California Fox Poll - 4-22-16

All results are for release after 6:00PM/ET Friday, April 22, 2016.
CALIFORNIA
The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and
Shaw & Company Research (R).
The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers April 18-21, 2016 among a random
state sample of 1,206 California likely primary voters. Respondents were screened to identify
likely primary voters.
Results for the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Results
for the 623 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 4
percentage points and results for the 583 likely Republican primary voters have a margin of error
of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Landline (607) and cellphone (599) numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file
of registered California voters using a probability proportionate to size method. This simply
means phone numbers are proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions
across the state of California.
Republican primary voters were randomly selected from all registered Republicans statewide.
Democratic primary voters were randomly selected from all registered Democrats as well as
voters who declined to state a party preference on their voter registration (no party preference
or unenrolled voters).
Fieldwork conducted by Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, NJ.
An asterisk (*) is used for percentages of less than one-half percent.
A dash (-) represents a value of zero.
Some results may not add to 100% due to rounding.
1.
How likely is it that you will vote in the California presidential primary June 7 -- will you
definitely vote in the primary, probably vote in the primary, probably not vote, or
definitely not vote? [IF DEFINITELY OR PROBABLY] Will you vote in the
Democratic or the Republican primary?
----- Democratic --------- Republican ----Definitely
Probably
Definitely
Probably
(Dont know)
18-21 Apr 16
44%
8
41
7
-
[Q2-4 IF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q1, N=583]

2.
If the Republican presidential primary were held today, which one of the following
candidates would you support? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if you had to decide today,
which one would you choose?] [RANDOMIZE LIST]
18-21 Apr 16
Donald Trump
49%
Ted Cruz
22
John Kasich
20
(Other)
*
(None of the above)
1
(Dont know)
7
3.
Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and
support someone else? [If dont know: re-read question and probe for answer]
18-21 Apr 16
Certain
May change
(Dont know)
GOP primary voters
66%
28
6
Trump supporters
73%
25
2
Cruz supporters
75%
24
1
Kasich supporters
64%
35
1
[IF DONT KNOW IN Q2, SKIP AND CODE AS DONT KNOW]

4.
And which Republican would be your second choice? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if
you had to decide today, which one would you choose?] [ONLY READ LIST IF
REQUESTED. READ IN SAME ORDER AS Q2. DO NOT ACCEPT CHOICE
FROM Q2.]
First
Second
Trump
Cruz
Kasich
choice
choice
supporters
supporters
supporters
Donald Trump
49%
13%
N/A
37%
24%
Ted Cruz
22
29
40%
N/A
44
John Kasich
20
28
36
45
N/A
(Other)
*
3
3
3
4
(None of the above)
1
17
17
10
26
(Dont know)
7
11
3
6
2
[Q5-6 IF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY IN Q1, N=623]

5.
If the Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following
candidates would you support? [IF NOT SURE, ASK: Well, if you had to decide today,
which one would you choose?]
[ROTATE NAMES]
18-21 Apr 16
Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
46
(Other)
(None of the above)
1
(Dont know)
5
6.
Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and
support someone else? [If dont know: re-read question and probe for answer]
18-21 Apr 16
Certain
May change
(Dont know)
Dem primary voters
78%
19
4
Clinton supporters
86%
14
*
Sanders supporters
78%
21
1
[RESUME ALL]
[ROTATE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS]
7.-8. If Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in
November, would you:
Be satisfied with Seriously consider Or just not cast
voting for one or voting for a third
a vote for
party candidate, president at all? (Dont know)
the other,
18-21 Apr 16
73%
18
6
3
Dem primary voters
74%
18
6
2
GOP primary voters
73%
17
7
3
Trump supporters
92%
5
1
2
Cruz supporters
59%
28
9
4
Kasich supporters
47%
33
16
4
Clinton supporters
95%
2
3
*
Sanders supporters
52%
36
9
3
If Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in
November, would you:
Be satisfied with Seriously consider Or just not cast
voting for one or voting for a third
a vote for
the other,
party candidate, president at all? (Dont know)
18-21 Apr 16
70%
18
9
3
Dem primary voters
75%
16
7
2
GOP primary voters
64%
21
12
4
Trump supporters
56%
25
16
3
Cruz supporters
94%
2
3
1
Kasich supporters
58%
29
10
2
Clinton supporters
93%
2
4
1
Sanders supporters
57%
31
9
2
9.
What do you think should happen to the illegal immigrants who are currently working in
the United States -- do you favor deporting as many as possible or do you favor setting up
a system for them to become legal residents?
Deport as
Set up system to
many as possible
become legal
(Dont know)
18-21 Apr 16
17%
75
8
Dem primary voters
5%
90
5
GOP primary voters
30%
59
11
Fox News Poll -- Margin of Error for Subgroups

