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BALANCE OF PAYMENT
2. EQUILIBRIUM AND DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BOP
3. TRENDS IN FOREIGN TRADE
4. DIRECTION OF INDIA'S FOREIGN TRADE
5. INDIAS TOP 10 EXPORTER
6. COMMODITIES GROUP
7. MAJOR IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF INDIA
8. IMPORT AND EXPORT LICENCING PROCEDURE IN
INDIA
Receipts (Credits)
1.
Export of goods.
Payments (Debits)
Imports of goods.
Trade Account Balance
2.
Export of services.
3.
Interest, profit and
dividends
received.
4. Unilateral receipts.
Import of services.
Interest, profit and dividends
paid.
Unilateral payments.
Total
Payments
Total payments.
1.
Trade Balance :Trade balance is the difference between export and import of
goods, usually referred as visible or tangible items. If the exports
are more than imports, there will be trade surplus and if imports
are more than exports, there will be trade deficit. Developing
countries have most of the time suffered a deficit in their balance
of payments. The trade balance forms a part of current account.
In 2008-09, trade deficit of India was 118.6 US $ billion.
2.
Current Account Balance :-
f.
Institutional changes that take place within and outside the
country may result in BOP
disequilibrium. For Eg. if a trading block imposes additional import
duties on products imported in member countries of the block,
then the exports of exporting country would be restricted or
reduced. This may worsen the BOP position of exporting country.
2.
Cyclical Disequilibrium :Economic activities are subject to business cycles, which
normally have four phases Boom or Prosperity, Recession,
Depression and Recovery. During boom period, imports may
increase considerably due to increase in demand for imported
goods. During recession and depression, imports may be reduced
due to fall in demand on account of reduced income. During
recession exports may increase due to fall in prices. During boom
period, a country may face deficit in BOP on account of increased
imports.
Cyclical disequilibrium in BOP may occur because
a. Trade cycles follow different paths and patterns in different
countries.
b. Income elasticities of demand for imports in different countries
are not identical.
c. Price elasticities of demand for imports differ in different
countries.
3.
Short - Run Disequilibrium :This disequilibrium occurs for a short period of one or two
years. Such BOP disequilibrium is temporary in nature. Short - run
disequilibrium arises due to unexpected contingencies like failure
of rains or favourable monsoons, strikes, industrial peace or
unrest etc. Imports may increase exports or exports may increase
imports in a year due to these reasons and causes a temporary
disequilibrium exists.
International borrowing or lending for a short - period would
cause short - run disequilibrium in balance of payments of a
country. Short term disequilibrium can be corrected through short
- term borrowings. If short - run disequilibrium occurs repeatedly
it may pave way for long - run disequilibrium.
4.
Long - Run I Secular Disequilibrium :-
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
2.
Globalisation
Globalisation and the rules of WTO have brought a liberal
and open environment in global trade. It has positive as well as
negative effects on imports, exports and investments. Poor
countries are unable to cope up with this new environment.
Ultimately they become loser and their BOP is adversely affected.
3.
Cyclical Transmission
International trade is also affected by Business cycles.
Recession or depression in one or more developed countries may
affect the rest of the world. The negative effects of trade cycle
(low income, low demand, etc.) are transmitted from one country
to another. For eg. The current financial crisis in U.S.A. is affecting
the rest of the world.
4.
Structural Adjustments
Many countries in recent years are undergoing structural
changes. Their economies are being liberalised. As a result,
investment, income and other variables are changing resulting in
changes in exports and imports.
5.
Political factors
The existence of political instability may result in disrupting
the productive apparatus of the country causing a decline in
exports and increase in imports. Likewise, payment of war
expenses may also serious affect disequilibrium in the countrys
BOP. Thus political factors may also produce serious
disequilibrium in the countrys BOPs.
Q. 5 : Explain the different measures to correct
disequilibrium in BOP.
OR
Examine the measures taken by government to
overcome the BOP crisis.
