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January 8, 2015

Initiation
Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.


Niche pipe player

BUY

Ratnamani Metal and Tubes Ltd (Ratnamani) is the largest manufacturer


and exporter of customized industrial steel pipes, commanding a market
share of ~40% in the domestic stainless steel pipes market. We believe it
is best suited to benefit from the revival in industrial capex cycle.
Ratnamanis structural growth story is expected to continue for the next
two to three years, given an increase in spends in key industries like
irrigation, oil & gas, nuclear and thermal power considering its expertise
in manufacturing customized pipes. We estimate revenue and PAT
CAGR of 24% and 27%, over FY2014-17E. We expect Ratnamani to
maintain high margins on the back of good order-inflows in the stainless
steel segment. At the current price, the stock trades at 10.8x FY2017E
EPS of Rs62.4. We recommend BUY with a target price of Rs874.
Niche pipe player in the stainless steel segment: Ratnamani has expertise
in manufacturing customized stainless steel pipes and commands a share of
~40% in the domestic market. These pipes are very critical as they are mostly
used in highly corrosive environment and carry a very high failure cost.
Ratnamani has been supplying these products since 1985 and has approvals
from all the leading industry majors. It focuses on manufacturing products
which are used for high end applications, while its peers are focused on
products for low end applications. This enables Ratnamani to command best
in industry margins of ~25-30% in this segment.
Revival in capex cycle to drive carbon steel segment: After a challenging
FY2013, Simdex report (industry report) suggests that the global pipe demand
from 2013-17 is expected to reach $357 billion. The global and domestic
carbon pipe demand for Indian manufacturers is expected to reach ~16 million
tonne from oil & gas sector alone. Further, the Governments initiative on
improving the infrastructure could lead to increasing orders from water and
gas sectors. During Q2FY2015, carbon steel order book grew by 2x YoY at
Rs630 crore. Ratnamani has approvals from all the industry majors and is also
participating in government contracts. It won a contract worth Rs431 crore for
Gujarat Governments Saumi Yojna. Following a likely revival in the overall
capex cycle, we expect Ratnamani to be a key beneficiary considering it has
been a preferred supplier for various companies over the years.
Robust financial performance: While the global pipe demand remained
under pressure between FY2010-14, Ratnamanis revenue grew at 11.7%
CAGR. We estimate its revenue to grow at 24% over FY2014-17E on the back
of 16.5% and 34% growth in the stainless steel and carbon steel segments
respectively. We expect RoEs to improve to 23.5% in FY2017E from 20.2% in
FY2014.
Healthy balance sheet position despite planned capex: Unlike its peers,
the company gradually increased its capacity mostly out of internal accruals
between FY2008-14. This helped Ratnamani to reduce its debt to equity ratio
to 0.1x in FY2014 from 0.9x in FY2010. Going ahead, the company plans to
increase its stainless steel capacity by 20,000 tonne to 48,000 tonne p.a. with
a capex of ~Rs225-250 crore over the next two years. We expect Ratnamani
to fund the capex out of internal accruals and estimate its debt to equity to
reduce to further reduce to 0.03x in FY2017E.
Risk factors: 1) Delay in capex revival; 2) volatility in raw material prices;
Valuation: At the current price, the stock trades at 10.8x FY2017E EPS of
Rs62.4. Considering its leadership position in the domestic stainless steel pipe
segment, we believe Ratnamani is best suited to benefit from the impending
revival in the domestic capex cycle in oil refinery, petrochemicals, power and
fertilizer sectors. We initiate coverage on Ratnamani with a BUY rating and a
target price of Rs874, valuing it at 14x FY2017E EPS.
Financial Summary - Standalone
Y/E Mar (Rs Cr.)
Revenue
YoY (%)
EBITDA
FY2013A
1,201
-1.7
238
FY2014A
1,326
10.4
257
FY2015E
1,803
35.9
348
FY2016E
2,094
16.2
408
FY2017E
2,524
20.5
500
Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

EBITDA (%)
19.8
19.4
19.3
19.5
19.8

NPAT
136
143
195
233
291

Recommendation
Current Market Price (Rs)
Target Price (Rs)
Potential upside (%)
Sector Relative to Market
Stock Relative to Sector

675
874
29.5
In-Line
Outperform

Stock Information
BSE Code
NSE Code
Face Value (Rs/share)
No. of shares (Cr.)
Market Cap (Rs Cr.)
Free float (Rs Cr.)
52 Week H / L (Rs)
Avg. Daily turnover (12M, Rs Cr.)

