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Advisory

PwC Mining Conference


2015 America's School of Mines
Driving value from capital investment strategy
through execution and into operations
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and Confidential
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6 PwC CP&I - Who we are and what we do

PwC Mining Conference

Discussion Leaders
Germn Milln
Partner
PwC CP&I, Santiago, Chile
german.millan@cl.pwc.com
+56 2 2940 0689

Germn is a Partner of PricewaterhouseCoopers and


part of PwCs global Capital Projects & Infrastructure
(CP&I) practice leadership team. He is responsible for
the CP&I practices activities in the Spanish-Speaking
Countries of South America.
He has over twenty years of experienced in project,
program and procurement management in both Latin
America and Europe. He has led and/or delivered
Technical, Project Management, Procurement,
Commercial, Facilities Management and specialized
Public Private Partnerships assignments.
Germn has also provided strategic advice, developed
estate management strategies, and led the development
of business plans and business cases for a number of
capital investment projects.
PwC Mining Conference
PwC

Brett Ryan Bisaga


P.E.
Director
PwC US (Philadelphia)
Brett.bisaga@us.pwc.com
+1 267 330 - 1784
Professional Engineer with 16 years experience
providing program, project, and construction
management services.
Structural Engineer with experience in the design,
project management and construction of several
complex capital projects with a BS - Civil
Engineering and BS Architectural Engineering.
Assist clients with the development and construction
of various mining infrastructure projects throughout
North and South America.
Recent South America mining experience includes
open pit extraction, copper and gold flotation,
leaching, flotation concentrator and solution
extraction (SX) and electrowinning (EW) facilities.

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PwC Mining Conference

Agenda

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Trends in the market


Increased selectivity for capital projects
Contracting Strategy
Reducing Risk
Case Studies and Sector Experience
PwC CP&I - Who we are and what we do

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PwC

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1 Trends in the market

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Trends in the market


Mining companies historically face significant
challenges developing and delivering capital
projects to meet the need for production while
balancing speed, profitability, and safety. Over
the last few years, PwC identified several core
differentiators to help mining clients drive value
even during times of commodity price decline
and limited capital investment.
PwC has identified three core differentiators
drive value.
1. Increased selectivity in capital
investments,
2. Commitment to capital discipline, and
3. Increased transparency, in costs and
performance
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1 Trends in the market

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Trends in the market


Increased focus on capital deployment on projects. Increased selectivity while
considering cash flow and capital efficiency.
We must be disciplined with our deployment of
physical and financial resources to focus on those
assets that will provide us with the greatest
returns and potential upside Mark Cutifani,
CEO Anglo American
Vale S.A. (Vale) announces that its Board of
Directors approved the investment budget for
2015, with capital expenditures of US$ 6.358
billion for project execution and US$ 3.809 billion
dedicated to sustaining existing operations.
This is the fourth consecutive year in which Vale
reduces its capital expenditures, maintaining
capital discipline and focusing only on world class
projects. - Vale CAPEX 2015 Report
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1 Trends in the market

PwC Mining Conference

Trends in the market


With primary focus on cost reduction, mining
clients require effective and agile decision making.
Reducing future production capacity and
neglecting capital investment may leave the
company in a weak position to react to
opportunities ahead. Emphasis on operational
excellence is crucial, but alignment between capital
investment programs and long-term strategy needs
to be maintained.
Todays discussion will focus on
1. Increased selectivity for capital projects
2. Implementing the appropriate
Contracting Strategy, and
3. Reducing Risk for the company

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2 Increased selectivity for capital projects

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Increased selectivity for


capital projects
Increasing the likelihood of success for a
capital project
- establish effective governance at
the outset

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2 Increased selectivity for capital projects

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Stage gate approval process


Capital Discipline and Governance are supported by a gated project development
process. Stage gate approval require incremental planning and design of projects, to
encourage orderly development of the project while enabling executives to make
informed decisions about interim funding authorizations and allowing for project
off-ramps prior to full funds authorization.
Project Lifecycle Stages

Pre-concept

Is the business
need
legitimate?

Does it
generate
sufficient
ROCE?

Prefeasibility

Concept

Do any
feasible
options
exist?

