TargetSmart - William & Mary Poll - Ohio Statewide

CONTACT:
Coleman Bass
TargetSmart Communications, LLC
(443) 676-1803
PressPublicPolling@targetsmart.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 09/26/2016
EDITORS NOTE:
Explore our interactive dashboard with survey results and voter file data here
TARGETSMART AND WILLIAM & MARY RELEASE POLL OF OHIO LIKELY VOTERS
-Clinton 40, Trump 37 Latest Survey ShowsSeptember 26, 2016 Hillary Clinton holds a narrow, 3-point lead over Donald Trump in Ohio, 40 to 37 percent, with 8 percent of
voters supporting Gary Johnson, according to a new poll of likely voters released today by TargetSmart and William & Mary.
Recently forming a partnership to produce original research in key battleground states, TargetSmart and William & Mary
developed a unique approach to determining a likely voter model for this poll. The research team first weighted the survey data
to mirror all registered voters on the TargetSmart voter file, and then applied a second round of weights based solely on
respondents likelihood to vote, as measured by TargetSmarts General Election Turnout score, one of many predictive models
housed on the TargetSmart voter file.
Having the ability to use TargetSmarts turnout score to weight the data takes much of the guesswork out of determining a likely
voter model, said Ron Rapoport, John Marshall Professor of Government at William & Mary.
Several key trends underlie the battle for Ohios 18 electoral votes. The poll shows a more consolidated base of partisan support
for Hillary Clinton, as 85 percent of self-described Democrats back her, while just 70 percent of Republicans side with Donald
Trump. Fourteen percent of Buckeye State Republicans back a non-major party candidate (10 percent support Johnson),
compared to just 4 percent of Democrats who do the same. There is also a large gender gap as Clinton leads by 16-points among
Ohio women (47 to 31 percent), and trails Trump by 12-points among men (32 to 44 percent). When combining education and
gender, the differences are even more pronounced as Clinton leads Trump by 21-points among college educated women, but
trails Trump by 15-points among men without a college degree.
The race is even (38 percent apiece) among higher propensity voters based on TargetSmarts General Election Turnout model.
Clintons overall advantage is based on a strong performance with lower propensity voters, among whom she leads by 9-points
(44 to 35 percent), suggesting that a low turnout election could work to Trumps advantage.
The poll reached 821 registered Ohio voters through a blend of online and telephone interviews. All survey records were matched
to TargetSmarts enhanced voter file.
TargetSmart partners with a number of leading online panel providers, matching their recruited panelists to our voter file using a
proprietary anonymization process. As a result, we can analyze online survey data in much the same way pollsters have, for ye ars,
analyzed telephone polls dialed from the voter file, said TargetSmart pollster Ben Lazarus.
###
About TargetSmart:
Ta rgetSmart i s the leading provi der of political data that enables campaigns a nd organizations to successfully communicate wi th large audiences, a nd
pers onalize outreach. Our s uperior politically-focused, consultative approach combines consumer data, databases, data i ntegration a nd consulting
s ol utions for personalized multichannel marketing strategies. Ta rgetSmart l everages over 25 yea rs of experience i n data ma nagement to deliver highperformance, reliable data products and solutions.
About William & Mary:

Wi l liam & Ma ry i s a public university l ocated in Williamsburg, Vi rginia. Founded by Royal Charter i n 1693, i t i s the second o ldest institution of higher
education in the United States. U.S. News and World Report ra nks William & Ma ry s ixth among all public universities in the country.
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Ohio Statewide
Table of Contents
Poll Toplines ................................................................................................................................................. 3
Poll Methodology ....................................................................................................................................... 13
Poll Crosstabs ............................................................................................................................................. 14
1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

2
targetsmart.com
September 15-22, 2016

821 Registered Voters (RV)
652 Likely Voters (LV)

Ohio Statewide
Frequencies
First of all, are you registered to vote in Ohio?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
100
100
.No
...............................................................................................................................................................
(TERMINATE)
.
To begin, please answer a few questions for statistical purposes. Please enter the year in which you were born.
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.18
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 24
5
5
.25
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 29
13
10
.30
- 34
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
7
.35
- 39
...............................................................................................................................................................
6
5
.40
- 44
...............................................................................................................................................................
7
7
.45
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 49
9
10
.50
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 54
6
7
.55
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 59
9
10
.60
- 64
...............................................................................................................................................................
12
14
.Over
64
...............................................................................................................................................................
23
26
.(No
answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
.18
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 49
50
44
.50
and over
...............................................................................................................................................................
50
56
.
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Ohio Statewide: Frequencies, September 15-22, 2016
Please indicate whether you are male or female.

...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Male
...............................................................................................................................................................
48
49
.Female
...............................................................................................................................................................
52
51
.
How likely are you to vote in the general election this November? Would you say you definitely will vote, probably will vote,
the chances are 50-50 that you will vote, you probably will not vote, or you definitely will not vote?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Definitely
...............................................................................................................................................................
will vote
85
88
.Probably
...............................................................................................................................................................
will vote
9
8
.Chances
...............................................................................................................................................................
are 50-50
4
3
.Probably
will not vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
0
.Definitely
will not vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
.Definitely/Probably
...............................................................................................................................................................
Will Vote
94
95
.Probably/Definitely
...............................................................................................................................................................
Will Not Vote
2
1
.
How frequently do you talk to your friends and family about the election for President -- every day, a few times a week,
once a week, a couple times a month, once a month, or less than once a month?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Every
...............................................................................................................................................................
day
23
24
.A
few times a week
...............................................................................................................................................................
40
41
.Once
...............................................................................................................................................................
a week
12
11
.A
couple times a month
...............................................................................................................................................................
9
9
.Once
...............................................................................................................................................................
a month
4
3
.Less
than once a month
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
10
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
1
1
................................................................................................................................................................
.Every
...............................................................................................................................................................
day/A few times a week
63
65
.A
...............................................................................................................................................................
couple times a month/Once a month/Less than once a month
23
22
.
TargetSmart Communications LLC

4
targetsmart.com
Below are the names of several political figures. Please indicate your feelings toward each one as very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. You can also indicate if you have no opinion or have never heard of that
person.
Prefer
not
Fav
Very Smwt Smwt
Very
No
Never
to
Total
Total
Fav
Fav
Unfav Unfav
Opin/Ntrl
heard
answer
Fav
Unfav Unfav
A. Hillary Clinton
RV
23
16
14
43
4
1
0
39
57
-18
LV
22
16
14
44
4
1
0
38
57
-19
B. Donald Trump
RV
LV
18
18
16
16
12
13
48
47
5
5
1
1
0
0
34
34
60
60
-26
-25
C. Ted Strickland
RV
LV
9
9
23
23
22
23
29
31
13
11
4
3
1
0
32
32
51
54
-19
-22
D. Rob Portman
RV
LV
19
20
28
28
17
18
15
14
16
14
5
4
1
1
46
48
32
33
15
15
E. Gary Johnson
RV
LV
5
4
17
17
15
16
11
11
27
28
25
23
0
0
22
21
26
27
-5
-5

5
targetsmart.com
In the election for President this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Hillary
Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein -- for whom would you
vote?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Hillary
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton
38
38
.Lean
Hillary Clinton
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Donald
Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
34
34
.Lean
Donald Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
3
.Gary
...............................................................................................................................................................
Johnson
8
8
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Gary Johnson
1
1
.Jill
...............................................................................................................................................................
Stein
2
2
.Lean
Jill Stein
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.Other
candidate
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Lean
Other candidate
...............................................................................................................................................................
.(Undecided)
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
9
.(Would
...............................................................................................................................................................
not vote)
2
2
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
(Would not vote)
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Hillary Clinton
40
40
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
37
37
.Total
Gary Johnson
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
8
.Total
Jill Stein
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Total
Other
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Would Not Vote
2
2
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton - Total Trump
4
3
.

