CCNHS SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL GRADE Stra

DAILY School Grade level

DEPARTMENT 11 nd
LESSON LOG Learning STATISTICS AND
Teacher ENGR. CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR.
Area PROBABILITY
STATISTICS &
Teaching Dates and NOVEMBER 1 - Tim
PROBABILITY Quarter THIRD
Time 4,2016 : M-Th e

I. OBJECTIVES MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY

A. Content Standards The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of random variables and probability distributions.
B. Performance The learner is able to apply an appropriate random variable for a given real-life problem (such as in decision making and
Standards games of chance).
C. Learning At the end of the At the end of the lesson, At the end of the lesson,
the learner must be able the learner must be able
Competencies/ Objectives lesson, the learner to: to:
must be able to:
(Write the LC Code for 1. find the possible 1. construct the
values of a random probability mass function
each) 1. illustrate a random variable and of a discrete random
variable and its
variable (discrete and corresponding
continuous) and 2. illustrate a probability histogram.
distribution for a
2. distinguish between adiscrete random variable
and its properties.
discrete and a continuous
random variable.

M11/12SP-IIIa-1 and -2 M11/12SP-IIIa-3 and -4 M11/12SP-IIIa-5

Random Variables and

II. CONTENT Probability
Random Variables and Random Variables and
Probability Distributions Probability Distributions
Distributions
III. LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teachers Guide pages
2. Learners Materials
pages
3. Textbook pages Elementary Statistics Elementary Statistics (8th Elementary Statistics (8th
(8th Ed.) Ed.) Ed.)
Step-by-step approach, Step-by-step approach, Step-by-step approach,
pp. 253-259 pp. 253-259 pp. 253-259
 4. Additional Materials from
Learning Resource (LR)
portal
B. Other Learning
Resources
IV. PROCEDURES
A. Reviewing previous
lesson or presenting the
new lesson
B. Establishing a purpose
for the lesson
C. Presenting examples/
instances
www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com www.analyzemath.com
Review the concepts Review the concepts
discussed during the discussed during the first
first discussion discussion
Definitions and concepts Definitions and concepts of: -Probability distributions and
of: -Probability outcomes
-Variable -Probability Experiment -Probability mass function
(pmf)
-Random Variable -Sample Space
-pmf histogram
-Discrete Random -Outcome
Variable
-Continuous random
Variable
Examples of discrete Probability Distribution of
random tossing a coin three times.
Examples of discrete
variable: random
1. No. of students variable in probability
2. No. of books in a experiments: Probability distribution for
library rolling a single dice.
1. Tossing a fair coin
Examples of continuous 2. Rolling a dice/s
random variable: 3. Drawing cards
4. drawing a ball from a
1. height Represent graphically the
container
probability distribution for the
2. weight sample space for tossing three
coins.
3. temperature
 4. length or distance
D. Discussing new Concepts and
definition of terms:
concepts and practicing
1. Variable-is a
new skills #1
characteristic or attribute
that can assume
different values.
2. Random Variable- is
a variable whose values
are determined by
chance.
3. Discrete Random
variable-
have a finite number of
possible values or an
infinite number of
values that can be
counted.
4. Continuous Random
Variable- are obtained
from data that can be
measured rather than
counted.
E. Discussing new Situations that illustrates
concepts and practicing discrete random
new skills #2 variables:
1. Number of pizzas sold
by Pizza Factory or
Albertos.
2. Number of bananas
sold in Rawis Fair Market.
3. Number of books in
the library.
Situations that
illustrates continuous
Concepts and definition
of terms:
1. Probability- as a
general concept can be
defined as the chance of an
event occurring.
2. Probability
Experiment-
is a chance process that
leads to well-defined results
called
outcomes.
3. Outcome- is the result
of a single trial of a
probability experiment.
4. Sample Space - is the
set of all possible outcomes
of a probability experiment.
Probability experiments that
produces discrete random
variables and its sample
spaces:
1. Tossing a coin
Number of toss: 1
Sample space: 2 (H and
T)
Number of toss: 2
Sample space: 4
(HH,TH,HT,TT)
Concepts for Probability
Distributions:
Two Requirements for a
Probability Distribution-
1. The sum of the probabilities
