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February 14, 2017

Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK) BUY


A better year Share Price
12m Price Target
MYR 1.67
MYR 1.90 (+14%)
Previous Price Target MYR 2.00

Undemanding valuations Company Description


Hock Seng Lee is a marine engineering, civil
2016 saw two sizeable job wins which lifted HSLs outstanding order book engineering and building construction group.
to a record MYR2.2b. Physical construction have however been slow, and
are expected to progress meaningfully only in 2017. We lower our 2016/
2017 net profit forecasts by 3%/13% as we push back the start of earnings
Construction

contribution from these two major works to 2Q17. HSLs valuations Statistics
remain undemanding at 12.0x 2017 PER; share price -20% after a major Shariah status Yes
job win on 18 Mar 2016. Maintain BUY with a trimmed MYR1.90 TP. 52w high/low (MYR) 2.10/1.59
3m avg turnover (USDm) 0.1
Physical works to start Free float (%) 36.1
Issued shares (m) 550
Recall, HSL-led consortium (75% owned) clinched the Kuching Centralised
Market capitalisation MYR919.1M
Sewerage Package 2 works worth MYR750m in Mar 2016; this being the
USD207M
second of an eight-phase project worth MYR4b for the whole of Kuching.
Major shareholders:
Also in Mar 2016, HSL-led JV (70% owned) won the Pan Borneo Highway Hock Seng Lee Enterprise Sdn. Bhd. 55.1%
Sarawak construction (Bintangor Junction to Julau Junction, Sibu Airport Permodalan Nasional Bhd. 9.1%
to Sg Kua Bridge, including Batang Rajang Bridge) worth MYR1.71b. The Hock Seng Lee Bhd. 5.7%
Malaysia

completion dates for both jobs are 2Q 2022 (72 months) and 3Q 2020 (51
Price Performance
months) respectively. Physical construction have however yet to kick-off
2.20 130
meaningfully for both jobs due to finalisation of their contract details.
These contract details are nearing finalisation. 2.10 125

2.00 120
Keeping busy, with still an eye for new contacts 1.90 115

As works on these two major jobs take-off meaningfully in 2017, HSL will 1.80 110
be kept busy. While it can afford to be more selective in tender 1.70 105
participation for new jobs, it still keeps an eye for new contracts to top
1.60 100
up on its orderbook. With all 11 packages for the Pan Borneo Highway
1.50 95
Sarawak having been awarded, the next major project in Sarawak is a Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16
new coastal road which could be awarded in several packages. Hock Seng Lee - (LHS, MYR)
Hock Seng Lee / Kuala Lumpur Composite Index - (RHS, %)

Earnings to rebound -1M -3M -12M


We lower our 2016/2017 net profit forecasts by 3%/13% as we push back Absolute (%) 2 (3) (13)
the start of earnings contribution from the two major works to 2Q17. Our Relative to index (%) 0 (7) (17)
earnings model have also incorporated MYR300m of job wins in 2017 (vs. Source: FactSet
MYR1.9b wins in 9M16). Consequently, we expect net profit to rebound
25% in 2017. Our new TP is a lower MYR1.90 (-10sen) based on 13.0x 2018
(rolled forward) PER. Balance sheet remains strong with zero gearing and
a cash balance of MYR111m (19sen/shr) at end-Sep 2016.
FYE Dec (MYR m) FY14A FY15A FY16E FY17E FY18E
Revenue 605 655 508 616 661
EBITDA 109 109 90 112 118
Core net profit 77 76 62 77 81
Core EPS (sen) 14.0 13.9 11.2 14.0 14.6
Core EPS growth (%) (9.2) (0.9) (19.4) 24.9 4.8
Net DPS (sen) 2.8 2.4 1.9 2.4 2.5
Core P/E (x) 11.9 12.0 14.9 12.0 11.4
P/BV (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
Net dividend yield (%) 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.5
ROAA (%) 9.7 9.4 7.4 8.6 8.3
EV/EBITDA (x) 7.1 8.6 8.8 6.8 5.9
Net gearing (%) (incl perps) net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash
Consensus net profit - - 64 84 100
MKE vs. Consensus (%) - - (3.8) (8.2) (19.4)

