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Clintons Lead Over Trump Widens, but Weaknesses Remain for Both Candidates
October 12-16, 2016
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
69
70
70
67
23
20
24
24
6
6
5
6
2
3
1
3
*
1
*
Sep16d
%
68
23
6
2
1
Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will
definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President?
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Probably not vote
Definitely not vote
Already Voted
Don't know/No answer
85
9
2
2
1
1
84
11
2
2
1
*
88
7
1
3
1
*
82
9
3
3
*
3
85
9
3
2
*
1
q3/4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and
Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the
Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
IF DEPENDS OR DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or more toward
Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
Clinton and Kaine
Trump and Pence
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
51
40
5
2
3
9
81
5
2
4
92
5
1
*
2
45
39
8
3
4
49
43
4
2
3
q6/7. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote
for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein?
IF DEPENDS OR DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald
Trump, or more toward Gary Johnson, or more toward Jill Stein?
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
Sep16d
%
45
41
8
3
1
1
2
Q8. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
Mind made up
Might change mind
Don't know/No answer
Total
%
90
9
1
Clinton Vtrs
%
94
5
1
Trump Vtrs
%
93
6
1
89
11
*
Q9. Would you describe your support for (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump) as strongly favoring (Hillary Clinton/Donald
Trump), or do you like (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump) but with reservations, or do you support (Hillary Clinton/Donald
Trump) because you dislike the other candidates?
Strongly favor
Like, but with reservations
Dislike other candidate
Don't know/No answer
49
24
26
1
53
27
19
1
52
20
27
1
49
27
23
1
Q10. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic at all
Don't know/No answer
39
25
16
19
1
Q11. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2016, who do you expect to finally win the 2016 presidential
election Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Depends (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
63
38
89
62
26
49
6
24
2
2
1
3
9
11
4
11
Sep16d
%
55
33
2
10
Q12/13. If the 2016 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the
Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?/ In the election for U.S. House of Representatives,
did you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
IF DEPENDS OR DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the
Democratic candidate?
Republican candidate
Democratic candidate
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
Q14. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Donald
Trump yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
30
59
8
2
1
58
30
10
2
1
4
88
5
3
*
29
59
10
1
*
32
55
9
3
1
Q15. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary
Clinton yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
35
52
10
2
1
7
84
6
2
1
71
13
13
2
1
26
60
12
2
1
39
49
8
3
1
Q16. Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Tim Kaine yet
to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
23
8
44
16
26
45
6
29
12
10
13
12
39
37
38
42
1
1
1
Sep16d
%
19
13
10
57
2
Q17. Is your opinion of Mike Pence favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Mike Pence
yet to have an opinion?
Favorable
Not favorable
Undecided
Haven't heard enough
Don't know/No answer
35
25
9
30
1
66
6
7
21
-
8
48
10
34
1
33
22
9
35
2
24
19
10
47
1
Q18. Compared to past presidential campaigns, do you think the campaign this year has been more positive, more
negative, or about the same as past campaigns?
More positive
More negative
About the same
Don't know/No answer
3
82
13
1
4
79
17
*
4
86
9
1
2
81
13
3
6
67
24
2
Q19. In general, is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable or not favorable?
Favorable
Not favorable
Don't know/No answer
32
61
7
68
29
3
7
90
2
30
64
6
Jul16a
33
62
5
Q20. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable or not favorable?
Favorable
Not favorable
Don't know/No answer
46
47
6
9
88
3
88
11
1
42
53
5
40
55
5
39
59
2
Sep16a
40
57
3
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
43
55
2
11
88
1
79
20
2
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
33
5
70
24
63
92
27
70
4
3
3
6
Sep16d
%
36
60
5
Q25. Do you think Hillary Clinton says what she believes most of the time, or does she say what she thinks people want
to hear?
34
64
2
9
90
1
69
30
1
24
71
4
Jun16b
33
62
5
Q26. Do you think Hillary Clinton understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?
Does
Does not
Don't know/No answer
49
49
2
20
78
2
82
15
3
43
55
2
45
53
2
Q27. Do you think Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer
58
40
3
27
71
3
91
8
1
54
42
4
Sep16d
59
40
2
Q28. Do you think Hillary Clinton generally shows good judgment, or not?
Yes
No
Some things, not others (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
45
50
3
2
12
86
2
1
80
13
5
2
41
54
2
3
Jun16b
43
52
3
2
Q30. How much do you think Hillary Clinton respects women a lot, some, not much, or not at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer
53
20
9
16
2
23
26
17
31
4
87
10
1
1
1
47
25
9
17
2
Yes
No
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
34
65
6
31
64
33
93
65
3
3
1
4
Sep16d
%
35
62
3
36
60
4
68
28
4
7
91
2
33
61
5
37
60
3
Q33. Do you think Donald Trump says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to
hear?
59
37
4
81
16
3
37
60
3
60
35
5
Jun16b
56
39
5
Q34. Do you think Donald Trump understands the needs and problems of people like yourself, or not?
Does
Does not
Don't know/No answer
38
61
2
74
25
1
5
93
2
35
62
3
31
66
3
Q35. Do you think Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to be a good president, or not?
Yes, has
No, does not have
Don't know/No answer
32
66
2
65
34
2
5
95
1
29
67
4
Sep16d
31
65
3
Q36. Do you think Donald Trump generally shows good judgment, or not?
Yes
No
Some things, not others (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
29
65
3
3
57
36
4
3
4
94
1
1
27
65
4
4
Jun16b
25
69
3
3
Q38. How much do you think Donald Trump respects women a lot, some, not much, or not at all?