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targetsmart.com
(RV Effective Base: 103, LV Effective Base: 78)

(ASKED OF JOHNSON, STEIN, AND OTHER SUPPORTERS) And, if the election were held today and the candidates were:
Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump -- for whom would you vote?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Hillary
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton
29
26
.Lean
Hillary Clinton
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Donald
Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
19
20
.Lean
Donald Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
6
.(Undecided)
...............................................................................................................................................................
9
10
.Neither/would
...............................................................................................................................................................
not vote
37
36
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Neither/would not vote
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Hillary Clinton
30
28
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
24
26
.Total
Neither/Would not vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
37
36
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
6
2
.
Combined Two-Way Presidential Vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Hillary
Clinton
...............................................................................................................................................................
42
41
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Hillary Clinton
2
2
.Donald
...............................................................................................................................................................
Trump
37
37
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
3
4
.(Undecided)
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
10
.Neither/would
not vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
4
.(Would
not vote)
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
(Would not vote)
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
Hillary Clinton
...............................................................................................................................................................
44
43
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
40
40
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Would Not Vote
6
6
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
4
3
.

7
targetsmart.com

Two-Way Push Among Johnson Supporters
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Hillary
Clinton
...............................................................................................................................................................
20
18
.Lean
Hillary Clinton
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
3
.Donald
...............................................................................................................................................................
Trump
25
26
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
6
7
.(Undecided)
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
9
.Neither/would
not vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
39
37
.Lean
Neither/would not vote
...............................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Hillary Clinton
22
21
.Total
Donald Trump
...............................................................................................................................................................
31
33
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Neither/Would not vote
39
37
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
-9
-12
.
(ASKED OF CLINTON SUPPORTERS) And would you say your vote for president is more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or AGAINST
Donald Trump?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.For
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton
59
58
.Against
...............................................................................................................................................................
Trump
39
40
.(Unsure/prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
1
.
(ASKED OF TRUMP SUPPORTERS) And would you say your vote for president is more a vote FOR Donald Trump or AGAINST
Hillary Clinton?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.For
...............................................................................................................................................................
Trump
38
38
.Against
...............................................................................................................................................................
Clinton
61
61
.(Unsure/prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.

8
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In the election for U.S. Senate this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Ted
Strickland, Republican Rob Portman, Green Party candidate Joseph DeMare, non-party candidate Tom Connors, and nonparty candidate Scott Rupert -- for whom would you vote?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Ted
...............................................................................................................................................................
Strickland
31
30
.Lean
Ted Strickland
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
2
.Rob
Portman
...............................................................................................................................................................
40
43
.Lean
Rob Portman
...............................................................................................................................................................
4
4
.Joseph
...............................................................................................................................................................
DeMare
1
1
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Joseph DeMare
1
1
.Tom
...............................................................................................................................................................
Connors
1
1
.Lean
Tom Connors
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.Scott
Rupert
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.Lean
Scott Rupert
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.(Undecided)
...............................................................................................................................................................
15
14
.(Would
...............................................................................................................................................................
not vote)
3
3
.Lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
(Would not vote)
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Ted Strickland
34
32
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Rob Portman
44
47
.Total
Joseph DeMare
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.Total
Tom Connors
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Total
Scott Rupert
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Would Not Vote
3
3
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Strickland - Total Portman
-10
-14
.

9
targetsmart.com
Now for some more questions for demographic purposes. Please indicate below if, generally speaking, you think of yourself
as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, or something else.
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Strong
Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
22
21
.Weak
Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
9
9
.Independent-lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
12
11
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
16
15
.Independent-lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
11
11
.Weak
Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
13
14
.Strong
Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
17
18
.(Don't
know/Refused)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
................................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
30
30
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
with Leaners
38
37
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
31
32
................................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
- Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
-3
................................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem
...............................................................................................................................................................
42
41
.Pure
Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
16
15
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Repub
41
43
................................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Dem - Republican and Ind. Lean Repub
1
-3
.
In general, would you describe your political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or
very conservative?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Very
liberal
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
9
.Somewhat
liberal
...............................................................................................................................................................
17
17
.Moderate
...............................................................................................................................................................
31
33
.Somewhat
...............................................................................................................................................................
conservative
27
27
.Very
...............................................................................................................................................................
conservative
13
13
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
2
1
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
Liberal
27
26
.Total
Conservative
...............................................................................................................................................................
40
40
................................................................................................................................................................
.

10
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Please select from the list below the last year of schooling that you have completed.
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.1
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 11th grade
2
2
.High
school graduate
...............................................................................................................................................................
17
16
.Trade/technical/vocational
school
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
3
.Some
college/associates degree
...............................................................................................................................................................
28
26
.Four-year
...............................................................................................................................................................
college graduate/bachelor's degree
31
32
.Post-graduate
...............................................................................................................................................................
school/masters/PhD
19
20
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
1
1
................................................................................................................................................................
.H.S.
...............................................................................................................................................................
or less
19
17
.Post
...............................................................................................................................................................
H.S.
31
29
.College
...............................................................................................................................................................
Graduate
50
53
................................................................................................................................................................
.Total Non-College
...............................................................................................................................................................
49
46
.
What is your religion, if any? Are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, atheist, agnostic, something
else, or nothing in particular?
(IF PROTESTANT/CHRISTIAN) Yes or no, would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian?
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Protestant
...............................................................................................................................................................
46
45
.Roman
Catholic
...............................................................................................................................................................
26
28
.Mormon
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.Jewish
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
3
.Muslim
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.Atheist
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
3
.Agnostic
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
4
.Something
else
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Nothing
...............................................................................................................................................................
in particular
10
9
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
5
.
Evangelical
...............................................................................................................................................................
23
21
.
Please select your race from the list below.
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.White
...............................................................................................................................................................
83
86
.Black
...............................................................................................................................................................
14
11
.Hispanic
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
2
.Asian/Pacific
Islander
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.Other
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
.

