Professional Documents
Culture Documents
AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
3.8%
2. Who had the better line? Clinton when she said Trump would be Putins puppet, or Trump
when he said Clintons experience was bad experience?
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
More likely to
vote for
32%
29%
Less likely to
vote for
21%
21%
Didnt change
47%
49%
Post-Debate
Does not
Describes
describe
56%
60%
33%
51%
44%
40%
67%
49%
56%
63%
38%
49%
44%
37%
62%
51%
38%
62%
Post-Debate
Does not
Describes
describe
40%
35%
42%
65%
60%
65%
58%
35%
44%
37%
43%
61%
56%
63%
57%
39%
43%
57%
6. Do you think Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton should pledge to accept the result of the
election?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
7. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November? [Asked
October 12-14, 2016]
Already voted early or by mail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
8. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for? [Asked
October 12-14, 2016]
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates
9. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
14. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
This CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker is a panel study based on 934 interviews conducted on the
internet of registered voters who watched the third Presidential debate in Arizona, Colorado, Florida,
Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
Wisconsin. Panelists were previously interviewed on October 12-14, 2016 for the Battleground Tracker,
and again briefly on October 16-18, 2016 to indicate whether they planned to watch the debate, and if
they were willing to be reinterviewed after the debate. The margin of error is 3.8%.
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
A tie
49%
39%
12%
45%
42%
13%
53%
35%
12%
64%
25%
11%
54%
32%
14%
43%
46%
11%
41%
44%
15%
41%
45%
14%
85%
7%
8%
57%
33%
9%
59%
35%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(934)
(477)
(457)
(168)
(216)
(360)
(190)
(692)
(109)
(65)
(67)
Party ID
Total
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
A tie
49%
39%
12%
90%
4%
7%
37%
48%
16%
14%
70%
16%
91%
4%
5%
52%
33%
15%
13%
71%
16%
17%
65%
18%
56%
33%
12%
10%
77%
14%
61%
27%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(934)
(329)
(332)
(265)
(250)
(352)
(332)
(166)
(768)
(223)
(711)
2. Better Line
Who had the better line? Clinton when she said Trump would be Putins puppet, or Trump when he said Clintons experience was bad experience?
Gender
Total
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Neither
46%
44%
10%
41%
48%
11%
50%
39%
11%
63%
26%
10%
46%
39%
15%
41%
50%
8%
37%
52%
11%
38%
51%
11%
86%
7%
6%
55%
36%
9%
51%
36%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(934)
(477)
(457)
(168)
(216)
(360)
(190)
(692)
(109)
(65)
(67)
Party ID
Total
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Neither
46%
44%
10%
88%
5%
7%
32%
53%
16%
12%
79%
9%
84%
7%
9%
49%
37%
14%
13%
78%
9%
18%
73%
9%
51%
37%
11%
8%
85%
7%
57%
31%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(934)
(329)
(332)
(265)
(250)
(352)
(332)
(166)
(768)
(223)
(711)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
23%
47%
33%
18%
48%
35%
21%
45%
35%
20%
44%
29%
23%
48%
29%
18%
53%
23%
24%
53%
69%
3%
28%
42%
23%
35%
49%
17%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(889)
(452)
(437)
(167)
(214)
(341)
(167)
(653)
(107)
(64)
(64)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
32%
21%
47%
Total
More likely to vote for
Less likely to vote for
Didnt change
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
32%
21%
47%
59%
3%
38%
21%
22%
57%
9%
42%
49%
51%
3%
47%
36%
21%
43%
12%
35%
53%
9%
31%
60%
36%
19%
45%
8%
39%
53%
39%
15%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(889)
(328)
(312)
(243)
(250)
(334)
(304)
(153)
(735)
(204)
(685)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
20%
49%
28%
23%
49%
22%
26%
52%
23%
27%
50%
34%
19%
48%
36%
15%
49%
33%
16%
51%
6%
48%
47%
26%
23%
51%
28%
35%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(914)
(466)
(447)
(168)
(212)
(350)
(183)
(681)
(104)
(64)
(64)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
29%
21%
49%
Total
More likely to vote for
Less likely to vote for
Didnt change
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
29%
21%
49%
3%
39%
59%
33%
17%
50%
55%
7%
38%
4%
35%
61%
26%
23%
52%
52%
10%
38%
51%
6%
43%
25%
25%
51%
58%
3%
39%
20%
27%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(914)
(316)
(325)
(265)
(242)
(341)
(331)
(164)
(749)
(222)
(692)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
47%
60%
40%
72%
28%
63%
37%
51%
49%
46%
54%
49%
51%
93%
7%
69%
31%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(930)
(476)
(453)
(168)
(216)
(357)
(188)
(688)
(109)
(65)
(67)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
56%
44%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
56%
44%
96%
4%
46%
54%
21%
79%
94%
6%
64%
36%
21%
79%
24%
76%
63%
37%
15%
85%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(930)
(329)
(330)
(263)
(249)
(352)
(329)
(164)
(766)
(221)
(708)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
58%
42%
68%
32%
78%
22%
67%
33%
56%
44%
56%
44%
57%
43%
96%
4%
69%
31%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(927)
(473)
(454)
(168)
(214)
(357)
(187)
