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BACKGROUND
After two straight cycles of sweeping losses, national and state GOP leaders are desperately spinning a narrative about
an “enthusiasm gap” between the two Parties that will increase support for Republicans and even lead registered
Democrats to switch to the Republican Party. None of this is true – in fact, the numbers show just the opposite. Here
are the facts from the first two weeks of Ohio’s 35-day early voting period for the May primary election. Data is from 39
counties, including seven of the ten most populous counties, as current up to April 12, 2010i.
PARTY-SWITCHERS: DEMOCRATS HAVE SEEN A NET GAIN SINCE EARLY VOTING BEGAN.
Party-switchers make up a very small portion of the total number of ballots requested for the May 2010 Primary.
Total ballots requested ................................................................................................................355,458
Total Democrats requesting Republican ballots ............................................................................16,997
Total Republicans requesting Democratic ballots ...........................................................................2,743
Keeping in mind that 30,432 unaffiliated voters have requested Democratic Primary ballots, the Democratic Party has
seen a net gain of 13,435 registrants since early voting began.
30,432
Unaffiliated
Voters Registering
as Democrats
+
2,519,401
Registered Democrats
- 16,997
Party
Switchers
Furthermore, 54% of the 16,997 Party-switchers were registered Republicans prior to 2008. An additional 15 percent
of these Party-switchers were not affiliated with either Party prior to 2008. So 69% of the Party-switchers were never
really Democrats to start. In fact, nearly 3,600 of the Party-switchers were contacted by field staff and volunteers during
the 2008 presidential campaign and identified as John McCain supporters.
SUMMARY
Democratic momentum in Ohio continues to build for the sixth year in a row. Two years ago, more than twice as many
voters participated in the Democratic Primary than the Republican Primary. And those who are returning to their GOP
roots this year are being replaced by unaffiliated voters choosing to vote in a Democratic Primary for the first time. Ohio
Democrats still outnumber Republicans by a margin of 1.1 million, and the Democratic Party remains on track to cement
its status as the dominant Party in the state.
1
Data was collected from Cuyahoga, Franklin, Hamilton, Lucas, Montgomery, Stark, and Summit Counties on April 12. Data was collected from Ashtabula, Athens, Brown, Carroll,
Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton, Erie, Fairfield, Fayette, Gallia, Greene, Hardin, Harrison, Jefferson, Knox, Lake, Licking, Madison, Meigs, Morgan, Muskingum, Pickaway,
Ross, Seneca, Trumbull, Tuscarawas, Union, Warren, and Washington Counties on April 8.