TargetSmart/William & Mary Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters

CONTACT:
Coleman Bass
TargetSmart Communications, LLC
Press@TargetSmart.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 11/1/16
TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters
-Clinton Buoyed by Early VoteHillary Clintons strength with the early vote in Florida is propelling her to a lead in the key battleground state, according to a new
poll released today by TargetSmart and William & Mary. In the poll, Clinton holds a 48 to 40 percent lead over Donald Trump in
the Sunshine State, a more advantageous position for Clinton than most other publicly available polling has suggested in the last
week or so.
As of the morning of November 1st, 2016, TargetSmart tracks that 3,695,359 people have already cast their votes in Florida.
Leveraging TargetSmarts proprietary voter file - that is updated daily through the early voting window - this poll reached a
significant number of voters who have already participated. Among those early voters (who were asked which candidate they
had voted for), Clinton outpaces Trump by a 17-point margin, 55 to 38 percent.
Reflective of the trends that have been published in other public polls in recent days, the TargetSmart/William & Mary poll shows
the contest in Florida is very competitive among those who have yet to cast their ballot. Among those non-early voters (who
were asked which candidate they will vote for), Clinton attracts 42 percent of the vote and 43 percent back Donald Trump.
The poll also shows the U.S. Senate race tilting decidedly in Marco Rubios direction as Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy
trails Rubio 43 to 49 percent. Unlike Clinton, Murphy only breaks even with early voters, having garnered 48 percent of the vote
among them to Rubios 47 percent. And, among non-early voters, Rubio holds a solid lead with 51 percent of the vote to
Murphys 39 percent.
Poll Methodology
The TargetSmart/William & Mary Poll was conducted using a blended web/phone data collection approach. As weighted, 530 online interviews were
conducted from October 25-28, 2016 among panelists from six leading online opt-in panel providers who were matched to the TargetSmart voter file.
As weighted, 188 telephone interviews were conducted from October 27-30, 2016 to supplement the online sample, with telephone numbers for
targeted populations being selected at random from the TargetSmart voter file.
The survey reached 311 respondents who voted early in the 2016 general election, either absentee, by mail, or in-person, according to data from the
Florida Secretary of State that was matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. These early vote data were weighted to reflect population parameters
on TargetSmart Partisanship Score, TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, party registration and media market of the overall
population of early voters in Florida who had participated as of October 31.
The survey reached 407 respondents who had NOT voted early in the 2016 general election, either absentee, by mail, or in-person, according to data
from the Florida Secretary of State that was matched back to the TargetSmart voter file. These non-early vote data were weighted using a two-step
process to yield a likely voter model. First, the non-early vote sample was weighted to reflect population parameters on TargetSmart Partisanship
Score, TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score, age, gender, party registration and media market of the overall population of all registered
voters in Florida who had NOT participated as of October 31. Then, to derive a likely voter model, a second round of weighting was employed on the
non-early vote sample only, in which weights were assigned to each respondent in proportion to their TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout
score, with higher weights being assigned to respondents with a higher likelihood to vote, and lower weights being assigned to respondents with a
lower likelihood to vote.
The TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout model is an ensemble method classifier model that was created to predict the likelihood that an
individual will vote in the 2016 general election. In this second round of weighting all early voter respondents were assigned a weight of 1, to reflect the
fact that they have already voted. No margins of sampling error are calculated for this survey, as this statistic is only applicable to fully randomly
sampled surveys, which this survey is not due to its partial reliance on online interviews.
###
About TargetSmart:
TargetSmart is the leading provider of political data that enables campaigns and organizations to successfully communicate with large audiences, and personalize
outreach. Our superior politically-focused, consultative approach combines consumer data, databases, data integration and consulting solutions for personalized
multichannel marketing strategies. TargetSmart leverages over 25 years of experience in data management to deliver high-performance, reliable data products and
solutions.
About William & Mary:
William & Mary is a public university located in Williamsburg, Virginia. Founded by Royal Charter in 1693, it is the second oldest institution of higher education in the
United States. U.S. News and World Report ranks William & Mary sixth among all public universities in the country.
October 25-30, 2016

