SC

Presidential Election Survey

Conducted 9/6-12/16
1247 Respondents
Likely General Election Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.77
Response Rate: 2.57%
Confidence: 95%
Response Distribution: 50%

Overall Survey
If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
Other/
Undecided
5.36%

Clinton
37.57%
Trump
53.00%

Johnson
Stein 3.40%

0.66%
Overall Straight-Ticket Voting
Straight-Ticket Democrat: 29.1%
Straight-Ticket Republican: 35.2%

Page 1 of 13

Which of the following do you most identify with?

Independent
7.21%
Libertarian
1.92%

Unsure
13.42%

Moderate
Democrat
19.52%

Progressive
Democrat
12.58%

Tea Party
Republican
4.96%
Moderate
Republican
13.05%

ConservaGve
Republican
27.34%

Self-Identified Moderate Democrats

Trump
10.67%

Other/
Undecided
3.28%

Stein
0.26%
Johnson
1.44%

Clinton
84.34%

Page 2 of 13

Self-Identified Progressive Democrats

Stein
1.28%

Trump
12.71%

Other/
Undecided
0.20%

Johnson
1.02%

Clinton
84.79%

Self-Identified Conservative Republicans

Clinton
4.01%

Other/
Undecided
2.32%

Johnson
2.03%
Stein
0.00%

Trump
91.65%

Page 3 of 13

Self-Identified Moderate Republicans

Other/
Undecided
2.46%

Clinton
6.49%

Johnson
5.59%
Stein
0.33%

Trump
85.13%

Self-Identified Tea Party Republicans

Other/
Undecided
11.20%

Clinton
9.86%

Johnson
3.51%
Stein
0.00%

Trump
75.44%

Page 4 of 13

Self-Identified Libertarians
Clinton
0.00%

Other/
Undecided
10.04%

Johnson
27.96%

Trump
58.80%

Stein
3.20%

Self-Identified Independents

Other/
Clinton
Undecided 20.92%
20.72%
Johnson
11.02%
Trump
44.48%

Page 5 of 13

Stein
2.87%

Age Ranges
18-25
7.10%
62+
34.25%

26-35
11.76%

36-45
14.69%
46-55
19.26%
56-61
12.93%

Seniors (62+)
Other/
Undecided
5.70%
Clinton
37.58%
Trump
53.43%
Johnson
Stein 2.32%
0.98%

Page 6 of 13

Ages 56-61
Other/
Undecided
3.45%
Clinton
40.05%
Trump
53.43%

Stein
0.00%
Johnson
3.07%

Ages 46-55
Other/
Undecided
5.86%
Clinton
43.95%
Trump
46.88%
Johnson
Stein 2.70%
0.61%
Page 7 of 13

Ages 36-45
Other/
Undecided
3.05%
Clinton
29.79%

Trump
62.90%

Johnson
4.27%
Stein
0.00%

Ages 26-35
Other/
Undecided
5.67%
Clinton
29.93%

Trump
55.37%
Johnson
9.03%
Stein
0.00%

Page 8 of 13

Ages 18-25
Other/
Undecided
10.19%
Clinton
44.52%
Trump
42.39%

Johnson
0.00%
Stein
2.91%

Low Country
Other/
Undecided
9.95%
Clinton
42.54%
Trump
42.71%
Stein Johnson
1.88% 2.93%
Page 9 of 13

Midlands
Other/
Undecided
4.97%
Clinton
43.05%
Trump
46.62%

Stein
0.63%

Johnson
4.73%

Pee Dee
Other/
Undecided
3.43%
Clinton
36.29%
Trump
58.64%
Johnson
Stein 1.42%
0.22%
Page 10 of 13

Upstate
Other/
Undecided
4.03%
Clinton
29.14%

Johnson
3.65%

Trump
63.00%

Stein
0.18%

Self-Identified Gender

Fe

Male
45.07%
Female
54.93%

Page 11 of 13

Self Identified Race/Ethnicity

Other
1.34%

Asian
0.54%
LaGno
2.40%

Black
28.36%

White
67.35%

Methodology
Likely presidential general election voters were selected at random from a list of registered
voters based on voting participation and registration date. Household locations were
extracted as well from this list. In excess of 70,000 households were called over the duration
of the poll. Each household participant was asked to opt-in to the survey if they planned to
vote in the 2016 General Election.
Using automated voice response technology allows each participant to hear the questions
exactly the same way, from the same voice, spoken with the same tone and nuance. Calls are
placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a stratified process that insures
approrpiate geographic representation. These calls were placed from 6:00pm to 8:30pm
local time from Tuesday, September 6th through Monday, September 12th.
Survey results undergo a weighting process to ensure the sample is comparable to the
demographic breakdown of 2012 South Carolina general election participants. Final results
are based on these weights in order to address non-response bias.
For more information, please contact info@trf-grp.com.
Page 12 of 13

