Professional Documents
Culture Documents
57
BA
F
O GHA
T. 1 9
NA
NK
Bank of Ghana
Monetary Policy Report
Financial Stability
Volume 5: No.2/2012
April 2012
5.0 Introduction
Global economic risks, which partly stemmed from the Greece sovereign debt crises, have weakened
considerably. The moderation of the crises could be attributed to liquidity injections into the banking system of the
euro area and the approval of the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) by the IMF to Greece. Declining unemployment
rates as well as increased consumer spending have also culminated in a gradual boost in economic activity in the
United States but the Asian region continued to dominate growth in the global economy despite a slight
moderation in the regions growth rate.
The domestic economy faces possible risks as a result of the recent pressures on the domestic currency and the
possible transmission of global developments to the domestic economy through trade and credit channels. This
notwithstanding, the banking sector remained robust with sound financial soundness indicators, measured in
terms of earnings, portfolio quality, liquidity, and capital adequacy.
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
80
60
Net tightening
NPR (%)
40
20
0
-20
Net easing
-40
Overall Credit Stance for Enterprises
Notes: (NPR) -Net percentage refers to the difference between the sum of the percentages for tightened considerably and tightened somewhat and the sum of the
percentages for eased somewhat and eased considerably. The net percentages for the questions related to the contributing factors are defined as the difference
between the percentage of banks reporting that a given factor contributed to a tightening and the percentage reporting that it contributed to an easing
Net tightening
40
NPR (%)
20
0
-20
-40
Net easing
-60
Small and Medium Enterprises
Large Enterprises
NPR (%)
40
20
0
-20
Fixed Investment
Inventories and working capital
Debt restructuring
Changes in terms on loans to corporates
Page 2
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
70
60
NPR (%)
50
40
30
20
10
0
Overall
Large Enterprises
Notes: The net percentages for the questions on demand for loans are defined as the difference between the sum of the percentages for increased considerably and
increased somewhat and the sum of the percentages for decreased considerably and decreased somewhat.
20
Mar-12
Jan-12
Nov-11
Sep-11
Jul-11
May-11
Mar-11
Jan-11
Nov-10
Sep-10
Jul-10
May-10
-40
Jan-10
0
-20
Mar-10
NPR (%)
40
Overall
Loans for house purchase
Consumer credit and other lending
Page 3
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ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
60
50
40
NPR (%)
30
20
10
-20
-30
Mar-08
May-08
Jul-08
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
May-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
0
-10
Page 4
BA
Feb-10
TOTAL ASSETS
14,276.5
1,280.6
12,995.9
3,534.6
2,022.6
1,452.9
6,153.9
1,681.6
7,050.1
770.8
452.6
14,276.5
9,246.2
2,475.9
1,754.0
1,106.4
548.0
329.2
229.2
11,266.1
735.0
141.8
9,017.0
1,324.3
1,186.1
1,892.8
A. Foreign Assets
B. Domestic Assets
Investments
i. Bills
ii. Securities
Advances (Net)
of which Foreign Currency
Gross Advances
Other Assets
Fixed Assets
Feb-11
17,868.2
1,617.4
16,250.8
5,112.1
3,243.6
1,573.3
6,502.4
2,027.7
7,427.5
1,107.0
499.7
17,868.2
12,139.4
3,320.9
1,724.2
1,030.2
433.6
289.0
307.6
14,307.7
816.1
185.5
11,831.8
1,415.9
1,395.2
2,506.0
22,625.0
2,376.1
20,248.9
6,150.6
3,868.7
2,156.5
8,912.0
3,197.6
9,937.0
893.1
591.7
22,625.0
16,141.4
4,675.1
1,883.1
1,334.3
365.9
403.1
565.3
18,134.2
821.9
292.1
15,576.1
1,382.1
1,651.8
3,139.7
T. 1 9 5 7
Shares
Feb-12
Feb-12
NA
ES
F
O GHA
NK
25.2
26.6
26.3
25.0
44.6
60.4
8.3
5.7
20.6
5.4
43.6
10.4
25.2
31.3
34.1
(1.7)
(6.9)
(20.9)
(12.2)
34.2
27.0
11.0
30.8
31.2
6.9
17.6
32.4
46.9
24.6
20.3
19.3
37.1
37.1
57.7
33.8
(19.3)
