Professional Documents
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06
System
Dynamics
Analisis Sistem
Sistem
Model
Permodelan
Komputer
Simulasi
Introduction
Knowing how to do simulation doesnt make someone a
good systems designer
Simulation is a tool that is useful only if one
understands the nature of the problem to be solved
Simulation is designed to help solve systemic problems
that are operational in nature.
Introduction
Simulation exercises fail to produce useful
result more often because of a lack of
understanding of system dynamics than a lack
of knowing how to use the simulation software
The challenge is in understanding how the
system operates, knowing what you want to
achieve with the system, and being able to
identify key leverage points for best achieving
desired objective.
Objectives
What is system?
What are the elements of a system?
What makes systems so complex?
What are useful system metrics?
What is a system approach to systems planning?
System Definition
A system is defined as a collection of elements
that function together to achieve a desired goal
(Blanchard, 1991)
Key points include:
System Identity
ELEMENTS
INTERRELATIONSHIP
GOAL
PERFORMANCE
ENVIRONMENT
System Definition
Examples of systems:
Traffic systems
Political systems
Economic systems
Manufacturing systems
Service systems
Main focus
System Definition
Manufacturing systems:
Machining cells
Large production
facilities
Assembly lines
Warehousing
Distribution
Service systems:
Call centers
Amusement parks
Public transportation
systems
Restaurant
Bank
etc
System Definition
Both manufacturing and service systems may be
termed processing systems.
Processing systems:
Artificial (human-made)
System Elements
From a simulation perspective, a system consists of
entities, activities, resources, controls.
The elements define the who, what, where, when, and
how of entity processing.
Incoming entities
Outgoing entities
Activities
Resources
Controls
System
System Elements
Entities:
System Elements
System Elements
Activities
example:
Servicing a customer
cutting a part on machine
System Elements
Activities .
Classified as:
entity processing (check-in, treatment, inspection,
fabrication, etc.)
entity and resource movement (forklift travel, riding in an
elevator, etc.)
resource adjustments, maintenance, and repairs (machine
setups, copy machine repair, etc.)
System Elements
Resources
the
provide
can
have
System Elements
dedicated or shared
permanent or consumable
mobile or stationary
System Elements
Controls
Production plans
Work schedules
Task prioritization
Control software
Instruction sheets
System Complexity
Elements of a system operate with one another in ways
that often result in complex interactions.
Unaided human intuition is not very good at analyzing
and understanding complex systems.
Inability of the human mind to grasp real-world
complexity is called as the principle of bounded
rationality (Herbert Simon).
System Complexity
This principle states that the capacity of human mind
for formulating and solving complex problem is very
small compared with the size of problem whose
solution is required for objectively rational behavior in
the real world, or even for a reasonable approximation
to such objective rationality (Simon, 1957).
System Complexity
System complexity is a primary function of two
factors:
System Complexity
The degree of analytical difficulty increases
exponentially as the number of interdependencies and
random variables increase.
Flow time
Utilization
Value-added time
Waiting time
Flow rate
Inventory or queue levels
Yield
Customer responsiveness
Variance
System Variables
Designing a new system or improving an existing system
requires more than simply identifying the elements and
performance goals of the system.
It requires an understanding of how system elements
affect each other and overall performance objectives.
System Variables
Three types of system variable must be
identified:
Decision variables
Response variables
State variables
System Variables
Decision variables
System Variables
Response variables
System Variables
State variables
System Optimization
System Optimization
A typical objective in an optimization problem for a
manufacturing or system systems:
minimizing costs
System Optimization
In some instances, there are problems of conflicting
objectives.
System Approach
System Approach
Due to departmentalization and specialization,
decisions in the real world often made without regard
to overall system performance.
Approaching system design with overall objectives in
mind and considering how each element relates to each
other and to the whole is called a systems or holistic
approach to system design.
System Approach
Four-step iterative approach to systems improvement
System Approach
Identifying problems and opportunities
System Approach
System Approach
Developing alternative solutions
System Approach
Evaluating the solutions
System Approach
System Approach
Selecting and implementing the best solution
Experiment
with the actual
system
Experiment
with a model
of the system
Physical
Model
Mathematical
Model
Analytical
solution
Simulation
System predictability
100%
With
simulation
50%
0%
Without
simulation
Call centers
Doctors offices
Machining cells
Low
Banks
Emergency rooms
Production Lines
Medium
System Complexity
Airports
Hospitals
Factories
High
Hand calculations
Spreadsheet