County
Abbeville
Aiken
Allendale
Anderson
Bamberg
Barnwell
Beaufort
Berkeley
Calhoun
Charleston
Cherokee
Chester
Chesterfield
Clarendon
Colleton
Darlington
Dillon
Dorchester
Edgefield
Fairfield
Florence
Georgetown
Greenville
Greenwood
Hampton
Horry
Jasper
Kershaw
Lancaster
Laurens
Lee
Lexington
Marion
Marlboro
McCormick
Newberry
Oconee
Orangeburg
Pickens
Richland
Saluda
Spartanburg
Sumter
Union
Williamsburg
York

Poll Participation 2012 Participation

0.24%
4.97%
0.32%
3.61%
0.16%
0.40%
1.68%
2.33%
0.72%
8.02%
1.52%
0.08%
0.16%
0.56%
0.24%
1.28%
0.24%
2.73%
0.96%
0.56%
3.53%
2.65%
9.54%
1.20%
0.64%
6.90%
0.24%
1.44%
0.48%
0.64%
0.24%
5.21%
0.64%
0.32%
0.00%
1.04%
2.81%
2.09%
3.45%
9.86%
0.32%
5.93%
2.49%
0.56%
1.12%
5.85%

0.54%
3.58%
0.21%
3.68%
0.35%
0.51%
3.73%
3.47%
0.40%
8.23%
1.06%
0.73%
0.84%
0.83%
0.87%
1.54%
0.66%
2.89%
0.59%
0.61%
2.96%
1.58%
9.84%
1.46%
0.47%
5.72%
0.51%
1.42%
1.69%
1.29%
0.45%
5.73%
0.76%
0.50%
0.26%
0.83%
1.56%
2.19%
2.32%
8.10%
0.44%
5.60%
2.41%
0.64%
0.83%
Page 13 of 13 5.10%

APPENDIX CROSSTABS I
Clinton
Johnson
Stein
Trump
Other/Undecided

18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Mod Dem
Progressive
Conservative
Mod GOP
Tea Party
Libertarian
Independent
Unsure
Low Country
Midlands
Pee Dee
Upstate
Male
Female
Black
White
Latino
Asian
Other

18-25

26-35

36-45

46-55

56-61

62+

Mod Dem

Progressive Conservative Mod GOP

44.52%
0.00%
2.91%
42.39%
10.19%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
32.25%
8.68%
29.72%
4.85%
0.00%
2.04%
6.31%
16.15%
22.80%
29.10%
20.01%
28.10%
44.22%
55.78%
60.83%
33%
3%
0%
2.31%

29.93%
9.03%
0.00%
55.37%
5.67%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
23.35%
13.33%
20.98%
10.87%
10.15%
3.72%
3.72%
13.87%
20.73%
35.65%
16.02%
27.60%
47.97%
52.03%
40.86%
50.82%
3.10%
3.48%
1.74%

29.79%
4.27%
0.00%
62.90%
3.05%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
10.94%
14.58%
25.96%
16.66%
2.85%
0.98%
15.59%
12.44%
17.45%
33.68%
18.94%
29.94%
49.93%
50.07%
26.58%
66.54%
4.75%
0.00%
2.13%

43.95%
2.70%
0.61%
46.88%
5.86%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
19.45%
15.64%
27.79%
12.48%
4.88%
0.77%
7.80%
11.19%
18.69%
33.22%
23.02%
25.07%
42.55%
57.45%
25.93%
69.29%
3.12%
0.51%
1.15%

40.05%
3.07%
0.00%
53.43%
3.45%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
20.71%
14.73%
25.15%
13.26%
7.19%
1.77%
5.51%
11.68%
21.89%
29.21%
21.35%
27.56%
41.01%
58.99%
25.28%
72.51%
1.50%
0.00%
0.71%

