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CDIGO
GRUPO
ENE
FEB
MAR
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
2010
10103010
G1
4,779
12,523
12,500
15,119
21,371
12,161
13,965
11,619
2010
10103020
G2
6,578
5,427
8,656
6,654
8,483
4,534
11,253
9,406
2010
10103110
G3
1,690
5,558
2,381
4,669
6,320
7,195
7,349
6,310
2010
10103120
G4
1,690
5,558
2,381
4,669
6,320
7,195
7,349
6,310
2010
10103210
G5
4,129
1,191
4,092
3,793
3,507
4,263
3,802
4,164
2010
10103310
G6
4,129
1,191
4,092
3,793
3,507
4,263
3,802
4,164
2009
10103010
G1
4,445
11,396
11,345
13,456
15,388
11,067
11,172
8,715
2009
10103020
G2
5,855
4,776
8,310
4,791
6,532
3,174
7,990
6,773
2009
10103110
G3
1,589
4,225
1,715
3,269
4,614
6,476
5,733
6,058
2009
10103120
G4
1,319
3,891
2,239
4,249
5,436
6,332
7,056
5,995
2009
10103210
G5
3,634
894
2,988
3,452
2,981
3,368
3,498
3,706
2009
10103310
G6
2,973
1,132
3,151
3,680
3,297
3,709
3,270
3,915
2008
10103010
G1
3,468
10,827
8,282
12,245
14,927
8,965
9,273
6,188
2008
10103020
G2
5,036
4,108
7,978
3,737
4,899
2,794
7,032
6,299
2008
10103110
G3
1,303
3,127
1,458
2,452
3,830
6,217
5,447
4,423
2008
10103120
G4
1,214
2,763
2,150
3,995
4,512
5,573
5,081
4,916
2008
10103210
G5
2,617
716
2,720
2,451
2,534
2,796
2,764
2,965
2008
10103310
G6
2,082
1,087
2,427
3,423
2,968
3,598
2,551
3,641
2007
10103010
G1
3,018
9,745
6,626
11,511
11,046
6,366
8,624
5,693
2007
10103020
G2
4,785
3,451
7,659
3,551
4,067
2,320
5,696
5,985
2007
10103110
G3
1,121
2,721
1,342
2,305
2,796
5,036
4,630
3,185
2007
10103120
G4
1,105
2,156
1,505
3,276
3,384
4,403
4,878
4,474
2007
10103210
G5
2,330
674
2,068
1,741
1,774
2,713
2,046
2,461
2007
10103310
G6
1,853
914
2,039
2,705
2,464
3,347
2,220
2,622
2006
10103010
G1
2,415
8,966
5,699
10,936
8,837
5,284
7,935
5,124
2006
10103020
G2
3,781
2,796
6,664
3,090
3,132
1,856
4,899
5,387
2006
10103110
G3
841
2,313
980
2,167
2,293
4,432
4,029
2,294
2006
10103120
G4
929
1,919
1,250
2,851
2,742
3,919
3,903
4,206
2006
10103210
G5
2,191
493
1,614
1,567
1,704
2,198
1,555
1,723
2006
10103310
G6
1,798
851
1,632
2,219
1,750
3,046
2,021
1,862
2005
10103010
G1
2,295
6,277
5,244
9,624
8,219
3,911
6,825
3,946
2005
10103020
G2
2,912
2,014
6,465
2,967
2,694
1,782
4,753
5,118
2005
10103110
G3
791
1,620
824
1,951
1,904
4,167
3,788
1,996
2005
10103120
G4
809
1,382
1,150
2,623
2,194
3,724
3,084
3,576
2005
10103210
G5
1,950
449
1,550
1,317
1,313
1,693
1,431
1,431
2005
10103310
G6
1,277
758
1,551
2,131
1,365
2,285
1,860
1,360
2004
10103010
G1
2,135
4,771
4,510
9,047
6,658
2,738
5,392
2,999
2004
10103020
G2
2,709
1,793
4,591
2,433
2,479
1,711
4,611
4,402
2004
10103110
G3
760
1,151
759
1,366
1,505
3,709
2,804
1,657
2004
10103120
G4
599
1,272
817
2,414
1,756
3,278
2,375
3,433
2004
10103210
G5
1,755
405
1,333
1,159
1,143
1,609
1,045
1,389
2004
10103310
G6
1,035
728
1,102
1,982
1,311
1,691
1,544
966
2003
10103010
G1
1,623
3,960
4,014
7,238
5,993
2,519
4,745
2,310
2003
10103020
G2
2,574
1,686
4,086
2,215
1,835
1,660
3,735
3,522
2003
10103110
G3
654
1,117
699
1,271
1,189
3,339
2,328
1,177
2003
10103120
G4
456
1,031
646
2,342
1,282
2,951
1,877
3,296
2003
10103210
G5
1,317
393
1,120
858
1,063
1,288
857
1,209
2003
10103310
G6
766
576
838
1,428
1,010
1,438
1,483
841
2002
10103010
G1
1,234
3,446
3,172
5,719
5,334
2,217
3,986
2,195
2002
10103020
G2
1,854
1,400
3,760
1,595
1,322
1,544
3,250
2,924
2002
10103110
G3
615
1,039
595
1,144
880
2,872
2,119
930
2002
10103120
G4
415
753
537
2,155
1,180
2,538
1,352
3,132
2002
10103210
G5
1,001
276
997
678
1,000
1,070
789
1,040
2002
10103310
G6
675
519
646
1,300
748
1,280
1,409
606
2001
10103010
G1
938
3,205
2,855
4,690
3,894
1,885
3,468
1,669
2001
10103020
G2
1,539
1,204
3,497
1,548
1,098
1,406
2,373
2,252
2001
10103110
G3
486
936
435
1,064
704
2,097
1,971
661
2001
10103120
G4
391
648
376
1,746
1,086
2,310
1,001
2,663
2001
10103210
G5
731
235
698
536
700
782
632
760
2001
10103310
G6
540
395
517
1,209
614
909
1,226
552
Ella piensa que una previsin precisa de las ventas le ayudara a planificar sus necesidades de transpo
Empleando los primeros cuarto aos como datos base para la estimacin, y reservando los del ltimo
a. Efectuar un anlisis de la demanda, a fin de garantizar la veracidad de la informacin
b. Evaluar el modelo de pronstico que mejor describa el comportamiento de la demanda.
