2,776
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Capacity (MW)
Way forward
Bringing investment certainty
Clearly identified thrust areas: The RE policy for Madhya Pradesh should clearly specify the
thrust areas for harnessing RE sources in the most economic way. The thrust areas can be based on
the RE potential available, technology maturity and other factors impacting the investments.
Focus on new formats for up-scaling RE
Forming joint ventures: The RE sector has seen investment from various Public Sector Utilities.
In discussion with MPNRED, it was informed that PSU companies have approached them for
developing RE projects. Structuring the JV partnership will require an understanding on various
aspects of the project development. MPNRED may appoint a consultant to prepare the institutional
structure and the legal agreements that may be required for JV partnership for developing RE
projects.
Developing solar and wind parks: MPNERD may make due efforts to facilitate the development
of the solar and wind parks in the state. Solar and wind parks can be developed in PPP mode. The
parks can accelerate the development of RE in the state. The parks can be sized in a manner that yield
cost economics to the project developers and competitive tariff to the procurer.
Single window clearance system
Institutionalization of Single Window Clearance provision may be taken as priority. Option of
providing approval for projects with capacity of less than 5 MW by lower rank committee can be
explored.
Land allocation for RE projects
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
Deputy Commissioners of all the districts can identify the inventory of surplus & unused land
available which can be used for installation of RE projects. The identification exercise can be done
periodically. Identified land for RE projects can be allocated to the MPNRED.
MPNRED may make compensatory afforestation land banks readily available to the project
developers that are developing projects in forest land to shorten the implementation timeframe.
Bringing certainty in resource assessment
Solar resource assessment: The bankers generally rely on the third party assessments of CUF for
financing solar projects. MPNRED may appoint a reputed third party technical consultant to map the
solar resource assessment for the entire state. This will provide the project developers with the
information that is bankable and will reduce the possibility of project failure at the stage of financial
closure.
Wind resource assessment: A reputed technical consultant may be engaged by MPNRED for
mapping wind resource at a broad level to identify the good regions where wind masts could be
installed for micro level assessment. Ground monitoring stations improves the quality of data. A
reputed technical consultant may then be engaged by MPNRED to install masts for wind monitoring
at the selected sites. This data may then be shared with the potential investors for project
development at the RFP stage.
Biomass resource assessment: MPNRED may undertake detailed study by appointing third
party technical consultant on biomass feedstock assessment for each district for both the agricultural
and forest waste to bring certainty on availability, quality and pricing of biomass in the state.
To overcome the problems posed by the existence of multiple middlemen (transporters, traders etc.)
in the biomass feedstock supply chain and to streamline the interaction between feedstock sellers and
buyers, an organized/structured market for biomass may be developed.
In order to ensure long term fuel availability and sustainable price, MPNRED may promote
plantation backed biomass power plants.
Small hydro resource assessment: Potential resource assessment is the most crucial factor
affecting the feasibility of a small hydro project. MPNRED may appoint a reputed technical
consultant to assess region wise potential of small hydro projects. The technical consultant shall
identify potential sites by using discharge data of various catchments and applying latest techniques
of remote sensing and/or computer modelling.
Detailed Projects Reports (DPRs) for these projects takes relatively longer because of the need for
reliable hydrological, geological, seismological and environmental data. These factors add huge
financial risks even for a short delay in the project or a small increase in project costs. Detailed
project report may be prepared for the project sites that are identified by the technical consultant.
These details may then be made available to the prospective developers during the bid process.
Focus on facilitation of infrastructure development
Grid connectivity: A coordination committee comprising representatives of MPNRED, MPPTCL
and distribution utilities can be formed to facilitate grid connectivity arrangement to RE projects. It
will help state electricity utilities in considering the future RE projects while developing their network
strengthening plans.
Based on the interest received from the project developers in the RFP process, certain regions can be
identified with higher potential for project development. MPPTCL should establish pooling points for
evacuation of power in such identified regions.
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
Be a part of Green Energy Corridor: Green Energy Corridor will assist RE rich states in
evacuating RE to the other states. Considering that Madhya Pradesh is able to secure more than
7,000 MW in the RFP 1 and 2 and 250 MW in JNNSM phase 2 batch 1, MPNRED shall make efforts
to include Madhya Pradesh in the proposed Green Energy Corridor so that RE power could be
evacuated outside the state.
Managing investment and project execution risk
PPA tenure and payment security: The PPA for the projects shall be signed for the project life
and payment shall be secured by irrevocable letter of credit from the procurer.
Issues in third party sale: The projects envisaged under third party sale or captive consumption
mode are likely to use preferential terms (preferential wheeling and banking, transmission or
electricity duty waiver) or REC mechanism for financial viability. The current methodology adopted
by MPPMCL for computations on load factor, power factor and other parameters disincentivise the
third party consumers and captive consumers. MPNRED may push the Discoms to rationalize the
methodology in order that the consumers procuring RE are not disincentivised on grounds of
adjustment to load factor, power factor and other parameters.
Managing project execution risk: Assessing the capacity to arrange capital (both debt and
equity) by assessing the financial strength of the bidder. Net worth criteria may be benchmarked
against the best practice for example that is followed by MNRE/SECI for JNNSM.
Target Funding
Engaging with bilateral and multilateral agencies: Multilateral and bilateral financing
agencies have shown their interest in developing the transmission infrastructure to up-scale the RE
investment. MPNRED may form the institutional structure and pool other agencies such as MPPTCL
that are able to interact with these funding agencies taking to consideration the capability to manage
funds, technical expertise to develop the transmission system, monitoring and reporting progress.
Harnessing funds from NCEF: According to National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF), the projects
relating to creation of power evacuation infrastructure are eligible for funding under the scheme.
MPNRED has made an application to NCEF for funding the power evacuation infrastructure for RE
projects in accordance with the financing plan submitted by MPPTCL.
Targeting incentives for grid Connected RE form MoF, India: 13th Finance Commission
provided guidelines for implementation of the incentive scheme, with the objective of broad-based
development of RE sources across states. The grant of INR 5,000 Crores was advised for the projects
to be commissioned from April 01, 2010 to March 31, 2014. Such grants may be advised by the
Finance Commission for the coming years. If such support is continued in future, MPNRED may
estimate the grant that could be drawn based on the guidelines provided by the 13 th Finance
Commission.
Creating Green Energy Fund to support infrastructure: MPNRED may envisage creating a
Green Energy Fund to share the evacuation cost with the project developers. The state may collect the
cess and utilizes the same for various activities development of non-conventional energy sources,
infrastructure development, power evacuation and study on mapping of RE resources.
Investment Promotion
Investor conference may be planned twice in a year where all RE power investors may be invited.
Information on RE resource assessment study undertaken by MPNRED, policy initiatives and
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
advantages for investment in the state may be disseminated during the investor conference. This data
may be published online for wider access.
Transparency in project monitoring
MPNRED is in process of developing project monitoring tool that will be capable of monitoring the
implementation progress of the projects registered with MPNRED. The tool will provide useful inputs
to MPNRED on the most critical stages where project developers are struck during implementation.
Tool will also provide access to the project developers. Project developers will be able to view the
status of their project in terms of actions that are required by MPNRED. The tool is expected to
increase the transparency on the project approval process which may improve investor confidence.
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
Table of contents
1. Introduction
17
1.1. Context
17
17
19
21
21
21
21
21
22
22
22
23
24
24
25
25
26
26
27
28
28
28
29
30
31
33
34
34
4. Assessment of RE potential
35
35
36
37
38
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39
41
41
42
42
43
44
45
45
45
45
45
46
46
47
47
47
47
48
49
49
50
50
52
52
53
55
55
55
56
56
56
57
57
57
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58
6.6.4. Calculate the operating margin emission factor according to the selected method
58
59
59
59
7. Assessment of RE deployment
62
62
62
64
64
64
64
65
66
70
70
70
71
72
76
76
76
76
77
80
80
80
80
81
9. Financing RE
83
83
83
83
84
84
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84
85
86
86
87
88
89
90
91
91
91
91
92
93
94
95
95
10.9. Push MPERC, MPPMCL and project developers for action on RE development
96
97
98
98
98
98
98
98
99
A.1. Monitoring stations data recorded by CWET in the state of Madhya Pradesh
99
100
100
102
C.1. Details of potential canal fall projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh
102
C.2. Details of potential dam toe projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh
104
C.3. Details of potential run of river projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh
106
C.4. Details of self identified sites for SHP Projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh
108
109
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109
113
119
120
121
122
123
125
126
127
128
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
Abbreviations
145
References
148
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
13
List of tables
Table 1: Role of Central Agencies .............................................................................................................................. 22
Table 2: Role of State Agencies .................................................................................................................................. 23
Table 3: Extract of relevant sections of EA 2003 ...................................................................................................... 24
Table 4: Extract of national electricity policy ........................................................................................................... 24
Table 5: Extract of national tariff policy .................................................................................................................... 25
Table 6: Extract from NAPCC .................................................................................................................................... 25
Table 7: Key recommendations by FOR .................................................................................................................... 26
Table 8: Review of national policy instruments ....................................................................................................... 27
Table 9: Land allocation committee ........................................................................................................................... 31
Table 10: Incentives under RE policies of Madhya Pradesh .................................................................................... 34
Table 11: Capacity utilization factor in different district of the state ....................................................................... 36
Table 12: Wasteland area suitable for solar power plants (km 2) ............................................................................. 38
Table 13: Solar power potential in the state of Madhya Pradesh (MW) .................................................................. 38
Table 14: Estimated capacity utilisation factor at different locations in the state of Madhya Pradesh ................. 39
Table 15: Comparing location advantage for different states .................................................................................. 40
Table 16: Wasteland area suitable for wind power plants ......................................................................................... 41
Table 17: Wind power potential in the state of Madhya Pradesh (MW) .................................................................. 41
Table 18: Biomass potential from crop residues (MW) ............................................................................................ 43
Table 19: Biomass potential from crop residues across different districts in Madhya Pradesh (MW) ................. 43
Table 20: Area under Lantana Mexicana .................................................................................................................. 43
Table 21: Biomass potential from Lantana Mexicana (MW) ................................................................................... 44
Table 22: Gross biomass potential in the state of Madhya Pradesh ........................................................................ 44
Table 23: Gross small hydro potential in the state of Madhya Pradesh .................................................................. 46
Table 24: Renewable energy potential in the State of Madhya Pradesh ................................................................. 46
Table 25: Solar RPO (in %) ........................................................................................................................................ 50
Table 26: Estimated solar RPO (in %) ....................................................................................................................... 50
Table 27: Non-solar RPO (in %) ................................................................................................................................ 52
Table 28: Estimated non-solar RPO (in %)............................................................................................................... 52
Table 29 Installed capacity by the end of 11th plan ................................................................................................ 56
Table 30: Constituents of NWENE and southern grid ..............................................................................................57
Table 31: Generation by must run sources as percentage of net generation ........................................................... 58
Table 32: CO2 emission factor and Net Electricity Generation (incl. Imports)...................................................... 58
Table 33: Weights of OM and BM used for computing CM ..................................................................................... 59
Table 34: Current deployment of RE projects .......................................................................................................... 62
Table 35: List of active financial institutions ............................................................................................................ 85
Table 36: Historical trend supply hours across categories .................................................................................... 109
Table 37: Proposed future supply hours across categories .................................................................................... 109
Table 38: Assumptions for estimating un-served units in peak and non-peak hours ........................................... 110
Table 39: Assumptions for estimating category wise losses ....................................................................................111
Table 40: EHT losses ..................................................................................................................................................111
Table 41: Assumed HT distribution losses ............................................................................................................... 112
Table 42: Assumed technical losses as a proportion of HT distribution losses ..................................................... 112
Table 43: Result summary for 45 districts ............................................................................................................... 113
Table 44: Population projections (in thousands) .................................................................................................... 115
Table 45: Projected irrigated areas (in km2) ............................................................................................................ 116
Table 46: Tariff projections in pessimistic scenario (in INR/kWh) ....................................................................... 117
Table 47: Tariff projections in realistic scenario (in INR/kWh) ............................................................................. 117
Table 48: Tariff projections in optimistic scenario (in INR/kWh) ......................................................................... 118
Table 49: Rainfall projections (in mm) .................................................................................................................... 118
Table 50: Energy demand at MP periphery by different consumer categories (in MUs) (pessimistic scenario) 119
Table 51: Energy demand at MP periphery by different consumer categories (in MUs) (realistic scenario) ...... 119
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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Table 52: Energy demand at MP periphery by different consumer categories (in MUs) (optimistic scenario) .. 119
Table 53: Energy demand at consumer end (in MUs) (pessimistic scenario) ...................................................... 120
Table 54: Energy demand at consumer end (in MUs) (realistic scenario) ............................................................ 120
Table 55: Energy demand at consumer end (in MUs) (optimistic scenario) ........................................................ 120
Table 56: Energy demand by captive users (in MUs) .............................................................................................. 121
Table 57: Energy demand at consumer end (in MUs) .............................................................................................122
Table 58: Cumulative capacity under different scenarios .......................................................................................126
Table 59: Capacity addition plan under Scenario 1 ................................................................................................. 127
Table 60: Capacity addition plan under Scenario 2 ................................................................................................ 127
Table 61: Potential incremental demand by HT-industrial and LT-industrial consumers .................................. 128
Table 62: Solar energy required to meet RPO .........................................................................................................129
Table 63: Incremental solar energy required to meet RPO (in MUs) ................................................................... 130
Table 64: Non-solar energy required to meet non-solar RPO ................................................................................ 131
Table 65: Incremental non-solar energy required to meet RPO (in MUs)............................................................. 132
Table 66: Gross RE required in the state (Scenario 1) ......................................................................................... 133
Table 67: Gross RE required in the state (Scenario 2) ......................................................................................... 133
Table 68: Incremental demand of RE year on year (in MUs) (Scenario -1)...........................................................134
Table 69: Incremental demand of RE year on year (in MUs) (Scenario -2) ..........................................................134
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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List of figures
Figure 1: Annual GHI and DNI map of India............................................................................................................ 35
Figure 2: Monthly GHI variation in Madhya Pradesh ............................................................................................. 35
Figure 3: Monthly DNI variation in Madhya Pradesh .............................................................................................. 36
Figure 4: Hypothetical Equations for each Consumer Category ............................................................................. 48
Figure 5: Energy demand at consumer end fulfilled by Distribution Licensees (in MUs) ..................................... 49
Figure 6: Energy demand by Captive Consumers (in MUs) .................................................................................... 49
Figure 7: Aggregate energy demand at consumer end in the state (in MUs) .......................................................... 50
Figure 8: Solar energy required by Distribution Licensee and Captive Consumers (in MUs)................................ 51
Figure 9: Solar energy required by Distribution Licensee and Captive Consumers (in MUs) ................................ 51
Figure 10: Non-solar energy required by Distribution Licensee and Captive Consumers (in MUs) ..................... 52
Figure 11: Gross RE required in the state by 2020 (in MUs) ................................................................................... 53
Figure 12: Target capacity addition from different technologies by 2020 (in MW) ............................................... 53
Figure 13: Target capacity addition from solar technology (in MW)....................................................................... 54
Figure 14: Target capacity addition from wind technology (in MW) ...................................................................... 54
Figure 15: Target capacity addition from biomass technology (in MW) ................................................................. 54
Figure 16: Target capacity addition from small hydro technology (in MW) ........................................................... 54
Figure 17: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to solar (000 TCO 2) ........................................................ 60
Figure 18: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to wind (000 TCO2) ........................................................ 60
Figure 19: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to biomass (000 TCO2)................................................... 60
Figure 20: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to small hydro projects (000 TCO 2) ............................... 61
Figure 21: Interest shown by investors in wind and solar projects ......................................................................... 62
Figure 22: Projects under implementation ............................................................................................................... 62
Figure 23: Interest shown by investors in solar projects ......................................................................................... 65
Figure 24: Interest shown by investors in wind projects .......................................................................................... 71
Figure 25: Financers view point ................................................................................................................................ 83
Figure 26: Capital investment by Discoms (INR Crores) ......................................................................................... 88
Figure 27: Estimated captive consumption (in MUs) ............................................................................................. 123
Figure 28: Tariff for different category of consumers in 2013-14 (in INR/kWh) .................................................. 125
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
16
Introduction
1. Introduction
1.1. Context
Section 86 (1(e)) of EA 2003 stipulates that the Regulatory Commissions are required to specify
obligations of various entities to procure specific percentage of renewable energy (RE) out of total
consumption of electricity in the area of Distribution Licensee. Madhya Pradesh Electricity
Regulatory Commission (MPERC) in its regulation MPERC- Cogeneration and Generation of
Electricity from Renewable Sources of Energy-2010 has specified the minimum quantum of
purchase of power from solar and non-solar energy sources.
Power sector is the largest contributor to GHG emissions in India. According to GHG emissions
profile of India, power sector contributes 38% of the total GHG emissions of India. According to
Copenhagen Accord, India has committed to reduce its GDP emission intensity by 20-252 percent by
2020. This is possible only if all the sectors in particular the energy intensive sectors reduce their
carbon intensity. The Government of India has prepared National Action Plan on Climate Change to
chart the development path that is economically sustainable. NAPCC targets 15%3 of the total energy
consumption from RE by 2020. Based on targets of NAPCC, the potential demand of RE is estimated
at 207,275 MUs by 2020.
Madhya Pradesh due to its geographical diversity is rich in RE resources Solar, Wind, Biomass and
Small Hydro. The large geographical area coupled with the rising demand for RE stemming from
regulatory obligations makes the state of Madhya Pradesh an attractive investment destination for
development of RE projects. Given the above pretext, the department of New and Renewable Energy
(MPNRED), Government of Madhya Pradesh, has commissioned a study on scale-up plan for grid
connected RE technologies to prepare an action plan for attracting RE investment in the state.
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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17
Introduction
In order to estimate the wind power potential in the state, the relevant datasets pertaining to
dynamics of wind power was aggregated from the CWET centres. Also, the wasteland area available
across the state was aggregated and based on the reference studies available, only four different
categories of land was selected which were considered to be suitable for wind installation. Thereafter,
the RET screen analysis tool was used and likely CUF levels thus obtained was mapped against the
districts of the state. Thereafter, taking a normative parameter of 9MW/sq.km of area, the wind
potential was estimated.
For estimating the potential of biomass power potential in the state, agricultural production data
collected from Department of Agriculture, Madhya Pradesh was utilised and a normative crop to
residue ratio was adopted to estimate the residue production in the state. Thereafter, the operational
parameters as prescribed by MPERC with regards to biomass technology were considered and the
biomass power potential in the state was estimated.
With regards to estimation of small hydro power potential in the state, only secondary assessment
was undertaken. The data published by Alternate Hydro Energy Centre (AHEC) was compiled. The
estimation of the power potential by AHEC for small hydro projects was complied for all the schemes
(1) run-of-river, (2) canal based and (3) dam toe projects.
GHG emission reduction potential
There are multiple methodologies available for estimating GHG potential in RE. The relevant tools,
procedures and methodologies that are approved by UNFCCC are used for estimating GHG emission
reduction potential. These methodologies have been thoroughly reviewed and then adopted by
different GHG standards across the world including CDM, voluntary carbon standard, gold standard
and VER+. The Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system was applied for
estimating grid emission factor.
Policy review and strategic roadmap for up-scaling RE technologies
Government has been undertaking the promotion of RE resources through its policies and
legislations. The Electricity Act 2003, National Electricity Policy 2005, National Tariff Policy 2005
and the draft Integrated Energy Policy has laid emphasis on RE. Further, CERC has also notified the
RPO regulations and REC mechanism to create demand from the distribution licenses and the open
access/captive consumers. The Government of Madhya Pradesh through the office of the
commissioner, New and RE department has notified new policies in 2012 for each of the grid
connected RE technology.
The PwC team held specific discussions with the project developers on the fiscal incentives offered by
MPNRED for RE and their future roadmap for various RE resources. Policy framework, fiscal
incentives, excise and custom duty benefits which can provide a fillip to RE investment in India and
are of interest for future investors were studied and analysed.
By making references to the national and state policies, key determinants that impacts the up-scaling
RE projects were identified short and long term targets for RE technologies, clearly identified
thrust areas, single window clearance system, land allocation for RE projects, grid connectivity and
incentives to be provided to developers. PwC undertook gap analysis on each of the identified key
determinants.
Besides undertaking this gap analysis, the PwC team studied the reasons behind the success of
policies, specific business models across RE technologies, their potential for scaling up, current and
new sources of financing which could provide the sector the necessary push and also highlight in
terms of policy, financing and business models the best practices from the specific states. Based on
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
18
Introduction
gap analysis, the possible approaches were designed that could be adopted by MPNRED for upscaling the RE technologies.
Financing RE projects
The financing structures that are available in the market to RE project developers have been
analysed. The requirements and risks in recourse financing, non recourse financing and short term
financing have been assessed and presented in this study. The sources of finance that are available to
the RE project developers have been identified. The key risks that are assessed by the financial
institutions while appraising the RE projects have been identified and the possible approaches to
mitigate the same have been presented in this study.
Demand for RE is estimated based RPO targets stated by the state regulator and extrapolated
using targets provided under NAPCC. The RE demand can exceed or fall short in case
underlying base demand for power is out of line with estimate. The results presented in the
report are based on the realistic scenario (defined in Chapter 2). In case pessimistic scenario
is followed, the estimated projections will reduce by more than 10%.
The underlying base demand of power is estimated using econometric model. There are
limitations on using the econometric modelling. The energy efficiency measures on supply
and demand side may reduce the requirement of power at the Discom periphery and hence
reduce the overall RPO.
Most of the state regulators have not enforced the RPO. In the absence of strong guiding force
to fulfil the RPO, the overall demand may not peak in line with the requirement.
RE being costly than the conventional energy, the health of the state utility can be a deciding
factor on procurement of RE.
Assessment of RE Potential
The renewable power estimation has been done through building some assumptive premises. While
estimating the power potential of all the available RE technologies namely-wind, solar and biomass
certain variables in the form of assumptions have been considered. This has brought certain
limitations to the study.
The wasteland considered for estimating the solar and wind energy potential are not mutually
exclusive in nature. Hence, land assumed to be suitable for the stated technologies may
overlap with each other.
The wind speed or wind power density data collected from the monitoring stations as well as
the solar insolation data collected for a particular district holds true only for 50km 2 . For the
present study, the wind and solar data thus collected has been assumed to hold constant for
the entire district.
Land required for setting the solar project should have slope less than 3%. However, for the
present analysis regarding estimation of solar potential, 2%of the wasteland is assumed to be
suitable for setting solar power projects. No physical survey has been conducted on the
considered stretch of wasteland to gauge its feature.
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Introduction
The data used for assessing solar and wind power is available for western and central regions
of the state. Therefore estimated potential for the state may change on availability of data
from western regions of the state.
The competing use of the agricultural residue as biomass has not been considered while
estimating the biomass power potential and therefore the estimated potential is the maximum
potential that could be achieved if the entire biomass residue from the select crops is directed
toward the power generation.
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Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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MNRE
CERC
Development of National
Electricity Tariff policies which
also focus on RE
Provide fiscal incentives for
promotion of RE
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Central Government
(MoP/MoF)
MNRE
CERC
State Government
SERCs
Regulations on intrastate
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The Central Government shall, from time to time, prepare the National
Electricity Policy and tariff policy, in consultation with the State Governments
and the Authority for development of the power system based on optimal
utilization of resources such as coal, natural gas, nuclear substances or
materials, hydro and renewable sources of energy.
Section 4
Section 61(h)
The Appropriate Commission shall, subject to the provisions of this Act, specify
the terms and conditions for the determination of tariff, and in doing so, shall
be guided by the following, namely:>>>
(h) the promotion of co-generation and generation of electricity from renewable
sources of energy;
>>>
Section 86(1)(e)
5.12.1
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6.4 (2)
The Electricity Act 2003 and the National Tariff Policy, 2006 provide for both
the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) and the State Electricity
Regulatory Commission (SERC) to prescribe a certain percentage of total
power purchase by the grid from renewable based sources. It also prescribes
that a preferential tariff may be followed for renewables based power.
A dynamic minimum renewable purchase standard (DMRPS) may be set, with
escalation each year till a pre-defined level is reached, at which time the
requirements may be revisited. It is suggested that starting 2009-10, the
national renewables standard (excluding hydropower with storage capacity in
excess of daily peaking capacity, or based on agriculture based renewables
sources that are used for human food) may be set at 5% of total grids purchase,
to increase by 1% each year for 10 years. SERCs may set at higher percentages
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Each State Commission may specify a minimum RPO of 5% in line with the NAPCC. RPO
should be calibrated with regard to the energy input in the system, after adjustment of losses
and not on energy billed.
2. Need for a facilitative framework for grid connectivity and inter-State exchange of power
5.
