NBCWSJ November Poll - Final

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
NOVEMBER 2016
Study #161256 -- page 1

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 1282 Likely Voters, including 563 respondents with a cell phone only and
50 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Date: November 3-5, 2016
47 Male
53 Female
Study #161256
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1,282 interviews among Likely Voters is 2.73%
Likely Voters defined as voted in either 2012 or 2014 or 18-24 year olds with
self-reported interest in the election of 5 to 10 on a 1-10 scale.
Unless otherwise noted by a +, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
Likely
Voters
18-24 ................................................................ 9
25-29 ................................................................ 7
30-34 ................................................................ 7
35-39 ................................................................ 7
40-44 ................................................................ 9
45-49 ................................................................ 9
50-54 ................................................................ 9
55-59 ................................................................12
60-64 ................................................................10
65-69 ................................................................ 7
70-74 ................................................................ 6
75 and over ...........................................................
8
Not sure/refused .................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
Q2b/c
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black,
Asian, or something else? +
Likely
Voters
White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 73
Hispanic ...........................................................10
Black ............................................................... 12
Asian ............................................................... 1
Other ............................................................... 3
Not sure/refused ........................................... 1
Q3
Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
Not registered ...................................
Not sure ..........................................
Likely
Voters
100
-

NOVEMBER 2016
Q4A
Study #161256 -- page 2

All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things
are off on the wrong track?
Headed in the right direction .............

Off on the wrong track ......................
Mixed (VOL) ...................................
Not sure ..........................................
11/35/16+
31
62
4
3
Likely Voters
10/1011/111/113/16+
3/12+
2/08+
30
42
11
64
53
76
5
3
10
1
2
3
10/2931/04+
41
47
11
1
Q4B
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
Approve ............................................
Disapprove .......................................
Not sure..........................................
11/35/16+
53
44
3
Likely Voters
10/1011/113/16+
3/12+
53
49
44
49
3
2
Id like to ask you some questions about Tuesdays presidential election

Q5
Please tell me how interested you are in Tuesdays elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten"
means that you are very interested in the elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You
may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
10, very interested .......................

9 ..................................................
8 ..................................................
7 ..................................................
6 ..................................................
5 ..................................................
4 ..................................................
3 ..................................................
2 ..................................................
1, not at all interested ..................
Cannot rate ................................
Likely Voters
11/310/105/16+
13/16+
70
69
7
5
8
9
4
5
2
3
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
-

NOVEMBER 2016
Q6
Study #161256 -- page 3

Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK BARACK OBAMA FIRST, THEN
RANDOMIZE CLINTON-TRUMP-PENCE-KAINE, RANDOMIZE REST)
Barack Obama
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+ ........
October 10-13, 2016+ ........
Hillary Clinton
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+ ........
October 10-13, 2016+ ........
Donald Trump
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+ ........
October 10-13, 2016+ ........
The Democratic Party
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+ ........
October 10-13, 2016+ ........
The Republican Party
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+ ........
October 10-13, 2016+ ........
Michelle Obama
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+* ......
October 10-13, 2016+ ........
James Comey
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+* ......
Elizabeth Warren
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+** .....
The Federal Bureau of
Investigation, or FBI
Likely Voters
November 3-5, 2016+** .....
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
13
11
29
37
15
30
17
21
44
21
20
41
17
16
10
49
14
14
11
52
15
25
17
15
27
16
23
17
17
26
21
22
23
25
17
23
24
26
46
12
14
19
45
14
15
18
11
21
13
11
40
17
11
18
11
21
22
12
26
33
18
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
38
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
The Federal Bureau of Investigation 2016 Registered Voter Trend
The Federal Bureau of

Investigation, or FBI
July 2016 ................................
June 2016 ................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
14
13
26
35
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
31
33
16
11
11
5
2
3

NOVEMBER 2016
Study #161256 -- page 4

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

TOTAL
TOTAL
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Michelle Obama ...................................................... 58
28
Barack Obama ........................................................ 51
40
The Federal Bureau of Investigation, or FBI ........... 38
27
The Democratic Party ............................................. 40
42
Elizabeth Warren .................................................... 28
32
James Comey ......................................................... 15
24
Hillary Clinton .......................................................... 38
53
The Republican Party ............................................. 29
48
Donald Trump ......................................................... 33
59
Q7
D/S
30
11
11
-2
-4
-9
-15
-19
-26
Now, I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election on Tuesday: Are you
absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Absolutely certain to vote .......................................

Will probably vote ..................................................
Chances 50-50 ......................................................
Chances less than 50-50 .......................................
Already voted (VOL) ...........................................
Not sure ...............................................................
Likely Voters
11/3- 10/105/16+ 13/16+
75
89
3
5
3
3
1
2
17
1
1
-
Q8
If the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump .......................................