18.4
26.6
33.0
40.8
9.2
29.5
(15.6)
39.5
83.7
26.7
0.7
57.4
31.6
(2.4)
18.4
25.3
100.0
10.5
89.5
27.2
17.1
9.5
39.4
14.1
43.9
3.9
2.6
100.0
71.3
20.7
8.3
5.9
1.6
1.8
2.5
80.2
3.6
1.3
68.8
6.1
7.3
13.9
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
23.5
24.8
43.1
5.4
3.2
25.9
28.6
36.4
6.2
2.8
26.7
27.2
39.4
3.9
2.6
Total Deposits
Total Borrowings
Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Funds
67.9
9.6
7.9
14.0
71.3
8.3
6.1
13.9
Page 5
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
The share of net loans & advances in banks assets of 39.4 per cent in February 2012 was an improvement over
the 36.4 per cent recorded in February 2011. Investments (in both bills and securities) as a proportion of total
assets decreased from 28.6 per cent in February 2011 to 27.2 per cent in February 2012.
Total deposits accounted for 71.3 per cent of total liabilities at the end of February 2012 compared with 67.9 per
cent recorded in 2011. However, the proportion of shareholders funds in total liabilities dipped marginally from 14
per cent in February 2011 to 13.9 per cent in February 2012. The share of total borrowings in total liabilities also
declined to 8.3 per cent as at February 2012 from 9.6 per cent registered in February 2011 (see Table 2).
5.3.2 Share of Banks Investments
Chart 6 shows the distribution of the banks investment portfolio between February 2007 and February 2012.
Banks investment in securities (long term investments) as a share of total investment increased significantly from
30.8 per cent in February 2011 to 35.1 per cent in February 2012 but investment in treasury bills as a share of
total investment declined to 62.9 per cent in February 2012, from 63.4 per cent in February 2011 (see Chart 6).
Chart 6: Banks Investment (%)
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
Percent
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Securities/Total Investments
58.6
64.8
26.7
41.1
30.8
35.1
Bills/Total Investments
40.4
33.9
59.9
57.2
63.4
62.9
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
Percent
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
-
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Credi t to Depos i t
75.0
83.7
90.0
76.2
61.2
61.6
45.8
49.7
52.6
43.1
36.4
39.4
25.3
17.2
17.3
24.8
28.6
27.2
Page 6
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
Credit to deposit ratio increased marginally from 61.2 per cent in February 2011 to 61.6 per cent in February 2012
and credit to deposit plus borrowings ratio also followed similar trend. Investments to deposit ratio decreased
marginally to 27.2 per cent in February 2012 from 28.6 per cent in February 2011 and reflected banks
channelling of relatively less proportion of mobilised funds into investments (see Chart 7).
5.4
Credit Risk
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
2,650.5
4,238.5
6,227.9
7,050.08
7,427.53
9,937.04
28.4
41.3
22.1
(0.9)
(3.5)
23.2
2,208.1
3,492.7
5,051.1
5,753.9
6,304.0
9,009.80
40.8
39.7
20.2
-0.3
0.4
31.6
67.6
15.7
5.0
11.6
65.3
17.1
4.5
13.1
63.9
17.2
4.8
14.1
68.6
14.9
2.2
14.3
68.4
16.0
3.8
11.8
75.6
15.5
4.6
4.4
Page 7
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
The sectoral allocation of credit shows that Commerce & Finance continued to receive the highest proportion of
credit though in year-on-year terms its share of total credit declined from 30.6 per cent in February 2011 to 27.1
per cent in February 2012. The services sectors share of credit however improved from 22.6 per cent in February
2011 to 25.3 per cent in February 2012.
Mining and Quarrying, Electricity, Gas and Water, and Transportation, Storage and Communication sectors share
of credit improved, while the proportion of credit to Construction and Manufacturing sectors declined during the
review period. The proportion of total credit to Agriculture, Forest and Fishing sector remain the same (see Chart
8).