c. Aplicar el modelo seleccionado, para calcular el pronstico de la demanda para el ao 2011
OCT
NOV
DIC
TOTAL
3,385
4,120
12,721
9,710
133973
4,681
5,775
9,311
8,164
88922
2,813
3,630
2,237
4,652
54804
2,813
4,024
2,237
4,652
55198
3,200
2,405
1,841
3,308
39695
3,200
2,405
1,841
3,308
39695
2,945
3,456
9,160
7,963
110508
3,605
4,101
8,194
7,675
71776
2,392
3,522
2,103
3,955
45651
1,970
3,179
1,947
3,908
47521
2,784
1,997
1,768
2,515
33585
3,104
1,973
1,639
2,945
34788
2,415
3,111
8,428
7,008
95137
2,596
3,404
6,064
6,064
60011
1,986
3,311
1,578
3,006
38138
1,773
2,385
1,733
2,971
39066
1,977
1,538
1,556
1,786
26420
2,980
1,776
1,476
2,445
30454
1,763
2,427
8,091
6,238
81148
2,103
2,485
5,094
5,216
52412
1,748
2,649
1,168
2,495
31196
1,561
2,099
1,387
2,645
32873
1,384
1,123
1,276
1,286
20876
2,116
1,652
1,196
1,932
25060
1,287
2,209
5,988
4,679
69359
2,019
1,988
4,738
4,278
44628
1,224
2,199
935
2,246
25953
1,265
1,554
1,277
2,460
28275
1,274
989
1,238
1,055
17601
1,990
1,388
1,077
1,449
21083
1,197
1,856
4,192
4,352
57938
1,737
1,810
3,554
3,851
39657
1,163
1,584
795
1,775
22358
1,038
1,275
1,137
2,264
24256
1,109
960
954
1,013
15170
1,453
1,333
830
1,406
17609
1,138
1,652
3,731
3,395
48166
1,442
1,467
2,986
3,312
33936
826
1,220
740
1,580
18077
935
1,161
819
1,653
20512
1,032
720
678
770
13038
1,366
1,187
623
1,125
14660
877
1,421
2,799
2,852
40351
1,313
1,203
2,628
2,484
28941
587
1,050
607
1,185
15203
870
964
615
1,158
17488
774
555
631
717
10782
1,312
986
449
968
12095
746
1,251
2,240
2,282
33822
1,261
1,059
1,840
1,913
23722
552
924
438
1,079
13187
618
675
456
869
14680
666
400
600
603
9120
1,194
908
414
756
10455
627
914
1,815
2,054
28014
1,035
1,017
1,546
1,856
20371
409
786
368
1,047
10964
439
621
393
800
12474
567
352
462
501
6956
860
809
381
704
8716
ecesidades de transporte.
demanda.
a el ao 2011
412287
87495
343829
nto de los diferentes aos, se encuentra que aunque la produccion ha sido menor el % de Participacion grupal es igual.
3 AOS
0.5
0.3
0.2
1
AO
CDIGO
GRUPO ENE
FEB
MAR
2001
10103010
G1
938
3,205
2,855
2002
10103010
G1
1,234
3,446
3,172
2003
10103010
G1
1,623
3,960
4,014
2004
10103010
G1
2,135
4,771
4,510
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Proyectado
Proyectado
Proyectado
Proyectado
Proyectado
Proyectado
G1
1801
1866
1900
1870
1878
1880
4263
4355
4410
4364
4376
4379
4094
4203
4231
4195
4208
4209
AO
CDIGO
MAR
10103010
10103010
GRUPO ENE
G1
4779
FEB
2010
2009
12523
11396
12500
11345
AO
CDIGO
FEB
MAR
2010
2009
10103010
10103010
8147
7017
8295
7136
G1
G1
G1
G1
G1
G1
4445
Proyeccion al 2011
GRUPO ENE
G1
2901
G1
2565
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
TOTAL
4,690
3,894
1,885
3,468
1,669
627
914
1,815
2,054
28014
5,719
5,334
2,217
3,986
2,195
746
1,251
2,240
2,282
7,238
5,993
2,519
4,745
2,310
877
1,421
2,799
2,852
9,047
6,658
2,738
5,392
2,999
1,138
1,652
3,731
3,395
33822
40351
48166
7839
8081
8202
8093
8123
8130
6194
6293
6336
6295
6307
6309
2568
2609
2623
2608
2613
2613
4917
5025
5066
5024
5037
5039
2632
2677
2728
2694
2701
2704
981
1007
1026
1011
1015
1016
1503
1531
1547
1533
1537
1538
3153
3256
3320
3267
3281
3285
3010
3094
3129
3094
3104
3106
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
15119
13456
21371
15388
12161
11067
13965
11172
11619
8715
3385
2945
4120
3456
12721
9160
9710
7963
ABR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AGO
SEP
OCT
NOV
DIC
6996
5326
15064
9079
9548
8454
8928
6133
8918
6011
2370
1929
2583
1918
9440
5875
6606
4857