Wong Chew Hann Adrian Wong


wchewh@maybank-ib.com adrian.wkj@maybank-ib.com
(603) 2297 8686 (603) 2297 8675

THIS REPORT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY MAYBANK INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD PP16832/01/2013 (031128)
SEE PAGE 7 FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS
Hock Seng Lee

Record job wins in 2016


2016 has been a good year for HSL in terms of job wins with MYR1.9b clinched in
the first 9M, the two larger ones are: (i) Kuching Centralised Sewerage Package 2
worth MYR750m (HSL: MYR563m for 75% stake), (ii) Pan Borneo Highway Sarawak
(Bintangor Junction to Julau Junction, Sibu Airport to Sg Kua Bridge) worth
MYR1.71b (HSL: MYR1.2b for 70% stake). Consequently, HSLs outstanding order
book for construction stood at a record MYR2.2b at end-Sep 2016. Assuming
similar level of works recognition in 4Q16 vs. 3Q16s MYR120m, we estimate that
HSLs outstanding order book stood at about MYR2.1b as at end-2016.

HSL: Yearly job wins & outstanding order book


MYR m
Job wins Outstanding
2,500
2,200

2,000 1,900

1,500 1,250
1,200 1,200 1,200
1,100 1,050
905 950
1,000
628 600 600
500 532 525
500 313 275

0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9M 2016

Source: Company

New coastal road


This project was discussed during the State Budget 2017 debate in 4Q16 a
906km coastal road, stretching from Sematan to Miri, approved under the 5 th
Malaysia Plan (1986-1990) but where there are still missing links including four of
seven bridges that have yet to be built. Prime Minister Najib, during his visit to
Sarawak in Dec 2016, reassured on this project and announced the construction
of the Batang Lupar bridge in Sri Aman as a start. The estimated cost of this 5km
bridge is MYR1b, to be funded jointly by the federal and state governments, with
construction to start in early-2018. Two other bridges - Batang Igan (e.MYR300m)
and Batang Rambungan (e.MYR130m) - are at their planning stage. (Sources:
NST/Borneo Post, 26 Nov 2016; The New Paper, 19 Dec 2016; NST, 21 Dec 2016)

Sarawak: Value of construction projects awarded


18.0 24%
Private projects, MYR b (LHS)
16.0
Government projects, MYR b (LHS) 20%
14.0 % of Malaysia (RHS)
12.0 2.4 16%
10.0
12%
8.0 3.4
7.2
6.0 3.3 4.1 6.1 12.1 8%
5.8 10.9
3.1
4.0 2.0
2.4 3.5 6.3 4%
2.0 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.4 4.1
3.5 3.7 3.5 2.9 3.5
2.1 2.0 1.6 1.5
0.0 0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: CIDB

February 14, 2017 2


Hock Seng Lee

Valuations
Based on our revised earnings estimates, HSL presently trades at 12.0x current
year and 11.4x 2018 earnings, which is undemanding. Excluding a 19sen/shr cash
in its balance sheet as at end-Sep 2016, current year/2018 valuations are just at
10.6x/10.1x. Our revised TP pegs the stock to 13x 2018 PER, which is its 5-year
mean (1SD = 2.2x).

HSL: 12M rolling forward PER


25

20
+1sd: 15.4
15 Mean: 13.2

10
-1sd: 11.0

0
Jan/01
Jan/02
Jan/03
Jan/04
Jan/05
Jan/06
Jan/07
Jan/08
Jan/09
Jan/10
Jan/11
Jan/12
Jan/13
Jan/14
Jan/15
Jan/16
Jan/17

Source: Maybank KE

February 14, 2017 3


Hock Seng Lee

FYE 31 Dec FY14A FY15A FY16E FY17E FY18E


Key Metrics
P/E (reported) (x) 13.3 13.0 14.9 12.0 11.4
Core P/E (x) 11.9 12.0 14.9 12.0 11.4
P/BV (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
P/NTA (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
Net dividend yield (%) 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.5
FCF yield (%) 1.7 nm 1.8 2.2 6.1
EV/EBITDA (x) 7.1 8.6 8.8 6.8 5.9
EV/EBIT (x) 7.9 9.5 10.1 7.7 6.7

INCOME STATEMENT (MYR m)