Chart 8: Sectoral Credit Allocation
8.0
7.7
Mi s cel l a neous
25.3
22.6
Servi ces
Tra ns p., Stor. & Commu.
3.8
4.1
27.1
Commerce a nd Fi na nce
El ect., Wa ter & Ga s
6.6
7.8
8.3
Cons tructi on
8.8
Ma nufa cturi ng
Mi ni ng & Qua rryi ng
30.6
9.7
11.9
3.9
2.6
5.6
5.6
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
Feb-12
Page 8
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
The indicators of asset quality improved at end February 2012 relative to the same period last year. The
industrys Non-Performing Loan (NPL) ratio declined from 16.6 per cent at February 2011 to 13.7 per cent in
February 2012 (see Table 5).
The loss loan category of the total loan classifications continued to account for the highest proportion of banks
impaired assets. It accounted for 61.3 per cent of the impaired assets, while doubtful and substandard categories
accounted for 19.6 per cent and 19 per cent respectively at end February 2012. Loss loan category accounted for
60.4 per cent, followed by substandard 21.7 per cent, and doubtful loans 17.9 per cent in the same period of
2011.
The ratio of NPL net of provisions to capital of 10.6 per cent at end February 2012 was an improvement over the
February 2011 position of 12.2 per cent. Loan loss provision to gross loans ratio also improved from 9 per cent to
7.1 per cent over the same periods (see Table 5).
Table 5: Asset Quality
SUB-STD (GHm)
DOUBTFUL (GHm)
LOSS (GHm)
NPL (GHm)
NPL Ratio (%)
NPL Net of Provision to Capital (%)
Loan provision to Gross loan (%)
Feb-07
37.2
50.3
106.5
194.0
7.3
0.93
5.67
Feb-08
115.3
106.4
136.3
358.1
8.4
11.87
4.88
Feb-09
136.3
125.9
243.0
505.2
8.1
4.67
5.76
Feb-10
524.5
385.5
501.8
1,411.7
20.0
27.24
10.72
Feb-11
267.1
220.4
742.6
1,230.1
16.6
12.17
9.04
Feb-12
258.4
266.9
833.6
1,358.9
13.7
10.63
7.13
Page 9
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
The private sector received 91.2 per cent of total credit and accounted for 91.2 per cent of the total nonperforming loans as at the end of February 2012. Similarly, the public sectors share of total credit was 8.8 per
cent and contributed 8.8 per cent of non-performing loans as at February 2012 (see Table 6).
The data showed that sectors which received greater proportion of credit also accounted for a higher share of
NPLs. Commerce and finance, and services sectors together received 52.4 per cent of total credit and accounted
for 49.2 per cent of total NPLs at end February 2012 (see Chart 9).
Chart 9: Sectoral Distribution of Total Credit and NPLs as at February 2012
7.9
8.0
Mi s cel l a neous
17.0
Servi ces
25.3
4.3
3.8
36.2
27.1
3.1
9.7
9.2
7.8
Cons tructi on
Ma nufa cturi ng
8.8
3.9
11.0
5.6
5.7
5.6
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
The Mining and Quarrying sector continued to account for higher proportions of impaired loans to their gross
loans. However, the proportion of impaired loans of the mining and quarrying sector decreased significantly from
26 per cent in February 2011 to 19.7 per cent in February 2012. Similarly, the proportion of impaired loans in
other sectors declined except commerce and Finance and Transport, Storage, and Communication sectors (see
Chart 10).
Chart 10: Proportion of Loans Impaired in Each Sector
13.6
15.2
Mi s cel l aneous
Servi ces
Trans p., Stor. & Commu.
