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Overview of presentation
Background
Objective of paper
Summary/ Recommendations
Table 1. Growth rate of GDP and its components, 2004-2009
GNP g.r. GDP g.r. PCE g.r. GC g.r. CF g.r. X g.r. M g.r. NFIA g.r. Inflation * UnE rate UnderE rate
2004 6.9 6.4 5.9 1.4 7.2 15.0 5.8 13.5 6.0 10.9 16.9
2005 5.4 5.0 4.8 2.3 -8.8 4.8 2.4 10.7 7.6 7.4 21.2
2006 5.4 5.3 5.5 10.4 5.1 13.4 1.8 6.1 6.2 7.3 20.4
2007 7.5 7.1 5.8 6.6 12.4 5.4 -4.1 12.1 2.8 6.3 19.1
Q1 6.4 6.9 5.9 12.1 18.1 10.5 -1.8 1.4 2.2
Q2 9.1 8.3 5.6 8.9 17.4 4.2 -10.2 20.1 2.3
Q3 8.6 6.8 5.7 -2.6 5.3 3.3 -4.7 29.5 2.7
Q4 5.8 6.3 6.2 8.0 7.1 4.5 0.7 -0.2 3.9
2008 6.2 3.8 4.7 3.2 1.7 -1.9 2.4 30.8 9.3 6.8 17.5
Q1 6.4 3.9 5.1 -0.3 -1.7 -7.7 -2.6 36.2 6.4
Q2 5.6 4.2 4.1 0.0 13.6 6.1 0.0 15.8 11.4
Q3 6.2 4.6 4.4 11.8 9.4 3.3 6.7 22.6 11.2
Q4 6.7 2.9 5.0 2.5 -11.7 -11.5 5.0 51.2 8.0
2009 3.3 0.9 3.8 8.5 -9.9 -14.2 -5.8 23.3 3.3 7.1 19.4
Q1 4.4 0.4 1.3 4.5 -15.1 -14.7 -20.6 40.8 6.9
Q2 3.2 0.8 5.4 9.7 -10.3 -18.1 -2.2 23.9 3.2
Q3 3.1 0.4 3.2 8.1 -12.1 -13.0 0.1 26.1 0.3
Q4 2.4 1.8 5.1 12.1 -0.8 -10.0 -2.5 7.5 3.0
PCE - personal consumption expenditures; GC- government consumption,
CF - capital formaiton, X- exports, M- imports, NFIA - net factor income from abroad
UnE rate - unemployment rate, UnderE rate (based on October Labor Force Surveys)
* based on CPI
Table 2. Distribution of Households Reporting Being Worse Off as to the Sources of Vulnerability, 2004 APIS
(in percent)
Reason for being worse off
Lost Natural Increased Reduced Loss of Gov't
Income Decile Job/Work Disaster, Dr Food Price Poor Health Income No Savings Assist Others Total
Across deciles:
1 (poorest) 10.3 28.5 10.7 8.4 16.2 12.8 8.0 10.0 12.2
2 10.5 15.4 10.3 10.8 14.8 12.3 5.9 9.9 11.4
3 10.5 12.6 10.6 12.2 12.4 13.5 11.5 8.9 11.1
4 10.4 8.7 10.6 11.5 11.1 9.1 2.9 9.8 10.5
5 13.6 10.1 10.4 12.9 10.0 10.6 13.5 8.4 10.6
6 12.0 7.3 10.0 10.2 8.9 9.0 12.6 9.6 9.8
7 12.0 4.9 10.4 8.2 8.2 11.7 9.3 10.3 9.8
8 8.9 4.7 10.0 9.3 8.0 8.6 11.7 11.6 9.4
9 7.2 5.3 9.3 9.6 6.0 7.3 12.6 10.9 8.4
10 (richest) 4.5 2.6 7.8 6.9 4.4 5.1 11.9 10.4 6.8
All deciles 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
All deciles 8.2 3.0 53.9 5.8 19.2 3.8 0.4 5.4 100.0
54% of HHs worsed off because of increased food prices; 19% because of
reduced income; 8% because of lost of job; 6% because of poor health; 3%
because of natural disaster
Poorer HHs more vulnerable to risks and shocks
Focus:
Rice subsidy program
Food for School Program (FSP)
Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program (4Ps) - CCT
Tulong para sa Kuryente
Tulong para kay Lolo at Lola
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
& SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
Sources of finance
Operational subsidies from NG 4811 2,100 2,000
Other sources 10,977 2,900 41,095
Food-for-School Program
Food-for-School Program
Launched in Nov 2005 to mitigate hunger and
to improve school attendance
These numbers consistent with the fact that the FSP’s daily rice
ration during school days is just enough to cover about 63% of
the average rice consumption of a family with 5 members.
SOCIAL SAFETY NETS
& SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
government DepEd
DSWD
3,000
750
17.6
4.4
2,500
1,266
4.0
2.0
School-based feeding 348 2.0 581 0.9
spending on DepEd
DSWD
79
270
0.5
1.6
581 0.9
0.0
SP lower Pantawid Pamilyang Pilipino Program
Pantawid Kuryente
50 0.3
0.0
1,297
4,400
2.1
7.1
Crisis situations
Health shocks
PhilHealth - NG only 2,100 12.3 2,200 3.5
Compared to
PhilHealth - NG+LGU 3,300 3,500
Thank you.
Thank you.