OR
What are the measures to be undertaken to correct
BOP disequilibrium.
Ans. A. MEASURES TO CORRECT DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BOP :Any disequilibrium (deficit or surplus) in balance of
payments is bad for normal internal economic operations and
international economic relations. A deficit is more harmful for a
countrys economic growth, thus it must be corrected sooner than
later. The measures to correct disequilibrium can be broadly
divided into four groups
MEASURES
Monetary
Rate
Policy
I.
1)
Fiscal
Nonmonetary
Policy
Policy
Exchange
Policy
Monetary Measures :Monetary Policy :The monetary policy is concerned with money supply and
credit in the economy. The Central Bank may expand or contract
the money supply in the economy through appropriate measures
which will affect the prices.
A.
Inflation :If in the country there is inflation, the Central Bank through its
monetary policy will make an attempt to reduce inflation. The
Central Bank will adopt tight monetary policy. Money supply will
be controlled by increase in Bank Rate, Cash Reserve Ratio,
Statutory Ratio etc.
The monetary policy measures may reduce money supply,
and encourage people to save more, which would reduce inflation.
If inflation is reduced, the prices of domestic market will decrease
and also that of export goods. In foreign markets there will be
more demand for export goods, which would correct BOP
disequilibrium.
B.
Deflation :During deflation the Central Bank of the country may
adopt easy monetary policy. It will try to increase money supply
and
credit
in
the
economy,
which
would
increase
investment. More investment leads to more production. Surplus
can be exported, which in turn may improve BOP position.
2)
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy is government's policy on income and
expenditure. Government incurs development and non development expenditure,. It gets income through taxation and
non - tax sources. Depending upon the situation governments
expenditure may be increased or decreased.
a)
Inflation
During inflation the government may adopt easy fiscal
policy. The tax rates for corporate sector may be reduced, which
would encourage more production and distribution including
exports. Increased exports will bring more foreign exchange there
by making the BOP position favourable.
b)
Deflation
During deflation the government would adopt restrictive
fiscal policy.It may impose additional taxes on consumers or may
introduce tax saving schemes. This may reduce the consumption
of citizens, which in turn may enable more export surplus.
To restrict imports the government may also impose
additional tariffs or customs duties which may improve the BOP
position.
3)
Exchange Rate Policy
Foreign exchange rate in the market may directly or
indirectly be influenced by the Government.
a)
Devaluation
When foreign exchange problem is faced by the country, the
government tries to reduce imports and .increase exports. This is
done through devaluation of domestic currency. Under
devaluation, the- government makes a deliberate effort to reduce
the value of home country. If devaluation is carried out, then the
exports will become cheaper and imports costlier. This is turn will
help to reduce imports and increase exports.
b)
Depreciation
Depreciation like devaluation lowers the value of domestic
currency or increases the value of foreign currency. Depreciation
of a country's currency takes place in free or competitive foreign
exchange market due to market forces. Depreciation and
devaluation have the same effect on exchange rate. If there is
high demand for foreign currency than its supply, it will
The group of countries to which India Exports are :Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development (OECD)
comprising of USA, Canada, European Union (EU), Australia and
Japan.
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) which
includes Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and others.
Eastern Europe which includes Romania, Russia and others.
Developing Nations which includes China, Hong Kong, South
Korea, Singapore and Malaysia.
A. Direction of India's Exports
The above table reveals following changes in India's Exports :1. OECD
The OECD group accounted for a major portion of India's exports.
The share of this group was 56.4% in 1990-91 & 44.3% in 200506. About 45% of these exports have been to European Union
(EU) countries.
2. OPEC
The share of OPEC which was 5.6% in 1990-91. In 2005-06 it has
increased to 14.8% i.e. share of OPEC has been showing an
upward trend since 1990-91.
3. Eastern Europe
There was a rapid decrease in the share of Eastern Europe
particularly U.S.S.R. Due to political problems & disintegration of
the U.S.S.R, the share of Eastern Europe decreased from 17.9% in
1990-91 to 1.9% in 2005-06.