11
targetsmart.com
Media Market
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.Cincinnati
...............................................................................................................................................................
17
16
.Cleveland
...............................................................................................................................................................
32
34
.Columbus
...............................................................................................................................................................
22
23
.Dayton
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
10
.Toledo
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
8
.Youngstown
...............................................................................................................................................................
6
5
.Other
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
4
.
TargetSmart Partisan Score
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.0
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 9.99
23
27
.10
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 19.99
5
5
.20
- 29.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
5
.30
- 39.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
5
.40
- 49.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
5
.50
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 59.99
5
5
.60
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 69.99
6
6
.70
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 79.99
6
5
.80
- 89.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
9
8
.90
- 100
...............................................................................................................................................................
29
30
.Unknown
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
.
TargetSmart 2016 General Turnout Score
...............................................................................................................................................................
RV
LV
.0
- 9.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
.10
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 19.99
0
0
.20
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 29.99
3
1
.30
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 39.99
6
3
.40
- 49.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
3
.50
- 59.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
6
4
.60
- 69.99
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
7
.70
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 79.99
10
9
.80
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 89.99
12
13
.90
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 100
49
61
.Unknown
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
.

12
targetsmart.com

Ohio Statewide
Survey Methodology
The TargetSmart William & Mary Poll was conducted using a blended web/phone data collection
approach. In total, the poll reached 821 registered Ohio voters. As weighted, 580 online interviews were
conducted from September 15-20, 2016 among panelists from six leading online opt-in panel providers
who were matched to the TargetSmart voter file. As weighted, 241 telephone interviews were
conducted from September 20-22, 2016 to supplement the online sample, with telephone numbers for
targeted populations being selected at random from the TargetSmart voter file. Results were weighted
by TargetSmart Partisanship Score, TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, and
media market to match the demographic characteristics of registered voters in the state.
A second round of weighting was employed to derive a sub-sample of Likely Voters. Weights
that resulted from the first round of weighting were multiplied by each respondents TargetSmart 2016
General Election Turnout score, as expressed as a value between 0.0 and 1.0. As weighted, the Likely
Voter sample consists of 652 respondents. The TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout model is an
ensemble method classifier model that was created to predict the likelihood that an individual will vote
in the 2016 general election. No margins or sampling error are calculated for this survey, as this statistic
is only applicable to fully randomly sampled surveys, which this survey is not due to its partial reliance
on online interviews.

13
targetsmart.com

Party
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart Partisanship Score
Total
Dem
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
Chance of voting...
Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Definitely will vote

Probably will vote
Chances are 50-50
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
(Prefer not to answer)
88
8
3
0
1
-
92
6
1
0
0
-
81
11
5
0
2
-
91
6
3
0
-
93
5
2
0
0
-
78
14
3
1
4
-
82
10
8
1
-
78
17
1
4
-
95
3
2
0
-
Definitely/Probably Will Vote

Probably/Definitely Will not Vote
95
1
98
1
93
3
96
0
98
1
92
5
92
1
95
4
97
0
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Every day
A few times a week
Once a week
24
41
11
25
41
12
24
38
11
21
45
11
24
45
13
20
37
13
25
37
8
29
36
9
23
44
12
A couple times a month

Once a month
Less than once a month
9
3
10
1
8
3
10
2
9
4
12
1
11
3
8
1
6
3
8
1
12
4
11
4
11
5
13
1
8
4
11
3
11
2
8
-
Every day/ A few times a week

Couple times a month or less frequently
65
22
66
21
63
25
67
21
69
17
57
26
61
30
65
23
68
20
Frequency of Talking About the Presidential Election...

Total Answering
targetsmart.com

Gender
Race
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Total
Men
Women
White
Black
Non White
White
Men
White
Women
Age
Education
18 - 49
50 and
over
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Chance of voting...
Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)

Probably will vote
Chances are 50-50
88
8
3
0
1
-
88
8
3
1
-
87
8
3
1
1
-
87
8
3
0
1
-
91
6
1
1
1
-
89
8
1
1
1
-
87
8
3
1
-
88
7
4
1
1
-
81
11
5
0
2
-
93
5
2
0
0
-
90
6
2
0
0
-
84
9
4
0
2
-

95
1
96
1
95
2
95
1
97
2
97
2
95
1
95
2
93
2
98
1
97
1
94
2

Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
Every day
A few times a week
Once a week
24
41
11
25
44
10
23
38
13
23
42
12
31
32
10
29
37
10
24
45
10
23
39
13
22
39
12
25
43
11
25
46
12
22
36
10

Once a month
9
3
10
1
7
3
10
1
11
4
10
1
10
3
10
1
4
9
10
4
5
8
9
3
8
3
10
1
11
3
10
1
12
4
9
2
7
3
10
1
6
3
7
1
13
4
14
2

Couple times a month or less
frequently
65
69
61
65
63
66
69
61
61
68
72
58
22
20
24
23
23
22
21
24
25
20
15
30
targetsmart.com

Gender/Age
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Men 18 49
Men 50+
Women 18
- 49
Women
50+
Male Non Coll

Male Coll
Women
Non - Coll
Women
Coll
Chance of voting...
Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)

Probably will vote
Chances are 50-50
88
8
3
0
1
-
79
15
4
2
-
95
3
2
-
84
8
6
0
2
-
90
7
1
1
1
-
84
8
6
2
-
90
8
1
-
85
11
3
0
1
-
90
4
4
1
1
-

95
1
93
2
98
-
92
2
97
1
92
2
99
-
95
2
95
2
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
Every day
A few times a week
Once a week
24
41
11
23
43
9
26
45
10
22
36
15
24
40
11
23
34
9
26
52
10
21
38
11
25
40
14

Once a month
9
3
10
1
9
5
10
1
7
2
9
1
14
3
9
2
8
4
11
1
13
3
15
2
3
2
5
0
13
4
12
2
9
3
8
1

65
22
66
24
72
18
57
26
65
23
57
32
78
11
58
29
65
20

Total Answering
targetsmart.com

White/Education
Total
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Clevel and
White Non
- Akron Colu mbus Cincin nati
- Coll
White Coll Canton OH
OH
OH
Other
Chance of voting...
Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)

Probably will vote
Chances are 50-50
88
8
3
0
1
-
84
9
5
0
2
-
90
7
3
0
0
-
89
7
2
1
-
88
7
3
1
1
-
86
9
3
1
1
-
86
9
4
1
-

95
1
93
2
97
1
97
1
95
2
95
2
95
1
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
Every day
A few times a week
Once a week
24
41
11
21
36
10
24
47
12
22
39
8
20
44
16
31
39
6
24
43
14

Once a month
9
3
10
1
15
3
14
2
6
3
7
0
11
6
12
2
9
2
9
-
9
3
8
3
7
2
9
0

65
22
57
31
71
16
61
28
64
20
70
21
68
18

Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
Chance of voting...
Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)

Probably will vote
Chances are 50-50
88
8
3
0
1
-
95
3
2
-
94
5
2
-
92
6
2
0
-
91
6
2
0
1
-
77
14
6
1
2
-

95
1
98
-
98
-
98
0
97
1
91
3
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
Every day
A few times a week
Once a week
24
41
11
25
44
11
23
44
13
22
45
13
23
44
12
26
34
10

Once a month
9
3
10
1
7
3
10
-
9
3
8
-
9
2
8
0
9
3
10
1
11
5
11
3

65
22
69
20
67
20
67
20
67
21
60
27

Total Answering
targetsmart.com

Chance of voting
Total
Defini tely
Defini tely / Prob ably
Ohio Statewide
Frequency of Talking About Presidential Election
Ever yday
Few times
a week
Once a
week
Daily / few Less than a

times a
few times
week
a week
Chance of voting...
Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)

Probably will vote
Chances are 50-50
88
8
3
0
1
-
100
-
92
8
-
94
3
2
1
-
89
9
1
1
-
88
10
2
-
91
7
2
1
-
79
9
8
2
2
-

95
1
100
-
100
-
97
1
98
1
98
-
98
1
88
4
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
Every day
A few times a week
Once a week
24
41
11
26
42
11
24
42
12
100
-
100
-
100
37
63
-

Once a month
9
3
10
1
9
3
8
1
9
3
8
1
41
15
44
-

65
22
67
20
67
21
100
-
100
-
100
-
100

Total Answering
targetsmart.com

Party
Ohio Statewide
Total
Dem
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
Four-Way Presidential Vote...

Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Total Hillary Clinton

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate
40
37
8
2
2
85
7
3
1
0
31
33
12
4
1
8
70
10
1
3
73
14
5
2
0
44
28
10
6
-
37
32
11
2
2
13
55
14
2
1
14
65
8
1
3
(Undecided)
15
10
14
10
Total Would Not Vote
Total Clinton - Total Trump
78
-2
-62
59
16
-42
-51
Two-Way Presidential Vote...

Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)

Total Donald Trump
43
40
88
7
35
38
11
75
76
15
54
29
38
37
16
61
16
68
(Undecided)
10
17
10
15
13
10
10
10
81
-2
-64
61
25
-45
-53
(283)
(170)
(86)
(24)
(148)
(46)
(51)
(10)
(28)
58
40
1
69
31
-
44
53
3
24
70
6
68
30
2
48
52
-
63
34
3
28
72
-
24
76
-
(263)
(13)
(92)
(159)
(29)
(25)
(50)
(38)
(121)
38
61
1
37
63
-
40
58
2
37
63
-
50
50
-
40
60
-
36
61
3
46
54
-
33
67
-
For Clinton/Against Trump...

Total Answering
For Clinton
Against Trump
(Unsure/prefer not to answer)
For Trump/Against Clinton...

Total Answering
For Trump
Against Clinton
Senate Vote...
Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Total Ted Strickland

Total Rob Portman
Total Joseph DeMare
Total Tom Connors
Total Scott Rupert
32
47
1
2
1
68
13
1
1
0
25
45
3
3
3
8
79
0
1
-
58
18
3
2
1
30
42
1
2
36
40
1
3
2
15
60
3
1
0
8
81
0
1
0
(Undecided)
14
15
16
11
16
19
17
13
-14
55
-20
-71
40
-11
-4
-44
-73
Total Strickland - Total Portman
targetsmart.com

Gender
Race
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Total
Men
Women
White
Black
Non White
White
Men
White
Women
Age
Education
18 - 49
50 and
over
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll

Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
37
8
2
2
32
44
9
2
1
47
31
8
2
2
37
40
9
2
2
72
16
1
5
-
61
21
4
5
-
29
46
10
2
2
44
34
9
1
2
41
34
10
4
1
39
40
7
1
2
42
37
7
2
2
37
38
10
2
1
(Undecided)
10
10
10
10
-11
16
-3
56
40
-17
10
-1
-2

Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)

Total Donald Trump
43
40
36
48
50
33
40
44
75
16
65
21
33
50
47
37
47
37
41
43
45
40
41
42
(Undecided)
10
11
10
11
11
10
12
10
11
-12
17
-4
59
44
-18
10
-2
-1
(283)
(115)
(168)
(222)
(54)
(61)
(91)
(131)
(133)
(150)
(155)
(123)
58
40
1
56
42
2
60
39
1
54
45
1
74
21
5
72
23
4
51
49
-
56
43
1
59
40
2
58
41
1
53
47
-
64
33
3
(263)
(153)
(111)
(243)
(12)
(20)
(140)
(104)
(106)
(157)
(136)
(127)
38
61
1
33
67
-
44
54
1
36
63
1
44
56
-
58
42
-
31
69
-
43
55
1
39
59
1
37
63
-
34
66
-
43
56
1

Total Answering
For Clinton
Against Trump

Total Answering
For Trump
Against Clinton
Senate Vote...
Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)

Total Rob Portman
Total Joseph DeMare
Total Tom Connors
Total Scott Rupert
32
47
1
2
1
27
53
1
2
2
37
41
2
1
1
29
50
2
2
1
57
26
0
1
1
49
29
0
1
2
25
56
1
2
2
34
43
2
1
0
36
35
2
2
2
29
56
1
1
-
32
51
1
2
1
32
43
2
2
2
(Undecided)
14
11
17
14
13
16
10
18
17
12
12
17
-14
-25
-4
-20
31
20
-31
-10
-27
-19
-11
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Age
Gender/Education
Total
Men 18 49
Men 50+
Women 18
- 49
Women
50+
Male Non Coll

Male Coll
Women
Non - Coll
Women
Coll

Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
37
8
2
2
34
40
10
3
1
31
47
8
1
1
47
28
10
4
2
47
33
6
0
2
30
45
9
1
2
34
43
8
3
1
42
33
10
2
0
51
30
6
2
4
(Undecided)
10
10
10
11
10
-5
-16
19
14
-15
-10
21

Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)

Total Donald Trump
43
40
39
44
34
51
54
31
48
35
34
51
37
46
47
35
53
33
(Undecided)
10
11
10
13
11
12
-5
-17
23
13
-17
-9
12
21
(283)
(54)
(61)
(79)
(89)
(46)
(67)
(77)
(87)
58
40
1
58
40
1
54
44
3
59
39
2
60
40
-
66
29
5
48
52
-
62
36
2
56
44
-
(263)
(61)
(92)
(45)
(65)
(70)
(83)
(57)
(54)
38
61
1
31
69
-
35
65
-
50
47
3
40
60
-
35
65
-
32
68
-
52
46
2
36
64
-

Total Answering
For Clinton
Against Trump

Total Answering
For Trump
Against Clinton
Senate Vote...
Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)

Total Rob Portman
Total Joseph DeMare
Total Tom Connors
Total Scott Rupert
32
47
1
2
1
32
40
2
3
4
24
63
1
1
-
41
30
3
1
1
33
49
1
1
-
27
47
1
2
2
27
58
1
2
1
36
39
3
1
1
37
42
1
1
-
(Undecided)
14
14
21
14
15
18
17
-14
-9
-38
11
-16
-19
-31
-3
-6
targetsmart.com

White/Education
Total
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Clevel and
White Non
- Coll
OH
OH
Other

Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
37
8
2
2
29
44
12
1
1
42
37
7
2
2
45
31
8
3
1
41
34
9
1
2
36
46
5
1
1
35
42
10
2
2
(Undecided)
10
11
-14
14
-10
-7

Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)

Total Donald Trump
43
40
34
48
45
40
50
34
43
40
37
50
39
43
(Undecided)
10
12
10
10
12
11
-14
16
-12
-5
(283)
(83)
(138)
(112)
(64)
(39)
(67)
58
40
1
59
39
2
51
49
-
61
37
2
56
43
1
68
32
-
49
49
2
(263)
(119)
(125)
(76)
(59)
(53)
(76)
38
61
1
43
56
1
30
70
-
34
66
-
32
68
-
32
66
3
51
49
-