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
15
32
2
12
24
40
10
24
18
13
19
21
40
12
68
39
2
3
1
3
Sep16d
%
23
27
21
27
2
Q38a.Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the
following issues Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Which candidate would do a better job handling (INSERT ITEM)?
a.
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
b.
87
11
1
1
43
50
1
4
2
45
50
*
2
2
50
44
*
3
2
15
81
*
2
1
87
8
3
2
46
44
1
5
4
45
47
*
4
3
51
44
*
3
2
14
82
2
2
87
9
1
2
2
49
43
1
4
4
51
44
*
3
2
59
36
1
3
3
23
71
1
4
3
94
4
2
1
58
34
1
3
4
60
36
*
2
2
Immigration
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
d.
11
87
2
1
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
c.
47
49
*
2
1
Foreign Policy
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both (Vol.)
Neither (Vol.)
Don't know/No answer
Q53.Do you think it is necessary for Hillary Clinton to publicly release the transcripts of all of her paid speeches to Wall
Street firms, or don't you think that is necessary?
Necessary
Not necessary
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
52
62
41
53
45
35
57
42
3
2
3
5
Q54. Do you think it is necessary for Donald Trump to publicly release his tax returns, or don't you think that is
necessary?
Necessary
Not necessary
Don't know/No answer
59
39
2
38
59
3
80
18
2
57
41
2
Sep16a
%
59
37
3
Q44.How much have you seen or heard about the recently released video recorded several years ago of Donald Trump
talking about making sexual advances towards women a lot, some, or not much?
A lot
Some
Not much
Nothing at all
Don't know/No answer
63
22
13
2
*
56
28
15
1
*
72
17
9
1
*
62
22
14
2
*
Q45.Do Donald Trumps comments on the recently released video make you think better of Donald Trump, worse of
Donald Trump, or dont they change your view of Donald Trump?
Better
Worse
Doesn't change
Don't know/No answer
2
40
56
2
3
21
74
2
*
59
38
2
1
40
56
3
Q46.Do you think Donald Trumps comments about women on the recently released video accurately reflect what
Donald Trumps attitudes toward women really are now, or dont you think they do?
Accurately reflect
Doesn't accurately reflect
Don't know/No answer
54
40
6
24
69
7
84
13
2
52
40
8
Q48.Do you think Donald Trumps comments about women on the recently released video are typical of the way men
sometimes talk to each other about women, or dont you think these comments are typical?
Typical
Not typical
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
47
66
27
48
48
27
69
46
5
6
4
6
Q49.Following the release of the video of Trumps comments, a number of Republican elected officials and party leaders
have withdrawn their support of Donald Trump as the Republican Partys nominee for president in 2016. Does their
decision make you more likely to support Donald Trump, less likely to support Donald Trump, or doesnt it affect your
vote?
More likely
Less likely
No effect
Don't know/No answer
11
14
74
1
20
8
72
*
2
23
75
1
12
13
74
1
Q56. Do you think Hillary Clinton did anything wrong when she set up a personal email address and server for work
while she was Secretary of State, or not?
IF YES, ASK: Do you think Hillary Clintons activities regarding her personal email address and server were improper but
not illegal, or do you think they were illegal?
25
28
42
5
8
16
72
4
45
38
11
5
20
28
45
6
Sep16a
%
26
24
45
6
Q50. How much have you heard or read about the recently released excerpts of what are reported to be Hillary Clintons
paid speeches to Wall Street firms a lot, some, or not much?
A lot
Some
Not much
Nothing at all
Don't know/No answer
21
30
45
4
1
24
28
44
4
*
20
33
45
2
1
19
31
45
5
1
Q51. From what youve heard or read, do the recently released excerpts of Hillary Clintons paid speeches to Wall Street
firms make you think better of Hillary Clinton, worse of Hillary Clinton, or doesnt it change your view of Hillary Clinton?
Better
Worse
No change
Don't know/No answer
2
24
68
5
*
40
54
6
4
9
83
4
2
25
66
6
Q57.Do you think Bill Clintons past extramarital activities and the way Hillary Clinton has dealt with them should be part
of the presidential campaign, or not?
Should be
Should not be
Don't know/No answer
** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
31
56
10
30
66
43
89
67
2
1
2
4
Q59. Did you watch or listen to the presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on Sunday, October
9th, or not?
Watched
Did not watch
Don't know/No answer
74
26
*
77
23
-
77
23
*
68
32
-
Q60. In general, how did Sunday night's debate affect your opinion of Hillary Clinton? Did it make you think better of
her, worse of her, or didn't it affect your opinion?
Better
Worse
No affect
Don't know/No answer
22
18
60
*
6
33
61
*
41
2
57
*
17
19
63
1
Q61. In general, how did Sunday night's debate affect your opinion of Donald Trump? Did it make you think better of
him, worse of him, or didn't it affect your opinion?
Better
Worse
No affect
Don't know/No answer
18
32
49
*
36
10
53
*
1
55
44
-
19
31
50
1
Q62. How likely is it that you will watch the next presidential debate on television on Wednesday, October 19th -- very
likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely?
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not very likely
Won't watch debates (vol.)
Don't know/No answer
64
19
15
1
1
67
18
14
1
1
67
18
13
1
*
59
20
19
1
1
Unweighted
1,411
Weighted
Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters
1,189
1,092
381
401
407
353
366
373
254
282
242