718 Respondents
311 Respondents who have voted early
407 Respondents have not voted early
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Florida Statewide
Frequencies
Are you registered to vote in Florida?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
100
.
Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job Barack Obama is
doing as President?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strongly
...............................................................................................................................................................
approve
31
.Somewhat
approve
...............................................................................................................................................................
23
.Somewhat
disapprove
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Strongly
...............................................................................................................................................................
disapprove
34
.(Don't
know/prefer not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
approve
...............................................................................................................................................................
54
.Total
...............................................................................................................................................................
disapprove
45
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
approve - Total disapprove
...............................................................................................................................................................
9
.
TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll, Florida Statewide: Frequencies, October 25-30, 2016
In the election for President this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Hillary
Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein -- for whom would you
vote/for whom did you vote?
....................................................................................................................................................................
Early Non
Total
.
Voter
EV
Hillary
Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
48
55
42
.Lean
Hillary Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
0
.Donald
Trump
....................................................................................................................................................................
40
37
42
.Lean
Donald Trump
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
0
0
.Gary
Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
3
3
4
.Lean
Gary Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Jill
Stein
....................................................................................................................................................................
2
3
1
.Lean
Jill Stein
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Other
candidate)
....................................................................................................................................................................
5
2
8
.Lean
(Other candidate)
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Would
not vote)
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
1
.Lean
(Would not vote)
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Undecided)
....................................................................................................................................................................
1
0
1
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
Hillary Clinton
....................................................................................................................................................................
48
55
42
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Donald Trump
40
38
43
.Total
Gary Johnson
....................................................................................................................................................................
3
3
4
.Total
Jill Stein
....................................................................................................................................................................
2
3
1
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Other Candidate
5
2
8
.Total
Would not vote
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
1
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Clinton - Total Trump
7
17
0
.
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1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005
targetsmart.com
In the election for U.S. Senate this November, if the election were held today and the candidates were: Democrat Patrick
Murphy and Republican Marco Rubio -- for whom would you vote/for whom did you vote?
....................................................................................................................................................................
Early
Non
Total
.
Voter
EV
Patrick
Murphy
....................................................................................................................................................................
43
48
39
.Lean
....................................................................................................................................................................
Patrick Murphy
0
1
.Marco
Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
49
47
51
.Lean
Marco Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Other
....................................................................................................................................................................
candidate)
7
4
9
.Lean
(Other candidate)
....................................................................................................................................................................
.(Would
not vote)
....................................................................................................................................................................
1
1
.Lean
....................................................................................................................................................................
(Would not vote)
.(Undecided)
....................................................................................................................................................................
0
0
0
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Patrick Murphy
43
48
39
.Total
Marco Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
49
47
51
.Total
Other Candidate
....................................................................................................................................................................
7
4
9
.Total
....................................................................................................................................................................
Would not vote
1
1
.
....................................................................................................................................................................
.Total
Murphy - Total Rubio
....................................................................................................................................................................
-6
1
-12
.
targetsmart.com
Please indicate how confident you are about each of the following -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or
not at all confident.
Very
Somewhat Not too
Not at all (Don't Prefer not
confident confident confident confident know) to answer
A. Your vote in the November 2016
election will be counted as you intended.
55
31
9
4
1
0
B. All votes in Florida in the November
2016 election will be counted as the voters
of Florida intended.
45
37
A number of people have claimed that this election is rigged. Do you agree or disagree with this claim?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Agree
...............................................................................................................................................................
29
.Disagree
...............................................................................................................................................................
53
.(Don't
know)
...............................................................................................................................................................
18
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
0
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Agree
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Disagree
-24
.
(Effective Base: 206)
(ASKED OF THOSE WHO SAY ELECTION IS RIGGED) Do you believe the election is rigged because media and political elites
have manipulated the coverage and the political process, because there will be voter fraud on election day, or both?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Elites
...............................................................................................................................................................
manipulated coverage
19
.Voter
fraud
...............................................................................................................................................................
11
.Both
...............................................................................................................................................................
63
.(Neither)
...............................................................................................................................................................2
.(Don't
know)
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
.
targetsmart.com
As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances
towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald
Trump committed these actions or not?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Yes
...............................................................................................................................................................
49
.No
...............................................................................................................................................................
25
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know)
26
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Yes
- No
...............................................................................................................................................................
24
.
In deciding your vote for president, have the allegations that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances
towards women made you more or less likely to support Donald Trump for president, or has it made no difference?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Much
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
5
.Somewhat
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
.Somewhat
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Much
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
21
.No
difference
...............................................................................................................................................................
61
.(Prefer
not to answer)
...............................................................................................................................................................
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
more likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
7
.Total
less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
30
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Total
more likely - Total less likely
...............................................................................................................................................................
-23
.
targetsmart.com
Now, I'd like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. Generally speaking, you think of yourself as a Democrat, a
Republican, an independent, or something else?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Strong
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
25
.Weak
...............................................................................................................................................................
Democrat
10
.Independent-lean
Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Independent-lean
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
12
.Weak
Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
14
.Strong
...............................................................................................................................................................
Republican
20
.(Don't
...............................................................................................................................................................
know/Refused)
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
35
.Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
with Leaners
30
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
34
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
- Republican
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem
...............................................................................................................................................................
43
.Pure
Independent
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
and Ind. Lean Repub
46
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.Democrat
and Ind. Lean Dem - Republican and Ind. Lean Repub
...............................................................................................................................................................
-3
.
In what year were you born?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.18
- 24
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.25
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 29
4
.30
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 34
9
.35
- 39
...............................................................................................................................................................
3
.40
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 44
6
.45
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 49
9
.50
- 54
...............................................................................................................................................................
8
.55
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 59
8
.60
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 64
13
.Over
64
...............................................................................................................................................................
32
.(No
...............................................................................................................................................................
answer)
1
.
...............................................................................................................................................................
.18
...............................................................................................................................................................
- 49
39
.50
and
over
...............................................................................................................................................................
60
.
targetsmart.com
Sex of respondent
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Male
...............................................................................................................................................................
44
.Female
...............................................................................................................................................................
56
.
What is your race?
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.White
...............................................................................................................................................................
67
.Black
...............................................................................................................................................................
10
.Hispanic
...............................................................................................................................................................
16
.Asian/Pacific
Islander
...............................................................................................................................................................
2
.Other
...............................................................................................................................................................2
.(Prefer
...............................................................................................................................................................
not to answer)
3
.
Party Registration From File
...............................................................................................................................................................
Total
.Democrat
...............................................................................................................................................................
39
.Unaffiliated/Other
...............................................................................................................................................................
23
.Republican
...............................................................................................................................................................
38
.
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Voted Status
Total
Not Early
Early Voter
Voter
Florida Statewide
Party ID
Party Registration
Dem
Ind
Rep
Dem
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Rep
4-Way Presidential Vote