Is the best
option still
viable after
scoping?

Are lower
risk options
availably?

Can it be derisked?

Feasibility

Post-imp.
review
Operations

Construction

Engineering

Start-Up

Execution

Is best
option still
viable given
the refined
estimate?

Is there any
reason the
project
should not be
built?

Is the project
ready to begin
operation?

Is the project
ready to be
turned over?

Were
project
benefits
realized?

(ROCE,
capacity)

How well is the stage gate process understood, deployed,


monitored and updated for effectiveness?
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2 Increased selectivity for capital projects

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Portfolio Management Identifying Options

Financial metrics
Strategic
alignment
Risk

Embedded value

Who develops, confirms and updates the investment selection criteria and
prioritization based on constraints, long-term strategy, ROI and risk profile?
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2 Increased selectivity for capital projects

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More defined scope and quantified risk at FID


Pre-concept
Plan for
resources
Define roles
Define
success
criteria
Define
models and
scope

Concept
Identify
opportunities
and scenarios
Classify risks
Align
objectives
Identify quick
wins

Concept

Pre-feasibility

Feasibility

Quantify
economics
Define options
and portfolio
Rank by value,
risk and effort
required

Basic
engineering
Operations
plan
Risk plan
Contracting
Sanctioning

Pre-feasibility

Feasibility

Detailed
design
Plan and
logistics
Risk
management
Execution
Supervision
Measurement

Track plan
vs. real
Measurement
KPI
monitoring
Plan
correction

Implementation
Detailed Design Construction Operations

FID

Influence

Post Imp.
Review

Implementation

Cost

Front End Loading

Mechanical
Completion

Based on the investment selection criteria and long-term strategy are capital
projects receiving appropriate scope definition and risk identification?
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2 Increased selectivity for capital projects

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Three lines of defense within the delivery model


Oversight

Assurance

Project
Sponsor

Internal
Audit

Executive
Steering
Committee

External
Advisor

Execution

Project
Director

Project Controls

Engineering

Procurement

Contractor

Construction

Fabricators

Quality
Management

Commissioning

EHS

Material
Suppliers

Subcontractors

Are checks and balances in place to select, advance and execute the capital
portfolio?
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3 Contracting Strategy

Contracting
Strategy

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PwC

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We have a good
mining project, now
what?

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3 Contracting Strategy

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Organizational delivery capability


Ensure Readiness aligns with Contract Strategy

Integrate capital project planning and execution with corporate functions


Scale organization to align with planned and active projects
Establish transparency and early warning mechanisms
Create the framework and financial mechanisms for driving capital efficiency
Portfolio Management
Project Management and Controls
Strategic
Planning

Portfolio
Optimization

Project Planning

Project Accounting
Project Estimating & Costing Norms
HR
Management

Annual Planning & Budgeting Norms

Contractor
Management

P & SC
Management

Financial Management

Fully understand the internal capabilities before selecting any contracting


strategy
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3 Contracting Strategy

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Contracting strategy discussion overview


Contracts are risk allocation tools, but there
are limits to risks that can or should be
transferred to vendors.

Project Delivery Strategies


Traditional Design-Bid-Build/
Self-Perform
General Contractor DBB

Risk allocation should consider:

Which party is best capable of mitigating risks?


To what extent is the Owner willing to pay the
contractor for assuming risk?

Is the owner willing to transfer authority to


mitigate risk along with accountability for risk?

What controls are necessary to monitor risks


allocated to others?
Can the Owner enforce risk shifting contract
provisions that may be contrary to public policy
(i.e., No Damage for Delay clauses)?
Does the vendor have the financial capacity to
assume and mitigate risk allocated to it?

