Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Final Report
Sub-Contractor Sub-Contractor
1
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/mg.html
2 According to documents provided by the Ministry of Energy
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
3
Mongolian National Energy Agenda and Policy Measures - Scope for Subregional Cooperation Ministry of Energy (2013) *Unit:
MW
4
Guide to Investment in Mongolia, Japan International Cooperation Agency (2013)
5
Figures for 2012
6
According to hearings conducted at the Taishir hydro-electric power plant
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
Fig. 2-4: Breakdown of Power Generation in Mongolia7 Fig. 2-5: Breakdown of Power Generation Track
Record in Mongolia in 201111
a.4.2 Policy on Renewable Energy
As part of its action plan between 2008 and 2012, the Mongolian government declared a policy to
promote the use of renewable energy, wind, solar and hydro-power generation. While the National
Renewable Energy Program established in 2005 includes plans to raise the ratio of power produced
by renewable energy sources to the total power generation from the level of 0.9% in 2005 to 3 5%
in 2010 and 20 25% in 2020, examination of the present situation reveals that these goals have not
been achieved.
As a step in the policy to promote the spread of renewable energy, the Renewable Energy Law was
enacted in January 2007. Under the law, a feed-in-tariff scheme for the purchase of electric power
generated by renewable energy sources was established and this project discussed herein will apply
this scheme.
Table 2-1: Purchase Prices under the Feed-in-Tariff Scheme
Category Energy Source Capacity Charge (/kWh)
Wind power - 8.0 - 9.5
Less than
On-grid Hydro-power 4.5 - 6.0
5.0MW
Solar power - 15.0 - 18.0
Wind power - 10.0 - 15.0
Less than
8.0 - 10.0
0.5MW
Off-grid Hydro-power
0.5 - 2.0MW 5.0 - 6.0
2.0 - 5.0MW 4.5 - 5.0
Solar power - 20.0 - 30.0
Under the Renewable Energy Law, electric power can be purchased at the charges listed in the table
7
Mongolian National Energy Agenda and Policy Measures - Scope for Subregional Cooperation Ministry of Energy (2013)
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
above for at least ten years. Hearings conducted with the Energy Regulatory Commission of the
Ministry of Energy, the local entity with jurisdiction over renewable energy issues, revealed that
purchase prices and periods (after ten years) shall be subject to separate deliberation.
(*Created by the study group based on values published in the New Mechanisms Information Platform)
Mongolia is also subjected to the effects of global warming caused by such increases in greenhouse
gases. The main problems of global warming in Mongolia include the melting of perpetual snow in
the mountains and subsequent drying up of springs and rivers, degradation of grasslands, melting of
permafrost and desertification8.
Furthermore, concerns around air pollution caused by coal on which Mongolia depends as a source
of energy is also growing steadily. In addition to increasing amounts of exhaust gases produced by
automobiles, other probable factors contributing to air pollution include the combustion of coal by
thermal power plants and the burning of quick lime in Yurt dwellings. In addition, the deteriorating
power generation efficiency of Mongolias aging thermal power plants is exacerbating the problems
of increasing GHG emissions and air pollution.
Pollution by substances such as PM10 and PM2.5, known to cause health problems, is especially
serious and the annual level of suspended particulate matter (PM) in the countrys capital,
Ulaanbaatar, has reached an alarming 279g/m3, by fourteen times compared to the standard value
of 20g/m3 recommended in accordance with studies conducted by WHO9.
3. Study Contents
(1) JCM Methodology Development
a. Eligible Criteria
The applicable requirements and basis of settings in the methodology are set out below.
Eligible Criteria 1
The project activity is generation of mega-solar scale power (more than or equal to 1,000kW
8
http://www.wwf.or.jp/activities/2011/12/1035828.html#3_2
9
Potential in Using Solar Energy for Reducing Air Pollution in City and Settled TownsGreen Solar Energy LLC (2013)
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
output) in Mongolia.
Basis of Settings
Since no 10MW-class grid-connected solar power generation projects have ever been
implemented in Mongolia and the rate of market penetration of even mega-solar scale power
generation (scale of output: 1,000kW or more) is zero, the implementation of such
undertaking as a JCM project will address the problem of scarcity.
Eligible Criteria 2
The project activity is the installation of a new solar power generation system at a site where there has
been no mega-solar scale power generation system, or capacity addition to the existing solar power
generation system.
Basis of Settings
For the purpose of simplifying the methodology, this is limited to construction of a new facility or
addition to the existing solar power generation system.
Eligible Criteria 3
The electricity generated by the project will be supplied to Altai Uliastai Regional Energy System in
Mongolia to replace existing electricity generation. If there is any use of electricity imported from
connected electricity systems located in other countries, this particular electricity will not be replaced by
the project.
Basis of Settings
Since JCM requests that all electricity imported from overseas is not subject to JCM, this criteria is set
for complying with that requirement.
Eligible Criteria 4
The solar power generation system installed in the project can measure net electricity supplied to the grid.
Basis of Settings
By providing the system with the capability to measure net power (MWh) supplied to the grid by solar
power generation, the net power (MWh) value can be applied unchanged, simplifying the calculation
of the reduction of emissions (reference emissions).
To save the transcription and/or the calculation of project emissions thanks to this criteria leads to
reduction of human errors in transcription and/or calculation and obligations in monitoring and
reporting of GHG emission reductions. In addition, this criteria ensure the conservatives of
verification process by third party. Moreover, this will achieve the simplified systems which JCM is
aiming to.
Eligible Criteria 5
The solar cell in the system has obtained: (i) a certification of design qualifications and safety qualification
set by the IEC (International Electrotechnical Commission), and/or (ii) any other international
certifications that fully complied with the IEC.
Basis of Settings
Due to the simplicity of their structure and functions, differentiation of solar cell module products and
technology is difficult in terms other than price. For this reason, conditioning the selection of devices
on certification under performance and safety approval standards set by the International
Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) or national standards that fully complied with such standards
make it possible to select Japanese technologies with outstanding safety and durability suitable for use
on JCM projects.
JIS C8918 (Crystalline photovoltaic modules) and JIS C8939 (Thin film photovoltaic modules) are
Japanese standards that contribute to the assurance of consistency of quality of photovoltaic modules.
Moreover, performance approval standards (JIS 8990 and 8991) and safety approval standards (JIS
8992-1 and 8992-2) fully conforming to International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) standards
are also in place in Japan.
Eligible Criteria 6
The solar power generation system installed in the project including power conditioner(s) in the system
should have minimum conversion efficiency of 98%.
Basis of Settings
In terms of the power conversion ratio, Japanese products are superior for the power conditioners that
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comprise a solar power generation system. While overseas manufacturers in countries such as
Germany and Switzerland have established a track record in the field of mega-solar power generation
at levels close to those of Japanese companies in terms of operating conditions and conversation
ratios, the selection of Japanese products is recommended for a setting of 98% or higher.
Eligible Criteria 7
The solar power generation system installed in the project is produced by a manufacturer from the country
where there is: (i) a measure in place for reuse and recycle of equipment in the system after service life or
(ii) an initiative for preparation of recycle and reuse measure underway. (Eg., PV Cycle10)
Basis of Settings
Although Reuse-Recycling Working Group of Japan Photovoltaic Energy Association (JPEA) is now
under consideration of measures for the reuse and recycling of photovoltaic cells, at this present it has
not been decided yet. On the other hand, in Chiba Prefecture Photovoltaic Appraise Society started to
collect and dispose the wasted photovoltaic cells from household or associated companies in last
September.
Background
Based on the fact that the availability of data required to calculate emission factors is extremely
limited in Mongolia with the exception of the Central Energy System, the approach detailed below
has been adopted for the calculation of default emission factors for the energy system in the Altai
Uliastai region.
Using fuel type-specific generated power volume data of last year from the National Dispatching
Center and referencing the latest version of the CDM grid emission factor calculation tool11, the
combined margin was calculated following steps based on this process and the result sets ex-ante as
the default value. It should be noted that, according to the National Dispatching Center, in order to
cope with the urgent demand for power in the Altai Uliastai region in winter, electric power is
sometimes temporarily imported from sources such as the Western and Central Energy Systems.
Since the volume of imported power is recorded by the National Dispatch Center, this is also factor
taken into calculations of default values.
The following power generating source-specific emission factors required for calculations were
used.
Power Generating Source Emission Factor Comments
Hydro-power 0.0 tCO2/MWh -
Diesel 0.8 tCO2/MWh CDM default value
Coal 1.0 tCO2/MWh The lowest emission factor among existing
coal-driven thermal power plants was that of
Thermal Power Plant No. 4 in 2012 at a
value of 1.02tCO2/MWh.
Imports from the Western Energy 0 tCO2/MWh Basically, because this comprises power
System imported from Russia and the Durugun
hydro-electric power plant, no emission
reductions will be achieved by replacing this
power.
Imports from the Central Energy 1.12655tCO2/MWh Average of the latest values published by the
10 http: //www.pvcycle.org/
11
Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system
http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/PAmethodologies/tools/am-tool-07-v4.0.pdf
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
System Mongolian government of OM 1.1501
tCO2/MWh and BM 1.0559tCO2/MWh
weighted by 0.75:0.25
A breakdown of the total volume of power generated and fuel types from last year (2012) in the
Altai Uliastai region is shown below. No power was imported from other systems in 2012.
Method of Setting
Step 1: The operating margin (OM) was calculated using the values of power generated (fuel
type-specific) during the year immediately preceding the year when the project was initiated.
Calculation in accordance with the formula below produced an operating margin (OM) of
0.8tCO2/MWh.
Step 2: The build margin (BM) was calculated using the values of power generated (fuel
type-specific) during the year immediately preceding the year when the project was initiated.
Because it was unable to obtain information (timing of commercial operation, volume of power
generated) on the multiple individual diesel power plants connected to the grid in question, only the
Taishir hydro-electric power plant, which was put into operation in 2008 and accounted for 20% of
all the power generated by the grid, was included in calculation of the build margin (BM). The fact
that the emission factor for hydro-electric power generation is zero makes this an extremely
conservative technique.
Calculation in accordance with the formula below produced a build margin (BM) of 0tCO2/MWh.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
Step 3: The combined margin (CM) was derived from the calculated operating (OM) and build
margins (BM).
Weighting and averaging with an operating margin (OM) ratio of 0.75 and a build margin (BM)
ratio of 0.25 and calculation in accordance with the formula below produced a combined margin
(CM) of 0.6tCO2/MWh.
12
Tool to calculate the emission factor for an electricity system
http://cdm.unfccc.int/methodologies/PAmethodologies/tools/am-tool-07-v4.0.pdf
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Option 1 Default Value
RE y EGRF , y EFCO2, default, y
Description of Data
RE,y Reference emission volume for year y (tCO2/year)
EGREF,y Volume of power supplied to the grid by the projects (MWh/y)
EFCO2,default,y Default emission f actor replaced/consumed by the project (tCO2/MWh)
Description of Data
ERy GHG emissions reduction volume for year y (tCO2/year)
REy Reference emission volume for year y (tCO2/year)
PEy Project emission volume for year y (tCO2/year)
For solar power generation, normally, the rated panel output multiplied by power generation
efficiency and the intensity of solar radiation is taken as the projected volume of power generated
before project initiation. The calculated projected volume of power generated is shown below.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
Volume of power generated (kWh) = Intensity of solar radiation (kWh/m2) Solar power
generation system capacity (kW) Coefficient of loss Standard irradiance (kW/m2) Angle of
inclination correction
In this calculation, for the purposes of trial calculation of emission reduction volume of greater
accuracy, the projected volume of power generated was calculated based on the specifications of
panels manufactured by Sankou Seiki and power conditioners manufactured by Toshiba
Mitsubishi-Electric Industrial Systems Corporation (TMEIC) under consideration for introduction
to the project.
As a result of the above, project annual average solar radiation intensity is 13,021,819 (kWh/year).
In addition, trial calculation of adherent power consumed by air conditioning and power control
devices (e.g. power conditioners) in buildings is 45,864 (kWh/year).
The emission reduction volume is calculated as shown below. It should be noted that the default
value is used for the emission factor value.
The annual emission reduction volume of the project was calculated as 7,781 (t-CO2/year).
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
Japanese Government
Local Government Altai International Subsidies
Consortium
License
Ministry of Energy
Land rights JV Saisan Co., Ltd Bank (Japan)
Unigas/Local entities/ Loan
myclimate Japan
Altai Uliastai Grid
Sale electricity
Construction Operation support
Sankou Solar Mongolia Maintenance (Construction/Maintenance) Sankou
Photovoltaic
panel
Technical transfer Localization
Eligible Criteria 1
The project activity is generation of mega-solar scale power (more than or equal to 1,000kW output) in Mongolia.
Status of Conformity
It is expected that this solar power generation project will produce power on the scale of 10MW and therefore
complies with Eligible Criteria 1.
Eligible Criteria 2
The project activity is the installation of a new solar power generation system at a site where there has been no
mega-solar scale power generation system, or capacity addition to the existing solar power generation system.
Status of Conformity
The project will introduce a new solar power generation system in the Altai Uliastai grid, and therefore complies with
Eligible Criteria 2.
Eligible Criteria 3
The electricity generated by the project will be supplied to Altai Uliastai Regional Energy System in Mongolia to
replace existing electricity generation. If there is any use of electricity imported from connected electricity systems
located in other countries, this particular electricity will not be replaced by the project.
Status of Conformity
Electric power generated by the project will be linked to the Altai Uliastai Grid and replace power produced by
existing connected power generation systems. Moreover, since this study has revealed that the Altai Uliastai Grid
configuration mainly comprises renewable energy (produced by the Altai hydro-electric power plant) and power
supplied by diesel generators, the project complies with Eligible Criteria 3.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
Eligible Criteria 4
The solar power generation system installed in the project measures net electricity supplied to the grid.
Status of Conformity
The solar power generation system introduced by this project will be equipped with a meter to measure net power
supplied to the grid. The project therefore complies with Eligible Criteria 4.
Eligible Criteria 5
The solar cell in the system have obtained: (i) a certification of design qualifications and safety qualification set by the
IEC (International Electrotechnical Commission), and/or (ii) any other national certifications that fully complied with
the IEC.
Status of Conformity
The solar cells in the solar power generation system introduced by this project are manufactured by Sankou Seiki Co.,
Ltd. Since Sankou Solar Mongolia, the manufacturers subsidiary in Mongolia, manufactures solar cells locally, use of
its products will enable realization of reductions in transportation costs.
Since the products of Sankou Solar Mongolia are approved under International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC)
performance and safety standards, or national standards fully conforming to the same 13, the project complies with
Eligible Criteria 5.
Eligible Criteria 6
The solar power generation system installed in the project including power conditioner(s) in the system should have
minimum conversion efficiency of 98%.
Status of Conformity
The power conditioners planned for use in the project are manufactured by Toshiba Mitsubishi-Electric Industrial
Systems Corporation and feature a conversion efficiency of 98.6%14, thus conforming to Eligible Criteria 6.
Eligible Criteria 7
The solar power generation system installed in the project is produced by a manufacturer from the country where there
is: (i) a measure in place for reuse and recycle of equipment in the system after service life or (ii) an initiative for
preparation of recycle and reuse measure underway. (Eg., PV Cycle 15)
Status of Conformity
The solar power generation system introduced by this project is made in Japan. As stated above, the Photovoltaic
Appraise Society in Japan has launched a service under which it collects unwanted solar power generation panels from
its member companies and ordinary households for disposal. 16 Therefore, the project complies with Eligible Criteria
7.
e. Monitoring Plan
The monitoring plan is set out below.
No. Monitored Items Monitoring Method Frequency Data Storage Person in Charge
Measured by the meters measuring Measurement will Power generation
Volume of power
power sold to the grid company. be continuous and Stored until 2020 facility monitoring
supplied to the
1 Conformity to sales slips and aggregates will be in data and paper supervisor (also in
grid by the
receipts will be checked each recorded at least medium form charge of
project
month. every month. maintenance)
Conformity to sales slips and
Volume of power
2 receipts will be checked each Once a month As above As above
purchased
month.
13 http://www.sankou-solar.jp/catalog/sangyo/index.html#page=1
14 http://www.tmeic.co.jp/product/power_electronics/conversion/renewable_energy/solar/sw_500e/index2.html
15 http: //www.pvcycle.org/
16 http://pvn24.com/20130719-01-4072.html
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
The existence of new renewable
Altai Uliastai energy generating equipment will
Person responsible for
3 grid power be checked based on values Once a year As above
monitoring
source mix announced by the National
Dispatching Center.
Project Only ex post (after the fact)
eigenfactor of selection will be allowed and,
grid during the monitoring period, the
4 Once a year As above As above
substituted/consu latest publicized data will be used
med by the to perform recalculations every
project year.
*Data obtained from monitoring will be stored in data format (e.g. CD-ROM, USB) and on paper media for the duration of the JCM project (envisaged
to last until 2020).
Overall, high expectations have been expressed for the project, and both the Ministry of Energy and the Altai
Provincial Office have promised their support for the project.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
Category Procedure Jul - Sep Oct - Dec Jan - Mar Apr - Jun Jul - Sep Oct - Dec Jan - Mar Apr - Jun Jul - Sep Oct - Dec Jan - Mar
1-4. Feasibility Study (Study of solar radiation, geology and connected systems)
4. Construction procedures
4-1. Civil engineering and foundation construction
Stock Room
B B
Electrical Room
C C
Entrance
D D
Alternate path
E E
F F
19
Fig. 3-3: Solar Panel Layout Fig. 3-4: Layout of Power Conditioners in the Building
17
Prepared from hearings with the Ministry of Energy
19
A site area of 16ha will be required for the solar power generation project.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
The status of studies into the financial arrangements of approximately 1.9 billion yen required for
the project is detailed below.
(1) In the case of that JCM equipment subsidy can be acquired: IRR24.4% (Feasible)
(2) In the case that JCM equipment subsidy cannot be acquired: IRR13.9% (Not Feasible)
*Both are based on an assumed exchange rate of 1 dollar = 100 yen
*It is assumed that the purchase period under the feed-in-tariff system would be the same as the project duration of 20 years.
b. MRV structure
The planned general MRV framework relating to the project is shown below.
20
Calculations based on an assumed rate of 1oo yen to the dollar
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
d. Japans contribution
d.1. Equipment introduced during the Project
Broadly speaking, products introduced during the solar power generation project fall into two
categories of technology. The first is solar power generation panels and the second is power
conditioners. The equipment scheduled to be introduced during the project is listed below.
Photovoltaic Panel
Status of
Panel Output Conversion
Manufacturer (country) Mode Number Conformity to
(W) ratio (%)
Eligible Criteria 5
Sankou-Seiki Co.,
SSM242BP60 242 13.6
Ltd.21 (Japan)
21
Sankou-Seiki Co., Ltd. is a Japanese manufacturer with a local subsidiary and plant in Mongolia, the products of which are
scheduled to be used on the project.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
smaller than the products of competitors and, at only 1,300kg, the body is lightweight, offering the
prospect of reducing costs incurred by transportation and installation (building foundations and
building floor space).
e. Environmental Integrity
Typically, it is believed that mega-solar projects have almost no environmental impact on the
surrounding area. The surrounding area is a wilderness featuring only the Taishir hydro-electric
power plant. In addition, because solar power generation facilities are enclosed in fences, no
particular impact on wildlife in the area is foreseen.
Environmental impact will be assessed in greater details during the environmental impact
assessment scheduled to be implemented in the next fiscal year.
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JCM Feasibility Study (FS) 2013 Final Report
generation projects such as the one proposed in this document will have a beneficial effect on the
economic development particularly of the mining industry, the main industry of Mongolia.
Mitigation of Health Hazards posed by Air Pollution
The spread of renewable energy airing from this project and others will contribute to the
improvement of the health of Mongolian citizens who are threatened by air pollution from
substances such as PM10 and PM2.5, suspended particulate matter known to present hazards to
health.
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