Generation Based Incentive (GBI) should be declared upfront to enable the Regulatory
Commission to factor it in the tariff determination process.
6. Each State Commission may specify a minimum RPO of 5% in line with the NAPCC. RPO
should be calibrated with regard to the energy input in the system, after adjustment of losses
and not on energy billed.
first phase up to 2012-13, second phase from 2013 to 2017 and the third phase from 2017 to 2022
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Key Characteristics
Indian Experience
Accelarated
depreciation
Production based
incentives
Capital subsidy/
Viability gap
funding (VGF)
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Instrument
Generation
Key Characteristics
of RE projects.
Indian Experience
this exemption in the 90s as a number
of players imported components for
turbines.
State Government allow exemption of
duties on RE generated power.
Although exemptions bring down the
cost of RE equipment, they do not
usually drive investments on their own.
Punjabs RE policy has adopted a short and long term target for the RE sector in the state. The
policy clearly defines the objective, targets and measures to achieve the targets. It has set a
target to add 1,000 MW in solar energy, 250 MW in small hydro by 2020, 600 MW in
biomass and 50 MW in municipal solid waste.
Karnataka has targeted to enhance the contribution of RE in the total installed capacity of the
state from 2,400 MW to about 6,600 MW by 2014.
Possible Approaches
The state of Madhya Pradesh does not have clearly identified short term and long term targets in the
policy for RE. RE targets should be specified, which will act as a guiding factor for different
programmes in the state and assist in identification of the specific measures to achieve the targets.
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wind based power project developers investing in the state. Haryana has put more focus on
harnessing of biomass and bagasse based co-generation.
Possible Approaches
The RE policy for Madhya Pradesh should clearly specify the thrust areas for harnessing RE sources
in the most economic way. The thrust areas can be based on the RE potential available, technology
maturity and other factors impacting the investments.
The Incentive Policy 2006 for RE has provided for single window clearance facility. However,
not much has been done to institutionalize the same in the revised policies notified in 2012
and 2013.
Possible Approaches
Need to streamline the process of single window clearance, identify the roles & responsibilities
of all institutions, setting time-bound approval process.
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In case, the concerned department fails to respond within the stipulated time (say 45 days),
necessary concurrence/ approval/ clearance to the project should be deemed to have been
granted.
Periodical monitoring of the status of clearances for RE projects under review, identifying
issues.
In case, the land is identified by MPNRED for solar and wind parks, it may obtain all statutory
clearances from other relevant departments and allocate such lands for RE Project
development.
Wherever the land belongs to local bodies/ Gram Panchyats, the State would encourage them
to provide the land for NRSE project on similar terms and conditions.
Agricultural land shall be allowed to be used for setting up of RE power projects in the state
and no conversion charges for the same shall be charged.
Karnataka: Karnataka has recently issued a separate RE policy. Apart from providing facilities for
land acquisition, the state has introduced some new initiatives:
Government to provide land for development of RE Projects under Land Revenue Act to
Karnataka Renewable Energy Development Limited (KREDL).
Amendments to be made in the Karnataka Land Reforms Act to enable the developers to
purchase private land directly from owners of the land.
10% barren Government lands reserved for industrial use at declared RE sites will be given to
KREDL for
Forest land identified for RE projects would be processed within a period of 4 months.
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Identified revenue, private and forest land will be developed by KREDL for setting up of RE
projects.
KREDL will sub-lease the developed land to developer for 30 years. After 30 years the project
stands transferred to Government.
Land-Lease rent will be as per the prime landing rate over current market price on the date of
handing over the projects.
10% of all SEZ lands will be kept at the disposal of KREDL to develop RE projects. Gap
Analysis & Possible Approaches.
Gujarat: Gujarat has set up a special committee to streamline issues related to land allotment.
Table 9: Land allocation committee
1
Chairman
Member
Member
Member
Member
Member Secretary
Madhya Pradesh: The State of Madhya Pradesh through its incentive policy for RE sources has
provided:
50% exemption on stamp duty in case of purchase of private land for RE projects
However, in spite of the guidelines a number of project holders have citied land acquisition as a major
hurdle.
Possible Approaches
Identification of land available for RE projects : Deputy Commissioners of all the districts can
identify the inventory of surplus & unused land available with the State Government, PSUs,
Urban Local Bodies/ Gram Panchayat lands and suitable private waste lands which can be
used for installation of RE projects. The identification exercise can be done periodically.
Identified land for RE projects can be allocated to the MPNRED. The allocated land can be
utilized in the following manner:
o
MPNRED can develop the land, take necessary clearances and allocate the same to the
RE project developers. For this MPNRED can take some service charge.
In case land identified for the project is in forest area, the equivalent area has to be
compensated with compensatory afforestation land. The acquisition of such land takes around
6-8 months. MPNRED may make compensatory afforestation land banks readily available to
the project developers to shorten the implementation timeframe.
31
These remote locations do not have adequate infrastructure for grid connectivity. As a result the RE
project developers have to incur substantial cost for setting up facilities for evacuation of power
generated from the RE based projects. The suitability of existing local grid infrastructure to accept
additional loads or capacity to provide sufficient reactive power on demand is generally found lacking
in remote areas which further pose a risk to project developers.
Power evacuation will be an integral part of the project. All expenses for power evacuation facility
shall be borne by the unit. Transmission, distribution line and synchronizing equipment required for
installation will be installed by the project developers as per technical details of MPPMCL/ Successor
Company. Maintenance of the above line and equipments shall be done by transmission/distribution
utility at the cost of RE project developer.
Guidelines for grid interfacing specifying responsibility for transmission network development and
sharing of connection costs is very important. This is one of the most important policy directives, as
in a number of states. Evacuation of power is the biggest constraint faced by RE developers. Most
state regulatory commissions have mandated that the responsibility of setting up the adequate
evacuation infrastructure would be of the state transmission utilities. However, it has been observed
that most utilities are severely constrained with paucity of funds to discharge this responsibility
effectively.
States like Maharashtra, Rajasthan provide assistance to RE projects in grid connectivity &
evacuation of power.
Gap Analysis: Our interactions with developers with interest in investment in RE in Madhya
Pradesh suggest that adequate evacuation infrastructure is an important deciding factor for
investment. Following the initiatives in the states of Maharashtra and Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh
will be able to attract investments by taking suitable steps for creation of appropriate infrastructure
for projects.
There have been cases in the past where RE project developers had to lay transmission line for longer
distance so as to get connected to the grid. This has resulted in increased cost for the developers. The
other major problem has been getting Right of way for laying down the transmission lines. In few
cases, the transmission lines had to pass through forest land and developers had to face problems in
getting clearance from forest department for laying down the transmission lines.
Possible Approaches
MPNRED has prepared a transmission strengthening plan in discussion with MPPTCL at the
locations which are in vicinity of the good solar project sites. MPNRED is making focussed
efforts to push MPPTCL in strengthening the grid infrastructure which is critical to up-scale
the RE investment in the state.
Based on the interest received from the project developers in the RFP process, certain regions
can be identified with higher potential for project development. MPPTCL should establish
pooling points for evacuation of power in such identified regions. It will be cost effective as a
number RE projects can get connected to these pooling points. Such facilities have already
been created in some states (e.g. In Rajasthan, pooling points have been created for WEG
evacuation).
Right of way issues is one of the major concerns of the project developers that may dissuade
the project developers in taking up the projects that are far away from the grid. MPNRED
shall make efforts to push MPPTCL to take responsibility to develop the infrastructure from
the grid sub-station to the pooling sub-station at the cost of the developer.
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Report on Green Energy Corridor by PGCIL includes the states of Tamil Nadu, Karnataka,
Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh. Green Energy
Corridor will assist these states in evacuating the power to the other states from the RE sites.
Considering that Madhya Pradesh was able to secure 250 MW in JNNSM phase 2 batch 1,
MPNRED shall make efforts to include Madhya Pradesh to be included in Green Energy
Corridor so that power could be evacuated from the RE sites.
Multilateral and bilateral financing agencies have shown their interest in developing the
transmission infrastructure to up-scale the RE investment. MPNRED may form the
institutional structure and pool other agencies such as MPPTCL that are able to interact with
these funding agencies taking to consideration the capability to manage funds, technical
expertise to develop the transmission system, monitoring and reporting progress.
According to National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF), the projects relating to creation of power
evacuation infrastructure are eligible for funding under the scheme. MPNRED has made an
application to NCEF for funding the power evacuation infrastructure for RE projects in
accordance with the financing plan submitted by MPPTCL.
Draft modus operandi: Project developers will send the cost details related to
evacuation facility to MPNRED. MNRED will scrutinize the details with the
benchmark/ prudent costs. Based on the validation of the cost estimate, MPNRED will
reimburse (say 50 %) of the expenses incurred by private developers for evacuation
arrangement from Green Energy Fund after the private developer has commissioned
and handed over the evacuation arrangement to concerned distribution
licensee/MPPMCL. The maximum amount that can be reimbursed will depend on the
availability of Green Energy Fund.
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Provide low interest loans, fund high risk projects or provide mezzanine financing to new
technologies or projects.
Low cost funds facilitate R&D projects and demonstration projects of high risk/ emerging RE
technologies
Green Energy Fund is floated by Maharashtra to support transmission infrastructure. For Evacuation
arrangement of solar energy project, 50% amount is given as a subsidy through Green Energy Fund.
There is no such fund operational in the state of Madhya Pradesh.
Possible Approaches
The state may collect the cess and utilizes the same for various activities development of nonconventional energy sources, infrastructure development, power evacuation and study on mapping of
RE resources.
Solar
Wind
Biomass
Small hydro
Wheeling
Banking
Contract demand
reduction
Industry status
Exemption of 50% on
stamp duty on
purchase of private
land
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4. Assessment of RE potential
4.1. Assessing solar energy potential
The radiation reaching the earth's surface can be represented in a number of different ways. Global
Horizontal Irradiance3 (GHI) is the total amount of shortwave radiation received from above by a
surface horizontal to the ground. This value is of particular interest to photovoltaic installations and
includes both Direct Normal Irradiance4 (DNI) and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance5 (DIF), whereas for
solar collectors which are concentrating in nature DNI data is required.
Figure 1: Annual GHI and DNI map of India
GHI and DNI in
KWh/m2/day
>9
8.5-9.0
8.0-8.5
7.5-8.0
7.0-7.5
6.5-7.0
6.0-6.5
5.5-6.0
5.0-5.5
4.5-5.0
4.0-4.5
3.5-3.0
3.0-3.5
2.5-3.0
2.0-2.5
1.5-2.0
For the solar resource assessment, the publicly available solar irradiation data provided by the
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and NASA are used. The irradiation information
from the stated sources will be of immense help to solar planners, designers, engineers and RE
analysts in making an initial assessment of a site and estimating returns from a solar project.
As shown from the data and the resource maps, Madhya Pradesh shows peaking seasons with good
solar potential in both summer and winter months. The Monthly GHI and DNI variation, at 10 km
resolution based on hourly estimates of radiation over long term in Madhya Pradesh is used in the
study conducted by MNRE and NREL.
Figure 2: Monthly GHI variation in Madhya Pradesh
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
GHI is the total amount of shortwave radiation received from above by a surface horizontal to the ground. This value is of
particular interest to photovoltaic installations and includes both Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI) and Diffuse Horizontal
Irradiance (DIF).
4 DNI is the amount of solar radiation received per unit area by a surface that is always held perpendicular (or normal) to
the rays that come in a straight line from the direction of the sun at its current position in the sky. The amount of irradiance
annually received by a surface can easily be maximized by keeping it normal to incoming radiation. This quantity is of
particular interest to concentrating solar thermal installations and installations that track the position of the sun.
5 DIF is solar radiation that does not arrive on a direct path from the sun, but has been scattered by molecules and particles
in the atmosphere and comes equally from all directions. On a clear day, most of the solar radiation received by a horizontal
surface will be DNI, while on a cloudy day most will be DIF.
3
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Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
5.0-5.5
4.5-5.0
4.0-4.5
3.5-3.0
Nov
Dec
3.0-3.5
2.5-3.0
2.0-2.5
1.5-2.0
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
5.0-5.5
4.5-5.0
4.0-4.5
3.5-3.0
3.0-3.5
2.5-3.0
2.0-2.5
1.5-2.0
Bhopal
18.9
Chattarpur
18.8
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Districts
Chindwara
18.6
Dewas
19.1
Guna
19.0
Gwalior
18.5
Hoshangabad
19.0
Indore
19.2
Jabalpur
18.8
Mandla
18.7
Mandsaur
19.1
Morena
18.6
Neemuch
19.2
Rewa
18.5
Sagar
18.8
Satna
18.6
Seoni
18.6
Shahdol
18.6
Shajapur
19.0
Shivpuri
18.8
Ujjain
19.1
Only 4 classifications of waste land area are used for estimating the potential of solar photovoltaic - land with dense scrub,
land with open scrub, under-utilised/degraded forest (scrub domin) and under-utilised/degraded forest (Agriculture)
6
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Table 12: Wasteland area suitable for solar power plants (km2)
District
WL-1
(km2)
WL-2
(km2)
WL-3
(km2)
WL-4
(km2)
Proportion of
WL area used
for estimating
solar power
Bhopal
113
144
70
2%
6.54
Chattarpur
148
689
153
155
2%
22.90
Chindwara
127
156
307
2%
11.80
Dewas
66
291
471
2%
16.5
Guna
26
557
198
427
2%
24.16
Gwalior
33
352
459
68
2%
18.24
Hoshangabad
53
113
39
2%
4.10
Indore
103
206
122
2%
8.62
Jabalpur
204
303
39
42
2%
11.75
Mandla
364
404
377
275
2%
28.38
Mandsaur
74
506
124
2%
14.06
Morena
28
306
549
23
2%
18.12
Neemuch
66
376
662
2%
22.07
Rewa
39
286
129
49
2%
10.06
Sagar
323
978
204
42
2%
30.93
Satna
109
406
219
178
2%
18.23
Seoni
62
100
163
2%
6.49
Shahdol
249
533
229
257
2%
25.37
Shajapur
314
477
38
2%
16.59
Shivpuri
63
955
888
186
2%
41.82
373
188
2%
6.54
Ujjain
22
Table 13: Solar power potential in the state of Madhya Pradesh (MW)
Potential (MW)
District
> 1,000
500 to 1,000
< 500
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Site
District
> 25%
Kukru
Betul
Nagda
Dewas
Vallyarpani
Badwani
Jamgodrani
Dewas
Mahuriya
Shajapur
Mirzapur
Sehore
Kheda
Dhar
Chorasia Badhalia
Ratlam
20-25%
As per discussion with MPNRED, it was informed that land availability can be considered more than estimates of CWET as
state is sparsely populated and has huge proportion of land as waste land.
8 Wind shear is Wind shear is quantified as the exponent in the Power Law equation that relates wind speeds at two
different heights
9 For details refer to Appendix B1.
7
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18-20 %
Site
District
Bodhina
Ratlam
Baroli
Indore
Tanoriya
Shajapur
Chorasia Badhalia
Ratlam
Sodang Hill
Ujjain
Sendhva
Badwani
Machla
Indore
Belma
Indore
A lot
Ratlam
Mamatkheda
Ratlam
Lahori
Shajapur
For a specific project developer, wind power projects are expected to have minimal variation in
capital cost, debt equity ratio, depreciation, operation and maintenance and tax structure across the
locations. The propensity of the developer to select the site for wind project development will
therefore depend on the tariff and the estimated CUF. In order to maximise the return, the product of
CUF and the tariff (T) is an important Factor (F = CUF*T) in deciding the location for project
implementation. For the higher value of Factor (F), ceteris paribus, the project returns for the wind
project developer will be higher.
In fact, according to the stated analysis, the state of Madhya Pradesh shall provide highest returns to
the wind project developers. The average value of Factor (F) is 1.06 in the states other than Madhya
Pradesh. At a tariff approved by MPERC for wind power projects in its order dated March 26, 2013,
the CUF of 20% returns a value of 1.18 for Factor (F). Considering this, after making an assessment
on CUF for different sites, the wind sites that are having CUF greater than 18% 10 are considered for
assessment of gross potential. The stated restriction is imposed to assess the potential that is
economically and financially feasible.
Table 15: Comparing location advantage for different states
CUF (%)
Tariff
(INR/KWh)
Factor (F)
All regions
20.00%
5.92
1.18
APERC
All regions
24.50%
4.70
1.15
Rajasthan
RERC
Jaisalmer,
Jodhpur and
Barmer
21.00%
5.46
1.15
Rajasthan
RERC
Other regions
20.00%
5.73
1.15
Maharashtra
MERC
Zone - 1
20.00%
5.81
1.16
Maharashtra
MERC
Zone - 2
23.00%
5.05
1.16
Maharashtra
MERC
Zone - 3
27.00%
4.31
1.16
Maharashtra
MERC
Zone - 4
30.00%
3.88
1.16
Regulatory
Commission
Region
Madhya Pradesh
MPERC
Andhra Pradesh
State
10
CUF of 18% at tariff of 5.92 gives a return value of 1.06 for a factor (F)
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CUF (%)
Tariff
(INR/KWh)
Factor (F)
All regions
24.00%
4.23
1.02
KERC
All regions
26.50%
3.70
0.98
TNERC
All regions
27.15%
3.51
0.95
Regulatory
Commission
Region
Gujarat
GERC
Karnataka
State
Tamil Nadu
Total
land
area
(km2)
WL111
(km2)
WL-2
(km2)
WL-3
(km2)
WL-4
(km2)
Total
WL12
area
(km2)
Proportion
WL of
Total land
area (%)
WL used
for
estimating
wind
potential
(%)
Total area
used for
estimating
wind
potential
(%)
Betul
10,043
16
22
20
57
1%
45%
0.45%
Badwani
5,422
14
314
301
630
12%
45%
5.40%
Dewas
7,020
30
131
212
372
7%
45%
3.15%
Dhar
8,153
22
80
42
144
5%
45%
2.25%
Indore
3,898
46
93
55
194
8%
45%
3.60%
Ujjain
6,091
56
28
85
3%
45%
1.35%
Ratlam
4,861
66
101
56
223
3%
45%
1.35%
Sehore
6,578
15
36
42
94
2%
45%
0.90%
Shajapur
6,196
141
215
17
373
2%
45%
0.90%
32
Table 17: Wind power potential in the state of Madhya Pradesh (MW)
Gross potential (MW)
District
> 1,500
1,000-1,500
Two filters applied (1) WL reduced prorate on number of wind masts producing CUF of more than 18% and (2) Only
45% of the WL passing filter 1 is used for estimating capacity.
12 Total WL area represents the sum of WL-1, WL-2, WL-3 and WL-4.
11
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District
(Shajapur)
1,500-1,000
1,000 1,500
Dhar, Shajapur
< 500
Grid-connected
biomass power plants
Cogeneration
Bagasse and Non-bagasse
Off-grid/distributed
biomass power applications
Power
generation
through
biomass
Cogeneration plants are mainly found in the sugar industry where the heat and electricity is used for sugar production and
the power surplus is typically sold to the grid.
13
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and efficiency of the biomass projects is assumed to be 23%37. Based on this analysis, the potential
from agricultural biomass works out to be 1,255 MW.
Table 18: Biomass potential from crop residues (MW)
Crop
Type of
residue
Total crop
production
38 ('000
tonnes)
Crop to
residue
ratio39
Collection
efficiency
40
Calorific
value
(kcal/kg)
Moisture
content41
(%)
Biomass
potential
14 (MW)
Bajra
Bajra Stalks
384
1:2
60%
3,95042
20%
21
Gram
Gram Straw
3,812
1:1
60%
3,81043
20%
152
Jowar
Jowar Stalk
543
1:4
60%
4,46044
20%
40
Maize
Maize Stalks
2,400
1:2
60%
3,85045
20%
128
Moong
Moong Husk
35
1:2
60%
4,10046
20%
Paddy
Paddy Straw
3,022
1:2
60%
3,00047
10%
143
Wheat
Wheat Husk
16,125
2:3
60%
3,80048
20%
769
Total
1,25515
Table 19: Biomass potential from crop residues across different districts in Madhya Pradesh
(MW)
Potential (MW)
Districts
>50
40-50
30-40
Rewa, Ujjain, Seoni, Dewas, Satna, Rajgarh, Sagar, Sehore and Badwani
20-30
10-20
0-10
Alirajpur
1,080
Ashoknagar
7,535
Chindwara
14
15
100,500
Biomass potential is calculated at 70% PLF and efficiency of 23% approved by MPERC.
Refer to Appendix C1
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District
Dewas
180,211
Dhar
1,065
Hoshangabad
13,510
Jhabua
3,650
Khargone
1,495
Mandsaur
15,378
Raisen
2,000
Ratlam
3,939
Sagar
4,352
Sehore
1,434
Shahdol
15,288
Shajapur
1,775
Shivpuri
7,500
Vidisha
2,280
Total
363,473
DOF revealed that there are no technical estimates on annual yield of LM. However, on rough basis,
DOF informed that a yield of 452 tonnes per hectare on dry basis can be used to compute the biomass
potential from LM. Also, the technical estimate of calorific value of LM is not known. Therefore the
estimate of biomass potential from LM is based on requirement of 7,00053 tonnes/annum of biomass
for each MW of biomass potential. Based on this analysis, the potential from Lantana Mexicana
works out to be 207 MW.
Table 21: Biomass potential from Lantana Mexicana (MW)
Biomass Potential
(MW)
District
>100
Dewas
>50
Chindwara
< 10
Potential
(MW)
1,255
207
1,462
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The potential from co-generation, minor crops and forestry residues other than LM has not been
assessed in this report which may increase the total biomass potential in the state.
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are 74 sites which have been identified by prospective developers to set up the hydro power project.
The established potential of the above mentioned sites is 218MW16
Potential (MW)
122
30
41
218
Total
411
Madhya Pradesh state is rich in water resources. There are number of rivers that flow through the
state of Madhya Pradesh - Narmada, Mahanadi, Godavari, Tapi, Mahi, Chambal, Betwa, Ken and Son.
As part from these are number of tributaries of Ganga and Yamuna that originates or merge in the
state of Madhya Pradesh. Limited number of studies has been undertaken to assess the hydro
potential in the state. Given the number of rivers and the tributaries that flow through the state, there
is a need to commission separate study to understand and unlock the technical potential of small
hydro projects.
Potential (MW)
Solar
17,672
Wind
19,550
Biomass
Small Hydro
Total
16
17
1,462
411
39,095
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After due analysis and consideration of various economic variables, the six independent variables
have been considered in the Econometric model for forecasting electricity demand.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Population growth
Income
GDP
Electricity tariff
Gross irrigated area
Rainfall data
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We have conducted a similar analysis for all categories with all the aforementioned demand factors to
establish clear linkages between category-wise demand and factors influencing demand.
Figure 4: Hypothetical Equations for each Consumer Category
Domestic
Ed= N + Ep + Y +HH
+PC+
where
Ed=Domestic Electricity
demand
N=Population Growth
Y=Per Capita GDP (at
constant prices)
Ep=Electricity Tariff
HH=Average Household
Size
PC=Paying Capacity of the
Consumer Class
and , , , and are
constants
= error term
Commercial
Ec= N +Ep + Y +PC +
where
Ec=Commercial Electricity
demand
N=Population Growth
Y=GDP (at constant prices)
Ep=Electricity Tariff
PC=Paying Capacity of the
Consumer Class
and , , , are constants
=error term
Industry HT
Eiht= N + Ep + Y + IG + CP +
where
Eiht= HT Industry Demand
N=Population Growth
Y=Per Capita GDP (at constant prices)
Ep=Electricity Tariff
IG=Industrial Growth Rate
CP=Cropping Patterns
and , , , and are constants
= error term
Agriculture
Industry LT
Ea= N + Ep + Y + AP
+ CP+ M + where
Ea= Agriculture Electricity
demand
N=Population Growth
Y=Per Capita GDP (at
constant prices)
Ep=Electricity Tariff
AP= Agricultural Policy
CP= Cropping Pattern
M=Seasonal Variation due
to Metereological Data
and , , , , and are
constants
= error term
Eilt= N + Ep + Y + IG
+
where
Eilt= Industry LT
Electricity demand
N=Population Growth
Y=Per Capita GDP (at
constant prices)
Ep=Electricity Tariff
IG=Industrial Growth Rate
and , , and are
constants
= error term
Railway Traction
Er= N + Ep + Y + IG + where
Er= Railway demand
N=Population Growth
Y=Per Capita GDP (at constant prices)
Ep=Electricity Tariff
IG=Industrial Growth Rate
and , , and are constants
= error term
As the regression equation is a function of various independent variables, the dependent variable can
be established only if values of all the relevant factors i.e. independent variables are known. Hence to
estimate the future value of the dependent variable, the future values of the independent variables are
required to be determined. Therefore, estimates of the dependent variable for the forecasted period is
obtained by using forecasted series of independent variables with the functional equation derived
earlier. The forecasting results for each independent variable are provided in appendix D.2.
