All results are for release after 9:00 AM/ET Sunday, April 10, 2016.

NEW YORK
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and
Shaw & Company Research (R).
The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers April 4-7, 2016 among a random
state sample of 1,403 New York likely primary voters. Respondents were screened to identify
likely primary voters.
Results for the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Results
for the 801 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5
percentage points and results for the 602 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of error
of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Landline (748) and cellphone (655) numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file
of registered New York voters using a probability proportionate to size method. This simply
means phone numbers are proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions
across the state of New York. Fieldwork conducted by Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, NJ.
An asterisk (*) is used for percentages of less than one-half percent.
A dash (-) represents a value of zero.
Some results may not add to 100% due to rounding.

1.

First, have you already voted in the presidential primary, either by early voting or by
sending in an absentee ballot? IF YES: Did you vote in the Democratic primary or the
Republican primary?

4-7 Apr 16
2.

Yes, already voted Yes, already voted

Democratic
Republican
5%
3

No
92

(Dont know/
Refused)
-

How likely is it that you will vote in the New York presidential primary April 19 -- will
you definitely vote in the primary, probably vote in the primary, probably not vote, or
definitely not vote? [IF DEFINITELY OR PROBABLY] Will you vote in the
Democratic or the Republican primary?

4-7 Apr 16

----- Democratic ----Definitely

Probably
79%
21

----- Republican ----Definitely

Probably
81
19

(Dont know)
-

[Q3-5 IF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q1 AND Q2, N=602]

3.
[IF ALREADY VOTED] Who did you vote for in the Republican primary? [IF
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q2] If the Republican presidential primary were held
today, which one of the following candidates would you support? [IF NOT SURE,
ASK: Well, if you had to decide today, which one would you choose?]
[RANDOMIZE LIST]

Donald Trump
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

4-7 Apr 16
N=602
54%
22
15
1
2
6

[SKIP IF ALREADY VOTED IN REPUBLICAN PRIMARY & CODE AS CERTAIN]

4.
Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and
support someone else? [If dont know: re-read question and probe for answer]
4-7 Apr 16
Certain
May change
(Dont know)
GOP primary voters
70%
23
7
Trump supporters
83%
15
2
Kasich supporters
63%
37
-

[IF DONT KNOW IN Q3, SKIP AND CODE AS DONT KNOW]

5.
And which Republican would be your second choice? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if
you had to decide today, which one would you choose?]
[ONLY READ LIST IF REQUESTED. READ IN SAME ORDER AS Q3. DO NOT
ACCEPT CHOICE FROM Q3.]

Donald Trump
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

First
choice
54%
22
15
1
2
6

Second
choice
10%
31
24
2
23
9

Trump
supporters
N/A
40%
26
2
28
4

Kasich
supporters
26%
N/A
44
2
25
3

[Q6-7 IF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY IN Q1 OR Q2, N=801]

6.
[IF ALREADY VOTED] Who did you vote for in the Democratic primary? [IF
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY IN Q2] If the Democratic presidential primary were held
today, which one of the following candidates would you support? [IF NOT SURE,
ASK: Well, if you had to decide today, which one would you choose?]
[ROTATE NAMES]

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Dont know)

4-7 Apr 16
N=801
53%
37
*
3
6

[SKIP IF ALREADY VOTED IN DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY & CODE AS CERTAIN]

7.
Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and
support someone else? [If dont know: re-read question and probe for answer]
4-7 Apr 16
Certain
May change
(Dont know)
Dem primary voters
77%
17
7
Clinton supporters
85%
14
1
Sanders supporters
79%
20
1

[RESUME ALL]
8.-9.

10.