Total Answering
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
Total Hillary Clinton

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
Total Other Candidate
48
40
3
2
5
55
38
3
3
2
42
43
4
1
8
90
6
1
3
-
38
40
6
3
11
12
78
4
1
5
81
13
2
2
1
39
39
6
4
11
19
70
4
1
6
(Undecided)
Total Would not vote
Total Clinton - Total Trump
17
84
-2
-65
69
-51

Total Answering
(692)
(293)
(400)
(247)
(202)
(237)
(272)
(158)
(263)

Total Donald Trump
51
43
58
40
45
45
92
6
43
44
13
82
84
13
44
43
20
74
(Undecided)
18
86
-1
-68
71
-54
Senate Vote
Total Answering
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
Total Patrick Murphy

Total Marco Rubio
43
49
7
48
47
4
39
51
9
80
14
5
35
53
11
12
84
5
74
19
6
36
51
11
16
78
5
(Undecided)
Total Murphy - Total Rubio
-6
-12
66
-18
-72
55
-14
-63
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
EV Party Registration
Not EV Party Registration
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Not EV Rep
Total
EV Dem
EV Unaffi
liated /
Other

Total Answering
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
48
40
3
2
5
90
6
0
3
1
40
43
4
8
4
27
66
4
2
74
18
3
2
2
39
37
6
1
14
12
73
3
1
10
(Undecided)
84
-3
-39
56
-60
(692)
(120)
(53)
(120)
(152)
(105)
(143)

Total Donald Trump
51
43
94
6
44
48
28
71
77
18
44
41
13
77
(Undecided)
11
88
-4
-43
59
-64

Total Answering
Senate Vote
Total Answering
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)

Total Marco Rubio
43
49
7
83
14
4
42
53
5
17
77
5
67
24
7
33
50
15
15
80
6
(Undecided)
-6
69
-11
-60
43
-16
-65
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
TargetSmart Partisan Score
Gender
Total
90+
70 - 89.9
30 - 69.9
10 - 29.9
0 - 9.9
Men
Women

Total Answering
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
48
40
3
2
5
82
9
2
3
2
68
21
0
5
5
54
29
2
1
8
21
66
4
3
6
15
71
5
0
8
42
47
6
1
3
52
35
2
3
7
(Undecided)
73
47
25
-45
-56
-4
16

Total Answering
(692)
(256)
(61)
(55)
(55)
(265)
(306)
(387)

Total Donald Trump
51
43
86
10
69
23
56
30
23
70
17
77
45
48
55
39
(Undecided)
76
46
25
-47
-60
-3
16
Senate Vote
Total Answering
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)