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Distribution Licensee.
Figure 5: Energy demand at consumer end fulfilled by Distribution Licensees45 (in MUs)
2019-20
77,063
2018-19
72,168
2017-18
67,545
Optimist scenario
2016-17
63,250
2015-16
Realistic scenario
Pessimist scenario
57,765
2014-15
52,356
2013-14
47,406
4,393
2018-19
4,238
2017-18
4,089
2016-17
3,946
2015-16
3,807
2014-15
3,673
2013-14
3,544
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
18
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Figure 7: Aggregate energy demand at consumer end in the state (in MUs)
2019-20
81,456
2018-19
76,406
2017-18
71,634
Optimist scenario
2016-17
67,196
2015-16
Realistic scenario
Pessimist scenario
61,572
2014-15
56,029
2013-14
50,950
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Year
Solar (%)
2010-11
2015-16
1.29
2011-12
0.40
2016-17
1.57
2012-13
0.60
2017-18
1.86
2013-14
0.80
2018-19
2.14
2014-15
1.00
2019-20
2.43
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The RPO target is applicable to all the consumers including Distribution Licensees, open access
consumers and Captive Consumers. The Distribution Licensees are biggest obligated entities as they
supply majority of the power to the consumers. A small proportion of the consumers procure power
using open access in the state from the traders/power exchange/bilateral transactions. From the data
of SLDC, it can be concluded that the open access consumers form less than 2% of the total energy
consumption of the state. The study therefore dropped to access the demand from open access
consumers. The historical data for consumption of electricity by Captive Consumers in the state was
taken from the electrical inspectorate and extrapolated till 2020 using CAGR method to estimate the
captive consumption in the state (refer Appendix E. - Projecting Demand of Renewable Energy).
Based on the energy consumption by the Distribution Licensees and the Captive Consumers, the
energy required to meet the solar RPO is estimated.
Figure 8: Solar energy required by Distribution Licensee and Captive Consumers 19 (in MUs)
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
2019-20
1,873
2018-19
107
1,544
2017-18
2016-17
2015-16
745
2014-15
524
2013-14
379
500
1,000
1,500
2,000 2,500
49
512
2013-14
28
62
720
2014-15
37
76
952
2015-16
49
91
1,196
2016-17
62
107
1,460
2017-18
76
993
1,759
2018-19
91
1,256
2019-20
37
375
28
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Figure 9: Solar energy required by Distribution Licensee and Captive Consumers 20 (in MUs)
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
2019-20
1,873
2018-19
1,544
2017-18
2015-16
2014-15
524
2013-14
379
20
500
1,000
1,500
2,000 2,500
62
720
49
512
2013-14
28
76
952
2014-15
37
91
1,196
2015-16
49
107
1,460
2016-17
62
745
1,759
2017-18
76
993
2019-20
2018-19
91
1,256
2016-17
19
107
375
37
28
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
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Year
Year
Non-solar (%)
2010-11
Non-solar (%)
0.8
2015-16
7.31
2011-12
2.10
2016-17
8.63
2012-13
3.40
2017-18
9.94
2013-14
4.70
2018-19
11.26
2014-15
6.00
2019-20
12.57
Madhya Pradesh is 2nd largest state66 in terms of geographical area with good RE potential from wind,
biomass and small hydro. The tariff approved by the state regulatory commission is highest among all
the states having RE potential in wind, biomass and small hydro. Therefore there is a high probability
that the non-solar energy required by the obligated entities to meet its RPO will be fulfilled by
procurement of energy from the projects developed within state.
Figure 10: Non-solar energy required by Distribution Licensee and Captive Consumers 21 (in
MUs)
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
2019-20
9,687
2018-19
8,126
2017-18
2015-16
4,223
2014-15
3,141
2,228 167
2013-14
-
4,080
2014-15
220
3,073
2013-14
5,000
10,000
15,000
406
5,236
2015-16
278
477
6,391
2016-17
341
552
7,682
2017-18
406
5,458
9,098
2018-19
477
6,714
2016-17
2019-20
552
341
278
220
2,202 167
5,000
10,000
15,000
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Scenario 2
81,456
12,218
81,456
12,218
1,979
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
81,456
11,515
16,203
1,865
Scenario 1
1. Solar energy required to meet RPO by DL and CC
2. Non-solar energy required to meet RPO by the DL
and CC
3. Renewable energy required to meet RPO
4. Total non conventional energy required by DL and
CC
5. Total energy demand in the state
16,203
81,456
Scenario 2
1. Solar energy required to meet RPO by DL and
CC
2. Non-solar energy required to meet RPO by the
DL and CC
3. Substituting HT-industrial and LT-industrial
consumers by Renewable Energy
4. Total Renewable Energy demand
5. Total non conventional energy required by DL
and CC
6. Total energy demand in the state
Scenario 2
7,000
6,000
5,280
5,648
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,189
1,000
-
22
23
5,959
5,959
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
7,132
7,596
7,990
7,990
1,966
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Figure 13: Target capacity addition from solar technology 24 (in MW)
Scenario 1
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
-
Scenario 2
1,189 1,189
982
801
634
220 245
337
477
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
1,966 1,966
1,349
535
343
220
813
1,642
1,075
Figure 14: Target capacity addition from wind technology (in MW)
Scenario 1
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
Scenario 2
4,091
2,845
957
323
1,798
1,343
4,091
3,437
2,317
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
3,624
323
1,102
1,635
2,285
4,363
5,167 5,167
2,950
Figure 15: Target capacity addition from biomass technology (in MW)
Scenario 1
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-
Scenario 2
367
367
309
208
57
86
121
255
161
500
400
300
200
100
-
464 464
392
325
57
99
147
205
265
Figure 16: Target capacity addition from small hydro technology (in MW)
Scenario 1
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-
24
Scenario 2
312
217
86
86
102
137
177
262
312
500
400
300
200
100
-
394
394
332
86
86
125
174
225
276
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Energy
38%
18%
Transport
Other industries
Cement
9%
6%
Agriculture
7%
12%
7%
Waste
Power sector
contributes 38%
of the total GHG
emissions of
India.
The Government of India has prepared National Action Plan on Climate Change to chart the
development path that is economically sustainable. NAPCC targets 15% 72 RE by 2020. Based on
targets of NAPCC, the potential demand of RE is estimated at 207,275 MUs by 2020. Further, as per
the amended NTP73, 2006, the states are mandated to purchase solar power up to 3% by 2022. The
National Solar Mission74, 2010 specifies that the solar power purchase obligation for states may start
with 0.25% in the phase-I (2010-13) and go up to 3% by 2022. Based on targets of amended NTP, the
potential demand of solar energy is estimated at 41,455 MUs by 2020.
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Fuel
Subcritical
Supercritical
Coal
6,740
CCGT
Gas
18,493
Subcritical
Hydro
NA
39,959
Nuclear
NA
4,780
Wind
NA
16,078
Solar
NA
368
Small hydro
NA
3252
Biomass
2712
Total [1]
Captive [2]
2,080
199,867
Coal and Gas
31,500
231,367
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database provides information about the Combined Margin (CM) Emission Factors of all the regional
electricity grids in India. The Combined Margin in the CEA database is calculated ex-ante using the
guidelines provided by the UNFCCC in the Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity
system. The Combined Margin data published in the CEA database Version 9, is used for calculating
the Baseline Emission Factor. By using above mentioned database and tools, ex-ante emission factor
is estimated and applied for calculating GHG emission reductions from grid connected RE
technologies for the period from 2013-14 to 2019-20.
Southern Grid
Northern
Eastern
Western
North-Eastern
Southern
Chandigarh
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Arunachal
Pradesh
Andhra Pradesh
Delhi
Jharkhand
Gujarat
Assam
Karnataka
Haryana
Orissa
Manipur
Kerala
Himachal Pradesh
West Bengal
Meghalaya
Tamil Nadu
Sikkim
Madhya Pradesh
Mizoram
Pondicherry
Punjab
AndamanNicobar
Maharashtra
Nagaland
Lakshadweep
Goa
Tripura
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarakhand
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2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Must-Run
sources (% of
net generation)
18.5%
19.0%
17.4%
15.9%
17.6%
6.6.4. Calculate the operating margin emission factor according to the selected
method
Options for calculating simple OM
Option A: Based on the net electricity generation and a CO2 emission factor of each power unit
Option B: Based on the total net electricity generation of all power plants serving the system and the fuel
types and total fuel consumption of the project electricity system
The simple OM emission factor is calculated as the generation-weighted average of CO2 emissions
per unit of net electricity generation of all generating power plants serving the system, not including
low cost must run power plants. Option A is used to calculate simple OM emission factor. The simple
OM emission factor is calculated based on data of electricity generation and an emission factor for
each power unit.
EFgrid,OMsimple,y = (EGm,y x EFEL,m,y) / EGm,y, Where
EFgrid,OMsimple,y
EGm,y
EFEL,m,y
m
y
The CO2 emission factor data and net electricity generation data of all generating power plants in
NEWNE grid (not including low cost must run power plants) for the last three year is available under
the CEA database (Version 9) (refer Appendix F. -Power projects and their specific emissions in
NEWNE grid).
Table 32: CO2 emission factor and Net Electricity Generation (incl. Imports)
Parameter
CO2 emission factor
(TCO2/MWh)
Net Electricity Generation
(MWh)
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
0.9710
0.9691
0.9914
579,181
621,462
653,066
The 3 years generation-weighted OM average for NEWNE grid works out to be 0.9775 TCO2/MWh
(ex-ante).
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EGm,y
Net quantity of electricity generated and delivered to the grid by each power unit in a year (MWh)
EFEL,m,y
m
y
The CO2 emission factor of each power unit is determined using the year 2012-13. The BM emission
factor for the year 2012-13 works out to be 0.9673 TCO2/MWh.
EFgrid, OM, y
wOM
wBM
The intermittent sources for power generation like wind and solar are provided different weights for
OM and BM in comparison to biomass and small hydro projects. The CM emission factor for wind
and solar works out to be 0.9750 TCO2/MWh and for biomass and Small Hydro works out to be
0.9724 TCO2/MWh.
Table 33: Weights of OM and BM used for computing CM
Particulars
Units
WOM
0.75
0.50
WBM
0.25
0.50
EF
TCO2/MWh
0.9750
0.9724
Estimation of Project Emissions: For renewable power generation project, project emissions can be
assumed to be zero.
Estimation of Leakage Emissions: The leakage emissions in the context of electric sector projects are
the emissions arising due to activities such as power plant construction and upstream emissions from
fossil fuel use. These emissions sources are neglected.
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Estimation of Baseline Emissions: Baseline emissions include CO2 emissions from electricity
generation in fossil fuel fired power plants that are displaced due to the project. The methodology
assumes that all project electricity generation above baseline levels would have been generated by
existing grid-connected power plants and the addition of new grid-connected power plants.
BEy = EGPJ,y * EFgrid,CM,y, Where
BEy = Baseline emissions (TCO2)
EGPJ,y = Quantity of net electricity generation that is produced and fed into the grid as a result of
the implementation of RE project (MWh)
EFgrid,CM,y = Combined margin CO2 emission factor for grid connected power generation
The GHG emission reduction potential is 48 Million TCO2 under scenario 1 and 64 Million TCO2
under scenario 2 for the period from 2013-14 to 2019-20. This is equivalent to saving of 3126 Million
Tons of coal under scenario 1 and 42 Million Tons of coal under scenario 2 in the period from 2013-14
to 2019-20.
64 Million TCO2
Savings in coal
42 Million Tons
Figure 17: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to solar (000 TCO 2)
Scenario 1
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
Scenario 2
397
546
774
1,029
1,299
1,594
1,930
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
3,190
556
869
1,319
1,745
2,190
2,665
Figure 18: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to wind (000 TCO 2)
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
1,634
2,294
3,072
3,958
4,860
5,872
6,988
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-
1,883
2,793
3,904
5,040
6,191
7,452
8,826
Figure 19: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to biomass (000 TCO 2)
26
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Scenario 1
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
-
512
Scenario 2
719
963
1,241
1,523
1,841
2,190
3,000
2,000
1,000
590
875
1,224
1,580
1,940
2,336
2,766
Figure 20: Year on Year GHG emission reductions due to small hydro projects (000 TCO2)
Scenario 1
1,000
800
600
400
200
-
186
Scenario 2
262
350
451
554
669
797
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
-
215
318
445
574
706
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61
7. Assessment of RE deployment
7.1. Current state of RE deployment
The state has good potential in all the RE technologies including solar, wind, biomass and small
hydro. The guiding factor for RE investment is supported by the policy incentives and regulatory
factors. Wind and solar technologies are commercialised in India and could be up-scaled provided
conducive regulatory, policy and commercial environment in the state. The biomass and small hydro
technologies are mature but still face barriers to up-scaling. The barriers and their possible solutions
have been analysed in detail in the subsequent chapters in this report.
Madhya Pradesh has witness implementation of RE projects in solar, wind, biomass and small hydro.
As of September 2013, the installed capacity of solar, wind, biomass and small hydro is 220, 323, 57
and 86 MW respectively. This translates to 1,506 MUs annually at CUF of 19%77, 20%78, 70%79 and
30%80 for solar, wind, biomass and small hydro respectively.
Table 34: Current deployment of RE projects
Technology
CUF (%)
Generation (MUs)
Solar PV
220
19
366
Wind
323
20
566
Biomass
57
70
350
Small Hydro
86
30
226
RFP2 (MW)
3,527
880
685
RFP1 (MW)
-
1,000
2,000
Solar
3,000
4,000
Wind
Biomass
165
Small hydro
275
Solar
1,449
Wind
2,776
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Capacity (MW)
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In addition to this, in case of solar power projects, MPPMCL has till date invited request for proposals
for setting up of solar power projects for 300 MW (200 MW and 100 MW). Almost all the projects
that were awarded in 200 MW proposal have already been completed and the projects that are
awarded under 100 MW proposal are expected to be completed in 2015.
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Technical consultants
Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Lenders
Suppliers of equipment
Internal roads
EPC contractors
laying foundation
Developer
Investor
Operation and
maintenance party
Operators
Developer
Planning application
load flow study
Solar resource assessment
Design and Engineering
(used
1 year
Developer/investor
interchangeably)
Applicatio
n
Scoping
Scoping
Key Player/Agencies
End of
Life
Repowering
25 year
Operations
Operate
1 year
Implemen
t
0.5
year
Procurement of equipment
Logistic
s
Arranging finance
Consent
Securing
approvals
(grid
connection/evacuation, right of way,
land approvals),
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1,461
Solar
880
-
500
1,000
RFP2 (MW)
1,500
2,000
RFP1 (MW)
Interpretation
Feed in tariff
Capacity utilisation Factor
Evacuation
Approvals Technical,
environmental, administrative and
land
Capital cost, CUF and tariff are most critical factors affecting
the financial viability of the solar power projects. Due to large
number of players in solar industry for each of the supply
chain components such as modules, inverters, capital cost in
the solar industry is very competitive.
Solar power, in general, is not procured at the preferential
tariff approved by the commission. Solar power is procured
through the competitive bidding process. Therefore feed in
tariff is not a factor that drives the solar power investment.
The capacity utilization factor can be assessed using satellite
data and ground monitoring stations. In case of solar
projects, the projects developers and the financers are
reasonably comfortable in using the satellite date for
investment decision making. However, ground monitoring
station improves the quality of the data and generates more
interest from the project developers.
The solar parks envisaged by MPNRED must provide solar
resource data to the prospective project developers. This will
increase interest of the project developers in the solar parks
and also increase interest of the financers.
Evacuation infrastructure is critical for project development.
The strength of state transmission system is important factor
that will decide the rate at which the solar energy projects
could be up-scaled.
As per MPERC order and the state policy, the cost up to grid
interconnection has to be borne by the project developer.
Distance of the project site from the grid can impact the
financial viability of the project.
Most of the solar power projects are located in the western
Madhya Pradesh where the grid connection may be 50-70 km
from the project site.
The state transmission system requires strengthening with
respect to new substations and transmission lines close to the
good solar sites (Western Madhya Pradesh).
Multilateral and bilateral financing agencies can play a good
role, if engaged, for strengthening of the state transmission
system with focus on debottlenecking the transmission
network for up-scaling of RE.
Most of the solar power developers are well versed with the
approval
processes
Technical,
environmental,
administrative and land.
The type of the land selected Private, revenue or forest is
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Parameter
Interpretation
Choice of technology
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financial investment decision. Financers are also comfortable in financing the projects based
on satellite data if the estimates are confirmed by the reputed third party technical consultant.
MPNRED may appoint a reputed third party technical consultant to map the solar resource
assessment for the entire state. This will provide the project developers with the bankable
information and will reduce the possibility of project failure at the stage of financial closure.
Securing land
7. Deputy Commissioners of all the districts can identify the inventory of surplus & unused land
available with the State Government, PSUs, Urban Local Bodies/ Gram Panchayat lands and
suitable private waste lands which can be used for installation of RE projects. The
identification exercise can be done periodically.
8. Identified land for RE projects can be allocated to the MPNRED. The allocated land can be
utilized in the following manner:
o
MPNRED can develop the land, take necessary clearances and allocate the same to the
RE project developers. For this MPNRED can take some service charge.
9. In case land identified for the project is in forest area, the equivalent area has to be
compensated with compensatory afforestation land. The acquisition of such land takes around
6-8 months. MPNRED may make compensatory afforestation land banks readily available to
the project developers to shorten the implementation timeframe.
Single window clearance system (covered in policy review)
Focus on facilitation of infrastructure development
Facilitating grid connection
10. MPNRED has prepared a transmission strengthening plan in discussion with MPPTCL at the
locations which are in vicinity of the good RE sites. MPNRED is making focussed efforts to
push MPPTCL in strengthening the grid infrastructure which is critical to up-scale the RE
investment in the state.
11. Based on the interest received from the project developers in the RFP process, certain regions
can be identified with higher solar potential for project development. MPPTCL should
establish pooling points for evacuation of power in such identified regions. It will be cost
effective as a number RE projects can get connected to these pooling points. Such facilities
have already been created in some states.
12. Right of way issues is one of the major concerns of the project developers that may dissuade
the project developers in taking up the projects that are far away from the grid. MPNRED
shall make efforts to push MPPTCL to take responsibility to develop the infrastructure from
the grid sub-station to the pooling sub-station at the cost of the developer.
13. A coordination committee comprising representatives of MPNRED, MPPTCL and distribution
utilities can be formed to facilitate grid connectivity arrangement to RE projects. It will help
state electricity utilities in considering the future RE projects while developing their network
strengthening plans.
Be a part of Green Energy Corridor
14. The growth of RE in the state may be limited due to inadequate interstate transmission
infrastructure. The projects that are selected under the JNNSM may require evacuating the
power outside the state. MNRE is also expected to launch the wind mission which will procure
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Draft modus operandi: Project developers will send the cost details related to
evacuation facility to MPNRED. MNRED will scrutinize the details with the
benchmark/ prudent costs. Based on the validation of the cost estimate, MPNRED will
reimburse (say 50 %) of the expenses incurred by private developers for evacuation
arrangement from Green Energy Fund after the private developer has commissioned
and handed over the evacuation arrangement to concerned distribution
licensee/MPPMCL. The maximum amount that can be reimbursed will depend on the
availability of Green Energy Fund.
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20. The state may collect the cess and utilizes the same for various activities development of
non-conventional energy sources, infrastructure development, power evacuation and study on
mapping of RE resources.
Managing investment and project execution risk
Tenure and payment security
21. Tenure of the commercial agreement with the procurer shall be for the term of project life.
MPPMCL executes PPA with the project developers for the project life.
22. Payment security by the off-taker (covered in paragraph 10.9)
Issues in third party sale
23. The projects envisaged under third party sale or captive consumption mode are likely to use
preferential terms (preferential wheeling and banking, transmission or electricity duty waiver)
or REC mechanism for financial viability. Key actions needed to increase sale of RE
penetration in third party or captive consumption mode:
REC mechanism provides additional revenue to the project developers that implement
project on APPC, third party sale or captive mode. REC mechanism is not working well
in the current state. Enforcement by the state regulators may push this market but
efforts are required by all the state regulators to enforce the RPO. Action by few state
regulators in isolation may not be enough to revive the REC market. FOR is also
making an effort to revive REC market. FOR has recently invited tenders to
commission the study to develop an action possible to revive REC market.
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Scoping
Key Player/Agencies
Technical consultants
Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Lenders
Suppliers of equipment
Internal roads
EPC contractors
laying foundation
Developer
Investor
Operation and
maintenance party
Operators
Developer
Planning application
load flow study
Wind resource assessment
Design and Engineering
(used
1 year
Developer/investor
interchangeably)
Applicatio
n
Scoping
Activity
End of
Life
Repowering
25 year
Operations
Operate
1 year
Implemen
t
Erection of WTGs
0.5
year
Procurement of equipment
Logistic
s
Arranging finance
Consent
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3,527
Wind
685
-
1,000
2,000
RFP2 (MW)
3,000
4,000
RFP1 (MW)
Interpretation
Feed in tariff
Average wind speed/CUF
Evacuation
Capital cost, CUF and tariff are most critical factors affecting
the financial viability of the wind power project. The capital
cost in the wind industry is moving to cost competitiveness
with crowding of WEG suppliers in the market. Currently,
there is over capacity in the market and therefore the project
developers are in good position to exploit the situation.
The tariff in the state of Madhya is highest among all the
states in India. At the current tariff (including benefits such
as GBI) and capital cost, the sites with potential of more than
18% CUF are financially viable. There are number of potential
wind farm sites that have a CUF of more than 18% in the state
of Madhya Pradesh.
The capacity utilization factor can be assessed using satellite
data and ground monitoring stations. In case of wind
projects, the projects developers and the financers are not
comfortable in using the satellite date for investment decision
making.
The ground monitoring station improves the quality of the
data and can generate more interest from the project
developers. The number of wind monitoring masts is low in
Madhya Pradesh in comparison to states such as Tamilnadu,
Karnataka, Maharashtra and Rajasthan.
CWET has less than 40 masts in the state of Madhya Pradesh
in comparison to more than 200 masts in states of Gujarat
and Maharashtra. Better density of masts may help explore
more potential. The wind monitoring masts may help
improve the quality of the data available to the investors.
The wind parks envisaged by MPNRED must provide wind
resource data to the prospective project developers. This will
increase interest of the project developers in the wind parks
and also increase interest of the financers.
Evacuation infrastructure is critical for project development.
The strength of state transmission system is important factor
that will decide the rate at which the wind energy projects
could be up-scaled.
As per MPERC order and the state policy, the cost up to grid
interconnection has to be borne by the project developer.
Distance of the project site from the grid can impact the
financial viability of the project.
Most of the wind power projects are located in the western
Madhya Pradesh where the grid connection may be 50-70 km
from the project site.
The state transmission system requires strengthening with
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Parameter
Interpretation
Approvals Technical,
environmental, administrative and
land
Choice of technology
Technical,
environmental,
administrative and land.
The type of the land selected Private, revenue or forest is
also an important factor for the project developer. As per
discussion with various stakeholders, securing rights on
private or revenue land is easier compared to forest land.
Approval for forest land can take 12-18 months which may
dissuade the prospective project developers.
The process of securing forest land is governed by the central
regulations. However state may play their role in assisting the
project developers in providing the land for compensatory
afforestation that is to be provided against the forest land
lease rights.
As long as the investor is able to cross the hurdle rate,
investors are indifferent on the choice of the technology.
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MPNRED can develop the land, take necessary clearances and allocate the same to the
RE project developers. For this MPNRED can take some service charge.
9. In case land identified for the project is in forest area, the equivalent area has to be
compensated with compensatory afforestation land. The acquisition of such land takes around
6-8 months. MPNRED may make compensatory afforestation land banks readily available to
the project developers to shorten the implementation timeframe.
Single window clearance system (covered in policy review)
Focus on facilitation of infrastructure development
Facilitating grid connection
10. MPNRED has prepared a transmission strengthening plan in discussion with MPPTCL at the
locations which are in vicinity of the good RE sites. MPNRED is making focussed efforts to
push MPPTCL in strengthening the grid infrastructure which is critical to up-scale the RE
investment in the state.
11. Based on the interest received from the project developers in the RFP process, certain regions
can be identified with higher wind potential for project development. MPPTCL should
establish pooling points for evacuation of power in such identified regions. It will be cost
effective as a number RE projects can get connected to these pooling points. Such facilities
have already been created in some states.
12. Right of way issues is one of the major concerns of the project developers that may dissuade
the project developers in taking up the projects that are far away from the grid. MPNRED
shall make efforts to push MPPTCL to take responsibility to develop the infrastructure from
the grid sub-station to the pooling sub-station at the cost of the developer.
