Introduction

The world is focused on Indian aviation from manufacturers, tourism boards,

airlines and global businesses to individual travellers, shippers and businessmen. If
we can find common purpose among all stakeholders in Indian aviation, a bright
future is at hand - Mr. Tony Tyler, Director General and CEO, IATA
The Civil Aviation industry in India has ushered in a new era of expansion, driven by
factors such as low-cost carriers (LCCs), modern airports, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in
domestic airlines, advanced IT interventions and growing emphasis on regional connectivity.
India is the ninth-largest civil aviation market in the world, with a market size of around US$ 16
billion. India is expected to become the third largest aviation market by 2020[1].

Market Size
During January-August 2016, domestic air passenger traffic rose 23% to 64.47 million
from 52.36 million during the same period in 2015. Passenger traffic during FY 2015-16
increased at a rate of 21.3 per cent to 85.57 million from 70.54 million in the FY 2014-15.
In July 2016, total aircraft movements at all Indian airports stood at 168,400, which was
14.3 per cent higher than July 2015. International aircraft movements increased by 8.2 per cent
to 32,830 in July 2016 from 30,330 in July 2015. Domestic aircraft movements increased by
15.8 per cent to 135,570 in July 2016 from 117,050 in July 2015. Indian domestic air traffic is
expected to cross 100 million passengers by FY2017, compared to 81 million passengers in
2015, as per Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA). India is among the five fastest-growing
aviation markets globally with 275 million new passengers. The airlines operating in India are
projected to record a collective operating profit of Rs 8,100 crore (US$ 1.29 billion) in fiscal year
2016, according to Crisil Ltd.

Investment
According to data released by the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), FDI
inflows in air transport (including air freight) between April 2000 and March 2016 stood at US$
931.05 million.
Key investments and developments in Indias aviation industry include:

Airbus SAS has signed an agreement with Karnataka-based Aequs Aerospace, an aircraft
component maker, for the supply of over 100,000 titanium machined parts for its A320
new engine option (NEO) aircraft.
GoAir, India's fifth-biggest carrier by passengers travelled, has signed a memorandum of
understanding (MoU) with Airbus to buy 72 A320neo aircrafts, valued at US$ 7.7 billion,
as part of an expansion drive.
Auto components maker Bharat Forge Ltd (BFL), the flagship company of the US$ 3
billion Kalyani Group, has formalised agreement with Rolls-Royce Plc, under which BFL
will supply critical and high integrity forged and machined components for a range of
aero engines.
Tata Advanced Systems (TASL) has signed a joint venture with American aircraft
manufacturing major, Boeing, to establish a centre of excellence for manufacturing
aerostructures for Apache helicopter initially and collaborate on integrated systems
development opportunities in India in the long term.
Airbus, leading European aircraft manufacturer, plans to invest US$ 40 million to set up a
pilot and maintenance training center in New Delhi, which will be operational by the end
of 2017.
Airbus also expects Indias aviation industry to grow at over 10 per cent annually in the
next decade, almost double the average growth rate of the global aviation industry.
Government Initiatives
Government agencies predict that around 500 brownfield and greenfield airports would be
required by 2020. The private sector is being encouraged to become actively involved in the
construction of airports through different Public Private Partnership models, with substantial
state support in terms of financing, concessional land allotment, tax holidays and other
incentives.
Some major initiatives undertaken by the government are:

The Ministry of Civil Aviation has finalised and put forward for approval to the Union
Cabinet, the new aviation policy, which includes proposals such as allowing new airlines
to fly abroad, introduction of more regional flights and a new formula for granting
bilateral flying rights.
The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) has signed a memorandum of
understanding (MoU) with the Airports Authority of India (AAI), aimed at providing space
technology for construction of airports.
The Government of India is planning to boost regional connectivity by setting up 50 new
airports over the next three years, out of which at least 10 would be operational by 2017.
AAI plans to develop city-side infrastructure at 13 regional airports across India, with help
from private players for building of hotels, carparks and other facilities, and thereby
boost its non-aeronautical revenues.
Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), India's aviation regulator, has signed an
agreement with United States Technical Development Agency (USTDA) for India Aviation
Safety Technical Assistance Phase II, aimed at bringing in systemic improvements in the
area of operation, airworthiness and licensing.
The Airports Authority of India (AAI) plans to revive and operationalize around 50 airports
in India over the next 10 years to improve regional and remote air connectivity.
Industry Analysis

Road Ahead
Indias aviation industry is largely untapped with huge growth opportunities, considering that
air transport is still expensive for majority of the countrys population, of which nearly 40 per
cent is the upwardly mobile middle class. The industry stakeholders should collaborate with
the policy makers to implement efficient and rational decisions that would boost Indias civil
aviation industry. With the right policies and focus on quality, cost and passenger interest, India
would be well placed to achieve its vision of becoming the third-largest aviation market by
2020 and the largest by 2030.

References
Media Reports, Press Releases, Press Information Bureau, Directorate General of Civil
Aviation (DGCA), Airports Authority of India (AAI), Union Budget 2016-17
FICCI-KPMG India Aviation Report 2016
http://www.ibef.org/industry/indian-aviation.aspx
Research Study of the Civil Aviation Sector in India Expert Report submitted by Nathan
Economic Consulting India Pvt. Ltd., India to The Ministry of Corporate Affairs, Govt. of
India, India in 2012
http://www.india-aviation.in/pages/view/38/an_overview.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aviation_in_India
https://home.kpmg.com/in/en/home/media/press-releases/2016/03/aviation-report-
march.html
 Exhibits
Exhibit 1 : Passenger Traffic by Airline Feb 2016

Source:
Threat of Substitutes - Medium
DGCA
Many
Exhibit 2: No. of Passenger across substitutes such as a car, bus, train are available
years
But cost of substitution(time) high
Low cost airlines are decreasing the threat
Actuals Forecasts

Supplier Power Buyer Po

Low Rivalry - High
Airline Industry is saturated with many players offering competitive Medium
prices to
aft manufacturers, airports, fuel companies and there isn't a lot of cutthroat
Productsthat competition
are the
standard among suppliers
andisundifferentiated. So alt
HHI value of 2000 indicates industry Oligopoly
Likelihood of a supplier integrating vertically is rare
Switching costs are decreasing as customers are more
High exit barriers for the companies due to high fixed costs
Source: KPMG
Standard and Undifferentiated product/service offerings

PORTERS 5 FORCES

Threat of New Entrants - Low

Switching costs are very low
Requirement of large amount of capital and without a strong customer base there will be little to no pro
Airline industry is so saturated that there is little space for a newcomer