520111
RATNAMANI
2.0
4.7
3,168
1,425
717/120
1.4

Shareholding Pattern (%)


Sept-14
59.9
13.1
0.1
26.9

Promoters
FII
DII
Others

Sept-13
60.2
12.0
1.0
26.8

Source: Bloomberg, Centrum Wealth Research

1 year Indexed Performance


560
510

460
410
360
310
260
210
160

110
60
Jan-14

Apr-14

Jul-14

Oct-14

Ratnamani

Jan-15

BSE Small Cap

Source: Bloomberg, Centrum Wealth Research

Price Performance (%)


Ratnamani
BSE Small Cap

1M
14.5
-2.0

3M
60.2
5.5

6M
63.1
10.0

12M
412.3
67.4

Source: Bloomberg, Centrum Wealth Research


Rijul Gandhi, Research Analyst
Siddhartha Khemka, VP Research

YoY (%)
37.0
5.0
36.8
19.2
25.1

EPS (Rs)
29.12
30.59
41.84
49.86
62.40

Please refer to important disclosures/disclaimers inside

P/E (x)
23.2
22.1
16.1
13.5
10.8

EV/EBITDA(x)
13.5
12.4
9.2
7.8
6.2

RoE(%)
23.1
20.2
23.0
22.7
23.5

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

About the Company


Ratnamani Metal & Tubes Ltd. (Ratnamani) is a niche player in the domestic industrial steel pipes business. It has a wide range of
products in stainless steel and carbon steel pipes & tubes mostly used in highly corrosive environment such as oil & gas refineries,
thermal power and chemical & fertilizer plants. The products can be broadly divided into two parts stainless steel pipes and
carbon steel pipes. Ratnamani is the market leader in the high end stainless steel pipes business with ~40% market share.
Stainless steel pipes cater to industrial projects demand while carbon steel pipes mostly cater to water and oil & gas pipeline
projects. Ratnamani has approvals from all leading industry majors in the domestic as well as international markets. It has a
stainless steel pipe capacity of 28,000 tonne p.a and a carbon steel pipe capacity of 3,50,000 tonne p.a. across two plants in
Gujarat.
Exhibit 1: Product profile
Product Lines

Carbon Steel

Stainless Steel

Instrumentation
Seamless Tubes

Power - Nuclear, Thermal


and solar, Oil & Gas,
Chemicals, Defense, Pulp
and Paper industry

High Frequency - Electric


Resistance Welded (HF-ERW)

Stainless Steel pipes

Mostly Oil & Gas

Oil and Gas Pipeline,


Plumbing, Heating, Water
Supply Systems,
Structural Pipe, General

Submerged Arc Welded


(SAW)

1) Oil & Gas - Cross Country Oil


& Gas Pipelines, City gas
distribution
2) Power - Cooling water line,
Ash handling line
3) Water - Distribution and
drainage pipes
4) Other industrial - Mining
pipes, dredging pipes, high mast
pipes for wind mills

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

Exhibit 2: FY2014 Revenue breakup industry-wise

Others
6%

Infrastructure,
26%

Refinaries,
Petrochem, Oil
& Gas
33%

Power - Nuclear
and Thermal
35%

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Niche pipe player in the stainless steel segment with best in industry margins
Ratnamani has expertise in manufacturing customized stainless steel pipes. It manufactures customized project pipes, which are
mostly used in highly corrosive environment such as oil & gas refineries, nuclear power, thermal power and chemical & fertilizer
plants. These pipes form a critical part of the plant and carry a very high failure cost. Ratnamanis customers include companies
like Reliance Industries, BHEL, L&T Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL), Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL) and Hindustan Petroleum
Corporation (HPCL), BASF, Alstom, Shell etc. It has been supplying these products since 1985 and has approvals from all the
leading industry majors which gives an edge over its competitors. Ratnamani focuses on manufacturing products which are used
for high end applications, while its peers are focused on products for low end applications. This enables it to command the best in
industry margins of ~25-30% in this segment.
The impending revival in the capex cycle in the oil refinery, petrochemicals, power and fertilizer sectors is likely to create robust
demand for pipe companies going ahead. Expected investments in the oil & gas sector for upgrading the current capacities and
green field expansions could accelerate the order flows in the next few years. On the domestic front, two more green-field refineries
in Barmer (Rajasthan) and Konkan (Maharashtra) have been planned which could start procurement in FY2016E. Further, owing to
the increasing urbanization and industrialization, the government is focused on reviving the power sector. Considering the
significance of the pipes which Ratnamani has been supplying since the past two decades, we expect it to benefit from the likely
increase in order flows from oil refinery, petrochemicals, power and fertilizer sectors going ahead.