13. A coordination committee comprising representatives of MPNRED, MPPTCL and distribution
utilities can be formed to facilitate grid connectivity arrangement to RE projects. It will help
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state electricity utilities in considering the future RE projects while developing their network
strengthening plans.
Be a part of Green Energy Corridor
14. The growth of RE in the state may be limited due to inadequate interstate transmission
infrastructure. The projects that are selected under the JNNSM may require evacuating the
power outside the state. MNRE is also expected to launch the wind mission which will procure
wind energy on competitive bidding process. Historically, RE transactions were limited to
intrastate. However with JNNSM and wind mission design already in discussion, the
interstate RE transactions are expected to increase.
15. Report on Green Energy Corridor by PGCIL includes the states of Tamil Nadu, Karnataka,
Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh. Green Energy
Corridor will assist these states in evacuating RE to the other states. Considering that Madhya
Pradesh is able to secure more than 7,000 MW of RE in the RFP 1 and 2 including more than
4,200 MW in wind and 250 MW in JNNSM phase 2 batch 1, MPNRED shall make efforts to
include Madhya Pradesh in the proposed Green Energy Corridor so that power could be
evacuated outside the state.
Target Funding
Engaging with bilateral and multilateral agencies
16. Multilateral and bilateral financing agencies have shown their interest in developing the
transmission infrastructure to up-scale wind energy investment. MPNRED may form the
institutional structure and pool other agencies such as MPPTCL that are able to interact with
these funding agencies taking to consideration the capability to manage funds, technical
expertise to develop the transmission system, monitoring and reporting progress.
Harnessing funds from NCEF
17. According to National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF), the projects relating to creation of power
evacuation infrastructure are eligible for funding under the scheme. MPNRED has made an
application to NCEF for funding the power evacuation infrastructure for RE projects in
accordance with the financing plan submitted by MPPTCL.
Targeting incentives for grid Connected RE from MoF, India
18. 13th Finance Commission provided guidelines for implementation of the incentive scheme,
with the objective of broad-based development of RE sources across states. The grant of INR
5,000 Crores was advised for the projects to be commissioned from April 01, 2010 to March
31, 2014. Such grants may be advised by the Finance Commission for the coming years. If
such grant is continued in future, MPNRED may estimate the grant that could be drawn based
on the guidelines provided by the 13th Finance Commission.
Creating Green Energy Fund to support infrastructure
19. Green Energy Fund is floated by Maharashtra to support transmission infrastructure. For
Evacuation arrangement of wind energy project, 50% amount is given as a subsidy through
Green Energy Fund. MPNRED may envisage similar mechanism to share the evacuation cost
with the project developer for solar and wind energy projects.
o
Draft modus operandi: Project developers will send the cost details related to
evacuation facility to MPNRED. MNRED will scrutinize the details with the
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benchmark/ prudent costs. Based on the validation of the cost estimate, MPNRED will
reimburse (say 50 %) of the expenses incurred by private developers for evacuation
arrangement from Green Energy Fund after the private developer has commissioned
and handed over the evacuation arrangement to concerned distribution
licensee/MPPMCL. The maximum amount that can be reimbursed will depend on the
availability of Green Energy Fund.
20. The state may collect the cess and utilizes the same for various activities development of
non-conventional energy sources, infrastructure development, power evacuation and study on
mapping of RE resources.
Managing investment and project execution risk
Tenure and payment security
21. Tenure of the commercial agreement with the procurer shall be for the term of project life.
MPPMCL executes PPA with the project developers for the project life.
22. Payment security by the off-taker (covered in paragraph 10.9)
Issues in third party sale
23. The projects envisaged under third party sale or captive consumption mode are likely to use
preferential terms (preferential wheeling and banking, transmission or electricity duty waiver)
or REC mechanism for financial viability. Key actions needed to increase sale of RE
penetration in third party or captive consumption mode:
REC mechanism provides additional revenue to the project developers that implement
project on APPC, third party sale or captive mode. REC mechanism is not working well
in the current state. Enforcement by the state regulators may push this market but
efforts are required by all the state regulators to enforce the RPO. Action by few state
regulators in isolation may not be enough to revive the REC market. FOR is also
making an effort to revive REC market. FOR has recently invited tenders to
commission the study to develop an action possible to revive REC market.
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Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Arranging finance
Lenders
Procurement of equipment
Suppliers of equipment
laying foundation
EPC contractors
Developer
Operations
Investor
Biomass procurement
Operation and
maintenance party
Operators
Developer
Setting up of warehouses/conveyor
etc.
25 year
Nodal agency
1.5 year
0.5 year
1 year
End of
Life
Transmission
and
distribution company
Operate
Implement
Technical consultants
Logistic
s
Planning application
(used
Consent
Developer/investor
interchangeably)
Application
Scoping
Scoping
Key Player/Agencies
Interpretation
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Parameter
Capital cost
Interpretation
Feed in tariff
Water linkage
Evacuation
Approvals Technical,
environmental, administrative and
land
Capital cost, tariff and fuel price and availability and are
most critical factors affecting the financial viability of
the biomass power project.
MPERC has considered capital cost of INR 4.63
Crores/MW which is very low as compared to the actual
cost which according to the project developers is
between INR 5.5-6 Crores/MW .
The tariff in the state of Madhya Pradesh (two part
tariff- a mix fixed tariff and variable tariffs) is calculated
considering capital cost which is lower than capital cost
prescribed by CERC and other state regulatory
commissions.
The cost of fuel considered for variable tariff may not be
available in all the regions. Madhya Pradesh is 2 nd
largest state in India. Not all the regions are equally rich
in biomass. Therefore state regulator may consider
having different variable tariff for different regions.
Fuel availability, fuel quality and fuel processing etc.
still pose the major challenges to a biomass project
developer. The biomass fuel prices are very volatile.
Project developers and financers are concerned of the
long term fuel prices.
States such as Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh have
witness the shutdown of biomass power plants before
their technical life due to fuel price escalations.
Water linkage is an important factor for biomass
projects. Most of the biomass projects in India use wet
cooling systems which require huge volume of water.
Biomass power plants that are not in vicinity of the
water linkage may have to employ dry cooling system.
However dry cooling system will push the capital cost of
the project on the higher side.
At the stated capacity range, it is difficult to have a
substation of 33 KV or above.
As per MPERC order and the state policy, the cost up to
grid interconnection has to be borne by the project
developer.
Distance of the project site from the grid can impact the
financial viability of the project.
Most of the biomass power developers are well versed
with
the
approval
processes
Technical,
environmental, administrative and land.
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4. In order to ensure long term fuel availability and sustainable price, MPNRED may promote
plantation backed biomass power plants. Development of energy plantation on Government
waste land and degraded forest land may be allowed for creating supply of supplementary fuel
for biomass power plants.
Single window clearance system (covered in policy review)
Land allocation (covered in policy review)
Water linkage
5. Water linkage is an important factor for biomass projects. Most of the biomass projects in
India use wet cooling systems which require huge volume of water. Biomass power plants that
are not in vicinity of the water linkage may have to employ dry cooling system. However dry
cooling system will push the capital cost of the project on the higher side. Dry cooling systems
have high auxiliary consumption. High heat rate will push the variable cost component on the
higher side. MPERC may consider a different tariff for dry cooling systems due to their high
capital cost and low efficiency.
Facilitating grid connection
6. Most of the biomass projects are typically in the range of 5-15 MW. This is an optimal capacity
range for biomass projects that make them financially viable. Biomass gasifiers find their
feasibility for the project size of than 2 MW. However, these projects can typically be very
useful in distributed generation. These projects can be connected at the low voltage levels due
to their small size.
7. Infrastructure cost for creating grid interconnection can be prohibitive for implementation of
biomass power projects. The state of Maharashtra provides 50 % financial assistance from
Green Cess (33 kV and above) after commissioning subject to maximum INR 2 crores/project.
MPNRED may create a Green Energy Fund to encourage biomass project developers by
sharing the cost of transmission infrastructure.
Managing investment risk
8. Tenure and payment security (covered in off-taker risk under financing RE)
9. Biomass projects are provided a two part tariff fixed and variable cost. Fixed component of
the cost covers return on equity, interest, depreciation, operation and maintenance expense.
Variable cost covers the fuel cost. Fuel cost has to be reviewed frequently for making operation
of the biomass power plants financially viable. MPNRED may take an independent survey of
the fuel prices, which can be conducted by independent technical consultant. The fuel price
survey may be conducted once in two or three years to assess feedstock prices. The fuel prices
thus obtained have to be shared with the state regulator for approval which could be allowed
to all the power plants irrespective of their commissioning date.
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10. It may be noted that the study undertaken by an independent third party consultant have to
be presented to MPERC for approval, therefore special care should be taken to appoint a
technical consultant having capability of measuring reliably the calorific value of the biomass,
structured approach to conduct surveys to achieve reliable results on pricing and biomass
surplus available.
11. The projects that supply power to third party are seldom signed for the project life. Therefore
in case the PPA for such projects falls apart during the project life, these projects may be
allowed to enter into the PPA with MPPMCL at the preferential tariff approved by MPERC. In
such cases, the fixed cost may be allowed as per tariff order that would have been applicable to
the project as per its commissioning date while the variable component may be allowed as per
independent survey conducted from time to time.
Investment promotion
12. Investors of biomass projects are different from utility scale wind and solar investors.
Targeting investors in biomass projects will require an outreach effort from MPNRED.
Investor conference may be planned twice in a year where all such investors will be invited.
MPNRED will explain the outputs of the studies that are undertaken by MPNRED on biomass
assessment and steps taken on ensuring price stability. Information on policy initiatives and
advantages for investment in the state may be disseminated during the investor conference.
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Key Player/Agencies
Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Transmission
and
distribution company
Nodal agency
Arranging finance
Lenders
Engineering design
Suppliers of equipment
EPC contractors
Developer
Investor
Operation and
maintenance party
Operators
Developer
0.5
year
Planning application
1.5 year
Technical consultants
Logistic
s
(used
Consent
Developer/investor
interchangeably)
Applicatio
n
Scoping
Procurement of equipment
2 year
Implemen
t
End of
Life
30 year
Operations
Operate
Interpretation
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Parameter
Capital cost
Interpretation
Feed in tariff
Resource availability
Evacuation
Approvals Technical,
environmental, administrative and
land
Choice of technology
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using discharge data of various catchments and applying latest techniques of remote sensing
and/or computer modelling.
2. Detailed Projects Reports (DPRs) for these projects takes relatively longer because of the need
for reliable hydrological, geological, seismological and environmental data. These factors add
huge financial risks even for a short delay in the project or a small increase in project costs.
Detailed project report may be prepared for the project sites that are identified by the
technical consultant. These details may then be made available to the prospective developers
during the bid process.
Single window clearance system and land allocation (covered in policy review)
Facilitating grid connection
3. MPNRED may prepare a transmission strengthening plan in discussion with MPPTCL at the
locations which are in vicinity of the large number of small hydro project sites. MPNRED shall
make focussed efforts to push MPPTCL in strengthening the grid infrastructure which is
critical to up-scale the renewable energy investment in the state.
4. Right of way issues is one of the major concerns of the project developers that may dissuade
the project developers in taking up the projects are far away from the grid. MPNRED shall
make efforts to push MPPTCL to take responsibility to develop the infrastructure from the
grid sub-station to the pooling sub-station at the cost of the developer.
Investment promotion
5. Investors of small hydro projects are different from utility scale wind and solar investors.
Targeting investors in small hydro project will require an outreach effort from MPNRED.
Investor conference may be planned twice in a year where all such investors will be invited.
MPNRED will explain the preparedness of the small hydro projects in terms of feasibility
study and/or DPR. Information on policy initiatives and advantages for investment in the
state may be disseminated during the investor conference.
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9. Financing RE
9.1. Financing structures
Financing of power sector projects in India takes a typical 30:70 debt equity structure. The up-scaling
of investment in RE sector depends upon the availability of capital in the form of debt from the
lenders and equity from the project developers. The availability of the capital depends largely on the
risk and return profile that is offered by the projects. The tariff approved by the regulatory
commission for RE projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh is one of the highest in the country and
therefore the returns from the projects is not a major issue that the project developers are concerned
provided that there is information available on the good sites for project development and the risk
related to consents, clearances and permits, regulatory and off-taker are kept under check.
The project developer is expected to manage the project related risks, manage stakeholders and the
agreements to successfully arrange financing for the project. The financial institutions are interested
in doing due diligence on the stakeholders, project agreements, project risk assessment and the
providers of the equity capital.
Figure 25: Financers view point
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history of successful operation over the lifetime of the project. Therefore while providing debt to RE
projects, lenders are more comfortable in providing finance in the form of balance sheet financing
rather than taking direct exposure to the project cash flows.
RE projects are also financed in the form of limited recourse financing where in addition to collateral
of the project assets, banks demands financial assets from the project developer in the form of
guarantee from the parent or its affiliate with the strong balance sheet. The limitation of recourse
financing is that the balance sheet can be leveraged to a limited extent which limits the further growth
by putting downward constraint on the availability of the capital for project development.
Commercial banks are the major source of financing to the infrastructure projects. The role
of commercial banks is very important in order to up scale the investment in RE sector in the
state.
Non-banking financial companies (NBFC) are focussed on the key sectors and have
specialised teams for project appraisal. NBFCs take shorter time for project appraisal due to
their focus in the key sectors.
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conventional projects. IDAs provide loans to the project developers either directly or through
the financial intermediary such as commercial banks that have greater outreach to the
projects.
Transmission constraint is seen as a one of the biggest hurdle for development of the RE
projects. IDAs are interested in financing the enabling infrastructure that is required to upscale the investment in RE. ADB has provided loans to Rajasthan and Gujarat for
infrastructure strengthening for up-scaling of RE projects.
EXIM banks are specialised financing agencies backed by the Government to boost the
export from the host country. However this type of financing limits the options for the
developer to procure the equipment from the country providing finance. EXIM banks provide
loans to the project developers either directly or through the financial intermediary such as
commercial banks that have greater outreach to the projects.
Commercial Banks
International Banks
NBFC
IDA
EXIM banks
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project covering resource assessment, project execution, technology risk and credit status of the offtaker. The financing cycle is typically 10 to 12 years including moratorium period. Therefore the debt
coverage has to be assessed at least for the period up to loan tenure.
Facilitation by MPNRED with the different departments for securing permits, clearances and
consents.
Solar and wind power parks may be developed on PPP mode. MPNRED shall develop plans
for creating solar and wind parks that secure the basic permissions and clearances
upfront.
Solar park policy states that 25% of the power has to be sold to MPPMCL at APPC cost if the
project is developed on revenue or private land. This is prohibitive. Financers do not consider
REC revenues while appraising projects. This condition may be deferred until the time REC
mechanism is revived to the extent that its revenue stream is considered bankable.
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There is limited data that is available to the project developers on wind resource in the state of
Madhya Pradesh. There is limited number of masts in the state that are installed by CWET. However
monitoring of data is being done by the various prospective project developers in the state but this
data is kept private. The data collected data by the private developers is not made public by the
private developers due its proprietary nature.
Madhya Pradesh state is rich in water resources. There are number of rivers that flow through the
state of Madhya Pradesh - Narmada, Mahanadi, Godavari, Tapi, Mahi, Chambal, Betwa, Ken and Son.
As part from these are number of tributaries of Ganga and Yamuna that originates or merge in the
state of Madhya Pradesh. Limited number of studies has been undertaken to assess the hydro
potential in the state and therefore the potential assessed till date do not commensurate with the
actual potential in the state.
As a financer of a RE project, the quality of the resource data and the agency performing the
assessment on the data are aspects based on which the appraisal process is undertaken.
Mitigation Actions
Actions by MPNRED
MPNRED shall make efforts to install more number of wind masts in the state to collect data
and disseminate the information collected to the project developers. A reputed technical
consultant shall be engaged for installing wind masts and collecting information. This
information may then be disseminated to the prospective project developers.
Wind and solar farms shall be backed by the resource assessment reports by a reputed
technical consultant for better response from the project developers.
The data on small hydro projects is limited and therefore a comprehensive study shall be
undertaken by MPNRED to collect the data by engaging a reputed technical consultant for
resource assessment.
There is limited data on biomass surplus available in the state. Detailed region wise study of
biomass surplus shall be undertaken by MPNRED. The information collected shall be shared
with the prospective project developers.
The project developers shall undertake the independent assessment of the renewable resource
by the reputed agencies to mitigate the risk of acceptability of such reports by the financers.
Wind project developers shall collect wind resource data by installing wind monitoring masts
in case data for the particular site is not available from the public sources such as CWET.
Solar data collected from satellite is available with the agencies like Solar GIS which is
considered reasonable and could be used by the project developers.
Small hydro project developers shall engage reputed independent consultants to collect water
resource data by installing flow monitoring instruments for at least a year.
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small proportion that is driven by the captive and third party consumers. Most of the utilities in India
are in bad financial health. However, Madhya Pradesh Power Management Company Limited has
been able to turn around its technical capability by entering into long term contracts for power
procurement. The state of Madhya Pradesh is one of the states that are not power deficit. MPPMCL
has been able to increase the supply hours to consumers (24 x 7 supply to domestic and 10 hours of
quality supply to agriculture consumers) resulting in higher coverage, better consumer service and
revenue potential.
The huge investment program is undertaken by the distribution companies to reduce technical losses.
This investment in infrastructure is expected to provide benefits going forward in terms of reduced
losses and improving financial health.
RE is expensive in comparison to the conventional energy. Therefore commercial agreements for
power offtake shall be for the project life or at least equal to the tenure of the financing agreement.
The projects that are executed on preferential tariff by MPPMCL are executed for the project life.
Figure 26: Capital investment by Discoms (INR Crores)
FY14
1,030
FY13
423
FY12
429
FY 11
276
0
947
532
154
339
366
364
348
369
500
480
1000
ADB
1,119
836
994
1500
RAPDRP
2000
RGGVY
2500
3000
3500
4000
Feeder Segregation
Financers insist on the compliance with the policy and regulatory framework and the payment
security mechanisms in the commercial agreements.
Mitigation Actions
Actions by MPPMCL
The PPA may provide payment security thorough revolving letter of credit.
The PPA shall be signed by the off-taker at the tariff determined by the MPERC.
All the power produced by the project shall be procured by the off-taker.
PPA should be at least equal to term of the financing agreement (10-12 years). MPERC advises
the tenure for the project life.
Payment shall not be upheld due to litigation. MPERC also advices the same.
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The PPAs that are structured to supply power to the third party are subject to various uncertainties
on charges wheeling and banking charges, transmission tariff and electricity duty. These charges
are not fixed for the tenure of the project and are subject to changes during the project life. These
uncertainties create a doubt while assessing the financial viability of the project.
The projects that supply power at a tariff less than Average Power procurement Cost (APPC) to the
state utility or supply power to the third party or captive consumption without making use of the
preferential wheeling and banking charges, transmission tariff and/or electricity duty are eligible for
registration under REC mechanism. REC prices are subject to change after the end of the control
period which ends in 2017. There is uncertainty on the price of the floor and the forbearance price
after the end of the control period. The project developers with the exposure of 25 years and the
lenders with the exposure of 10-12 years are uncertain on investing into projects that are registered
under REC mechanism.
Mitigation Actions
Action by MPERC
MPERC shall monitor the RPO compliance of the obligated entities year on year.
MPERC shall take action in the form of financial penalty for non-compliance.
The project developers shall ensure that the project is sustainable on the tariff without any
fallback on the REC prices.
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Mitigation Actions
Actions by MPNRED
Assessing the capacity to arrange capital (both debt and equity) by assessing the financial
strength of the bidder. Net worth criteria may be benchmarked against the best practice that is
followed by MNRE/SECI for JNNSM.
Selection of the EPC contractor having strong prior experience in implementing the project.
Having appropriate liquidity damages on delay of project or under performance of the project.
Securing performance guarantees against the letter of credit or by upholding 10% of the
contract payment.
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Key recommendations
The RE policy for Madhya Pradesh should clearly specify the thrust areas for harnessing RE
sources in the most economic way. The thrust areas can be based on the RE potential
available, technology maturity and other factors impacting the investments.
RE targets should be specified, which will act as a guiding factor for different programmes in
the state and assist in identification of the specific measures to achieve the targets.
Need to streamline the process of single window clearance, identify the roles & responsibilities
of all institutions, setting time-bound approval process.
In case, the concerned department fails to respond within the stipulated time (say 45 days),
necessary concurrence/ approval/ clearance to the project should be deemed to have been
granted.
Periodical monitoring of the status of clearances for RE projects under review, identifying
issues.
In case, the land is identified by MPNRED for solar and wind parks, it may obtain all statutory
clearances from other relevant departments and allocate such lands for RE Project
development.
Identification of land available for RE projects : Deputy Commissioners of all the districts can
identify the inventory of surplus & unused land available with the State Government, PSUs,
Urban Local Bodies/ Gram Panchayat lands and suitable private waste lands which can be
used for installation of RE projects. The identification exercise can be done periodically.
Identified land for RE projects can be allocated to the MPNRED. The allocated land can be
utilized in the following manner:
o
MPNRED can develop the land, take necessary clearances and allocate the same to the
RE project developers. For this MPNRED can take some service charge.
In case land identified for the project is in forest area, the equivalent area has to be
compensated with compensatory afforestation land. The acquisition of such land takes around
6-8 months. MPNRED may make compensatory afforestation land banks readily available to
the project developers to shorten the implementation timeframe.
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Key recommendations
The sector has seen investment from public oil and gas industry and public power generation
utilities. In discussion with MPNRED, it was informmed that PSU companies have
approached them for developing RE projects. Structuring the JV partnership will require an
understanding on various aspects of the project development. MPNRED may appoint a
consultant to prepare the institutional structure and the legal agreements that may be
required for JV partnership for developing RE projects.
MPNERD may make due efforts to facilitate the development of the solar parks in the state.
As per solar policy, solar parks can be developed in PPP mode. Solar parks can accelerate the
development of RE in the state. Solar park concept can accommodate small and large project
developers. Solar parks can be sized in a manner that yield cost economics to the project
developers and competitive tariff to the procurer.
Solar parks that are offered must provide the project investors with the information on
institutional structure on managing and operating the solar park, the entity responsible for
laying transmission infrastructure, the entity responsible for managing common
infrastructure facility, detailed feasibility study report, access to land, financing arrangement
and the cost recoverability aspects related to common infrastructure.
Solar parks projects may require ground data monitoring to strongly position the proposed
solar parks. MPNERD may make due efforts to facilitate the development of the solar parks by
providing investors with key clearances, data on solar resource and enabling infrastructure for
project development at the accelerated pace.
Solar park policy states that 25% of the power has to be sold to MPPMCL at APPC cost if the
project is developed on revenue or Government land. This is prohibitive. Financers do not
consider REC revenues while appraising projects. This condition may be deferred until the
time REC mechanism is revived to the extent that its revenue stream is considered bankable.
MPNERD may make due efforts to facilitate the development of wind parks in the state. Wind
parks can be developed in PPP mode. Wind parks can accelerate the development of RE in the
state. Wind park concept can accommodate small and large project developers. Wind parks
can be sized in a manner that yield cost economics to the project developers and competitive
tariff to the procurer.
Wind parks that are offered must provide the project investors with the information on
institutional structure on managing and operating the wind park, the entity responsible for
laying transmission infrastructure, the entity responsible for managing common
infrastructure facility, detailed feasibility study report, access to land, financing arrangement
and the cost recoverability aspects related to common infrastructure.
Wind parks projects will require ground data monitoring to strongly position the proposed
wind parks. MPNERD will make due efforts to facilitate the development of the wind parks by
providing investors with key clearances, data on wind resource and enabling infrastructure for
project development at the accelerated pace.
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Key recommendations
Solar resource data is required by the project developers to assess the CUF. Solar data
monitored using satellite imaging is reliable and is used by the project developers for making
financial investment decision. Financers are also comfortable in financing the projects based
on satellite data if the estimates are confirmed by the reputed third party technical consultant.
The bankers generally rely on the third party assessments of CUF for financing solar projects.
MPNRED may appoint a reputed third party technical consultant to map the solar resource
assessment for the entire state. This will provide the project developers with the information
that is bankable and will reduce the possibility of project failure at the stage of financial
closure.
Data availability serves as a starting point for the project developers for making investments.
A reputed technical consultant may be engaged by MPNRED for mapping wind resource at a
broad level to identify the good regions where wind masts could be installed for micro level
assessment.
Ground monitoring stations improves the quality of data. The project developers and
financers require mast data for more than 1 year for assessment of CUF. The wind mast data is
reliable only 10 15 km radius. A reputed technical consultant may then be engaged by
MPNRED to install masts for wind monitoring at the selected sites. This data may then be
shared with the potential investors for project development at the RFP stage.