Total Marco Rubio
43
49
7
76
18
6
56
32
11
42
39
14
25
73
2
13
80
7
39
54
6
46
45
8
(Undecided)
-6
58
24
-48
-67
-15
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Race
Age
Total
White
Black
Hisp anic
Non White
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
18 - 49
50 and
over

Total Answering
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
48
40
3
2
5
38
51
4
1
6
88
2
4
3
2
59
30
2
3
3
70
19
3
3
4
60
23
5
4
5
49
35
6
3
6
46
45
1
2
6
40
51
3
0
4
55
29
5
4
6
43
48
2
1
5
(Undecided)
-13
85
30
51
37
15
-11
27
-5

Total Answering
(692)
(463)
(71)
(112)
(211)
(143)
(123)
(194)
(228)
(266)
(422)

Total Donald Trump
51
43
40
54
96
3
62
31
74
19
66
26
55
38
48
48
42
52
61
32
44
50
(Undecided)
-14
93
31
54
40
17
-11
29
-6
Senate Vote
Total Answering
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)

Total Marco Rubio
43
49
7
37
57
6
78
11
9
46
44
9
57
32
9
50
43
6
41
48
11
40
52
8
43
51
5
46
45
8
41
52
6
(Undecided)
-6
-21
67
25
-6
-13
-9
-10
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Education
Florida Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Non Coll
Men
Coll Men
Non Coll
Women
Coll
Women

Total Answering
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)

Total Donald Trump
Total Gary Johnson
Total Jill Stein
48
40
3
2
5
51
38
4
1
5
42
44
2
3
7
32
57
2
1
4
50
39
8
2
51
34
2
4
9
52
37
1
3
6
(Undecided)
13
-2
-25
10
17
16

Total Answering
(692)
(392)
(286)
(129)
(176)
(157)
(216)

Total Donald Trump
51
43
55
40
44
47
33
58
54
41
53
38
57
39
(Undecided)
15
-3
-25
13
15
17
Senate Vote
Total Answering
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)