Revival in capex cycle to drive carbon steel segment


Globally FY2013 was a challenging year for the carbon steel pipe industry owing to the economic crisis and geopolitical tensions
across countries which led to excess capacity and low utilizations. However, according to Simdex (industry report) the global pipe
demand from 2013-17 is expected to reach $357 billion. As per industry reports, Indian carbon pipes players have ~8 million tonne
pipe capacity. Over the next five years, global and domestic carbon pipe demand (excluding replacement demand) for Indian
manufactures is estimated at ~16 million tonne from Oil & Gas sector alone. Besides, demand from replacement market is also
likely to be 10.4 million tonne in the next five years. Moreover with cost of exploration rising and scanty oil reserves in some parts of
the world oil & gas transportation activity should increase going forward.
Exhibit 3: Up-coming Oil & Gas sector projects over 2013-17

Region

Nos of
Projects

Lenghth (Kms '000)

Value ($ billion)

North America

229

64

69

Latin America

48

33

52

Europe

119

36

65

Africa

62

25

31

Middle East

92

25

41

Asia

76

40

73

Australia
Total

47

14

26

673

237

357

Source: Company Annual Report 2014

Further, the Governments initiative on improving the infrastructure could lead to increasing orders from the water and gas sectors.
Ratnamani had secured a contract from the Gujarat Government - Saumi Yojna worth Rs431 crore, which is executable by May
2015. In India water projects of Gujarat Water Infrastructure Ltd. (GWIL) and few projects from Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) such as
Paradeep- Raipur-Ranchi pipeline, Ennore-Trichy-Madurai pipeline are expected to be awarded in FY2015E-16E. Further, few gas
pipeline projects such as Mehsana-Bhatinda pipeline project, Mallavaram-Bhopal-Bhilwara-Vijaipur natural gas pipeline project and
Bhatinda-Jammu pipeline project are expected to come on stream in the coming years.
During Q2FY2015, carbon steel order book grew by 2x YoY at Rs630 crore. Ratnamani has approvals from all the industry majors
and also has a huge product range. Following a likely revival in the overall capex cycle, we expect Ratnamani to be a key
beneficiary considering it has been a preferred supplier for various companies over the years.

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Improving demand environment to drive revenue growth


Despite the global pipe demand remaining under pressure between FY2010-14, Ratnamani reported revenue CAGR of 11.7%
during that period. The companys niche product offerings and robust market share enabled it to maintain EBITDA margins in the
range of 17-20% during FY2010-14. In FY2014, Ratnamani had incorporated its 100% subsidiary Ratnamani Inc., USA to focus on
the increasing opportunities arising out of the North American and Latin American markets. We estimate revenue CAGR of 24%
over FY2014-17E on the back of 16.5% growth in the stainless steel pipe segment and 34% growth in carbon steel pipe segment.
We expect Ratnamani to maintain high EBITDA margins in the range of 19.4% -19.8% on the back of good order-inflows in the
stainless steel segment between FY2014-17E. The RoE is expected to improve to 23.5% in FY2017E from 20.2% in FY2014.
Exhibit 5: EBITDA and margins

50.2
20.5

16.2

600

45

500

35

2000

25

10.4
1500

15
-4.5

1222

1201

FY11

FY12

FY13

-1.7

2524

814

500

2094

5
1803

1000

FY14

FY15E

FY16E

FY17E

-5
-15

Revenue (Rs crore)

22.0
19.8

19.4

300

19.0

18.2
16.8
200

18.0

100

17.0
148

205

FY11

FY12

238

257

348

FY13
FY14
EBITDA (Rs Crore)

FY15E FY16E
Margins (%)

Exhibit 6: Net Profit

Exhibit 7: RoE and RoCE


25.1

300
19.2

26.0

35.0

24.0

30.0

22.0

25.0
20.0

150
100

15.0

10.1

23.1
20.6

20.5

16.0
16.0

5.0
82

99

136

143

195

233

291

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15E

FY16E

FY17E

22.7

19.7

19.9

20.2

18.0

14.0

50

23.5

23.0

21.2

10.0
5.0

FY17E

20.0
(%)

20.4

200

40.0

(%)

(Rs Crore)

250

500
16.0

Growth(%)