Biomass fuel supply sector is highly unorganized and consequently the supply side market is
unpredictable and highly volatile. The biggest problem plaguing the biomass sector is the nonavailability of reliable and affordable feedstock at a competitive price. MPNRED may
undertake detailed study by appointing third party technical consultant on biomass feedstock
assessment for each district for both the agricultural and forest waste to bring certainty on
availability, quality and pricing of biomass in the state.
It is common for biomass power plants to receive more than 60-70% of their annual feedstock
requirements during the harvesting season alone. MPNRED will issue guiding document for
addressing issues in biomass supply chain like transportation, handling, storage and drying.
In order to ensure long term fuel availability and sustainable price, MPNRED may promote
plantation backed biomass power plants. Development of energy plantation on Government
waste land and degraded forest land may be allowed for creating supply of supplementary fuel
for biomass power plants.
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Key recommendations
Potential resource assessment is the most crucial factor affecting the feasibility of a small
hydro project. MPNRED may appoint a reputed technical consultant to assess region wise
potential of small hydro projects. The technical consultant shall identify potential sites by
using discharge data of various catchments and applying latest techniques of remote sensing
and/or computer modelling.
Detailed Projects Reports (DPRs) for these projects takes relatively longer because of the need
for reliable hydrological, geological, seismological and environmental data. These factors add
huge financial risks even for a short delay in the project or a small increase in project costs.
Detailed project report may be prepared for the project sites that are identified by the
technical consultant. These details may then be made available to the prospective developers
during the bid process.
MPNRED has prepared a transmission strengthening plan in discussion with MPPTCL at the
locations which are in vicinity of the good RE sites. MPNRED is making focussed efforts to
push MPPTCL in strengthening the grid infrastructure which is critical to up-scale the RE
investment in the state.
Based on the interest received from the project developers in the RFP process, certain regions
can be identified with higher potential for project development. MPPTCL should establish
pooling points for evacuation of power in such identified regions. It will be cost effective as a
number RE projects can get connected to these pooling points. Such facilities have already
been created in some states (e.g. In Rajasthan, pooling points have been created for WEG
evacuation).
Right of way issues is one of the major concerns of the project developers that may dissuade
the project developers in taking up the projects that are far away from the grid. MPNRED
shall make efforts to push MPPTCL to take responsibility to develop the infrastructure from
the grid sub-station to the pooling sub-station at the cost of the developer.
The growth of RE in the state may be limited due to inadequate interstate transmission
infrastructure. The projects that are selected under the JNNSM may require evacuating the
power outside the state. MNRE is also expected to launch the wind mission which will procure
wind energy on competitive bidding process. Historically, RE transactions were limited to
intrastate. However with JNNSM and wind mission design already in discussion, the
interstate RE transactions are expected to increase.
Report on Green Energy Corridor by PGCIL includes the states of Tamil Nadu, Karnataka,
Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh. Green Energy
Corridor will assist these states in evacuating RE to the other states. Considering that Madhya
Pradesh is able to secure more than 7,000 MW in the RFP 1 and 2 and 250 MW in JNNSM
phase 2 batch 1, MPNRED shall make efforts to include Madhya Pradesh in the proposed
Green Energy Corridor so that power could be evacuated outside the state.
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Key recommendations
Multilateral and bilateral financing agencies have shown their interest in developing the
transmission infrastructure to up-scale the RE investment. MPNRED may form the
institutional structure and pool other agencies such as MPPTCL that are able to interact with
these funding agencies taking to consideration the capability to manage funds, technical
expertise to develop the transmission system, monitoring and reporting progress.
According to National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF), the projects relating to creation of power
evacuation infrastructure are eligible for funding under the scheme. MPNRED has made an
application to NCEF for funding the power evacuation infrastructure for RE projects in
accordance with the financing plan submitted by MPPTCL.
13th Finance Commission provided guidelines for implementation of the incentive scheme,
with the objective of broad-based development of RE sources across states. The grant of INR
5,000 Crores was advised for the projects to be commissioned from April 01, 2010 to March
31, 2014. Such grants may be advised by the Finance Commission for the coming years. Ifsuch
grant is continued in future, MPNRED may estimate the grant that could be drawn based on
the guidelines provided by the 13th Finance Commission.
Draft modus operandi: Project developers will send the cost details related to
evacuation facility to MPNRED. MNRED will scrutinize the details with the
benchmark/ prudent costs. Based on the validation of the cost estimate, MPNRED will
reimburse (say 50 %) of the expenses incurred by private developers for evacuation
arrangement from Green Energy Fund after the private developer has commissioned
and handed over the evacuation arrangement to concerned distribution
licensee/MPPMCL. The maximum amount that can be reimbursed will depend on the
availability of Green Energy Fund.
The state may collect the cess and utilizes the same for various activities development of
non-conventional energy sources, infrastructure development, power evacuation and study on
mapping of RE resources.
Tenure of the commercial agreement with the procurer shall be for the term of project life.
MPPMCL executes PPA with the project developers for the project life.
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Key recommendations
The projects envisaged under third party sale or captive consumption mode are likely to use
preferential terms (preferential wheeling and banking, transmission or electricity duty waiver)
or REC mechanism for financial viability. Key actions needed to increase sale of RE
penetration in third party or captive consumption mode:
o
REC mechanism provides additional revenue to the project developers that implement
project on APPC, third party sale or captive mode. REC mechanism is not working well
in the current state. Enforcement by the state regulators may push this market but
efforts are required by all the state regulators to enforce the RPO.
Assessing the capacity to arrange capital (both debt and equity) by assessing the financial
strength of the bidder. Net worth criteria may be benchmarked against the best practice that is
followed by MNRE/SECI for JNNSM.
The PPA may provide payment security thorough revolving letter of credit.
The PPA shall be signed by the off-taker at the tariff determined by the MPERC.
All the power produced by the project shall be procured by the off-taker.
PPA should be at least equal to term of the financing agreement (10-12 years). MPERC advises
the tenure for the project life.
Payment shall not be upheld due to litigation. MPERC also advices the same.
MPERC shall monitor the RPO compliance of the obligated entities year on year.
MPERC shall take action in the form of financial penalty for non-compliance.
The project developers shall ensure that the project is sustainable on the tariff without any
fallback on the REC prices.
Selection of the EPC contractor having strong prior experience in implementing the project.
Having appropriate liquidity damages on delay of project or under performance of the project.
Securing performance guarantees against the letter of credit or by upholding 10% of the
contract payment.
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Key recommendations
Investor conference may be planned twice in a year where all RE power investors may be
invited. Information on RE resource assessment study undertaken by MPNRED, policy
initiatives and advantages for investment in the state may be disseminated during the investor
conference. This data may be published online for wider access.
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Appendix
District
A lot
Ratlam
4.63
Banbir Kheri
Guna
Barkheri
Ujjain
Barodiya
WPD (W/m2)
Wind Shear
148
0.14
5.62
145
0.14
5.11
150
0.14
Mandsaur
4.74
92
0.14
Baroli
Indore
4.47
151
0.14
Belma
Indore
4.18
138
0.14
Bodhina
Ratlam
5.14
189
0.14
Bori
Barhanpur
5.24
151
0.14
Chorasia Badhalia
Ratlam
4.95
174
0.14
Garhidadar
Shadol
5.16
111
0.14
Ghat Pipariya
Betul
4.89
112
0.14
Jaithal Hill
Ujjain
4.53
110
0.14
Jamgodrani
Dewas
5.00
220
0.19
Kalapahad
Sehore
3.94
88
0.14
Kanchroota
Dhar
5.26
119
0.14
Kawasa
Ratlam
4.22
127
0.14
Kheda
Dhar
5.05
192
0.17
Kukru
Betul
5.28
255
0.22
Lahori
Shajapur
4.81
145
0.14
Machla
Indore
4.70
153
0.14
Mahuriya
Shajapur
5.28
255
0.13
Mamatkheda
Ratlam
5.57
255
0.14
Mandwa
Khargaone
5.10
123
0.14
Mirzapur
Sehore
4.27
146
0.24
Nachanbhor
Dhar
5.07
120
0.14
Nagda
Dewas
6.25
371
0.14
Pahari
Satna
4.03
63
0.14
Purtala
Chindwara
5.02
101
0.14
Sanawad
Khargaone
3.86
117
0.14
Searmau
Betul
4.97
115
0.14
Sendhva
Badwani
5.40
215
0.13
Sodang Hill
Ujjain
4.95
162
0.14
Tanoriya
Shajapur
4.38
148
0.14
Ubhariya
Betul
5.11
114
0.14
Vallyarpani
Badwani
5.25
287
0.14
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Appendix
Paddy
straw
(MW)
Wheat
husk
(MW)
Jowar
husk
(MW)
Bajra
husk
(MW)
Maize
husk
(MW)
Gram
husk
(MW)
Moong
Alirajpur
0.19
2.92
0.95
1.12
2.94
0.28
0.05
8.44
Anuppur
5.63
1.67
0.02
0.00
0.73
0.10
0.00
8.15
Askhonagar
0.13
16.53
0.01
0.00
0.64
7.86
0.03
25.20
(MW)
Total
Potential
(MW)
Balaghat
22.47
1.70
0.01
0.00
0.53
0.49
0.01
25.21
Barwani
0.07
4.19
13.92
0.76
10.01
1.46
0.29
30.69
Betul
5.74
12.46
2.15
0.00
6.83
1.81
0.02
29.01
Bhind
0.68
20.03
0.51
3.68
0.00
1.55
0.02
26.46
Bhopal
0.04
11.23
0.01
0.00
0.25
1.62
0.01
13.15
Burhanpur
0.05
1.49
1.43
0.00
1.14
0.16
0.02
4.29
Chhatarpur
0.12
17.72
0.97
0.00
0.02
4.75
0.12
23.69
Chhindwara
2.67
24.81
3.33
0.01
54.91
6.19
0.06
91.99
Damoh
2.27
8.32
0.13
0.00
0.16
7.35
0.02
18.26
Datia
0.73
16.62
0.14
0.10
0.04
2.40
0.09
20.12
Dewas
0.01
23.44
0.54
0.00
0.86
8.37
0.01
33.23
Dhar
0.03
27.34
2.13
0.24
5.44
4.77
0.14
40.09
Dindori
6.01
3.00
0.01
0.00
1.78
0.21
0.00
11.00
Guna
0.05
20.08
0.19
0.01
0.95
4.67
0.04
25.98
Gwalior
4.32
19.62
0.54
0.84
0.01
1.43
0.01
26.76
Harda
0.04
26.56
0.04
0.00
0.06
1.58
0.00
28.28
Hoshangabad
9.44
48.20
0.09
0.01
0.18
1.30
0.00
59.22
Indore
0.00
25.14
0.01
0.00
0.23
3.15
0.00
28.53
Jabalpur
8.19
14.69
0.13
0.00
0.34
2.77
0.04
26.16
Jhabua
0.27
5.22
0.18
0.00
4.91
0.58
0.01
11.16
Katni
5.97
11.43
0.09
0.00
0.25
1.16
0.00
18.91
Khandwa
0.41
16.66
1.34
0.00
1.18
1.16
0.04
20.78
Khargone
0.06
13.46
4.00
0.04
3.95
0.62
0.09
22.22
Mandla
3.92
2.89
0.01
0.00
0.85
0.18
0.00
7.85
Mandsaur
0.00
16.81
0.04
0.00
2.71
1.75
0.03
21.32
Morena
0.07
16.21
0.03
11.50
0.01
0.40
0.02
28.23
Narsinghpur
0.79
11.94
0.24
0.00
0.06
6.56
0.07
19.67
Neemuch
0.00
7.67
0.07
0.00
4.22
1.33
0.00
13.29
Panna
2.77
6.10
0.43
0.01
0.21
4.03
0.05
13.59
Raisen
1.38
35.83
0.15
0.00
0.47
10.00
0.03
47.87
Rajgarh
0.02
20.00
1.55
0.00
4.91
5.50
0.05
32.03
Ratlam
0.03
14.04
0.00
0.01
5.97
4.08
0.05
24.17
Rewa
9.20
22.20
0.66
0.01
0.04
3.56
0.03
35.70
Sagar
0.26
20.43
0.15
0.02
0.25
10.54
0.11
31.76
Satna
6.43
23.66
0.25
0.00
0.05
1.75
0.07
32.21
Sehore
2.33
23.56
0.13
0.00
0.79
4.06
0.01
30.89
Seoni
12.38
17.24
0.18
0.00
1.79
1.75
0.01
33.35
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
100
Appendix
Districts
Paddy
straw
(MW)
Wheat
husk
(MW)
Jowar
husk
(MW)
Bajra
husk
(MW)
Maize
husk
(MW)
Gram
husk
(MW)
Moong
Shahdol
10.34
5.06
0.11
0.00
0.76
0.21
0.02
Shajapur
0.00
15.78
0.46
0.00
1.64
3.57
0.01
21.47
Sheopur
2.43
16.15
0.30
1.73
0.09
0.55
0.01
21.26
Shivpuri
0.83
19.50
0.01
0.55
1.64
4.12
0.10
26.75
Sidhi
4.41
7.26
1.00
0.00
0.44
0.75
0.02
13.88
Singroli
6.87
4.45
0.61
0.00
2.38
2.47
0.01
16.79
Tikamgarh
0.27
18.26
0.19
0.00
0.06
1.26
0.07
20.12
Ujjain
0.00
26.54
0.02
0.00
0.59
6.54
0.01
33.71
Umaria
2.39
2.74
0.05
0.00
0.59
0.25
0.01
6.030
Vidisha
0.04
20.48
0.02
0.00
0.29
8.91
0.02
29.76
(MW)
Total
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
Total
Potential
(MW)
16.49
1,255
101
Appendix
Site
Scheme
Capacity (MW)
Dewas
Chandrakesher
Canal Fall
0.10
Dewas
Gajakhedi
Canal Fall
0.15
Dewas
Malakhar
Canal Fall
0.07
Dewas
Loharda
Canal Fall
0.07
Dewas
Dani
Canal Fall
0.07
Dhar
Kunda
Canal Fall
0.15
Dhar
Jhedi
Canal Fall
0.15
Dhar
Lakhankot
Canal Fall
0.23
Harda
Ahalwari
Canal Fall
0.13
Harda
Sonkhedi
Canal Fall
0.10
Harda
Manjli
Canal Fall
0.10
Harda
Abgaonkhurd
Canal Fall
0.10
Harda
Roalgaon
Canal Fall
0.05
Harda
Kapasi
Canal Fall
1.73
Hoshangabad
Dharam Kundi
Canal Fall
1.45
Hoshangabad
Dobka
Canal Fall
0.08
Indore
Khodaria-I
Canal Fall
0.15
Indore
Khodaria-II
Canal Fall
0.08
Jhabua
Bhilatpura
Canal Fall
0.10
Jhabua
Amlal
Canal Fall
0.13
Jhabua
Padiyal
Canal Fall
0.20
Katni
Sleemanabad
Canal Fall
4.15
Khandwa
Pokhar
Canal Fall
0.13
Khandwa
Balrampur
Canal Fall
0.10
Khandwa
Rustampur
Canal Fall
0.15
Khargone
Bhagwanpura
Canal Fall
0.28
Khargone
Maddani
Canal Fall
0.20
Khargone
Behrupura
Canal Fall
0.20
Khargone
Kolapur
Canal Fall
0.05
Mandla
Madhopur
Canal Fall
0.10
Mandla
Bhapsa
Canal Fall
0.20
Mandla
Bichhiya
Canal Fall
0.08
Mandla
Chhatarpur
Canal Fall
0.75
Mandla
Gawara
Canal Fall
1.25
Mandla
Silgiti
Canal Fall
0.40
Mandla
Kamara
Canal Fall
0.45
Mandla
Banchhipani
Canal Fall
0.10
Raisen
Bari
Canal Fall
0.10
Raisen
Patni
Canal Fall
0.10
Raisen
Amrawad-I
Canal Fall
0.15
Raisen
Amrawad-II
Canal Fall
0.15
Satna
Patharhata
Canal Fall
7.13
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
102
Appendix
District
Site
Scheme
Satna
Gunwara
Canal Fall
5.40
Satna
Birma
Canal Fall
3.25
Total
Capacity (MW)
30.21
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
103
Appendix
C.2. Details of potential dam toe projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh
District
Site
Scheme
Capacity (MW)
Barwani
Ralawati
Dam Outlet
0.05
Barwani
Ralawati
Dam Outlet
0.05
Barwani
Lower Goi
Dam Outlet
1.60
Betul
Sampna
Dam Outlet
0.15
Dewas
Chandra-Kesher
Dam Outlet
0.15
Dewas
Chandra-Kesher
Dam Outlet
0.05
Dewas
Paras
Dam Outlet
0.05
Dhar
Man
Dam Outlet
0.40
Dhar
Man
Dam Outlet
0.95
Dhar
Sakelda
Dam Outlet
0.05
Dindori
Upper Narmada
Dam Outlet
0.40
Dindori
Upper Narmada
Dam Outlet
0.30
Harda
Ganjal
Dam Outlet
0.55
Harda
Ganjal
Dam Outlet
0.10
Harda
Imlidhana
Dam Outlet
0.05
Hoshangabad
Tawa
Dam Outlet
2.35
Hoshangabad
Dokarikheda
Dam Outlet
0.10
Hoshangabad
Morand
Dam Outlet
1.55
Indore
Choral
Dam Outlet
0.15
Indore
Nakheri
Dam Outlet
0.10
Jabalpur
Bargi Diversion
Dam Outlet
15.00
Jabalpur
Barnoo
Dam Outlet
0.20
Jabalpur
Madai
Dam Outlet
0.05
Jabalpur
Atariya
Dam Outlet
0.45
Jabalpur
Bahoribund
Dam Outlet
0.05
Jabalpur
Bahoribund
Dam Outlet
0.05
Jabalpur
Pariat
Dam Outlet
0.05
Jhabua
Mod Sagar
Dam Outlet
0.05
Jhabua
Jobat
Dam Outlet
0.40
Jhabua
Dhamoi
Dam Outlet
0.10
Khandwa
Sukta
Dam Outlet
0.35
Khandwa
Chhota Tawa
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Gadigaltar
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Navalpura
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Dejla-Dewada
Dam Outlet
0.35
Khargone
Satak
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Jhirbhar
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Upper Beda
Dam Outlet
0.35
Khargone
Segwal
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Sipton
Dam Outlet
0.05
Khargone
Ambak
Dam Outlet
0.05
Mandla
Matiyari
Dam Outlet
0.35
Mandla
Matiyari
Dam Outlet
0.30
Mandla
Majhgaon
Dam Outlet
0.05
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
104
Appendix
District
Site
Scheme
Mandla
Bichhiya
Dam Outlet
0.10
Mandla
Dhuandhar
Dam Outlet
0.05
Mandla
Upper Burhner
Dam Outlet
0.25
Mandla
Upper Burhner
Dam Outlet
0.05
Mandla
Halon
Dam Outlet
0.55
Mandla
Dobatoria
Dam Outlet
0.05
Mandla
Dobatoria
Dam Outlet
0.20
Narsinghpur
Sher
Dam Outlet
0.15
Narsinghpur
Macharewa
Dam Outlet
0.30
Narsinghpur
Shakkar
Dam Outlet
4.60
Narsinghpur
Dudhi
Dam Outlet
1.55
Raisen
Mogha
Dam Outlet
0.10
Raisen
Upper Palakmatti
Dam Outlet
0.35
Raisen
Lower Palkamatti
Dam Outlet
0.15
Sheore
Kolar Barrage
Dam Outlet
0.15
Sheore
Kolar Barrage
Dam Outlet
0.15
Sheore
Dam Outlet
0.10
Sheore
Lower Kolar
Dam Outlet
4.00
Sheore
Ghoghara
Dam Outlet
Total
Capacity (MW)
0.25
40.80
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
105
Appendix
C.3. Details of potential run of river projects in the state of Madhya Pradesh
District
Site
Scheme
Capacity (MW)
Balaghat
Tapla
Run of river
3.00
Barwani
Salikalan
Run of river
0.20
Barwani
Nander
Run of river
0.10
Barwani
Bhilgaon
Run of river
0.20
Barwani
Bhilkhera
Run of river
0.20
Barwani
Bhadal-I
Run of river
0.30
Barwani
Bhadal-II
Run of river
0.20
Betul
Laniya
Run of river
0.70
Betul
Sarni
Run of river
0.70
Betul
Ramakol
Run of river
0.50
Chhindwara
Tendukhera
Run of river
2.00
Chhindwara
Siyajhiri
Run of river
2.50
Chhindwara
Devri
Run of river
0.30
Chhindwara
Salaiya Swami
Run of river
0.10
Dewas
Kadevri
Run of river
0.30
Dewas
Ratgarh
Run of river
0.50
Dhar
Talisaria
Run of river
0.60
Dhar
Kundiya
Run of river
1.00
Dhar
Surajpura
Run of river
0.50
Dhar
Nimkhera
Run of river
0.50
Dhar
Amlatha
Run of river
0.50
Dhar
Tor
Run of river
0.30
Dhar
Kanteri
Run of river
0.30
Dhar
Kapsi
Run of river
0.40
Dhar
Kukshi
Run of river
0.20
Dindori
Nawatola
Run of river
1.00
Dindori
Bhimkundi
Run of river
6.00
Dindori
Kamra Sonrha
Run of river
5.00
Dindori
Kaneri
Run of river
6.00
Harda
Jawardha
Run of river
0.50
Harda
Uskul
Run of river
0.70
Harda
Mahagaon
Run of river
0.40
Harda
Mahukhal
Run of river
1.00
Harda
Manawa
Run of river
1.00
Indore
Gunjara
Run of river
0.20
Indore
Dhaydiya
Run of river
0.20
Indore
Patalpani
Run of river
0.10
Jabalpur
Bhikhampur
Run of river
10.00
Jabalpur
Jhurki
Run of river
0.50
Jabalpur
Temur
Run of river
1.00
Jabalpur
Khinni
Run of river
5.00
Jabalpur
Muraith
Run of river
5.00
Jabalpur
Pararia
Run of river
1.00
Jalbalpur
Piparsara
Run of river
1.00
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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106
Appendix
District
Site
Scheme
Jhabua
Baladamung
Run of river
0.30
Jhabua
Dudalwat
Run of river
0.30
Khargone
Banswa
Run of river
0.50
Khargone
Abhapuri
Run of river
1.00
Khargone
Bhagwanpura
Run of river
0.50
Khargone
Hirapur
Run of river
0.20
Khargone
Bhaisawad
Run of river
0.10
Mandla
Malpur
Run of river
5.00
Mandla
Patpara
Run of river
3.00
Mandla
Mangela
Run of river
4.00
Mandla
Lamna
Run of river
8.00
Mandla
Marpha
Run of river
1.00
Narsinghpur
Shyamkhera
Run of river
2.00
Narsinghpur
Belkheri
Run of river
2.00
Narsinghpur
Kundari-I
Run of river
1.20
Narsinghpur
Kundari-II
Run of river
2.00
Narsinghpur
Kundari-III
Run of river
1.00
Narsinghpur
Mankapur
Run of river
0.30
Narsinghpur
Bikor
Run of river
0.20
Narsinghpur
Kumikheri
Run of river
0.40
Narsinghpur
Baregaon
Run of river
0.60
Narsinghpur
Kanhar
Run of river
7.00
Narsinghpur
Kosmi
Run of river
1.00
Raisen
Ghatkheri
Run of river
4.00
Raisen
Bareli
Run of river
1.50
Raisen
Kansiya
Run of river
5.00
Raisen
Bilkhera
Run of river
6.50
Sehore
Koshmi
Run of river
0.30
Sehore
Lodabar
Run of river
0.50
Sehore
Nidan-I
Run of river
0.50
Sehore
Nidan-II
Run of river
0.10
Sehore
Alipur
Run of river
0.40
Total
Capacity (MW)
122.10
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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Appendix
C.4. Details of self identified sites for SHP Projects in the state of Madhya
Pradesh
Name of Developers
No. of projects
Capacity (MW)
1.00
6.00
3.00
5.00
1.00
18.00
0.10
7.50
0.10
12.00
10.00
16.00
16.50
2.00
20.00
4.50
7.00
12
48.50
27.50
13.00
Total
218.70
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
108
Appendix
Industries
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
(Actual)
24:00
24:00
24:00
24:00
Commissionary
HQ
23:39
23:25
23:09
22:36
24:00
23:03
District HQ
Tehsil
Rural
22:28
22:10
21:52
19:44
20:28
19:40
19:20
16:04
15:55
15:17
16:28
12:35
21:16
16:04
12:41
22:00
20:00
16:00
12:00
08:00
2013-14
24:00
24:00
24:00
08:00
The supply hours as indicated in the table above along-with annual category wise energy
consumption has been used for calculating the hourly category wise consumption in non-supply
hours using straight line equation method discussed below.