4. Developing Countries
The share of developing nations increased from 17.1% in 1990-91
to 38.7% in 2005-06. Asian countries now account for 1/4 th of
India's export earnings. Among the Asian countries the major
export destinations have been Hong Kong, Singapore & Thailand.
5. Other Countries
The share of other countries has declined from 3.00% in 1990-91
to 0.3% in 2005-06.
Important Facts of India's Country Wise Exports
The share of U.K in India's exports declined from 26.9% in 196061 to 4.5% in 2004-05.
The share of USA in India's exports was 16% in 1960-61 and it
rose to 16.7% in 2004-05. India was dependent on U.K and U.S.A
for 43% of its export earnings in 1960-61. US to be the single
largest trading partner for India but with a declining trend.
The share of U.S.S.R. (Russia) rose from 4.5% in 1960-61 to 18.3%
in 1980-81 but declined to 0.8% in 2004-05 due to the
disintegration of U.S.S.R. Between 1986-90, the first position was
occupied by U.S.A, second position by U.S.S.R and the third
position by Japan. The position changed markedly after the
disintegration of U.S.S.R.
In the recent years, export to East Asian Countries has increased,
mainly Hong Kong, Singapore and Thailand.
There has been a healthy growth of bilateral trade between India
and China. In the first seven months of 2002-03, Indo-China
bilateral trade expanded by 43.4%. China is the second largest
trading partner for India next to USA.
B. Direction of India's Imports
Since the last decade, there has been a distinct shift in the
direction of trade. The share of OECD countries both in exports &
imports is on the decline. Eastern Europe is no more a major
partner in our trade. Its share has reached the lowest among the
group. The Asian developing countries are becoming important
trade partners.
The above table reveals following changes in India's Imports :1. OECD - Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development
The share of OECD in India's import expenditure declined from
54% in 1990-91 to 32.73% in 2005-06. Thus the importance of
OECD declined over the period 1990-91 to 2005-06.
2. OPEC - Organisation of Petroleum Exportinq Countries
OPEC mainly include Iran, Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The
share of OPEC countries decreased from 16.3% in 1990-91 to
7.7% in 2005-06 mainly because of crude oil. There has been a
change in the source of oil imports from OPEC to other countries.
3. Eastern Europe
This includes mainly the former USSR. India's share of imports
from Eastern Europe has also declined from 7.8% in 1990-91 to
2.6% in 2005-06. This is mainly due to decline in imports from
Russia.
4. Developing Nations
This includes the developing countries of Africa, Asia, Latin
America and Caribbean. The share of developing nations in India's
import expenditure increased from 18.4% in 1990-91 to 25.9% in
2005-06.
5. Other Countries
The share of other countries increased from 3.5% in 1990-91 to
31.1% in 2005-06.
Important Facts of India's Country Wise Imports
The share of U.S.A in India's imports was 29.2% and that of U.K
was 19.4% in 1960-61. U.S.A. ranked first and U.K ranked the
second. During the whole planning period, India has obtained
maximum imports from U.S.A.
With the emergence of new trading partners like Japan, Germany
and Canada the dependence on U.K. declined. The share of U.K. in
Indian imports declined from 19.4% in 1960-61 to 3.2% in 200405.
Trade with Japan increased in absolute terms and India has now
entered in to a number of collaborations with Japan. The
percentage share of Japan has decreased from 5.4% in 1960-61 to
2.8% in 2004-05.
Trade with USSR occupied the second place next to USA, during
1984. The share of USSR increased from 1.4% in 1960-61 to
10.4% in 1984-85. With the disintegration of USSR, the share of
Russia fell to 1.2% in 2004-05. The directions has now changed
markedly.
The share of developing countries has constituted more than
1/4th of total imports in 2004-05 of these imports from Asian
countries are most important.