Revenue 604.7 654.7 507.8 615.7 660.7
Gross profit 135.4 146.6 113.7 137.8 147.9
EBITDA 109.4 109.2 90.2 111.8 117.9
Depreciation (10.1) (10.9) (11.8) (12.7) (13.7)
Amortisation 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EBIT 99.3 98.3 78.4 99.1 104.2
Net interest income /(exp) 3.9 2.9 3.6 3.4 3.2
Associates & JV 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Exceptionals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other pretax income 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Pretax profit 103.2 101.2 82.0 102.5 107.4
Income tax (26.2) (25.0) (20.5) (25.6) (26.9)
Minorities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Perpetual securities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Reported net profit 76.9 76.2 61.5 76.8 80.6
Core net profit 76.9 76.2 61.5 76.8 80.6

BALANCE SHEET (MYR m)


Cash & Short Term Investments 153.5 102.0 128.5 155.3 217.6
Accounts receivable 264.1 286.1 250.8 304.1 326.3
Inventory 13.3 13.4 19.7 23.9 25.6
Reinsurance assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Property, Plant & Equip (net) 120.3 127.4 145.7 152.9 159.2
Intangible assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Investment in Associates & JVs 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other assets 255.7 285.6 305.6 290.6 275.6
Total assets 806.9 814.6 850.3 926.9 1,004.4
ST interest bearing debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Accounts payable 192.6 142.1 121.6 134.4 144.2
Insurance contract liabilities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LT interest bearing debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other liabilities 18.0 15.0 20.0 20.0 21.0
Total Liabilities 210.9 156.7 141.3 154.1 164.8
Shareholders Equity 596.0 657.9 708.9 772.7 839.6
Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total shareholder equity 596.0 657.9 708.9 772.7 839.6
Perpetual securities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total liabilities and equity 806.9 814.6 850.3 926.9 1,004.4

CASH FLOW (MYR m)


Pretax profit 103.2 101.2 82.0 102.5 107.4
Depreciation & amortisation 10.1 10.9 11.8 12.7 13.7
Adj net interest (income)/exp 3.9 2.9 3.6 3.4 3.2
Change in working capital (68.1) (108.7) (30.0) (53.1) (21.6)
Cash taxes paid (26.2) (25.0) (20.5) (25.6) (26.9)
Other operating cash flow 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash flow from operations 22.8 (18.7) 46.9 39.9 75.9
Capex (6.9) (18.1) (30.0) (20.0) (20.0)
Free cash flow 15.9 (36.8) 16.9 19.9 55.9
Dividends paid (15.4) (13.2) (10.5) (13.1) (13.7)
Equity raised / (purchased) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Perpetual securities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Change in Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Perpetual securities distribution 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other invest/financing cash flow (8.8) (4.5) 20.0 20.0 20.0
Effect of exch rate changes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net cash flow (8.4) (54.5) 26.4 26.8 62.2

February 14, 2017 4


Hock Seng Lee

FYE 31 Dec FY14A FY15A FY16E FY17E FY18E


Key Ratios
Growth ratios (%)
Revenue growth 10.3 8.3 (22.4) 21.3 7.3
EBITDA growth (7.8) (0.2) (17.4) 23.9 5.5
EBIT growth (9.1) (1.0) (20.2) 26.3 5.2
Pretax growth (9.5) (1.9) (19.0) 24.9 4.8
Reported net profit growth (9.7) (0.9) (19.3) 24.9 4.8
Core net profit growth (9.7) (0.9) (19.3) 24.9 4.8

Profitability ratios (%)


EBITDA margin 18.1 16.7 17.8 18.2 17.9
EBIT margin 16.4 15.0 15.4 16.1 15.8
Pretax profit margin 17.1 15.5 16.2 16.6 16.3
Payout ratio 20.0 17.3 17.0 17.0 17.0

DuPont analysis
Net profit margin (%) 12.7 11.6 12.1 12.5 12.2
Revenue/Assets (x) 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7
Assets/Equity (x) 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
ROAE (%) na na na na na
ROAA (%) 9.7 9.4 7.4 8.6 8.3