Straight line equation method
The basic premise for this method lies in estimating the energy units to be supplied in non-supply
hours using actual data available for supplied units in supply hours using straight-line method. The
curtailed energy for a certain category of consumer is estimated using
Average per day hours of supply to a category of consumer (as available with SLDC) = [Y 1]
Average per day actual restricted supply units to that category of consumer = [X1]
Average daily un-restricted supply units [X2] = [(24 - Y1) * (X1 / Y1)] + X1
Seasonal variations
Average daily un-restricted supply units [X2] as calculated above will be different for different blocks
of seasons depending upon different demand variations across various seasons. Seasonal variations
have also been introduced in the method above for estimating results. To encounter seasonal
variations, a year has been divided into 5 blocks of months as follows:
April to June
July to September
October to November
December to February
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
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Appendix
March
Average un-restricted supply units [X2] have been computed for all these blocks of months separately
for various categories of consumers in urban and rural areas to account for seasonal variations.
Peak and non-peak variations
The non-supply hours (24 - Y1) in any day consists of both peak and non-peak hours, as load shedding
is done in both conditions across all consumer categories. Thus, average daily un-restricted supply
units [X2] computed needs to account for both peak and non-peak conditions. For this, we have
assumed the following division of hours in a day:
Peak Hours in a day: 6 hrs
Other than Peak Hours in a day :18 hrs
Using the peak and non-peak variations, and taking into account the seasonal variations, unserved
units due to various responsible factors will be estimated to obtain the unrestricted supply units.
Methodology for estimating the unserved units due to various factors has been discussed below.
Estimating un-served units due to load shedding
We have used following assumptions for analyzing the non-supply hours and estimating the unserved units
due to load shedding in peak and non-peak hours.
Table 38: Assumptions for estimating un-served units in peak and non-peak hours
Area
Consumer category
Urban
Urban
Urban
Urban
Urban
Urban
Urban
Domestic
Non-domestic
Non-Industrial
Public WW
Street Lights
HT Public WW
Industry (HT & LT),
Coal Mines and
Railways
Domestic
Non-domestic
Non-Industrial
Public WW
Street Lights
HT Public WW
Industry (HT & LT)
Coal Mines and
Railways
Irrigation Pumps
Rural
Rural
Rural
Rural
Rural
Rural
Rural
Rural
Both
Supply hours
Load shedding %
(Cp/Cnp )*
considered
Peak hrs
Non-Peak hrs.
(SLDC data)
0%
100%
1.5
District
0%
100%
2
District
District
0%
100%
2
District
20%
80%
1
District
0%
100%
1
District
20%
80%
1
No load shedding has been considered across these categories
Rural total (3+1)
33%
67%
Rural total (3+1)
33%
67%
Rural total (3+1)
33%
67%
Rural total (3+1)
33%
67%
Rural total (3+1)
33%
67%
Rural total (3+1)
33%
67%
Rural total (3+1)
20%
80%
No load shedding has been considered across these categories
Rural 3
1.5
2
2
1
1
1
1
*Cp: Consumption of restricted units in one peak hr, Cnp: Consumption of restricted units in one non-peak hr
Considering the above assumptions we calculated unrestricted energy supply units due to load
shedding across various consumer categories as follows:
Avg. hours of supply to a category of consumer in peak condition= [y1]
Avg. hours of supply to a category of consumer in non-peak condition= [y2]
Avg. per day supply of restricted units to a category of consumer= [X]
Avg. per day supply of restricted units in peak condition = [x1]
Avg. per day supply of restricted units in non-peak condition = [x2]
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
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Appendix
Unrestricted energy supply units across various consumer categories now may be calculated using
following equations:
Daily unrestricted supply units to domestic urban consumers = [(24-y2) * (x2 /y2 ) + x2] + x1
Daily unrestricted supply units to non-domestic urban consumers = [(24-y1) * (x1 / y1) + x1] +
[(24-y2) * (x2 /y2 ) + x2]
Daily unrestricted supply units to Public water works/ Street Light = [(24-y1) * (x1 / y1) + x1] +
[(24-y2) * (x2 /y2 ) + x2]
Daily unrestricted supply units to rural consumers = [(24-y1) * (x1 / y1) + x1] + [(24-y2) * (x2 /y2
) + x2]
Daily unrestricted supply units to consumers under irrigation category (estimated only if
supply hours are less than 8)= [(8-y2) * (x2 /y2 ) + x2]
Daily unrestricted supply units to industrial consumers (both HT and LT), railways and coal
mines = X
In absence of daily hourly data for supplied energy units, we estimated the values of x 1 and x2 with
some assumptions (discussed and agreed in PBM Workshop):
x1: [(y1 * Cp)/ (y1 * Cp + y2 * Cnp)] * X
x2: [(y2 * Cnp)/ (y1 * Cp + y2 * Cnp)] * X
Estimating Un-served Units due to other factors
While estimating the unserved units, we have taken into account all the factors like Differential load
shedding, distribution transformer failure, Frequency correction and 33 kV Feeder Breakdown.
Unserved units due to factors like Differential load shedding and DTR failure have been determined
using an adjustment factor for VOLL (value of lost load), which has been assumed using the data as
received from Discoms. Unserved units due to factors like Frequency correction and 33 kV feeder
breakdowns have been estimated using suitable adjustment factors on the basis of the data as
received from Discoms and SLDC.
Estimating category wise losses
After estimating the unserved units due to all responsible factors, the unserved units were added up
to the served units to get the unrestricted sales units. Category wise losses were then added up to the
unrestricted supply units as obtained to calculate the unrestricted demand units. Category wise
losses were calculated considering actual supply units and voltage wise loss allocation factors for each
category and for each historical year. Loss allocation factors have been estimated across various
consumer categories using the methodology as per the Cost of Supply (CoS) model of Discoms. For
estimating the category wise losses, we have used certain following assumptions.
Table 39: Assumptions for estimating category wise losses
Losses category
EHT losses
Distribution losses:
HT losses
Distribution Losses:
LT losses
Total Losses
As shown below in
Table-3
As shown below in
Table-4
Total Loss % - EHT
loss% - HT loss%
Technical
99.8%
Losses %
Non-Technical
0.2%
As shown below
in Table-5
40%
Consumer Categories
HT Industry and Railways
(100-Tech. HT
Loss)%
60%
Domestic, Non-Domestic,
PWW/ St. Lt., Irrigation
Pumps, LT Industries
FY 02
FY 03
FY 04
FY 05
FY 06
FY 07
FY 08
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
8.56%
7.93%
6.12%
5.62%
5.23%
5%
4.09%
4.09%
4.19%
4.19%**
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
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Appendix
FY 02
FY 03
FY 04
FY 05
FY 06
FY 07
FY 08
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
10%
10%
10%
10%
10%
9%
9%
8%
8%
7.5%
FY 02
FY 03
FY 04
FY 05
FY 06
FY 07
FY 08
FY 09
FY 10
FY 11
85%
85%
86%
86%
87%
87%
88%
88%
89%
90%
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
PwC
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Appendix
Domestic
Non
Domestic
P
G
G/ G+T
P
I/ I+A
P
Balaghat
Barwani
Betul
Bhind
Bhopal
Chhatarpur
G
G/ G+T
G
P
I/ I+A
P
Chhindwara
Damoh
Datia
Dewas
Dhar
Dindori
Guna
Gwalior
G/G+A
G
G
G
I/ I+A
G
T/T+I
G/G+A
G
P
G
G/G+R
G
G/G+A
P
Harda
Hoshangabad
Indore
Jabalpur
Jhabua
Katni
Khandwa
Khargone
Mandla
Mandsaur
Morena
Narsimhapur
Neemuch
Panna
Raisen
Rajgarh
Ratlam
Rewa
Sagar
Satna
Sehore
Seoni
Shahdol
Shajapur
Sheopur
Shivpuri
Sidhi
Tikamgarh
Ujjain
Umaria
Vidisha
A
G
G
T
I/ I+A
I
I
I/ I+P
P
I/ I+A
P/P+T
G
G/G+R
P
I
G
G/ G+I
I
G
G/G+A
G
G
P
G
G
I/I+A
A
P
G
P
I/I+R
I
G
P
P
I/I+P
P/P+A
G
I/I+R
G
G
G
P
P/P+A
G
G+A
A
G
P
P
G
I
G
P
P
I/I+A
P/P+A
G
G
G
LT
Industry
T
A
T
G
T
T
LT
PWW
P
P
P
A
I
G/
G+T
P
G
P
A
T
G
G/
G+T
A
LT
STLT
T
G
T
G
G/G+A
P/P+A
G
T
P
G
P
P
G
A
I
P
G
T
G
G
I/ I+P
P
G
G
G
G
G
G
P/P+T
G
I/I+A
A/A+R
P
P
I
T
I+A
A
G/G+A
A
G
I/I+R
P
T
G
I
A
I/I+A
P/P+A
G/G+T
A
G/G+R
P
I
G
P
P
T
P
P
P
G/G+R
Railway
Traction
NA
NA
HT
Industrial
NA
NA
P/P+T
NA
NA
NA
T
P
A
T
NA
NA
I
G
P
NA
NA
P
P
NA
NA
NA
NA
G
NA
G
NA
A
NA
P
P
NA
NA
NA
NA
G
I/I+R
P/P+A
P
G/G+A
P/P+A
P/P+T
P
P
I
G
Irrigation
Pumps
P
T
P/P+T
P
P
I/I+A
P/P+T
I
T
T
A
P
P
T
P
A
A
T
T
T
G
P
I
P
A
P/P+T
P/P+A
T
A
I
P
T
T
T
T
A
T
P
P/P+A
I
G
G
I/ I+P
A
G/G+A
P
A
I
G/G+T
T/T+A
P
G
P
I/ I+A
I
G/G+A
Coal
Mines
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
P
NA
NA
P
NA
NA
NA
P
NA
Where:
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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Appendix
P is population
G is GDP
I is per capita income
R is rainfall
A is gross irrigated area
T is tariff
It can be seen that for domestic category different districts are dependent on different independent
variables for example Betul is dependent on GDP while Chhatarpur is dependent upon only
population. This variation can be seen across other consumer categories as well. In certain cases like
LT Industry for Betul, there were no significant variables found. So for such cases alternative
approach like time trend analysis has been used to do the forecasting. In some cases like Irrigation
category for Dhar, though it is dependent upon Gross Irrigated Area but when the projections were
made insignificant values were obtained. For such cases as well alternative approach like time trend
analysis has been used to do the forecasting. In cases like Railway category for Chhatarpur, since the
category itself does not exist in the district so econometric analysis cannot be carried
Meanwhile, trend analysis of the historical data of the independent variables has been used to
forecast the future values. For trend analysis, combination of curve fitting, Time Trend and Moving
Average models have been used for each independent variable for each district wherever the
dependency on the independent variable was found to be significant. For example in case of rainfall,
projections have been made only for 6 districts using combination of time trend and moving average
models. In case of population and gross irrigated area, based on historical data for each variable,
different functional forms of models have been tested with LAB Fit Curve Fitting Software and the
one with lower standard deviation in error component and better goodness of fit is chosen for
forecasting the future values of the variables. These variables at the district levels have been dealt in
detail with respective curve fitting equations in tables to follow. Further scenario building has been
done for Tariff, Irrigated Area, GDP and Population.
As mentioned earlier in the section on key assumptions, the historical data for 5 districts was not
available due to new district formations. Therefore, the analysis for these districts was done on the
basis of original districts from where these districts emanated.
Projection of independent variables
The following factors (independent variables) have been considered in the Econometric model for
forecasting electricity demand:
Population Growth
Income
GDP
Electricity Tariff
Gross Irrigated Area
Rainfall Data
Population projections
Population data of various districts from the Census 2001, 1991 and 1981 have been used to estimate
the future population of each district. This data has been used to estimate the time series forecast till
2020. The Curve Fitting analysis provided the following equation for the sample data set:
Estimated Population
Where: the constants are A, B, C and D and X in the curve fitting equation represents No. of years
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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114
Appendix
from 1980.
Due to a lower standard deviation of error and better goodness of fit of the Curve Fitting approach as
compared to the CAGR model, the output of the Curve Fitting model has been taken for forecasting
the population. The population projection for each district has been provided in the table below for
reference. Population of district Alirajpur, Anuppur, Ashok Nagar, Burhanpur & Singaroli has been
added to Jabua, Shahdol, Guna, Khandwa & Sidhi respectively.
Table 44: Population projections (in thousands)
District
Balaghat
Barwani
Betul
Bhind
Bhopal
Chhatarpur
Chhindwara
Damoh
Datia
Dewas
Dhar
Dindori
Guna
Gwalior
Harda
Hoshangabad
Indore
Jabalpur
Jhabua
Katni
Khandwa
Khargone
Mandla
Mandsaur
Morena
Narsimhapur
Neemuch
Panna
Raisen
Rajgarh
Ratlam
Rewa
Sagar
Satna
Sehore
Seoni
Shahdol
Shajapur
Sheopur
Shivpuri
Sidhi
Tikamgarh
Ujjain
Umaria
Vidisha
2010-11
1701
1386
1575
1704
2368
1763
2090
1264
786
1563
2185
704
2086
2031
570
1241
3272
2461
1753
1292
2066
1872
1054
1340
1965
1092
826
1016
1332
1547
1454
2364
2378
2229
1311
1379
1815
1512
688
1726
2305
1445
1987
644
1458
2011-12
1726
1418
1592
1735
2423
1791
2113
1281
799
1587
2233
717
2132
2074
580
1256
3365
2486
1790
1319
2106
1907
1073
1349
2007
1102
834
1030
1349
1577
1478
2401
2417
2262
1334
1404
1838
1530
701
1759
2352
1469
2013
659
1483
2012-13
1751
1450
1608
1769
2477
1819
2135
1299
811
1611
2283
732
2178
2118
589
1270
3459
2508
1830
1346
2146
1942
1093
1356
2050
1110
843
1045
1367
1608
1501
2438
2453
2295
1357
1430
1862
1546
714
1792
2400
1492
2038
676
1507
2013-14
1777
1483
1624
1804
2532
1847
2156
1317
823
1636
2333
747
2225
2162
598
1284
3554
2529
1871
1374
2188
1977
1113
1362
2093
1118
851
1060
1385
1639
1523
2475
2489
2327
1380
1457
1886
1561
727
1824
2447
1516
2063
693
1532
2014-15
1804
1516
1640
1841
2588
1875
2178
1335
835
1660
2384
762
2273
2207
608
1298
3652
2548
1912
1403
2230
2013
1134
1367
2137
1125
859
1075
1403
1670
1546
2513
2525
2360
1402
1485
1909
1575
739
1857
2495
1539
2087
711
1556
2015-16
1831
1549
1655
1879
2644
1902
2199
1353
848
1684
2436
778
2322
2253
617
1311
3751
2565
1955
1433
2274
2048
1156
1369
2182
1130
867
1089
1420
1701
1568
2550
2561
2391
1425
1514
1933
1587
752
1890
2542
1562
2111
731
1580
2016-17
1860
1582
1671
1918
2700
1929
2220
1371
860
1708
2489
795
2372
2299
626
1325
3852
2579
1998
1463
2318
2083
1179
1370
2228
1135
875
1104
1438
1732
1590
2586
2597
2423
1448
1545
1957
1598
765
1924
2590
1586
2135
751
1605
2017-18
1889
1616
1686
1960
2756
1957
2241
1388
872
1731
2542
812
2422
2346
635
1338
3955
2592
2042
1495
2363
2118
1202
1371
2274
1138
883
1119
1455
1764
1612
2623
2633
2454
1471
1577
1980
1607
778
1957
2637
1609
2158
772
1629
2018-19
1919
1651
1701
2003
2813
1984
2261
1406
884
1755
2597
829
2473
2394
644
1350
4060
2603
2087
1527
2410
2154
1226
1372
2322
1141
891
1133
1471
1795
1634
2660
2669
2484
1494
1610
2004
1615
791
1990
2684
1632
2181
795
1654
2019-20
1949
1685
1715
2048
2870
2011
2282
1424
896
1779
2652
847
2526
2442
653
1363
4167
2611
2132
1560
2457
2189
1251
1373
2370
1142
898
1148
1488
1827
1656
2696
2705
2515
1517
1645
2028
1622
804
2023
2731
1655
2204
819
1678
115
Appendix
forecast till 2020. Wherever curve fitting model was not appropriate, time trend model have been
used to forecast the same. The Curve Fitting analysis provided the following equation for the sample
data set:
Estimated GrossIrrigatedArea
Where: the constants are A, B, C and D and X in the curve fitting equation represents No. of years from 2002.
Due to a lower standard deviation of error and better goodness of fit of the Curve Fitting approach as
compared to the CAGR model, the output of the Curve Fitting model has been taken for forecasting
the Gross Irrigated Area. The Gross Irrigated Area projection for each district has been provided in
the table below for reference. Gross Irrigated Area of district Alirajpur, Annupur, Ashok Nagar,
Burhanpur & Singaroli has been added to Jhabua, Shahdol, Guna, Khandwa and Sidhi respectively.
Table 45: Projected irrigated areas (in km2)
District
Barwani
Bhind
Bhopal
Chhindwara
Damoh
Dhar
Guna
Gwalior
Harda
Indore
Jabalpur
Jhabua
Mandla
Mandsaur
Morena
Narsimhapur
Raisen
Rajgarh
Ratlam
Rewa
Satna
Sehore
Seoni
Shahdol
Shajapur
Shivpuri
Sidhi
Tikamgarh
Ujjain
Umaria
Vidisha
2010-11
10
90,595
151,445
94,329
160,277
125,262
273,896
300,375
141,755
162,919
167,466
154,846
71,760
20,229
176,034
193,714
188,182
255,621
228,927
145,019
110,626
140,512
262,107
122,668
28,125
225,924
234,166
76,692
227,328
274,632
23,248
252,049
2011-12
11
92,654
151,857
95,043
160,666
127,912
288,958
328,747
145,471
167,381
173,452
161,451
75,426
21,798
183,674
200,808
188,531
268,459
233,636
149,977
110,933
145,114
267,127
124,093
28,333
240,836
248,273
78,228
222,781
284,800
23,348
265,946
2012-13
12
95,354
158,149
95,850
163,426
130,086
290,671
334,896
149,187
172,256
175,690
167,333
78,320
22,281
189,660
207,325
188,820
279,665
239,762
154,936
113,431
149,715
272,703
125,518
28,766
248,219
262,381
79,737
227,588
294,968
23,950
268,618
2013-14
13
98,054
164,442
96,540
165,965
132,156
291,867
340,729
152,903
177,132
177,522
173,215
81,111
22,764
195,646
214,264
188,993
290,871
244,781
159,894
115,930
154,317
277,970
126,943
29,142
255,602
276,488
81,168
232,396
305,136
24,553
271,291
2014-15
14
100,754
170,735
97,137
168,316
134,131
292,703
346,278
156,619
182,007
179,079
179,097
83,847
23,247
201,632
221,633
189,101
302,078
248,964
164,852
118,428
158,918
282,961
128,369
29,471
262,985
290,596
82,528
237,203
315,303
25,156
273,963
2015-16
15
103,455
177,028
97,659
170,505
136,020
293,286
351,569
160,335
186,883
180,432
184,979
86,550
23,730
207,617
229,444
189,170
313,284
252,503
169,810
120,926
163,520
287,703
129,794
29,761
270,368
304,703
83,826
242,010
325,471
25,758
276,635
2016-17
16
106,155
183,320
98,118
172,552
137,830
293,694
356,624
164,050
191,758
181,624
190,861
89,231
24,213
213,603
237,710
189,215
324,491
255,535
174,768
123,424
168,121
292,220
131,219
30,019
277,751
318,811
85,067
246,817
335,639
26,361
279,308
2017-18
17
108,855
189,613
98,526
174,475
139,567
293,978
361,465
167,766
196,633
182,686
196,743
91,897
24,696
219,589
246,447
189,245
335,697
258,162
179,727
125,923
172,723
296,532
132,645
30,250
285,134
332,918
86,256
251,625
345,807
26,964
281,980
2018-19
18
111,556
195,906
98,890
176,289
141,236
294,177
366,107
171,482
201,509
183,641
202,625
94,553
25,179
225,575
255,672
189,266
346,904
260,459
184,685
128,421
177,324
300,657
134,070
30,457
292,517
347,026
87,399
256,432
355,975
27,566
284,652
2019-20
19
114,256
202,198
99,218
178,004
142,844
294,316
370,568
175,198
206,384
184,504
208,507
97,200
25,662
231,560
265,406
189,281
358,110
262,484
189,643
130,919
181,926
304,611
135,495
30,645
299,900
361,133
88,499
261,239
366,143
28,169
287,325
Tariff projections
As mentioned earlier in key assumptions, tariff as an independent variable has been considered for
scenario building. Therefore, we have considered different tariff structure across the three scenarios
of pessimistic, realistic and optimistic, as detailed below.
Pessimistic scenario
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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Under this scenario, the Tariff has been escalated by 10% in case of Pessimistic Scenario. Also Tariff
has been assumed to remain constant during election year i.e. 2014, 15, 19 & 20 for all categories
except Railways, HT Industrial & Coal Mines.
Table 46: Tariff projections in pessimistic scenario (in INR/kWh)
Category
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
LT
Domestic
1.93
2.36
2.97
2.88
3.09
3.01
3.36
3.35
3.50
4.00
4.26
4.69
4.69
4.69
5.15
5.67
6.24
6.24
6.24
LT Nondomestic
5.24
5.62
6.18
5.86
5.64
5.86
5.48
5.40
5.35
5.85
6.28
6.91
6.91
6.91
7.60
8.36
9.19
9.19
9.19
LT
Industrial
4.05
4.49
5.23
5.18
4.86
5.19
4.72
4.46
4.70
5.22
5.50
6.05
6.05
6.05
6.66
7.32
8.05
8.05
8.05
LT
Irrigation
0.90
0.90
0.99
2.09
2.11
2.15
2.39
2.62
2.55
3.11
3.26
3.59
3.59
3.59
3.94
4.34
4.77
4.77
4.77
LT PWW
LT STLT
2.14
2.79
3.25
3.12
3.12
2.95
3.08
3.38
3.41
3.90
4.00
4.40
4.40
4.40
4.84
5.33
5.86
5.86
5.86
2.22
2.83
3.12
3.28
3.48
3.53
3.59
3.69
3.75
3.96
3.99
4.39
4.39
4.39
4.83
5.31
5.84
5.84
5.84
Railways
4.77
4.81
4.73
4.65
4.45
4.64
4.60
4.65
4.70
5.29
5.57
6.13
6.74
7.41
8.16
8.97
9.87
10.85
11.94
HT
Industrial
3.99
3.96
4.46
5.36
4.24
4.72
4.56
4.68
4.74
5.13
5.32
5.85
6.44
7.08
7.79
8.57
9.42
10.37
11.40
Coal
Mines
4.37
4.72
5.09
5.14
4.79
5.50
5.35
5.38
5.30
5.46
5.82
6.40
7.04
7.75
8.52
9.37
10.31
11.34
12.48
Realistic Scenario
Under this Scenario, the Tariff has been escalated by 8% in case of Realistic Scenario. Also Tariff has
been assumed to remain constant during election year i.e. 2014, 15, 19 & 20 for all categories except
Railways, HT Industrial & Coal Mines.
Table 47: Tariff projections in realistic scenario (in INR/kWh)
Category
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
LT
Domestic
LT Nondomestic
1.93
2.36
2.97
2.88
3.09
3.01
3.36
3.35
3.50
4.00
4.26
4.60
4.60
4.60
4.97
5.37
5.91
5.91
5.91
5.24
5.62
6.18
5.86
5.64
5.86
5.48
5.40
5.35
5.85
6.28
6.78
6.78
6.78
7.32
7.91
8.71
8.71
8.71
LT
Industrial
4.05
4.49
5.23
5.18
4.86
5.19
4.72
4.46
4.70
5.22
5.50
5.94
5.94
5.94
6.42
6.93
7.63
7.63
7.63
LT
Irrigation
0.90
0.90
0.99
2.09
2.11
2.15
2.39
2.62
2.55
3.11
3.26
3.52
3.52
3.52
3.80
4.11
4.52
4.52
4.52
LT PWW
LT STLT
2.14
2.79
3.25
3.12
3.12
2.95
3.08
3.38
3.41
3.90
4.00
4.32
4.32
4.32
4.67
5.04
5.55
5.55
5.55
2.22
2.83
3.12
3.28
3.48
3.53
3.59
3.69
3.75
3.96
3.99
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.65
5.03
5.54
5.54
5.54
Railways
4.77
4.81
4.73
4.65
4.45
4.64
4.60
4.65
4.70
5.29
5.57
6.02
6.50
7.02
7.58
8.18
9.02
9.93
10.94
HT
Industrial
Coal
Mines
3.99
3.96
4.46
5.36
4.24
4.72
4.56
4.68
4.74
5.13
5.32
5.75
6.21
6.70
7.24
7.82
8.61
9.49
10.45
4.37
4.72
5.09
5.14
4.79
5.50
5.35
5.38
5.30
5.46
5.82
6.29
6.79
7.33
7.92
8.55
9.42
10.38
11.43
Optimistic Scenario
Under this scenario, the Tariff has been escalated by 5% in case of Optimistic Scenario. Also Tariff has
been assumed to remain constant during election year i.e. 2014, 15, 19 & 20 for all categories except
Railways, HT Industrial & Coal Mines.