Conclusion on Direction of India's Foreign Trade
The only declining category among the top 10 Indian exports was
oil which was down by -45.3% particularly refined petroleum
products.
Exports by Principal Commodities
Disaggregated data on exports by Principal Commodities, in $ terms, available for the
period 2009-10 (AprilSeptember) as compared with the corresponding period of the
previous year are given in Table 2.2. Exports during the period registered a decline of (-)
29.67 per cent mainly due to significant fall in the exports of Engineering Goods, Gems &
Jewellery, Petroleum Products, Agriculture and allied products, Chemical & related
products and Ores & Minerals.
Fertilizers
During 2009-10 (April-September),
import of Fertilizers
(manufactured) decreased to US $ 2781.0 million from US $
6947.0 million in April-September 2008 recording a negative
growth of 60.0 per cent.
Petroleum Crude & Products
The import of Petroleum Crude & Products stood at US $ 37386.3
million during April - September, 2009 against US $ 63284.7
million during the same period of the previous year registering a
negative growth of 41.0 per cent.
Pearls, Precious and Semi-Precious Stones
Import of Pearls and Precious and Semi-Precious Stones during
2009-10 (April-September) decreased to US $ 5430.1 million from
US $ 10430.1 million during the corresponding period of the
previous year registering a negative growth of 48.0 per cent.
Capital Goods
Import of Capital Goods, largely comprises of Machinery, including
Transport Equipment and Electrical Machinery. Import of Machine
Tools, Non-Electrical Machinery, Electrical Machinery and
Transport Equipment registered a negative growth of 41.1 per
cent, 22.6 per cent, 29.2 per cent, and 57.3 per cent respectively.
Organic and Inorganic Chemicals
During 2009-10 (April-September), import of Organic and
Inorganic Chemicals decreased to US $ 5628.6 million from US $
7644.5 million during the same period of last year, registering
Direction of Indias Foreign Trade
The value of Indias exports to and imports from major regions/
countries are given in Table 2.4 & 2.5. Share of major destinations
of Indias Exports and sources of Imports during 2009-10 (AprilSeptember) are given in Chart 2.6 and 2.7 respectively.
Chart 2.6
Chart 2.7
Asia and ASEAN accounted for 61.3 per cent of Indias total
imports during the period followed by Europe (19.1 per cent) and
America (9.4 per cent). Amongindividual countries the share of
China stood highest at (12.0 per cent) followed by USA (6.0 per
cent), UAE (6.0 per cent), Saudi
Arabia (5.5 per cent), Iran (4.5 per cent), Switzerland (4.4 per
cent), Germany (3.8 per cent), Kuwait (2.9 per cent), Nigeria (2.5
per cent) and Iraq (2.3 per cent).
Import of Sensitive Items during April 09- September 09
The total import of sensitive items for the period April-September
2009-10 has been Rs.29256.29 crore as compared to Rs.21186.61
crore during the corresponding period of last year thereby
showing an increase of 38.1%. The gross import of all
commodities during same period of current year was Rs.790644
crore as compared to Rs 605075 crore during the same period of
last year. Thus import of sensitive items constitutes 2.7% and
4.8% of the gross imports during last year and current year
respectively. The summary of import of Sensitive items is given in
the Table 2.6.
Imports of automobiles, cotton & silk, products of SSI alcoholic
beverages and food grains have shown a decline at broad group
level during the period. Imports of all other items viz. edible oil,
Pulses, fruits & vegetables (including nuts), rubber, spices, marble
& granite, tea & coffee and milk & milk products have shown
increase during the period under reference.
In the edible oil segment, the import has increased from Rs
6265.69 crore last year to Rs 11831.43 crore for the
corresponding period of this year. The imports of both crude
edible oil as well as refined oil have gone up by 97% and 55%
respectively. The increase in edible oil import is mainly due to
substantial increase in import of crude palm oil and its fractions.