36.8

408

Source: Company; Centrum Wealth Research

37.0

20.0

19.3

Source: Company; Centrum Wealth Research

350

21.0

19.5

19.8

400
(Rs Crore)

35.9

1326

(Rs Crore)

2500

55

(%)

3000

(%)

Exhibit 4: Revenue performance

12.0

16.6

14.7
10.8

0.0
Net Profit (Rs crore)

Source: Company; Centrum Wealth Research

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Growth(%)

10.0
FY11

FY12

FY13
RoE (%)

FY14

FY15E
RoCE(%)

FY16E

FY17E

Source: Company; Centrum Wealth Research

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Strong balance sheet position


Unlike many of its peers, Ratnamani refrained from undertaking aggressive capacity expansion, thereby enabling it to maintain a
low debt profile and generate healthy cash-flows. Between FY2008-14, the company gradually increased its stainless steel pipe
capacity from 18,900 tonne p.a to 28,000 tonne p.a. and its carbon pipe capacity from 3,00,000 tonne p.a to 3,50,000 tonne p.a,
mostly out of internal accruals. This helped Ratnamani to reduce its debt to equity ratio to 0.1x in FY2014 from 0.9x in FY2010.
Going ahead, the company plans to increase its stainless steel capacity to 48,000 tonne p.a. with a capex of ~Rs225-250 crore. We
expect Ratnamani to fund the capex out of its internal accruals and estimate its debt to equity to further reduce to 0.03x in
FY2017E.
Exhibit 8: Free Cash Flow trend

Exhibit 9: Debt to equity trend

200

300

0.55

0.60

0.52

160

(Rs Crore)

(Rs Crore)

140
120

100
178

80

0.50

200

0.40

150

0.30
0.18

100

60

0.20

0.10

112

40
20

250

19

37

20

FY12

FY13

FY14

0.05

FY15E

0.10

0.03
240

275

119

73

71

60

35

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15E

FY16E

FY17E

0
FY11

0.08

50

80
53

FY16E

FY17E

Source: Company; Centrum Wealth Research

(x)

180

0.00
Debt (Rs Crore)

Debt to Equity (x)

Source: Company; Centrum Wealth Research

Quarterly Performance:
Exhibit 10: Standalone Quarterly Performance
Y/E Mar (Rs Cr.)
Revenue

Q2FY14

Q3FY14

Q4FY14

Q1FY15

Q2FY15

287

347

401

349

438

(4.7)

27.5

16.1

20.0

52.4

Raw Material Expenses

173

233

257

227

281

% of sales

64.1

YoY Growth %

60.1

67.1

64.1

64.9

Employee Expenses

19

20

20

21

25

% of Sales

6.5

5.8

5.1

6.1

5.7

Other Expenses
% of Sales
EBIDTA
EBIDTA margin %
Depreciation

46

29

38

33

44

15.9

8.5

9.6

9.3

10.1

50

64

85

69

88

17.4

18.6

21.3

19.7

20.1

11

12

12

13

16

Interest

Other Income

PBT

40

54

73

58

75

Provision for tax

14

18

23

19.9

25.7

35.1

33.0

30.8

34.0

34.3

Effective tax rate %


Net Profit

26

36

51

38

49

YoY Growth %

(41.4)

13.6

28.6

28.1

88.9

PAT margin %

9.1

10.4

12.7

11.0

11.2

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

For Q2FY2015 on a standalone basis, revenue grew by 52.4% YoY to Rs438 crore on the back of 81.7% YoY growth in carbon
steel segment and 48.2% YoY growth in stainless steel segment. EBITDA grew by 76% YoY to Rs88 crore with the margins
expanding by 270bps YoY to 20.1%. Reported net profit grew by 89% YoY to Rs49 crore. EPS for the quarter stood at Rs10.5 as
against Rs5.6 in Q2FY2014. The order book increased by 32% YoY to Rs1,068 crore.

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Risk Factors:

Delay in capex revival: Ratnamanis growth depends upon capex in sectors like Oil Refinery, Power, Chemicals &
Fertilizers, etc. Any delay in revival of planned industrial capex would impact the growth of the company.

Volatility in raw material prices: Ratnamani utilizes raw materials such as stainless steel coil, plates & ignots and carbon
steel coils & plates. Any major volatility in the raw material prices may impact its profitability.