Liquidity & Efficiency


Cash conversion cycle 26.7 39.8 81.8 80.0 89.1
Days receivable outstanding 139.7 151.3 190.3 162.2 171.7
Days inventory outstanding 11.1 9.7 15.6 16.9 17.9
Days payables outstanding 124.1 121.1 124.1 99.1 100.5
Dividend cover (x) 5.0 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9
Current ratio (x) 2.6 3.4 4.2 4.4 4.7

Leverage & Expense Analysis


Asset/Liability (x) 3.8 5.2 6.0 6.0 6.1
Net gearing (%) (incl perps) net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash
Net gearing (%) (excl. perps) net cash net cash net cash net cash net cash
Net interest cover (x) na na na na na
Debt/EBITDA (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Capex/revenue (%) 1.1 2.8 5.9 3.2 3.0
Net debt/ (net cash) (153.5) (102.0) (128.5) (155.3) (217.6)
Source: Company; Maybank

February 14, 2017 5


Hock Seng Lee

Research Offices
REGIONAL HONG KONG / CHINA INDONESIA Surachai PRAMUALCHAROENKIT
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1470
Sadiq CURRIMBHOY Howard WONG Head of Research Isnaputra ISKANDAR Head of Research Surachai.p@maybank-ke.co.th
Regional Head, Research & Economics (852) 2268 0648 (62) 21 8066 8680 Auto Conmat Contractor Steel
(65) 6231 5836 sadiq@maybank-ke.com.sg howardwong@kimeng.com.hk isnaputra.iskandar@maybank-ke.co.id
Strategy Strategy Metals & Mining Cement Suttatip PEERASUB
WONG Chew Hann, CA Oil & Gas - Regional
Rahmi MARINA (66) 2658 6300 ext 1430
Regional Head of Institutional Research
Benjamin HO (62) 21 8066 8689 suttatip.p@maybank-ke.co.th
(603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com Media Commerce
(852) 2268 0632 benjaminho@kimeng.com.hk rahmi.marina@maybank-ke.co.id
ONG Seng Yeow Consumer & Auto Banking & Finance
Regional Head of Retail Research Sutthichai KUMWORACHAI
(65) 6231 5839 Christopher WONG Aurellia SETIABUDI (66) 2658 6300 ext 1400
ongsengyeow@maybank-ke.com.sg (852)2268 0652 christopherwong@kimeng.com.hk (62) 21 8066 8691 sutthichai.k@maybank-ke.co.th
HK & China Properties aurellia.setiabudi@maybank-ke.co.id Energy Petrochem
TAN Sin Mui Property
Director of Research Jacqueline KO, CFA
Termporn TANTIVIVAT
(65) 6231 5849 sinmui@kimeng.com.hk (852) 2268 0633 jacquelineko@kimeng.com.hk Pandu ANUGRAH
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1520
Consumer Staples & Durables (62) 21 8066 8688
termporn.t@maybank-ke.co.th
ECONOMICS pandu.anugrah@maybank-ke.co.id
Ka Leong LO, CFA Property
Infra Construction Transport Telcos
Suhaimi ILIAS (852) 2268 0630 kllo@kimeng.com.hk
Chief Economist Consumer Discretionary & Auto Janni ASMAN Jaroonpan WATTANAWONG
Malaysia | Philippines (62) 21 8066 8687 (66) 2658 6300 ext 1404
Mitchell KIM janni.asman@maybank-ke.co.id jaroonpan.w@maybank-ke.co.th
(603) 2297 8682 suhaimi_ilias@maybank-ib.com (852) 2268 0634 mitchellkim@kimeng.com.hk Cigarette Healthcare Retail Transportation Small cap
CHUA Hak Bin Internet & Telcos
Regional Thematic Macroeconomist Adhi TASMIN
(65) 6231 5830 chuahb@maybank-ke.com.sg Ning MA (62) 21 8066 8694 VIETNAM
(852) 2268 0672 ningma@kimeng.com.hk adhi.tasmin@maybank-ke.co.id
LEE Ju Ye Insurance LE Hong Lien, ACCA
Singapore Plantations Head of Institutional Research
(65) 6231 5844 leejuye@maybank-ke.com.sg Ricky NG, CFA Anthony LUKMAWIJAYA (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8181
Tim LEELAHAPHAN (852) 2268 0689 rickyng@kimeng.com.hk lien.le@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
(62) 21 8066 8690
Thailand Regional Renewables anthony.lukmawijaya@maybank-ke.co.id Strategy Consumer Diversified Utilities