Total Answering
For Clinton
Against Trump

Total Answering
For Trump
Against Clinton
Senate Vote...
Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)

Total Rob Portman
Total Joseph DeMare
Total Tom Connors
Total Scott Rupert
32
47
1
2
1
28
47
2
2
1
31
52
1
2
1
35
42
3
2
0
30
43
1
1
4
24
61
0
-
36
46
1
4
1
(Undecided)
14
17
11
15
21
10
10
-14
-19
-21
-7
-14
-37
-10
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99

Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
37
8
2
2
36
39
8
2
1
36
40
8
2
1
38
38
8
2
2
38
38
8
2
2
45
35
11
2
1
(Undecided)
12
12
11
11
-3
-4
10

Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)

Total Donald Trump
43
40
39
43
39
43
41
40
41
41
49
39
(Undecided)
10
13
13
13
12
-3
-3
10
(283)
(132)
(155)
(181)
(198)
(85)
58
40
1
49
51
-
51
49
-
52
48
-
54
46
-
68
27
5
(263)
(143)
(168)
(177)
(195)
(68)
38
61
1
38
62
-
38
62
-
38
62
-
38
62
-
38
60
2

Total Answering
For Clinton
Against Trump

Total Answering
For Trump
Against Clinton
Senate Vote...
Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)

Total Rob Portman
Total Joseph DeMare
Total Tom Connors
Total Scott Rupert
32
47
1
2
1
28
55
1
2
0
29
54
1
2
0
29
52
1
2
0
29
51
2
2
0
40
35
1
2
3
(Undecided)
14
13
13
14
14
14
-14
-27
-25
-22
-21
targetsmart.com

Chance of voting
Total
Defini tely
Ohio Statewide
Ever yday
Few times
a week
Once a
week

times a
few times
week
a week

Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
40
37
8
2
2
42
38
8
2
1
41
38
8
2
1
44
39
7
1
1
39
42
8
3
2
47
29
12
4
-
41
41
8
2
1
35
31
8
1
3
(Undecided)
17
-3
18

Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)

Total Donald Trump
43
40
46
42
45
41
46
43
43
44
51
31
44
44
37
35
(Undecided)
10
10
12
18
10
-1
20
(283)
(262)
(278)
(72)
(116)
(38)
(188)
(54)
58
40
1
61
39
0
58
40
1
69
31
1
54
46
-
57
35
8
60
40
0
52
47
1
(263)
(237)
(254)
(67)
(119)
(23)
(187)
(51)
38
61
1
40
59
1
39
61
1
46
52
2
33
67
-
33
67
-
38
62
1
40
60
-

Total Answering
For Clinton
Against Trump

Total Answering
For Trump
Against Clinton
Senate Vote...
Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)

Total Rob Portman
Total Joseph DeMare
Total Tom Connors
Total Scott Rupert
32
47
1
2
1
34
49
1
2
1
33
48
2
2
1
36
50
0
1
3
32
50
1
2
1
43
41
4
2
-
34
50
1
2
2
22
41
2
2
-
(Undecided)
14
11
13
12
11
26
-14
-15
-15
-14
-17
-16
-19
targetsmart.com

Party
Ohio Statewide
Total
Dem
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
22
22
31
26
21
27
28
24
28
18
27
27
17
21
37
25
16
25
28
31
24
31
31
14
41
21
25
12
50
21
11
18
3
15
44
39
18 - 49
50 and over
44
56
48
52
46
54
38
62
41
59
55
45
63
37
71
29
17
83
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
49
51
32
68
60
40
51
49
38
62
41
59
53
47
72
28
53
47
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Strong Dem
21
71
53
14
15
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
9
11
15
11
14
18
1
29
-
30
41
29
-
43
57
-
16
12
11
3
3
2
0
16
19
22
10
3
12
3
5
13
22
16
19
10
-
2
12
26
18
20
18
-
2
4
8
13
26
45
0
Democrat
Ind with Leaners
Republican
30
37
32
100
-
100
-
100
69
26
5
30
51
16
20
51
29
6
56
38
3
26
71
Dem-Rep
-3
100
-100
63
15
-9
-32
-68
Democrat and Ind. Lean Dem

Ind
Republican and Ind. Lean Rep
41
15
43
100
-
30
41
29
100
81
11
9
50
22
26
33
22
45
18
26
56
7
8
84
Dem-Rep
-3
100
-100
72
24
-12
-38
-77
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Somewhat conservative
Very conservative
9
17
33
27
13
1
23
33
32
6
6
1
7
15
47
21
10
1
0
4
19
53
23
1
19
26
38
11
4
1
12
28
31
18
11
-
8
15
45
22
9
1
3
9
27
32
22
6
0
5
21
51
22
0
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
26
40
56
12
22
30
4
75
45
15
40
29
23
31
12
55
5
73
Respondent gender...
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com

Gender
Race
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Total
Men
Women
White
Black
Non White
White
Men
White
Women
Age
Education
18 - 49
50 and
over
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
22
22
31
26
25
19
28
29
19
25
33
23
22
21
32
25
26
20
20
33
23
26
19
31
25
18
29
28
18
25
36
21
50
50
-
54
46
18
23
34
25
26
21
27
26
18 - 49
50 and over
44
56
44
56
44
56
43
57
46
54
49
51
43
57
43
57
100
-
100
41
59
47
53
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
49
51
100
-
100
50
50
40
60
44
56
100
-
100
49
51
49
51
52
48
45
55
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
Strong Dem
21
13
29
17
57
46
10
24
24
19
17
25
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
9
11
15
11
14
18
1
7
13
17
15
13
21
1
10
9
14
7
15
16
0
9
10
16
12
16
20
-
4
11
11
4
1
8
5
5
16
13
4
4
8
4
7
12
17
17
14
24
-
11
9
15
8
18
16
-
9
15
12
12
14
14
0
8
8
18
10
14
22
1
9
13
13
12
16
19
1
8
9
18
10
12
18
-
Democrat
Ind with Leaners
Republican
30
37
32
20
46
34
39
29
31
26
38
36
61
25
9
51
33
12
17
45
38
35
31
34
32
39
28
28
36
36
27
38
35
33
37
30
Dem-Rep
-3
-14
-10
52
39
-20
-8
-8

Ind
41
15
43
33
17
49
48
14
38
36
16
48
72
11
13
67
13
16
29
17
54
44
15
42
47
12
40
36
18
46
39
13
47
42
18
40
Dem-Rep
-3
-16
11
-12
60
51
-25
-10
-7
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
17
33
27
13
1
9
11
32
32
15
1
10
22
34
22
11
1
7
17
34
28
12
1
27
14
21
19
15
4
22
13
28
20
14
3
7
12
31
33
16
1
7
23
36
24
9
1
14
20
28
23
13
2
6
14
37
30
12
1
8
18
32
32
10
-
10
15
34
22
16
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
26
40
20
47
32
33
25
41
40
34
34
35
19
48
30
33
34
36
20
43
26
42
26
38
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Age
Gender/Education
Total
Men 18 49
Men 50+
Women 18
- 49
Women
50+
Male Non Coll

