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contribution from these two major works to 2Q17. HSLs valuations Statistics
remain undemanding at 12.0x 2017 PER; share price -20% after a major Shariah status Yes
job win on 18 Mar 2016. Maintain BUY with a trimmed MYR1.90 TP. 52w high/low (MYR) 2.10/1.59
3m avg turnover (USDm) 0.1
Physical works to start Free float (%) 36.1
Issued shares (m) 550
Recall, HSL-led consortium (75% owned) clinched the Kuching Centralised
Market capitalisation MYR919.1M
Sewerage Package 2 works worth MYR750m in Mar 2016; this being the
USD207M
second of an eight-phase project worth MYR4b for the whole of Kuching.
Major shareholders:
Also in Mar 2016, HSL-led JV (70% owned) won the Pan Borneo Highway Hock Seng Lee Enterprise Sdn. Bhd. 55.1%
Sarawak construction (Bintangor Junction to Julau Junction, Sibu Airport Permodalan Nasional Bhd. 9.1%
to Sg Kua Bridge, including Batang Rajang Bridge) worth MYR1.71b. The Hock Seng Lee Bhd. 5.7%
Malaysia
completion dates for both jobs are 2Q 2022 (72 months) and 3Q 2020 (51
Price Performance
months) respectively. Physical construction have however yet to kick-off
2.20 130
meaningfully for both jobs due to finalisation of their contract details.
These contract details are nearing finalisation. 2.10 125
2.00 120
Keeping busy, with still an eye for new contacts 1.90 115
As works on these two major jobs take-off meaningfully in 2017, HSL will 1.80 110
be kept busy. While it can afford to be more selective in tender 1.70 105
participation for new jobs, it still keeps an eye for new contracts to top
1.60 100
up on its orderbook. With all 11 packages for the Pan Borneo Highway
1.50 95
Sarawak having been awarded, the next major project in Sarawak is a Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16
new coastal road which could be awarded in several packages. Hock Seng Lee - (LHS, MYR)
Hock Seng Lee / Kuala Lumpur Composite Index - (RHS, %)
THIS REPORT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY MAYBANK INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD PP16832/01/2013 (031128)
SEE PAGE 7 FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS
Hock Seng Lee
2,000 1,900
1,500 1,250
1,200 1,200 1,200
1,100 1,050
905 950
1,000
628 600 600
500 532 525
500 313 275
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9M 2016
Source: Company
Valuations
Based on our revised earnings estimates, HSL presently trades at 12.0x current
year and 11.4x 2018 earnings, which is undemanding. Excluding a 19sen/shr cash
in its balance sheet as at end-Sep 2016, current year/2018 valuations are just at
10.6x/10.1x. Our revised TP pegs the stock to 13x 2018 PER, which is its 5-year
mean (1SD = 2.2x).
20
+1sd: 15.4
15 Mean: 13.2
10
-1sd: 11.0
0
Jan/01
Jan/02
Jan/03
Jan/04
Jan/05
Jan/06
Jan/07
Jan/08
Jan/09
Jan/10
Jan/11
Jan/12
Jan/13
Jan/14
Jan/15
Jan/16
Jan/17
Source: Maybank KE
DuPont analysis
Net profit margin (%) 12.7 11.6 12.1 12.5 12.2
Revenue/Assets (x) 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7
Assets/Equity (x) 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
ROAE (%) na na na na na
ROAA (%) 9.7 9.4 7.4 8.6 8.3
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Historical recommendations and target price: Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK)
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17
Definition of Ratings
Maybank Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system
BUY Return is expected to be above 10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)
HOLD Return is expected to be between - 10% to +10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)
SELL Return is expected to be below -10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)
Applicability of Ratings
The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only
applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment
ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.
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