(687)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
63%
37%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
63%
37%
97%
3%
51%
49%
33%
67%
95%
5%
72%
28%
28%
72%
36%
64%
68%
32%
22%
78%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(927)
(329)
(328)
(263)
(249)
(350)
(328)
(164)
(763)
(222)
(705)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
32%
68%
44%
56%
49%
51%
40%
60%
34%
66%
33%
67%
30%
70%
83%
17%
46%
54%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(929)
(476)
(453)
(168)
(216)
(359)
(187)
(688)
(109)
(65)
(67)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
38%
62%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
38%
62%
78%
22%
25%
75%
6%
94%
73%
27%
40%
60%
10%
90%
12%
88%
44%
56%
6%
94%
48%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(929)
(329)
(331)
(263)
(250)
(351)
(329)
(164)
(766)
(222)
(708)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
43%
57%
49%
51%
36%
64%
36%
64%
34%
66%
30%
70%
87%
13%
52%
48%
32%
68%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(928)
(474)
(454)
(168)
(214)
(359)
(187)
(689)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
38%
62%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
38%
62%
79%
21%
24%
76%
6%
94%
72%
28%
41%
59%
10%
90%
8%
92%
45%
55%
7%
93%
48%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(928)
(329)
(329)
(263)
(250)
(350)
(329)
(164)
(765)
(222)
(706)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
50%
48%
52%
46%
54%
47%
53%
53%
47%
47%
53%
53%
47%
26%
74%
55%
45%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(929)
(475)
(454)
(168)
(214)
(359)
(188)
(690)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
49%
51%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
49%
51%
15%
85%
59%
41%
79%
21%
15%
85%
45%
55%
79%
21%
74%
26%
44%
56%
83%
17%
38%
62%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(929)
(329)
(330)
(264)
(250)
(349)
(330)
(164)
(766)
(223)
(707)
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
47%
53%
42%
58%
29%
71%
37%
63%
50%
50%
55%
45%
51%
49%
10%
90%
33%
67%
43%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(928)
(473)
(455)
(167)
(214)
(358)
(189)
(688)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
44%
56%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
44%
56%
6%
94%
53%
47%
79%
21%
6%
94%
38%
62%
80%
20%
76%
24%
37%
63%
86%
14%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(928)
(327)
(329)
(265)
(248)
(348)
(332)
(165)
(763)
(223)
(704)
10
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
60%
35%
65%
17%
83%
28%
72%
48%
52%
48%
52%
43%
57%
8%
92%
32%
68%
34%
66%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(923)
(467)
(455)
(167)
(214)
(355)
(187)
(683)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
37%
63%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
37%
63%
4%
96%
45%
55%
68%
32%
5%
95%
30%
70%
70%
30%
61%
39%
32%
68%
79%
21%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(923)
(327)
(325)
(263)
(248)
(349)
(326)
(164)
(758)
(220)
(703)
11
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
55%
42%
58%
31%
69%
35%
65%
50%
50%
50%
50%
49%
51%
15%
85%
36%
64%
40%
60%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(922)
(472)
(450)
(161)
(214)
(359)
(188)
(687)
(104)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
43%
57%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
43%
57%
10%
90%
50%
50%
76%
24%
8%
92%
38%
62%
76%
24%
70%
30%
38%
62%
81%
19%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(922)
(327)
(329)
(258)
(248)
(349)
(325)
(165)
(757)
(222)
(699)
12
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
47%
53%
40%
60%
25%
75%
37%
63%
51%
49%
52%
48%
50%
50%
10%
90%
39%
61%
34%
66%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(923)
(470)
(453)
(163)
(214)
(358)
(188)
(683)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
43%
57%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
43%
57%
6%
94%
54%
46%
78%
22%
5%
95%
38%
62%
78%
22%
71%
29%
37%
63%
83%
17%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(923)
(326)
(329)
(260)
(248)
(345)
(329)
(165)
(758)
(221)
(702)
13
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
36%
58%
42%
75%
25%
74%
26%
54%
46%
49%
51%
60%
40%
71%
29%
60%
40%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(928)
(472)
(456)
(167)
(214)
(359)
(188)
(688)
(109)
(65)
(65)
Total
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
61%
39%
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
61%
39%
86%
14%
58%
42%
35%
65%
89%
11%
67%
33%
35%
65%
44%
56%
65%
35%
29%
71%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(928)
(327)
(330)
(264)
(248)
(349)
(331)
(166)
(762)
(222)
(706)
14
Male
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
Black
Hispanic
Other
63%
22%
15%
64%
16%
21%
67%
17%
16%
67%
21%
12%
59%
22%
19%
63%
14%
23%
61%
20%
19%
78%
5%
17%
71%
20%
9%
53%
33%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(933)
(477)
(456)
(168)
(216)
(360)
(189)
(692)
(109)
(65)
(67)
Party ID
Totals
(Weighted N)
White
63%
19%
18%
Total
Yes
No
Not sure
65+
Democrat
Independent
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
No
Tea Party
Yes
No
63%
19%
18%
92%
3%
5%
51%
30%
19%
44%
25%
32%
87%
8%
5%
71%
14%
15%
37%
33%
30%
48%
27%
25%
66%
17%
16%
31%
45%
24%
73%
11%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(933)
(329)
(332)
(265)
(250)
(352)
(332)
(166)
(768)
(223)
(711)
15