NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

May 2016
Indiana Questionnaire
Residents: n=2568, MOE +/- 1.9%
Registered Voters: n=2149, MOE +/-2.1%
Potential Republican Electorate: n=1110, MOE +/- 2.9%
Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=645, MOE +/- 3.9%
Potential Democratic Electorate: n=864, MOE +/- 3.3%
Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=449, MOE +/- 4.6%
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Indiana?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as
president?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mike Pence is doing as governor?

REGISTERED VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 1

May 2016
42
52
6
100
May 2016
42
50
8
100

May 2016
43
43
14
100
May 2016
42
41
17
100

If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Indiana were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided
yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee):
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Other
Undecided
Total

POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Other
Undecided
Total
Ted Cruz and John Kasich said they want to team up to beat Donald Trump in
Indiana. Is this a major factor, a minor factor, or no factor at all in deciding
your vote?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Major factor
Minor factor
No factor at all
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Major factor
Minor factor
No factor at all
Unsure
Total

May 2016
49
34
13
0
4
100

May 2016
47
33
15
1
4
100

May 2016
22
15
63
1
100
May 2016
20
14
64
2
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 2

Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in
Indiana (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate):
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Other
Undecided
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
John Kasich
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Other
Undecided
Total

May 2016
39
31
18
2
11
100
May 2016
39
31
17
2
11
100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>,* or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
* including those who voted absentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 3

May 2016
59
33
8
1
100
May 2016
54
36
9
1
100

If no one wins a majority of the delegates before the convention, should the
party nominate a candidate with the most votes in the primary, or who the
delegates think would be the best nominee?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
Candidate with the most votes in the primaries
Candidate who the delegates think would be the best nominee
Unsure
Total

May 2016
64
29
7

POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE

Candidate with the most votes in the primaries
Candidate who the delegates think would be the best nominee
Unsure
Total

May 2016
62
30
7
100

Which comes closer to your opinion:

LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
You approve of Ted Cruz and John Kasich teaming up to beat Donald
Trump
in Indianaofand
possible
to stopup
Trump
from
You
disapprove
Teddoing
Cruzeverything
and John Kasich
teaming
to beat
Donald
Unsure Trump in Indiana and it's further proof the Republicans are
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
You approve of Ted Cruz and John Kasich teaming up to beat Donald
Trump
in Indianaofand
possible
to stopup
Trump
from
You
disapprove
Teddoing
Cruzeverything
and John Kasich
teaming
to beat
Donald
Unsure Trump in Indiana and it's further proof the Republicans are
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 4

May 2016
34
58
7
100
May 2016
36
57
8
100

If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in Indiana were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are (including those who are undecided
yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee):
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Other
Undecided
Total

May 2016
50
46
1
3

POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Other
Undecided
Total

May 2016
47
48
1
3
100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>,* or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
* including those who voted absentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 5

May 2016
71
22
6
1
100
May 2016
66
25
8
1
100

If the 2016 Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Indiana were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are: (including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee):
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
Todd Young
Marlin Stutzman
Other
Undecided
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
Todd Young
Marlin Stutzman
Other
Undecided
Total

May 2016
56
24
0
19
100
May 2016
54
23
0
23
100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>,* or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
* including those who voted absentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 6

May 2016
42
41
16
1
100
May 2016
37
42
19
1
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Undecided
Total

May 2016
41
48
11
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
John Kasich, the Republican
Undecided
Total

May 2016
37
56
7
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Ted Cruz, the Republican
Undecided
Total

May 2016
43
50
7
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Undecided
Total

May 2016
46
47
7
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat
John Kasich, the Republican
Undecided
Total

May 2016
46
47
7
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat
Ted Cruz, the Republican
Undecided
Total

May 2016
48
45
6
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 7

Which statement best describes your reaction to Donald Trumps campaign statements:
REGISTERED VOTERS

May 2016

Trumps comments are frequently insulting and he has the wrong

approach on many issues

42

Trumps manner and language bother me, but he is raising important

issues

26

Trump tells it like it is and he has the right approach on many issues

21

Or none of these statements come close to describing what you think

Unsure
Total

10
1
100

Are you male or female?

RESIDENTS

May 2016
49
51
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

May 2016
49
51
100

LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

May 2016
52
48
100

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

May 2016
46
54
100

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Indiana May 2016; Page 8