To:

Fr:
Re:
Date:

Interested Parties
Pete Brodnitz, Expedition Strategies
Recent polling in Virginias 10th Congressional District
October 13, 2016

The results of our recent poll of likely general election voters in Virginias 10 th Congressional District
shows LuAnn Bennett taking the lead in the race for Congress and in a strong position to defeat
Congresswoman Barbara Comstock in November.

Bennett Has Closed The Gap On The Ballot, Now Leads Comstock
In our September poll, Barbara Comstock led by 4% (41% Bennett, 45% Comstock, 1% another
candidate and 12% undecided). Now, LuAnn Bennett leads by 4% (46% Bennett, 42% Comstock, 1%
another candidate and 11% undecided). After pushing undecided voters to s ee which way they lean,
Bennett remains up by 4% (48% Bennett, 44% Comstock, 1% another candidate and 7% undecided).
If the November 2016 election for Congress were held today, would you vote for ?
May
2016

September
2016

October
2016

Difference
Democrat LuAnn Bennett
Republican Barbara Comstock
Another candidate
Dont know

-11
36
47
2
15

-4
41
45
1
12

+4
46
42
1
11

+8
+5
-3
0
-1

Difference
Bennett w/ leaners
Comstock w/ leaners
Another w/ leaners
Dont k now w/ leaners

-10
40
50
3
7

-2
45
47
1
7

+4
48
44
1
7

+6
+3
-3
0
0

Most Voters See Comstocks Un-Endorsement For What It is, Political Expediency
A majority (57%) of voters say Barbara Comstocks announcement that she will not support Donald
Trump shows that she will do what is in her political self-interest, while 28% say it shows she is an
independent minded person who is willing to break with her party when she believes it is the right thing.
Even among Republicans, more (48%) see her move as motivated by self-interest than as trying to do the
right thing (35%).
Which is closer to your view of Barbara Comstocks announcement that she will not support Trump?
All
Q19

Difference
It shows that she will do what is in her political self-interest. For months she
overlooked all of Trumps other demeaning statements and now is doing this just to
save her re-election
It shows that she is an independent minded person who is willing to break with her
party when she believes it is the right thing
Dont know

Party ID
Dem Ind Rep

+29 +38 +33 +13

57

61

60

48

28

23

27

35

15

16

13

17

Arlington, VA
info@expeditionstrategies.com

Comstocks Unfavorable Ratings Continue to Rise

Congresswoman Barbara Comstocks unfavorable ratings have continued to go up as voters learn more
about her and now more voters are unfavorable towards her than are favorable towards her. In our
September poll, 45% were favorable towards Comstock, while 35% were unfavorable. Now, 41% say
they are favorable towards Comstock, while 44% say they are unfavorable.
May
16

Name ID
Very Fav
Fav/Unfav
Net Fav

Barbara Com stock

Sept.
Oct
16
16

65
80
85
+5
13
17
17
0
40/25 45/35 41/44 -4/+9
+15
+10
-3
-13

A Majority of Voters Are Favorable Towards President Obama and Half Approve of the Job He Is
Doing
President Obama is popular (61% say they are favorable towards him, 38% say they are unfavorable)
and half (51%) say he is doing an excellent/good job as President, while 48% say he is doing a fair/poor
job.

Positive
Negative

Obam a Favorability

Obam a Job Approval

61% favorable
38% unfavorable

51% excellent/good
48% fair/poor

Expedition Strategies conducted 400 total interviews in Virginias 10th Congressional District October 1012, 2016. The margin of error for overall results is 4.90%. Expedition Strategies clients include Senator
Tim Kaine (VA), Senator Mazie Hirono (HI), Congressman Adam Smith (WA), and Congressman Tim
Walz (MN).

VA-10 Polling Results 2