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1420 HK & China Properties Aviation
tim.l@maybank-ke.co.th THAI Quang Trung, CFA, Deputy Manager,
Sonija LI, CFA, FRM Institutional Research
Saktiandi SUPAAT PHILIPPINES
(852) 2268 0641 sonijali@kimeng.com.hk (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8180
Head, FX Research Gaming Michael BENGSON Head of Research trung.thai@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
(65) 6320 1379 saktiandi@maybank.com.sg (63) 2 849 8840 Real Estate Construction Materials
Stefan CHANG, CFA michael_bengson@maybank-atrke.com
STRATEGY (852) 2268 0675 stefanchang@kimeng.com.hk Strategy Utilities Conglomerates Telcos Le Nguyen Nhat Chuyen
Technology Regional (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8082
Sadiq CURRIMBHOY Lovell SARREAL chuyen.le@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
Global Strategist INDIA (63) 2 849 8841 Oil & Gas
(65) 6231 5836 sadiq@maybank-ke.com.sg lovell_sarreal@maybank-atrke.com
Jigar SHAH Head of Research Consumer Media Cement NGUYEN Thi Ngan Tuyen, Head of Retail Research
Willie CHAN (91) 22 6623 2632 jigar@maybank-ke.co.in (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8081
Hong Kong / Regional Strategy Oil & Gas Automobile Cement Rommel RODRIGO tuyen.nguyen@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
(63) 2 849 8839 Food & Beverage Oil&Gas Banking
(852) 2268 0631 williechan@kimeng.com.hk
Vishal MODI rommel_rodrigo@maybank-atrke.com
Conglomerates Property Gaming
MALAYSIA (91) 22 6623 2607 vishal@maybank-ke.co.in
Ports/ Logistics TRINH Thi Ngoc Diep
Banking & Financials (84) 4 44 555 888 x 8208
WONG Chew Hann, CA Head of Research diep.trinh@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
Katherine TAN
(603) 2297 8686 wchewh@maybank-ib.com Neerav DALAL Technology Utilities Construction
(63) 2 849 8843
Strategy (91) 22 6623 2606 neerav@maybank-ke.co.in kat_tan@maybank-atrke.com
Desmond CHNG, ACA Software Technology Telcos Banks Construction PHAM Nhat Bich
(603) 2297 8680 (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8083
desmond.chng@maybank-ib.com SINGAPORE THAILAND bich.pham@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
Banking & Finance Consumer Manufacturing Fishery
Neel SINHA Head of Research Maria LAPIZ Head of Institutional Research
LIAW Thong Jung Dir (66) 2257 0250 | (66) 2658 6300 ext 1399
(65) 6231 5838 neelsinha@maybank-ke.com.sg
(603) 2297 8688 tjliaw@maybank-ib.com Maria.L@maybank-ke.co.th NGUYEN Thi Sony Tra Mi
Strategy
Oil & Gas Services- Regional Strategy Consumer Materials Ind. Estates (84) 8 44 555 888 x 8084
SMID Caps Regional
mi.nguyen@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
ONG Chee Ting, CA
Gregory YAP Sittichai DUANGRATTANACHAYA Port operation Pharmaceutical
(603) 2297 8678 ct.ong@maybank-ib.com
(65) 6231 5848 gyap@maybank-ke.com.sg (66) 2658 6300 ext 1393 Food & Beverage
Plantations - Regional
SMID Caps Sittichai.D@maybank-ke.co.th
Mohshin AZIZ Technology & Manufacturing Telcos Services Sector Transport TRUONG Quang Binh
(603) 2297 8692 mohshin.aziz@maybank-ib.com (84) 4 44 555 888 x 8087
Aviation - Regional Petrochem Derrick HENG, CFA Yupapan POLPORNPRASERT binh.truong@maybank-kimeng.com.vn
(65) 6231 5843 derrickheng@maybank-ke.com.sg (66) 2658 6300 ext 1395
YIN Shao Yang, CPA Rubber plantation Tyres and Tubes Oil&Gas
Transport Property REITs (Office) yupapan.p@maybank-ke.co.th
(603) 2297 8916 samuel.y@maybank-ib.com
Gaming Regional Media John CHEONG, CFA Oil & Gas