Imports of sensitive items from Indonesia, Myanmar, Brazil,
Malaysia, United States of America, Japan, Canada, Ukraine,
Argentina, Australia, Benin, Guinea Bissau etc. have gone up
while those from China P RP, Korea RP, Germany, Thailand, Cote
D Ivoire, Czech Republic etc. have shown a decrease .
Q:
What are the major imports and exports of India?
A:
QUICK ANSWER
As of 2014, the major exports from India are engineering goods,
refined petroleum, gems, jewelry, chemicals, agricultural products
and textiles. As of 2012, the major Indian imports were crude
petroleum, gold, coal briquettes, diamonds and petroleum gas.
India's main export partners are the United States, the United
Arab Emirates, China, Singapore and the Netherlands.
FULL ANSWER
During 2012, India's main import partners were China, United
Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Switzerland and the United States.
During this time, India was the leading exporter of jewelry, rice,
non-retail pure cotton yarn, vegetable saps, other oily seeds,
essential oils, tug boats and cyclic alcohols; however, these
products were not its main export goods. The total value of India's
export trade for 2012 was $275 billion, while the import trade was
valued at $448 billion. The import and export trade in India is
regulated by the government of India by means of the Foreign
Trade (Development and Regulation) Act of 1992. This law allows
the Indian government to have complete control over India's
imports and exports. Oversight of the import and export trade is
conducted by the Director General of Foreign Trade from within
the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. The Department of
Commerce within the Ministry has jurisdiction over the offices of
the Director General of Foreign Trade.
Prohibited Goods
These are the items which cannot be exported at all. The vast
majority of these include wild animals, and animal articles that
may carry a risk of infection.
State Trading Enterprise (STE)
Certain items can be exported only through designated STEs. The
export of such items is subject to the conditions specified in the
EXIM policy.
Types of Duties
There are many types of duties that are levied in India on imports
and exports. A list of these duties follows below:
Basic Duty
Basic duty is the typical tax rate that is applied to goods. The
rates of custom duties are specified in the First and Second
Schedules of the Customs Tariff Act of 1975. The First Schedule
contains rates of import duty, and the second schedule contains
rates of export duties. Most of the items in India are exempt from
custom duty, which is generally levied on imports.
The first schedule contains two rates: Standard rate and
preferential rate. The preferential rate is lower than the standard
rate. When goods are imported from a place specified by the
central government (CG) for lower rates, the preferential rate is
applicable. In any other case, the standard rate will be applicable.
If the CG has signed a trade agreement with the country of origin,
then the CG may opt to charge a lower basic duty than indicated
in the first schedule.
Additional Customs Duty (Countervailing Duty)
In addition to the basic duty on imported goods, a countervailing
duty is also applicable to imported goods. The rate of duty is
equal to the rate of excise applied to goods manufactured in
subsidy itself. However, the duty will not be imposed if the the
article is subsidized for the following reasons:
1. Research activities conducted by person engaged in
manufacturing or export
2. Assistance to disadvantaged regions in destination country
3. Assistance in adaptation of existing facilities to new
environment requirements.
The notification issued by CG in this regard shall be valid for five
years and possibly subject to further extension. However, the
total period cannot exceed 10 years from the initial date of
imposition.
Safeguard Duty
A safeguard duty is a tariff designed to provide protection to
domestic goods, favoring them over imported items. If the
government determines that increased imports of certain items
are having a significantly detrimental effect on domestic
competitors, it may opt to levy this duty on those imports to
discourage their proliferation. However, the duty does not apply
to articles imported from developing countries. The CG may
exempt imports of any article from this duty. The notification
issued by CG in this regard is valid for four years, subject to
further extension. However, the total period cannot exceed 10
years from the date of first imposition.
Protective Duties
In addition to safeguard duties, the CG also bolsters domestic
industries using protective duties. Should the Tariff Commission
issue a recommendation for a protective duty, the CG may
impose on any goods imported to India a protective duty to
provide protection to domestic industry.