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates
were: [IF DONT KNOW] Well, which way do you lean? [ROTATE NAMES]

4-7 Apr 16
Dem primary voters
GOP primary voters

Democrat
Bernie
Sanders
54%
81%
18%

Republican
Donald
Trump
35
8
71

(Other)
2
1
2

(Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)

5
4
5
4
6
3

4-7 Apr 16
Dem primary voters
GOP primary voters

Democrat
Hillary
Clinton
53%
82%
14%

Republican
Donald
Trump
37
9
74

(Other)
2
2
2

(Wouldnt vote) (Dont know)

5
3
4
3
6
3

If Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in
November, would you:

4-7 Apr 16
Dem primary voters
GOP primary voters
Trump supporters
Kasich supporters
Clinton supporters
Sanders supporters

Be satisfied with
voting for one or
the other,
72%
74%
69%
88%
45%
89%
60%

Seriously consider Or just not cast

voting for a third
a vote for
party candidate, president at all? (Dont know)
19
5
3
17
5
4
22
5
3
8
3
2
45
9
1
6
3
2
30
6
4

Fox News Poll -- Margin of Error for Subgroups

The Fox News Poll was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R).
The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers April 4-7, 2016 among a random state sample of
1,403 New York likely primary voters. Respondents were screened to identify likely primary voters. Results
for the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Results for the 801 likely
Democratic primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and results for the 602
likely Republican primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Results among the attached subgroups have larger sampling errors:
New York Likely Primary Voters
+/- 2.5%
Overall Sample:
--+/- 3.5%
Democrats:
+/- 4%
Republicans:
--+/- 3.5%
Men:
+/- 3.5%
Women:
--+/- 3%
White:
+/- 7%
Black:
--+/- 3%
College Degree:
+/- 4%
No College Degree:
--+/- 7.5%
Under Age 35:
+/- 5%
Age 35-54:
+/- 3%
Age 55+:
+/- 4.5%
Age 65+:
--+/- 5%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 3%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 4%
Liberal:
+/- 7%
Very Conservative:
--+/- 3.5%
Dem Primary Voters:
+/- 4%
GOP Primary Voters:

Republican Primary Voters +/- 4%

--+/- 5%
Men:
+/- 6%
Women:
--+/- 5.5%
White Men:
+/- 6%
White Women:
--+/- 5%
College Degree:
+/- 6%
No College Degree:
--+/- 9%
Under Age 45:
+/- 4%
Age 45+:
--+/- 9%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 5%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 8%
Very Conservative:
--+/- 4%
Republican:

Democratic Primary Voters +/- 3.5%

--+/- 5%
Men:
+/- 4.5%
Women:
--+/- 4%
White:
+/- 7.5%
Black:
--+/- 4%
College Degree:
+/- 5.5%
No College Degree:
--+/- 7%
Under Age 45:
+/- 4%
Age 45+:
--+/- 6.5%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 4.5%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 4%
Liberal:
--+/- 3.5%
Democrat:

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

1. First, have you already voted in the presidential primary, either by early voting or by sending in an
absentee ballot?

Yes, already voted Democratic

Yes, already voted Republican
No
(Don't know/Refused)

Yes, already voted Democratic

Yes, already voted Republican
No
(Don't know/Refused)

Total
5%
3%
92%
-

Total
5%
3%
92%
-

Dem
8%
*%
91%
-

Rep
*%
6%
94%
-

Under
Age 35
6%
4%
90%
-

Men
5%
4%
91%
-

Women
5%
2%
93%
-

35-54
3%
2%
95%
-

White
4%
3%
93%
-

55+
5%
3%
92%
-

College
Degree
4%
3%
93%
-

Black
7%
3%
90%
Under
$50k
8%
3%
90%
-

65+
5%
3%
91%
-

$50k+
4%
3%
93%
-

No
Degree
6%
3%
92%
-

Lib
6%
1%
92%
-

Very
Cons
4%
6%
90%
-

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the Pennsylvania presidential primary April 26 -- will you definitely
vote in the primary, probably vote in the primary, probably not vote, or definitely not vote?

