July 19, 2016

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Interested Parties
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
Charlie Crist Leads in Newly Drawn FL CD-13

Former Governor Charlie Crist begins his campaign in Floridas 13th Congressional District with a
+12 point lead over incumbent David Jolly and a clear advantage in name identification. Crist
also outpaces Democratic performance in both a generic ballot and at the Presidential level. In
what is already a favorable seat for Democrats, Charlie Crists personal brand makes him a very
strong challenger for this Pinellas-based seat.
Crist currently has a Strong Lead Districtwide
Crist leads Jolly by +12 points (50% Crist / 38% Jolly / 12% undecided), outside the polls margin
of sampling error. Importantly, Crist also leads among several bellwether subgroups, including
voters registered as No Party Affiliation (+14 Crist), self-identified Independents (+24 Crist), and
those who consider themselves moderate (+19 Crist).
Crist has a Name-ID Advantage
Charlie Crist is well known and enjoys 89% name ID across the district, while incumbent
Congressman David Jolly only has 61% name ID. Jolly needs significant introduction to catch up
to Crist particularly among the roughly 13% of the district that is newly added in redistricting.
Clinton and a Generic Democrat Lead in CD-13
Democrats hold a +2 point edge in a generic vote for Congress (42% Democratic candidate /
40% Republican candidate) and Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in the race for President by
+3 points (45% Clinton / 42% Trump). These vote margins point to Crists strength and personal
appeal in his home county.
With a cash-on-hand advantage and a double-digit lead today, Charlie Crist is well positioned to
pickup a seat for Democrats this fall. Florida CD-13 is currently rated as lean Democratic by The
Cook Political Report and as Democrat favored by The Rothenberg & Gonzalez Political Report.

Anzalone Liszt Grove Research conducted N=501 live telephone interviews with likely November 2016 general
election voters in Florida CD-13. Interviews were conducted between July 12-17, 2016, including 45% of the survey
completed among cell phone interviews. Respondents were selected at random, with interviews apportioned
geographically based on past voter turnout. Expected margin of sampling error for they survey is 4.4% with a 95%
confidence level, and higher for subgroups.
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