Total Marco Rubio
43
49
7
45
49
6
41
49
9
36
56
6
42
52
6
44
44
11
47
46
5
(Undecided)
-6
-4
-9
-20
-11
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Voted Status
Total
Not Early
Early Voter
Voter
Florida Statewide
Party ID
Party Registration
Dem
Ind
Rep
Dem
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Rep
Respondent age
Total Answering
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
21
18
28
32
13
13
29
44
27
22
27
23
27
16
30
26
25
18
25
31
11
20
29
40
25
16
30
28
30
24
19
27
12
16
31
40
18 - 49
50 and over
39
60
26
73
49
50
44
56
44
56
31
69
41
58
54
45
28
71
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
44
56
44
56
43
57
39
61
50
50
45
55
40
60
48
52
44
56
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
Strong Dem
25
27
23
71
55
11
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
10
8
10
12
14
20
1
10
9
7
13
14
19
1
10
7
13
11
14
21
1
29
-
27
34
39
-
41
59
-
22
8
5
4
2
3
1
5
15
26
25
7
8
2
1
4
6
11
30
44
0
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
35
30
34
37
29
32
33
30
35
100
-
100
-
100
77
16
5
15
67
15
5
21
74
Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-2
100
-100
71
-70
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
43
10
46
47
7
45
40
13
46
100
-
27
34
39
100
85
5
9
31
26
41
8
6
86
Dem-Rep
-3
-6
100
-12
-100
76
-10
-77
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Not EV Rep
Total
EV Dem
EV Unaffi
liated /
Other
Respondent age
Total Answering
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
21
18
28
32
15
13
30
42
15
18
26
40
11
10
30
48
33
19
30
17
38
27
15
19
13
22
32
33
18 - 49
50 and over
39
60
28
72
34
66
21
78
51
47
65
34
35
65
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
44
56
42
58
40
60
49
51
39
61
53
47
40
60
Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID
Total Answering
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
Strong Dem
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
25
10
8
10
12
14
20
1
63
23
6
2
3
1
1
1
3
4
25
25
31
6
3
3
3
5
4
14
30
44
-
48
21
9
7
4
3
5
2
15
5
10
27
22
8
11
2
4
2
3
8
9
31
44
0
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
35
30
34
86
11
2
7
82
9
3
23
74
69
21
8
20
59
19
6
20
75
Dem-Rep
84
-2
-70
61
-69
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
43
10
46
92
2
5
32
25
40
9
4
87
79
7
13
30
27
41
8
8
84
Dem-Rep
-3
88
-8
-79
66
-11
-76
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Gender
Total
90+
70 - 89.9
30 - 69.9
10 - 29.9
0 - 9.9
Men
Women
Respondent age
Total Answering
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
21
18
28
32
28
18
26
27
40
13
32
15
21
18
28
30
18
22
18
43
12
18
31
39
17
17
26
41
25
19
30
26
18 - 49
50 and over
39
60
46
53
53
47
39
59
39
61
30
70
34
66
44
55
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
44
56
40
60
40
60
40
60
46
54
48
52
100
-
100
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
Strong Dem
25
56
31
22
27
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
10
8
10
12
14
20
1
19
10
6
3
1
2
2
20
13
17
7
8
4
-
12
13
39
13
5
8
3
1
16
7
44
9
19
-
1
2
8
14
30
43
0
9
7
12
15
14
20
0
11
9
9
9
14
20
2
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
35
30
34
75
19
4
51
37
12
19
65
13
5
68
28
3
24
73
31
34
35
38
27
33
Dem-Rep
72
39
-23
-70
-3
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
43
10
46
86
6
6
63
17
19
32
39
26
21
7
72
5
8
87
38
12
49
47
9
43
Dem-Rep
-3
79
44
-51
-82
-11
Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Race
Age
Total
White
Black
Hisp anic
Non White
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
18 - 49
50 and
over
Respondent age
Total Answering
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
21
18
28
32
12
16
32
39
38
17
25
20
40
23
20
17
40
22
21
16
100
-
100
-
100
-
100
54
46
-
46
54
18 - 49
50 and over
39
60
29
71
55
44
63
37
62
37
100
-
100
-
100
100
100
-
100
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
44
56
47
53
26
74
47
53
38
62
35
65
41
59
40
60
55
45
38
62
48
52
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
Strong Dem
25
16
76
31
45
30
24
25
22
27
23
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
10
8
10
12
14
20
1
10
8
10
16
17
24
-
10
5
7
2
11
12
13
3
14
17
-
12
10
11
3
9
10
1
15
16
8
12
9
8
2
7
9
17
4
19
19
-
13
4
9
14
16
19
1
6
6
9
14
13
29
1
12
13
12
9
14
13
1
9
5
9
14
14
24
1
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
35
30
34
26
33
41
86
12
-
42
27
31
57
24
19
45
36
17
32
30
38
38
27
35
28
29
42
39
34
27
33
28
39
Dem-Rep
-15
86
12
38
28
-6
-14
12
-6
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
43
10
46
33
10
57
91
7
-
54
13
33
67
11
21
61
8
29
41
17
42
42
9
48
34
9
56
52
12
35
38
9
52
Dem-Rep
-3
-24
91
21
45
32
-1
-7
-22
17
-15
Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID
Total Answering
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Education
Florida Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Non Coll
Men
Coll Men
Non Coll
Women
Coll
Women
Respondent age
Total Answering
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
21
18
28
32
23
21
26
29
17
14
32
36
13
14
28
45
19
19
24
37
21
14
36
29
27
23
27
22
18 - 49
50 and over
39
60
45
54
31
69
27
73
39
61
35
65
50
49
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
44
56
44
56
45
55
100
-
100
-
100
100
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
Strong Dem
25
26
23
21
23
25
29
Weak Dem
Ind-lean Dem
Ind
Ind-lean Rep
Weak Rep
Strong Rep
(DK/Ref)
10
8
10
12
14
20
1
10
9
8
13
15
19
-
11
8
13
10
14
20
1
8
8
16
13
13
22
-
11
7
10
16
15
19
-
13
8
12
7
14
20
1
9
10
7
11
14
19
-
2-3-2 Dem
Ind
Rep
35
30
34
36
30
34
34
31
34
29
36
35
34
33
34
39
27
33
38
28
34
Respondent gender
Total Answering
Male
Female
Party ID
Total Answering
Dem-Rep
-6
3-1-3 Dem
Ind
Rep
43
10
46
45
8
47
42
13
44
36
16
48
40
10
50
47
12
41
48
7
45
Dem-Rep
-3
-2
-2
-12
-10
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Voted Status
Total
Not Early
Early Voter
Voter
Florida Statewide
Party ID
Party Registration
Dem
Ind
Rep
Dem
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Rep
Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
39
23
38
40
19
41
37
27
36
85
10
5
21
52
27
6
11
83
100
-
100
-
100
Education
Total Answering
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
1 - 11th grade
High school graduate