Valuation
At the current price, the stock trades at 10.8x FY2017E EPS of Rs62.4. Considering its leadership position in the domestic stainless
steel pipe segment, we believe Ratnamani is best suited to benefit from the impending revival in the domestic capex cycle in oil
refinery, petrochemicals, power and fertilizer sectors. We initiate coverage on Ratnamani with a BUY rating and a target price of
Rs874, valuing it at 14x FY2017E EPS.
Exhibit 11: Business Comparison
Revenue Growth (%)
FY16E
FY17E
16.2
20.5
23.6
19.7
9.5
5.1
22.2
18.0
-

Mkt Cap
(Rs Cr)

Company
RATNAMANI METALS
JINDAL SAW LTD
WELSPUN CORP LTD
MAHARASHTRA SEAM
APL APOLLO TUBES

3,168
2,449
1,816
1,558
787

OPM (%)
FY16E
FY17E
19.5
19.8
13.9
14.8
9.5
10.3
9.9
6.2
-

PAT Growth (%)


FY16E FY17E
19.2
25.1
120.2
42.0
151.6
80.2
47.0
15.6
-

Source: Bloomberg, Centrum Wealth Research

Exhibit 12: Relative Valuations


M Cap to
Company
Sales FY14
RATNAMANI METALS
2.4
JINDAL SAW LTD
0.4

P/E (x)

EV/EBITDA (x)

RoE (%)

FY16E
13.5
5.5

FY17E
10.8
3.9

FY16E
7.8
6.2

FY17E
6.2
4.9

FY16E
22.7
11.3

FY17E
23.5
13.7

WELSPUN CORP LTD


MAHARASHTRA SEAM

0.2
1.4

7.2
7.4

4.0
-

5.1
6.0

4.4
-

7.9
8.2

12.3
-

APL APOLLO TUBES

0.3

8.9

5.4

15.0

Source: Bloomberg, Centrum Wealth Research

Exhibit 13: One year forward P/E trend


1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100

Price (Rs)

3.0 X

7.0 X

11.0 X

15.0 X

Apr-15

Oct-14

Jan-15

Jul-14

Apr-14

Jan-14

Jul-13

Oct-13

Apr-13

Jan-13

Jul-12

Oct-12

Apr-12

Oct-11

Jan-12

Jul-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

Jul-10

Oct-10

Apr-10

Jan-10

Jul-09

Oct-09

Apr-09

19.0 X

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Centrum Wealth Research

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Technical View on Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Ratnamani has been on a strong leg up since the past few months and maintains a strong trading as well as positional
trajectory.

While the overall structure of the scrip remains bullish, its oscillators are indicating clear negative divergence and can thus lead
to short term volatility in the scrip.

The scrip though is likely to find strong support in case of a correction towards 600-620 which is good accumulation range for
fresh buys for a target of 850 in the coming 4-6 months. 550 is an ideal risk management level at the current juncture for the
scrip.

Exhibit 14: Technical Chart

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Financial Summary - Standalone


Cash Flow

Income statement
Y/E Mar (Rs Cr)

FY2013

FY2014 FY2015E FY2016E FY2017E

Y/E Mar (Rs Cr)

FY2013 FY2014 FY2015E FY2016E FY2017E

Revenue

1,201

1,326

1,803

2,094

2,524

Growth %

(1.7)

10.4

35.9

16.2

20.5

Raw Material Expenses

740

841

1,180

1,372

1,643

% of sales

61.6

63.4

65.4

65.5

65.1

Change in working capital

Employee Expenses

72

79

103

121

149

Tax expenses

% of Sales

6.0

6.0

5.7

5.8

5.9

Cash flow from Ops

Other Expenses

151

150

171

193

232

Capex

% of Sales

12.6

11.3

9.5

9.2

9.2

Other investing activities

EBIDTA

238

257

348

408

500

Cash flow from Invest

EBIDTA margin %

Proceeds from Eq capital

19.8

19.4

19.3

19.5

19.8

Depreciation

42

46

62

69

77

Interest

12

10

Other Income

18

14

14

15

18

202

214

293

349

437

PBT
Provision for tax

66

71

98

116

145

Effective tax rate %

32.5

33.3

33.3

33.3

33.3

Net Profit

136

143

195

233

291

Growth %

37.0

5.0

36.8

19.2

25.1

PAT Margin %

11.3

10.8

10.8

11.1

11.5

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

FY2013

Share capital

FY2014 FY2015E FY2016E FY2017E

Reserves & surplus

637

757

920

1,112

1,345

Shareholder's fund

647

767

929

1,121

1,355

Total Loan fund


Deferred tax liability

119
40

73
47

202

214

293

349

Depreciation

42

46

62

69

77

Others

(4)

(3)

(7)

(9)