37.58%
2.32%
0.98%
53.43%
5.70%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
18.84%
9.74%
30.21%
14.20%
4.31%
2.38%
5.30%
15.03%
19.06%
29.38%
19.75%
31.81%
45.10%
54.90%
20.64%
77.37%
0.87%
0.10%
1.02%

84.34%
1.44%
0.26%
10.67%
3.28%
11.74%
14.07%
8.23%
19.19%
13.72%
33.06%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
22.06%
40.13%
18.91%
18.90%
38.71%
61.29%
60.51%
36.44%
0.72%
1.05%
1.28%

84.79%
1.02%
1.28%
12.71%
0.20%
4.90%
12.46%
17.04%
23.95%
15.14%
26.51%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
24.52%
28.82%
26.53%
20.13%
41.90%
58.10%
44.54%
53.34%
1.53%
0.00%
0.59%

4.01%
2.03%
0.00%
91.65%
2.32%
7.72%
9.02%
13.95%
19.58%
11.89%
37.83%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
15.46%
22.82%
21.16%
40.56%
48.11%
51.89%
7.70%
90.08%
1.00%
0.00%
1.22%

6.49%
5.59%
0.33%
85.13%
2.46%
2.64%
9.80%
18.75%
18.41%
13.14%
37.27%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
18.98%
31.47%
19.88%
29.68%
45.62%
54.38%
8.54%
88.15%
2.32%
0.28%
0.70%

Tea Party

9.86%
3.51%
0.00%
75.44%
11.20%
0.00%
24.08%
8.44%
18.97%
18.76%
29.75%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
10.98%
37.93%
11.94%
39.15%
68.44%
31.56%
17.35%
68.36%
6.43%
6.12%
1.73%

Libertarian Independent

0.00%
27.96%
3.20%
58.80%
10.04%
7.56%
22.80%
7.50%
7.69%
11.96%
42.49%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
18.60%
31.29%
30.61%
19.50%
58.52%
41.48%
3.74%
71.72%
21.98%
0.00%
2.56%

20.92%
11.02%
2.87%
44.48%
20.72%
6.22%
6.07%
31.79%
20.85%
9.88%
25%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
27.67%
38.55%
8.21%
25.57%
49.82%
50.18%
11.20%
79.14%
8.19%
0.00%
1.46%

Unsure

Male

Female

48.47%
1.51%
1.02%
37.81%
11.18%
8.55%
12.16%
13.62%
16.06%
11.25%
38.36%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
19.29%
32.64%
21.36%
26.71%
37.43%
62.57%
44.63%
51.57%
1.15%
0.00%
2.65%

29.74%
3.33%
0.97%
58.67%
7.29%
6.97%
12.52%
16.28%
18.18%
11.77%
34.28%
16.77%
11.69%
29.19%
13.22%
7.53%
2.49%
7.97%
11.14%
21.71%
28.58%
18.90%
30.80%
100%
0%
24.68%
70.13%
2.78%
0.89%
1.51%

44.00%
3.46%
0.41%
48.35%
3.79%
7.21%
11.14%
13.39%
20.14%
13.89%
34.23%
21.78%
13.30%
25.83%
12.92%
2.85%
1.45%
6.58%
15.28%
17.83%
33.80%
20.99%
27.39%
0%
100%
31.38%
65.07%
2.08%
0.26%
1.21%

APPENDIX CROSSTABS II
Clinton
Johnson
Stein
Trump
Other/Undecided

18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56-61
62+
Mod Dem
Progressive
Conservative
Mod GOP
Tea Party
Libertarian
Independent
Unsure
Low Country
Midlands
Pee Dee
Upstate
Male
Female
Black
White
Latino
Asian
Other

Clinton

Johnson

Stein

Trump

100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
8.42%
9.37%
11.65%
22.53%
13.78%
34.26%
43.82%
28.39%
2.92%
2.25%
1.30%
0.00%
4.01%
17.31%
22.16%
36.03%
19.37%
22.44%
35.67%
64.33%
52.85%
43.63%
1.87%
0.55%
1.10%