Trade/technical/vocational school
Some college/associates degree
4-year college degree
Post-graduate
(Prefer not to answer)
1
11
4
25
37
21
2
1
13
4
22
33
25
2
2
8
4
27
40
17
2
2
10
2
26
37
22
1
1
14
5
22
34
23
-
1
9
5
26
40
17
2
2
10
3
29
33
21
2
0
18
5
23
32
20
2
1
7
4
22
44
21
2
H.S. or less
12
14
10
11
15
10
12
18
Post H.S.
Total College Graduate
29
58
26
58
31
57
28
60
28
58
30
57
32
54
28
52
26
65
Total Non-College
40
40
41
39
42
41
44
47
33
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
67
10
16
2
2
3
70
10
16
2
1
1
65
10
16
2
3
4
49
25
20
3
2
1
75
4
15
1
4
1
81
15
2
0
2
50
22
19
2
3
4
71
7
13
2
2
4
82
0
15
2
1
0
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
6
3
8
20
3
22
2
2
23
11
0
10
3
9
20
3
22
1
24
9
0
4
3
7
20
4
23
3
3
22
13
-
2
5
8
31
2
20
1
1
19
11
-
11
2
6
15
2
19
2
1
28
13
0
6
0
8
13
5
28
3
2
23
11
-
2
5
7
30
2
18
1
1
21
13
-
7
2
7
14
3
20
1
2
34
9
1
11
1
9
13
4
28
3
2
18
11
-
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian/Pacific Islander
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach) FL
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne FL
Panama City FL
Tallahassee FL-Thomasville GA
Tampa-St.Petersburg (Sarasota) FL
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce FL
Other
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Not EV Rep
Total
EV Dem
EV Unaffi
liated /
Other
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
39
23
38
100
-
100
-
100
100
-
100
-
100
Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican
Education
Total Answering
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
1 - 11th grade
Post-graduate
1
11
4
25
37
21
2
14
3
22
32
25
2
26
9
18
20
28
-
1
7
3
23
40
23
3
4
7
2
34
33
18
2
1
13
3
26
39
15
3
1
6
6
21
48
19
0
H.S. or less
Post H.S.
12
29
58
14
26
58
26
27
47
8
25
63
10
36
51
14
29
54
7
27
66
Total Non-College
40
40
53
33
47
43
33
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
67
10
16
2
2
3
53
21
21
2
2
1
84
9
4
3
-
80
17
2
1
-
47
23
19
2
4
5
63
6
18
2
3
7
84
0
13
1
1
1
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Panama City FL
6
3
8
20
3
22
2
3
4
10
32
3
18
-
12
6
7
10
20
-
15
9
12
4
25
2
5
5
28
2
18
2
4
6
16
5
20
2
7
2
9
14
4
29
4
Other
2
23
11
0
18
11
-
38
4
2
23
9
-
2
23
15
-
3
32
12
-
4
14
13
-
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Gender
Total
90+
70 - 89.9
30 - 69.9
10 - 29.9
0 - 9.9
Men
Women
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
39
23
38
91
8
1
43
55
2
16
76
7
0
62
38
12
88
36
26
39
41
21
38
Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican
Education
Total Answering
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
1 - 11th grade
Post-graduate
1
11
4
25
37
21
2
2
11
3
25
36
21
3
1
6
2
34
21
33
2
15
2
37
28
15
3
17
7
16
44
16
-
1
9
5
22
42
19
2
1
9
7
24
37
21
0
1
12
2
25
37
20
3
H.S. or less
12
13
15
17
10
10
13
Post H.S.
29
58
27
57
36
55
39
43
24
60
27
61
31
58
27
57
Total Non-College
40
40
44
54
40
37
41
40
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
67
10
16
2
2
3
46
25
19
2
3
4
55
9
30
2
1
2
79
0
11
5
2
3
81
12
4
3
-
84
0
13
1
0
2
71
6
18
1
2
2
64
14
15
2
2
3
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
6
3
8
20
3
22
2
2
23
11
0
2
5
8
31
1
20
1
1
21
11
0
8
28
8
14
25
17
-
15
2
9
34
5
30
4
-
14
6
16
11
2
7
4
33
8
-
9
1
7
11
6
27
3
2
22
12
-
7
3
7
24
2
23
2
22
9
0
5
2
8
16
4
21
2
3
24
13
-
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Panama City FL
Other
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Race
Age
Total
White
Black
Hisp anic
Non White
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
18 - 49
50 and
over
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
39
23
38
29
25
47
82
17
1
46
19
34
59
19
22
45
33
22
35
31
34
41
16
43
34
19
47
40
32
28
37
18
45
Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican
Education
Total Answering
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
1 - 11th grade
Post-graduate
1
11
4
25
37
21
2
1
11
4
25
38
22
-
3
16
33
28
19
2
2
7
9
24
36
19
4
2
10
5
25
36
20
3
2
8
1
22
45
19
3
8
5
18
45
23
1
1
8
4
34
34
19
-
2
16
5
23
30
21
4
1
8
3
20
45
21
2
1
12
5
28
32
20
2
H.S. or less
12
12
19
12
10
18
13
Post H.S.
29
58
28
59
33
47
33
55
30
56
23
64
23
68
38
53
28
51
23
66
33
52
Total Non-College
40
41
52
41
42
33
31
47
45
32
46
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
67
10
16
2
2
3
100
-
100
-
100
-
34
53
7
6
-
39
18
31
5
4
3
61
10
20
4
2
3
76
9
12
1
1
1
82
6
8
0
3
49
14
26
4
3
3
79
8
10
0
1
2
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Mobile AL-Pensacola (Ft. Walton Beach)
FL
Panama City FL
6
3
8
20
9
3
5
9
4
28
23
1
63
1
12
45
4
2
3
27
1
5
10
27
4
4
7
18
12
1
10
13
3
3
6
27
8
2
8
15
22
2
27
2
17
-
10
-
13
1
12
-
22
2
27
3
25
1
17
1
26
2
Other
2
23
11
0
2
25
13
0
20
7
-
16
7
-
17
9
-
34
9
-
14
15
-
4
17
13
-
1
26
10
0
25
12
-
3
22
11
0
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Education
Florida Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Non Coll
Men
Coll Men
Non Coll
Women
Coll
Women
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
39
23
38
36
21
43
42
27
31
38
28
35
34
25
41
45
26
29
38
18
44
Party Registration
Total Answering
Democrat
Unaffiliated/Other
Republican
Education
Total Answering
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
1 - 11th grade
Post-graduate
1
11
4
25
37
21
2
64
36
-
3
26
10
61
-
4
21
17
59
-
63
37
-
3
30
4
63
-
65
35
-
H.S. or less
12
29
25
33
Post H.S.
29
58
100
71
-
75
-
100
67
-
100
Total Non-College
40
100
100
100
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
67
10
16
2
2
3
69
8
15
3
3
1
67
13
17
0
1
1
70
7
20
1
1
2
73
5
16
2
2
2
66
18
14
2
1
66
11
15
4
3
1
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
6
3
8
20
3
22
2
2
23
11
0
7
4
8
22
3
23
3
2
17
12
0
5
1
8
17
4
22
0
1
30
12
-
5
1
8
21
2
22
31
10
-
9
5
6
27
2
24
3
16
8
1
4
2
8
14
4
22
1
2
29
13
-
6
3
9
18
4
22
3
4
18
14
-
Race...
Total Answering
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Media Market...
Total Answering
Ft. Myers-Naples FL
Gainesville FL
Jacksonville FL
Panama City FL
Other
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Voted Status
Not Early
Early Voter
Voter
Total
Florida Statewide
Party ID
Party Registration
Dem
Ind
Rep
Dem
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Rep