(14)

51

(33)

(194)

(130)

(142)

(55)

(65)

(98)

(116)

(145)

236

160

57

162

212

(58)

(80)

(37)

(125)

(100)

(5)

(29)

14

15

18

(63)

(109)

(23)

(110)

(82)

Borrowings/ (Repayments)
Dividends paid
Interest paid
Cash flow from financing
Net Cash Flow

(59)

(2)

(11)

(25)

(16)

(22)

(33)

(41)

(57)

(8)

(6)

(7)

(6)

(4)

(184)

(85)

(41)

(58)

(86)

(11)

(34)

(8)

(6)

43

Key Ratios
Y/E Mar

FY2013 FY2014 FY2015E FY2016E FY2017E

71
47

60
47

35
47

RoE

23.1

20.2

23.0

22.7

23.5

RoCE

16.0

16.6

19.7

19.9

21.2

RoIC

26.2

25.0

28.3

28.3

31.0

Inventory

70.7

69.3

68.0

70.0

70.0

Debtors

76.3

76.5

75.0

78.0

78.0

Creditors

29.8

34.9

30.5

27.9

27.4

3.1

3.0

4.2

4.5

5.2

Turnover Ratios (days)

Fixed asset (x)


Solvency Ratio (x)

806

886

1,047

1,228

1,437

Net fixed assets

413

455

429

486

509

29

54

54

54

54

Interest coverage
Per share (Rs)

Cash and bank

(159)

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

Total cap employed


Investments

437

Return ratios (%)

Balance Sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs Cr)

Net Profit Before Tax

Debt-equity

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.03

16.1

20.4

42.8

60.9

104.7

60

43

35

30

73

Inventories

233

252

336

402

484

EPS

29.1

30.6

41.8

49.9

62.4

Debtors

251

278

370

448

539

BVPS

138.5

164.2

199.0

240.1

290.2

CEPS

38.2

40.4

55.2

64.6

78.9

DPS (Rs)

4.0

4.5

6.0

7.5

10.5

Dividend Yield (%)

0.6

0.7

0.9

1.1

1.6

16.0

17.2

16.8

17.6

19.7

23.2

22.1

16.1

13.5

10.8

Loans and advances

42

65

63

84

101

Total current assets

586

639

805

962

1,197

Current liab and prov

223

261

241

275

323

Net current assets

363

377

563

688

874

Total assets

806

886

1,047

1,228

1,437

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

Dividend Ratios

Dividend Payout (%)


