NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

September 2016
New Hampshire Questionnaire
Residents: n=1108 MOE +/- 2.9%
Registered Voters: n=987 MOE +/- 3.1%
Likely Voters: n=737 MOE +/- 3.6%
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in New Hampshire?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

LIKELY VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

September 2016
47
49
4
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

September 2016
47
48
5
100

RESIDENTS

September 2016
47
46
7
100

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

September 2016
42

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

41
11
2
3
100

REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

September 2016
40

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

40
14
2
4
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll September 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or
do you think you might vote differently on Election Day [including those who
are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate]?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support

September 2016
65

Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support

27
7
1
100
September 2016
62

Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

29
7
1
100

September 2016
39

Donald Trump, the Republican

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

37
15
3
1
5
100
September 2016
37

Donald Trump, the Republican

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll September 2016; Page 2

36
17
3
1
6
100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary

Clinton?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable

September 2016
38

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

59
3
100
REGISTERED VOTERS

Favorable

September 2016
37

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

59
4
100
RESIDENTS

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald
Trump?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable

September 2016
35
60
5
100

September 2016
36

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

61
4
100
REGISTERED VOTERS

September 2016
34
62
4
100

RESIDENTS

September 2016
33
63
5
100

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll September 2016; Page 3

If November's election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are [including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Maggie Hassan, the Democrat
Kelly Ayotte, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Maggie Hassan, the Democrat
Kelly Ayotte, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or
do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support

September 2016
44
52
<1
4
100
September 2016
44
51
<1
5
100

September 2016
64

Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

29
7
<1
100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

Strongly support

September 2016
62

Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

30
7
1
100

If November's election for governor in New Hampshire were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided
yet leaning toward a candidate]:
LIKELY VOTERS
The Democrat
The Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
The Democrat
The Republican
Other
Undecided
Total

September 2016
43
47
1
10
100
September 2016
43
46
1
10
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll September 2016; Page 4

Are you male or female?

LIKELY VOTERS

September 2016
49
51
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

September 2016
48
52
100

RESIDENTS

September 2016
49
51
100

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total
Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,108 Adults

This survey of 1,108 adults was conducted September 6th through September 8th, 2016 by The Marist
Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of
age and older residing in the state of New Hampshire were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and
interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were
randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of New Hampshire
from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was
represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first
asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through
random dialing of mobile phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided
by Luce Research for data collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were
combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age,
gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within 2.9 percentage points. There
are 987 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.1 percentage
points. There are 737 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood
respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote, interest in
the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within
3.6 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for crosstabulations.
For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll September 2016; Page 5