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37
36
8
3
2
1
4
2
2
7
36
41
4
2
1
2
2
1
5
4
37
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
8
79
31
14
5
4
3
6
4
4
6
23
83
4
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
4
0
3
0
3
7
87
20
14
7
6
7
7
5
9
12
13
89
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
(718)
(311)
(407)
(251)
(215)
(244)
(277)
(168)
(273)
0
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0
1
2
2
5
2
7
15
66
0
0
5
4
7
7
6
10
17
42
-
3
2
4
5
5
8
16
58
-
0
5
2
5
8
5
15
21
38
0
2
4
6
5
3
5
14
60
-
0
3
2
4
6
3
7
16
59
0
0
7
4
8
10
11
13
20
25
1
1
4
4
3
2
8
15
63
-
TargetSmart 2016 General Election Turnout Score

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
EV Rep
Not EV
Dem
Not EV
Unaffi
liated /
Other
Not EV Rep
Total
EV Dem
EV Unaffi
liated /
Other
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37
0
5
0
2
11
82
6
26
6
9
4
8
7
5
14
14
85
7
4
3
2
1
1
3
4
91
28
8
7
5
9
6
3
11
10
12
94
5
1
0
0
1
-
(718)
(125)
(59)
(127)
(152)
(109)
(146)
0
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0
2
3
2
2
15
77
0
1
2
13
7
20
14
43
2
4
3
3
6
17
67
-
0
4
3
7
9
5
10
17
44
-
0
11
6
11
9
13
10
23
16
-
3
4
4
3
3
10
14
60
-

