Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TOPLINE RESULTS
Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?
10/20
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Foreign
Policy
4
6
4
The
environment
8
9
8
Terrorism
15
16
18
Immigration
10
8
7
Health
care
16
15
13
Education
9
8
9
No
answer
1
Other
5
5
5
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
10/20
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Strongly approve
31
31
32
Somewhat approve
20
22
19
Somewhat disapprove
10
10
12
Strongly disapprove
39
37
36
No answer
1
1
Republican
30
29
31
Democrat
33
35
36
Independent
35
35
33
No answer
1
1
1
As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [AMONG IND OR DONT KNOW FOR
PARTY]
10/20
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Republican
Party
39
35
36
Democratic
Party
31
31
30
Neither
27
31
31
No answer
3
3
3
What are the chances that you will vote in the general election for President in November?
10/20
10/10
Already voted
9
4
Absolutely
certain I will
vote
79
82
Large chance
I will vote
6
8
50-50 chance I
will vote
Small chance I
will vote
3
3
1
2
No answer
1
1
th
Did you happen to watch the debate between the candidates for president that was held on Wednesday, October 19 or not?
10/20
69
22
No answer
1
10/10
69
24
9/26 - 9/27
74
18
From what you have heard and read, who do you think won or did the best job in the debate? [AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED
OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
10/20
46
37
Neither of them
17
No answer
1
10/10
44
34
21
9/26 - 9/27
52
21
26
After Wednesday nights presidential debate, has your opinion of Hillary Clinton changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
10/20
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Not changed
47
59
56
No answer
1
1
1
After Wednesday nights presidential debate, has your opinion of Donald Trump changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
10/20
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Not changed
48
48
60
No answer
1
1
1
If your preferred presidential candidate ends up losing, would you accept the election as legitimate?
10/20
Yes, definitely
40
Probably
28
Unlikely
18
Definitely not
13
No answer
2
METHODOLOGY
NBC News|SurveyMonkey Third Debate Reaction Poll was conducted online on October 20, 2016 immediately following the debate among a
national sample of 6,538 adults aged 18 and over who are likely to vote. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly three million
people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been weighted for age, race, sex, education, region, and
voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition
of the United States. An additional smoothing parameter for ideology based on previous Election Tracking interviews is included. The smoothing
parameter was derived from aggregated data on ideology by region collected from previous weeks (May 1-June 26) of the Weekly Election Tracking
poll.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error
can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and
measurement error.
To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate.
The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey is plus or minus 1.9 percentage point for likely voters.
To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval we use the weighted data to generate 5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence
intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in
much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error.
Group
Unweighted
N
6,538
Plus or
minus
1.9
Republican LVs
Democrat LVs
Independent LVs
3,168
2,627
665
2.9
2.8
6.1
Male LVs
Female LVs
3,328
3,210
2.4
2.6
18-24 LVs
25-34 LVs
35-44 LVs
45-54 LVs
55-64 LVs
65+ LVs
346
681
885
1,466
1,718
1,442
8.1
5.6
4.9
4.1
3.9
4.0
White LVs
Black LVs
Hispanic LVs
Other LVs
5,240
458
300
540
2.1
6.4
8.6
7.4
5,976
2.0
2,908
2,468
532
3.0
2.9
6.9
Total LVs