Male Coll
Women
Non - Coll
Women
Coll
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
22
22
31
26
57
43
-
49
51
44
56
-
59
41
31
16
25
28
20
21
30
29
22
25
29
24
16
25
38
21
18 - 49
50 and over
44
56
100
-
100
100
-
100
47
53
41
59
47
53
41
59
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
49
51
100
-
100
-
100
100
100
-
100
-
100
100
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
Strong Dem
21
14
12
32
27
17
31
26
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
9
11
15
11
14
18
1
8
19
13
17
13
16
-
6
9
20
14
12
25
1
10
11
12
7
15
13
0
11
8
15
6
16
18
0
9
11
17
12
11
23
-
5
14
17
18
14
20
1
7
7
19
8
13
15
-
14
11
8
5
18
17
-
Democrat
Ind with Leaners
Republican
30
37
32
22
49
29
18
43
38
42
30
27
37
28
34
26
40
34
15
50
34
38
34
28
40
25
35
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-3
-7
-20
15
-8
-20
11

Ind
41
15
43
41
13
46
27
20
52
53
12
35
45
15
40
37
17
46
29
17
52
46
19
35
51
8
41
Dem-Rep
-3
-5
-25
18
-9
-23
10
10
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
17
33
27
13
1
14
11
32
26
14
3
5
12
31
37
16
-
14
28
24
20
12
2
7
17
42
24
9
1
10
9
31
27
20
3
8
13
32
36
11
-
11
20
37
18
12
2
8
23
33
27
9
-
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
26
40
25
40
17
52
42
32
24
33
19
47
21
48
31
30
31
36
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com

White/Education
Total
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Clevel and
White Non
- Coll
OH
OH
Other
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
22
22
31
26
27
21
28
23
17
21
36
26
15
24
28
33
16
27
35
22
30
15
31
24
32
19
30
20
18 - 49
50 and over
44
56
48
52
38
62
39
61
43
57
45
55
51
49
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
49
51
46
54
53
47
43
57
47
53
54
46
55
45
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
Strong Dem
21
17
17
31
15
21
14
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
9
11
15
11
14
18
1
9
8
19
11
14
21
-
9
12
13
13
17
19
-
10
9
15
8
12
15
-
10
11
15
12
19
17
0
4
10
14
7
13
29
3
8
15
17
15
13
18
-
Democrat
Ind with Leaners
Republican
30
37
32
26
39
35
26
37
36
41
32
27
25
38
37
25
31
41
22
47
31
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-3
-9
-10
15
-11
-16
-9

Ind
41
15
43
34
19
47
38
13
49
50
15
35
36
15
49
35
14
48
37
17
46
Dem-Rep
-3
-12
-11
15
-13
-13
-10
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
17
33
27
13
1
7
16
36
24
16
2
8
19
32
32
10
-
11
20
38
23
8
1
9
18
29
34
9
1
10
12
24
33
20
2
8
14
36
23
17
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
26
40
23
39
26
42
31
31
27
44
21
53
22
40
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
22
22
31
26
2
19
44
35
2
22
42
34
7
22
40
32
8
23
37
32
61
19
11
9
18 - 49
50 and over
44
56
21
79
24
76
29
71
31
69
80
20
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
49
51
52
48
51
49
51
49
49
51
47
53
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
Strong Dem
21
19
18
18
18
30
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
9
11
15
11
14
18
1
9
8
16
11
17
21
-
9
9
16
10
17
21
-
9
9
17
11
16
20
-
10
10
16
10
16
20
1
6
15
14
13
8
14
1
Democrat
Ind with Leaners
Republican
30
37
32
28
34
38
27
35
38
27
36
36
27
36
36
36
42
21
Dem-Rep
-3
-10
-11
-9
-9
15

Ind
41
15
43
36
16
48
36
16
48
37
17
47
37
16
46
51
14
35
Dem-Rep
-3
-12
-12
-10
-9
16
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
17
33
27
13
1
6
14
39
31
10
-
7
15
37
31
10
-
7
17
36
29
10
-
8
16
35
28
12
-
13
18
26
23
15
5
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
26
40
20
40
22
41
24
39
24
40
31
38
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com

Chance of voting
Total
Defini tely
Ohio Statewide
Ever yday
Few times
a week
Once a
week

times a
few times
week
a week
Respondent age...
Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
22
22
31
26
19
21
32
27
21
22
31
26
26
15
28
31
19
23
31
27
21
26
35
19
22
20
30
29
21
27
31
21
18 - 49
50 and over
44
56
41
59
42
58
41
59
42
58
46
54
41
59
49
51
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
49
51
49
51
49
51
51
49
52
48
42
58
52
48
44
56
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
Strong Dem
21
24
22
28
21
17
24
15
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
9
11
15
11
14
18
1
8
10
14
11
14
20
1
8
11
15
11
14
19
1
4
10
14
15
10
19
2
8
12
11
11
15
21
-
13
19
13
6
17
14
1
7
11
12
13
13
20
1
13
7
25
9
17
14
0
Democrat
Ind with Leaners
Republican
30
37
32
31
35
34
30
36
33
31
38
29
29
35
36
30
38
31
30
36
33
28
41
31
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID...
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-3
-2
-2
-6
-1
-3
-3

Ind
41
15
43
41
14
44
41
15
44
41
14
44
42
11
47
50
13
37
41
12
46
35
25
40
Dem-Rep
-3
-4
-2
-3
-5
13
-4
-6
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
Very liberal
Somewhat liberal
Moderate
Very conservative
9
17
33
27
13
1
10
17
31
27
13
1
9
17
32
27
13
1
15
14
23
32
16
0
10
17
29
29
13
1
9
23
40
22
6
1
12
16
27
30
14
1
3
16
49
22
9
2
Total Liberal
Total Conservative
26
40
27
40
27
40
28
48
27
43
32
28
28
44
19
31
Ideology...
Total Answering
targetsmart.com

Party
Ohio Statewide
Total
Dem
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
Education...
Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college/bachelor's degree
Post-graduate school/masters/PhD
2
16
3
26
32
20
1
3
21
3
24
30
17
2
0
12
3
31
34
20
0
2
16
2
24
33
24
-
2
19
4
25
26
22
3
1
12
3
34
38
12
-
3
17
30
36
14
-
0
19
3
22
33
23
-
0
13
3
23
33
27
0
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
17
29
53
24
27
47
13
34
53
17
26
56
21
29
48
13
37
50
20
30
49
19
25
56
13
26
61
Total Non-College
46
51
46
44
50
50
51
44
39
Religion...
Total Answering
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
Nothing in particular
Prefer not to answer
45
28
1
3
0
3
4
2
9
5
40
28
4
0
6
5
2
11
4
40
26
0
3
1
2
5
3
13
7
56
31
1
2
1
2
1
3
3
34
30
0
5
1
4
5
2
11
7
49
25
1
5
10
0
9
1
43
29
1
4
2
1
2
15
2
49
27
1
1
7
1
6
7
56
27
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
5
Total Evangelical
21
17
19
27
18
26
15
26
26
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
86
11
2
0
1
-
75
23
1
0
1
-
87
7
3
3
-
95
3
1
1
0
-
70
27
1
0
2
-
81
17
1
1
-
91
2
5
1
1
-
97
0
2
1
-
97
1
1
1
-
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Other
targetsmart.com