Valuation (x)
P/E
P/BV
EV/EBIDTA
EV/Sales

4.9

4.1

3.4

2.8

2.3

13.5

12.4

9.2

7.8

6.2

2.7

2.4

1.8

1.5

1.2

Source: Company, Centrum Wealth Research

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Appendix A
Disclaimer
Centrum Broking Limited (CBL) is a full-service, Stock Broking Company and a member of The Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE), National Stock Exchange of India Ltd.
(NSE) and MCX-SX Stock Exchange Limited (MCX-SX). One of our group companies, Centrum Capital Ltd is an investment banker and an underwriter of securities. As
a group Centrum has Investment Banking, Advisory and other business relationships with a significant percentage of the companies covered by our Research Group.
Our research professionals provide important inputs into the Group's Investment Banking and other business selection processes.
Recipients of this report should assume that our Group is seeking or may seek or will seek Investment Banking, advisory, project finance or other businesses and may
receive commission, brokerage, fees or other compensation from the company or companies that are the subject of this material/report. Our Company and Group
companies and their officers, directors and employees, including the analysts and others involved in the preparation or issuance of this material and their dependants,
may on the date of this report or from, time to time have "long" or "short" positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies
mentioned herein. CBLor its affiliates do not own 1% or more in the equity of this company Our sales people, dealers, traders and other professionals may provide oral or
written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed herein, and our proprietary trading and
investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We may have earlier issued or may issue in
future reports on the companies covered herein with recommendations/ information inconsistent or different those made in this report. In reviewing this document, you
should be aware that any or all of the foregoing, among other things, may give rise to or potential conflicts of interest. We and our Group may rely on information barriers,
such as "Chinese Walls" to control the flow of information contained in one or more areas within us, or other areas, units, groups or affiliates of CBL. CBL and its affiliates
do not make a market in the security of the company for which this report or any report was written. Further, CBL or its affiliates did not make a market in the subject
companys securities at the time that the research report was published.
This report is for information purposes only and this document/material should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, purchase or
subscribe to any securities, and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or
commitment whatsoever. This document does not solicit any action based on the material contained herein. It is for the general information of the clients of CBL. Though
disseminated to clients simultaneously, not all clients may receive this report at the same time. Centrum will not treat recipients as clients by virtue of their receiving this
report. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
Similarly, this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation/circumstances and the particular needs of any specific person who
may receive this document. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all
jurisdictions or to all categories of investors. The countries in which the companies mentioned in this report are organized may have restrictions on investments, voting
rights or dealings in securities by nationals of other countries. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual
circumstances and objectives. Persons who may receive this document should consider and independently evaluate whether it is suitable for his/ her/their particular
circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional/financial advice. Any such person shall be responsible for conducting his/her/their own investigation and analysis of
the information contained or referred to in this document and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in the securities forming the subject matter of this document.
The projections and forecasts described in this report were based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties
and contingencies. Projections and forecasts are necessarily speculative in nature, and it can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the projections
and forecasts were based will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results, and such variances will likely increase over time. All projections and forecasts
described in this report have been prepared solely by the authors of this report independently of the Company. These projections and forecasts were not prepared with a
view toward compliance with published guidelines or generally accented accounting principles. No independent accountants have expressed an opinion or any other
form of assurance on these projections or forecasts. You should not regard the inclusion of the projections and forecasts described herein as a representation or
warranty by or on behalf of the Company, CBL, Centrum group, the authors of this report or any other person that these projections or forecasts or their underlying
assumptions will be achieved. For these reasons, you should only consider the projections and forecasts described in this report after carefully evaluating all of the
information in this report, including the assumptions underlying such projections and forecasts.
The price and value of the investments referred to in this document/material and the income from them may go down as well as up, and investors may realize losses on
any investments. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Future returns are not guaranteed and a loss of original capital may occur. Actual results may
differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. We do not provide tax
advice to our clients, and all investors are strongly advised to consult regarding any potential investment. CBL and its affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage
of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Foreign currencies denominated securities are subject to fluctuations in exchange rates that could have an adverse effect
on the value or price of or income derived from the investment. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs, the value of which are influenced by foreign currencies
effectively assume currency risk. Certain transactions including those involving futures, options, and other derivatives as well as non-investment-grade securities give
rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please ensure that you have read and understood the current risk disclosure documents before entering into
any derivative transactions.
This report/document has been prepared by CBL, based upon information available to the public and sources, believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty,
express or implied is made that it is accurate or complete. CBL has reviewed the report and, in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be
reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. The opinions expressed in this document/material are subject to change without notice and
have no obligation to tell you when opinions or information in this report change.
This report or recommendations or information contained herein do/does not constitute or purport to constitute investment advice in publicly accessible media and should
not be reproduced, transmitted or published by the recipient. The report is for the use and consumption of the recipient only. This publication may not be distributed to
the public used by the public media without the express written consent of CBL. This report or any portion hereof may not be printed, sold or distributed without the written consent
of CBL.
The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves
about, and observe, any such restrictions. Neither CBL nor its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect,
incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase or deal in any securities and neither this document nor anything contained herein
shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. This document is strictly confidential and is being furnished to you solely for your information, may not be
distributed to the press or other media and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. The distribution of this report in other jurisdictions may be
restricted by law and persons into whose possession this report comes should inform themselves about, and observe any such restrictions. By accepting this report, you
agree to be bound by the fore going limitations. No representation is made that this report is accurate or complete.
The opinions and projections expressed herein are entirely those of the author and are given as part of the normal research activity of CBL and are given as of this date
and are subject to change without notice. Any opinion estimate or projection herein constitutes a view as of the date of this report and there can be no assurance that
future results or events will be consistent with any such opinions, estimate or projection.
This document has not been prepared by or in conjunction with or on behalf of or at the instigation of, or by arrangement with the company or any of its directors or any
other person. Information in this document must not be relied upon as having been authorized or approved by the company or its directors or any other person. Any
opinions and projections contained herein are entirely those of the authors. None of the company or its directors or any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for
any loss arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
CBL and its affiliates have not managed or co-managed a public offering for the subject company in the preceding twelve months. CBL and affiliates have not received
compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for service in respect of public
offerings, corporate finance, debt restructuring, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger/acquisition or some other sort of specific transaction.
As per the declarations given by his/her, research analyst and the author of this report and/or any of his/her family members do not serve as an officer, director or any
way connected to the company/companies mentioned in this report. Further, as declared by his/her, he/she has not received any compensation from the above
companies in the preceding twelve months. Our entire research professionals are our employees and are paid a salary. They do not have any other material conflict of
interest of the research analyst or member of which the research analyst knows of has reason to know at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of
the public appearance.
While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, CBL, its associated companies, their directors and employees are under no obligation
to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent Centrum from doing so.
Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or
Centrum policies, in circumstances where CBL is acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or any certain other circumstances.
This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other
jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject Centrum Broking Limited or its group
companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. Specifically, this document does not constitute an offer to or solicitation to any U.S. person
for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction to any U.S. person unless otherwise stated, this message should not
be construed as official confirmation of any transaction. No part of this document may be distributed in Canada or used by private customers in United Kingdom.
The information contained herein is not intended for publication or distribution or circulation in any manner whatsoever and any unauthorized reading, dissemination,
distribution or copying of this communication is prohibited unless otherwise expressly authorized. Please ensure that you have read Risk Disclosure Document for
Capital Market and Derivatives Segments as prescribed by Securities and Exchange Board of India before investing in Indian Securities Market.