0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0.00%
31.23%
18.44%
15.29%
11.68%
23.37%
8.29%
3.76%
16.29%
21.46%
5.12%
15.77%
23.35%
5.96%
16.87%
43.71%
8.40%
31.02%
44.15%
55.85%
4.38%
90.20%
1.06%
0.00%
4.36%

0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
31.29%
0.00%
0.00%
17.88%
0.00%
50.83%
7.62%
24.41%
0.00%
6.53%
0.00%
9.31%
31.29%
20.83%
55.70%
30.00%
6.53%
7.76%
66.24%
33.76%
7.62%
84.62%
7.76%
0.00%
0.00%

0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
5.68%
12.29%
17.44%
17.04%
13.04%
34.52%
3.93%
3.02%
47.28%
20.97%
7.06%
2.13%
6.05%
9.57%
15.77%
27.66%
22.18%
34.39%
49.89%
50.11%
13.78%
82.90%
2.30%
0.07%
0.95%

Other/Undec
ided
Low Country

0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
13.49%
12.44%
8.35%
21.03%
8.32%
36.37%
11.95%
0.47%
11.84%
5.99%
10.35%
3.59%
27.84%
27.97%
36.31%
29.16%
12.80%
21.73%
61.22%
38.78%
18.67%
63.24%
7.18%
5.66%
5.26%

42.54%
2.93%
1.88%
42.71%
9.95%
8.27%
12.45%
13.09%
18.38%
14.46%
33.34%
22.00%
15.75%
21.59%
12.65%
2.78%
1.82%
10.18%
13.22%
100%
0%
0%
0%
49.98%
50.02%
31.59%
63.82%
3.03%
0.18%
1.37%

Midlands

Pee Dee

Upstate

Black

White

Latino

Asian

Other

43.05%
4.73%
0.63%
46.62%
4.97%
6.57%
13.33%
15.73%
20.35%
12.01%
32.00%
24.91%
11.53%
19.85%
13.06%
5.98%
1.91%
8.83%
13.93%
0%
100%
0%
0%
40.96%
59.04%
33.33%
61.16%
3.24%
0.65%
1.62%

36.29%
1.42%
0.22%
58.64%
3.43%
7.09%
9.40%
13.88%
22.11%
13.77%
33.75%
18.41%
16.65%
28.87%
12.94%
2.95%
2.93%
2.95%
14.30%
0%
0%
100%
0%
42.49%
57.51%
31.36%
66.71%
0.72%
0.00%
1.21%

29.14%
3.65%
0.18%
63.00%
4.03%
6.90%
11.22%
15.21%
16.69%
12.32%
37.66%
12.76%
8.75%
38.34%
13.39%
6.71%
1.29%
6.37%
12.39%
0%
0%
0%
100%
47.98%
52.02%
18.71%
76.91%
2.20%
1.05%
1.12%

70.01%
0.53%
0.18%
25.75%
3.53%
15.23%
16.94%
13.77%
17.61%
11.53%
24.92%
41.65%
19.75%
7.42%
3.93%
3.03%
0.25%
2.85%
21.11%
21.80%
36.95%
22.17%
19.08%
39.22%
60.78%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%

24.34%
4.55%
0.83%
65.24%
5.04%
3.53%
8.87%
14.52%
19.81%
13.92%
39.34%
10.56%
9.96%
36.57%
17.09%
5.03%
2.04%
8.47%
10.27%
18.55%
28.55%
19.86%
33.04%
46.93%
53.07%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%

29.30%
1.50%
2.14%
50.99%
16.07%
10.09%
15.22%
29.12%
25.07%
8.09%
12.42%
5.88%
8.04%
11.43%
12.66%
13.32%
17.60%
24.64%
6.42%
24.78%
42.60%
6.00%
26.62%
52.27%
47.73%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%

37.64%
0.00%
0.00%
6.61%
55.75%
0.00%
75.31%
0.00%
18.08%
0.00%
6.61%
37.64%
0.00%
0.00%
6.61%
55.75%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.61%
37.64%
0.00%
55.75%
73.83%
26.17%
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%

30.72%
11.02%
0.00%
37.30%
20.96%
12.18%
15.23%
23.26%
16.49%
6.81%
26.03%
18.53%
5.50%
24.86%
6.82%
6.39%
3.66%
7.82%
26.42%
20.01%
37.81%
18.01%
24.16%
50.70%
49.30%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%