Construction Manager Agency


(CM in an Advisory Role) &
Engineer, Procure, Construction
Manage (EPCM)
Construction Manager At-Risk
Design-Build (EPC)

Contract Pricing Strategies


Fixed price / lump sum
Unit price
Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP)
Time & Materials (T&M)
Cost Plus Fee

Consider both project delivery and contract pricing strategies


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3 Contracting Strategy

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Our view of the drivers that impact a projects risk


environment
Different project, business, and market drivers define a capital projects risks,
which are allocated to project participants.
Project
drivers

Design maturity, cost v.


schedule driven, ROI
requirements

Risk
environment

Risk
allocation

Contract
strategy

Control
environment

Schedule

Mitigation
capability

Delivery
Strategy

Governance

Cost

Business
drivers

Market
drivers

Internal project
delivery capabilities,
risk tolerance, public
relations

Quality

Accountability
consideration

Pricing
Strategy

Production
and reliability

Tradeoffs

Award options

Contractor / skilled
labor shortages, supply
chain capacity,
regulatory
environment

Resource
availability

Project
management
processes
Project
execution
procedures
Contract
compliance

Key to successful project execution is the alignment between the selected contract
strategy and capabilities of organization, processes and system to establish and
manage the appropriate control environment throughout the project life cycle.
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3 Contracting Strategy

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Evaluating strategy options

Define strategies & drivers

Define project requirements

Analyze inputs &


choose best fit strategy

Identify gaps in strategy and


assess contract, control &
governance mitigation

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PwC

Define the available strategies (project delivery & contract


pricing) as well as the important drivers that will impact
selection of each.
Each strategy is ranked by its relative effectiveness to
implement each driver.

Define the project requirements with respect to each driver


chosen.

Analyze requirements in context of the drivers, and select


most appropriate strategy for each driver.
Choose the best fit strategy based on an aggregate view of the
most important drivers.

Identify gaps in the chosen strategy and the associated risks.


Based on the identified gaps and risks, assess contract, control
& governance mitigation measures that can be taken to
increase likelihood of project success.

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3 Contracting Strategy

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Owner or EPCM Project Management Systems & Tools


High Performing EPCMs:
Leverages multiple accelerators,
frameworks, tools and
proprietary methods.
Process and procedures based on
best practice, experience and
lessons learned.
Reporting tools that help the
team accelerate analytics and
early warnings

As a Result:
Timelines are shortened
Increased efficiencies at all
stages
Reduced disruption to
procurement, mobilization,
execution and start-up
Effort is more predictable,
Project Development has higher
level of confidence
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3 Contracting Strategy

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Owner or EPCM Project Management Systems & Tools

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4 Reducing Risk

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Reducing
Risk

Increasing the likelihood of success


for a capital project
- Promote a risk based
management approach with
enhanced decision support

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4 Reducing Risk

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Establish consistent requirements


Governance protocols and common processes should be established
with a defined hierarchy that takes into account all types of capital
projects across the organization.

Portfolio Oversight Policy

Project Procedure
Manual

Project Execution
Plan

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Portfolio Oversight Policy (POP)


Corporate standards applied to all projects
within the capital project portfolio.
Project Procedure Manual (PPM)
The PPM includes detailed processes,
procedures, standards and requirements.
Project Execution Plan (PEP)
The PEP is the detailed execution plan for each
of the projects within the portfolio.

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4 Reducing Risk

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Implement playbook document framework

Policies

Mandates compliance with the Stage Gate Process


for large projects; defines the model for project
segmentation

Standards

Defines mandatory project management


requirements by project stage (project scope, cost
estimating, scheduling, project GOES, risk
analysis, etc.)

Implementation
Guides

Provides instructions, examples, and best


practices on how to meet the requirements within
the Standard

Templates

Provide the documentation for the business case,


technical, and project management requirements
(Project Charter, Project Execution Plan, Risk
Register, Dashboards, etc.)

Training

Educates project stakeholders on clients Project


Delivery System including Policy, Standard,
Implementation Guide and Templates

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4 Reducing Risk

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Establish chain of custody Time management


Integrated schedules that provide visibility to the time management
from the work face of a sub-project through the required project
management levels up to the highest level portfolio summaries
Portfolio- high level overview for
project schedules within the portfolio
Program - Level 1 schedules with some
level of integration between projects
Project Level 2 schedule integrated
with all sub project data
Detail Detailed level 3-4 schedules
using standard coding for activities at
the work face for sub-projects

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4 Reducing Risk

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Estimating uncertainty and scope definition


Recognizing the direct correlation between estimate accuracy and the level of
project definition (design) [need for appropriate contingency]

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4 Reducing Risk

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Consider equipment lead times and labor supply


Heavy equipment lead time
Grinding mills
Locomotives
Barges
Draglines
Ship
Loaders
Crushers

Worse case delivery time

Large Haul trucks

Current delivery time

Tyres

Normal delivery time

Reclaimers
Rope Shovels
Wagons
Gas generators
0

Lead time outlook (years)

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4 Reducing Risk

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Quantitative Risk Management


All estimates include assumptions.