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Disclosures under the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations 2014


Disclosure of Interest Statement
1

Business activities of Centrum


Broking Limited (CBL)

Centrum Broking Limited (hereinafter referred to as CBL) is a registered


member of NSE (Cash, F&O and Currency Derivatives Segments), MCX-SX
(Currency Derivatives Segment) and BSE (Cash segment), Depository Participant
of CDSL and a SEBI registered Portfolio Manager.

Details of Disciplinary History of CBL

CBL has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority
from accessing /dealing in securities market.

Registration status of CBL

CBL is in the process of preparing application for submission to SEBI

Whether Research analysts or relatives have any financial interest in the


subject company and nature of such financial interest

No

Whether CBL and its associates have any financial interest in the subject
company and nature of such financial interest

No

Whether Research analyst or relatives have actual / beneficial ownership


of 1% or more in securities of the subject company at the end of the
month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.

No

Whether CBL or its associates have actual / beneficial ownership of 1%


or more in securities of the subject company as on the end of the month
immediately preceding the date of publication of the document.

No

(a) Whether the research analyst or his relatives has any other material
conflict of interest

No

8
(b) Whether CBL or its associates has any other material conflict of
interest

Yes (Ratnamani is part of CBLs PMS portfolio)

Whether research analyst or CBL or its associates have received any


compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months and
nature of products / services for which such compensation is received

No

10

Whether CBL or its associates have managed or co-managed public


offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months

No

11

Whether the subject company is or was a client of CBL during 12


months preceding the date of distribution of the Research Report and
the types of services provided

No

Whether the Research Analyst or CBL or its associates have received


12 any compensation or any other benefits from the subject company or third
party in connection with the research report

No

13

Whether Research Analysts has served as an officer, director or


employee of the subject company

No

14

Whether the Research Analyst or CBL has been engaged in market


making activity of the subject company.

No

Centrum Broking Ltd.

10

Centrum Wealth Research

Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd.

Member (NSE and BSE)


Regn No.:
CAPITAL MARKET SEBI REGN. NO.: BSE: INB011454239
CAPITAL MARKET SEBI REGN. NO.: NSE: INB231454233
DERIVATIVES SEBI REGN. NO.: NSE: INF231454233
(TRADING & CLEARING MEMBER)
CURRENCY DERIVATIVES: MCX-SX INE261454230
CURRENCY DERIVATIVES:NSE (TM & SCM) NSE 231454233

Depository Participant (DP)


CDSL DP ID: 120 12200
SEBI REGD NO. : CDSL : IN-DP-CDSL-661-2012
PORTFOLIO MANAGER
SEBI REGN NO.: INP000004383

Website: www.centrum.co.in
Investor Grievance Email ID: investor.grievances@centrum.co.in
Compliance Officer Details:
Kavita Ravichandran
(022) 4215 9842; Email ID: compliance@centrum.co.in

Centrum Broking Ltd. (CIN: U67120MH1994PLC078125)


REGD. OFFICE Address
Bombay Mutual Bldg.,
2nd Floor,
Dr. D.N. Road,
Fort,
Mumbai - 400 001

Centrum Broking Ltd.

Corporate Office & Correspondence Address


Centrum House
6th Floor, CST Road,
Near Vidya Nagari Marg,
Kalina, Santacruz (E)
Mumbai 400 098.
Tel: (022)4215 9000
Fax: +91 22 4215 9344

11

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