Definitely vote in Democratic

primary
Probably vote in Democratic primary
Definitely vote in Republican
primary
Probably vote in Republican primary
Probably not vote in primary
Definitely not vote in primary
(Not sure)

Definitely vote in Democratic

primary
Probably vote in Democratic primary
Definitely vote in Republican
primary
Probably vote in Republican primary
Probably not vote in primary
Definitely not vote in primary
(Not sure)

Total
45%

Dem
76%

Rep
6%

Men
42%

Women
48%

White
37%

Black
75%

College
Degree
48%

No
Degree
40%

12%
35%

19%
4%

2%
76%

10%
39%

13%
32%

10%
43%

16%
6%

11%
35%

12%
36%

8%
-

2%
-

16%
-

10%
-

7%
-

10%
-

2%
-

6%
-

12%
-

Total
45%

Under
Age 35
48%

35-54
42%

55+
45%

65+
46%

Under
$50k
50%

$50k+
43%

Lib
70%

Very
Cons
16%

12%
35%

21%
18%

10%
41%

10%
37%

11%
33%

16%
28%

11%
37%

17%
9%

3%
76%

8%
-

13%
-

7%
-

7%
-

9%
-

6%
-

8%
-

4%
-

6%
-

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

3. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would you
support?

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
15%
22%
54%
1%
2%
6%

Total
15%
22%
54%
1%
2%
6%

Men
16%
18%
59%
1%
1%
4%

Women
14%
26%
49%
1%
3%
8%

Under
Age 45
21%
17%
54%
3%
1%
4%

White
Men
16%
18%
61%
1%
1%
5%

White
Women
15%
25%
48%
1%
2%
9%

College
Degree
16%
26%
49%
2%
2%
6%

45+
14%
23%
55%
*%
2%
6%

Under
$50k
15%
15%
59%
1%
2%
8%

$50k+
17%
22%
55%
1%
1%
5%

No
Degree
14%
16%
62%
1%
6%
Very
Cons
19%
12%
61%
1%
5%

Rep
16%
19%
57%
1%
2%
6%

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

4. Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else?

Certain
May change
(Don't know)

Certain
May change
(Don't know)

Total
70%
23%
7%

Total
70%
23%
7%

Men
72%
23%
5%

Women
68%
24%
8%

Under
Age 45
59%
32%
8%

White
Men
72%
22%
6%

White
Women
66%
25%
8%

College
Degree
73%
21%
6%

45+
73%
21%
6%

Under
$50k
62%
29%
8%

$50k+
74%
21%
5%

White
Men
25%
33%
13%
2%
20%
6%

White
Women
23%
33%
8%
1%
22%
13%

College
Degree
26%
29%
11%
3%
23%
8%

45+
24%
30%
10%
2%
25%
9%

Under
$50k
26%
29%
8%
1%
23%
13%

$50k+
24%
34%
11%
2%
23%
6%

No
Degree
66%
26%
7%
Very
Cons
75%
17%
8%

Rep
70%
23%
7%

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

5. And which Republican would be your second choice?

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
24%
31%
10%
2%
23%
9%

Total
24%
31%
10%
2%
23%
9%

Men
25%
32%
12%
2%
23%
6%

Women
23%
30%
8%
2%
24%
12%

Under
Age 45
26%
35%
9%
3%
18%
9%

No
Degree
23%
34%
8%
1%
23%
10%
Very
Cons
24%
30%
14%
2%
23%
7%

Rep
24%
32%
11%
2%
21%
9%

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

6. If the Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would you
support?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
(Other)
(None of the above)
(Don't know)

Total
53%
37%
*%
3%
6%

Total
53%
37%
*%
3%
6%

Men
43%
47%
1%
4%
6%

Women
61%
30%
*%
2%
6%

Under
Age 45
41%
52%
1%
2%
4%

White
51%
38%
1%
4%
5%

Black
61%
29%
1%
8%

College
Degree
54%
37%
1%
1%
6%

No
Degree
51%
38%
6%
6%

45+
58%
31%
*%
3%
7%

Under
$50k
52%
40%
2%
6%

$50k+
55%
36%
1%
3%
6%

Lib
53%
41%
*%
2%
5%

Dem
57%
36%
1%
6%

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

7. Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else?