of all the events in the sample
space must equal 1; that is, P
(X) = 1.
2. The probability of each event
in the sample space must be
between or equal to 0 and 1.
That is, 0 P(X) 1.
3. A probability cannot be a
negative number or greater
than 1.
PMF Formula:
P(x) = 1/b-a+1 for a x b
Where:
a = first discrete random
variable
b = last discrete random
variable
rolling of dice: X=(1,2,3,4,5,6)
a = 1 and b=6
therefore, PMF: 1/9-1+1 = 1/6
or 0.17
Concepts and definition
of terms:
1. Probability Mass
Function-
The function that assigns
probability for a discrete
random variable, because it
shows how much
probability, or mass, is
given to each value of the
random variables.
*The total mass (or weight)
 random variable: Number of toss: 3 for a probability distribution
1. Lifetimes (in hours) of Sample space: 8 is equal to one.
15 Laptop batteries.
2. Rolling a dice 2. A continuous random
2. Weights of the Sample space: 6 variable doesnt actually
backpacks of the Senior Rolling two dice assign probability or mass,
High School students Sample space: 36 it assigns density, which
3. Drawing a card means it tells you how
3. Blood pressures of Sample space: 52 dense the probability is
runners who will Note: Present these random around x for any value of x.
compete in the EVRAA variables in a table. *Continuous random
marathon variables have no
probability at any single
point because there is no
area over a single point.
F. Developing mastery Problems: Problems: Problems:
(Leads to Formative C.R.V. 1. Find the probability of Determine whether each
Assessment 2) 1. The amount of milk in having a head if a coin is distribution is a probability
a gallon tossed twice? distribution.
2. The weight of a fish Answer: or 0.75
3. The price of a house 2. Find the probability of
4. The time taken to having no head if a coin is
commute from home to tossed twice?
school Answer: or 0.25
5. the length of the room 3. Find the probability of
D.R.V. having an even number in
6. The no. of cars sold by rolling a dice once?
Toyota Answer: 3/6 or 0.50
7. No. of houses in a city 4. Find the probability of
block having a number greater
8. No. of fish caught in a than 1 in rolling a dice
fishing trip once?
9. No. of complaints Answer: 5/6 or 0.83333
received at a radio 5. Find the probability of
station drawing a diamond in a
10. No. of heads deck of cards?
obtained in three tosses Answer: 13/52 or 0.25
of a coin
G. Finding practical Applications: Application: Application:
applications of concepts Lottery gambling, If the probability that it will rain Many variables in business,
Cara y cruz, tomorrow is 0.20, what education, engineering, and
and skills in daily living
Card games these are is the probability that it wont other areas can be analyzed by
rain tomorrow? Would using probability distributions
games of chance with
you recommend taking an
random variables
umbrella?
Answer:
0.80
Since the probability that it
wont rain is 80%, you could
leave your umbrella at home
and be fairly safe.
H. Making generalizations Generalize the concepts Reinforce the concepts Reinforce the concepts
and abstractions about and definitions discussed and skills discussed and skills
the lesson presented. practiced. practiced.
I. Evaluating learning Problems: Problems: Problems:
Indicate if the following Find the probabilities of the Determine whether or not
is Continuous Random following situations. each table represents a
Variable or Discrete (Elementary Statistics, step- valid probability distribution.
Random Variable. by-step approach, 8th Ed. (Introductory Statistics, 7th
(General Statistics book) pp. 243-244, selected Ed.
problems only) pp. 196-199)
J. Additional activities for Problems:
application Classify each of the
following random variables
as discrete or continuous.
(Introductory Statistics, 7th
Ed. Pp. 193-194)

V. REMARKS NO SCHEDULE
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who
earned 80% in the
evaluation.
B. No. of learners who
require additional
activities for remediation
who scored below
C. Did the remedial
lessons work? No. of
learners who have caught
up with the lesson.
D. No. of learners who
continue to require
remediation.
E. Which of my teaching
strategies worked well?
Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I
encounter which my
principal or supervisor
can help me solve?
G. What innovation or
localized materials did I
use/discover which I wish
to share with other
teachers?

Prepared by: Checked by: Approved:

CESAR M. DEL ROSARIO JR., CE ERWIN L. PURCIA, DALL CALICK D. ARRIETA, PhD
SHS T-1 Head, CCNHS-SHS Principal I