Commerce and Fi nance
El ect., Water & Gas
Cons tructi on
9.2
15.2
15.2
18.3
17.5
4.4
8.1
16.1
18.9
17.2
Manufacturi ng
Mi ni ng & Quarryi ng
Agri c, Fores t. & Fi s hi ng
0.0
19.7
13.9
5.0
Feb-11
12.4
10.0
15.0
22.4
26.0
21.1
20.0
25.0
30.0
Feb-12
Page 10
BA
NA
F
O GHA
NK
ES
T. 1 9 5 7
Liquidity in the banking sector remained strong as evidenced by increases in both broad and core measures of
liquidity in February 2012 relative to the same period in 2011. However, other measures such as liquid assets to
total deposits (both core and broad) declined marginally in year-on-year terms but remained relatively high (see
Table 7).
Table 7: Liquidity Ratios
Liquid Assets (Core) - (GH'million)
Liquid Assets (Broad) -(GH'million)
Liquid Assets to total deposits (Core)
Liquid Assets to total deposits (Broad)
Liquid assets to total assets (Core)
Liquid assets to total assets (Broad)
Feb-07
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
1,121.7
2,468.4
31.7
69.8
20.9
46.0
1,748.7
3,112.9
34.5
61.5
21.8
38.8
2,404.3
4,060.1
34.8
58.7
21.8
36.8
3,348.6
6,824.1
36.2
73.8
23.5
47.8
4,635.2
9,452.0
38.2
77.9
25.9
52.9
6,043.5
12,068.7
37.4
74.8
26.7
53.3
##
##
##
##
##
##
90.0
80.0
20.0
70.0
Percent
60.0
15.0
50.0
40.0
10.0
30.0
20.0
5.0
10.0
-
5.7
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
RWA/Total Assets
(RHS)
74.8
76.0
68.6
68.3
67.9
CAR
14.9
14.8
19.7
18.5
17.4
TIER 1 CAR
13.5
14.0
18.5
18.6
14.9
0.0
Profitability
Page 11
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
million in February 2012. Similarly, the industrys net profit after tax increased significantly by 97.2 per cent in
February 2012 compared with a contraction of 10.5 per cent recorded in February 2011. The improvement in
earnings was due to significant growth in fees and commission and other income as well as a slower growth in
operating expenses. Growth in net fees and commission rose from 22.8 per cent in February 2011 to 40.1 per
cent in February 2012 while other income also posted significant increases (see Table 8).
The banking industrys interest expenses contracted by 4 per cent in February 2012 compared to a 32.4 per cent
contraction recorded in February 2011, reflecting improved macroeconomic conditions (see Table 8).
Table 8: DMBs Income Statement
DMBs' Income Statement Highlights
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
(GH 'million)
Interest Income
Interest Expenses
Net Interest Income
Fees and Commissions (Net)
Other Income
Operating Income
Operating Expenses
Staff Cost
Other operating Expenses
Net Operating Income
Total Provision (Loan losses, Depreciation & others)
Monetary Loss
Income Before Tax
Tax
Net Income
Gross Income
Feb-11
Feb-12
Y-on-y Growth (%)
355.8
(170.8)
184.9
64.9
121.3
371.1
(159.8)
(68.4)
(91.3)
211.3
(38.0)
(81.2)
337.6
(115.6)
222.0
79.7
47.5
349.2
(200.5)
(89.2)
(111.3)
148.8
(59.4)
0.9
377.7
(111.0)
266.7
111.6
87.2
465.5
(242.0)
(113.4)
(128.6)
223.5
(61.7)
1.1
(5.1)
(32.4)
20.1
22.8
(60.8)
(5.9)
25.5
30.3
21.8
(29.6)
56.1
-
11.9
(4.0)
20.1
40.1
83.5
33.3
20.7
27.2
15.5
50.3
4.0
-
92.1
(20.6)
71.5
541.9
90.3
(26.3)
64.0
464.8
162.9
(36.7)
126.2
576.5
(1.9)
27.9
(10.5)
(14.2)
80.4
39.6
97.2
24.0
Page 12
BA
ES
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
Interest income from loans which continues to be the main source of income for the banking industry constituted
45.6 per cent of total income in February 2012 compared with 48.3 per cent in February 2011. Investment income
share of 20 per cent of total income was below the 24.3 per cent recorded in February 2011. The share of
income from fees and commission improved from 17.1 per cent in February 2011 to 19.4 per cent in February
2012 (see Chart 12).