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Gender
Total
90+
70 - 89.9
30 - 69.9
10 - 29.9
0 - 9.9
Men
Women
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37
100
39
61
-
20
22
35
22
-
70
30
-
100
-
43
6
3
1
2
3
1
3
5
34
36
6
2
2
2
3
2
4
5
39

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

Total Answering
(718)
(264)
(62)
(56)
(57)
(279)
(314)
(404)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0
3
2
4
7
4
8
15
58
0
9
3
5
7
8
17
20
30
1
3
9
10
12
8
13
24
20
-
8
3
9
10
3
5
20
43
-
2
3
4
3
4
8
15
61
-
5
4
5
6
4
9
14
52
-
2
3
5
6
5
9
19
52
0
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016
Florida Statewide
Race
Age
Total
White
Black
Hisp anic
Non White
18 - 34
35 - 49
50 - 64
Over 64
18 - 49
50 and
over
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37
49
7
3
2
2
4
2
3
4
25
1
0
4
4
91
30
3
3
1
1
1
2
4
12
43
18
3
2
1
1
1
2
4
9
60
21
4
3
1
3
1
2
9
8
48
40
7
2
2
2
1
2
2
5
37
43
3
2
1
1
4
2
3
7
34
47
8
3
2
1
3
1
1
3
31
30
5
3
2
3
1
2
6
6
43
45
6
2
1
1
4
1
2
5
33

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

Total Answering
(718)
(482)
(74)
(116)
(218)
(152)
(130)
(201)
(232)
(282)
(432)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0
3
3
4
5
4
9
16
58
0
1
1
3
9
6
12
12
56
-
4
5
8
10
5
7
24
36
0
4
3
7
9
6
9
18
44
0
6
8
11
15
12
11
18
19
1
3
2
5
2
7
18
23
40
-
3
3
4
2
2
11
11
64
-
1
2
1
6
0
0
17
72
-
5
5
8
9
10
14
20
28
0
2
2
3
4
1
5
14
68
-
targetsmart.com
October 25-30, 2016

Education
Florida Statewide
Gender/Education
Total
Total Coll
Grad
Total Non
Coll
Non Coll
Men
Coll Men
Non Coll
Women
Coll
Women
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
39
6
2
2
2
3
2
3
5
37
41
6
2
1
2
2
2
4
5
36
36
5
3
3
1
4
2
3
6
37
41
8
3
2
1
3
1
3
4
33
44
4
3
1
2
2
1
3
5
35
31
2
3
4
1
5
3
4
7
40
39
8
2
0
2
1
2
4
4
38

Total Answering
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100

Total Answering
(718)
(414)
(290)
(130)
(183)
(161)
(231)
0 - 9.9
10 - 19.9
20 - 29.9
30 - 39.9
40 - 49.9
50 - 59.9
60 - 69.9
70 - 79.9
80 - 89.9
90 - 100
Unknown
3
3
5
6
5
9
17
52
0
2
3
4
4
4
9
18
56
0
4
3
6
8
5
8
16
48
-
6
2
7
7
3
10
17
47
-
5
5
3
5
5
8
12
57
-
3
4
6
9
7
7
15
49
-
1
1
4
3
3
10
22
55
0
targetsmart.com

TargetSmart/William &amp; Mary Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters

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CONTACT:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: 11/1/16

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

TargetSmart Communications LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

4-Way Presidential Vote

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

2-Way Presidential Vote

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Total Patrick Murphy

Total Would not vote

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

Not EV Party Registration

4-Way Presidential Vote

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

2-Way Presidential Vote

Total Patrick Murphy

Total Would not vote

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart | William & Mary Poll

TargetSmart Partisan Score

4-Way Presidential Vote

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

2-Way Presidential Vote

Total Hillary Clinton

Total Would not vote

Total Clinton - Total Trump

Total Patrick Murphy

Total Would not vote

Total Murphy - Total Rubio

TargetSmart Communications, LLC

1155 15th St, NW, Suite 1000, Washington, DC 20005

October 25-30, 2016

TargetSmart/William & Mary Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters

TargetSmart/William & Mary Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters