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long-awaited triumph of European diplomacy and show the a half years? Two years were spent on talks to stop uranium
world there was indeed an alternative to the Iraq scenario enrichment, while other questions were treated as second
of George Bush. And for the sake of this expected triumph order issues. Indeed, why bother to monitor and control the
the EU defended Iran from US criticism. The IAEA uranium enrichment programme if it might soon be banned
emphasized that its work in Iran was ongoing and that altogether. However, by not focusing on its basic task, namely,
progress was being made. to prevent the proliferation of nuclear activities, the IAEA
However, in the summer of 2005 the elections produced became mired with issues outside of its mandate, but which
a very different victor: Mahmud Ahmadinejad, who asserted nurtured the vain hope that it could resolve all these
very quickly that the Islamic Republic would not renounce problems at a stroke. Iran had no such hopes, and tried as
uranium enrichment. EU diplomats opined that well as it could to dispel them. But the EU and international
Ahmadinejad was young and inexperienced and would soon bureaucrats from the IAEA could not be dissuaded.
come to grips with reality: in September 2005 Iran would face So what preliminary conclusions can we draw from
once again the prospect of sanctions. The Iranian dossier this story?
was before the IAEA Board of Governors and Iran had just 1) The IAEA did not conduct its affairs within the
one last chance. But Ahmadinejad, whether he understood framework of those procedures and powers that it posesses.
nothing or understood everything, clearly decided that he The international community is unable to support the
would not be playing by the old set of rules. The Iranian nuclear weapons non-proliferation regime. If the North
Presidents rhetoric became much more extreme, and not Korean situation seemed like a worrisome malfunction, then
only where nuclear issues are concerned. Iran proves that the nuclear weapons non-proliferation
The next session of the IAEA Board of Governors was regime simply does not work;
due to take place in November 2005, and at this point the EU 2) On the world stage the EU has no strategy other than
finally discarded its illusions: the Euro-Troika spoke in to play on its contrast with the US. (The EU role in the
favour of transfering the Iranian question to the UN Security European space of the former Soviet Union is somewhat
Council. However, for a variety of reasons, Condoleeza Rice more solid, but even there it is essentially a foil to the US).
was not yet ready to deal with Iran at the SC. At first glance The Bush administration deserves credit: inspite of the
this appeared quite odd. The US, which had for so long, so avalanche of critique it got from the Europeans in 2003,
cleverly and so sincerely played the role of the bad cop, was Washington stayed on track, left the transatlantic door open
now asking the good cop to go on with its work. The EU and eventually the prodigal European sons returned home.
agreed with some difficulty, because by this point it was clear (Whether for long or just for a rest, only time will tell). In any
that there would be no triumph of Euro-diplomacy. case, the EU should understand that its drive for
Russia also played along, proposing to enrich Iranian independence in international affairs will from now on be
uranium on Russian territory. In the autumn of 2005 both greeted with skepticism. If the word of the EU had previously
the US and the EU suddenly began to underscore the role that been accepted at face value, both China and Russia will now
Russia could play in the talks with Iran. Suddenly, everyone seek more extensive guarantees;
supported the Russian proposal, even before knowing the 3) The Bush administration has been fully vindicated
details. Russia was thus pushed to the foreground of for the invasion of Iraq. Those who opposed the war to
negotiations with Iran. The EU, hoping to get out of this demonstrate their independence now find themselves
hopeless game, was only too happy for a replacement. Russia, returning to the American position. After two years of
having long complained that it had been excluded from the dipomatic dithering (supported in fact by the US), all now
international negotiations, was all too eager to play, and was agree that they cannot do business with Iran;
saved only because Iran rejected its proposals out of hand 4) With the transfer of the Iranian question to the UNSC,
(though this year Iran would reconsider this option). the US can now convene its war cabinet. Bush has given Rice
And so the EU was forced to go on. The EU-3 held one and the State Department a monopoly on foreign policy,
more pointless meeting with Iran in January 2006, and then since Bolton was sent to the UN, and Rumsfeld and Cheney
saw its chance to get out of the game: the Iranian delegation no longer meddle in the Secretary of States business. Rice
failed to attend the next scheduled meeting in Vienna and thus far has had little reason to act, but she does now. As the
Ahmadinejad launched on a series of extraordinary US ambassador to the UN, Bolton will take over
statements that gave the Europeans excellent grounds for not responsibility for the Iran question, and he will make good
dealing with him any further. use of the National Security Council, the Pentagon, and
Thus the Iranian secret uranium enrichment Cheneys staff. What course of action will the war cabinet
programme was uncovered in September 2002, and by early take? There is only one proposal on the table. And who will
2006 the IAEA still does not have a full idea of the dimensions oppose it? Those who wanted to talk with Iran have tried and
of this programme. What have they done for the past two and have given up, i.e. the EU and Russia.
products to a single market (such as heavy and light fighters The engine-building sector is perhaps the most stagnant, as
to North Africa). the integrating processes initiated by Saturn have quieted
Against the backdrop of integration between MiG and down, and a clear leader for further consolidation has not
Irkut, a new board of directors for Sokol was announced in yet come forth. Saturn and Salut, possessing clear strategies
June and fully five of the eleven members are for their respective corporate, technological and product
representatives of MiG and Irkut. Rumours that Irkut development, could both aspire to this role. Saturn
management was preparing to purchase Sokol shares continued to move closer to the Ufa machine-building
began to circulate. The ties between Irkut and Ilyushin will association, and was awarded two large contracts worth
inexorably become stronger as the two firms cooperate $550 mln for the development of the AL-55I engine for India
with India on the mid-sized MTA transport aircraft. and the production of 240 D-30KP-2 engines for China. On
Meanwhile, at the MAKS-2005 air show, Tupolev announced the other hand, Salut is mobilizing its contacts with the
that it was joining with lead contractor Yakovlev, owned by Baranov motor-building plant in Omsk, and signed an
Irkut, in a project to create the MS-21 mid-sized passenger agreement to deliver AL-31FN and AL-31F engines to China
jet. In this manner, a kind of informal alliance of former for a total price of $1 bln.
Soviet design bureaus, together with affiliated production
facilities, has formed around the axis of Irkut-MiG.
At the same time, Sukhoi has preserved and Financing
strengthened its status as a strong, autonomous player
which, having the best Russian design bureau among its More than any previous year, 2005 saw a positive
assets and moving forward with the RRJ project, is quite self- tendency in the development of financing for the defence
sufficient and can in principle ignore the above- and aviation industries. After fifteen years of just barely
mentioned, spontaneous processes of integration. Thus, surviving on the proceeds of exports, the industry started to
until such time as the United Aircraft Corporation is receive substantial, if still insufficient, funding from the
formed, if it ever does happen, a bi-polar structure to the federal budget. This is due first of all to the healthy financial
aviation industry will be preserved. situation of Russia as a whole, but two other factors also
The most important development in the surface deserve mention. First, the management of certain
shipbuilding industry was the concentration in the hands companies began to demonstrate levels of competence,
of United Industrial Corporation (OPK) of the two largest strategic vision and a sense of public interest to such a degree
shipyards in St. Petersburg, the Baltiysky Zavod shipyard that even the most conservative and careful state structures
and the Severnaya Verf shipyard. This deal finally brought now feel secure in allotting them budgetary funds. Secondly,
to an end the long-lasting and destructive conflict over who the bureaucracy itself began to turn towards the machine-
would lead structural reform in the non-strategic sub- building and high-technology sectors of industry. Now, the
sector of the shipbuilding industry. Ministry for Economic Development and Trade (MERT) and
That said, there is still one strong player at the market the Ministry of Industry and Energy (Minpromenergo) are
with strong potential: the Kaliningrad-based Yantar providing even more financing to the defence industry than
shipyard and the Interregional Investment Bank (MIB), the Defence Ministry itself.
which controls it through the Concern of the Middle and Despite nominal growth, state defence procurement is
Small Tonnage Shipbuilding (KSMK). The bank has two still too small to promote the development of the industry.
strong points. First, it counts in its inventory two escort- Part of the increased spending is clawed back by inflation,
class ships that could be offered for export at a reasonable and the rest dissolves in an excessive number of research
price. And second, it has strong lobbying power based on and development projects with no clear outcome or
its long-standing relations with Rosoboronexport. The products for serial production. To the extent that the leading
Russian Navy has signalled that it may not encourage the defence-industrial companies with strategically-minded
concentration of all defence orders to the Northern management are diversifying into civilian production, the
Shipyard and may give some contracts for the construction financing of these corporations is focused on their civilian
of new corvettes and frigates to plants falling under the lines. Thus, a state contract of 7.9 bln roubles was signed
KSMK. Most recently, a tender to construct the second during the MAKS-2005 air show for the research and
batch of Project 11356 frigates for India was awarded to development of the RRJ. Moreover, a pool of state banks
Yantar. If this works out, then KSMK and Yantar would offered credits for this project under sovereign guarantees.
compete at the same level as OPK and the Petersburg The state will also finance the development of the MS-21
shipyards. short-to-mid range aircraft.
The past year has thus turned out to be remarkably The financing of military Research and Development
productive for the restructuring of the defence industry. (R&D) has also improved somewhat. Over the course of the
State Viktor Khristenko, Aircraft construction Unified Aircraft Sukhoi, Irkut, MiG, Stagnation
(Minpromenergo, Boris Aleshin, Corporation Tupolev, Ilyushin, BASO,
MERT) German Gref Aviastar,KAPO
Rosoboronexport Sergey Chemezov Helicopter Russian Helicopters Mil and Kamov plants and Expansion
construction Corporation design bureaus
Mezhprombank Sergey Pugachev, Surface Shipbuilding Unified Industrial Baltiysky Zavod shipyard, Expansion
Aleksandr Gnusarev Corporation (OPK) Severnaya Verf shipyard
NRK/Ilyushin Aleksandr Lebedev, Aircraft construction VASO-Ilyushin VASO,Aviastar-SP Marginalization
Finance Aleksandr Rubtsov Finance, attempt to
create ENAK
Interregional Igor Krugliakov, Surface Shipbuilding Concern of Medium Yantar, Vympel and Amur Mobilization
Investment bank Mikhail Heifitz and Small Tonnage shipyards
(MIB) Shipbuilding
Vneshtorgbank Andrey Kostikov, Engine building Perm engine building Stagnation
Igor Zavialov cluster
year, news that Saturn had made progress on an interim- The stances of the Air Force and Navy are also strikingly
generation engine known as work piece 117C emerged. different in terms of Russias need to achieve military-
Moreover, the first indications of the new Irbis radar technical independence from a hostile and unpredictable
appeared in the press. These two systems are key to the Ukraine. Thus, the Navy has ensured that Saturn is engaged
creation of a thoroughly modernized version of the Su-35, in a program to produce an array of gas-turbine units that
which will be Russias main export offering until the belong to Russia and which meet the demands of all basic
appearance of a fifth-generation fighter. In addition, there classes of ships, from the corvette to next-generation
have been veiled signals that the financing of R&D for the destroyers. And yet the Air Force (which is now also
fifth-generation fighter has radically improved. The responsible for army aviation) appears indifferent to the
sudden interest displayed by MiG in advancing its product absence of any helicopter engine production capacity in
for the 20-ton class craft is one such sign. Russia. This is first of all a political issue that must be decided,
However, the situation regarding the purchase of new since the required financing (in the order of $80-150 mln)
aviation remains completely unsatisfactory. The Air Force can easily be raised by interested firms themselves or
is not placing any orders for the construction of new aircraft through credit.
and is limiting itself to the extremely humble
modernization of its Sukhoi craft to the Su-27SM version.
Whats more, it is not even paying for this work. Product Development
Against this background, the naval procurements
come across in a very different light. The Navy has been able The main event of 2005 was the sudden mobilization of
to secure the laying down and construction, even if rather the RRJ project, which seemed at first to most observers as
slow, of two non-nuclear Project 677 submarines, three new nothing more than the personal self-promotion of Sukhoi
generation corvettes, and has also decided on the layout of general director Mikhail Pogosyan. However, as the project
a Project 22350 frigate. These orders not only keep at least gained political support, a pool of banks solved the financing
two firms employed (the Admiralteyskie Verfi shipyard issue and, most importantly, the first orders were secured,
and Severnaya Verf shipyard) but have also stimulated the including a large and politically essential order from
development of new generation strike and air defence Aeroflot, the national airline. In all, Sukhoi Civilian Aircraft
systems. While the work that these procurements have received 60 firm orders and options for another 20 craft. In
generated for the shipbuilding industry is most welcome, principle, Aeroflots order put an end to the difficult issue of
it bears mention that for the preservation and development competing with the An-148, an alternative, Ukrainian
of high-technology industries, and for Russias defence regional jet, the licensed assembly of which was to have been
capacity as a whole, the health of the aviation industry is of established on a small scale at the Voronezh Aircraft Plant
much greater importance. (VASO). The Russian Regional Jet thus became the first
domestic civil aviation project that followed international The determination of a layout for the Project 22350
practice by gathering orders for several dozen aircraft long next generation far sea zone escort ship was an important
before the beginning of serial production. event for the shipbuilding sector. While the details have yet
There is only piecemeal information on the dynamics to be disclosed, it seems that the ship will be armed with a
of military programs. To all appearances, the most active 130 mm calibre A-192 gun and a Kalibr and/or Yakhont
project was the full modernization of the Su-27 fighter as the missile system. There is no public information concerning
Su-27BM, which will be offered for export as the Su-35. The the ships air defence missile system.
completion of the development of the multi-role, medium- The most important event in engine-building was the
class MiG-29SMT and the beginning of serial production for simultaneous progress towards the creation of a
foreign orders is a clear success. The introduction of 20 such modernized version of the AL-31 made by two companies:
aircraft into active duty with the Yemeni Air Force was a Saturn and Salut.
strong factor contributing to the successful conclusion of Thus, the defence industry saw during 2005 the birth
the new and very large contract with Algeria. of some preconditions for a real breakthrough. These
It is regrettable that Russia and India were unable to latent but important factors include an improvement in
begin development of the MTA mid-range transport financing, better management and the announcement of
aircraft. Even if the Russian Air Force can meet its needs on large-scale projects, including civilian projects aimed at
a temporary basis with the An-12, the proposed program global markets. The principal risks are the extremely low
would have a great impact in terms of generating experience level of state procurement on the part of the Defence
with international projects, and also in terms of preserving Ministry and the inability of Minpromenergo to
Russias potential for the manufacture of transport planes implement its well-thought out plans for the restructuring
to compete with the Ukrainian Antonov plant. and consolidation of the defense industry.
to IST. Third, a new joint venture could have been formed According to unofficial sources, he paid up to $170 mln
with the participation of both competitors. for 88% of the Baltiysky Zavod shipyard. If this price is
Over the course of the year, the aggressive competitive accurate, it would be one of the largest deals in the Russian
positions previously maintained by IST and OPK began to machine-building sector. The purchase of the Baltiysky
soften, a clear signal that negotiations for the sale or Zavod shipyard for such an inflated price can be explained
merging of assets were underway. A visible signal of this chiefly in terms of Pugachevs political ambitions. As the
softening was the agreement of April 11 on the joint owner of such a strategic asset, he has become more than
realization of projects in the sphere of military just a businessman but a political figure of national
shipbuilding, according to which IST agreed to hold off importance. His decision could also be explained by his
from competing for military tenders and to provide all privileged knowledge of the soon-to-be-signed contract
necessary technological support to Severnaya Verf with India for the purchase of several Project 11356 frigates
shipyard for the execution of such orders. IST sold its 18% at a cost of up to $1.6 bln, and the fact that the technological
packet of Severnaya Verf shipyard shares to OPK, which put base for the construction of these ships is housed mainly at
fully 72.19% of Severnaya Verf shipyard shares in the hands the Baltiysky Zavod shipyard.
of OPK. The state owns 21%. Another theory points to the recent fire on the
The agreement shows that IST had withdrawn from destroyer being built for China, which represented a loss of
the race to lead the consolidation of the shipbuilding $50 to $70 mln, of which only half would be covered by
industry. It clearly had such ambitions in 2002-2003, during insurance. This factor could have weakened the
the final phase of the execution of the Indian contract for competitive position of OPK vis-a-vis IST, and thus
frigates. It was precisely at that time that IST invested in motivated the purchase of the Baltiysky Zavod shipyard as
refurbishing its plant, exploited its monopoly position in a sort of remedy for this weakness.
several technological niches, and undertook the The status of OPK as a possible center for surface
extravagant and politically risky step of refusing to supply shipbuilding was consolidated by the award of a Navy
equipment that Severnaya Verf shipyard needed to fulfill tender for the construction of Russias next generation
the Chinese destroyer contract. At that point IST had frigate the Project 22350 distant sea zone destroyer escort.
launched the creation of the Baltic Unified Shipbuilding The cost of building the main ship is estimated at $300 mln.
Company, which was clearly meant to be the base for the This tender also represented an opportunity for MIB to
consolidation of the industry. preserve its position as a leader in the financing of surface
Finally, on August 12 IST announced the sale of its shipbuilding.
88.2% share of Baltiysky Zavod shipyard to its main At present the main business opportunities for the
competitor OPK. This sale marked the final culmination Yantar shipyard arise from its contract to build a second
of the long conflict between these two largest and technically set of Project 11356 frigates for the Indian Navy. It is well
best equipped shipyards of St. Petersburg and indeed of all known that the governments interdepartmental
Russia. The principal node for the consolidation of Russian commission recommended Yantar as the contractor for
shipbuilding is now clearly the merger of the Baltiysky this project, but it is equally clear that Mezhprombank will
Zavod shipyard and Severnaya Verf shipyard under the actively resist a final decision along these lines, and will in
control of Mezhprombank. For OPK, the following options all likelihood launch a media and administrative war
have now appeared: similar to that which played out between the Baltiysky
to monopolize the construction of new generation Zavod shipyard and Severnaya Verf shipyard over the
military surface ships for the Russian Navy (Project second Chinese order for destroyers. Aside from that,
10380 Corvette, Project 22350 Frigate) and for export Yantar can count on the export sale of the Yaroslav Mudry
(Project 11356 Frigate, Project 20382 Corvette); and the Tuman of Project 11540 frigates.
to optimize the production;
to reassign part of the area occupied by Baltiysky
Zavod shipyard in the center of St. Petersburg on 2. State policy on the integration of the surface
Vasilievsky Island for real estate development. shipbuilding industry
It seems that until the very last minute, IST was looking
to purchase the Severnaya Verf shipyard from Although one might argue that Center for Surface
Mezhprombank, while Sergey Pugachev was making Shipbuilding has been formed, the process of integrating
counter-offers to purchase the Baltiysky Zavod shipyard. the industry has not yet finished. The government still
During one of several rounds of negotiation, IST offered to controls several key assets essential to project
sell at a price that was clearly inflated, an offer which development in the sector. Several design bureaus are at
Pugachev unexpectedly accepted. issue: the Severnoe Project office, Nevskoe, Almaz Central
Marine and the Zelenodolsk design bureaus. During the 3. The Center for Subsurface Shipbuilding
first stage all of these bureaus will be united into one Design
Center for Surface Shipbuilding, which will be As distinct from the situation with surface ships,
incorporated as a joint-stock company with 100% state submarine shipbuilding is dominated by state ownership.
ownership. The Lazurit design bureau and the Amur shipyard are the
This presupposes the restructuring of the federal state only significant assets in the sector held in private hands.
unitary firms (Severnoye project office, Almaz and As a result, in its efforts at integration the state is free from
Zelenodolsk design bureaus as joint-stock enterprises with the burden of conducting complicated and unpredictable
100% state ownership. Plans are also afoot to transfer the negotiations with non-state actors. Five firms are expected
states 60% share in the Nevskoye design bureau to the to be included among the assets of the Center for
Center. Subsurface Shipbuilding: the Rubin central design bureau
The second stage involves the creation of a Center for of marine engineering, the Malakhit central marine-
Surface Shipbuilding, which would include both state and engineering design bureau, Admiralteyskie Verfi shipyard,
private assets. Obviously, this will require complex the Sevmash and the Zvezdochka machine building
negotiations between the state and private owners to enterprises. Each of these are presently incorporated as
achieve a compromise and agreement regarding the federal state unitary firms.
modalities of participation by each side. According to the The Concept recognizes that none of the
Concept, the state would own at least 51% of the shares of aforementioned companies is able to lead sectoral
the joint-stock company. In this respect an essential point integration on its own, and thus envisages the creation of a
is that the only valuable asset which the state could transfer directing agency incorporated as a joint-stock company
to the joint-stock company is the Surface Ship Design called Center for Subsurface Shipbuilding with 100% state
Bureau. ownership. The state unitary corporations subject to
The remaining assets, including the Khabarovsk and consolidation would be converted to joint-stock
Middle-Niva shipyards, the Zelenodolsk plant, the companies during the period 2006-2008; these shares
controlling stake of Yantar and the state shares (20%) of would form the charter capital of the Center.
Severnaya Verf shipyard are not terribly valuable. In any The Amur shipyard, which has two Project 971 nuclear
case it seems obvious that the combined value of the submarines near completion on its books, is a somewhat
Baltiysky Zavod and Severnaya Verf shipyards is higher glaring omission from the Concept. These submarines
than what the state is bringing to the table. could be sold for export, and for a large sum of money. MIB
This approach to the integration of the industry shows controls over 50% of the shares of this firm, and if the
that the statist principles established by then Deputy Prime hypothetical export sale of the Project 971 submarines
Minister Ilya Klebanov continue to exercise an influence, becomes a reality, MIB could reinvest the earnings to
even under the much more liberal leadership of Rosprom become an important player in the consolidation of the
head Boris Alyoshin. submarine shipbuilding industry.
ammunition and services with a total value of over $1.5 bln.8 There was a report in early 2003 of a new contract for the
The contract for the construction of submarines and docks delivery of 300 BMP-2 from Kurganmash to Iran in 2004, 11
was only about half-finished. Thus Russias total financial but these deliveries have not in fact occurred to the present
losses resulting from the memorandum exceeded $2.2 bln, day. Thus the chapter of Russias arms trade cooperation
while large factories like Uralvagonzavod and Kurganmash with Iran that began with the late-Soviet period
were deprived of large and, by the standards of the day, agreements seems to be finished.
guaranteed orders that could have kept their workers busy The signing of an agreement on Arms Trade
until 2005. Cooperation between the defence ministers of Russia and
The damage to Russias interests arising from the Iran on October 2, 2001 did not lead to the breakthrough
Gore-Chernomyrdin Memorandum was clear even to that some people in Moscow wished so badly to see. For the
Yeltsins government, which sought immediately after the past five years Iran has limited its purchases to a few
1996 elections to revise its terms. In 1997 the President inexpensive aviation products. In April 2001, Iran agreed
signed off on a comprehensive plan to renew arms trade to purchase 21 Mi-171 transport helicopters from the Ulan-
cooperation with Iran, which included among other things Ude aviation plant and these were delivered in full by
a directive to engage the US to enlarge the framework of the January 2002.12 In late 2001 - early 2002, reports of a new
Memorandum and eliminate limitations on arms trade contract worth $150 mln for the purchase of 30 Mi-171Sh
cooperation with Iran.9 multi-role military transport helicopters armed with the
It should be noted that the Americans soon provided 9M114 Shturm (AT-6) anti-tank guided missile were
Russia with very good legal grounds to revise their published. The helicopters were to be built at the Ulan-Ude
agreement, insofar as the US showed no interest whatsoever aviation plant in 2002-2003.13 However, in January 2005 a
in increasing its cooperation with Russia in the area of representative of this company said that since 1998 they
defence technologies or helping Russia gain market access. had delivered to Iran only 38 Mi-171, which, counting
With the departure from the political scene of the Russian deliveries made under the contracts of 1998 and 2001,
initiators of the Memorandum, and after its existence was allows one to conclude that only 12 Mi-171Sh were
disclosed during the course of the US presidential delivered. At the same time, in 2000-2001, the Ulan-Ude
campaign in 2000, Russia announced on November 3, 2000 plant began talks on a project to organize the licensed
that it intended to withdraw from the agreement and assembly of Mi-171 on the bases of Iranian enterprise
resume deliveries of military arms and equipment to Iran IHSRC but these negotiations ultimately failed to produce
as of December 1, 2000. After some informal discussion, the an agreement. 14 For its part the Kazan helicopter plant
Americans agreed with this decision while calling on delivered three Mi-17V-5 with VK-2500 engines to the
Russia to display restraint in its deliveries of conventional Iranian Red Crescent in March 2005.15
arms to Iran. 10 One might conclude that the formula of The Ulan-Ude plant delivered three Su-25UBK
restraint signals a more detailed modus vivendi reached ground-attack fighter-trainers to Iran in 2003, and signed
between Russia and the US on this issue. a contract for the sale of three double-seat Su-25UBT
ground attack fighters.16 Russia has also sent specialists to
assist with the development of a few types of aviation
The Current State of Arms Trade Cooperation equipment.
with Iran The civilian space sector is another area that has seen
some activity. In October 2005 the first Iranian remote
The demise of the Gore-Chernomyrdin Memorandum earth sensing satellite Sinah-1 (ZS-1) was launched from
led the Russian media and expert community to offer Plesetsk. The spacecraft was developed by the Omsk Polyot
extremely optimistic scenarios for the renewal of arms design bureau and an Iranian institute of applied research
sales to Iran. The figure of $7 bln in potential orders, first on a contract managed by Rosoboroneksport for $8 mln.
mentioned by the current chair of the Duma defence The Russian research-production association of applied
committee, was cited over and over again. Following mechanics in Zheleznogorsk, Krasnoyarsk, is working on
Defence Minister Igor Sergeyevs visit to Tehran in the Zoreh geostationary communications satellite. The
December 2000, the press reported on alleged Iranian cost of this project as of January 2005 had already reached
interest in aviation and air defence purchases. $132 mln and is planned for launch at Baykonur in 2007.17
However, these expectations were disappointed, and In other sectors, military sales to Iran to the end of 2005
not because of any America plotting, but by the Iranians were limited to deliveries of spare parts and ammunition,
themselves. From the information currently available, it the servicing and repair of previously sold equipment, as
seems that deliveries of kits for the licensed production of well as the negotiation of a few insignificant contracts that
T-72S tanks and BMP-2 combat vehicles never did resume. are rarely mentioned in the press. Thus, in August 2003, the
Table 1. Identified contracts for military and dual-use arms and equipment (not including civilian
planes) to Iran from Russia concluded after 2000
Contents of Producer or
the contract supplier Cost ($ mln) Date of contract Schedule of delivery Notes
21 Mi-171 transport Ulan-Ude aviation plant 100 April 2001 Late 2001 Early 2002
helicopters (estimate)
12 Mi171Sh military Ulan-Ude aviation plant 60 (estimate) End of 2001 2002 2003 By some accounts,
transport helicopters delivery of 30 helicopters
was planned.
Development and launch Polyot research 8 2001 Launched in October
of the Sinah-1 (ZS-1), a production association, (development) 2005
small remote earth sensing Omsk +
satellite 1.6 (launch)
3 Su-25UBK ground attack Ulan-Ude aviation plant 30 (estimate) 2003 2003
fighter-trainers
Krasnopol 155 mm laser- Tula Instrument Design * * 2003 (?) Reports of delivery
guided artillery shells Bureau denied by officials.
3 Mi-17B-5 medical Kazan helicopter plant 15 (estimate) * March 2005 For the Iranian Red
helicopters Crescent.
Development of the Research Production 132 January 2005 Launch planned for 2007
Zohreh, a geostationary Association of applied
telecommunications mechanics,
satellite Zheleznogorsk
3 Su-25UBK ground attack Ulan-Ude aviation plant * 2005 2006 Possible that what really
fighter trainers is in question is the Su-
25UBT, rather than the
Su-25UBK.
Repair and modernization Zvezdochka shipbuilding * 2005 (?) Work in Iran on one The subs reportedly may
of 3 Project 877EKM plant, Severodvinsk submarine began in 2005 be equipped with the
submarines for the Iranian Club-S system.
Navy
29 Tor-M1 air defence Kupol electromechanical 700 December 2005 2006 According to other
missile systems plant, Izhevsk sources, 32 systems.
Repair and modernization * 700 December 2005 *
of MiG-29 and Su-24
fighters for the Iranian Air
Force, and the delivery of
an escort cutter
US announced that it was introducing sanctions against the for the other two submarines would be given to the
Tula Instrument Design Bureau for providing Iran with Admiralteyskie Verfi shipyard, but no information is yet
155 mm Krasnopol-M laser-guided artillery projectiles. The available.20
Russian company denied the accusation,18 and a highly- The total value of contracts concluded with Iran from
placed source from within the Russian Arms Trade 2000 to 2005 can be estimated at approximately $300-400
Cooperation Committee then said that Russia currently mln (not counting the space contracts), and even then the
has not a single contract with Iran.19 News spread in the bulk of this sum is due to the delivery of principally dual-
summer of 2005 that work to repair and modernize Iranian use helicopters. This rather stagnant scenario was suddenly
Project 887EKM submarines equipped with Club-S missile interrupted on 2nd December 2005 with news of a contract
systems (probably with 3M54E1 anti-ship missiles for the delivery of 29 Tor-M1 (SA-15) low-to-medium
SS-N-27) would take place both in Russia and Iran. altitude air defence missile systems for about $700 mln.
According to some reports, the repair of one ship has Reportedly, 19 of these systems had already been prepared
already begun in Iran with the participation of the Russian for an option held but not realized by Greece, and the rest
Zvezdochka shipyard. One might suppose that the contract would be built from scratch. It was also affirmed that Iran
14 # 1, 2006 Moscow Defense Brief
Russia on Irans Market for Arms
Arms Trade
had contracted for 32, not 29 air defence systems: 16 self- negotiations on deliveries of the S-300.24 However, by early
propelled (from among those destined for Greece) and 16 2006 Russian officials had repeatedly and firmly refuted
towed (a modification developed to Iranian reports of any negotiations with Iran for the delivery of the
specifications). Russia will also reportedly deliver a patrol S-300PMU1.25 In any case, for fear of spoiling relations with
cutter to the Iranian Navy, and modernize the Iranian Su- the US, the Russian government would hardly sell such
24MK and MiG-29 fighters for a total price of approximately modern and high-altitude systems like the S-300PMU1,
$1.4 bln.21 especially in view of the current crisis over Irans nuclear
At first it was announced that the Tor-M1 systems program. And so for this reason the Iranians were offered
would be delivered to Iran in 2009. However, by the end of either the short-altitude Tor-M1 or the Pechora-2A,
December a Russian Defense Ministry representative said essentially the improved version of an obsolete system.
that deliveries would begin in January 2006 and conclude Thus, following the collapse of the Soviet Union,
within a year.22 ARMS-TASS reported that pre-contractual Russias arms trade cooperation with Iran has to a large
discussions had also touched upon possible deliveries of degree been determined by the position of the US and
the S-300PMU1 (SA-10) air defence missile systems and the undermined by inability of the new Russia to conduct a
Nebo, Kasta, Gamma and Polyana air-defense radars. Iran truly independent foreign and defence policy. In hindsight,
also reportedly showed an interest in acquiring T-90S tanks Russias exit from the Gore-Chernomyrdin agreement and
and the Nona-K 120 mm towed gun.23 the limited renewal of defence contacts with Iran that
By the middle of December 2005, citing to a source followed (always with a sideways glance to the US), is not so
within the Federal Agency for Arms Trade Cooperation, the much a demonstration of independence, as the Kremlin
press noted an agreement for the sale to Iran of the Pechora- was keen to emphasize at the time, but rather a graphic
2A air defence missile system, a radical modernization of demonstration of the real limits of that independence.
the old S-125M (SA-3), adding that deliveries could begin From this point of view, Moscows measured and restrained
as early as the second quarter of 2006. The source also approach to military sales to Iran is indeed an appropriate
asserted that the Iranians are determined to renew response to the political realities of the times.
1000
120 220 366 300
0
2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: CAST; Kommersant, 10.02.2006
Arms and equipment transfers for the air forces were 2002, several T-80U main battle tanks, BMP-3 and BTR-80
primarily to fulfill a contract with Yemen for the delivery of armoured vehicles and the Metis-M (AT-13) anti-tank
MiG-29SMT aircraft and the modernization to this version missile systems were delivered to South Korea in lieu of
of the MiG-29B/UB fighters delivered earlier. In 2005, MiG payment for Russian debts. 14 The Ural motor plant
corporation modernized twelve and supplied six new completed its contract with Mexico for the delivery of 22
aircraft. The corporation also fulfilled its contract with Ural trucks,15 while the Army Repair Plant No. 144, together
Eritrea for the modernization of two MiG-29 and with the Kurgan machine plant, probably fulfilled its
MiG29SMT and dispatched 19 IL-103 piston-engine contract with Yemen for the delivery of 180 BMP-2, having
trainers as per its agreement with South Korea for the dispatched the last 52 vehicles.
delivery of 23 aircraft. In addition, MiG corporation In the light weapons category, Izhmash concern
continued to work on the repair of the Syrian MiG-23 and probably completed the first half of its contract for the
began to modernize the Slovak MiG-29 fighters.5 In total delivery of 100 000 AK-103 machine-guns to Venezuela in
the export earnings of MiG corporation in 2005 reached 2005.16 The Tula instrument manufacture design bureau
$306 mln, almost twice the figure for 2004. appears to have begun to dispatch the Kornet-E (AT-14)
Other large deliveries of the past year include the anti-tank missile complex to Eritrea,17 and according to
transfer of five kits to India for the licensed production of the announcement of the deputy head of the Federal
Su-30MKI fighters. Keeping in mind that three complete Agency for Arms Trade Cooperation Aleksandr Denisov,
sets were dispatched to India in 2004, we can expect that by the Tula instrument design bureau also delivered an
March 2006 the Indian Air Force will possess eight such unnamed anti-tank missile systems to Oman.18
fighters, assembled at HAL corporation factories. Deliveries of spare parts were quite successful. Total
The completion of the large contract between Sokol transfers amounted to $700 mln, of which $400 mln were
(together with Phazotron-NIIR) and India for the handled by Rosobornexport and another $300 mln by
modernization of 125 MiG-21bis and the MiG-21-93 independent exporters. 19 The aggregate result for the
configuration signals another significant delivery of independent exporters of spare parts was somewhat less
aviation equipment, since it appears that the last 25 aircraft than the previous year, and was led by the same two
were modernized in 2005. 6 Moreover, Irkut delivered companies: Sukhoi with $180 mln and Salut with $50 mln.20
another five Su-30MKI kits for licensed assembly to India, Meanwhile, in view of plans to liberalize the export of spare
while Sukhoi finally fulfilled its contract with Algeria for parts and the imminent granting of export licenses to
the delivery of 22 supported Su-24MK bombers, having defense industry corporation Oboronprom and the
dispatched the last aircraft.7 Ilyushin aviation complex, the volume of spare parts
Deliveries of helicopter equipment continued during deliveries should rise considerably: according to
2005 in fulfillment of agreements struck in recent years and Aleksandr Denisov, up to $1 bln.21
for new contracts as well. In total, 85 helicopters were
produced: 50 at the Kazan helicopter plant and 35 at the By Region
Ulan-Ude aviation plant. It seems that the majority of these China was the clear leader in terms of the regional
aircraft were destined for export. Sixteen Mi-17 and seven destination for Russian military sales in 2005, a position
Mi-35 were delivered to the Czech Republic in lieu of secured by the aforementioned transfer of Project 636
payment of Russian debt for $150 mln. 8 Small batches of submarines and Project 956EM destroyers. India kept its
Mi-8/17 helicopters were delivered to Vietnam, Malaysia, traditional second place with the licensed production of
China, Iran, Sudan, Burkina-Faso, Venezuela, Kazakhstan Su-30MKI and the modernization of the Project 8773 ship.
and Latvia.9 Projects for the repair and modernization of Yemen and Vietnam share third place with import volumes
helicopter equipment were conducted with Peru, Mexico of $300 mln, thanks to the transfer of MiG-29SMT fighters
and Kazakhstan. Aside from that, 10 Ka-32 helicopters were to Yemen the S-300PMU1 air defense missile system to
delivered to the Republic of Korea, which now possesses 50 Vietnam.
such helicopters.10 Finally, the contract for the delivery of
100 AL-31FN engines to China began to be fulfilled.11
Large-scale transfers of air-defense system were New Contracts
another hallmark of 2005. Almaz-Antey transferred two
S-300PMU1 air defense missile systems for $250 mln to By Types of Arms
Vietnam.12 The Concern also began a project to modernize New contracts in 2005 were concluded mainly in the
the Kvadrat ADM system for the armed forces of Egypt.13 area of aircraft engine deliveries. The key contract was
Deliveries of land forces equipment were relatively with India for the development and licensed production
insignificant. In fulfillment of an agreement dating back to of AL-55I engines for the Indian HJT-39 training aircraft
and the training fighter HJT-39, for $250 mln.22 In addition, The principal helicopter contracts were concluded
large contracts were concluded with China for the delivery with Venezuela, including agreements for the delivery of six
of AL-31F/FN engines and related parts for a total cost of $1 Mi-17, eight Mi-35M and one Mi-26T2, for a total of $201 mln.
bln.23 and for the delivery of RD-93 turbofan engines for In all, Venezuela plans on acquiring 33 helicopters, including
the FC-1 fighters for $267 mln.24 The conclusion of the 20 Mi-17, 10 Mi-35 and three Mi-26T for a total of $400 mln.31
contract for AL-31 turbofan engines was probably The Indian order for the delivery of one battery of the
stipulated by the need for replacements to aircraft BrahMos antiship missile for $275 mln is noteworthy among
purchased through earlier contracts. naval sales,32 along with a few agreements for the repair and
The largest contract for air defense systems was modernization of Project 877EKM submarines for the
concluded with Iran. In 2006 the delivery of 29 Top-M1 air Indian and Algerian navies. As distinct from the Indian, the
defense missile systems is envisaged for a total sum of about Algerian ship will not be equipped with the Club-S system.33
$780 mln.25 The expedited fulfillment of this contract was Among space contracts, Iran has agreed to pay $132
possible since the systems are taken from reserves mln for the production and launch of the Zohreh (Venus)
prepared for an expected Greek order of Tor in 2000. communications satellite,34 while the Energomash
Another contract was concluded with India of Research and Production Association signed a contract
24 Tunguska-M1 (SA-19) air defense missile systems for a with the US for the modernization of the RD-181 rocket
total of $400 mln.26 India also contracted for probably 36 engine for the US Atlas V launch vehicles.35
Smerch multiple-launch rocket systems costing about $500 Work on the development of post-sale servicing
mln for its land forces. 27 We recall that prior deliveries networks for Russian arms and equipment continued
contracted in 2002 of the Tunguska and Smerch were through 2005. Rosoboronservice (India), a Russian-Indian
suspended due to a review by the government-owned service center, was established for the repair and technical
installation (GOI) of its Arms Trade agreements in 2004. servicing of surface ships, submarines and costal facilities
Another contract for the purchase of the Tunguska- of the Indian Navy. The service center was established by
M1 was struck with Morocco for $100 mln, and according several Russian defense firms, together with
to ARMS-TASS, negotiations for the purchase of this system Rosoboronexport as the leading participant.36
have reached the final stages with yet another two Rosoboronexport also opened a technical center in Mexico
countries.28 Recent information suggests that one of these to service Mi helicopters.
is Algeria.29
The largest contract of 2005 for the delivery of aircraft
equipment was with China for 34 IL-76 military-transport Perspectives
aircraft and four IL-78 flying tankers for a total of $1.2 bln,
to be fulfilled over the course of six years. The aircraft will The above analysis leads to several conclusions
be assembled at the Tchkalov aviation plant together with regarding the main trends in the Russian export of arms and
Ilyushin and the Saturn aircraft production association equipment.
(the last of which is to deliver 240 D-30KP-2 engines). The current portfolio of military orders should provide
Tchkalov and Ilyushin will also service the contract with for about $4.5 bln in military sales for 2006, with the largest
Jordan for the delivery of two IL-76MF military transport share going to aviation equipment (including engines) and
aircraft for $100 mln.30 air-defense systems. This derives from new contracts, the
majority of which will be executed in 2006, as well as from
the execution of several large contracts concluded in past
Table 1. Export Earnings of Independent Exporters of years, such as with Malaysia for the delivery of 18 Su-30MKM
Military Armaments and Equipment in 2005; $ mln fighters, with China for the delivery of eight Favorit S-
300PMU2 (SA-100) missile systems, and with the United
Arab Emirates for the delivery of 50 Pantsir-1S missile-gun
Company Export Earnings
air defense systems. Naval sales will take third place thanks
MiG corporation 306 to the conclusion of the contract with China for the delivery
Tula Instrument Design Bureau (Tula KBP) 230 of the Project 636 diesel-electric submarine and the Project
956EM destroyer.
Kolomna machine-building design bureau 60 As for regional distribution, China will again take first
NPO Mashinostroyenia 30 place, with India close behind along with Iran and possibly
Malaysia, if deadlines for the delivery of the Su-30MKM are
Source: Kommersant, 10.02.2006
met. According to the latest statements of Boris Bregman,
first deputy general director of Sukhoi, the fulfillment of of this contract, including training for the crew, after-sales
the Malaysian contract is far behind schedule.37 servicing and delivery of spare parts should exceed $1.5 bln.
Judging from open sources, several contracts will be And if, as expected, the Yantar shipyard is chosen as the lead
concluded in 2006 with countries in South-East Asia. A contractor, this project will have a profound effect on the
contract with Thailand for the delivery of 12 Su-30MKI and structure of the Russian shipbuilding industry.39
several Mi-171 helicopters is almost ready to be signed. The large packet of contracts signed during Putins
Negotiations with Vietnam for the delivery of an additional visit to Algeria in March 2006 for the delivery of
batch of Mi-171 helicopters and with Indonesia for the 36 MiG-29SMT fighters, 28 Su-30MKA, eight S-300PMU1 air
purchase of another 12 Su-27/30 fighters are ongoing. In defense missile systems and about 200 T-90S main battle
addition, the Almaz-Antey air defense concern expects to tanks, make Algerias share of the portfolio for 2006
sign a contract with Vietnam for another delivery of the comparable to that of China and India.40
S-300PMU1 missile system, while the Zelenodolsk shipyard Finally, we note that India remains as before the sole
plans to deliver to Hanoi two Project 11661 Gephard escort driver of scientific-technical development of Russias
ships.38 Should the above-mentioned contracts be signed, military-industrial complex, and one of two countries,
their total value will exceed $1.5 bln. along with France, which is currently or planning to
In addition, a new order for the next in line of the three conduct joint high-tech projects on the basis of risk sharing
Project 11356 frigates can be expected from India. The cost with Russian firms.
31 Pervaja gruppa vertoletchikov iz Venesujely zavershila obuchenie v 344-m centre boevogo primenenija v Tverskoj
oblasti, Interfaks-AVN, 16.12.2005.
32 Indijskaja armija zakazala batareju sverhzvukovyh raket Bramos nazemnogo bazirovanija, ARMS-TASS, 21.11.2005.
33 Specialisty FGUP Zvezdochka provedut modernizaciju DJePL Sindukirti VMS Indii, ITAR-TASS, 10.10.2005;
Grickova, A., Admiraltejskie verfi vstretili alzhirskuju podlodku, Kommersant (Sankt-Peterburg) 09.12.2005.
34 Dorohov, R., Sputnik dlja Irana, Vedomosti, 01.02.2005.
35 Shestakov, A., Jenergomash vzjal s soboj Polet, Kommersant, 08.12.2005.
36 V Nju-Deli sostojalas prezentacija indijsko-rossijskogo servisnogo centra Rosoboronservis, ITAR-TASS, 09.09.2005.
37 V Malajzii planiruetsja otkryt servisnyj tehnicheskij centr po obsluzhivaniju samoletov Su-30MKM, ITAR-TASS,
07.12.2005.
38 Rossijskoe oruzhie v Jugo-Vostochnoj Azii, Kommersant, 12.12.2005.
39 For more information on the current structure of the shipbuiliding industry of Russia, see the related article by
Konstantin Makienko in this issue.
40 Nikolskij, A., 4 mlrd doll. za odin vizit, Vedomosti, 26.01.2006.
Moscow Military Academy of the General Army General Prospekt Vernadskogo str., (495) 438-97-36,
Staff Ivan Ivanovich Efremov 100, Moscow, 117571 438-11-75
ARMY FORCES COLLEGES
Combined-Arms Academy of Army Forces Colonel General Devichego polya proezd str., (495) 246-50-84,
of the Russian Federation Vladimir Ivanovich Popov 4, Moscow, 119255 246-01-44, 248-90-27
http://oavsrf.narod.ru/
Far East High Command Military College Major General Lenina str., 158, (4162) 52-48-03,
(military institute) named after Marshall of Vladimir Mihaylovich Gryzlov Blagoveshensk, 675021 52-84-65
the Soviet Union K.K. Rokossovsky
Moscow High Command Military Academy Major General Golovacheva str., 1, Moscow, (495) 172-90-06
(military institute) Sergey Petrovich Epishin 109380 http://mosvoku.narod.ru/
Novosibirsk High Command Military Major General Ivanova str., 49, Novosibirsk- (3832) 39-93-32
Academy (military institute) Vladimir Petrovich Egorkin 117, 30117 http://hbbky.narod.ru/
Chelyabinsk High Command Military no information Manakova str., 1, (3512) 37-03-05,
Academy (military institute) Chelyabinsk, 454030 37-09-84
Kazan High Command Military Academy Major General Orenburgsky trakt str., 6, (8432) 35-85-72,
(military institute) Valery Nikolaevich Mironchenko Kazan, 420046 92-96-49, 35-85-92
MISSILE FORCES AND ARTILLERY COLLEGES
Mihailovskaya Artillery Academy Lieutenant General Komsomola str., 22, (812) 248-14-85,
Vladimir Aleksandrovich Konstantinov Sankt-Petersburg, 195009 248-14-05, 248-14-59
Kazan High Artillery Command Academy Major General Oktyabrsky gorodok, (8432) 76-57-46,
(military institute) named after Artillery Aleksandr Ilich Borodin Kazan-25, 420025 76-71-21
Marshall M.N. Chistyakov
Kolomna High Artillery Command Academy Colonel Artilleristov proezd str., 5, (49661) 6-01-33,
(military institute) Nikolay Vladimirovich Uharsky (vrio.) Kolomna, 140403 5-01-90, 2-40-46
Ekaterinburg High Artillery Command Major General Sherbakova str., 145, (3432) 21-90-49,
Academy (military institute) Vladimir Sergeevich Morgun Ekaterinburg, 620108 21-90-13, 21-90-50
AIR DEFENCE COLLEGES
Military Academy of Air Defence Forces Major General Kotovskogo str., 2, (4812) 2-98-38,
Anatoly Dmitrievich Gavrilov Smolensk, 214027 2-98-22, 2-63-33
Orenburg High Air Defence College Major General Pushkinskaya str., 63, (3532) 41-94-50,
(military institute) Vladimir Vasilievich Demin Orenburg, 460010 41-94-67, 41-96-00
COLLEGES OF RADIOLOGICAL, CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL DEFENCE FORCES
Military Academy of Radiological, Chemical Major General Brigadirsky pereulok str., 13, (495) 265-94-30,
and Biological Defence Forces named after Nikolay Ivanovich Alimov Moskva, 105005 265-92-22, 261-11-44
Marshalll of the Soviet Union S.K.
Timoshenko
Kostroma High Military Command- Major General Gorkogo str., 1, Kostroma, (4942) 59-97-50,
Engineering Academy of Radiological, Nikolay Timofeevich Volkov 156015 59-97-70, 59-97-01
Chemical and Biological Defence (military
institute)
Saratov Military Insitute of Radiological, Major General 50 let Oktyabrya prospekt (8452) 17-41-49,
Chemical and Biological Defence Nikolay Pavlovich Shebanov str., 5, Saratov, 410037 37-41-06
Middle East
Morocco Tunguska-M1 SP 6 (1 battery) 2006-? 100 Almaz-Antey air-defense
air-defense system concern
Iran Tor-M1 SAM system 29 2006 780* Almaz-Antey air-defense
concern
Iraq Mi -17 helicopters 10 2005 65 Kazan helicopter plant, The contract is carried out with
Ulan-Ude aviation plant mediation of Polish company
Bumar.
Jordan IL-76MF transport 2 n/a 100 Ilyushin Aviation Complex, Aircraft will be probably supplied
aircraft Tashkent Aviation Plant on account of Russian debt.
named after Tchkalov
Europe
Spain Anti-MANPADS - n/a 25 Russian Federal Nuclear
self-protection Center VNIIEF
system for use on
passenger aircrafts
Africa
Sudan Mi -17 helicopters More than 15 2005-2006 75* Kazan helicopter plant Helicopters are supplied in civil
modification.
Eritrea Kornet-E antitank 80 n/a 32* Tula KBP
guided missile
system
Latin America
Mexico Maintenance of - n/a n/a n/a The contract is signed during
Mi-17 helicopters opening of Rosoboronexports
service center in Mexico.
Peru Repair of Mi-17 13 n/a 13 n/a
helicopters
Venezuela Mi-17B-5 / Mi-35 / 6 / 3 / 1 2005-2006 120 Kazan helicopter plant, Venezuela is planning to purchase
Mi-26T2 helicopters Rostvertol 33 helicopters: 20 Mi-17, 10 Mi-35
and 3 Mi-26T2.
Full price - $400 mln.
Mi-35M attack 5 2006 81 Rostvertol
helicopters
AK-103 rifles 100 000 2005-2006 54 Izhmash concern Probable licensed production of
machine guns will be organized in
Venezuela as well.
North America
USA Development of n/a n/a 50 NPO Energomash, Polyot Engines will be installed on Atlas V
RD-181 space Corp. rockets.
propulsion engines
*- CAST estimates.
Source: Russian press
Africa
Sudan BTR-80 APC 30 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Arzamas machine-
building plant
Latin America
Venezuela Mi-17B-5 / Mi-35 / 6 / 3 / 1 2005 2005-2006 15* 3/0/0 0 Kazan helicopter The price of contract -
Mi-26T2 helicopters plant, Rostvertol $120 mln.
AK-103 rifles 100 000 2005 2005-2006 15* 50 000 50 000 Izhmash concern The price of contract -
$54 mln. Probable
licensed production of
machine guns will be
organized in Venezuela
as well.
*- CAST estimates.
Source: Russian press
Foreign data
US Department of State US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency Independent Analytical Agencies
CDI and Center for
Arms Control & Non-
estimates of 1996, in estimates of 1998, in SIPRI Proliferation, in IISS, in current
Year in current prices ($ mln) current prices ($ mln) current prices ($ mln) ($ mln of 2003) current prices ($ mln) prices ($ mln)
The lowest level is marked by bold black colour, the highest - by blue colour
Defense Procurement
Russian data
The lowest level is marked by bold black colour, the highest - by blue colour
The ammounts are calculated based on average annual rate of exchange
Mikhail A. Lukin. In 1992 graduated from the journalism department of the Moscow State University. Since 1990 worked
as an editor of Postfactum press agency. In 1993 became a staff member of the XX century and the world think-tank, and
in 1994-1997 worked as head of the information section in the National News Service. From 1997 was an executive in the
operational news group, deputy director of the information center of the Kommersant Publishing House. Since January
2003 director of the information center of the Kommersant Publishing House.
Konstantin V. Makienko. Graduated from the Oriental Department at the Moscow State Institute for International
Relations in 1995 and the French-Russian Masters School of Political Science and International Relations in 1996. Head of
a project on conventional armaments at the Center for Policy Studies in Russia (PIR-Center), 1996-1997. Since September
1997, Deputy Director of CAST. Author of numerous articles on Russias military-technical cooperation with other
countries.
Ivan A. Safranchuk. Ph. D. Political Sciences. Graduated from the Moscow State Institute for International Relations.
From 1997-2001 was a researcher at PIR-Center and director of a project on nuclear arms control. Since July 2001, Head of
the Moscow Office of the Center for Defense Information. Author of a number of scientific articles and reports on nuclear
policy, nuclear disarmament, nonproliferation of WMD and Russian foreign policy.
Dmitry V. Vasiliev. In 2004 graduated from the State University Higher School of Economics with a Masters Degree in
Strategic Management. From 2003 to mid 2004 worked as an analyst at Absolut Bank in the Department of Risk Evaluation.
Currently working since July 2004 as a researcher at CAST.