Certain
May change
(Don't know)

Certain
May change
(Don't know)

Total
77%
17%
7%

Total
77%
17%
7%

Men
78%
15%
7%

Women
76%
18%
6%

Under
Age 45
78%
18%
4%

White
76%
17%
8%

Black
76%
19%
5%

College
Degree
78%
16%
6%

No
Degree
76%
17%
7%

45+
76%
16%
8%

Under
$50k
79%
15%
5%

$50k+
77%
17%
6%

Lib
79%
16%
4%

Dem
79%
16%
5%

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

8. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Bernie Sanders

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrat Bernie Sanders

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
54%
35%
2%
5%
4%

Total
54%
35%
2%
5%
4%

Dem
85%
5%
1%
5%
3%

Rep
15%
74%
2%
5%
3%

Under
Age 35
71%
21%
2%
4%
2%

Men
48%
42%
2%
4%
4%

Women
59%
28%
2%
7%
4%

35-54
52%
38%
1%
6%
4%

White
46%
43%
1%
5%
3%

55+
51%
37%
2%
6%
4%

College
Degree
58%
32%
1%
6%
4%

Black
83%
7%
2%
6%
3%

65+
52%
34%
2%
6%
5%

Under
$50k
62%
28%
2%
5%
4%

No
Degree
49%
40%
2%
5%
3%

$50k+
53%
37%
1%
5%
3%

Lib
84%
8%
1%
5%
2%

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

8. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Bernie Sanders

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrat Bernie Sanders

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
18%
71%
2%
6%
3%

Total
18%
71%
2%
6%
3%

Men
13%
78%
1%
5%
3%

Women
23%
64%
3%
6%
4%

Under
Age 45
22%
64%
2%
8%
4%

White
Men
11%
81%
1%
5%
2%

White
Women
24%
64%
3%
6%
3%

College
Degree
20%
68%
2%
7%
3%

45+
17%
73%
2%
5%
3%

Under
$50k
23%
71%
1%
2%
3%

$50k+
16%
73%
3%
5%
3%

No
Degree
15%
76%
2%
4%
3%
Very
Cons
4%
90%
1%
5%
1%

Rep
14%
76%
2%
6%
3%

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

8. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Bernie Sanders

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrat Bernie Sanders

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
81%
8%
1%
5%
4%

Total
81%
8%
1%
5%
4%

Men
81%
10%
2%
3%
5%

Women
81%
6%
1%
8%
4%

Under
Age 45
90%
5%
2%
3%
1%

White
78%
11%
1%
5%
4%

Black
89%
2%
1%
6%
3%

College
Degree
84%
7%
1%
5%
4%

No
Degree
78%
10%
2%
6%
4%

45+
78%
9%
1%
7%
5%

Under
$50k
81%
7%
3%
6%
4%

$50k+
84%
8%
1%
4%
3%

Lib
90%
2%
*%
5%
2%

Dem
86%
4%
1%
5%
3%

Very
Cons
17%
76%
1%
6%
1%

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

9. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
53%
37%
2%
5%
3%

Total
53%
37%
2%
5%
3%

Dem
86%
6%
2%
3%
2%

Rep
10%
77%
3%
7%
3%

Under
Age 35
66%
23%
4%
6%
1%

Men
44%
46%
1%
6%
3%

Women
61%
29%
3%
4%
3%

35-54
50%
39%
3%
5%
3%

White
45%
46%
2%
4%
3%

55+
51%
40%
1%
4%
3%

College
Degree
57%
33%
2%
5%
3%

Black
84%
8%
2%
4%
2%

65+
54%
37%
1%
4%
4%

Under
$50k
58%
31%
2%
5%
4%

No
Degree
47%
43%
2%
5%
4%

$50k+
52%
39%
2%
5%
2%

Lib
83%
10%
2%
3%
2%

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

9. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
14%
74%
2%
6%
3%

Total
14%
74%
2%
6%
3%

Men
9%
81%
1%
6%
3%

Women
20%
67%
3%
6%
4%

Under
Age 45
24%
68%
2%
5%
2%

White
Men
7%
83%
2%
5%
2%

White
Women
20%
66%
3%
6%
4%

College
Degree
17%
71%
3%
7%
3%

45+
12%
76%
2%
6%
4%

Under
$50k
13%
77%
1%
2%
6%

$50k+
13%
75%
3%
6%
2%

No
Degree
11%
79%
2%
4%
4%
Very
Cons
1%
91%
7%
1%

Rep
10%
78%
3%
6%
3%

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

9. If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Democrat Hillary Clinton

Republican Donald Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn't vote)
(Don't know)

Total
82%
9%
2%
4%
3%

Total
82%
9%
2%
4%
3%

Men
76%
14%
2%
5%
3%

Women
86%
6%
2%
3%
3%

Under
Age 45
84%
6%
3%
6%
2%

White
79%
14%
1%
3%
2%

Black
91%
2%
2%
3%
2%

College
Degree
85%
8%
2%
3%
2%

No
Degree
78%
12%
1%
5%
4%

45+
81%
11%
1%
3%
3%

Under
$50k
80%
9%
2%
6%
3%

$50k+
84%
9%
2%
3%
1%

Lib
89%
4%
2%
3%
2%

Dem
88%
5%
1%
3%
2%

Very
Cons
15%
77%
7%
1%

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

10. If Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in November, would you:

Be satisfied with voting for one or

the other,
Seriously consider voting for a
third party candidate,
Or just not cast a vote for
president at all?
(Don't know)

Be satisfied with voting for one or

the other,
Seriously consider voting for a
third party candidate,
Or just not cast a vote for
president at all?
(Don't know)

Total
72%

Dem
76%

Rep
68%

Men
72%

Women
73%

White
73%

Black
74%

College
Degree
73%

No
Degree
71%

19%

15%

23%

19%

19%

19%

18%

20%

18%

5%

5%

5%

6%

4%

5%

7%

5%

6%

3%

4%

3%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

6%

Total
72%

Under
Age 35
59%

35-54
74%

55+
75%

65+
74%

Under
$50k
74%

$50k+
73%

Lib
76%

Very
Cons
79%

19%

30%

21%

16%

15%

17%

19%

17%

12%

5%

9%

3%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

3%

2%

2%

4%

6%

4%

2%

2%

3%

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

10. If Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in November, would you:

Be satisfied with voting for one or

the other,
Seriously consider voting for a
third party candidate,
Or just not cast a vote for
president at all?
(Don't know)

Be satisfied with voting for one or

the other,
Seriously consider voting for a
third party candidate,
Or just not cast a vote for
president at all?
(Don't know)

Total
69%

Men
72%

Women
67%

White
Men
75%

White
Women
65%

College
Degree
67%

No
Degree
72%

22%

19%

26%

17%

26%

26%

17%

5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

5%

6%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

5%

Total
69%

Under
Age 45
66%

45+
70%

Under
$50k
75%

$50k+
68%

Very
Cons
82%

Rep
69%

22%

29%

21%

17%

24%

11%

23%

5%

4%

6%

4%

6%

4%

5%

3%

2%

3%

5%

2%

2%

3%

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

10. If Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in November, would you:

Be satisfied with voting for one or

the other,
Seriously consider voting for a
third party candidate,
Or just not cast a vote for
president at all?
(Don't know)

Be satisfied with voting for one or

the other,
Seriously consider voting for a
third party candidate,
Or just not cast a vote for
president at all?
(Don't know)

Total
74%

Men
71%

Women
77%

White
76%

Black
76%

College
Degree
77%

No
Degree
69%

17%

18%

16%

17%

14%

16%

18%

5%

7%

4%

5%

7%

4%

6%

4%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

6%

Total
74%

Under
Age 45
67%

45+
77%

Under
$50k
73%

$50k+
77%

Lib
78%

Dem
77%

17%

23%

14%

17%

16%

16%

15%

5%

7%

4%

6%

5%

4%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

2%

2%

4%