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GICS Sector Industrials Summary This aerospace-industrial conglomerate's portfolio includes Pratt & Whitney jet
Sub-Industry Aerospace & Defense engines, Otis elevators and Carrier air conditioners, among other products. In November
2015, UTX sold its Sikorsky helicopter division to Lockheed Martin.
Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)
52-Wk Range $118.40 83.39 S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 6.55 Market Capitalization(B) $89.443 Beta 1.13
Trailing 12-Month EPS $8.53 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 7.09 Yield (%) 2.63 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 11
Trailing 12-Month P/E 11.8 P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 15.3 Dividend Rate/Share $2.64 S&P Quality Ranking A+
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $13,602 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 890.6 Institutional Ownership (%) 78
90
80 Revenue/Earnings Data
70
Revenue (Million U.S. $)
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
2016 13,357 -- -- -- --
Volume(Mil.)
82
30
2015 14,541 16,333 13,788 14,300 56,098
20 2014 14,745 17,191 16,168 16,996 65,100
10 2013 14,399 16,006 15,462 16,759 62,626
0
2012 12,416 13,807 15,042 16,443 57,708
5 4 4 4 4
3 3 3 2011 13,344 15,076 14,804 14,966 58,190
1
J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A Earnings Per Share (U.S. $)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 1.42 E1.71 E1.67 E1.70 E6.55
2015 1.58 1.73 1.61 -30.00 4.53
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
2014 1.32 1.84 2.04 1.62 6.82
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst J. Corridore on Apr 27, 2016 10:05 AM, when the stock traded at $105.75. 2013 1.39 1.70 1.55 1.58 6.21
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2012 1.31 1.62 1.37 1.04 5.35
2011 1.11 1.45 1.47 1.47 5.49
We see sales up 2% in 2016, following a 14% We see only modest organic growth in 2016 as Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Late
decline in 2015, which reflected weakness in global economic weakness and currency im- July. EPS Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating Earnings;
Otis in Europe and a slowdown in demand for pacts offsets strong North American growth for historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.
aftermarket aerospace products, coupled with UTX's aerospace, building and industrial prod- Dividend Data
currency weakness in foreign markets. For ucts and services. However, we thing UTX can
2016, we see accelerating global air traffic garner substantial operating leverage once rev- Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment
growth, rising aerospace OEM production rates enue growth accelerates, aided by the signifi- ($) Decl. Date Record Date
and a strengthening U.S. residential construc- cant prior-years' restructuring, and generating 0.640 Jun 10 Aug 12 Aug 14 Sep 10 '15
tion market aiding demand for UTX products, strong free cash flow. Margins and cash flow 0.640 Oct 14 Nov 10 Nov 13 Dec 10 '15
0.640 Feb 8 Feb 17 Feb 19 Mar 10 '16
offset by weaker U.S. government sales. Cur- should also benefit from reduced spending on
0.660 Apr 25 May 18 May 20 Jun 10 '16
rency impacts are likely to cut 2%-4% off of top new restructuring and moderating pension
Dividends have been paid since 1936. Source: Company reports.
line growth in 2016. UTC sold its Sikorsky heli- headwinds.
copter business to Lockheed Martin for $9 bil- Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
Risks to our opinion and target price include the
lion in the fourth quarter of 2015, reducing mili- should not be relied upon as such.
possibility of a worsening in the global econo-
tary exposure. my, acquisition integration risk, operational is-
EBITDA margins will likely be impacted by mix sues, the impact of sequestration on U.S. de-
issues in 2016, partly offset by recovering high- fense spending and a sustained rise in the dol-
margin commercial aerospace aftermarket lar, particularly versus the euro.
sales and restructuring benefits. We see EBIT- Our 12-month target price of $124 is 18.9X our
DA margins of 19.2% in 2016 and 19.0% in 2017 2016 EPS estimate, above UTX's 10-year aver-
versus 19.6% in 2015. age forward year P/E multiple of 14X. UTX de-
We estimate EPS of $6.55 in 2016, rising to $7.09 serves a higher-than-average multiple, we be-
in 2017. We expect free cash flow (operating lieve, given the sizable long-term earnings
cash flow less capex) about equal to 100% of growth opportunity as the global business cycle
net income in 2016 and 2017. reaccelerates over the next several years.
Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
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impact this investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an investment decision.
Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Stock Report | June 4, 2016 | NYS Symbol: UTX
CORPORATE OVERVIEW. United Technologies is a multi-industry holding company that conducts business Investor Contact
through the following segments: Otis; UTC Climate, Controls & Security; Pratt & Whitney; UTC Aerospace J. Moran (860-728-7062)
Systems; and Sikorsky (sold in November 2015).
Otis (21% of 2015 segment sales) is the world's largest maker of elevators and escalators. Otis designs, Office
manufactures, sells, installs, maintains and modernizes a wide range of passenger and freight elevators 10 Farm Springs Road, Farmington, CT 06032.
for low-, medium- and high-speed applications, as well as a broad line of escalators and moving walk-
ways. International revenues were 81% of total segment revenues in 2014. Telephone
860-728-7000.
UTC Climate, Controls & Security (28%) is the leading provider of HVAC and refrigeration solutions, includ-
ing controls for residential, commercial, industrial and transportation applications. Products and services Fax
are sold under the Carrier name and other brand names to building contractors and owners, homeowners, 860-728-7982.
transportation companies, retail stores and food service companies. The business is also a global provider
of security and fire safety products and services. It provides electronic security products such as intruder Email
alarms, access control systems and video surveillance systems and designs and manufactures a wide invrelations@corphq.utc.com
range of fire safety products including specialty hazard detection and fixed suppression products, portable
Website
fire extinguishers, fire detection and life safety systems. International sales were 59% of total Climate,
http://www.utc.com
Controls & Security revenues in 2014.
Pratt & Whitney (26%) is a leading supplier of aircraft engines. It produces families of engines for wide-
Officers
and narrow-body and large regional aircraft in the commercial market and for fighter and transport aircraft
in the military market and provides maintenance, repair and overhaul and other support services. P&W
Chrmn EVP & General
Canada is a leader in the production of engines powering general and business aviation, as well as region-
E.A. Kangas Counsel
al airline, utility and military, airplanes and helicopters, and provides related maintenance, repair and over- C.D. Gill, Jr.
haul services. Key development programs include the F135 engine for the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter and the CEO & Pres
PW1000G geared turbofan engine, which will be used on the Airbus A320neo, among other aircraft. In G.J. Hayes SVP & CIO
June 2012, the International Aero Engines AG (IAE) joint venture, which manufactures the V2500 engine, N.M. Davis
was restructured. As a result of this transaction, P&W paid Rolls-Royce $1.5 billion plus future conditional EVP & CFO
payouts in exchange for an increased ownership interest and an agreement to license its V2500 intellectu- A. Johri
al property. Post this transaction P&W holds a 61% net interest in the IAE venture.
UTC Aerospace Systems (24%), which represents the combination of the heritage Hamilton Sundstrand
Board Members
operations and the 2012 acquisition of Goodrich, is among the world's leading suppliers of technologically
J. V. Faraci J. Garnier
advanced aerospace products and aftermarket services for diversified industries worldwide. The busi-
G. J. Hayes E. A. Kangas
ness' aerospace products include electric power generation, management and distribution systems, flight
E. J. Kullman M. O. Larsen
control systems, engine control systems, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance systems, engine
components, environmental control systems, fire protection and detection systems, propeller systems, air- H. W. McGraw, III R. B. Myers
craft nacelles, and interior, actuation, landing and electronic systems. Products serve commercial, mili- F. G. Reynolds B. C. Rogers
tary, regional, business and general aviation, as well as military ground vehicle, space and undersea appli- H. P. Swygert A. H. Villeneuve
cations. Aftermarket services include spare parts, overhaul and repair, engineering and technical support C. T. Whitman
and fleet maintenance programs. Aerospace products are sold to airframe manufacturers, the U.S. and
foreign governments, aircraft operators, maintenance, repair and overhaul providers, and independent dis-
tributors. Key commercial and military development programs including the Boeing 787, the Bombardier C- Domicile
Series, the Mitsubishi Regional Jet, the Airbus A350 and A320neo, the Irkut MC- 21, the COMAC C919, the Delaware
CH- 53K helicopter, the Lockheed Martin F- 35 military aircraft and the Airbus A400M military aircraft.
