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School

DAILY
LESSON LOG

CCNHS SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL


DEPARTMENT

Teacher ENGR. CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR.


STATISTICS &
PROBABILITY

I. OBJECTIVES
A. Content Standards
B. Performance
Standards
C. Learning
Competencies/ Objectives
(Write the LC Code for
each)

Teaching Dates and NOVEMBER 7 Time 11,2016 : M-Th

MONDAY

WEDNESDAY

Quarter THIRD

THURSDAY

The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem (such as in decision making and
games of chance).
At the end of the
lesson, the learner
must be able to:

At the end of the


lesson, the learner
must be able to:

1. find the possible


values of a random
1. illustrate a random variable and
variable (discrete and
2. illustrate a
continuous) and
probability
for a
2. distinguish between distribution
a
discrete
random
variable
and
its
discrete and a continuous
properties.
random variable.
M11/12SP-IIIa-3 and -4

At the end of the lesson,


the learner must be able
to:

At the end of the lesson,


the learner must be able
to:

1. construct the
probability mass
function of a discrete
random variable and its
corresponding
histogram.

1. compute probabilities
corresponding to a given
random variable.

M11/12SP-IIIa-5

M11/12SP-IIIa-6

Random Variables
and Probability
Distributions

Random Variables and


Probability
Distributions

Random Variables and


Probability Distributions

Random Variables and


Probability Distributions

Elementary Statistics
(8th Ed.)
Step-by-step approach,
pp. 253-259

Elementary Statistics
(8th Ed.)
Step-by-step approach,
pp. 253-259

Elementary Statistics (8th


Ed.)
Step-by-step approach,
pp. 253-259

Elementary Statistics (8th


Ed.)
Step-by-step approach,
pp. 253-259

III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teachers Guide pages
2. Learners Materials
pages
3. Textbook pages

FRIDAY

The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and probability distributions.

M11/12SP-IIIa-1 and -2

II. CONTENT

TUESDAY

Tim
e

GRADE
Stra
11
nd
Learning STATISTICS AND
Area PROBABILITY

Grade level

4. Additional Materials from


Learning Resource (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning
Resources

www.analyzemath.com

www.analyzemath.com

www.analyzemath.com

www.analyzemath.com

IV. PROCEDURES
A. Reviewing previous
lesson or presenting the
new lesson
B. Establishing a purpose
for the lesson

C. Presenting examples/
instances

Review the concepts


discussed during the
first discussion

Review the concepts


discussed during the
first discussion

Review the concepts


discussed last meeting

Definitions and
concepts of:
-Variable
-Random Variable
-Discrete Random
Variable
-Continuous random
Variable
Examples of discrete
random

Definitions and concepts


of:
-Probability
-Probability Experiment
-Sample Space
-Outcome

-Probability distributions and


outcomes
-Probability mass function
(pmf)
-pmf histogram

-Compute random variable


probabilities

Examples of discrete
random

Probability Distribution of
tossing a coin three times.

variable:

variable in probability

1. No. of students

experiments:

Example:
The following table lists the
probability distribution of the
number of breakdowns per
week for a machine based on
past data.

2. No. of books in a
library

1. Tossing a fair coin

Probability distribution for


rolling a single dice.

2. Rolling a dice/s
Examples of continuous

3. Drawing cards

random variable:
1. height
2. weight
3. temperature

Represent graphically the


probability distribution for the
sample space for tossing three
coins.

Graphical presentation of the


probability distribution of Table
5.4.

4. length or distance

i. The probability of exactly two


breakdowns is
P(exactly 2 breakdowns)=
P(x=22)= .35

histogram

ii. The probability of 0 to 2


break downs is given by the
sum of the probabilities of 0, 1,
and 2 breakdowns:
P(0 to 2 breakdowns) = P(0 x
2)
=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)
=.15+.20+.35 = .70

iii. The probability of more than


1 breakdown is obtained by
adding the probabilities of 2
and 3 breakdowns:
P(more than 1 breakdown) = P(x
> 1)
=P(x=2) +
P(x=3)
=.35 + .30
= .65

D. Discussing new
concepts and practicing
new skills #1

Concepts and
definition of terms:
1. Variable-is a
characteristic or
attribute that can
assume different
values.
2. Random Variableis a variable whose
values are determined
by chance.
3. Discrete Random
variable-

Concepts and
definition of terms:
1. Probability- as a
general concept can be
defined as the chance of
an event occurring.
2. Probability
Experimentis a chance process that
leads to well-defined
results called
outcomes.
3. Outcome- is the

Concepts for Probability


Distributions:
Two Requirements for a
Probability Distribution1. The sum of the probabilities
of all the events in the sample
space must equal 1; that is, P
(X) = 1.
2. The probability of each
event in the sample space
must be between or equal to 0
and 1. That is, 0 P(X) 1.
3. A probability cannot be a
negative number or greater

Concepts:

From previous lesson, there are


two characteristics or two
conditions that a probability
distribution must satisfy.
1. The first one is: P(x) is
between
0 and 1

2. P(x) = 1.0

E. Discussing new
concepts and practicing
new skills #2

have a finite number of


possible values or an
infinite number of
values that can be
counted.
4. Continuous
Random Variable- are
obtained from data that
can be measured rather
than counted.

result of a single trial of


a probability experiment.
4. Sample Space - is
the set of all possible
outcomes of a probability
experiment.

than 1.

