NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

October 2016
Ohio Questionnaire

Residents: n=1,129 MOE +/-2.9%

Registered Voters: n=1,007 MOE +/-3.1%
Likely Voters: n=724 MOE +/-3.6%
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?

Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Ohio?

HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

LIKELY VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

October 2016
45
49
6
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
45
48
8
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
46
46
8
100

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if
the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans
Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

October 2016
45
45
7
1
3
100

REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats

October 2016
44

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans

Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

44
8
1
3
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll October 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support them, or
do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
70
25
4
1
100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
66
28
4
1
100

If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if
the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll October 2016; Page 2

October 2016
41
42
9
4
1
3
100
October 2016
40
40
10
4
2
3
100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?

LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable

59
4
100
REGISTERED VOTERS

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

RESIDENTS

Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

October 2016
36
59
4
100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

October 2016
37

October 2016
35
59
6
100

October 2016
35
61
5
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
33
62
5
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
32
63
5
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll October 2016; Page 3

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Ohio were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet leaning
toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Ted Strickland, the Democrat
Rob Portman, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Ted Strickland, the Democrat
Rob Portman, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
37
55
3
5
100
October 2016
36
54
3
6
100

October 2016
53
35
10
2
100

REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

October 2016
51
37
11
2
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll October 2016; Page 4

Are you male or female?

Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016
48
52
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
48
52
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
48
52
100

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll of 1,129 Adults

This survey of 1,129 adults was conducted October 10th through October 12th, 2016 by The Marist Poll
sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age
and older residing in the state of Ohio were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in
English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly
selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Ohio from ASDE Survey
Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its
population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male.
This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone
numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data
collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the
2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region, except for race,
which is from the 2010 census. Results are statistically significant within 2.9 percentage points. There are
1,007 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.1 percentage points.
There are 724 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood
respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the
election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.6
percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for crosstabulations.
For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll October 2016; Page 5