Expected
Value
(Estimate)
0.12

Contingency is;

Contingency

- a recognition that project costs are likely


to exceed the base estimate due to
known-unknowns
Contingency is not;

0.1

Confidence

- a risk-based estimate of unforeseeable


factors in defined scope.

0.08

0.06

0.04

- an allowances for escalation, unforeseen,


revised or additional work scopes
(unknown-unknowns)

0.02

13.2
13.5
13.7
14.0
14.2
14.4
14.7
14.9
15.2
15.4
15.7
15.9
16.2
16.4
16.7
16.9
17.2
17.4
17.6
17.9
18.1

- a "cushion" or a "safety net." Expect to


spend it during execution.

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80%
Confidence

Estimated Cost $M

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4 Reducing Risk

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Comprehensive Cost to Complete Modeling

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4 Reducing Risk

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Cost variance monitoring


Earned Value and Quantitative Risk
Assessment tools provide insight into
project performance, trending and cost
growth to enable:
Confirmation of base estimate and targets
The ability to develop effective mitigation
measures to minimize impact or avoid
risks
Prioritization of mitigation actions would
most efficiently benefit the project
Allow cost overruns and deviations to be
quickly identified and investigated
Allows drilling down into cost variances by
Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) detail
Focus on top risks driving the project.
Focus on disciplines, areas of project
driving cost deviations.

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4 Reducing Risk

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Schedule Analytics Beyond Critical Path


Constraint analysisidentify areas of
potential schedule manipulation and
constraints
Changing logic, open ends and logic
integrity over time preferential logic,
excessive leads and lags
Criticality over timeFloat is a relative,
quantifiable value which can and should be
treated as a resource.
Float degradation float reduction over
time, sub-critical path monitoring, pacing
and concurrent delays

Activity duration analysis - original and


actual durations over time and excessive
activity durations.

100
90

Number of Activities Scheduled to Complete

Float density analysisprovides insight


into areas of the schedule that are
compressing at risk of delay

80
70

60
50
40

30
20
10
0

11/23/2010

12/20/2010

1/24/2011

2/21/2011

3/21/2011

4/25/2011

5/23/2011

7/25/2011

Activity level variance planned vs asbuilt start/finish date tracking

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5 Case Studies and Sector Experience

Case Studies
and Sector
Experience

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PwC

PwC Mining Conference

Increasing the likelihood of success for a


capital project
- Lessons Learned from Mistakes of
Others

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5 Case Studies and Sector Experience

PwC Mining Conference

Recent PwC CP&I Mining Experience


Client

Project Location

Project Attributes

Project Cost

Type of Engagement

Global
Mining
Company

Peru

Our client acquired the greenfield mining Project


from another mining company including the
construction of all of the facilities required to
process copper ore from mineralization through to
a new sulfide flotation concentrator at a rate of
140,000 tonnes of ore per day. As well as all
associated processing, transportation, and
infrastructure supporting facilities.
The project includes the construction of a newbuild community, to resettle displaced area
residents

+$7.0 B USD

Cost Review focused on the


increased EAC during and
following the due diligence
period

North
American
Mining
Company

Republic of Panama

Largest base metal reserve open pit, greenfield


mine with main earthworks, port, process and
power plants, coastal road, pipeline, balance of
plant and tailings management facility

$6.2 B USD

Project Excellence Baseline


Governance and Controls
Review
Developed IA plan for
quarterly deep dive reviews

Global Gold
Mining
Company

Islamic Republic of
Mauritania (West
Africa)

New processing facility with primary crushing,


grinding, gravity separation, 38,000 t/d Carbon In
Leach (CIL) capacity, CIL circuit, thickening and
cyanide destruction, and reagents mixing, storage
and distribution.
Upgrade and expansion to existing facilities,
infrastructure and utilities.

