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IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll

The IBD/TIPP poll a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market
Intelligence (TIPP) has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6
a.m. ET.
Also look for daily videos with analysis of the latest results on our Facebook page and on Investors.com.
About IBD/TIPP Poll

Day 18 Results: Nov. 5


Despite Email Scandal, Clinton-Trump A Tossup With 3 Days Left IBD/TIPP Poll

OVERALL
Region
Northeast
Midwest
South
West

Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not sure


44.2% 43.7% 4.8%
1.6% 1.9% 3.9%
48%
40%
43%
47%

38%
51%
47%
34%

2%
3%
6%
7%

5%
1%
1%
2%

2%
1%
1%
5%

6%
4%
2%
5%

47%
43%

37%
48%

10%
3%

2%
1%

3%
2%

1%
3%

Age
18-44
45-64

65+

46%

47%

1%

0%

1%

5%

40%
48%

48%
40%

5%
5%

2%
1%

2%
2%

4%
4%

36%
73%

53%
12%

4%
8%

1%
3%

2%
3%

3%
2%

58%
48%
45%
40%

31%
43%
47%
48%

3%
2%
5%
7%

4%
1%
0%
1%

1%
4%
0%
2%

3%
2%
4%
2%

40%
40%
47%

47%
48%
41%

2%
6%
5%

3%
1%
1%

4%
1%
2%

4%
4%
4%

90%
4%
34%

5%
91%
40%

2%
3%
10%

0%
0%
5%

2%
1%
4%

2%
1%
6%

18%
50%
90%

75%
30%
3%

3%
10%
0%

0%
1%
4%

1%
4%
1%

3%
5%
2%

44%
45%

46%
42%

4%
5%

1%
1%

2%
3%

3%
4%

56%
41%
38%

27%
48%
52%

5%
6%
3%

5%
1%
0%

3%
2%
2%

5%
3%
5%

40%
46%

47%
43%

7%
4%

0%
2%

2%
2%

3%
4%

33%
40%

57%
51%

4%
4%

2%
-

1%
2%

3%
3%

79%
62%

10%
16%

4%
15%

4%
-

1%
8%

3%
-

58%
40%

29%
50%

6%
4%

1%
2%

3%
1%

3%
4%

Gender
Male
Female

Race
White
Black/Hispanic

Income
Under 30K
30K-50K
50-75K
75K+

Education
High School
Some College
College Degree or more

Party
Democrats
Republicans
Ind./Other

Ideology
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal

Investor
Yes
No

Area Type
Urban
Suburban
Rural

Parental Status
Parents
Non-Parents

White
White men
White women

Black/Hispanic
Black
Hispanic

Women
Single women
Married women

Household
Description
Upper/Upper Middle
Middle
Working
Lower

45%
42%
46%
53%

45%
46%
42%
21%

7%
5%
4%
0%

0%
2%
2%
4%

2%
2%
1%
15%

1%
3%
6%
7%

39%
42%
43%
60%

53%
50%
46%
16%

4%
2%
3%
12%

2%
0%
2%
1%

0%
2%
2%
6%

2%
5%
4%
4%

53%
42%

37%
45%

5%
5%

1%
2%

1%
2%

4%
4%

Religion
Protestant
Catholic
Other
None

Union Household
Yes
No

Two-candidate question
OVERALL

Clinton
46.0%

Trump
43.4%

Other Not sure


4.2% 6.5%

Intensity of Support

Strong

Moderate

Clinton
Trump

64%
65%

36%
34%

Zeitgeist (Likely To Win)

Clinton

Trump

Too Close

Overall
Democrats
Republicans
Independents

45%
77%
12%
43%

24%
4%
51%
20%

25%
15%
32%
29%

Results based on survey of 804 likely voters conducted from 11/01 - 11/4. Margin of error: +/- 3.5
percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 250 Democrats/290 Republicans/248
Independents; (Weighted) 287/257/215. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling
partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection
for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a
Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.
PRIOR RESULTS (PDF): Nov. 4 | Nov. 3 | Nov. 2 | Nov. 1 | Oct. 31 | Oct. 30 | Oct. 29 | Oct. 28 | Oct.
27 | Oct. 26 | Oct. 25 | Oct. 24 |Oct. 23 | Oct. 22 | Oct. 21 | Oct. 20 | Oct. 19
About IBD/TIPP The IBD/TIPP poll is a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily and
TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Each month, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take
on consumer confidence and predicts with good reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls
by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. Both the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index and
IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll are national surveys based on randomly selected live interviews
via cellphone and landlines. For more information, go to www.tipponline.com.
To license the IBD/TIPP Poll, please contact: IBDlicensing@investors.com. For media inquiries, contact Terry
Jones (terry.jones@investors.com) or Matthew Galgani (matt.galgani@investors.com) or call (310) 4486800.

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