Gender
Race
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
Total
Men
Women
White
Black
Non White
White
Men
White
Women
Age
Education
18 - 49
50 and
over
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Education...
Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
1 - 11th grade
2
16
3
26
32
20
1
0
15
2
26
34
22
1
3
17
3
26
30
19
1
1
15
3
26
34
22
-
7
24
3
33
18
7
7
5
22
3
29
23
13
6
13
2
26
37
22
-
2
17
3
26
31
21
-
2
17
1
30
32
17
1
1
15
4
24
32
23
1
61
39
-
3
34
6
57
-
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
17
29
53
15
28
56
20
30
49
16
29
56
31
36
25
27
31
36
13
28
59
19
29
52
19
31
49
16
28
55
100
38
62
-
Total Non-College
46
43
50
44
67
58
41
48
50
44
100
Religion...
Total Answering
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
45
28
1
3
0
3
4
2
9
5
41
30
1
3
0
5
5
1
11
5
49
26
1
3
0
1
4
2
8
5
44
30
1
3
3
5
2
9
3
60
12
1
2
1
1
1
12
10
51
19
1
1
2
1
2
2
10
12
40
30
1
3
5
5
1
11
4
48
29
0
4
1
4
3
8
3
45
25
1
2
1
4
6
1
12
3
46
31
1
4
0
2
3
2
7
6
44
30
1
4
1
4
4
2
7
3
47
26
1
2
2
5
2
12
4
Total Evangelical
21
19
23
18
48
40
17
19
25
18
17
26
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
86
11
2
0
1
-
87
9
3
0
1
-
84
13
1
1
1
-
100
-
100
-
77
12
2
9
-
100
-
100
-
84
12
3
0
1
-
87
11
1
0
1
-
90
5
2
0
2
-
82
16
1
0
1
-
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Other
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Age
Gender/Education
Total
Men 18 49
Men 50+
Women 18
- 49
Women
50+
Male Non Coll

Male Coll
Women
Non - Coll
Women
Coll
Education...
Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
1 - 11th grade
2
16
3
26
32
20
1
18
28
37
17
0
0
12
3
25
33
26
1
4
16
2
32
28
18
1
3
18
4
22
32
19
1
0
34
4
61
-
61
39
-
6
34
7
53
-
62
38
-
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
17
29
53
18
28
53
12
29
59
20
34
46
20
26
52
34
66
-
100
40
60
-
100
Total Non-College
46
46
40
54
47
100
100
Religion...
Total Answering
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
45
28
1
3
0
3
4
2
9
5
36
32
1
0
7
6
0
14
4
44
29
1
4
3
4
1
8
5
53
19
1
3
1
2
7
2
11
3
47
32
3
0
1
1
3
6
6
44
26
1
2
3
4
1
13
6
39
33
1
3
0
6
5
1
9
3
49
25
1
2
1
5
3
11
3
50
28
1
5
1
1
3
2
6
4
Total Evangelical
21
24
16
26
20
27
14
26
20
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
86
11
2
0
1
-
86
10
5
0
-
88
9
1
0
2
-
82
14
1
1
3
-
86
13
0
1
0
-
83
15
1
1
-
91
4
4
0
1
-
81
17
1
1
1
-
89
7
1
1
2
-
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Other
targetsmart.com

White/Education
Total
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Clevel and
White Non
- Coll
OH
OH
Other
Education...
Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
1 - 11th grade
2
16
3
26
32
20
1
2
33
6
59
-
61
39
-
1
12
5
29
33
19
1
0
14
1
22
36
26
0
1
19
3
29
25
21
1
3
21
1
25
33
16
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
17
29
53
36
64
-
100
14
34
52
14
24
62
21
32
47
23
26
49
Total Non-College
46
100
47
38
52
50
Religion...
Total Answering
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
45
28
1
3
0
3
4
2
9
5
45
28
1
2
2
5
2
11
4
44
31
0
5
4
5
1
8
3
40
32
0
4
1
3
5
2
9
5
50
19
1
2
4
5
1
12
6
44
35
0
3
2
1
4
6
4
49
28
1
2
0
2
5
1
9
4
Total Evangelical
21
22
15
16
20
29
24
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
86
11
2
0
1
-
100
-
100
-
83
13
2
0
1
-
89
7
1
3
-
79
19
1
0
1
-
90
6
3
0
1
-
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
14
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Other
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
Education...
Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
1 - 11th grade
2
16
3
26
32
20
1
0
11
3
23
38
25
-
0
11
3
23
38
24
-
0
11
3
23
37
25
-
1
12
3
23
37
23
1
4
25
2
35
20
12
1
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
17
29
53
11
26
63
11
26
62
11
27
62
13
26
60
29
37
32
Total Non-College
46
37
38
38
39
66
Religion...
Total Answering
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
45
28
1
3
0
3
4
2
9
5
43
34
0
4
0
3
3
2
7
4
43
34
0
3
0
3
3
2
7
4
42
34
0
3
0
3
4
2
8
4
43
32
0
3
0
2
4
2
8
6
52
19
1
3
1
4
5
1
12
2
Total Evangelical
21
15
15
15
16
36
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
86
11
2
0
1
-
93
3
3
0
1
-
93
3
2
0
1
-
92
4
2
0
2
-
90
6
2
0
2
-
74
24
1
1
-
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Other
targetsmart.com

Chance of voting
Total
Defini tely
Ohio Statewide
Ever yday
Few times
a week
Once a
week

times a
few times
week
a week
Education...
Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
1 - 11th grade
2
16
3
26
32
20
1
2
16
3
25
33
22
1
2
16
3
25
32
21
1
2
12
3
25
30
26
2
2
12
2
24
38
21
-
18
1
23
30
27
1
2
12
3
24
35
23
1
2
24
3
34
26
10
2
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
College Graduate
17
29
53
18
27
54
18
28
54
14
28
56
14
26
59
18
24
57
14
27
58
26
37
36
Total Non-College
46
45
46
42
41
42
41
63
Religion...
Total Answering
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
Protestant
Roman Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Atheist
Agnostic
Something else
45
28
1
3
0
3
4
2
9
5
46
29
1
3
0
3
4
2
8
4
45
29
1
3
0
3
5
2
8
4
43
31
1
4
0
3
3
2
11
3
46
28
3
1
4
4
2
8
5
42
34
1
4
3
5
1
6
3
45
29
0
3
1
3
4
2
9
4
47
23
1
2
2
5
2
12
7
Total Evangelical
21
21
21
24
22
18
23
18
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
86
11
2
0
1
-
85
11
2
0
1
-
85
11
2
0
1
-
83
14
2
1
-
87
9
2
0
2
-
88
10
0
2
-
85
11
2
1
1
-
86
11
1
1
-
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Other
targetsmart.com

Party
Ohio Statewide
Total
Dem
Ind
Rep
90+
70 - 89.99
30 - 69.99
10 - 29.99
0 - 9.99
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
27
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
8
30
-
3
1
1
1
3
4
5
3
10
68
-
19
7
8
7
6
9
6
10
8
21
-
59
7
5
7
5
1
5
2
4
5
-
100
-
41
59
-
24
24
24
27
-
51
49
-
100
-
(652)
(194)
(243)
(211)
(193)
(86)
(133)
(62)
(177)
0
1
3
3
4
7
9
13
61
-
1
2
4
5
7
12
12
56
-
0
1
3
2
4
8
11
14
56
-
1
2
2
3
5
6
11
71
-
0
1
2
5
3
5
9
12
63
-
4
8
3
6
10
9
18
43
-
1
2
2
7
10
21
18
40
-
1
4
5
9
13
7
20
40
-
0
1
0
2
2
6
89
-
TargetSmart Partisan Score...

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score...

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com

Gender
Race
Ohio Statewide
White/Gender
White
Men
White
Women
Age
Education
18 - 49
50 and
over
Total
Coll
Grad
Total
Non Coll
Total
Men
Women
White
Black
Non White
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
27
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
8
30
-
30
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
6
23
-
25
3
3
4
4
5
6
6
9
36
-
31
5
5
6
5
5
6
6
6
24
-
3
0
2
2
21
73
-
5
1
1
1
2
6
3
18
62
-
33
8
8
7
6
4
6
5
5
18
-
29
3
3
4
5
6
6
7
7
30
-
11
7
8
5
9
7
9
7
10
28
-
40
3
2
5
2
4
3
5
6
31
-
31
4
7
4
6
5
4
6
7
27
-
23
6
3
6
4
5
7
5
9
32
-

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
(652)
(319)
(333)
(558)
(72)
(94)
(277)
(281)
(285)
(367)
(344)
(303)
0
1
3
3
4
7
9
13
61
-
1
3
3
3
6
10
11
63
-
0
1
2
3
5
7
9
14
58
-
0
1
2
2
3
6
9
11
66
-
3
7
10
11
14
12
25
17
-
2
6
8
10
12
10
22
31
-
0
2
2
3
6
10
9
67
-
0
1
2
2
4
6
8
13
64
-
0
2
5
5
8
12
17
18
34
-
0
1
1
2
2
4
9
82
-
1
2
2
3
4
5
12
72
-
0
1
3
3
6
10
15
13
49
-
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Gender/Age
Gender/Education
Total
Men 18 49
Men 50+
Women 18
- 49
Women
50+
Male Non Coll

Male Coll
Women
Non - Coll
Women
Coll
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
27
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
8
30
-
8
11
12
7
11
6
10
6
8
21
-
46
4
3
5
2
4
2
3
5
25
-
13
4
4
3
7
7
8
7
12
34
-
34
1
1
4
2
4
4
6
6
37
-
27
10
4
5
4
2
8
2
9
28
-
(180)
(166)
(164)
32
5
9
7
7
7
4
6
4
18
-
20
4
2
6
4
8
6
7
9
35
-
30
2
4
1
5
2
6
6
9
36
-
(652)
(139)
(180)
(147)
(187)
(137)
(180)
(166)
(164)
0
1
3
3
4
7
9
13
61
-
1
5
6
6
12
19
19
33
-
1
1
1
2
3
5
86
-
0
3
4
5
9
13
14
17
34
-
0
1
1
2
2
5
12
77
-
1
5
3
5
8
17
14
48
-
0
2
2
2
5
5
9
75
-
0
2
2
3
7
11
12
13
50
-
1
2
2
3
3
5
15
68
-

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com

White/Education
Total
Ohio Statewide
Media Market
Clevel and
White Non
- Coll
OH
OH
Other

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
27
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
8
30
-
27
7
3
7
5
6
8
6
8
22
-
34
4
7
5
6
4
4
7
5
26
-
25
2
4
3
3
6
3
6
9
39
-
32
2
3
3
5
5
5
5
8
31
-
34
6
7
7
5
3
6
3
7
21
-
22
11
6
8
7
5
9
6
6
22
-
(652)
(248)
(310)
(222)
(150)
(106)
(175)
0
1
3
3
4
7
9
13
61
-
0
1
2
2
4
8
15
12
56
-
0
2
2
2
4
5
11
73
-
0
3
1
3
4
8
10
71
-
0
1
3
2
4
11
19
59
-
0
1
4
4
6
9
6
18
52
-
2
3
3
6
11
11
9
54
-

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com
Ohio Statewide
Total
95+
90+
85+
80+
0 - 79.99
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
27
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
8
30
-
42
3
3
5
2
3
3
3
5
31
-
40
4
3
5
3
3
3
4
5
31
-
37
3
4
5
3
4
4
5
5
30
-
35
3
5
5
3
4
4
4
7
30
-
5
9
5
5
10
8
10
9
11
28
-
(652)
(336)
(395)
(437)
(479)
(173)
0
1
3
3
4
7
9
13
61
-
100
-
100
-
10
90
-
18
82
-
0
4
10
11
16
25
35
-

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com

Chance of voting
Total
Defini tely
Ohio Statewide
Ever yday
Few times
a week
Once a
week

times a
few times
week
a week

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
27
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
8
30
-
29
5
3
5
4
5
5
5
7
31
-
28
5
4
5
5
5
5
6
7
30
-
27
6
6
4
4
6
7
6
5
30
-
29
3
5
5
5
4
4
5
7
33
-
29
4
3
3
4
2
6
12
3
34
-
28
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
31
-
25
6
4
8
7
5
7
4
12
23
-
(652)
(571)
(622)
(156)
(269)
(73)
(424)
(146)
0
1
3
3
4
7
9
13
61
-
0
1
1
2
4
6
8
12
65
-
0
1
2
3
4
7
9
12
62
-
0
0
1
3
6
8
12
12
58
-
1
1
4
3
5
8
13
65
-
2
4
3
2
7
7
7
69
-
0
1
1
3
4
6
9
13
62
-
1
6
1
6
5
12
14
54
-

Total Answering
0 - 9.99
10 - 19.99
20 - 29.99
30 - 39.99
40 - 49.99
50 - 59.99
60 - 69.99
70 - 79.99
80 - 89.99
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com

TargetSmart - William & Mary Poll - Ohio Statewide

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 09/26/2016

About William & Mary:

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Poll Toplines ................................................................................................................................................. 3

Poll Methodology ....................................................................................................................................... 13

Poll Crosstabs ............................................................................................................................................. 14

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

September 15-22, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Please indicate whether you are male or female.

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

(RV Effective Base: 103, LV Effective Base: 78)

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

(RV Effective Base: 68, LV Effective Base: 54)

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

September 15-22, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

TargetSmart Partisanship Score

Definitely will vote

Definitely/Probably Will Vote

A couple times a month

Every day/ A few times a week

Frequency of Talking About the Presidential Election...

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

September 15-22, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Definitely will vote

Definitely/Probably Will Vote

Frequency of Talking About the Presidential Election...

A couple times a month

Every day/ A few times a week

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

September 15-22, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Male Non Coll

Definitely will vote

Definitely/Probably Will Vote

A couple times a month

Every day/ A few times a week

Frequency of Talking About the Presidential Election...

TargetSmart Communications, LLC