$1.77 B USD

Project Excellence
Governance and Controls
Review for Internal Audit
and Executive Steering
Committee

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5 Case Studies and Sector Experience

PwC Mining Conference

Recent PwC CP&I Mining Experience


Client

Project Location

Project Attributes

Project Cost

Type of Engagement

North
American
Mining
Company

Canada

Brownfield mine expansion from 7.1Mtpa to


14.3Mtpa including pre-stripping new pits, mine
development and mobile equipment, concentrator,
infrastructure, environmental upgrades, tailings
management, port and rail.
Due to iron ore pricing volatility project was
delayed. PwC helped with the restart efforts.

$1.14 B CAN

Restart assessment of work


completed, contract closure ,
and governance and controls
assessment. Contract
strategy support.
Conducted a quantitative
risk assessment of the restart
estimate.
Developed risk management
process and procedures.

Global
Financial
Organization

Quebec

Greenfield project including road, airfield, open pit


mine and processing equipment

$900M CAD

Project Excellence
Governance and Controls
Review

Global
Mining
Company

Canada

Hematite direct ore project that consists of mining,


crushing, washing, screening and shipping the
sinter fines and pellet fines to our clients Steel's
European steel making facilities.

$453 M CAD

Project governance, budget,


forecast, schedule and risk
review, as well as an internal
controls review.

Global
Mining
Company

Chile

Design and construction of a leach pad, solution


extraction (SX) and electrowinning (EW) facilities
with a capacity to produce 40,000 tonnes annually
of high quality copper cathode from the oxide ore

$450 M USD

Readiness Assessment,
Business Case review and
contracting strategy /
procurement review.

North
American
Mining
Company

United States

Project is an open pit gold mine that delivers sulfide


ore to a 7,000 tpd (short tons per day) grinding,
flotation, cyanide leach, carbon handling and
refining facility.

$329 M USD

Project Excellence Readiness


Assessment

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PwC

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6 PwC CP&I - Who we are and what we do

PwC Mining Conference

PwC CP&I - Who we are and what we do

PwC Mining Conference


PwC

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6 PwC CP&I - Who we are and what we do

PwC Mining Conference

PwCs mining practice


- PwC is the worlds leading adviser to the mining industry,
serving more of the worlds top global mining companies than
any other professional firm.

PwC Mining CoEs


specialised Mining teams

- More than 80 percent of the worlds mining companies are our


clients.

- Our strength serving the global mining industry comes from the
skills, experience and strong interconnectivity we maintain
among our 1,700 mining professionals globally.
- Mining companies in the various regions can benefit from our
Mining Centers of Excellence (CoEs) and the specialised
work of our teams in all significant mining territories.

- Operational, Financial and Technology


specialists work with our clients to achieve their
unique goals, with a strong focus on change
management, sustainable savings and knowledge
transfer.
- To keep miners abreast of industry issues and
opportunities, our mining professionals share
perspectives on emerging trends, best practices,
methodologies and approaches in our mining
thought leadership series and publications.
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6 PwC CP&I - Who we are and what we do

PwC Mining Conference

PwCs Capital Projects & Infrastructure (CP&I) practice


PwCs CP&I practice is represented by over 700 practitioners worldwide encompassing civil, environmental, mechanical
and chemical engineers as well as project management, construction, accounting, litigation and IT professionals. This
network of professionals allows us to provide our clients with:

Energy, mining, and power and utilities industry focus;

Experienced group of portfolio, program and project controls specialists;

Large scale capital project execution and forensic analysis expertise; and

Diverse perspective from our international client base across industries and sectors.

PwC CP&I team serves the full asset life cycle from strategy through execution.

Exploration

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Planning and
Design

Execution
and Testing

Maintenance
& Operations

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Rehab

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Thank you...
pwc.com/cpi

2015 PricewaterhouseCoopers Consultores, Auditores y Compaa Limitada. Todos los


derechos reservados. Prohibida su reproduccin total o parcial. PwC se refiere a la red de
firmas miembros de PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, cada una de las cuales es
una entidad legal separada e independiente.

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