TAN Chi Wei, CFA (65) 6231 5845 johncheong@maybank-ke.com.sg


Small & Mid Caps Healthcare Tanawat RUENBANTERNG
(603) 2297 8690 chiwei.t@maybank-ib.com (66) 2658 6300 ext 1394
Power Telcos Ng Li Hiang Tanawat.R@maybank-ke.co.th
WONG Wei Sum, CFA (65) 6231 5840 nglihiang@maybank-ke.com.sg Banks & Diversified Financials
(603) 2297 8679 weisum@maybank-ib.com Banks
Property Vorapoj HONGPINYO
(66) 2658 6300 ext 1392
LEE Yen Ling Vorapoj.h@maybank-ke.co.th
(603) 2297 8691 lee.yl@maybank-ib.com Real Estate & Contractors
Building Materials Glove Ports Shipping
Ivan YAP Sukit UDOMSIRIKUL Head of Retail Research
(603) 2297 8612 ivan.yap@maybank-ib.com (66) 2658 6300 ext 5090
Automotive Semiconductor Technology Sukit.u@maybank-ke.co.th

Kevin WONG Mayuree CHOWVIKRAN


(603) 2082 6824 kevin.wong@maybank-ib.com (66) 2658 6300 ext 1440
REITs Consumer Discretionary mayuree.c@maybank-ke.co.th
LIEW Wei Han Strategy
(603) 2297 8676 weihan.l@maybank-ib.com Padon VANNARAT
Consumer Staples (66) 2658 6300 ext 1450
Tee Sze Chiah Head of Retail Research Padon.v@maybank-ke.co.th
(603) 2297 6858 szechiah.t@maybank-ib.com Strategy

February 14, 2017 6


Hock Seng Lee

APPENDIX I: TERMS FOR PROVISION OF REPORT, DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES


DISCLAIMERS
This research report is prepared for general circulation and for information purposes only and under no circumstances should it be considered or intended as
an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. Investors should note that values of such securities, if any, may fluctuate
and that each securitys price or value may rise or fall. Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings and fundamental
ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and
volume-related information extracted from the relevant jurisdictions stock exchange in the equity analysis. Accordingly, investors returns may be less than
the original sum invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This report is not intended to provide personal investment
advice and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the particular needs of persons who may receive or read
this report. Investors should therefore seek financial, legal and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment
strategies discussed or recommended in this report.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently verified by Maybank
Investment Bank Berhad, its subsidiary and affiliates (collectively, MKE) and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of
this report by MKE and it should not be relied upon as such. Accordingly, MKE and its officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees
(collectively, Representatives) shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of this
report. Any information, opinions or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time, without prior notice.
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occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us
and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward looking
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revise any such forward looking statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence
of unanticipated events.
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Malaysia
Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in the form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamental
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Due to different characteristics, objectives and strategies of institutional and retail investors, the research reports of MBKET Institutional and Retail Research
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The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the policy of the
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and the market for Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The result, therefore, is from the
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accuracy of such survey result.
The disclosure of the Anti-Corruption Progress Indicators of a listed company on the Stock Exchange of Thailand, which is assessed by Thaipat Institute, is made
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corruption which refers to the Annual Registration Statement (Form 56-1), Annual Report (Form 56-2), or other relevant documents or reports of such listed
company. The assessment result is therefore made from the perspective of Thaipat Institute that is a third party. It is not an assessment of operation and is not
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US
This third-party research report is distributed in the United States (US) to Major US Institutional Investors (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the Securities
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Section 15 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). All responsibility for the distribution of this report by Maybank KESUSA in the US shall be borne
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this report.
February 14, 2017 7
Hock Seng Lee

UK
This document is being distributed by Maybank Kim Eng Securities (London) Ltd (Maybank KESL) which is authorized and regulated, by the Financial Conduct
Authority and is for Informational Purposes only. This document is not intended for distribution to anyone defined as a Retail Client under the Financial
Services and Markets Act 2000 within the UK. Any inclusion of a third party link is for the recipients convenience only, and that the firm does not take any
responsibility for its comments or accuracy, and that access to such links is at the individuals own risk. Nothing in this report should be considered as
constituting legal, accounting or tax advice, and that for accurate guidance recipients should consult with their own independent tax advisers.