Hillary Clinton ........................................
Gary Johnson........................................
Jill Stein.................................................
Depends (VOL) ..................................
None (VOL) ........................................
Other/Write-in (VOL) ..........................
Would not vote for President (VOL) ....
Not sure .............................................
Likely Voters
11/310/105/16+ 13/16+
40
37
44
48
6
7
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
4
2
Q9
And, if the next election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence
as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom
would you vote?
Donald Trump and Mike Pence .............

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine ................
Gary Johnson (VOL) ...........................
Jill Stein (VOL) ....................................
Depends (VOL) ..................................
None (VOL) ........................................
Other/Third Party/Write-in (VOL) ........
Would not vote for President (VOL) ....
Not sure .............................................
Likely Voters
11/310/105/16+ 13/16+
43
41
48
51
2
2
1
1
2
3
4
2

NOVEMBER 2016
Q10
Study #161256 -- page 5

How satisfied are you with the choice of candidates for president -- very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very
satisfied, or not that satisfied? +
Likely
Voters
Very satisfied ................................................................................................
12
Fairly satisfied................................................................................................
28
Not very satisfied ................................................................................................
31
Not that satisfied ................................................................................................
28
Not sure ................................................................................................
1
Pew Post-Elect Trend

Now that the campaign is over, how satisfied were you with the choice of presidential candidates?
Would you say that you were very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not that
satisfied?
Nov
Nov
2012++
2008++
Very satisfied ................................
37
39
Fairly satisfied................................
33
28
Not very satisfied ................................
16
17
Not that satisfied ................................
12
14
Not sure ................................
3
2
Nov
2004++
33
33
16
16
2
Nov
2000++
24
44
18
9
5
Nov
1996++
18
33
24
22
3
Nov
1992++
24
37
21
16
2
Nov
1988++
26
36
20
17
1
++ Results shown reflect responses among actual voters.
Q11
And, based on what you have seen, read, or heard over the past week, are you starting to reconsider how
you may vote in the Presidential election, or are you just as certain as you were about your vote as you were
a month ago? +
Likely
Voters
Starting to reconsider ................................................................
5
Just as certain as a month ago ................................................................
90
Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything (VOL) ................................ Already voted/Cant change vote (VOL) ................................................................
3
Not sure ................................................................................................
2
Q11a
If the Constitution allowed presidents to be elected to a third term in office, would you consider voting for
Barack Obama in November's presidential election, or not? +1
Likely
Voters
Yes, Consider ................................................................................................
49
No, Not Consider ................................................................................................
50
Not sure ................................................................................................
1
1
Asked 11/4-5 only, N=565

September 2000 Bill Clinton Trend+

Yes, Consider ..................................................
No, not Consider ..............................................
Depends (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure .........................................................
34
62
3
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

NOVEMBER 2016
Q12
Study #161256 -- page 6

What is your preference for the outcome of Tuesdays congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress
controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
Republican-controlled Congress .
Democrat-controlled Congress ...
Not sure ....................................
11/35/16+
44
47
9
10/1013/16+
44
47
9
Likely Voters
11/111/13/12+
2/08+
45
36
47
48
8
16
10/2931/04+
43
44
13
Q13
Would you be more likely to vote for: (ROTATE)

A Republican candidate who will be a check-and-balance to Hillary Clinton and Congressional Democrats
OR
A Democratic candidate who will help Hillary Clinton and Congressional Democrats pass their agenda?
A Republican candidate ................................

A Democratic candidate ................................
Depends (VOL) ...........................................
Neither (VOL)..............................................
Other (VOL) ................................................
Not sure ......................................................
1
Likely Voters
11/3- 10/105/16+1 13/16+
51
53
40
41
3
1
2
2
1
4
2
Asked 11/4-5 only, N=565

Q14
Some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for President,
Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held on Tuesday Have you already cast your ballot in the
election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:) (IF NOT
YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you vote at the
polls on Election Day? +1
Total Voting Early .........................................................................................

Yes, voted by mail ........................................................................................
Yes, voted early in person ............................................................................
No, plan to vote early by mail .......................................................................
No, plan to vote early in person ....................................................................
No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ......................................................
Dont plan on voting (VOL) ........................................................................
Not sure ......................................................................................................
Not in a State that has started early voting ................................................
All
Likely
Voters
41
13
19
2
7
32
1
26
Likely Voters
in Early
Voting States
56
18
26
3
9
43
1
-

1
Asked in states where early voting has begun
Q15
And, with the election of the next President, do you expect that the country (ROTATE) will become more
united or will still remain very divided? +
Likely
Voters
Will become more united ................................................................ 23
Will still remain very divided ................................................................
64
Not sure ................................................................................................
13

NOVEMBER 2016
Q16A
Study #161256 -- page 7

Do you have confidence that the results of the presidential election will be counted accurately or not? +*
Likely
Voters
Yes ........................................................................... 60
No ............................................................................. 33
Not sure/refused ..................................................... 7
Q16B
Has this presidential election made you more proud of America, less proud of America, or has it made no
difference to you either way in that sense? +**
More proud .......................................