The Fox News Poll was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D)
and Shaw & Company Research (R).
The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers April 18-21, 2016 among a random
state sample of 1,206 California likely primary voters. Respondents were screened to identify
likely primary voters. Results for the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5
percentage points. Results for the 623 likely Democratic primary voters have a margin of error
of plus or minus 4 percentage points and results for the 583 likely Republican primary voters
have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Results among the attached subgroups have larger sampling errors:
California Likely Primary Voters
+/- 2.5%
Overall Sample:
--+/- 4%
Democrats:
+/- 4%
Republicans:
+/- 9%
Independents:
--+/- 4%
Men:
+/- 4%
Women:
--+/- 3%
White:
+/- 5%
Non-White:
+/- 7%
Latino:
--+/- 3.5%
College Degree:
+/- 4.5%
No College Degree:
--+/- 8.5%
Under Age 35:
+/- 5%
Age 35-54:
+/- 3.5%
Age 55+:
+/- 5%
Age 65+:
--+/- 6%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 3.5%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 4%
Liberal:
+/- 6%
Very Conservative:
+/- 4%
Dem Primary Voters:
+/- 4%
GOP Primary Voters:
Republican Primary Voters +/- 4%

--+/- 5%
Men:
+/- 6%
Women:
--+/- 6%
White Men:
+/- 7%
White Women:
--+/- 5%
College Degree:
+/- 6%
No College Degree:
--+/- 10%
Under Age 45:
+/- 4.5%
Age 45+:
--+/- 9%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 5%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 7.5%
White Evangelical:
--+/- 6.5%
Very Conservative:
--+/- 4%
Republican:
Democratic Primary Voters +/- 4%

--+/- 6%
Men:
+/- 5%
Women:
--+/- 5%
White:
+/- 6%
Non-White:
+/- 9%
Latino:
--+/- 5%
College Degree:
+/- 6.5%
No College Degree:
--+/- 7.5%
Under Age 45:
+/- 4.5%
Age 45+:
--+/- 7.5%
Income Under $50k:
+/- 5%
Income $50k+:
--+/- 4.5%
Liberal:
--+/- 4%
Democrat:
---
[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

1. How likely is it that you will vote in the California presidential primary June 7 -- will you definitely vote
in the primary, probably vote in the primary, probably not vote, or definitely not vote?
Definitely vote in
Democratic primary
Probably vote in
Democratic primary
Definitely vote in
Republican primary
Probably vote in
Republican primary
Probably not vote in
primary
Definitely not vote in
primary
[Not sure]
Definitely vote in
Democratic primary
Probably vote in
Democratic primary
Definitely vote in
Republican primary
Probably vote in
Republican primary
Probably not vote in
primary
Definitely not vote in
primary
[Not sure]
Total
44%
Dem
82%
Rep
5%
Ind
41%
Men
41%
Women
47%
White
37%
NonWhite
61%
Latino
59%
College
Degree
46%
No
Degree
42%
8%
15%
*%
8%
7%
8%
5%
13%
13%
6%
10%
41%
2%
82%
41%
44%
38%
50%
19%
19%
42%
40%
7%
1%
13%
10%
7%
7%
7%
7%
9%
6%
8%
Total
44%
Under
Age 35
53%
35-54
43%
55+
41%
65+
39%
Under
$50k
49%
$50k+
43%
Lib
76%
Very
Cons
5%
8%
13%
7%
6%
5%
10%
7%
12%
1%
41%
23%
42%
47%
49%
32%
44%
7%
86%
7%
11%
7%
6%
6%
10%
6%
4%
8%
[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

2. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would you
support?
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
[Other]
[None of the above]
[Don't know]
Total
22%
20%
49%
*%
1%
7%
Men Women
20%
24%
21%
20%
52%
46%
*%
1%
1%
6%
9%
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
[Other]
[None of the above]
[Don't know]
Total
22%
20%
49%
*%
1%
7%
Under
Age 45
25%
19%
50%
1%
5%
White
Men
20%
23%
51%
*%
1%
5%
45+
21%
21%
49%
*%
1%
8%
White
Women
24%
21%
44%
1%
10%
Under
$50k
24%
17%
49%
2%
9%
College
Degree
19%
24%
49%
*%
1%
7%
$50k+
21%
20%
51%
*%
1%
7%
No
Degree
27%
15%
48%
1%
8%
White
Evangel
30%
13%
49%
1%
6%
Very
Cons
32%
10%
48%
1%
10%
Rep
23%
19%
50%
1%
7%

3. Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else?
Certain
May change
[Don't know]
Total
66%
28%
6%
Men Women
68%
63%
25%
30%
6%
7%
Certain
May change
[Don't know]
Total
66%
28%
6%
Under
Age 45
62%
32%
6%
White
Men
69%
26%
6%
45+
67%
27%
7%
White
Women
64%
29%
7%
Under
$50k
68%
26%
6%
College
Degree
67%
28%
5%
$50k+
65%
29%
7%
No
Degree
64%
28%
8%
White
Evangel
69%
26%
5%
Very
Cons
73%
19%
8%
Rep
68%
26%
6%
Very
Cons
25%
28%
16%
3%
14%
14%
Rep
30%
28%
14%
2%
15%
10%

4. And which Republican would be your second choice?
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
[Other]
[None of the above]
[Don't know]
Total
29%
28%
13%
3%
17%
11%
Men Women
29%
29%
27%
28%
14%
12%
3%
3%
19%
14%
8%
13%
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
[Other]
[None of the above]
[Don't know]
Total
29%
28%
13%
3%
17%
11%
Under
Age 45
35%
28%
12%
4%
11%
11%
White
Men
27%
28%
14%
4%
19%
8%
45+
27%
28%
13%
3%
18%
11%
White
Women
29%
25%
14%
3%
16%
14%
Under
$50k
28%
25%
7%
5%
19%
16%
College
Degree
28%
28%
12%
4%
19%
10%
$50k+
29%
30%
15%
2%
15%
9%
No
Degree
31%
27%
15%
2%
13%
12%
White
Evangel
32%
27%
15%
2%
12%
12%
[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

5. If the Democratic presidential primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would you
support?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
[Other]
[None of the above]
[Don't know]
Total
48%
46%
1%
5%
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
[Other]
[None of the above]
[Don't know]
Total
48%
46%
1%
5%
Men
36%
58%
2%
4%
Women
59%
34%
1%
6%
Under
Age 45
27%
69%
*%
4%
White
49%
45%
2%
4%
45+
60%
33%
2%
6%
NonWhite
46%
47%
*%
7%
Under
$50k
47%
47%
1%
5%
Latino
37%
56%
1%
6%
College
Degree
53%
41%
1%
4%
No
Degree
41%
52%
1%
6%
$50k+
48%
46%
1%
5%
Lib
48%
47%
*%
5%
Dem
51%
43%
*%
5%

6. Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else?
Certain
May change
[Don't know]
Total
78%
19%
4%
Certain
May change
[Don't know]
Total
78%
19%
4%
Men
78%
19%
4%
Women
78%
19%
4%
Under
Age 45
75%
23%
2%
White
80%
16%
4%
NonWhite
74%
23%
3%
Under
$50k
80%
18%
2%
45+
79%
16%
4%
Latino
72%
27%
1%
College
Degree
80%
16%
4%
No
Degree
75%
22%
3%
$50k+
78%
19%
4%
Lib
80%
17%
3%
Dem
78%
18%
4%

7. If Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in November, would you:
Be satisfied with voting

for one or the other
Seriously consider
voting for a third party
candidate
Or just not cast a vote
for president at all
[Don't know]

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]
Total
73%
Dem
77%
Rep
72%
Ind
62%
Men
71%
Women
76%
White
74%
NonWhite
72%
Latino
67%
College
Degree
74%
No
Degree
73%
18%
15%
18%
28%
20%
15%
18%
17%
22%
19%
16%
6%
6%
7%
7%
7%
6%
6%
8%
10%
5%
8%
3%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
Total
73%
Under
Age 35
57%
35-54
73%
55+
79%
65+
76%
Under
$50k
73%
$50k+
74%
Lib
75%
Very
Cons
79%
18%
32%
19%
12%
11%
16%
18%
19%
11%
6%
10%
5%
6%
7%
7%
5%
4%
7%
3%
1%
4%
3%
5%
4%
3%
2%
3%


Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]
Total
73%
Men Women
74%
72%
White
Men
74%
White
Women
72%
College
Degree
71%
No
Degree
76%
17%
17%
17%
18%
14%
19%
13%
7%
6%
7%
5%
8%
6%
7%
3%
3%
4%
3%
5%
3%
4%
Total
73%
Under
Age 45
66%
45+
75%
Under
$50k
72%
$50k+
75%
White
Evangel
77%
Very
Cons
78%
Rep
74%
17%
25%
15%
16%
16%
12%
11%
16%
7%
8%
6%
9%
5%
7%
7%
7%
3%
1%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%


Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]
Total
74%
Men
67%
Women
79%
White
75%
NonWhite
71%
Latino
66%
College
Degree
76%
No
Degree
70%
18%
23%
14%
20%
18%
23%
18%
18%
6%
7%
5%
4%
9%
9%
3%
9%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
Total
74%
Under
Age 45
59%
45+
82%
Under
$50k
74%
$50k+
73%
Lib
76%
Dem
78%
18%
30%
12%
16%
19%
18%
15%
6%
9%
4%
6%
6%
4%
6%
2%
2%
2%
4%
1%
2%
2%

8. If Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton are the two major party presidential candidates in November, would you:

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]
Total
70%
Dem
77%
Rep
65%
Ind
58%
Men
66%
Women
73%
White
69%
NonWhite
72%
Latino
70%
College
Degree
70%
No
Degree
69%
18%
14%
21%
30%
22%
15%
20%
14%
19%
21%
15%
9%
7%
11%
8%
10%
8%
9%
10%
8%
7%
12%
3%
3%
3%
4%
2%
4%
3%
4%
4%
2%
4%
Total
70%
Under
Age 35
65%
35-54
67%
55+
73%
65+
69%
Under
$50k
67%
$50k+
71%
Lib
75%
Very
Cons
69%
18%
23%
22%
15%
14%
17%
19%
17%
16%
9%
7%
9%
10%
12%
12%
7%
6%
12%
3%
4%
2%
3%
5%
4%
2%
2%
3%


Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]
Total
64%
Men Women
62%
67%
White
Men
61%
White
Women
67%
College
Degree
63%
No
Degree
66%
21%
23%
18%
25%
16%
24%
15%
12%
11%
12%
10%
13%
10%
14%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
3%
5%
Total
64%
Under
Age 45
72%
45+
62%
Under
$50k
62%
$50k+
66%
White
Evangel
70%
Very
Cons
68%
Rep
66%
21%
19%
21%
18%
22%
16%
16%
20%
12%
5%
13%
17%
8%
10%
12%
11%
4%
4%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
3%


Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]

Seriously consider
candidate
[Don't know]
Total
75%
Men
70%
Women
79%
White
75%
NonWhite
72%
Latino
70%
College
Degree
77%
No
Degree
73%
16%
20%
12%
19%
15%
18%
17%
14%
7%
8%
5%
5%
9%
8%
4%
10%
2%
1%
3%
1%
4%
4%
2%
3%
Total
75%
Under
Age 45
62%
45+
82%
Under
$50k
71%
$50k+
76%
Lib
77%
Dem
78%
16%
25%
11%
16%
17%
16%
13%
7%
9%
5%
8%
6%
5%
7%
2%
4%
1%
5%
1%
2%
2%

9. What do you think should happen to the illegal immigrants who are currently working in the United States -do you favor deporting as many as possible or do you favor setting up a system for them to become legal
residents?
Deport as many as
possible
Set up system to become
legal
[Don't know]
Deport as many as
possible
legal
[Don't know]
Total
17%
Dem
4%
Rep
30%
Ind
25%
Men
20%
Women
14%
White
19%
NonWhite
11%
Latino
9%
College
Degree
18%
No
Degree
15%
75%
91%
60%
68%
73%
77%
72%
84%
86%
74%
77%
8%
5%
11%
8%
7%
9%
8%
6%
4%
8%
8%
Total
17%
Under
Age 35
5%
35-54
19%
55+
20%
65+
21%
Under
$50k
15%
$50k+
17%
Lib
5%
Very
Cons
38%
75%
92%
74%
70%
68%
78%
75%
91%
49%
8%
3%
7%
10%
11%
7%
7%
4%
13%

residents?
Deport as many as
possible
legal
[Don't know]
Deport as many as
possible
legal
[Don't know]
Total
30%
Men Women
35%
25%
White
Men
34%
White
Women
25%
College
Degree
34%
No
Degree
24%
59%
57%
61%
58%
61%
55%
64%
11%
8%
14%
8%
14%
11%
12%
Total
30%
Under
Age 45
22%
45+
33%
Under
$50k
29%
$50k+
30%
White
Evangel
31%
Very
Cons
39%
Rep
30%
59%
71%
55%
61%
59%
57%
49%
59%
11%
7%
12%
10%
11%
13%
13%
11%

residents?
Deport as many as
possible
legal
[Don't know]
Deport as many as
possible
legal
[Don't know]
Total
5%
Men
5%
Women
5%
White
6%
NonWhite
4%
Latino
3%
College
Degree
4%
No
Degree
7%
90%
90%
90%
89%
91%
94%
92%
89%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
2%
5%
5%
Total
5%
Under
Age 45
3%
45+
6%
Under
$50k
5%
$50k+
5%
Lib
3%
Dem
4%
90%
96%
87%
91%
91%
93%
92%
5%
2%
7%
4%
4%
4%
5%

California Fox Poll - 4-22-16

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California Fox Poll - 4-22-16

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All results are for release after 6:00PM/ET Friday, April 22, 2016.

[Q2-4 IF REPUBLICAN PRIMARY IN Q1, N=583]

[IF DONT KNOW IN Q2, SKIP AND CODE AS DONT KNOW]

[Q5-6 IF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY IN Q1, N=623]

Fox News Poll -- Margin of Error for Subgroups

Republican Primary Voters +/- 4%

Democratic Primary Voters +/- 4%

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

Be satisfied with voting

Be satisfied with voting

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

Be satisfied with voting

Be satisfied with voting

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

Be satisfied with voting

Be satisfied with voting

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

Be satisfied with voting

Be satisfied with voting

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

Be satisfied with voting

Be satisfied with voting

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

Be satisfied with voting

Be satisfied with voting

[ALL PRIMARY VOTERS]

[REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS]

[DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS]

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