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In the previous section, we have looked at a very simple model that helps explain what changes the
money supply in the economy. That simple model assumes that the Fed plays the major role since
the banks automatically loan out any additional money they have and all individuals keep their
money in checkable deposits. However, we know that not all banks want to loan out any additional
money they have, and not all individuals want to keep their money in checkable deposits. In
addition, the Fed does not have full control of the reserves (i.e. the Fed cannot force a bank to take
out a loan). Hence, we need to look at a model that allows us to adjust for banks and individuals
behaviors.
In the simple model, the reserves of the banking system is the key target of the Fed. However, the
Fed is not always successful in changing that. The reserves of the banking system can be
influenced by the behaviors of the banks and the general public. Hence, the Fed needs to look at a
broader target that it can control more successfully. In this case, we will look at the monetary base
(or high-powered money) as a potential target for the Fed.
LTB
Assets
Reserves +$1,000
Chapter 8-1
Liabilities
DL +$1,000
In this particular scenario, we can see that the Feds action through its discount window operation
has a direct impact on a banks reserves (and also on the banking systems reserves through the
multiple deposit creation process).
LTB
Assets
Securities -$1,000
Liabilities
Reserves +$1,000
In this particular scenario, we see that the Feds action has a direct impact on the banks reserves.
Since there is no change in currency, the change in monetary base is the same as the change in
reserves.
Chapter 8-2
LTB
Assets
Liabilities
Reserves +$1,000 Deposit +$1,000
Bob
Assets
Securities -$1,000
Liabilities
Deposit +$1,000
In this particular case, when the Fed pay Bob $1,000 with a check for the securities, the reserves
also goes up by $1,000 (assuming that Bob is not withdrawing any of the deposit).
The Fed paying Bob with cash
On the other hand, suppose the Fed pays Bob with cash. In this case, the Fed will have to take
$1,000 of cash out of its vault (which is previously not in circulation) and use it to pay the
individual. If Bob deposits the $1,000 with LaSalle Talman Bank, the cash will become part of the
banks vault cash or reserves. In this case, we will have the exact same scenario as above when the
Fed pays Bob with a check. However, it is also possible that Bob simply decides to keep that
$1,000 of cash. In this case, since LaSalle Talman receives no deposit from Bob, it means that it is
out of the picture and its reserves will not change.
Federal Reserve
Assets
Liabilities
Securities +$1000
Currency +$1,000
Bob
Assets
Securities -$1,000
Cash +$1,000
Chapter 8-3
Liabilities
In this case, the currency in circulation will increase by $1,000 but there is no change in the
reserves if Bob decides to keep the cash. As a result, the Feds action of buying $1,000 of
government securities will have no impact on reserves but it does increase the currency in
circulation by $1,000 (if Bob decides to keep the cash). However, since the monetary base is made
up of both currency and reserves, the Feds action has resulted in an increase of monetary base by
$1,000.
We can further complicate the scenario with Bob deciding to keep $200 of the money received from
the Fed as cash and deposit the other $800 with LaSalle Talman. The T-accounts of the Fed, LTB,
and Bob that depict the flow of the transaction are presented below:
Federal Reserve
Assets
Liabilities
Securities +$1000
Reserves +$800
LTB
Assets
Liabilities
Reserves +$1,000 Deposit +$1,000
Currency +$200
Bob
Assets
Securities -$1,000
Liabilities
Deposit +$800
Cash +$200
As a result, due to Bobs action of keeping part of the money as cash and depositing the rest into
his checking account, the Feds action of buying $1,000 securities from Bob resulted in an increase
in reserves by $800 and an increase in currency by $200. In other words, the Feds action has led
to an increase in the monetary base by $1,000. We can easily verify that no matter how much cash
Bob decides to keep, we will always see an increase in the monetary base by $1,000. Keep in mind
that the results from this analysis can also be applied to the situation when Bob receives a check
from the Fed and he decides to withdraw some of it.
Based on the different scenarios we have looked at, the Feds action on the reserves and currency in
circulation depends on how an individual keeps the proceeds: checkable deposit, cash or a
combination of both. Hence, the Feds OMO action has an uncertain impact on the reserves and the
currency. However, we know that the Feds action has a certain (or definite) impact on the
monetary base since it is define as the sum of reserves and currency. We know that no matter what
an individual prefers, the monetary base will always increase by $1,000 in the above scenario. This
Chapter 8-4
$1,000 increase in monetary base can be either a $1,000 increase in reserves or $1,000 increase in
currency.
So far, we have seen that the Feds discount window operation (if it is successful) has a definite
impact on the banking systems reserves, but the impact of the Feds open market operation on the
reserves depends on individuals behaviors. However, we have seen that the Fed does have a
definite impact on the monetary base. Hence, it is better for the Fed to target changing the
monetary base rather than changing the reserves since it has a better control over the monetary
base.
