NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

October 2016
Nevada Questionnaire
Residents: n=1,122 MOE +/- 2.9%
Registered Voters: n=985 MOE +/- 3.1%
Likely Voters: n=707 MOE +/- 3.7%
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Nevada?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as
president?
LIKELY VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

October 2016
48
46
6
100

September 2016
46
47
8
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
49
45
7
100

September 2016
47
44
9
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
50
42
8
100

September 2016
47
43
10
100

October 2016
45

September 2016
45

45
8
1
1
100

44
6
1
3
100

October 2016
45

September 2016
46

43
9
1
2
100

41
8
1
4
100

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total

Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet
leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans
Neither
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans
Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 1

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

them, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day [including
those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already
voted]?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [including those who are undecided yet
leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total
*Determined not on ballot after September poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 2

October 2016
72

September 2016
70

25
3
<1
100

25
4
1
100

October 2016
68

September 2016
65

27
4
<1
100

29
5
1
100

October 2016
43

September 2016
41

43
10
*
3
2
100

42
8
3
1
4
100

October 2016
43

September 2016
41

41
11
*
3
3
100

39
9
3
2
5
100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary

Clinton?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

October 2016
40
55
5
100

September 2016
40
55
4
100

October 2016
39

September 2016
39

55
6
100

56
5
100

October 2016
39
54
6
100

September 2016
38
56
7
100

October 2016
38
58
4
100

September 2016
39
57
5
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
35
60
5
100

September 2016
35
59
5
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
33
62
5
100

September 2016
33
61
6
100

REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
RESIDENTS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald
Trump?
LIKELY VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 3

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Nevada were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates are [including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or already voted]:
LIKELY VOTERS
Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democrat
Joe Heck, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total

October 2016
42
49
4
5
100

September 2016
45
47
1
7
100

October 2016
42
47
4
6
100

September 2016
46
45
1
8
100

October 2016
55
38
6
1
100

September 2016
58

October 2016
53
38
7
1
100

September 2016
54

LIKELY VOTERS

October 2016
49
51
100

September 2016
49
51
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

October 2016
49
51
100

September 2016
49
51
100

RESIDENTS

October 2016
50
50
100

September 2016
50
50
100

REGISTERED VOTERS
Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democrat
Joe Heck, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day?
LIKELY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
REGISTERED VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

32
8
1
100

36
9
2
100

Are you male or female?

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

Male
Female
Total

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 4

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll of 1,122 Adults

This survey of 1,122 adults was conducted October 20th through October 24th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and
funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of
Nevada were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live
interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from
throughout the state of Nevada from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region
was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for
the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of mobile phone
numbers from Survey Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. After the
interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey
5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region, except for race, which is from the 2010 Census. Results are
statistically significant within 2.9 percentage points. There are 985 registered voters. The results for this subset are
statistically significant within 3.1 percentage points. There are 707 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model
which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Presidential Election based upon their chance of
vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within
3.7 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

For nature of the sample and additional tables, please visit The Marist Poll

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Nevada Poll October 2016; Page 5