THE DES MOINES REGISTER/MEDIACOM IOWA POLL

SELZER & COMPANY

800 Iowa likely voters
Margin of error: 3.5 percentage points

Study #2149
November 1-4, 2016
1,072 contacts weighted by age and sex
POLL QUESTIONS

Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

A.

Are you a resident of the state of Iowa?

100
-

1.

Continue
Terminate

How likely is it you will vote in the November general election for president, U.S. Senate and other offices
will you definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, or probably not vote, or have you already cast
a ballot in early voting?
34
66
-

2a.

Yes
No
Not sure

Already voted
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Might or might not vote
Probably not vote
Refused/not sure

Continue
Collect age, sex, race, county, and education data, then
Terminate

(If definitely vote, ask:) If the general election were held today, and the candidates for U.S. Senate were
[Patty Judge for the Democrats] and [Chuck Grassley for the Republicans], for whom would you vote
[Patty Judge/Chuck Grassley] or for someone else? (Alternate candidate names every other interview.)
(If already voted, ask:) In the election for U.S. Senator, for whom did you vote[Patty Judge for the
Democrats/Chuck Grassley for the Republicans], or for someone else? (Rotate candidate names.)
(If already voted and not sure, ask:) Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?

2b.

(If definitely vote and not sure or would not vote, ask:) Toward which do you lean?

Patty Judge
Chuck Grassley
Other/would not vote (VOL)
Not sure/dont remember
Dont want to tell

First choice

Lean

32
54
4
5
5

1
2
2
4
1

***Total***

33
56
2
4
6

Tracking for first choice plus leaners, U.S. Senate race

Nov-16
Oct-16

n=800
n=642

Patty
Judge

Chuck
Grassley

33
36

56
53

Other/would
not vote (VOL)

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2
2

Not sure/
dont remember

4
6

Dont want
to tell

6
3

3a.

(If definitely vote, ask:) If the general election were held today, and the candidates were [Hillary Clinton for
the Democrats], [Donald Trump for the Republicans], [Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party], and
[Jill Stein for the Green Party], for whom would you vote? (Rotate candidate names in brackets.)
(If already voted, ask:) In the election for president, for whom did you vote[Hillary Clinton for the
Democrats], [Donald Trump for the Republicans], [Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party], or [Jill
Stein for the Green Party]? (Rotate candidate names in brackets.)
(If already voted and not sure, ask:) Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?

3b.

(If definitely vote and not sure or would not vote, ask:) Toward which do you lean?

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Other/would not vote (VOL)
Not sure/Dont remember
Dont want to tell

First choice

Lean

***Total***

39
45
6
1
2
3
5

1
2
1
-

39
46
6
1
2
1
5

Not sure/
dont
remember

Dont want
to tell

Tracking for first choice plus leaners, presidential race

Nov-16
Oct-16

4.

n=800
n=642

Hillary
Clinton

Donald
Trump

39
39

46
43

Gary
Johnson

6
6

Jill
Stein

1
2

Other/would
not vote
(VOL)

2
2

1
5

5
2

In the last month or so, have you become more or less confident that [NAME FROM LIST] would be a
successful president if elected? (Rotate.)
More
Less No change
confident confident (VOL)

A.
B.
5.

28
39

55
46

14
10

(If definitely vote, ask: will you vote. If already voted, ask: did you vote.) In this election, (will/did)
you vote a straight ticketthat is, mark the box next to one party for all races where that applies? (If yes,
ask:) For which party (will/did) you vote a straight ticketDemocrat, Republican, Libertarian, or the New
Independent Party Iowa?
18
18
4
53
7

6.

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump

Not
sure

Democrat
Republican
Libertarian
New Independent Party Iowa
Not voting straight ticket
Not sure

Compared to past presidential elections, do you find yourself having more or fewer political conversations
with people you know who support a different candidate from the one you support?
52
28
17
3

More
Fewer
No change (VOL)
Not sure

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3
4

[Alternate Q.7 and Q.8 every other interview.]

7.
Looking forward after the election if Hillary Clinton wins, do you expect the Republicans and Democrats in
Congress will do more to work together to solve problems, or do you think there will be gridlock and
continued battles?
16
75
9
8.

Looking forward after the election if Donald Trump wins, do you expect the Republicans and Democrats in
Congress will do more to work together to solve problems, or do you think there will be gridlock and
continued battles?
25
67
8

9.

Work together
Gridlock
Not sure

Work together
Gridlock
Not sure

What is your view of your choices for president representing two major parties this cycle[Donald Trump]
and [Hillary Clinton]: (Rotate candidates. Read items and do not rotate answer options.)
28
40
20
5
7

These are the worst choices Ive faced as a voter

Im dissatisfied with the choices
Im satisfied with the choices
These are the best choices Ive faced as a voter
Not sure

[Alternate Q.10 and Q.11 every other interview.]

10.
Now, Im going to mention some concerns that political opponents have expressed about Donald Trump. For
each, please tell me if this is something that bothers you a lot, a little, or not at all. (Rotate.)
Bothers ABothers A Bothers
lot
little
Not at all

A.
B.
C.
11.

When Trump was told by a TV interviewer that no one wants

to hear a candidate talking about using nuclear weapons,
Trump replied, Then why do we build them?
The Access Hollywood video with Trump bragging about
kissing and groping women without their consent
Trump saying he would not necessarily accept the results of
what he thinks might be a rigged election, unless he wins

Not
Sure

34

21

40

52

23

23

41

20

35

Now, Im going to mention some concerns that political opponents have expressed about Hillary Clinton. For
each, please tell me if this is something that bothers you a lot, a little, or not at all. (Rotate.)
Bothers
A lot

A.
B.
C.

Clintons relationship with donors to the Clinton Foundation

while she was Secretary of State
Clintons speech to a Brazilian bank saying she dreamed of a
hemispheric common market with open trade and open borders
The news that the FBI plans to review newly discovered emails
that might relate to its investigation of Clintons handling of
classified information

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Bothers Bothers
A little Not at all

Not
Sure

46

22

30

40

21

36

42

21

34

ABOUT THE POLL

The Iowa Poll, conducted Nov. 1-4 for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of
Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 800 Iowans ages 18 or older who say they
will definitely vote or have already voted in the 2016 general election.
Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted 1,072 Iowa adults with randomly selected
landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Survey Sampling International. Responses from
the full probability sample were adjusted by age and sex to reflect the general population
based on recent census data. Interviews were administered in English.
Questions based on the subsample of 800 Iowa likely voters have a maximum margin of error
of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the
same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary
from the percentages shown here by more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Results
based on smaller samples of respondentssuch as by gender or agehave a larger margin of
error.
Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register and Mediacom is
prohibited.

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SELZER & COMPANY
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