Founded
Sales to Boeing and Airbus (UTC Aerospace Systems' two largest non- governmental customers by sales)
1934
were 29% of the segment's sales in 2014. Sales to the U.S. Government were 19% of segment sales in 2014.
Sikorsky is the world's largest manufacturer of military and commercial helicopters, and also provides af- Employees
termarket helicopter and aircraft products and services. Sikorsky is the prime contractor on the UH-60M 197,200
Black Hawk helicopter. This unit was sold on November 6, 2015 to Lockheed Martin for $9.0 billion.
Stockholders
About 45% of UTX's revenues came from commercial and industrial operations in 2014, with 35% from 20,097
commercial aerospace and 20% from military aerospace & space. Approximately 58% of sales were relat-
ed to original equipment and 42% aftermarket. U.S. Government sales represented around 18% of total
sales and international sales, including export sales, were 61%.
FINANCIAL TRENDS. For the five-years ending in 2015, UTX recorded compound annual growth of 0.7% for
sales, 3.1% for operating income, 2.8% for earnings per share and 6.5% for dividends per share.
For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide
Per Share Data (U.S. $) 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Tangible Book Value NM NM NM NM 0.02 NM 0.25 NM 2.45 NM
Cash Flow 6.63 8.92 8.20 7.02 7.41 6.21 5.48 6.19 5.38 4.74
Earnings 4.53 6.82 6.21 5.35 5.49 4.74 4.12 4.90 4.27 3.71
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 4.23 3.64
Dividends 2.56 2.36 2.20 2.03 1.87 1.70 1.54 1.35 1.17 1.02
Payout Ratio 57% 35% 35% 38% 34% 36% 37% 27% 27% 27%
Prices:High 124.45 120.66 113.94 87.50 91.83 79.70 70.89 77.14 82.50 67.47
Prices:Low 85.50 97.30 83.11 70.71 66.87 62.88 37.40 41.76 61.85 54.20
P/E Ratio:High 27 18 18 16 17 17 17 16 19 18
P/E Ratio:Low 19 14 13 13 12 13 9 9 14 15
Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.
% Change
shares selling at reasonable valuations. the S&P Industrials Index and a 0.3% decline for the
S&P 1500 Composite Index. The sub-industry index 30%
IATA estimates global airlines earned $33 billion net rose 2.6% in 2015, vs. a 4.7% decline for Industrials
profit in 2015 and $17.3 billion for 2014 and thinks and a 1.0% decline for the S&P 1500. 10%
stimulated by the improving economy and new 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
product introductions. We see commercial NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
aftermarket growth continuing to improve over the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
next couple of quarters.
Past performance is not an indication of future performance
Conventional military equipment is aging, and we and should not be relied upon as such.
see need for replacement/repair. While large sums
of money from both base and supplementary
defense budgets are still benefiting contractors,
shrinking war time funding and rising U.S. fiscal
belt-tightening is pressuring defense spending. The
NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.
Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion UTX Trend BUY/HOLD
B BH H WH S
6 F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J
2015 2016
Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2017 6.99 7.28 6.75 21 14.4
2016 6.55 6.71 6.40 21 15.3
2017 vs. 2016 7% 8% 5% 0% -6%
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Stock Report | June 4, 2016 | NYS Symbol: UTX
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