MB n Non-borrowed monetary base (fully controlled by the Fed through its open
market operation)
DL Borrowed monetary base, i.e. discount loans (partially controlled by the Fed
through its discount window operation)
Chapter 8-5
In this section, we will develop a money supply model that takes the behaviors of banks and
individuals into consideration. First, we need to define the relationship between the economys
money supply (M) and the monetary base (MB):
M m MB
where m = money multiplier.
The money multiplier represents the impact of a $1 change in the monetary base on the economys
supply. For example, if m = 4 that means a $1 increase in monetary base will lead to a $4 increase
in the money supply. It is key to remember that the money multiplier is always greater than one,
hence any increase in the monetary base will always lead to a much bigger increase in the money
supply. As a result, the monetary base is also known as high-powered money.
C
D
For example, if an individuals currency ratio is 0.5 that means the individual will keep $5 in
cash if there is $10 in a checkable deposit. And if the individuals checkable deposit rises to
$100, his/her cash holding will also rise to $50 to keep a 0.5 currency ratio.
(2) Banks hold a constant proportion of excess reserves relative to their deposits, i.e. a constant
excess reserves ratio:
Excess reserves ratio
ER
D
For example, if a banks excess reserves ratio is 0.15 that means the bank will keep $150 in excess
reserves if there is $1000 in checkable deposits. And if the banks checkable deposit rises to
$10,000, its excess reserves holding will also rise to $1,500 to keep a 0.15 excess reserves ratio.
Chapter 8-6
We know the banking systems total reserves (R) is made up of two components: required reserves
(RR) and excess reserves (ER):
R RR ER
(1)
In addition, we know that the banking systems required reserves is determined by the required
reserves ratio ( rD ) set by the Fed:
RR rD D
(2)
Substituting the required reserves from equation (2) into equation (1), we can rewrite the banking
systems reserves as follows:
R (rD D ) ER
(1)
Since we know the monetary base is made up of currency in circulation and the banking systems
reserves:
MB C R
C ER (rD D)
(3)
It is important to note that the first two components of the monetary base defined in equation (3)
represent the nonexpansionary components, and the last component (actually the deposits)
represents the expansionary component. When an individual holds cash (or currency), that part of
the individuals wealth is not kept in his/her checkable deposits and the bank cannot use them to
create loans. Similarly, if a bank decides to keep a part of its deposits as excess reserves, there will
be a smaller available pool of resources to make loans. Hence, cash and excess reserves do not
contribute to the process of money creation.
We can incorporate the currency and excess reserves ratios into equation (3) and rewrite the
formula for the monetary base as follows:
C
ER
D
D rD D
D
D
C ER
rD D
D D
MB
(4)
1
MB
(C / D ) ( ER / D ) rD
Chapter 8-7
(5)
Using a simplified M1 as the representation for the economys money supply, we can define the
money supply as the sum of currency and checkable deposits:
M C D
C
C
D D 1 D
D
D
(6)
Substituting the formula for D from equation (5), we can rewrite the formula for the money supply
as:
1 (C / D)
MB
(C / D ) ( ER / D ) rD
(7)
Since we know the relationship between the money supply and the monetary base is defined by:
M m MB M m MB
Comparing that relationship with equation (7), we know that the formula for the multiplier is:
1 (C / D)
(C / D) ( ER / D) rD
(8)
The money multiplier of the more complex model is related to the money multiplier of the simple
model we have derived in the previous example. If you recall, we have the following conditions in
the simple model:
(i)
(ii)
When we substitute these conditions into the complex money multiplier as defined by equation (8),
we will have the simple money multiplier as follows:
m
1 0
1
0 0 rD
rD
Chapter 8-8
Chapter 8-9
M m ( MBn DL)
From the above formula, we know that changes in the nonborrowed monetary base ( MBn ) and
discount loans (DL) will also have an impact on the money supply.
way that it has a negative effect on the money multiplier. In this case, the monetary base increases
as a result of the Feds action but the money multiplier decreases as a result of LaSalles action.
Those two actions cancelled each other and the money supply remains unchanged in the economy.
So far, we have examined how changes in certain variables, such as required reserves ratio,
influence the money multiplier and the economys monetary base. However, we have not
determined what are some of the factors that influence those variables. To be more specific, we
would like to know:
(1) What affects an individuals preference for his/her cash and deposits holdings?
(2) What affects a banks desire to hold excess reserves?
(3) What affects a banks preference to borrow from the Fed?
We will address each one of those questions in the next section.
Chapter 8-11