Table 9: Profitability Indicators (%)
Gross Yield
Int Payable
Spread
Asset Utilitisation
Interest Margin to Total Assets
Interest Margin to Gross income
Profitability Ratio
Return On Assets (%) Before tax
Return On Equity (%) after tax
Feb-07
2.3
1.0
1.3
15.5
1.3
50.4
19.4
31.1
2.7
Feb-08
2.6
0.9
1.7
16.0
1.2
46.2
29.6
35.0
2.9
Feb-09
3.3
2.0
1.2
20.2
1.2
35.1
14.3
27.7
3.0
Feb-10
Feb-11
3.4
2.3
1.2
3.8
1.3
34.1
13.2
42.2
3.1
2.6
1.0
1.5
2.6
1.2
47.8
13.8
22.2
2.1
Feb-12
2.4
0.8
1.6
2.5
1.2
46.3
21.9
31.1
3.3
Percent
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
-
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
8.8
13.2
22.4
10.2
15.1
20.3
14.5
12.0
17.1
19.4
Loans
53.8
53.1
48.9
48.3
45.6
Investments
17.1
19.0
16.8
24.3
20.0
Other Income
Page 13
BA
ES
T. 1 9 5 7
3.5
90.0
3.0
80.0
2.5
70.0
60.0
Percent
NA
F
O GHA
NK
2.0
50.0
1.5
40.0
30.0
1.0
20.0
0.5
10.0
-
Feb-08
Feb-09
Feb-10
Feb-11
Feb-12
Cost to i ncome
70.5
85.8
71.8
86.4
78.3
49.6
48.8
40.3
61.6
59.0
1.9
2.9
2.7
2.2
2.0
1.3
1.6
1.5
1.6
1.5
Dec-09
Jan-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
81.52
78.93
52.41
52.44
60.20
67.43
19.60
(2.28)
5.03
3.88
(2.17)
16.03
57.44
64.56
(15.67)
(10.35)
50.56
68.17
58.50
23.66
31.16
34.93
31.09
30.79
Page 14
BA
ES
% of Total Borrowing
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
2009
2010
2011
2012
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
% of Total Borrowing
2010
2011
2012
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
The financial soundness indicators of the banking industry, measured in terms of earnings, portfolio
quality, liquidity, and capital adequacy remained strong.
The declining trends in the banking sector NPLs is expected to enhance credit delivery.
The improvement in the non performing loans has culminated in credit expansion. However, the recent
depreciation of the cedi and the increase in money market rates may dampen credit recovery. In the short to
medium term, banks need to monitor their portfolio risks and manage their exposures to minimize the risks
inherent in the depreciation of the cedi.
Monetary Policy Report No. 5 Vol.2/2012
Page 15
BA
ES
APPENDIX
NA
F
O GHA
NK
T. 1 9 5 7
Asset to GDP
Private Sector Credi/GDP
Total Credit to GDP
Deposits to GDP
20.5
7.6
10.0
13.6
23.2
9.5
11.4
15.3
26.6
11.6
14.0
16.8
30.1
13.8
17.0
18.9
30.9
12.7
15.2
20.0
Feb-11
377,454.3
Investments
Foreign Assets
Total Assets
Share of Assets (flow)
Credit
31.3
11.0
13.0
21.3
32.4
13.0
14.2
23.1
Feb-12
2,509,508.5
346,185.1
1,169,891.3
1,577,456.5
336,807.1
3,591,714.6
1,038,472.0
758,718.2
4,756,875.6
10.5
52.8
9.6
24.6
43.9
9.4
21.8
15.9
2,893,221.0
4,001,972.9
Liabilities
Deposits
of which foreign currency
Borrowings
Shareholders' Funds
Shareholders' Funds & Liabilities
Share of Liabilities (flow)
Deposits
of which foreign currency
Borrowings
Shareholders' Funds
844,957.6
(29,848.8)
613,193.0
3,580,987.7
1,354,228.4
158,892.1
633,715.7
4,758,410.6
80.8
84.1
23.6
28.5
(0.8)
17.1
3.3
13.3
Page 16