Less proud ........................................
No difference either way ...................
Some of both (VOL) ........................
Not sure ..........................................
Likely
Voters
7
62
28
1
2

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely
voters.
NOVEMBER 2008 LIKELY VOTER TREND

More proud .......................................
34
Less proud ........................................
12
No difference either way ...................
45
Some of both (VOL) ........................
6
Not sure ..........................................
3
Q17A
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? "The economic and political systems in the country
are stacked against people like me. +1
Likely
Voters
Agree ........................................................................ 48
Disagree ................................................................
47
Not sure ................................................................
5
1
Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A) 11/3, asked of full

sample 11/4-5, N=864.
Q17B
In thinking about the next president that well be electing, which of the following two statements comes
closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if
you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose?
Statement A: Someone who will bring major changes to the way government operates even if it is not
possible to predict what the changes may be
Statement B: Someone who will bring a steady approach to the way government operates even if it means
fewer changes to how things are now
Likely Voters
11/39/155/16+**
19/16+
Statement A/bring major changes ........................................ 54
50
Statement B/bring a steady approach ................................
43
46
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................... 1
2
Not sure .............................................................................. 2
3

NOVEMBER 2016
Study #161256 -- page 8

And, switching topics

Q18
Thinking for a moment about our system of government and how well it works, do you feel generally
optimistic as far as the future is concerned, do you feel generally pessimistic about it, or feel uncertain about
our system of government and how well it works? +
Generally optimistic...............................................................
Generally pessimistic ............................................................
Uncertain ..............................................................................
Not sure ..............................................................................
Likely
Voters
36
21
42
1
Moving on
Q19
How would you feel if (READ NAME) wins the presidential election--would you say that you feel comfortable
with (him/her) and prepared to support (him/her) as our new president, or not? (ROTATE)
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support
Not
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support
Not
Sure
43
54
46
Donald Trump
November 3-5, 2016+ .............................
Hillary Clinton
November 3-5, 2016+ .............................

52
2000 Post-Election Trend

How would you feel if (READ NAME) were declared the winner of the presidential election-would you say that you feel comfortable with (him/her) and prepared to support (him/her) as
our new president, or not?
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support
Not
Comfortable
And Prepared
To Support
Not
Sure
December 2000 .......................................

November 27, 2000 .................................
November 13, 2000 .................................
George W. Bush
60
62
66
37
34
31
3
4
3
December 2000 .......................................

November 27, 2000 .................................
November 13, 2000 .................................
66
65
69
31
31
28
3
4
3
Al Gore
(Q20A-B ASKED FIRST NIGHT OF DIALING (11/3) ONLY)

Q20A What is your one principal thought about Donald Trump as you vote?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES
Q20B
What is your one principal thought about Hillary Clinton as you vote?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES

NOVEMBER 2016
Q21
Study #161256 -- page 9

In the election campaign this year, do you think the news media (ROTATE) mostly gave fair and balanced
coverage or mostly tried to influence the elections with their coverage? (IF TRIED TO INFLUENCE, THEN
ASK) And, would you say the news media mostly tried to influence the elections toward (ROTATE) -Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton -- with their coverage? +
Mostly fair and balanced ................................................................

Mostly tried to influence elections for Trump ..................................
Mostly tried to influence elections for Clinton ................................
Mostly tried to influence /Depends on media source (VOL) ...........
Not sure........................................................................................
Likely
Voters
29
9
44
13
5
1996 VNS Election Day Exit Poll

In the election campaign this year, do you think
the news media: mostly gave fair and balanced
coverage or mostly tried to influence the elections
with their coverage?
Fair and balanced ......................................... 44
Tried to influence elections ........................... 56
Thinking about something else
Q22
Now, thinking about what you have seen, read, or heard about [INSERT ITEM, RANDOMIZE], would you
say it IS or it is NOT an important factor in your deciding whether to vote for (him/her) as president. If you do
not know enough about this issue to have an opinion, please just say so. (IF IMPORTANT, THEN ASK) Do
you feel that way strongly or not so strongly?
THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERCENTAGE WHO SAY STRONGLY IMPORTANT
Is Important
Is Important
Not so
Is Not
Dont Know
Strongly
Strongly
Important
Enough
Whether Donald Trump has the right
temperament to serve as Commanderin-Chief
Not Sure
November 3-5, 2016+ ..............................