Situations that
illustrates discrete
random variables:
1. Number of pizzas
sold by Pizza Factory or
Albertos.
2. Number of bananas
sold in Rawis Fair
Market.
3. Number of books in
the library.
Situations that
illustrates continuous
random variable:
1. Lifetimes (in hours)
of 15 Laptop batteries.

Probability experiments
that produces discrete
random variables and its
sample spaces:
1. Tossing a coin
Number of toss: 1
Sample space: 2 (H
and T)
Number of toss: 2
Sample space: 4

Concepts and definition


of terms:
1. Probability Mass
FunctionThe function that assigns
probability for a discrete
random variable, because it
shows how much
probability, or mass, is
given to each value of the
random variables.
*The total mass (or weight)
for a probability distribution
is equal to one.

2. Weights of the
backpacks of the Senior
High School students
3. Blood pressures of
runners who will
compete in the EVRAA
marathon

(HH,TH,HT,TT)
Number of toss: 3
Sample space: 8
2. Rolling a dice
Sample space: 6
Rolling two dice
Sample space: 36
3. Drawing a card
Sample space: 52
Note: Present these
random variables in a
table.

PMF Formula:
P(x) = 1/b-a+1 for a x b
Where:
a = first discrete random
variable
b = last discrete random
variable
rolling of dice: X=(1,2,3,4,5,6)
a = 1 and b=6
therefore, PMF: 1/9-1+1 = 1/6
or 0.17

2. A continuous random
variable doesnt actually
assign probability or mass,
it assigns density, which
means it tells you how
dense the probability is
around x for any value of x.
*Continuous random
variables have no
probability at any single
point because there is no
area over a single point.

If these are present in the


table, we can read the
probability for any value of
x.

F. Developing mastery
(Leads to Formative
Assessment 2)

Problems:
C.R.V.
1. The amount of milk
in a gallon
2. The weight of a fish
3. The price of a house
4. The time taken to
commute from home to
school
5. the length of the
room
D.R.V.
6. The no. of cars sold
by Toyota
7. No. of houses in a
city block
8. No. of fish caught in
a fishing trip
9. No. of complaints
received at a radio
station
10. No. of heads
obtained in three tosses
of a coin

Problems:
1. Find the probability of
having a head if a coin is
tossed twice?
Answer: or 0.75
2. Find the probability of
having no head if a coin
is tossed twice?
Answer: or 0.25
3. Find the probability of
having an even number
in rolling a dice once?
Answer: 3/6 or 0.50
4. Find the probability of
having a number greater
than 1 in rolling a dice
once?
Answer: 5/6 or
0.83333
5. Find the probability of
drawing a diamond in a
deck of cards?
Answer: 13/52 or
0.25

Problems:
Determine whether each
distribution is a probability
distribution.

Problems:
1. The following table gives
the probability distribution
of a discrete random
variable x.

G. Finding practical
applications of concepts
and skills in daily living

Applications:
Lottery gambling,
Cara y cruz,
Card games these are
games of chance with
random variables

Application:
If the probability that it will
rain tomorrow is 0.20, what
is the probability that it
wont rain tomorrow? Would
you recommend taking an
umbrella?
Answer:
0.80
Since the probability that it
wont rain is 80%, you could
leave your umbrella at
home and be fairly safe.

Application:
Many variables in business,
education, engineering, and
other areas can be analyzed by
using probability distributions.

Applications:
-Hospital records
-Number of defective tires
-Number of cars
manufactured

H. Making generalizations
and abstractions about

Generalize the concepts


and definitions

Reinforce the concepts


discussed and skills

Reinforce the concepts


discussed and skills

Reinforce the concepts


discussed and skills

Find the following


probabilities.
a. No. It is not a probability
distribution since P(X)
cannot be negative or
greater than 1.
b. Yes. It is a probability
distribution.
c. Yes. It is a probability
distribution.
d. No, since P(X) -0.7

a.

P(x = 3)

b.

P(x 2)

c.

P(x 4)

d.

P(1 x 4)

e. Probability that x assumes a


value less than 4
f. Probability that x assumes a
value greater than 2
g. Probability that x assumes a
value in the interval 2 to 5

the lesson
I. Evaluating learning

presented.

practiced.

practiced.

practiced.

Problems:
Indicate if the following
is Continuous Random
Variable or Discrete
Random Variable.
(General Statistics
book)

Problems:
Find the probabilities of
the following situations.
(Elementary Statistics,
step-by-step approach,
8th Ed. pp. 243-244,
selected problems only)

Problems:
Determine whether or not
each table represents a
valid probability
distribution.
(Introductory Statistics, 7th
Ed.
pp. 196-199)

Problem:
Find the probabilities of the
variables in the tables
shown.
(Introductory Statistics, 7th
Ed.
pp. 199-200)

J. Additional activities for


application

V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who
earned 80% in the
evaluation.
B. No. of learners who
require additional
activities for remediation
who scored below
C. Did the remedial
lessons work? No. of
learners who have caught
up with the lesson.
D. No. of learners who
continue to require
remediation.
E. Which of my teaching
strategies worked well?
Why did these work?

Problems:
Classify each of the
following random
variables as discrete or
continuous.
(Introductory Statistics,
7th Ed. Pp. 193-194)

NO SCHEDULE

F. What difficulties did I


encounter which my
principal or supervisor
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials did I
use/discover which I wish
to share with other
teachers?
Prepared by:

Checked by:

CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR., CE


SHS T-1

ERWIN L. PURCIA, DALL


Head, CCNHS-SHS

Approved:

CALICK D. ARRIETA, PhD


Principal I

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