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LT
Domestic
1.93
2.36
2.97
2.88
3.09
3.01
3.36
3.35
3.50
4.00
4.26
4.47
4.47
4.47
4.70
4.93
5.33
5.33
5.33
LT Nondomestic
5.24
5.62
6.18
5.86
5.64
5.86
5.48
5.40
5.35
5.85
6.28
6.59
6.59
6.59
6.92
7.27
7.86
7.86
7.86
LT
Industrial
4.05
4.49
5.23
5.18
4.86
5.19
4.72
4.46
4.70
5.22
5.50
5.78
5.78
5.78
6.06
6.37
6.89
6.89
6.89
LT
Irrigation
0.90
0.90
0.99
2.09
2.11
2.15
2.39
2.62
2.55
3.11
3.26
3.42
3.42
3.42
3.59
3.77
4.08
4.08
4.08
LT PWW
2.14
2.79
3.25
3.12
3.12
2.95
3.08
3.38
3.41
3.90
4.00
4.20
4.20
4.20
4.41
4.63
5.01
5.01
5.01
LT STLT
2.22
2.83
3.12
3.28
3.48
3.53
3.59
3.69
3.75
3.96
3.99
4.19
4.19
4.19
4.40
4.62
5.00
5.00
5.00
Railways
4.77
4.81
4.73
4.65
4.45
4.64
4.60
4.65
4.70
5.29
5.57
5.85
6.14
6.45
6.77
7.11
7.69
8.31
8.99
HT
Industrial
3.99
3.96
4.46
5.36
4.24
4.72
4.56
4.68
4.74
5.13
5.32
5.59
5.87
6.16
6.47
6.79
7.34
7.94
8.59
Coal
Mines
4.37
4.72
5.09
5.14
4.79
5.50
5.35
5.38
5.30
5.46
5.82
6.11
6.42
6.74
7.07
7.43
8.03
8.69
9.40
Rainfall projections
In case of rainfall, projections have been made only for 6 districts namely Dhar, Indore, Rewa, Seoni,
Umaria and Vidisha using combination of time trend and moving average models as during
econometric analysis few categories of only these districts were found dependant on Rainfall data.
Table 49: Rainfall projections (in mm)
District
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
Method Adopted to
calculate rainfall for
years FY10 & FY11
Method Adopted to
calculate rainfall for
years FY12 & FY20
Dhar
450
548
641
929
751
570
1,161
992
672
829
845
900
847
819
848
852
853
844
843
848
Moving 5
Year
Average
Moving 5
Year
Average
Indore
585
729
658
1,116
904
768
1,166
906
636
876
870
891
836
822
859
856
853
845
847
852
Moving 5
Year
Average
Moving 5
Year
Average
Rewa
864
1,385
925
1,187
853
999
824
678
964
864
866
839
842
875
857
856
854
857
860
857
Moving 5
Year
Average
Moving 5
Year
Average
Seoni
813
903
1,237
1,346
885
1,445
1,214
1,018
579
1,004
995
962
912
890
953
942
932
926
929
936
9 Year
Time
Trend
Moving 5
Year
Average
Umaria
868
1,121
678
1,448
985
1,644
1,027
951
1,030
1,003
995
1,001
996
1,005
1,000
999
1,000
1,000
1,001
1,000
Moving 3
Year
Average
Moving 5
Year
Average
Vidisha
1,163
1,014
870
1,120
993
1,172
1,145
788
1,075
1,002
995
1,001
972
1,009
996
994
994
993
997
995
9 Year Time
Trend
Moving 5
Year
Average
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Appendix
2013-14
19,942
4,283
2,242
18,925
947
615
2,277
9,012
657
58,900
2014-15
21,596
4,647
2,368
19,735
1,020
659
2,390
9,777
674
62,866
2015-16
23,310
5,042
2,485
20,475
1,102
700
2,498
10,552
692
66,856
2016-17
25,108
5,458
2,606
21,207
1,188
742
2,619
11,347
709
70,984
2017-18
27,010
5,902
2,729
21,938
1,278
785
2,739
12,173
727
75,281
2018-19
29,047
6,361
2,856
22,758
1,366
835
2,866
13,029
745
79,863
2019-20
31,193
6,847
3,004
23,585
1,459
883
2,998
13,920
764
84,653
Table 51: Energy demand at MP periphery by different consumer categories (in MUs) (realistic
scenario)
LT Domestic
LT Non-domestic
LT Industrial
LT Irrigation
LT PWW
LT STLT
Railways
HT Industrial
Coal Mines
Total
2013-14
21,477
4,660
2,324
19,813
1,017
668
2,378
9,809
678
62,824
2014-15
23,479
5,098
2,460
20,659
1,103
718
2,507
10,705
695
67,424
2015-16
25,614
5,581
2,589
21,454
1,200
767
2,632
12,055
713
72,605
2016-17
27,898
6,099
2,725
22,247
1,302
818
2,773
13,059
731
77,652
2017-18
30,323
6,656
2,863
23,027
1,411
870
2,914
14,111
749
82,924
2018-19
32,954
7,246
3,005
23,896
1,521
930
3,065
15,216
767
88,600
2019-20
35,766
7,879
3,170
24,777
1,639
991
3,224
16,378
786
94,610
Table 52: Energy demand at MP periphery by different consumer categories (in MUs)
(optimistic scenario)
LT Domestic
LT Non-domestic
LT Industrial
LT Irrigation
LT PWW
LT STLT
Railways
HT Industrial
Coal Mines
Total
2013-14
22,494
4,929
2,394
20,675
1,068
713
2,459
10,382
698
2014-15
24,704
5,411
2,536
21,549
1,162
768
2,597
11,358
716
2015-16
27,099
5,946
2,676
22,395
1,266
823
2,732
12,828
734
2016-17
29,686
6,526
2,822
23,244
1,377
880
2,886
13,941
752
2017-18
32,444
7,151
2,972
24,079
1,497
939
3,041
15,115
771
2018-19
35,448
7,824
3,125
24,985
1,621
1,005
3,208
16,355
790
2019-20
38,683
8,551
3,301
25,905
1,754
1,075
3,383
17,667
809
65,812
70,801
76,499
82,114
88,009
94,361
101,128
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Appendix
2013-14
58,900
2014-15
62,866
2015-16
66,856
2016-17
70,984
2017-18
75,281
2018-19
79,863
2019-20
84,653
3.10
57,072
3.10
60,915
3.10
64,781
3.10
68,781
3.10
72,944
3.10
77,384
3.10
82,025
22.12
44,445
19.86
48,817
17.89
53,191
15.94
57,819
15.94
61,319
15.94
65,051
15.94
68,953
Table 54: Energy demand at consumer end (in MUs) (realistic scenario)
Unrestricted demand at state
periphery (MUs)
Transmission loss (%)
Energy demand at
distribution periphery (MUs)
Distribution loss (%)
Energy demand at the
consumer end (MUs)
2013-14
62,824
2014-15
67,424
2015-16
72,605
2016-17
77,652
2017-18
82,924
2018-19
88,600
2019-20
94,610
3.10
60,874
3.10
65,331
3.10
70,351`
3.10
75,242
3.10
80,350
3.10
85,850
3.10
91,673
22.12
47,406
19.86
52,356
17.89
57,765
15.94
63,250
15.94
67,545
15.94
72,168
15.94
77,063
Table 55: Energy demand at consumer end (in MUs) (optimistic scenario)
Unrestricted demand at state
periphery (MUs)
Transmission loss (%)
Energy demand at
distribution periphery (MUs)
Distribution loss (%)
Energy demand at the
consumer end (MUs)
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
65,812
70,801
76,499
82,114
88,009
94,361
101,128
3.10
63,769
3.10
68,603
3.10
74,124
3.10
79,565
3.10
85,277
3.10
91,432
3.10
97,989
22.12
49,661
19.86
54,979
17.89
60,863
15.94
66,885
15.94
71,687
15.94
76,861
15.94
82,373
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Appendix
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
3,544
3,673
3,807
3,946
4,089
4,238
4,393
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Appendix
2013-14
47,989
50,950
53,205
2014-15
52,361
55,900
58,523
2015-16
56,735
61,309
64,407
2016-17
61,363
66,794
70,429
2017-18
64,863
71,089
75,231
2018-19
68,595
75,712
80,405
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2019-20
72,497
80,607
85,917
122
Appendix
2009-10
6.50
0.00
0.92
169.87
170.85
0.40
0.00
282.51
0.43
382.26
22.24
7.60
48.30
18.01
1.05
26.94
122.47
31.27
61.98
0.04
0.00
94.08
46.01
0.52
146.01
0.74
0.42
10.52
0.00
0.00
2.28
0.00
27.22
2.28
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.39
2.60
78.24
0.00
180.09
421.16
0.00
204.00
4.41
2010-11
9.46
10.06
5.68
166.45
152.97
0.07
12.05
250.98
0.67
722.02
26.16
9.53
49.56
134.02
11.14
44.57
93.38
269.71
63.11
0.04
2.69
27.71
43.49
2.39
151.69
1.74
0.27
5.89
0.08
0.00
1.77
0.00
3.05
3.25
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.75
0.79
52.53
0.00
189.64
377.54
0.00
254.55
3.19
2011-12
10.31
49.72
0.32
176.93
140.01
0.19
20.71
238.08
1.22
660.20
333.97
9.28
49.37
267.19
12.07
46.38
112.48
258.47
63.33
0.04
1.13
22.32
37.09
0.20
176.41
0.90
0.25
0.53
0.05
0.00
1.81
0.03
5.57
0.55
0.00
0.00
0.03
1.15
0.22
19.86
0.00
142.11
394.48
0.00
227.76
3.88
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PwC
2012-13
7.51
50.78
0.15
181.60
156.85
0.14
21.82
239.49
1.06
610.73
30.71
7.67
112.88
263.85
9.33
0.73
64.32
273.94
59.08
0.04
0.62
3.58
36.84
0.45
224.33
0.41
0.15
0.39
0.04
1.55
0.07
0.08
5.20
0.55
0.39
2.02
0.02
0.46
0.06
58.98
140.34
0.00
167.07
0.00
240.63
4.12
123
Appendix
Name
ACC Cement Kymore
Century denim
Gail Guna
Gail Ujjain
Ritspin synthetic
Maral voerseas ltd
Procter & Gamble
Associated alcohal & breweries
Deepak spinners ltd Guna
Total
2009-10
368.29
15.90
18.43
6.25
0.01
57.41
0.00
8.59
22.09
3071.86
2010-11
340.51
0.29
18.11
5.38
0.01
72.51
0.97
8.74
7.94
3609.18
2011-12
313.80
0.14
17.88
6.25
0.02
61.73
0.72
6.70
17.98
3911.82
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PwC
2012-13
320.93
0.39
17.83
6.12
0.01
64.38
0.83
8.28
19.95
3419.76
124
Appendix
Fixed charge*
Variable charge
Contract demand
0.92
5.20
upto 100 HP
Contract demand
1.25
5.35
more than 100
HP and upto
150HP
HT Industrial
11kV Supply
1.22
5.2o
33 kV Supply
1.98
5.10
132 kV Supply
2.50
4.75
220/400 kV
2.66
4.55
supply
*fixed charge is calculated at 50% of load usage for two shifts (16 hours) at PF of 0.8.
LT Industrial
Duty (in %)
9.00
Total charge
6.67
9.00
7.19
15.00
15.00
15.00
15.00
7.39
8.14
8.34
8.29
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Appendix
Solar
1,189
1,966
Wind
4,091
5,167
Biomass
367
464
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PwC
SHP
312
394
126
Appendix
Solar
Wind
Biomass
Small
Hydro
Till
September
2013
220
323
57
86
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
25
634
29
92
386
35
141
455
41
157
519
47
167
528
47
182
592
53
207
654
59
16
35
40
40
45
50
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
123
779
42
193
533
48
277
651
58
262
665
60
274
674
61
293
738
66
324
804
72
39
50
51
51
56
61
Solar
Wind
Biomass
Small
Hydro
Till
September
2013
220
323
57
86
2013-14
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Appendix
27
28
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
9,809
10,705
12,055
13,059
14,111
15,216
16,378
431
879
1,554
2,056
2,582
3,135
3,716
431
448
675
502
526
553
581
2,324
2,460
2,589
2,725
2,863
3,005
3,170
126
262
391
527
665
807
972
126
136
129
136
138
142
165
12,133
557
13,165
1,141
14,644
1,945
15,784
2,583
16,974
3,247
18,221
3,942
19,548
4,688
557
584
804
638
664
695
746
Incremental energy demand is demand from new consumers added each year.
Only non seasonal load has been considered
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Appendix
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
0.80
1.00
1.29
1.57
1.86
2.14
2.43
379
419
462
506
540
577
617
28
29
30
32
33
34
35
408
448
493
538
573
611
652
375
410
447
485
514
546
579
28
29
30
32
33
34
35
403
439
477
517
547
580
614
Scenario 1
Solar energy required by Distribution
Licensees (MUs)
Solar energy required by CC (MUs)
Total solar energy required to meet
RPO
Scenario 2
Solar energy required by Distribution
Licensees (MUs)
Solar energy required by CC (MUs)
Total solar energy required to meet
RPO
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Appendix
2013-14*
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
408
560
794
1,055
1,332
1,635
1,979
43
153
234
261
277
303
344
403
549
769
1,014
1,272
1,551
1,865
38
146
220
245
258
279
315
*incremental demand for 2013-14 here represents the additional solar energy required for the period from October 2013 to March 2014.
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Appendix
2013-14
4.70
2014-15
6.00
2015-16
7.31
2016-17
8.63
2017-18
9.94
2018-19
11.26
2019-20
12.57
2,228
167
3,141
220
4,223
278
5,458
341
6,714
406
8,126
477
9,687
552
2,395
3,362
4,501
5,799
7,120
8,603
10,239
2,202
167
3,073
220
4,080
278
5,236
341
6,391
406
7,682
477
9,098
552
2,368
3,293
4,359
5,576
6,798
8,159
9,650
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Appendix
2013-14*
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2,395
3,362
4,501
5,799
7,120
8,603
10,239
1,253
967
1,139
1,298
1,321
1,483
1,636
2,368
3,293
4,359
5,576
6,798
8,159
9,650
1,227
925
1,065
1,217
1,222
1,362
1,490
*incremental demand for 2013-14 here represents the additional non-solar energy required for the period from October 2013 to March
2014.
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Appendix
2014-15
56,029
52,356
2015-16
61,572
57,765
2016-17
67,196
63,250
2017-18
71,634
67,545
2018-19
76,406
72,168
2019-20
81,456
77,063
3,544
3,673
3,807
3,946
4,089
4,238
4,393
379
524
745
993
1,256
1,544
1,873
28
37
49
62
76
91
107
2,228
3,141
4,223
5,458
6,714
8,126
9,687
167
220
278
341
406
477
552
48,148
52,107
56,277
60,342
63,181
66,168
69,238
2,802
3,922
5,295
6,854
8,453
10,238
12,218
0.80%
1.00%
1.29%
1.57%
1.86%
2.14%
2.43%
4.70%
5.50%
6.00%
7.00%
7.31%
8.60%
8.63%
10.20%
9.94%
11.80%
11.26%
13.40%
12.57%
15.00%
2014-15
56,029
2015-16
61,572
2016-17
67,196
2017-18
71,634
2018-19
76,406
2019-20
81,456
47,406
52,356
57,765
63,250
67,545
72,168
77,063
557
1,141
1,945
2,583
3,247
3,942
4,688
3,544
46,849
3,673
51,215
3,807
55,820
3,946
60,667
4,089
64,298
4,238
68,226
4,393
72,375
375
512
720
952
1,196
1,460
1,759
28
37
49
62
76
91
107
2,202
3,073
4,080
5,236
6,391
7,682
9,098
167
220
278
341
406
477
552
47,621
51,046
54,499
58,022
60,317
62,754
65,253
2,772
3,842
5,128
6,591
8,070
9,710
11,515
0.80%
1.00%
1.29%
1.57%
1.86%
2.14%
2.43%
4.70%
5.50%
3,329
6.00%
7.00%
4,983
7.31%
8.60%
7,073
8.63%
10.20%
9,174
9.94%
11.80%
11,317
11.26%
13.40%
13,652
12.57%
15.00%
16,203
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133
Appendix
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
41
153
234
261
277
303
344
1,253
967
1,139
1,298
1,321
1,483
1,636
1,295
1,120
1,373
1,559
1,599
1,786
1,980
*incremental demand for 2013-14 here represents the additional RE required for the period from October 2013 to March 2014.
Table 69: Incremental demand of RE year on year (in MUs) (Scenario -2)
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
37
146
220
245
258
279
315
1,227
925
1,065
1,217
1,222
1,362
1,490
557
584
804
638
664
695
746
1,821
1,655
2,090
2,101
2,143
2,336
2,551
*incremental demand for 2013-14 here represents the additional RE required for the period from October 2013 to March 2014.
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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134
Appendix
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
Patratu
770.00
Barauni
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
Jharkhand
State
Thermal
Coal
622.00
2.10
220.00
Bihar
State
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Kahalgaon
2340.00
Bihar
Center
Thermal
Coal
13560.00
0.98
Tenughat
420.00
Jharkhand
State
Thermal
Coal
2620.00
1.24
Jojbera
360.00
Jharkhand
Private
Thermal
Coal
1589.00
1.09
Chandrapura
890.00
Jharkhand
Center
Thermal
Coal
5019.00
1.01
Durgapur
350.00
West Bengal
Center
Thermal
Coal
1835.00
1.15
Bokaro B
630.00
Jharkhand
Center
Thermal
Coal
2759.00
1.22
0.00
Jharkhand
Center
Thermal
Diesel
0.00
0.00
West Bengal
Center
Thermal
Coal
6498.00
0.99
Maithon Gt
Mejia
1340.00
State
Talcher
460.00
Orissa
Center
Thermal
Coal
3472.00
1.20
I.B.Valley
420.00
Orissa
State
Thermal
Coal
2839.00
1.03
3000.00
Orissa
Center
Thermal
Coal
20042.00
0.97
Talcher Stps
Bandel
450.00
West Bengal
State
Thermal
Coal
1645.00
1.61
Santaldih
980.00
West Bengal
State
Thermal
Coal
2165.00
1.23
Kolaghat
1260.00
West Bengal
State
Thermal
Coal
6570.00
1.18
Bakreswar
1050.00
West Bengal
State
Thermal
Coal
7252.00
1.03
D.P.L.
641.00
West Bengal
State
Thermal
Coal
1631.00
1.59
Newcossipore
160.00
West Bengal
Private
Thermal
Coal
173.00
2.60
Titagarh
240.00
West Bengal
Private
Thermal
Coal
1514.00
1.21
Southern Repl.
135.00
West Bengal
Private
Thermal
Coal
966.00
1.17
Budge Budge
750.00
West Bengal
Private
Thermal
Coal
5321.00
1.09
Farakka Stps
2100.00
West Bengal
Center
Thermal
Coal
10812.00
0.98
Bihar
Center
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Muzaffarpur
220.00
Bokaro A
0.00
Jharkhand
Center
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Mulajore
0.00
West Bengal
Private
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Kosi
20.00
Bihar
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
6.60
Bihar
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
3.30
Bihar
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
15.00
Bihar
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Jharkhand
State
Hydro
NA
141.00
0.00
E.G. Canal
Subernrekha I&Ii
130.00
Panchet
80.00
Bihar
Center
Hydro
NA
110.00
0.00
Maithon
63.20
Bihar
Center
Hydro
NA
88.00
0.00
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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Appendix
Name
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
Tillaya
4.00
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
Jharkhand
Center
Hydro
NA
0.00
Balimela
510.00
Orissa
State
Hydro
NA
544.00
0.00
Hirakud I&Ii
331.50
Orissa
State
Hydro
NA
969.00
0.00
Rengali
250.00
Orissa
State
Hydro
NA
710.00
0.00
Upper Kolab
320.00
Orissa
State
Hydro
NA
449.00
0.00
600.00
Orissa
State
Hydro
NA
1680.00
0.00
35.00
West Bengal
State
Hydro
NA
117.00
0.00
Rammam
50.00
West Bengal
State
Hydro
NA
222.00
0.00
Teesta I-Iii
67.50
West Bengal
State
Hydro
NA
109.00
0.00
12.00
Sikkim
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
8.00
Sikkim
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Moyagchu
4.00
Sikkim
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Rangit-Iii
60.00
Sikkim
Center
Hydro
NA
326.00
0.00
Teesta -V
510.00
Sikkim
Center
Hydro
NA
2257.00
0.00
Sagardighi Tpp
600.00
West Bengal
State
Thermal
Coal
3445.00
1.08
Purulia Pss
900.00
West Bengal
State
Hydro
794.00
0.00
Namrup Gt
119.50
Assam
State
Thermal
Gas
503.00
0.89
Lakwa Gt
157.20
Assam
State
Thermal
Gas
827.00
0.68
Leimakhong Dg
36.00
Manipur
State
Thermal
Diesel
0.00
0.00
Uppar Indravati
Jaldhaka I&Ii
Lower Lagyap
U.Rognichu
Kathalguri Gt
291.00
Assam
Center
Thermal
Gas
1633.00
0.60
Agartala Gt
84.00
Tripura
Center
Thermal
Gas
622.00
0.80
Baramura
42.00
Tripura
State
Thermal
Gas
344.00
0.78
Rokhia Gt
74.00
Tripura
State
Thermal
Gas
408.00
0.86
Eastern India
Powertech
Chandrapur_Oil
15.50
Assam
Private
Thermal
Gas
0.00
0.00
Assam
State
Thermal
Oil
0.00
0.00
Bongaigaon
0.00
Assam
State
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
0.00
Assam
State
Thermal
Gas
0.00
0.00
Nuranang
6.00
Arunachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Tago
4.50
Arunachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Kyredemkulai
60.00
Meghalaya
State
Hydro
NA
129.00
0.00
114.00
Meghalaya
State
Hydro
NA
289.00
0.00
11.20
Meghalaya
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
50.00
Meghalaya
Center
Hydro
NA
164.00
0.00
Assam
Center
Hydro
NA
756.00
0.00
Nagaland
Center
Hydro
NA
212.00
0.00
Umtru
Khandong
Kopili
Doyang
225.00
75.00
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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Appendix
Name
Ranganadi
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
405.00
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
Arunachal
Center
Hydro
NA
1234.00
0.00
Gumti
15.00
Tsecl
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Likim Ro
24.00
Nagaland
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Loktak
105.00
Manipur
Center
Hydro
NA
578.00
0.00
Karbi Langpi
100.00
Assam
State
Hydro
NA
341.00
0.00
705.00
Delhi
Center
Thermal
Coal
4178.00
1.14
0.00
Delhi
State
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Rajghat
135.00
Delhi
State
Thermal
Coal
688.00
1.46
I.P.Gt
270.00
Delhi
State
Thermal
Gas
1270.00
0.52
Pragati Ccgt
330.00
Delhi
State
Thermal
Gas
2443.00
0.43
F_Bad Extn.
0.00
Haryana
State
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
1360.00
Haryana
State
Thermal
Coal
7986.00
1.13
F_Bad Ccgt
431.60
Haryana
Center
Thermal
Gas
2344.00
0.44
Gndtp(Bhatinda)
440.00
Punjab
State
Thermal
Coal
1327.00
1.19
Ghtp (Leh.Moh.)
920.00
Punjab
State
Thermal
Coal
6643.00
0.96
Ropar
1260.00
Punjab
State
Thermal
Coal
8399.00
1.05
Kota
1240.00
Rajasthan
State
Thermal
Coal
8816.00
1.07
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Nuclear
Nuclear
2276.00
0.00
Badarpur
I.P.Station
Panipat
N.A.P.S
440.00
R.A.P.S.
1180.00
Rajasthan
Center
Nuclear
Nuclear
7944.00
0.00
Suratgarh
1500.00
Rajasthan
State
Thermal
Coal
9614.00
1.06
Ramgarh Gt
220.50
Rajasthan
State
Thermal
Gas
489.00
0.54
Anta Gt
419.30
Rajasthan
Center
Thermal
Gas
2125.00
0.44
1322.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Thermal
Coal
3593.00
1.13
210.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Thermal
Coal
759.00
1.51
665.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Thermal
Coal
1268.00
1.47
1140.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Thermal
Coal
3809.00
1.26
Anpara
1630.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Thermal
Coal
9293.00
0.91
Singrauli Stps
2000.00
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Coal
15036.00
0.98
Rihand
2500.00
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Coal
15253.00
0.96
Unchahar
1050.00
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Coal
7811.00
1.00
Dadri (Nctpp)
1820.00
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Coal
12217.00
0.97
Tanda
440.00
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Coal
2835.00
1.19
Auraiya Gt
652.00
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Gas
2693.00
0.47
Dadri Gt
816.40
Uttar Pradesh
Center
Thermal
Gas
4312.00
0.44
Pampore Gt
175.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
State
Thermal
Diesel
0.00
0.00
Obra-A
Panki
H_Ganj B
Paricha
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Appendix
Name
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
Bhakra
1325.00
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
4685.00
0.00
Ganguwal
77.70
Punjab
Center
Hydro
NA
591.00
0.00
Kotla
77.70
Punjab
Center
Hydro
NA
597.00
0.00
Dehar
990.00
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
3204.00
0.00
Pong
396.00
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
1815.00
0.00
Baira Siul
198.00
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
718.00
0.00
Salal I & Ii
690.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
Uttarakhand
Center
Hydro
NA
3260.00
0.00
Center
Hydro
NA
478.00
0.00
Tanakpur
94.20
Chamera-I
540.00
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
2430.00
0.00
Chamera Ii
300.00
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
1426.00
0.00
480.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
2952.00
0.00
Center
Hydro
NA
6744.00
0.00
Uri
Nathpa Jhakri
1500.00
Wy.Canal A -D
62.40
Haryana
State
Hydro
NA
102.00
0.00
Sanjay Bhaba
120.00
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
363.00
0.00
60.00
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
245.00
0.00
Giri Bata
60.00
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
196.00
0.00
Ghanvi
22.50
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Andhra
17.00
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Baner
12.00
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
10.50
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
6.00
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
4.50
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Malana
186.00
Himachal
Private
Hydro
NA
642.00
0.00
Baspa
300.00
Himachal
Private
Hydro
NA
1233.00
0.00
Lower Jhelum
105.00
State
Hydro
NA
550.00
0.00
127.60
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Jammu &
Kashmir
Punjab
State
Hydro
NA
307.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
104.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
434.00
0.00
Bassi
Gaj
Binwa
Thirot
Gandharbal
Mohara
Chenani I&Iii
15.00
9.00
30.80
Kargil
3.80
Stakna
4.00
Sewa-Iii
9.00
Shanan
110.00
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Appendix
Name
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
91.40
Punjab
State
Hydro
NA
317.00
0.00
Mukerian I -Iv
207.00
Punjab
State
Hydro
NA
120.00
0.00
Anandpur Sahib
St-I&Ii
Ranjit Sagar
134.00
Punjab
State
Hydro
NA
636.00
0.00
600.00
Punjab
State
Hydro
NA
1423.00
0.00
172.00
Rajasthan
State
Hydro
NA
364.00
0.00
99.00
Rajasthan
State
Hydro
NA
274.00
0.00
140.00
Rajasthan
State
Hydro
NA
203.00
0.00
Anoopgarh St
I&Ii
Rmc Mangrol
9.00
Rajasthan
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
6.00
Rajasthan
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Surat Garh
4.00
Rajasthan
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
300.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Hydro
NA
767.00
0.00
Obra
99.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Hydro
NA
312.00
0.00
Matatilla
30.60
Uttar Pradesh
State
Hydro
NA
118.00
0.00
Khara
72.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Hydro
NA
373.00
0.00
5.00
Uttar Pradesh
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
U.B.D.C. St.-I& Ii
R.P.Sagar
J.Sagar
Mahi Bajaj I&Ii
Rihand_Hydro
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
Nirgajani(Ganga
Canal)
Chibro (Yamuna)
240.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
869.00
0.00
Khodri
120.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
397.00
0.00
Dhakrani
33.80
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
148.00
0.00
Dhalipur
51.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
229.00
0.00
Kulhal
30.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
157.00
0.00
Maneri Bhali
394.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
1600.00
0.00
Chilla
144.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
855.00
0.00
20.40
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
9.30
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
198.00
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
245.00
0.00
41.40
Uttarakhand
State
Hydro
NA
154.00
0.00
Dhauli Ganga
280.00
Uttarakhand
Center
Hydro
NA
1131.00
0.00
Giral
250.00
Rajasthan
State
Thermal
Lignite
370.00
2.03
Vishnu Prayag
400.00
Uttarakhand
Private
Hydro
NA
1868.00
0.00
Dulhasti
390.00
Center
Hydro
NA
2033.00
0.00
Largi
126.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
Himachal
State
Hydro
NA
649.00
0.00
Uttarakhand
Center
Hydro
NA
3086.00
0.00
Pathri
Mohamad Pur
Ramganga
Khatima
Tehri St -1
Dholpur
Yamunanagar
Tpp
1000.00
330.00
Rajasthan
State
Thermal
Gas
1127.00
0.52
600.00
Haryana
State
Thermal
Coal
863.00
1.02
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Appendix
Name
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
0.00
0.00
Dhuvaran
0.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Oil
Ukai_Coal
1350.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Coal
4877.00
1.14
Gandhi Nagar
870.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Coal
3547.00
1.12
Utran Gt
135.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Gas
362.00
0.50
Hazira Cccp
156.10
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Gas
679.00
0.46
219.10
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Gas
803.00
0.43
1470.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Coal
8205.00
1.09
Sikka Rep.
240.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Coal
683.00
1.30
Kutch Lig.
290.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Lignite
1505.00
1.52
Vatwa Torr
100.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Gas
119.00
0.51
Essar Gt Imp.
515.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Gas
1044.00
0.42
400.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Coal
2580.00
1.12
G.I.P.C.L. Gt
310.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Gas
1095.00
0.49
Surat Lig.
500.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Lignite
3152.00
1.24
Paguthan
655.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Gas
1370.00
0.43
Kawas Gt
645.00
Gujarat
Center
Thermal
Gas
2839.00
0.45
Gandhar Gt
648.00
Gujarat
Center
Thermal
Gas
3414.00
0.44
Kakrapara
440.00
Gujarat
Center
Nuclear
Nuclear
3125.00
0.00
Satpura
1392.50
State
Thermal
Coal
4776.00
1.65
Korba-East
940.00
Madhya
Pradesh
Chattisgarh
State
Thermal
Coal
5026.00
1.20
Korba-West
1340.00
Chattisgarh
State
Thermal
Coal
5751.00
1.08
Amar Kantak
450.00
State
Thermal
Coal
2549.00
1.43
Sanjay Gandhi
1340.00
State
Thermal
Coal
7932.00
1.19
Korba Stps
2600.00
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Chattisgarh
Center
Thermal
Coal
19232.00
0.96
Center
Thermal
Coal
24355.00
0.96
State
Thermal
Coal
3782.00
1.17
Dhuvaran Ccpp
Wanakbori
Vindh_Chal Stps
Nasik
630.00
Madhya
Pradesh
Maharashtra
Koradi
620.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Coal
2155.00
1.24
1340.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Coal
6807.00
1.09
500.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Coal
2670.00
1.05
Bhusawal
1420.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Coal
3295.00
1.25
Parli
1130.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Coal
3741.00
1.17
2340.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Coal
12747.00
1.11
672.00
Maharashtra
State
Thermal
Gas
3657.00
0.47
Trombay_Oil
150.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Oil
0.00
0.00
Trombay
500.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Oil
1909.00
0.63
K_Kheda Ii
Paras
Chandrapur_Coal
Uran Gt
4260.00
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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140
Appendix
Name
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
Trombay_Coal
750.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
5468.00
0.97
Trombay Gt
180.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Gas
1560.00
0.41
Dhanu
500.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
3995.00
0.95
Tarapur
1400.00
Maharashtra
Center
Nuclear
Nuclear
8882.00
0.00
Goa
Private
Thermal
Naphtha
238.00
0.69
Center
Thermal
Naphtha
5000.00
0.38
Reliance Energy
48.00
Ratnagiri Gas
1967.10
Maharashtra
Ukai_Hydro
300.00
Gujarat
State
Hydro
NA
625.00
0.00
5.00
Gujarat
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
240.00
Gujarat
State
Hydro
NA
250.00
0.00
S.Sarovar Chph
250.00
Gujarat
State
Hydro
NA
649.00
0.00
S.Sarovar Rbph
1000.00
Gujarat
State
Hydro
NA
3031.00
0.00
1000.00
Center
Hydro
NA
2881.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
273.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
416.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
349.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
1493.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
174.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
121.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
67.00
0.00
Private
Hydro
NA
0.00
120.00
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Chattisgarh
State
Hydro
NA
300.00
0.00
1956.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
3368.00
0.00
Vaitarna
60.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
148.00
0.00
Tillari
60.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
77.00
0.00
80.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
95.00
0.00
Khadavasla I&Ii
16.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
22.50
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
9.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Bhatgarh
16.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Paithon
12.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Bhandardhara
34.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
96.00
0.00
Pawana
10.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Ukai Lbc
Kadana
Indira Sagar
Gandhi Sagar
115.00
Bargi
90.00
Pench
160.00
Bansagar (I)
315.00
Bansagar (Ii)
30.00
Bansagar (Iii)
60.00
Birsinghpur
20.00
Rajghat (Mp)
45.00
Tawa
13.50
Hasdeobango
Koyna Complex
Eldari
Vir
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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141
Appendix
Name
Radhanagri
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
4.80
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Bhatsa
15.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Kanher
4.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Ujjaini
12.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Surya
6.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Manikdoh
6.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Dimbe
5.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Warna
16.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Dudh Ganga
24.00
Maharashtra
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
300.00
Maharashtra
Private
Hydro
NA
851.00
0.00
75.00
Maharashtra
Private
Hydro
NA
300.00
0.00
72.00
Maharashtra
Private
Hydro
NA
291.00
0.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Ligniteite
755.00
1.55
Madhya
Pradesh
Madhya
Pradesh
Chattisgarh
State
Hydro
NA
114.00
0.00
State
Hydro
NA
0.00
Center
Thermal
Coal
16445.00
0.95
Bhira
Bhivpuri
Khopoli
Akrimota Lig
250.00
Madhikheda
60.00
Bansagar (Iv)
20.00
Sipat Stps
Omkareshwar
2980.00
State
Hydro
NA
1301.00
0.00
1000.00
Madhya
Pradesh
Chattisgarh
Private
Thermal
Coal
7250.00
0.97
Bhilai Tpp
500.00
Chattisgarh
Center
Thermal
Coal
3681.00
0.98
Baglihar Hep
450.00
Center
Hydro
NA
2825.00
0.00
Ghatghar Pss
250.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
Maharashtra
Center
Hydro
NA
303.00
0.00
Sugen Cccp
1147.50
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Gas
4018.00
0.34
1200.00
Haryana
State
Thermal
Coal
4697.00
1.03
500.00
Rajasthan
State
Thermal
Coal
2612.00
1.15
374.60
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Gas
547.00
0.39
Rosa Tpp Ph - 1
1200.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
7249.00
0.99
Chattisgarh
Private
Thermal
Coal
2799.00
1.05
20608.00
0.95
Raigarh Tpp
Pathadi Tps Ph -I
520.00
600.00
Mundra Tpp
4620.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Coal
Jallippa Kapurdi
Tpp
Barsingar Lignite
1080.00
Rajasthan
Private
Thermal
Lignite
3310.00
1.33
250.00
Rajasthan
Center
Thermal
Lignite
1114.00
1.27
Sewa-Ii
120.00
Center
Hydro
NA
482.00
0.00
Wardha Warora
540.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
3057.00
1.04
Allain Duhangan
192.00
Himachal
Private
Hydro
NA
678.00
0.00
Delhi
Private
Thermal
Gas
134.00
0.60
Rithala Cccp
94.80
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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142
Appendix
Name
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Center
Hydro
State
Koteshwar
400.00
Uttarakhand
685.60
Delhi
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
NA
1158.00
0.00
Thermal
Gas
1398.00
0.44
1000.00
West Bengal
Center
Thermal
Coal
4740.00
0.89
Indra Gandhi
Stpp
Jsw Ratnagiri
Tpp
Koderma
1500.00
Haryana
Center
Thermal
Coal
4657.00
0.98
1200.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
8451.00
1.11
1000.00
Jharkhand
Center
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
126.00
Meghalaya
State
Hydro
NA
189.00
0.00
1000.00
Himachal
Private
Hydro
NA
4036.00
0.00
1000.00
West Bengal
Center
Thermal
Coal
2243.00
1.39
1200.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
3622.00
1.05
Maithon Rb Tpp
1050.00
Jharkhand
Private
Thermal
Coal
4319.00
0.98
Mundra Umpp
4000.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Coal
11369.00
0.88
1320.00
Haryana
Private
Thermal
Coal
2859.00
0.95
90.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
510.00
1.29
90.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
507.00
1.32
Barkhera Tpp
90.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
522.00
1.33
Kundarki Tpp
90.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
462.00
1.31
Utraula Tpp
90.00
Uttar Pradesh
Private
Thermal
Coal
343.00
1.37
270.00
Chattisgarh
Private
Thermal
Coal
1241.00
1.11
Svpl
63.00
Chattisgarh
Private
Thermal
Coal
42.00
1.19
Katghora Tpp
35.00
Chattisgarh
Private
Thermal
Coal
49.00
1.19
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
657.00
1.19
1200.00
Gujarat
Private
Thermal
Coal
3800.00
1.02
351.00
Gujarat
State
Thermal
Gas
4.00
0.72
Center
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Myntdu
Karcham
Wangtoo
Durgapur Steel
Tps
Anapara "C"
Mahatma Gandhi
Tpp
Khamberkhera
Ipp
Maqsoodpur Ipp
Kasaipalli
Mihan Tpp
Salaya Tpp
Hazira-Gsecl
246.00
Mouda Stps
1000.00
Maharashtra
Tirora Tpp-I
1320.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
708.00
0.97
Private
Thermal
Gas
92.00
0.61
Palatana Ccpp
363.60
Tripura
270.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
5.00
1.89
Gepl
120.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
472.00
1.26
Chamera-Iii
231.00
Himachal
Center
Hydro
NA
713.00
0.00
Budhil
70.00
Himachal
Private
Hydro
NA
156.00
0.00
Chutak
44.00
Center
Hydro
NA
14.00
0.00
99.00
Jammu &
Kashmir
West Bengal
Center
Hydro
NA
0.00
0.00
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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143
Appendix
Name
Capacity
(Mw) as on
31/03/2012
State
Sector
Type
Fuel
Net
Generation
(GWh)
(2012-13)
Specific
Emissions
(TCO2/MWh)
(2012-13)
Private
Thermal
Coal
441.00
1.35
Private
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Bina Tpp
500.00
300.00
Madhya
Pradesh
Maharashtra
Mahadev Prasad
Stpp
Amaravati Tpp
540.00
Jharkhand
Private
Thermal
Coal
306.00
1.07
270.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
0.00
0.00
Emco Warora
Tpp
Ratija Tpp
300.00
Maharashtra
Private
Thermal
Coal
110.00
0.99
Chattisgarh
Private
Thermal
Coal
21.00
1.19
Pipavav Cccp
351.00
State
Thermal
Gas
0.00
0.00
50.00
Gujarat
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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144
Abbreviations
Abbreviations
APPC
ADB
AHEC
BM
Build Margin
CAGR
COS
Cost of Supply
CC
Captive Consumer(s)
CDM
CEA
CERC
CM
Combined Margin
CUF
CWET
DOA
Department of Agriculture
DOF
Department of Forest
DIF
DMRPS
DNI
DL
Distribution Licensees
EA 2003
EPC
EPS
EXIM
Export-Import
FOR
Forum of Regulators
FY
Financial Year
GBI
GDP
GHG
GHI
GoMP
GW
Giga Watt
HP
Horse Power
HT
High Tension
IDA
INR
Indian Rupee
IPCC
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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145
Abbreviations
IREDA
kV
Kilo-Volt
kWh
Kilowatt-hour
LM
Lantana Mexicana
LT
Low Tension
MEDA
MM
Millimeter
MNRE
MP
Madhya Pradesh
MPERC
MPPMCL
MPPTCL
MU
Million Units
MW
Mega Watt
MWh
NAPCC
NCEF
NEWNE
NREL
NTP
NVVN
OM
Operating Margin
PGCIL
PLF
PPA
PPP
Public-Private partnership
PSU
PV
Photo Voltaic
PWW
R&R
RE
Renewable Energy
REC
RPO
RFP
SECI
SERC
SHP
SLDC
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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146
Abbreviations
STLT
Street Lighting
TNERC
UNFCCC
VCS
VER
VOLL
WL
Waste Lands
Scale-up Plan for Grid Connected Renewable Energy Technologies - New and Renewable Energy Department, GoMP
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147
References
National Action Plan on Climate Change, last referred on December 3, 2013 at pmindia.nic.in/Pg01-52.pdf.
Information provided by non-Annex I Parties relating to Appendix II of the Copenhagen Accord, last referred
on April 02, 2014 at
https://unfccc.int/files/meetings/cop_15/copenhagen_accord/application/pdf/indiacphaccord_app2.pdf
3 National Action Plan on Climate Change, last referred on December 3, 2013 at pmindia.nic.in/Pg01-52.pdf.
18 Referred from the Photovoltaic Project Analysis by RET Screen
19 Data from Wasteland Atlas of India 2005-06
20 Data from Wasteland Atlas of India 2005-06
21 Data from Wasteland Atlas of India 2005-06
22 Information collected and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy12osti/51946.pdf
23 Wind Resource Assessment referred last on Feb 4, 2014 at http://www.mnre.gov.in/schemes/gridconnected/solar-thermal-2/
24 Wind Resource Assessment referred last on Feb 4, 2014 at http://www.mnre.gov.in/schemes/gridconnected/solar-thermal-2/
25 Data collected from India Wind Atlas at 50m height provided by C-WET
26 Data collected from India Wind Atlas at 80m height provided by C-WET
27 Information collected and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from
http://www.cwet.tn.nic.in/html/departments_wra.html
28 C-WET data extracted from Directory Indian Wind Power, 2013
29 C-WET data extracted from Directory Indian Wind Power, 2013
30 Data from Wasteland Atlas of India 2005-06
31 Data from Wasteland Atlas of India 2005-06
32 Information collected and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from
http://www.cwet.tn.nic.in/html/departments_wra.html
33 Data collected from Biomass Resource Atlas of India, A Project by MNRE, Under taken by CGPL, IISc
Bangalore
34 Data collected from Indian Renewable Energy Status Report 2010- A project by MNRE
35 Information provided by Department of Agriculture, Madhya Pradesh in Agricultural Statistics of Madhya
Pradesh
36 Tariff order for procurement of power from biomass based projects issued by MPERC on March 2012 and last
referred on Feb 5 , 2014 from http://www.mperc.nic.in/020312-SMP-77-2011-BiomassMarch-12.pdf
37 Tariff order for procurement of power from biomass based projects issued by MPERC on March 2012 and last
referred on Feb 5 , 2014 from http://www.mperc.nic.in/020312-SMP-77-2011-BiomassMarch-12.pdf
38 Tariff order for procurement of power from biomass based projects issued by MPERC on May 2013 and last
referred on Feb 5 , 2014 from http://www.mperc.nic.in/030513-SMPNo-08-2013.pdf
39 Information provided by Department of Agriculture, Madhya Pradesh
40 The Technical Feasibility of a Billion Ton Annual Study, US Department of Energy and US Department of
Agriculture, April 2005
41 Information sourced on discussion with experts of this sector
42 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
43 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
44 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
45 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
46 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
47 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
48 Information sourced from IISc and last referred on Feb 5 from
http://www.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy/paper/alternative/calorific.html
49 Information provided in Forest Survey of India last referred on Feb 5, 2014 and available on
http://www.mpforest.org/pdf/Atlas_FSI.pdf
a
Information provided in Forest Survey of India last referred on Feb 5, 2014 and available on
http://www.mpforest.org/pdf/Atlas_FSI.pdf
51 Information sourced and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from http://www.mpforest.org/
52 Based on the discussions with officials of Department of Forest, Madhya Pradesh
53 Normative parameters as defined by CERC in its RE Tariff Regulation, 2012
54 Information collected from MNRE Annual Report 2012-13
55 Information sourced and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from http://www.mprenewable.nic.in/hydro01.pdf
56 Information sourced from Annual Reports of AHEC
57 Information sourced and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from http://www.mprenewable.nic.in/hydro01.pdf
58 Information sourced and last referred on Feb 5, 2014 from http://www.mprenewable.nic.in/hydro01.pdf
45 Madhya Pradesh Power Management Company Limited, data collected for projecting energy demand by
2020.
46 Data collected from Electrical Inspectorate Office of Madhya Pradesh on captive generation from captive
generators.
47 Data collected from Electrical Inspectorate Office of Madhya Pradesh on captive generation from captive
generators.
48 Data collected from Electrical Inspectorate Office of Madhya Pradesh on on captive generation from captive
generators.
49 Aggregate Revenue Requirement and Retail Supply Tariff for 2013-14, last referred on December 18, 2013 at
http://www.mperc.nic.in/23032013-Tariff%20Order-March-2013.pdf.
50 Wind power policy, last referred on December 18, 2013 http://mpnred.com/Images/pdf/WindPolicy_english.pdf and Wind power policy, last referred on December 18, 2013
http://mpnred.com/Images/pdf/solar-power-policy-english.pdf.
51 New and Renewable Energy of Madhya Pradesh, presentation dated September 30,2013 last referred on
December 20, 2013 at http://mpnred.com/Home/Index.aspx.
66 Rank of Madhya Pradesh in terms of Geographical area, last referred on December 15, 2013 at
http://www.undp.org/content/india/en/home/operations/about_undp/undp-in-mp/about-mp/.
67 Tariff Order for Solar Energy Based Power Generation in Madhya Pradesh, last referred on December 3, 2013
at http://mperc.nic.in/010812-Tariff-Order-Solar-Energy.pdf.
68 Tariff Order for procurement of power from Wind Electric Generators, last referred on December 3, 2013
at http://mperc.nic.in/26032013-Wind-tariff-order.pdf.
50
Tariff Order for procurement of power from Biomass based power projects, last referred on December 3,
2013 at http://www.mperc.nic.in/020312-SMP-77-2011-BiomassMarch-12.pdf. The order considers CUF of
69
60% during stabilization, 70% during the remaining first year and 80% from second year onwards. However for
our calculations, we have considered 70% CUF for biomass projects considering the complexity of procurement
of the fuel and operations.
70 Tariff Order for procurement of power from Small Hydro power projects , last referred on December 3,
2013 at http://mperc.nic.in/170513-SMP-19-2013.pdf.
71 Information provided by non-Annex I Parties relating to Appendix II of the Copenhagen Accord, last referred
on April 02, 2014 at
https://unfccc.int/files/meetings/cop_15/copenhagen_accord/application/pdf/indiacphaccord_app2.pdf
72 National Action Plan on Climate Change, last referred on December 3, 2013 at pmindia.nic.in/Pg01-52.pdf.
73 Amended National Tariff Policy, 2006, last referred on December 2, 2013 at pib.nic.in/release/release.asp.
74 Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission, last referred on December 15, 2013 at
http://www.mnre.gov.in/file-manager/UserFiles/mission_document_JNNSM.pdf.
75 Rank of Madhya Pradesh in terms of Geographical area, last referred on December 15, 2013 at
http://www.undp.org/content/india/en/home/operations/about_undp/undp-in-mp/about-mp/.
76 Tool to calculate the grid emission factor for an electricity system, last referred on March 02, 2014 at
http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/PAmethodologies/tools/am-tool-07-v2.pdf/history_view
Tariff Order for Solar Energy Based Power Generation in Madhya Pradesh, last referred on December 3, 2013
at http://mperc.nic.in/010812-Tariff-Order-Solar-Energy.pdf.
78 Tariff Order for procurement of power from Wind Electric Generators, last referred on December 3, 2013
at http://mperc.nic.in/26032013-Wind-tariff-order.pdf.
77
Tariff Order for procurement of power from Biomass based power projects, last referred on December 3,
2013 at http://www.mperc.nic.in/020312-SMP-77-2011-BiomassMarch-12.pdf. The order considers CUF of
79
60% during stabilization, 70% during the remaining first year and 80% from second year onwards. However for
our calculations, we have considered 70% CUF for biomass projects considering the complexity of procurement
of the fuel and operations.
80 Tariff Order for procurement of power from Small Hydro power projects, last referred on December 3,
2013 at http://mperc.nic.in/170513-SMP-19-2013.pdf.
2014
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