Donald Trumps comments and
language about women, immigrants,
and Muslims
67
18
November 3-5, 2016+*.............................

Donald Trump talking about kissing
and touching women in a sexual way
without their consent on a recently
released video tape and the allegations
from several women that Trump
sexually assaulted them
56
32
November 3-5, 2016+** ...........................

Hillary Clintons use of a private email
server during her time as Secretary of
State
49
36
November 3-5, 2016+ ..............................

The FBIs recent announcement of an
investigation into thousands of emails
that might be related to Hillary
Clintons use of a private email server
48
10
38
November 3-5, 2016+ ..............................
44
44


NOVEMBER 2016
Study #161256 -- page 10

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Likely
Voters
50
35
6
2
7
-
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................

Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
QF1d
Will this year be the first time you have ever voted in a presidential election? +
Yes, first time...........................................................

No, not first time ......................................................
Not sure ................................................................
Voted in 2012 (QF1b/c) ...........................................
Likely
Voters
5
3
1
91
QF1e
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Likely
Voters
Yes, voted ...............................................................
70
No, did not vote .......................................................
25
Not sure ................................................................
5
QF2
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Likely
Voters
Currently Employed
Professional, manager .............................
White-collar worker ..................................
Blue-collar worker ....................................
Farmer, rancher .......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad............................
Retired .....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work..................
Other........................................................
Not sure .................................................
25
19
16
1
3
5
28
3
-

NOVEMBER 2016
QF3
Study #161256 -- page 11

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Likely
Voters
1
3
22
19
3
12
24
2
10
3
1
Grade school ...........................................................

Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate...............................................
Some college, no degree .........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree .............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree.......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree .........
Doctoral/law degree.................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
QF4
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Likely
Voters
Strong Democrat ............................... 25
Not very strong Democrat ................. 9
Independent/lean Democrat .............. 9
Strictly Independent........................... 12
Independent/lean Republican ............ 10
Not very strong Republican ............... 6
Strong Republican ............................. 22
Other (VOL)..................................... 5
Not sure........................................... 2
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely
voters.
QF5
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Likely
Voters
11
15
34
18
18
4
Very liberal .........................................................

Somewhat liberal................................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative...............................................
Not sure............................................................
QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................

Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
Likely
Voters
14
8
77
1

NOVEMBER 2016
QF7a
Study #161256 -- page 12

What is your religion? +

Likely
Voters
Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal,
Presbyterian, and other Christians) ..........................................
Catholic......................................................................................
Jewish........................................................................................
Muslim .......................................................................................
Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........
Other .........................................................................................
None ..........................................................................................
Not sure/refused ......................................................................
45
23
1
1
2
12
15
1
(ASKED OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, OR NOT SURE IN QF7a.)

QF7b
Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not
describe yourself that way? +
Likely
Voters
Fundamentalist/evangelical ................................
19
Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................
37
Not sure ................................................................ 3
Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon (QF7a) .........................
41
QF8
Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +
Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused...........................................................
Likely
Voters
59
6
2
9
16
7
1
QF9
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Likely
Voters
Less than $10,000 ............................................... 2
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ........................... 6
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ........................... 8
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ........................... 8
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ........................... 8
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ........................... 17
Between $75,000 and $100,000 ......................... 15
More than $100,000 ............................................ 28
Not sure/refused ................................................. 8

NBCWSJ November Poll - Final

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NBCWSJ November Poll - Final

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 1

Date: November 3-5, 2016

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 2

Headed in the right direction .............

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Id like to ask you some questions about Tuesdays presidential election

10, very interested .......................

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 3

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

The Federal Bureau of Investigation 2016 Registered Voter Trend

The Federal Bureau of

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 4

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

Absolutely certain to vote .......................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Donald Trump .......................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Donald Trump and Mike Pence .............

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 5

Pew Post-Elect Trend

++ Results shown reflect responses among actual voters.

Asked 11/4-5 only, N=565

September 2000 Bill Clinton Trend+

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

Would you be more likely to vote for: (ROTATE)

A Republican candidate ................................

Asked 11/4-5 only, N=565

Total Voting Early .........................................................................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 7

More proud .......................................

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).

NOVEMBER 2008 LIKELY VOTER TREND

Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A) 11/3, asked of full

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 8

And, switching topics

November 3-5, 2016+ .............................

2000 Post-Election Trend

December 2000 .......................................

December 2000 .......................................

(Q20A-B ASKED FIRST NIGHT OF DIALING (11/3) ONLY)

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #161256 -- page 9

Mostly fair and balanced ................................................................

1996 VNS Election Day Exit Poll

November 3-5, 2016+ ..............................

November 3-5, 2016+*.............................

November 3-5, 2016+** ...........................

November 3-5, 2016+ ..............................