DISCLOSURES

Legal Entities Disclosures


Malaysia: This report is issued and distributed in Malaysia by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938- H) which is a Participating Organization of Bursa
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Thailand: MBKET (Reg. No.0107545000314) is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and
Exchange Commission. Philippines: Maybank ATRKES (Reg. No.01-2004-00019) is a member of the Philippines Stock Exchange and is regulated by the Securities
and Exchange Commission. Vietnam: Maybank Kim Eng Securities Limited (License Number: 117/GP-UBCK) is licensed under the State Securities Commission of
Vietnam. Hong Kong: KESHK (Central Entity No AAD284) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission. India: Kim Eng Securities India Private Limited
(KESI) is a participant of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited and the Bombay Stock Exchange and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of
India (SEBI) (Reg. No. INZ000010538). KESI is also registered with SEBI as Category 1 Merchant Banker (Reg. No. INM 000011708) and as Research Analyst (Reg
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is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

Disclosure of Interest
Malaysia: MKE and its Representatives may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further
act as market maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment
banking services, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies.
Singapore: As of 14 February 2017, Maybank KERPL and the covering analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.
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research report. Therefore, Investors should exercise their own judgment before making any investment decisions. MBKET, its associates, directors, connected
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Hong Kong: As of 14 February 2017, KESHK and the authoring analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.
India: As of 14 February 2017, and at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report, KESI, authoring analyst or
their associate / relative does not hold any financial interest or any actual or beneficial ownership in any shares or having any conflict of interest in the
subject companies except as otherwise disclosed in the research report.

In the past twelve months KESI and authoring analyst or their associate did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the subject companies or
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MKE may have, within the last three years, served as manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities for, or currently may make a primary market in
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investment services in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment and may receive compensation for the services provided from the
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OTHERS
Analyst Certification of Independence
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analysts personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part of
the research analysts compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

Reminder
Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are capable
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own professional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase.

No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior consent of MKE.

February 14, 2017 8


Hock Seng Lee

Historical recommendations and target price: Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK)

14 Aug 25 Feb 18 Mar 21 Mar 19 Aug 13 Feb


Buy : RM2.2 Buy : RM2.3 Buy : RM2.4 Buy : RM2.5 Buy : RM2.0 Buy : RM1.9
2.2

2.0

1.8

1.6

1.4
Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17

Hock Seng Lee

Definition of Ratings
Maybank Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system
BUY Return is expected to be above 10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)
HOLD Return is expected to be between - 10% to +10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)
SELL Return is expected to be below -10% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)

Applicability of Ratings
The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only
applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment
ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.

February 14, 2017 9


Hock Seng Lee

Malaysia Singapore London New York


Maybank Investment Bank Berhad Maybank Kim Eng Securities Pte Ltd Maybank Kim Eng Securities Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA
(A Participating Organisation of Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte Ltd (London) Ltd Inc
Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) 50 North Canal Road PNB House 777 Third Avenue, 21st Floor
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Stockbroking Business: Hong Kong Indonesia India


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Philippines Thailand Vietnam Saudi Arabia


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Tel: (65) 6636-3620 US Toll Free: 1 877 837 7635
US Toll Free: 1-866-406-7447

Malaysia Thailand
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Tel: (603) 2717 5166 Tel: (66)2 658 6820

Indonesia London
Harianto Liong Scott Kinnear-Nock
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Tel: (62) 21 2557 1177 Tel: (44) 207-332-0221

New York India


Andrew Dacey Manish Modi
adacey@maybank-keusa.com manish@maybank-ke.co.in
Tel: (212) 688 2956 Tel: (91)-22-6623-2601

Vietnam Philippines
Patrick Mitchell Keith Roy
patrick.mitchell@maybank-kimeng.com.vn keith_roy@maybank-atrke.com
Tel: (84)-8-44-555-888 x8080 Tel: (63) 2 848-5288
www.maybank-ke.com | www.maybank-keresearch.com

February 14, 2017 10

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